live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 20, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
351349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.34550.43193360-72-240-10-20-30-42-140-8290725594.334.7
349347.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35720.41483481-105-260-10-10-20-65-161-1232924030344.09.5
348341.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.37470.45572971-64-230-00-10-40-54-131-833527129546.45.9
310298.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42670.42763412-912-190-00-10-31-611-92-11248129194104.04.1
291279.6NiagaraMAAC0.43970.49311701-79-200-10-20-32-87-71-828245175104.63.4
239235.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46460.47332313-612-170-10-20-22-59-74-7165111116119.73.1
319311.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.41650.45842854-88-210-00-20-31-87-85-1027826225457.43.0
341335.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.38390.41203490-77-190-00-10-20-47-110-833613629837.92.9
277268.0North DakotaBSky0.44670.47682242-69-190-20-10-21-68-82-818151166102.02.9
301286.8Loyola MDPat0.43490.48951793-68-210-00-11-43-104-63-825217521175.82.7
267259.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45100.46372673-511-170-00-10-23-68-73-7210174155104.62.7
317309.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41810.49641632-96-230-10-20-51-94-72-1131518525653.22.7
339334.0Coppin St.MEAC0.38900.47612270-94-240-00-20-40-84-100-122941030628.02.5
255250.0McNeese St.Slnd0.45630.46042801-411-140-10-10-41-39-51-62088146104.02.5
340333.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.38870.45952820-64-210-10-00-30-64-100-732613430132.32.3
9597.8Penn St.B100.53940.54476811-117-140-41-32-46-27-012-1582803562.82.3
327319.3Savannah St.MEAC0.40680.44753152-98-200-10-10-21-56-102-102778527445.32.3
131132.3High PointBSth0.52010.47042446-317-100-10-01-15-511-36-3461515577.32.2
261257.2FordhamA100.45320.5293942-58-200-20-31-63-54-44-626718918869.22.1
278267.7Portland St.BSky0.44660.44733184-411-150-00-10-22-59-74-420333519275.72.1
130131.8TennesseeSEC0.52010.5568455-414-160-41-42-45-35-17-5118806467.82.0
251249.1BucknellPat0.45790.48661854-611-190-10-00-44-107-44-822619717970.12.0
104104.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.53560.44183274-118-60-00-11-22-115-24-2311574856.92.0
6069.7LSUSEC0.55880.5412758-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2451401851.72.0
234231.0New OrleansSlnd0.46710.45043121-411-130-00-10-41-310-51-51642414784.01.9
140142.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.51410.42373445-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61241459448.91.9
1517.1VCUA100.61730.5716228-323-81-32-26-28-15-010-372314.11.9
1719.1Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5253997-123-41-22-14-16-110-18-11038415.11.8
8993.1MassachusettsA100.54300.5501586-516-150-21-33-67-36-17-672123756.11.8
194199.6UMass LowellAE0.48390.45632935-514-140-10-00-14-610-56-613820013465.61.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
163166.3Gardner WebbBSth0.50140.48941803-514-130-10-20-25-49-43-6152639769.31.7
292280.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.43900.45123103-810-180-10-10-21-79-82-102287622654.61.7
169172.3RutgersB100.49790.5668316-510-210-40-42-64-54-17-61355512745.31.7
141143.8Murray St.OVC0.51350.46632606-418-100-10-02-14-312-47-51331968954.81.6
174177.6RadfordBSth0.49490.45253075-416-120-00-10-24-512-46-412822211463.61.6
241237.1DrexelCAA0.46400.50791332-710-180-00-21-54-85-22-827510217760.11.6
4653.0Green BayHorz0.57160.49691626-221-60-11-13-25-211-19-222791736.01.6
3843.7Old DominionCUSA0.57980.50011579-125-51-01-04-28-211-111-119731528.71.6
345341.5PresbyterianBSth0.37590.47622260-82-250-10-00-21-92-120-933212633110.51.5
8185.6CharlotteCUSA0.54770.51021256-520-110-11-32-36-211-27-679564639.61.5
