live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Nov 24, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
351346.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.36900.43053400-45-250-00-10-10-75-160-1234514225393.012.3
332317.1Sacred HeartNEC0.41190.45063071-29-210-00-10-11-58-133-931423067250.19.9
350344.6Florida A&MMEAC0.37140.42323460-56-230-00-00-20-56-152-1135030327074.67.8
347335.9LongwoodBSth0.39150.45512891-36-230-00-10-21-95-112-934432223798.96.9
275267.3Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44690.47932151-09-180-10-10-31-67-84-92111201266.36.3
339324.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.40590.43383361-49-220-10-10-20-69-132-11297125199125.25.9
348337.8MaineAE0.38790.45952750-45-240-00-10-31-84-122-1134726725681.85.8
301288.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.43320.44653220-310-180-10-00-21-69-92-1026810870218.15.8
271263.7UMass LowellAE0.44860.44143303-212-160-00-10-21-610-75-721232850213.75.6
309297.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.42650.41093490-211-150-00-10-10-311-91-7299186104193.05.4
337320.9Houston BaptistSlnd0.40690.45313000-26-180-00-00-21-85-81-5336269178142.95.3
296282.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43750.44783141-111-170-00-10-22-59-103-726322687195.25.1
214218.5Northern IllinoisMAC0.47390.49071831-012-160-10-21-43-67-36-42303454214.54.6
341324.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40530.42783431-59-210-10-10-20-48-143-1131327822698.04.4
265259.3Robert MorrisNEC0.45120.45842801-312-170-10-10-21-411-83-825214893166.34.1
167169.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50000.44553241-117-100-00-11-23-313-45-41502775164.83.8
329314.2FurmanSC0.41470.47532301-26-210-10-10-31-66-91-82879122094.23.6
295282.4New OrleansSlnd0.43760.45712840-18-160-00-10-21-67-60-625924135147.43.5
327311.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41550.44893100-38-170-00-00-21-77-82-7338302210101.43.3
284271.5LIU BrooklynNEC0.44360.43553340-113-160-00-00-12-511-94-7290321133138.53.3
212216.1Alabama St.SWAC0.47500.40423510-116-90-10-10-10-116-63-418916472144.13.3
268262.5UC DavisBW0.44930.44753162-012-150-00-00-22-59-76-5233344127135.53.2
196195.9Georgia SouthernSB0.48560.47302351-113-130-00-11-24-59-53-317826840155.93.2
127131.9Wright St.Horz0.52120.49031842-116-120-00-11-25-59-47-5681023128.93.0
177176.2Mississippi St.SEC0.49620.51761193-014-150-31-22-45-56-28-315430745131.23.0
324311.5Montana St.BSky0.41750.49021850-46-230-10-10-31-84-101-103057523576.52.9
270262.5McNeese St.Slnd0.44920.44583230-111-140-10-10-22-59-62-524455134128.52.9
278270.2NavyPat0.44510.48971861-410-190-20-21-42-67-64-7257202166104.22.8
162165.3Texas TechB120.50180.5440762-114-161-61-32-33-37-19-318633554111.32.8
231230.0HawaiiBW0.46750.47082423-213-120-00-11-32-49-45-4218196111119.02.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
310300.9Appalachian St.SB0.42610.47732212-28-210-00-10-42-85-83-625524622179.92.7
168170.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.49960.47342341-114-120-00-11-24-59-33-51527156114.02.6
225226.8USCP120.46940.5479642-39-210-40-41-53-64-25-726219813888.82.6
186182.5MontanaBSky0.49290.47612281-214-130-00-11-33-410-54-516911463119.52.6
126129.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.52160.48272032-119-100-00-12-26-511-36-312617428101.82.6
343332.3JacksonvilleASun0.39520.44783130-47-210-10-10-21-56-123-1134029128745.32.5
195194.2UCFAmer0.48650.50771402-013-150-20-21-44-57-37-320632480114.22.5
