live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Nov 22, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
346333.2Grambling St.SWAC0.39250.43053420-27-190-10-10-20-36-120-830947166167.28.4
307294.7UMass LowellAE0.42990.44323272-210-180-00-10-21-69-94-826432719275.78.2
325312.2Jackson St.SWAC0.41720.42123471-211-200-00-10-21-510-123-1029922694218.28.1
350344.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37460.43163410-36-240-00-10-20-75-150-1234314526777.28.1
351346.8Florida A&MMEAC0.36660.42883440-45-240-00-00-20-65-162-1135130929551.87.4
343328.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40070.42973431-48-220-10-10-21-58-143-11316272183145.87.3
270263.6Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.45000.48691921-08-190-10-10-31-67-84-92081062261.66.3
349339.9MaineAE0.38390.45232990-35-230-00-00-31-84-122-1035030026178.96.0
301290.5Sacred HeartNEC0.43290.45223001-111-190-00-10-12-59-114-8298254107183.55.2
300289.6Chicago St.WAC0.43360.48491990-27-210-00-10-42-75-82-12291143100189.65.1
313301.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.42450.41423490-211-150-00-10-20-310-101-7300169122179.65.1
285273.9DrakeMVC0.44430.51831170-37-220-20-21-42-94-53-8310149108165.94.7
337321.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.40650.44993120-26-180-00-00-21-75-91-5335265197124.64.6
306292.0New OrleansSlnd0.43050.45183030-18-160-00-10-21-57-70-627942125167.04.3
209211.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.47820.48641951-013-150-10-21-43-58-46-42203406205.64.3
288275.2Youngstown St.Horz0.44300.46732531-310-180-00-10-32-87-74-8266296111164.24.2
341325.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.40260.41113500-311-180-00-00-11-510-124-934034123392.74.0
292277.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.44090.43913340-113-160-00-00-12-511-94-7302330123154.63.8
345333.3JacksonvilleASun0.39470.44143300-37-210-10-10-21-56-123-1134532426667.33.8
213218.0Portland St.BSky0.47500.45372931-013-130-00-10-22-410-64-419230641177.03.7
296281.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.43820.46142710-29-160-10-10-21-57-71-625813135146.83.6
277267.0McNeese St.Slnd0.44720.44593210-111-140-10-10-22-49-62-524956110157.03.5
217219.4Western CarolinaSC0.47430.45572870-214-150-00-11-32-511-63-824119964155.43.4
327313.9Appalachian St.SB0.41640.47932151-26-230-00-10-32-94-92-728922323182.93.4
253249.4Delaware St.MEAC0.45840.43613371-213-160-10-10-21-512-84-9209213112137.43.2
282271.4NavyPat0.44540.49211790-49-190-10-21-43-76-63-7275179150121.43.2
221222.9Alabama St.SWAC0.47260.40453510-116-90-10-10-10-115-63-419618180142.93.2
324312.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41740.43193401-310-200-10-10-20-510-112-1028612522884.03.1
255249.1Coppin St.MEAC0.45800.48681940-39-190-20-20-31-58-71-111986116133.13.0
226227.2MercerSC0.47000.44543221-114-130-00-10-31-312-64-524525893134.22.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
162160.3Texas TechB120.50470.5418802-114-161-51-32-44-36-19-318331940120.32.9
121127.6Wright St.Horz0.52340.48851892-116-120-00-11-25-410-47-562965122.62.8
338323.1SamfordSC0.40640.43853361-39-200-00-10-31-58-113-833333326261.12.7
236233.3James MadisonCAA0.46690.48521982-114-170-10-11-24-69-57-6226218121112.32.7
182176.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.49630.48941851-114-130-00-11-25-58-43-41735847129.72.7
210211.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.47800.49321742-213-160-30-11-33-59-56-71808690121.52.6
184179.8Mississippi St.SEC0.49480.52351073-013-160-31-32-44-56-18-315530767112.82.5
158159.6Oregon St.P120.50580.52341082-014-141-31-32-44-36-17-316931143116.62.5
233231.1Sacramento St.BSky0.46770.46252661-112-150-10-00-12-510-74-5194230113118.12.5