7680.2Georgia TechACC0.55140.5688268-216-141-51-23-37-44-19-348653941.21.5
274266.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44820.46682583-712-180-10-10-22-69-84-824317021749.71.5
139142.3UNLVMWC0.51410.5334876-315-150-41-32-44-38-27-593289349.31.4
2633.0Colorado St.MWC0.59170.524710010-023-70-12-15-27-29-111-15471122.01.4
9095.9LafayettePat0.54120.48331996-319-90-20-01-27-412-27-3601665144.91.4
7076.4George WashingtonA100.55400.51391146-319-101-31-23-25-29-18-31112813640.41.4
313304.1SouthernSWAC0.42210.43873310-910-190-20-10-20-59-90-113003027133.11.4
7983.8Illinois St.MVC0.54890.5294926-418-111-31-21-14-311-27-474484736.81.4
6169.7DaytonA100.55870.51371158-221-90-11-24-37-29-19-3531463336.71.3
113113.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.53100.50501424-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-562816647.71.3
275267.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.44740.46872544-711-180-00-11-43-77-75-825430422443.31.3
346340.9Chicago St.WAC0.37580.46262710-103-250-00-10-30-63-130-1433014933010.91.3
121124.8St. Francis PANEC0.52420.46002815-418-100-10-00-14-314-46-4821698242.81.3
165169.9Saint Joseph'sA100.49910.52131026-413-170-30-22-44-47-37-513919212544.91.3
184188.5USCP120.48970.5473656-411-190-31-32-54-64-17-519321914840.51.3
103103.9TempleAmer0.53590.5328897-417-140-41-13-35-48-28-595746340.91.3
1925.6Northern IowaMVC0.60110.519010510-125-51-21-14-17-112-111-113861213.61.3
244243.1Delaware St.MEAC0.46100.43183374-714-150-00-10-22-412-84-918022620043.11.2
170174.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.49740.45612942-816-150-31-20-21-415-43-10146613539.61.2
56.8KansasB120.64880.630219-122-95-64-15-16-11-012-12115.81.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5359.8Rhode IslandA100.56590.50991266-321-71-21-13-37-19-17-31031943227.81.2
7277.7RichmondA100.55340.5496606-418-131-31-33-37-37-18-564584235.71.2
1414.8VillanovaBE0.62300.55155411-026-53-24-26-17-16-013-01618068.81.2
287273.2Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44320.44073293-611-160-10-00-11-410-104-923323523241.21.1
225226.2Mississippi St.SEC0.47010.52051034-511-190-20-31-54-76-26-626229718739.21.1
262257.7FairfieldMAAC0.45300.48541904-611-190-10-00-32-89-73-725911522136.71.1
147148.5Holy CrossPat0.51100.49501664-315-120-00-01-35-68-34-51098410543.51.1
5666.5Georgia St.SB0.56100.48981775-322-80-11-21-15-215-26-4471194026.51.1
268261.5Appalachian St.SB0.45090.47912133-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-622524722338.51.1
111111.3Wright St.Horz0.53190.50371466-416-120-10-12-36-49-37-565717833.31.0
4753.8HarvardIvy0.57150.50721386-119-70-10-02-17-39-19-3401072924.81.0
195199.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48390.48621865-514-160-10-11-34-710-46-617120116237.71.0
205206.0PacificWCC0.48030.51321175-410-170-30-21-32-67-25-417026817135.01.0
3541.7ArkansasSEC0.58240.5355828-222-91-22-24-27-28-111-2301372219.71.0
112112.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.53120.46942494-419-80-11-11-23-314-26-51101658527.31.0
5765.9WoffordSC0.56060.47782227-222-70-21-02-13-116-27-426424520.91.0
300287.8UNC GreensboroSC0.43490.46242742-810-180-10-10-31-58-91-932023026225.80.9
120123.6NortheasternCAA0.52480.48551887-319-120-00-12-47-510-28-51072389231.60.9
138141.9UT ArlingtonSB0.51470.49121745-416-130-20-11-14-312-55-4769610833.90.9
8690.0AlabamaSEC0.54490.5593426-316-140-51-33-37-26-08-4811216030.00.9
4954.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56930.48541896-421-70-10-11-15-215-26-421153816.80.9
290279.1FurmanSC0.43970.48212042-79-180-10-10-31-57-81-82864024930.10.9
312302.9Montana St.BSky0.42260.48302012-88-210-10-10-32-66-102-929310128121.90.9
3341.1BuffaloMAC0.58300.5266977-221-90-20-03-29-39-19-324942516.10.9
156157.1NorthwesternB100.50590.5508567-413-180-51-52-55-36-09-415522813126.10.9
220220.1TowsonCAA0.47290.46452656-414-160-00-11-54-710-37-518733818931.10.9