336320.2Bethune CookmanMEAC0.40790.41003501-311-180-00-00-11-511-114-932933725862.22.4
219224.0Sacramento St.BSky0.47090.46782511-112-150-10-10-22-510-64-5191220112112.02.4
208215.7Portland St.BSky0.47580.45942762-013-130-00-10-22-510-54-4176299102113.72.4
269262.5BrownIvy0.44920.47712221-410-180-10-21-41-58-65-927324416597.52.4
266260.4Youngstown St.Horz0.45090.46762522-311-170-00-10-32-78-65-723929616397.42.4
9399.7Rhode IslandA100.53980.52651012-015-111-21-23-35-36-15-37699297.72.4
300288.2Savannah St.MEAC0.43330.45293012-310-180-20-10-22-58-93-92136320385.22.3
335321.4PresbyterianBSth0.40790.47062430-46-210-10-10-21-85-91-831813726754.42.3
272265.4DrakeMVC0.44800.52231080-37-220-20-21-52-94-43-830014018580.42.3
203207.1MercerSC0.47990.45672861-214-130-10-20-32-312-54-5222222103104.12.3
276267.5Morgan St.MEAC0.44640.44173290-412-170-00-10-21-611-82-1127916817790.52.2
129130.8Murray St.OVC0.52050.46442611-219-90-10-01-14-314-37-51221314783.82.2
103108.7Bowling GreenMAC0.53450.51311262-016-120-00-13-46-57-27-31142541791.72.2
104109.3Holy CrossPat0.53370.48701952-017-100-00-12-25-410-26-3711782188.32.2
218223.4James MadisonCAA0.47120.48801883-115-160-10-21-25-79-47-621520713192.42.2
165167.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50110.41873480-217-80-10-10-11-116-34-51391838483.12.1
344332.6Southern UtahBSky0.39510.46012730-35-220-00-10-21-84-111-834627229537.62.1
202205.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.48090.49651672-313-170-30-11-33-510-56-81686911689.82.0
287274.9FordhamA100.44260.52051150-37-210-10-31-52-83-43-732426620866.92.0
179177.3Western CarolinaSC0.49560.46462601-216-130-00-11-33-512-44-71801769285.32.0
182178.0Oregon St.P120.49510.52271062-113-150-31-32-44-46-17-31973119682.01.9
139143.5Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51390.46932491-016-110-20-11-13-313-46-51171916182.51.9
115119.0Utah St.MWC0.52790.49921603-118-110-11-12-26-48-28-3932334376.01.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8591.5Georgia TechACC0.54460.5659243-015-131-51-23-26-34-18-2551332269.51.9
6676.4Boise St.MWC0.55540.52261073-118-100-31-12-26-38-17-3431261462.41.9
277268.9Loyola MDPat0.44620.49271752-29-200-00-11-52-96-54-724918020167.91.8
159164.3High PointBSth0.50320.46952483-115-120-00-10-24-511-45-41232178876.31.8
349342.9Grambling St.SWAC0.37600.43063390-35-210-00-10-20-45-130-83203832319.91.7
313301.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.42370.46242680-37-180-20-10-21-56-80-72751124160.01.7
338323.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40610.45642871-47-220-10-20-31-47-123-1232323928538.51.7
7279.8CharlotteCUSA0.55230.51201313-120-110-21-12-27-39-28-563782752.81.7
6975.4Old DominionCUSA0.55460.49631694-122-80-01-13-28-310-210-2601592352.41.7
308298.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42680.42053471-313-180-00-10-21-512-113-1028520824652.71.7
7380.3BuffaloMAC0.55210.5274982-118-120-20-12-37-48-28-4591432456.31.7
121122.2TempleAmer0.52540.5351892-216-151-41-23-35-47-28-5124955765.21.7
281271.6Coppin St.MEAC0.44410.48741910-48-200-20-20-31-57-81-11209320764.61.6
194193.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.48700.48731922-114-140-00-11-34-59-44-417710111974.41.6
250246.6IUPUISum0.45860.49401742-210-200-10-11-33-86-65-919910318264.61.6
205207.7St. Francis NYNEC0.47960.44673210-316-130-00-00-12-414-74-723223814067.71.5
261256.8Delaware St.MEAC0.45310.43023411-213-160-10-10-21-412-94-921921519462.81.5
187184.5RutgersB100.49190.5538532-111-190-41-51-63-45-17-518820112658.51.5