134139.7QuinnipiacMAAC0.51580.48282022-119-100-00-02-27-510-36-313317836103.72.5
123128.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52220.46872511-017-100-20-11-13-214-36-5991952999.32.4
333317.4FurmanSC0.41220.46762521-27-200-10-10-31-56-101-82948225859.42.4
171168.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.50110.47772201-114-120-00-11-33-59-33-51528461107.32.4
347336.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.39160.45642840-46-230-00-00-21-85-121-1034216730036.02.4
110117.3UC IrvineBW0.52900.47892181-117-100-10-11-24-311-36-59615717100.32.4
283272.3Loyola MDPat0.44470.49111812-29-200-00-11-43-96-54-725318718290.32.4
97105.2Rhode IslandA100.53600.5332922-015-111-21-23-35-36-15-3851174101.22.4
265256.8Robert MorrisNEC0.45380.46522571-312-170-10-10-22-510-83-824212916096.82.3
111116.2HoustonAmer0.52880.49631652-019-101-21-22-24-211-29-21203432294.22.3
274266.6UC DavisBW0.44770.44843142-012-150-00-00-22-69-76-524734517096.62.3
132137.9Utah St.MWC0.51690.49731643-117-120-11-12-36-48-38-31222763998.92.3
117122.6Murray St.OVC0.52520.45972761-120-80-10-01-14-315-38-41091553884.62.3
92102.1EvansvilleMVC0.53770.51151291-017-100-20-12-26-39-27-282144993.12.3
295278.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44070.45362941-111-170-00-10-12-69-103-725722019187.72.2
166163.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50280.49251762-114-140-10-11-34-59-45-51151616598.92.2
93101.8Bowling GreenMAC0.53750.50701422-017-110-01-12-36-48-27-31102661388.82.2
197200.9St. Francis NYNEC0.48350.45063090-216-130-00-00-12-414-75-621524210496.92.1
157158.5Indiana St.MVC0.50590.50831372-115-130-20-21-34-49-36-41821926692.52.1
151153.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50890.42003480-118-70-10-10-11-116-35-41192047182.12.1
318306.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42130.45792790-49-190-10-10-21-67-104-1033030124066.02.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
249245.0OaklandHorz0.46060.50691430-39-200-10-21-43-85-43-102465015392.02.1
342328.3LongwoodBSth0.40250.46022751-27-220-10-10-21-75-113-833932928840.32.1
103110.9Holy CrossPat0.53260.48781912-017-100-00-12-25-410-36-3711682585.92.1
281270.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44550.48002101-310-190-10-10-33-77-65-826320018882.52.1
188185.2North TexasCUSA0.49220.51101302-013-150-10-22-43-58-35-51891758897.22.1
179174.9ValparaisoHorz0.49800.47962112-115-120-00-01-35-69-46-513416574100.92.1
289275.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44280.46112721-211-180-10-10-22-49-103-825417219877.02.0
247243.0SeattleWAC0.46130.46282651-213-130-00-11-22-410-65-726524115291.02.0
7482.6Seton HallBE0.54980.5479662-016-121-31-23-36-35-17-379177874.62.0
4456.0Old DominionCUSA0.56870.49611683-022-61-01-13-18-210-19-141207155.02.0
271264.9Morgan St.MEAC0.44950.44833150-412-170-00-10-21-610-82-1127415218579.91.9
232230.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46790.44613200-114-130-00-10-22-411-63-623527014090.51.9
175170.5RutgersB100.49940.5554531-111-190-41-52-63-45-17-51851899278.51.9
275267.8BrownIvy0.44740.47522291-310-180-10-21-41-58-65-927724319275.81.9
335321.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40870.45602861-48-210-10-20-31-47-124-1132223927843.51.9
5261.7CharlotteCUSA0.56390.51171263-021-90-11-23-27-39-18-4471111447.71.7
7378.6Saint LouisA100.55190.52641002-019-101-31-22-27-38-19-2641941860.61.7
189186.5DePaulBE0.49120.5433752-011-181-41-32-53-45-16-520122911472.51.7
244241.4Savannah St.MEAC0.46230.46022742-212-160-20-10-22-49-73-91864316873.41.7
7984.5Georgia TechACC0.54870.5668223-015-131-61-22-26-34-18-2551272460.51.7
112117.4Boston UniversityPat0.52850.49971601-217-110-10-11-35-410-35-597834968.41.6
114123.1TempleAmer0.52560.5346902-216-151-41-22-35-47-28-5124935865.11.6