326319.5LongwoodBSth0.40750.45762892-87-220-00-10-22-96-92-931625230415.50.9
4551.6BYUWCC0.57240.5404787-320-90-30-13-28-37-18-343203417.60.8
305288.7Grand CanyonWAC0.43370.44623194-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927120626622.70.8
2938.0Seton HallBE0.58690.5559469-120-101-43-34-26-16-010-2281792315.00.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
144147.2LehighPat0.51160.49411674-515-130-10-01-26-68-35-513211412027.20.8
1011.4GonzagaWCC0.63070.53338810-127-31-12-05-111-18-011-163983.40.8
6470.4SyracuseACC0.55820.5634366-418-131-61-23-28-35-09-4102875020.40.8
182185.7Florida St.ACC0.49100.5371806-513-180-41-31-45-56-18-521824616025.70.8
107108.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.53420.48581876-218-90-00-11-36-310-17-21003278127.40.8
125129.4UC DavisBW0.52160.45532997-118-90-00-01-24-313-49-29133110227.40.8
308291.9Utah ValleyWAC0.43060.43713333-710-170-10-10-10-310-104-925825727021.90.7
273265.0Sacramento St.BSky0.44840.45383043-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-524731123728.00.7
166171.0PortlandWCC0.49880.49721617-314-140-20-11-34-69-27-316733314526.00.7
203204.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.48140.47122383-413-130-00-11-23-69-43-51689817331.00.7
219220.9Santa ClaraWCC0.47330.51531114-510-180-20-21-44-76-25-522725019624.90.7
116115.8BelmontOVC0.52920.48192057-418-100-10-10-25-313-27-577919520.80.7
6670.6UTEPCUSA0.55770.50671416-421-81-21-12-16-312-27-452145317.60.7
150150.1MichiganB100.50970.5652335-512-170-61-43-44-33-16-51729712822.10.7
159164.5FIUCUSA0.50240.48351974-515-140-10-11-24-59-55-613722313925.50.7
189192.3Utah St.MWC0.48770.49261716-514-150-11-32-43-59-36-518825816824.30.7
247247.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45880.44343245-814-170-20-10-11-613-85-1020719022522.50.7
3441.5St. John'sBE0.58290.5754178-120-102-53-24-25-15-010-233442813.50.7
318308.9Southern UtahBSky0.41680.45143091-68-190-00-10-21-67-102-730325329315.90.7
242238.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46390.46992474-612-150-00-00-22-89-54-722021221325.00.6
8286.1Long Beach St.BW0.54760.5416744-715-151-41-31-44-28-24-107036719.10.6
224223.9Youngstown St.Horz0.47130.48102065-612-160-00-11-52-69-46-620025420122.90.6
128130.7Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52080.43963304-318-80-00-00-15-313-35-313632311020.70.6
101103.1AmericanPat0.53680.48511917-419-110-00-11-37-611-27-5661688419.10.6
5159.0IllinoisB100.56680.5425719-320-111-31-34-37-27-010-3691844415.00.6
199201.4IdahoBSky0.48290.46112793-514-130-00-11-13-310-73-621522517625.40.6
142144.1Western KentuckyCUSA0.51340.51411135-514-140-10-22-34-58-25-51427812222.10.6
167171.1AuburnSEC0.49840.5487625-512-181-21-32-64-64-16-615311315021.10.6
266262.7Saint LouisA100.45100.50771356-410-200-30-31-52-57-47-526130524715.70.6
2735.4San Diego St.MWC0.58910.5420738-322-81-22-24-26-19-19-32932269.40.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212212.2Missouri St.MVC0.47700.51691073-610-180-30-21-42-48-44-624618719121.20.6
282271.8VMISC0.44420.45942843-611-160-10-10-31-49-71-731017325219.80.6
177181.2MissouriSEC0.49320.5716234-610-200-51-52-53-34-25-71862316318.20.6
207210.5Cal PolyBW0.47860.48481953-511-150-10-11-33-46-64-618319918624.50.6
5564.0ProvidenceBE0.56320.5703259-318-131-53-34-25-24-19-454774915.00.6
216216.7HawaiiBW0.47480.46632616-315-120-00-11-33-510-37-419629119521.70.5
136139.5Georgia SouthernSB0.51600.46852554-216-100-00-11-25-311-44-212031311821.50.5
153153.3Boston CollegeACC0.50760.5571446-313-170-51-42-44-45-18-415719113617.30.5
217216.9Northern KentuckyASun0.47470.48302023-612-150-20-10-23-69-44-91849019719.90.5
332327.9UMBCAE0.39730.44743172-97-220-00-10-21-96-103-103273023216.90.5
188192.6RiderMAAC0.48770.46642596-617-140-10-10-24-412-66-517926117418.60.5