180177.8ValparaisoHorz0.49560.47142403-116-120-00-01-25-69-47-514624310869.81.5
102107.2Boston UniversityPat0.53490.50331531-217-110-10-11-35-311-35-588664958.21.5
122123.9UNLVMWC0.52510.5414793-115-151-41-22-37-45-17-5105346558.91.5
243240.3ChattanoogaSC0.46140.46022720-313-150-10-10-22-411-74-626720317565.31.5
5663.9IonaMAAC0.56320.49201793-123-80-10-12-28-313-27-4411092538.91.5
135135.5South FloridaAmer0.51820.5270992-115-151-21-32-45-47-27-51371607560.51.5
123124.5HoustonAmer0.52480.49571702-019-100-21-22-34-311-19-21273466856.51.4
246245.7Miami OHMAC0.45930.52051162-19-200-10-21-63-85-25-627421619253.71.4
125127.4Gardner WebbBSth0.52330.48741892-316-110-10-11-25-410-34-5108677651.41.4
9298.6UC IrvineBW0.53980.47612271-218-90-10-11-25-212-26-5861585147.61.3
154158.0East Tennessee St.SC0.50600.47012472-116-110-00-10-13-412-44-51128910058.01.3
5867.9AlabamaSEC0.56100.5655253-117-121-51-23-27-24-18-344232641.91.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
131133.1ArmyPat0.51970.46612544-019-90-10-01-25-312-38-21063327954.11.3
2635.9Ohio St.B100.58920.5490603-023-82-32-24-27-18-011-247223926.91.3
220224.3North Dakota St.Sum0.47070.48382002-211-150-10-11-23-68-54-618213016460.31.3
169169.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.49960.49401732-113-150-10-11-34-59-35-513018711554.91.3
216218.7Washington St.P120.47360.5478651-28-200-40-41-52-54-25-522821017147.71.2
108112.0La SalleA100.53200.5296973-016-140-21-32-36-47-28-4801066646.01.2
109114.5OhioMAC0.53100.5312941-115-120-01-23-46-56-15-41481346450.51.2
7986.6UTEPCUSA0.54780.49931592-019-80-11-12-25-310-27-2661324442.61.2
8893.7San FranciscoWCC0.54360.52071142-017-101-21-22-26-38-17-2832315241.71.1
319305.4NiagaraMAAC0.42220.48741901-27-220-00-10-42-105-72-734220427728.41.1
2230.5FloridaSEC0.59510.5702152-120-92-42-25-28-23-08-337361020.51.1
1724.7ConnecticutAmer0.60200.5684193-121-92-32-24-27-16-08-4175816.71.1
95102.2EvansvilleMVC0.53760.51141332-017-100-21-12-26-39-27-2781636240.21.0
188183.7MarquetteBE0.49180.5613342-210-181-61-42-42-35-15-523417714538.71.0
258253.7UTSACUSA0.45470.48272021-110-170-00-11-33-76-64-529133821241.71.0
2838.8Saint Mary'sWCC0.58600.5481633-020-81-21-14-28-25-18-212151622.81.0
279271.2MaristMAAC0.44450.47672250-39-190-00-10-33-96-72-633031023437.21.0
915.9GonzagaWCC0.61500.5301963-025-42-13-14-18-18-010-11611669.90.9
150156.3MarshallCUSA0.50730.51041342-115-140-20-12-35-58-36-516411911442.30.9
315302.4Chicago St.WAC0.42340.48262040-36-220-00-10-41-75-92-1230312827329.40.9
175175.6Central MichiganMAC0.49660.48921873-014-120-00-12-44-58-26-219835013243.60.9
299287.2SamfordSC0.43480.44713202-312-180-00-10-32-610-85-728031225730.20.9
345334.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.39380.45392960-46-230-00-00-21-85-121-1034117332014.00.8
221224.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.47060.5473671-27-200-40-31-42-63-23-62166519133.60.8
283272.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44360.48162081-410-190-10-10-33-87-64-927820024032.20.8
1016.7Wichita St.MVC0.61380.5361882-023-41-12-15-18-17-07-24979.70.8
204206.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.47980.44843111-012-120-00-00-22-410-52-411811516838.90.8
5564.2Colorado St.MWC0.56420.5375843-018-100-11-13-38-46-17-324203826.20.8
260254.3Grand CanyonWAC0.45400.45342982-215-140-10-11-32-412-67-826527022232.30.8
252249.7St. Francis PANEC0.45670.44713191-212-160-10-00-12-511-83-724323621534.70.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