100108.8UNLVMWC0.53320.5448733-116-141-31-22-37-45-17-584234662.81.6
152153.5High PointBSth0.50870.47702223-115-120-00-11-24-411-45-41082068469.51.6
336321.3NJITind0.40790.45143041-36-190-00-10-31-65-96-1933431728239.31.5
298286.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43600.43233390-411-170-10-10-21-510-91-92938022957.01.5
139143.5Wake ForestACC0.51370.5635292-213-181-81-31-42-37-18-51581768954.51.5
161161.1Oral RobertsSum0.50510.49771631-213-140-00-11-35-67-44-7154698675.11.5
315307.0NiagaraMAAC0.42250.48821901-27-220-00-10-42-115-62-734120226839.01.5
107114.1La SalleA100.53060.5294953-016-140-31-32-36-46-28-4831355460.11.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6978.0BuffaloMAC0.55300.52451032-118-120-20-12-37-49-28-4611372751.01.5
96104.4Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53600.46182692-018-70-10-11-14-213-27-466884856.41.5
205208.1HawaiiBW0.47950.47272373-114-110-00-11-33-49-35-420219113969.11.5
2534.5BYUWCC0.58930.5568482-020-82-32-13-18-25-17-3137331.51.4
153154.6Boston CollegeACC0.50750.5612362-212-171-71-42-33-26-17-418821410252.61.4
208211.7Central MichiganMAC0.47820.48921862-012-130-00-11-43-57-35-223435014269.71.4
225228.1Loyola MarymountWCC0.47000.5436741-27-200-40-31-43-64-23-62197517355.11.4
5868.3AlabamaSEC0.55950.5612353-017-121-42-23-37-25-08-343622345.31.3
203208.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.48000.44623191-013-110-00-00-22-411-52-411610514464.91.3
142144.4MarshallCUSA0.51340.51861152-115-140-21-22-35-57-26-5150898559.41.3
261256.4UTSACUSA0.45450.48192051-110-170-00-11-33-66-64-530634720056.41.3
269262.0FairfieldMAAC0.45100.50561471-39-210-10-11-43-96-53-72164421547.01.3
305291.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.43190.45292970-39-190-10-00-21-78-92-102678524546.41.2
148150.5IPFWSum0.51010.45772801-117-90-00-01-25-411-36-41623289555.51.2
220223.2Georgia SouthernSB0.47260.47062460-112-140-00-00-24-68-53-322929816459.21.2
7178.5Long Beach St.BW0.55270.5358891-215-130-40-22-25-38-24-84413741.51.2
5162.1LSUSEC0.56450.5614343-118-121-32-34-38-34-09-329342636.11.2
267261.9CornellIvy0.45140.46522562-311-170-10-11-42-59-66-826029321645.91.1
4051.7RichmondA100.57220.5382862-121-101-22-23-38-27-110-3401002130.71.1
124129.0ArmyPat0.52190.47002474-019-90-10-01-25-412-38-2873138247.01.1
348336.3Southern UtahBSky0.39060.45632850-35-220-00-00-21-74-121-834825931917.31.1
272265.3RiceCUSA0.44910.51301241-27-190-10-21-42-75-53-528122122243.31.1
326312.5PresbyterianBSth0.41710.47522300-37-200-10-10-31-85-82-731214028329.51.1
308294.2LamarSlnd0.42980.45103060-39-170-10-10-21-58-92-630523725539.21.1
3038.8Ohio St.B100.58450.5530592-022-92-32-24-27-17-011-2461971523.81.0
319308.0Montana St.BSky0.42090.48681930-37-220-10-10-32-75-101-102975427929.01.0
174169.8NorthwesternB100.49960.5460684-013-170-51-52-53-27-19-317733513237.81.0
268261.8IUPUISum0.45140.49231772-210-200-10-10-33-96-64-1021312822338.81.0
7278.3Boise St.MWC0.55250.52041123-118-100-21-22-36-38-17-3541414434.31.0
176171.2MarquetteBE0.49900.5506621-211-171-41-32-53-35-15-522518013041.21.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
254249.0St. Francis PANEC0.45810.45203021-212-160-10-00-12-510-83-724423820643.00.9
262256.4Northern KentuckyASun0.45390.46442611-211-160-10-10-31-49-74-923815021739.40.9
2835.0West VirginiaB120.58830.5649284-020-102-32-25-28-24-010-2251221619.00.9
316306.8San Jose St.MWC0.42220.51021330-35-210-10-21-52-92-51-734930328422.80.9
3340.9Saint Mary'sWCC0.58250.5427772-020-81-21-14-29-36-18-218322020.90.9
8489.2IonaMAAC0.54530.49271752-121-100-10-11-28-411-37-4651136029.20.9
219221.7Washington St.P120.47330.5514601-28-200-51-41-52-54-24-624022218932.70.8
170167.4Santa ClaraWCC0.50130.52381051-112-140-31-21-34-45-24-420425512839.40.8