303288.4DrakeMVC0.43470.5265982-96-230-30-30-51-74-62-930813327711.40.5
99101.2MississippiSEC0.53770.5501577-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-4941288714.20.5
145147.7Sacred HeartNEC0.51130.47132375-418-120-10-01-15-413-57-511411813017.70.5
96100.7MarquetteBE0.53860.5730206-415-151-62-43-25-24-18-4106758614.70.5
115115.2PittsburghACC0.52940.5499597-316-151-51-32-36-36-19-411719310015.20.5
123127.0CanisiusMAAC0.52290.48491945-418-110-00-11-26-411-35-41256611116.00.5
8386.0ValparaisoHorz0.54730.47922119-220-80-00-12-28-311-210-2552217412.00.4
337332.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.39000.42173460-87-200-10-10-20-47-120-9325823266.40.4
160165.4MontanaBSky0.50190.48511922-614-130-10-30-22-211-53-61693614916.40.4
350349.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34610.42343450-103-260-00-00-20-83-151-123502833481.10.4
2430.0WashingtonP120.59610.54696610-023-72-23-15-26-26-012-018167246.00.4
171175.5North Dakota St.Sum0.49630.47072395-414-120-10-00-14-510-45-515623715916.50.4
108108.5TulsaAmer0.53360.5278966-416-130-31-22-36-37-27-41291309612.50.4
7579.8YaleIvy0.55190.51071238-418-110-01-22-26-49-39-649112709.80.4
9498.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53990.47882147-219-80-10-12-26-311-18-567708810.10.4
4148.8MarylandB100.57580.55115510-121-101-42-23-38-16-011-236135417.80.4
6571.4Texas A&MSEC0.55790.5483637-318-120-31-34-38-36-09-35683629.40.3
152153.5AkronMAC0.50780.49951586-417-130-01-22-45-59-28-419030014112.50.3
161165.3USC UpstateASun0.50180.43783327-418-90-00-11-23-314-38-516231815411.30.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
259253.0UCFAmer0.45560.51091205-410-180-20-21-44-65-56-424926524211.00.3
248246.7North TexasCUSA0.45880.50251503-410-180-10-31-52-58-44-624516423511.70.3
260252.6LamarSlnd0.45540.47812191-69-170-10-20-41-48-62-623913124111.60.3
186191.7George MasonA100.48800.5621393-69-200-50-42-52-54-23-8201111847.70.2
1314.7ArizonaP120.62340.55365012-026-52-23-15-110-16-013-014154131.70.2
221221.6ChattanoogaSC0.47210.46802574-614-150-10-11-22-312-74-72361472147.60.2
198200.7Tennessee TechOVC0.48340.47002464-514-140-00-00-24-79-55-71782101937.70.2
338333.7MaristMAAC0.38970.46912521-105-250-00-00-21-104-121-93412843321.70.2
243242.0Weber St.BSky0.46160.47062423-512-150-10-20-32-410-53-62401322366.00.2
283272.4UTSACUSA0.44380.47152353-510-170-00-11-32-57-73-62833212693.40.1
206208.3BryantNEC0.47950.48042082-513-160-00-10-24-69-63-8192612044.30.1
146147.4James MadisonCAA0.51130.51061247-417-140-20-12-37-58-38-5104521443.40.1
329323.2MaineAE0.40320.47042431-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-113191603221.20.1
129131.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52040.49611656-216-110-30-21-22-212-26-31503171292.40.1
270262.1BradleyMVC0.45060.50351473-610-190-30-21-42-57-64-73132872602.10.1
179183.1ElonCAA0.49210.47812184-515-140-10-01-34-79-26-51953061812.10.1
185191.5AlbanyAE0.48810.45433004-616-130-00-01-14-711-56-71742331901.50.0
257252.3Western CarolinaSC0.45590.46242732-812-170-00-10-41-510-73-82662172511.30.0
315305.7Morgan St.MEAC0.42060.43353352-1011-190-10-00-11-69-113-113092663050.70.0
289276.8UMKCWAC0.44120.44083282-812-170-00-00-22-59-104-112842602760.80.0
162165.7ClemsonACC0.50150.5435706-413-170-51-32-34-45-28-41972671650.70.0
236234.3OaklandHorz0.46630.51331163-89-200-20-31-52-75-43-10222622340.30.0
330328.0San Jose St.MWC0.39910.50961290-92-260-20-30-41-91-80-103482433280.00.0
213215.6HartfordAE0.47550.46262725-514-140-00-10-25-79-46-6161155216-0.4-0.0
2329.8Oklahoma St.B120.59750.590268-118-114-62-23-15-14-010-12515030-0.2-0.0
2530.7Iowa St.B120.59520.5822119-120-104-63-24-23-06-010-24118831-0.3-0.0
250249.3BrownIvy0.45800.50091524-610-190-00-21-43-75-66-9235203250-0.7-0.0
343338.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37950.40383502-99-200-00-00-00-78-133-10345339339-0.4-0.0
4451.1Boise St.MWC0.57320.51081227-220-80-21-22-26-210-18-23817852-0.9-0.0
164167.5DetroitHorz0.50070.50321484-614-150-10-22-44-58-35-8166106169-1.5-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
245243.7MercerSC0.46070.46552624-513-160-10-20-31-411-63-8264177246-2.3-0.1
66.7VirginiaACC0.64750.57351810-026-44-23-15-110-04-012-04337-0.3-0.1
176179.8New HampshireAE0.49420.44353234-416-110-00-00-15-711-36-5163277183-3.2-0.1
151153.3North FloridaASun0.50840.45832875-516-120-10-11-23-412-36-8149242156-2.7-0.1
6369.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55840.47782216-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-35710972-2.6-0.1
149148.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.51080.44373226-317-100-00-10-23-314-37-4140332153-4.6-0.1
298284.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43620.43393340-1011-180-20-10-31-411-80-1130554289-4.1-0.1
6973.2EvansvilleMVC0.55590.50501437-221-81-21-12-15-213-19-27522077-3.8-0.2
256251.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.45600.47022451-510-150-10-20-41-48-51-625517258-6.3-0.2
1824.9OklahomaB120.60410.599847-319-114-72-23-15-14-09-3446827-2.1-0.2
1619.3West VirginiaB120.61320.5889710-122-94-53-24-26-14-012-12011721-1.7-0.2
172175.0DenverSum0.49620.48312005-616-130-10-10-24-512-36-7189159182-7.0-0.2
98101.4NebraskaB100.53770.5806146-313-150-41-43-55-33-07-39895107-5.6-0.2
347341.7BinghamtonAE0.37470.46532630-113-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346216343-1.3-0.2
202202.8Boston UniversityPat0.48230.50481453-712-160-10-11-34-77-43-720249210-7.2-0.2
24.4DukeACC0.65760.58121210-027-44-24-17-18-05-013-03225-0.6-0.2
9397.7Bowling GreenMAC0.54020.48741826-219-90-01-12-27-410-28-297312104-6.3-0.2
117117.4Kansas St.B120.52790.588087-412-192-102-32-32-25-08-5130156123-5.6-0.2
4854.3GeorgiaSEC0.57130.5707245-318-121-42-33-38-24-08-4513459-4.7-0.2
77.9LouisvilleACC0.64340.58071310-026-55-33-15-19-05-012-112579-1.1-0.2
193197.3DePaulBE0.48490.5488616-410-191-51-52-61-45-06-5231301205-7.7-0.2
307292.7Jackson St.SWAC0.43100.41693472-1013-180-00-10-21-613-82-11304213299-6.3-0.2
124128.3Oregon St.P120.52230.51911047-216-131-41-22-35-37-18-3173334138-9.7-0.3
110110.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.53260.5293935-316-120-20-22-28-36-27-311289119-9.0-0.3
333329.4SamfordSC0.39550.43033394-89-210-00-10-31-58-125-7314346333-3.6-0.3
229227.8Alabama St.SWAC0.46890.40053512-416-90-10-10-11-115-52-5223141238-10.2-0.3
5463.4TCUB120.56350.53658111-021-104-72-22-14-110-013-08934971-7.6-0.3
8488.5Texas TechB120.54610.5642349-117-133-81-21-24-18-011-17131498-9.5-0.3
6270.3StanfordP120.55860.5548486-317-131-52-23-26-26-18-49211679-8.7-0.3
5867.8CincinnatiAmer0.56040.5407767-320-111-21-23-37-38-19-4733776-8.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
214216.3Oral RobertsSum0.47510.47942104-612-160-10-01-15-77-65-7212198230-13.7-0.3
126130.5South Dakota St.Sum0.52090.48272037-317-110-20-10-14-413-47-580142142-11.5-0.3
284273.4HowardMEAC0.44370.42433433-712-160-00-10-11-611-83-9274299285-11.6-0.3
105104.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53550.45642925-420-70-01-11-31-216-15-499105113-8.6-0.3
168172.4MonmouthMAAC0.49820.46282705-518-130-10-11-14-314-65-6238292185-12.6-0.3
114113.1CreightonBE0.53030.5446699-316-152-42-42-44-37-010-3123269124-10.9-0.3
311302.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.42370.44753163-610-180-00-10-31-59-93-7317340310-8.0-0.3
191192.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.48710.47792203-413-140-00-21-33-59-44-5191275208-15.6-0.4
230228.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46870.45383032-814-160-20-10-21-412-73-9237124244-15.2-0.4
279270.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.44580.46422665-511-180-10-00-22-79-76-7194259283-13.0-0.4
6772.3ConnecticutAmer0.55710.5540494-417-130-41-23-46-27-16-61131683-10.7-0.4