108113.5OhioMAC0.53030.5278981-115-120-11-23-45-47-25-41591237736.50.8
1625.4ArizonaP120.60080.576983-020-92-33-25-26-15-09-216291114.40.8
264256.1Grand CanyonWAC0.45380.45732822-214-150-10-11-32-412-68-726927122432.10.8
8085.7UTEPCUSA0.54760.50321522-019-80-11-12-25-310-27-2681385728.70.8
340324.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40540.45482910-27-210-10-20-30-46-121-113199530816.50.7
286274.1VMISC0.44380.45652831-211-160-10-20-21-49-81-729611424628.10.7
230231.7ElonCAA0.46800.48182061-212-160-10-11-33-68-54-623027420130.70.7
131137.4HofstraCAA0.51740.47172412-119-120-00-11-26-412-49-412630510928.40.7
177172.7William & MaryCAA0.49880.50901342-112-150-20-21-33-58-34-51053714329.70.6
204208.9MontanaBSky0.47990.47232390-213-140-00-11-32-410-63-62109817929.90.6
165164.3NevadaMWC0.50330.51891141-213-140-21-22-44-46-24-520518813727.30.6
314303.6UMBCAE0.42320.44253290-310-190-10-10-21-59-94-932633128518.60.6
8588.9Gardner WebbBSth0.54530.48042082-117-80-10-11-16-310-24-3571336919.90.6
155157.5TCUB120.50610.51681193-016-141-51-32-33-210-111-118135113324.50.6
98105.3Green BayHorz0.53590.48482000-117-80-20-01-16-310-26-377908322.30.5
5969.3WyomingMWC0.55870.51101312-021-81-21-13-26-29-19-2632195316.30.5
317305.9HowardMEAC0.42150.42693460-310-180-10-10-11-59-113-932329129015.90.5
168166.2South FloridaAmer0.50180.52451042-014-160-31-22-45-57-27-516518314521.20.5
222224.6FordhamA100.47110.52281090-210-180-21-31-53-65-25-525125720420.60.5
206210.6North Dakota St.Sum0.47890.48881882-212-140-10-11-23-68-54-616611218723.60.5
332317.2UNC GreensboroSC0.41280.44493240-39-190-10-10-21-58-112-834730230512.20.5
118123.8LafayettePat0.52500.47532283-118-100-10-11-24-312-37-310027910518.80.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
169166.8WinthropBSth0.50130.45302951-116-100-00-11-24-411-54-416728714620.80.4
1014.8ConnecticutAmer0.61620.5658253-022-72-32-14-17-16-08-354104.80.4
173170.2TowsonCAA0.50000.47632253-116-140-00-11-34-511-47-513828415119.20.4
291276.6BinghamtonAE0.44180.47162430-310-180-10-10-32-78-73-928713626016.60.4
330312.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.41600.43873350-49-180-20-10-20-38-120-92922030111.50.4
94103.0CreightonBE0.53720.5400833-017-131-32-33-45-36-19-31012098716.00.4
180175.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.49680.50171553-013-140-10-21-43-48-25-416825015817.90.4
181176.2UMKCWAC0.49670.46462601-216-120-00-11-23-412-67-717522515917.20.4
224226.5Nebraska OmahaSum0.47030.46242672-113-150-00-00-24-78-66-621232021313.50.3
312300.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.42530.45063080-411-200-10-00-11-610-123-103272732928.70.3
914.1GonzagaWCC0.61660.5284963-025-42-13-14-18-19-010-115118122.10.2
6673.7WoffordSC0.55500.47362353-122-70-20-11-14-216-27-42836685.70.2
218220.5North FloridaASun0.47360.44753170-313-140-10-20-31-311-64-92182682128.50.2
294278.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.44070.47702230-39-200-10-10-31-77-94-92732012735.60.1
5362.0NortheasternCAA0.56390.50091593-021-90-10-12-29-310-28-43177593.00.1
304291.9DartmouthIvy0.43190.45262980-210-180-00-10-31-68-85-93083382892.90.1
2734.3George WashingtonA100.58840.52371062-122-71-22-14-27-28-09-252227331.30.1
4657.0North Carolina St.ACC0.56790.580053-018-132-62-24-27-24-010-33527552.00.1
185180.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.49390.49211801-315-150-20-21-43-411-47-52033141782.90.1
2332.0FloridaSEC0.59210.571392-119-102-42-25-27-13-08-33848311.00.0
223227.3George MasonA100.47030.5713111-36-220-40-51-62-62-22-8233152261.30.0
260254.5ChattanoogaSC0.45460.45213010-313-150-10-10-22-311-83-72832122531.50.0
231231.5PacificWCC0.46800.52531011-17-180-30-21-43-73-23-4231278232-0.5-0.0
322307.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41970.45023110-28-170-00-00-21-67-82-7329289309-1.3-0.0