100102.8William & MaryCAA0.53760.51311184-315-120-10-22-35-48-14-56825117-14.2-0.4
109109.3La SalleA100.53280.5388796-516-150-31-22-55-39-17-611560121-11.7-0.4
3947.0GeorgetownBE0.57800.587197-317-122-63-34-24-15-08-2421856-9.0-0.4
252248.9UC RiversideBW0.45740.46362684-412-160-10-11-32-410-76-6241324265-16.1-0.4
215216.8NJITind0.47490.46932505-711-140-10-10-22-58-511-14213272233-16.2-0.4
285272.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.44350.45682911-59-150-00-00-31-58-61-5306308288-15.4-0.4
232230.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.46780.47062403-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8234138248-17.8-0.4
269261.2LipscombASun0.45080.46162772-710-160-10-00-32-78-53-9270241278-16.8-0.4
154155.0TulaneAmer0.50720.50301498-116-130-11-22-44-410-28-3143282172-17.0-0.4
296283.0SeattleWAC0.43700.44823143-611-150-10-20-21-410-74-8256161297-14.0-0.5
9195.6IonaMAAC0.54120.47432296-421-100-00-11-26-414-37-484172109-13.4-0.5
4048.0CaliforniaP120.57650.54606710-121-101-52-14-26-28-011-23913958-10.0-0.5
227226.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.46970.45602954-714-160-10-11-22-512-74-8216211245-18.1-0.5
323317.2NavyPat0.41060.48331982-86-230-00-20-42-105-72-9322248325-7.8-0.5
336332.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39110.44323250-127-220-10-10-10-77-110-13331143338-6.0-0.5
238236.3DuquesneA100.46460.51771063-510-180-20-21-62-56-34-6288309253-16.7-0.5
148148.3Cleveland St.Horz0.51090.50901303-614-150-30-11-43-410-35-815869167-18.7-0.5
324318.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.40900.45772882-88-230-00-10-21-77-133-10321270327-8.7-0.5
331325.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39890.45323061-77-180-00-00-21-76-92-7349336335-9.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
178181.5Texas St.SB0.49260.48391963-313-130-10-10-23-410-53-3122148206-24.5-0.5
271263.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.44940.50041543-49-190-00-21-53-76-54-6281310284-20.6-0.6
265260.3South DakotaSum0.45130.46822563-811-180-00-10-33-88-74-9292288280-19.7-0.6
143144.3ArmyPat0.51290.45053117-219-90-10-01-16-412-28-2154345164-19.7-0.6
132134.6Western MichiganMAC0.51880.50751365-415-130-00-12-45-67-26-4160296157-22.4-0.6
344339.4JacksonvilleASun0.37890.44883131-95-230-00-10-21-74-122-12344322345-5.6-0.6
246245.1HoustonAmer0.45990.49221725-312-170-10-31-43-48-57-4265337267-21.9-0.6
1112.1UtahP120.62990.5677298-223-63-33-14-17-16-09-2172616-3.9-0.6
187191.7IPFWSum0.48780.46222764-414-120-00-00-33-511-45-5214303218-26.3-0.6
135138.4Kent St.MAC0.51620.49791606-217-120-10-11-34-411-28-3151289161-22.6-0.6
173177.6CornellIvy0.49540.49351695-414-150-10-21-44-38-58-7175236203-25.4-0.6
190193.6DartmouthIvy0.48740.48491935-513-150-00-11-33-58-67-7199286220-26.4-0.7
309291.4Western IllinoisSum0.43060.47712233-58-170-00-00-23-85-73-6273218313-21.6-0.7
192193.8South FloridaAmer0.48690.52211014-612-180-10-32-53-67-35-7217144219-25.2-0.7
200201.6UC IrvineBW0.48280.47962093-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230245231-29.4-0.7
5968.9ColoradoP120.55980.5622386-316-121-41-22-37-25-07-3889390-21.1-0.7
210211.1SienaMAAC0.47760.46922513-614-150-00-01-24-610-63-6244249239-27.9-0.7
272263.8WinthropBSth0.44910.44243262-612-140-00-00-13-68-72-6312316291-27.2-0.7
4348.9North Carolina St.ACC0.57490.5798159-319-121-62-24-28-24-010-3502765-16.1-0.8
316309.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.41850.49121732-97-230-20-10-41-65-103-11311181324-14.8-0.8
7478.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55250.51531123-518-100-20-12-36-311-15-79613101-22.5-0.8
226226.0CampbellBSth0.46970.47162342-612-160-10-10-13-89-53-7219152259-33.0-0.8
264261.4Fresno St.MWC0.45140.50741373-88-210-20-41-52-55-53-8301273287-25.6-0.8
46.2TexasB120.65080.5993510-125-66-44-16-16-04-012-184310-3.8-0.8