6473.2Kent St.MAC0.55530.50111583-021-80-11-13-36-310-19-28831875-1.8-0.1
6775.9ToledoMAC0.55390.51701181-219-110-20-12-26-310-27-59016078-2.1-0.1
144145.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.51300.44963132-118-90-00-11-22-215-35-4106120148-3.0-0.1
127130.3Florida St.ACC0.52070.5587421-215-161-61-32-36-35-18-5147102134-3.7-0.1
8996.8WashingtonP120.54080.5426782-016-121-32-33-33-27-18-2107245101-4.2-0.1
6574.9ColoradoP120.55520.5460692-117-111-32-33-35-26-17-37412179-4.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
251247.7IdahoBSky0.45900.44783161-113-140-00-00-13-510-84-5236322254-6.3-0.1
263257.0DrexelCAA0.45380.50641440-49-180-10-11-44-84-52-731181264-7.0-0.2
193193.8East Tennessee St.SC0.48760.46622551-114-130-10-10-22-411-63-617667202-8.2-0.2
116122.0Penn St.B100.52550.5565493-114-161-41-42-44-36-18-4132216131-9.0-0.2
172169.0BryantNEC0.50060.47452321-116-130-10-11-22-413-64-713953181-12.0-0.3
278268.2MaristMAAC0.44710.47752210-210-180-00-01-33-96-62-6320312280-11.8-0.3
8186.0YaleIvy0.54720.49951612-118-110-20-11-24-312-38-7536696-10.0-0.3
200207.8Saint Joseph'sA100.48070.51851162-211-190-30-31-44-55-46-6199224220-12.2-0.3
328311.7LibertyBSth0.41630.44123311-29-170-00-00-12-77-93-5346348321-9.3-0.3
273264.9HartfordAE0.44870.45742813-112-160-10-10-32-510-75-7228217277-12.1-0.3
147149.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51150.45482900-116-90-00-11-24-311-33-4178294163-14.0-0.3
146147.4MonmouthMAAC0.51210.48252032-118-130-10-11-25-511-46-5146208161-13.6-0.3
329313.4PennIvy0.41620.47192400-37-210-00-10-41-75-93-11338280322-8.6-0.3
106112.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53090.47962120-218-90-20-11-14-213-34-511422126-13.2-0.3
7684.0NebraskaB100.54900.5675202-115-131-42-33-34-25-07-310322898-14.0-0.4
227228.5USCP120.46930.5507612-28-210-40-41-52-64-25-6261215242-13.5-0.4
194195.5Air ForceMWC0.48680.50371501-112-150-10-21-43-57-26-3206336214-18.5-0.4
145145.2SienaMAAC0.51260.48032091-217-120-00-11-26-510-45-4161234162-16.8-0.4
311299.8Saint Peter'sMAAC0.42660.47402340-48-220-00-10-33-95-83-7337326313-13.2-0.4
302291.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43250.46402620-29-170-00-10-31-67-82-8315185307-15.8-0.4
211217.3RadfordBSth0.47550.46662541-213-140-00-11-23-59-53-6250252238-20.7-0.4
276267.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44740.48541970-39-170-10-10-23-75-62-8290170287-19.3-0.5
229228.8South DakotaSum0.46900.47612260-412-170-10-10-23-79-65-8252248250-21.2-0.5
323309.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.41950.43433381-19-180-00-10-31-58-104-7295346324-14.9-0.5
252247.6USC UpstateASun0.45860.44093322-014-130-00-10-22-412-66-7237286270-22.4-0.5
122127.4College of CharlestonCAA0.52280.50701411-317-130-20-21-35-310-25-715668147-19.6-0.5
240236.4BucknellPat0.46510.49931621-310-190-00-11-44-86-53-8255132259-22.6-0.5
216218.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.47430.45053100-214-130-00-10-22-412-54-5223246244-25.2-0.5
280270.3Tennessee TechOVC0.44580.46022731-110-170-00-10-32-68-84-7280315293-22.7-0.5
3542.8DaytonA100.58050.5450722-120-91-22-24-27-26-18-3323956-13.2-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
195198.2Texas St.SB0.48560.47932142-113-130-10-00-23-59-53-3130156225-26.8-0.6
1725.6StanfordP120.59960.5624323-121-92-43-24-25-17-09-3171835-9.4-0.6
334319.4Idaho St.BSky0.41010.45123050-38-200-00-00-21-76-102-8336282334-14.6-0.6
245241.8HamptonMEAC0.46220.42863451-315-140-10-10-11-313-85-8221288269-27.2-0.6
199206.6ColgatePat0.48110.49321731-212-180-10-11-44-78-54-8200173235-28.4-0.6
1321.9VCUA100.60500.5633303-022-81-23-26-27-25-09-311832-10.1-0.7
91100.7AkronMAC0.53810.51161272-118-110-11-13-36-49-18-3143283127-26.3-0.7
284272.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.44450.47162421-210-190-00-11-33-87-74-9278256299-26.8-0.7
214217.6Utah ValleyWAC0.47480.45512892-113-140-10-10-22-311-76-7195285249-31.4-0.7
279269.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44640.45532881-211-160-10-10-32-59-64-7288251297-27.7-0.7
243240.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.46310.45292961-213-150-10-10-12-411-73-920797272-31.4-0.7
3950.9MassachusettsA100.57330.5611383-119-121-21-34-39-34-18-521572-21.1-0.8
128131.0Georgia St.SB0.52070.48971840-217-130-00-11-35-511-44-6135104165-34.0-0.8
344328.2The CitadelSC0.40020.44333260-27-190-00-10-21-57-111-6344267346-17.8-0.8
320306.5Austin PeayOVC0.42040.45392920-38-190-00-10-21-57-102-9332277333-26.5-0.8
159158.9AlbanyAE0.50580.45103071-218-110-10-11-23-414-47-6172261193-34.1-0.9
235232.5LehighPat0.46690.49581700-310-180-00-11-44-86-53-7256154271-38.5-0.9
8287.2New Mexico St.WAC0.54630.50151571-319-100-20-11-24-213-28-78025119-31.8-0.9
321307.6UC RiversideBW0.42030.46982490-28-200-10-10-31-66-94-8318275335-27.4-0.9
4254.5CincinnatiAmer0.57000.5588412-019-112-41-22-27-27-18-4421281-26.5-0.9
5667.0GeorgiaSEC0.56060.5600402-117-121-31-24-46-35-18-3586097-30.0-0.9
339322.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40590.44273280-28-190-00-00-21-67-112-7331263345-22.4-0.9
257253.8PrincetonIvy0.45540.47462311-311-160-00-11-42-58-65-8272244294-40.2-0.9
120127.8Western MichiganMAC0.52360.50611452-014-120-01-12-44-47-25-3137290171-43.2-0.9
164163.7TennesseeSEC0.50350.5480651-112-160-31-32-54-44-16-4184146205-41.3-0.9
3239.4OregonP120.58420.5491643-021-81-22-25-27-16-09-2225562-22.6-1.0
23.6KentuckySEC0.65260.588134-027-44-24-17-18-13-011-2137-3.4-1.0
130136.3Morehead St.OVC0.51800.47702241-317-120-10-21-33-413-36-7136166176-39.7-1.0
7783.4South CarolinaSEC0.54900.5627312-215-131-42-33-45-24-06-4131115118-34.6-1.0
2231.7ArkansasSEC0.59250.5466673-023-81-22-25-29-26-011-2197852-20.3-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8689.9Arizona St.P120.54490.5534583-017-131-42-43-35-26-19-3104193129-39.1-1.0
259255.2TulaneAmer0.45480.50881351-110-190-30-21-43-76-36-5317344296-40.8-1.1
3646.1MichiganB100.57800.5682182-018-102-43-33-25-15-08-2519476-29.9-1.1
9099.4MissouriSEC0.53920.5691132-114-151-52-33-35-34-16-511749141-41.6-1.1
156158.5VermontAE0.50600.46992481-217-110-00-11-24-412-45-7148116208-49.5-1.1
310298.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42720.44673180-310-190-10-10-21-58-102-9304153339-40.1-1.2
241237.8Miami OHMAC0.46420.52121102-110-190-10-21-63-85-35-6268198286-48.2-1.2
135141.3CanisiusMAAC0.51540.49631662-116-130-00-12-36-69-35-49471194-52.7-1.2
215218.1Weber St.BSky0.47470.47292360-313-130-10-10-23-59-42-623941275-56.9-1.2
133139.0DetroitHorz0.51630.50211541-215-130-10-21-35-49-36-611240196-57.0-1.2
109116.1St. John'sBE0.52910.5500632-015-141-42-33-44-26-17-4144148169-52.9-1.3
287274.1BradleyMVC0.44370.51171250-28-200-20-21-42-85-53-7325205320-45.9-1.3
309297.9Tennessee St.OVC0.42790.46982500-18-200-10-10-31-86-83-9321269342-44.1-1.3
242238.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46390.49481720-110-170-20-21-32-57-44-5262334298-59.2-1.3
141144.6UT ArlingtonSB0.51350.48551963-117-120-20-01-24-512-45-4102119199-54.4-1.3
331312.6StetsonASun0.41580.44423250-29-180-00-10-31-68-93-10328299351-38.4-1.3
299286.8Western IllinoisSum0.43560.47602271-28-170-00-00-23-85-73-6314253340-53.2-1.4
119124.2DenverSum0.52440.49631671-118-110-10-21-25-411-37-611170186-61.8-1.4
814.7VirginiaACC0.61700.5684154-022-73-42-14-17-16-010-195930-15.3-1.4
248243.2TroySB0.46130.46332640-212-150-00-10-23-68-53-4301342310-66.8-1.4
297284.4SouthernSWAC0.43720.44073330-311-170-10-20-30-310-91-927033338-53.6-1.4
136141.9Southern MissCUSA0.51530.50461491-114-130-00-21-45-48-35-4142203211-69.1-1.5