180184.8College of CharlestonCAA0.49160.50701395-614-170-20-21-54-68-25-8182100215-30.2-0.8
304287.3ManhattanMAAC0.43390.45403013-711-180-00-00-22-99-73-6333341314-26.7-0.9
306289.5Southern MissCUSA0.43280.49811593-47-200-00-20-52-55-73-6250153315-25.5-0.9
223222.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.47190.47292334-515-140-00-01-25-68-75-4176171257-34.8-0.9
8085.5ColumbiaIvy0.54840.50691406-318-90-11-13-26-39-39-485127115-29.5-0.9
302285.5WagnerNEC0.43490.47912121-79-190-00-10-32-77-81-928972316-30.5-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.9Washington St.P120.47720.5536514-68-220-50-41-62-55-25-7224209240-28.1-0.9
263260.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.45180.5355832-66-210-30-20-42-83-32-7285108290-29.8-0.9
276269.2Indiana St.MVC0.44720.50801323-79-200-30-30-51-47-74-7302263296-26.8-0.9
342337.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.38320.45393020-95-240-00-00-30-74-130-11347244347-9.9-1.0
320313.1Idaho St.BSky0.41370.45153081-88-200-00-10-21-77-111-9337326334-20.9-1.0
137140.4Stony BrookAE0.51570.49021753-616-130-10-21-35-510-35-814519178-37.6-1.0
106106.6OregonP120.53450.5405777-317-131-41-23-35-46-08-4148186140-33.4-1.0
314303.6Austin PeayOVC0.42190.46352692-78-200-00-10-32-77-93-9318285329-25.4-1.0
9799.8St. BonaventureA100.53850.50031557-219-101-11-23-35-39-29-2121325133-33.2-1.1
197199.5OhioMAC0.48360.5352843-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5232110243-43.5-1.1
11.3KentuckySEC0.68140.58541012-030-15-15-08-08-04-013-0142-0.7-1.1
334331.5DelawareCAA0.39410.50031560-92-270-10-10-51-111-90-11343205342-10.5-1.1
7880.6UCLAP120.55130.5685278-417-141-71-24-35-26-08-58641112-31.4-1.1
321315.6StetsonASun0.41150.45682901-97-200-10-10-21-96-72-11323279337-21.4-1.1
235231.8East CarolinaAmer0.46670.50771343-611-180-20-21-53-56-45-6268264272-40.2-1.1
328323.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.40380.42743422-109-190-00-10-10-49-123-11338328341-18.0-1.1
258253.2St. Francis NYNEC0.45580.46132783-713-170-00-10-23-810-74-8272231294-40.8-1.1
102103.7VanderbiltSEC0.53620.5317906-317-130-31-34-36-36-18-4134229143-39.3-1.2
233231.1MarshallCUSA0.46750.50991272-711-180-20-21-33-67-43-8297162275-43.9-1.2
288274.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44320.48951783-79-190-20-21-33-65-73-9287227312-37.3-1.2
175178.6VermontAE0.49480.45942834-516-120-00-10-25-611-35-7198182222-43.4-1.2
254251.3Morehead St.OVC0.45670.47602282-1011-180-10-10-32-78-63-10279207292-40.7-1.2
2836.1ButlerBE0.58870.5610408-321-103-33-34-26-26-09-39017657-20.9-1.2
3239.9Michigan St.B100.58390.5591438-421-101-42-25-28-25-09-48312061-21.1-1.2
295283.3NevadaMWC0.43760.50871311-87-210-20-41-42-64-52-8334232318-34.7-1.2
322315.1The CitadelSC0.41060.44403211-68-180-00-10-21-57-102-5328320344-28.9-1.3
911.0BaylorB120.63420.604429-122-85-54-25-16-03-011-192920-9.0-1.3
286272.9Arkansas Little RockSB0.44330.47832173-411-170-00-10-32-78-63-5298251319-46.1-1.3
2026.6SMUAmer0.60060.5473648-322-70-12-25-37-17-08-327943-16.4-1.3
281272.2Miami OHMAC0.44460.51541103-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8307204311-38.8-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
204205.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.48090.48062072-412-150-00-10-23-59-63-4205224264-58.4-1.3
5057.8IndianaB100.56810.5634359-220-112-43-33-36-16-010-36112291-33.2-1.4
253250.4HamptonMEAC0.45740.42913405-614-150-00-10-21-513-74-9263295300-49.6-1.4
294283.6IUPUISum0.43780.48761813-89-210-10-10-32-86-83-11276163323-39.4-1.4
231228.6Ball St.MAC0.46850.50981282-610-180-10-21-53-66-44-6299298286-57.4-1.4
218217.2PrincetonIvy0.47460.50201514-812-170-00-21-54-67-46-9251195273-55.8-1.4
325318.4LibertyBSth0.40800.43073382-610-170-00-00-12-78-92-7351348349-30.6-1.5
335331.0Tennessee St.OVC0.39350.47632250-94-250-10-00-31-83-131-12342239351-20.0-1.5