290274.9New HampshireAE0.44250.44503230-211-160-00-00-22-79-74-7307316336-61.1-1.5
113121.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.52660.48222041-116-100-00-01-16-410-33-373109184-63.0-1.5
303292.6CampbellBSth0.43190.47112450-28-200-00-10-32-86-82-8324281347-54.4-1.6
1524.3San Diego St.MWC0.60140.5324933-023-51-02-15-28-27-08-22311051-26.7-1.6
5564.5PurdueB100.56240.5611373-018-111-32-34-35-25-09-275158117-52.5-1.6
266260.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.45190.45962770-412-190-30-20-30-311-81-1225911325-64.2-1.6
102109.4Stony BrookAE0.53280.47912161-219-100-10-11-25-413-36-79264172-62.6-1.6
125131.5AmericanPat0.52140.49591692-216-140-00-11-45-610-36-6121134203-71.5-1.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1929.6SMUAmer0.59520.5658242-220-91-32-24-27-26-07-4331463-33.4-1.7
187185.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.49230.46152701-216-130-10-10-23-413-65-6170163265-79.8-1.7
234232.6Virginia TechACC0.46730.5370882-110-200-70-31-32-47-27-5285339291-58.4-1.7
99105.0PittsburghACC0.53490.5618332-115-141-61-22-26-44-18-3123147174-69.0-1.8
293278.2DelawareCAA0.44090.48911870-29-200-10-11-33-85-73-8303232348-69.8-1.8
239233.5Ball St.MAC0.46630.50711400-210-180-10-21-43-66-54-6282297316-82.5-1.9
163161.6ManhattanMAAC0.50430.47252381-216-120-00-11-25-610-34-4217325247-85.4-1.9
511.1LouisvilleACC0.62450.579363-024-75-43-14-18-15-012-1126528-16.9-1.9
7078.3ButlerBE0.55280.5382853-018-111-31-23-36-36-08-398249149-70.7-2.0
1218.9Miami FLACC0.60910.5702124-022-83-42-14-17-16-010-273045-26.1-2.0
258254.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45520.48981830-29-180-00-21-43-76-53-6271262343-88.9-2.0
143146.0Missouri St.MVC0.51310.51051321-114-130-20-11-25-57-35-4157186241-95.0-2.0
238233.3North DakotaBSky0.46650.46192680-212-160-10-10-22-510-73-7222171328-94.7-2.0
115122.8San DiegoWCC0.52550.5403822-113-141-41-21-34-46-15-412576209-86.2-2.0
237232.8WagnerNEC0.46680.46342630-213-150-00-10-22-510-73-7214126331-98.2-2.1
137141.4Illinois St.MVC0.51520.51511211-114-130-20-11-25-58-35-4160139236-94.6-2.1
246242.8LipscombASun0.46170.45882780-211-150-10-10-31-310-73-9243184341-98.2-2.1
212217.5UNC AshevilleBSth0.47510.47152441-212-140-00-11-23-68-53-5227236317-99.5-2.1
154157.1AuburnSEC0.50630.5554522-112-170-31-32-55-53-16-514199252-94.9-2.2
4858.2MemphisAmer0.56700.5451710-119-101-41-12-25-29-18-38172124-65.8-2.2
250246.0South AlabamaSB0.45980.47952130-211-180-10-10-23-88-63-6276211344-98.0-2.2
3745.1CaliforniaP120.57780.5457703-122-92-42-24-25-19-110-34810899-53.9-2.2
256250.7Arkansas St.SB0.45690.46462590-112-160-00-11-24-78-63-5313337350-99.3-2.3
190190.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.48910.46492580-113-120-10-11-22-311-42-51749303-112.1-2.3
150152.9PepperdineWCC0.50900.51161282-014-140-31-21-34-38-27-3153308256-103.1-2.3
149152.7PortlandWCC0.50910.50871362-014-140-31-21-25-58-27-3151323257-104.3-2.3
207210.4Fresno St.MWC0.47880.5279970-29-180-20-22-53-74-33-6248182318-107.6-2.4
167166.2Cleveland St.Horz0.50240.50171561-214-150-20-11-34-59-45-814057281-114.8-2.4
8792.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54390.47892192-119-90-10-11-24-314-35-55946177-85.0-2.4
138143.4St. BonaventureA100.51420.51461222-115-140-21-32-44-48-27-4171321248-104.6-2.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
192192.3RiderMAAC0.48820.47442332-115-140-10-11-24-510-55-4191295304-111.7-2.5
198203.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47912170-213-140-00-01-24-78-52-5232196327-123.9-2.5
2936.7Notre DameACC0.58610.5427764-023-83-42-13-16-19-012-15026491-54.3-2.6
201207.4Cal PolyBW0.48050.50371511-110-160-10-21-32-66-42-818728337-129.6-2.6
4154.1GeorgetownBE0.57110.5684163-017-101-32-23-36-24-07-23624138-83.9-2.7