3742.5Miami FLACC0.58100.5627379-220-111-42-24-27-36-010-3356469-26.5-1.5
249247.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45800.45572964-612-150-00-10-33-610-54-7280307307-59.1-1.6
134138.6Air ForceMWC0.51640.50491444-415-120-11-31-33-49-15-4209276198-59.4-1.6
222222.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47200.46222754-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6211293279-56.1-1.6
3642.8MinnesotaB100.58140.5535528-220-101-42-25-37-16-010-25920875-32.2-1.6
196200.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.48370.44583204-516-120-00-01-14-511-66-6229342268-68.0-1.6
297282.8South AlabamaSB0.43680.47862150-79-200-00-10-23-86-81-8340278340-57.2-1.7
208210.7Virginia TechACC0.47810.5336856-412-190-70-31-32-48-28-5257329263-52.3-1.7
157157.9Wake ForestACC0.50580.5660325-612-191-70-41-43-36-17-6204183209-51.1-1.7
8591.0Central MichiganMAC0.54520.48661846-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1127347151-60.0-1.7
7377.8PurdueB100.55310.5517538-418-131-33-34-36-35-09-4147215126-48.2-1.7
209211.4Arkansas St.SB0.47780.46942483-414-140-00-11-33-510-64-4242319282-70.6-1.7
181185.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.49120.45832863-515-120-00-10-22-413-44-5221158261-75.9-1.8
228226.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.46960.46902531-612-140-00-10-23-68-52-6295234302-75.8-1.8
5260.0IowaB100.56600.5719218-418-132-62-33-37-16-09-410192103-43.0-1.8
7780.4MemphisAmer0.55130.5421726-419-120-41-22-36-210-18-510835132-51.6-1.8
9297.0New MexicoMWC0.54040.51671088-319-110-11-22-26-49-29-3126256152-55.0-1.8
293281.2TroySB0.43790.45333052-411-160-00-10-22-68-73-4339351346-64.8-1.8
89.4North CarolinaACC0.63760.603138-323-84-43-24-16-15-010-315519-9.6-1.9
155156.2PepperdineWCC0.50670.49001766-316-120-20-11-43-410-17-3185343228-71.8-1.9
240237.4UABCUSA0.46460.51081213-711-190-20-20-43-67-53-925353309-71.6-2.0
280270.6PennIvy0.44540.48681833-59-190-10-21-42-76-55-9296294336-65.4-2.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299285.0RiceCUSA0.43590.49621641-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7324274350-65.0-2.1
122125.5Arizona St.P120.52350.5552476-515-161-41-33-56-45-07-6206202199-73.5-2.1
158159.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.50530.45562986-517-120-20-10-23-315-55-814159229-69.8-2.1
8792.1San DiegoWCC0.54370.5298916-517-120-31-22-36-48-16-511699158-65.9-2.2
6873.3WyomingMWC0.55630.49371688-221-81-22-22-16-112-19-263255137-63.7-2.3
133135.2New Mexico St.WAC0.51790.47852164-818-110-21-11-32-215-36-915931207-71.8-2.3
3139.3South CarolinaSEC0.58500.5672306-319-101-43-24-27-24-08-3878880-40.7-2.3
127130.5East Tennessee St.SC0.52080.47132365-217-100-10-11-23-213-56-33750212-81.5-2.3
119121.9San FranciscoWCC0.52540.5286955-516-130-20-21-46-48-25-6177125202-80.1-2.4
237233.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.46600.47322326-513-170-30-21-32-411-56-6291350320-86.5-2.5
201201.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47392303-514-140-00-11-24-59-73-5269290317-115.8-2.7
35.6WisconsinB100.65120.57341910-128-32-26-18-17-05-012-1112114-8.4-2.8
8892.8ToledoMAC0.54340.51111197-419-120-20-12-27-510-28-5131214180-87.2-2.9
4248.2Notre DameACC0.57550.516110911-124-72-42-14-17-110-012-1119344106-57.8-2.9
183186.4ColgatePat0.49080.50081532-813-170-10-11-44-97-32-10260123308-121.6-3.2
118121.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.52580.46472648-320-100-00-22-34-315-38-4144330227-105.2-3.2
2227.6DavidsonA100.59880.5335868-122-61-31-14-27-19-08-22310468-40.4-3.2
2127.1XavierBE0.60040.5756168-321-102-23-37-36-23-09-4344673-45.9-3.3
3038.8FloridaSEC0.58540.5681287-420-110-42-26-38-14-09-4786799-60.2-3.5
7176.2HofstraCAA0.55370.47062417-324-70-00-12-29-313-110-3105315170-93.8-3.8
1214.5Ohio St.B100.62350.5597419-225-61-33-17-110-05-011-23210354-39.5-5.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com