183179.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.49540.5272991-212-160-10-21-53-56-24-619752302-122.7-2.7
202207.5FIUCUSA0.48030.48112071-013-160-10-11-33-69-56-5164292329-121.5-2.7
191191.5UABCUSA0.48890.52101110-212-160-20-11-34-66-34-621145311-119.5-2.7
6373.0BelmontOVC0.55620.48452012-121-70-10-12-26-313-28-43774157-84.0-2.7
228228.1East CarolinaAmer0.46900.52511020-19-180-30-21-43-65-34-5284310349-120.9-2.8
196198.7UCFAmer0.48470.50811381-013-150-20-21-34-58-37-3224332330-131.3-2.8
6169.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55790.49571713-121-90-11-12-27-311-19-369240155-85.1-2.9
5462.9MinnesotaB100.56300.5552542-118-111-42-23-36-26-09-276247154-91.1-2.9
105112.4New MexicoMWC0.53140.51371233-117-120-11-23-35-48-18-3145304234-121.6-2.9
178172.6South Dakota St.Sum0.49850.49231781-214-140-10-11-34-59-55-7163103314-141.4-2.9
126131.0UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52110.50281530-215-110-10-11-24-49-34-612717274-143.0-3.0
186181.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49380.50771391-113-160-00-21-44-67-35-6190130332-150.1-3.3
160158.3DuquesneA100.50570.50591461-015-130-21-32-43-39-18-2193349306-147.7-3.3
5060.5Iowa St.B120.56560.5577442-018-112-42-23-25-26-09-278210167-106.5-3.4
6068.8VillanovaBE0.55870.5336913-020-102-32-23-36-27-09-395260180-111.2-3.4
6272.4Colorado St.MWC0.55710.5371872-017-110-11-13-37-46-17-33031195-122.6-3.4
8896.1San FranciscoWCC0.54100.52011131-017-101-31-12-26-38-17-293233239-142.9-3.5
95105.2DavidsonA100.53610.5394841-115-131-41-32-24-36-16-4113142251-145.8-3.6
3138.6IowaB100.58420.5713102-220-112-53-24-25-16-09-46787120-81.4-3.7
140143.7VanderbiltSEC0.51350.5423791-014-151-31-33-54-35-17-4149162312-168.3-3.8
5767.9IndianaB100.55960.5573464-019-122-43-34-34-27-011-272164190-122.1-3.8
8389.4Kansas St.B120.54540.5575452-116-132-42-33-34-25-08-3129231237-147.6-3.9
2029.5BaylorB120.59490.5689143-020-92-32-25-26-25-09-224101106-76.5-3.9
611.8North CarolinaACC0.62400.589223-021-84-52-14-17-14-09-2103850-38.2-3.9
1828.6ProvidenceBE0.59630.5675194-022-92-32-25-28-24-010-32019103-74.4-3.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
129131.8ColumbiaIvy0.52070.49051821-117-100-20-11-23-212-38-511891326-194.2-4.3
104110.8ClemsonACC0.53210.5572472-215-141-51-22-36-34-17-4179190276-165.2-4.3
6876.9HarvardIvy0.55390.50491481-118-80-11-12-24-310-27-55621230-153.1-4.4
4961.4OklahomaB120.56580.5674211-116-122-42-23-36-34-07-389159210-148.6-4.5
7884.3Oklahoma St.B120.54870.5659233-015-131-42-33-35-34-07-391174263-178.7-4.7
714.6XavierBE0.61760.5652273-022-71-13-17-29-23-09-262673-58.4-4.9
101109.1TulsaAmer0.53300.5405812-115-131-31-22-26-46-26-4128107315-205.9-4.9
4557.0UCLAP120.56820.5610393-018-112-42-33-24-16-08-37079207-150.0-5.0
2634.2SyracuseACC0.58890.5656263-121-103-42-24-27-16-010-32663136-101.8-5.0
4355.9Northern IowaMVC0.56880.51641204-021-81-21-12-17-210-18-33492219-163.1-6.0
46.6TexasB120.63870.578274-025-64-34-15-17-15-011-243542-35.4-6.0
4757.7MarylandB100.56750.5563503-019-111-32-33-37-26-010-249131243-185.3-6.1
3849.5Texas A&MSEC0.57440.5561512-119-101-32-24-37-25-08-33973221-171.5-6.3
7582.3MississippiSEC0.54970.5539572-117-131-32-33-36-35-18-486124323-240.7-6.9
3442.0IllinoisB100.58150.5585433-020-101-33-34-26-16-010-245151218-176.0-7.0
1424.4KansasB120.60250.603011-118-112-43-25-37-21-07-4142156-131.6-7.1
2130.7Michigan St.B100.59320.5542562-121-81-33-24-26-17-09-260235175-144.3-7.5
1116.8Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5310942-023-40-02-15-18-17-07-2310115-98.2-8.2
2434.5UtahP120.58940.5544552-120-92-32-24-25-17-08-32751227-192.5-8.8
36.2WisconsinB100.63920.5683174-025-42-14-16-17-15-010-186170-63.8-12.1
12.5DukeACC0.65900.587545-027-46-34-15-07-05-012-121634-31.5-13.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com