117119.6Wake ForestACC0.52740.5674223-214-171-71-32-43-27-18-51281449425.60.7
263260.4Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.45120.45922771-212-170-10-10-22-410-93-823114523030.40.7
264259.1Northern KentuckyASun0.45120.46542571-211-160-20-10-21-49-74-924114922732.10.7
172172.6NorthwesternB100.49790.5459704-012-180-51-41-53-37-19-317933414725.60.7
110116.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.52970.48551971-116-100-00-01-16-410-33-362798630.30.7
1624.9West VirginiaB120.60210.5723135-022-93-43-24-27-14-012-1151041311.90.7
4959.8RichmondA100.56690.5366862-120-111-12-33-38-37-19-448823920.80.7
9097.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54130.46432623-019-60-10-11-14-213-27-450767324.70.7
161165.7IPFWSum0.50190.45712852-116-100-00-11-23-412-46-417031313728.70.6
240238.4USC UpstateASun0.46280.43663332-114-130-00-10-22-412-66-724030421127.40.6
138140.2TowsonCAA0.51580.47752204-118-120-00-11-35-511-38-411629211822.20.6
1317.8San Diego St.MWC0.61220.5316934-024-41-02-15-29-17-09-1984116.80.6
3646.7GeorgetownBE0.57930.580573-017-102-42-23-26-24-07-233163115.70.6
5459.7WoffordSC0.56600.48172074-122-70-20-11-15-215-27-423314811.70.5
200204.6Saint Joseph'sA100.48140.51671222-211-190-20-31-54-56-46-619019518420.60.5
273264.9SeattleWAC0.44790.46012741-312-140-00-10-22-49-74-829422524519.90.5
226226.6North TexasCUSA0.46940.50671432-111-170-10-21-52-57-34-622416620620.60.5
213217.6PacificWCC0.47450.52631021-28-170-30-21-43-64-23-422628619720.60.5
230230.0UMKCWAC0.46780.46032711-313-160-00-10-23-410-86-922324220921.00.5
237237.4Nebraska OmahaSum0.46350.45402952-113-150-00-00-24-69-76-622933621720.40.5
5764.8YaleIvy0.56290.49901613-120-90-21-12-25-313-29-635725311.80.4
6271.4Illinois St.MVC0.55780.52531032-219-101-21-12-27-39-17-474705912.40.4
312301.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42460.44733171-410-180-10-10-21-59-104-1032731628912.30.4
2737.2BYUWCC0.58770.5598362-119-91-32-13-28-25-17-3217307.20.3
119122.1LafayettePat0.52620.47592293-118-100-10-11-24-313-37-310328411012.10.3
3443.6Seton HallBE0.58110.5587424-020-102-42-24-27-25-010-231123367.60.3
4250.3North Carolina St.ACC0.57500.582744-019-122-62-24-27-23-010-33018428.30.3
340323.8UNC GreensboroSC0.40530.45083050-48-200-10-10-21-66-102-83513173185.80.3
8994.9ColoradoP120.54250.5445742-116-121-31-33-35-26-17-397146859.90.3
144145.7UT ArlingtonSB0.51290.48711943-116-130-20-01-24-412-45-41091131369.70.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3140.2Iowa St.B120.58490.5617333-020-93-43-24-24-16-09-251228355.20.2
236238.1DrexelCAA0.46350.50701421-410-180-10-11-44-85-43-72771072299.10.2
94102.3Georgia St.SB0.53770.49241771-219-110-00-11-26-412-35-510187957.30.2
163166.9Oral RobertsSum0.50150.49681661-213-130-00-11-34-67-43-7167511588.90.2
282272.1VMISC0.44390.46472591-210-170-10-20-21-58-71-72921122657.10.2
158162.2Boston CollegeACC0.50370.5654262-312-181-71-42-43-36-17-51921611566.20.2
320304.5Tennessee St.OVC0.42200.46632530-28-200-10-10-21-86-93-93282882995.50.2
153158.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50610.45432942-217-100-00-11-23-314-34-51361181526.40.2
189185.8Santa ClaraWCC0.49160.52691001-211-150-31-31-33-55-24-42142491796.80.1
143144.3Florida St.ACC0.51290.5619311-313-181-71-32-45-35-17-6173941395.30.1
257252.9FairfieldMAAC0.45490.50321542-310-200-10-20-32-87-63-7201492484.90.1
2331.6MichiganB100.59420.5679203-020-82-33-24-26-15-09-127105292.60.1
184180.9DePaulBE0.49340.5515542-011-181-51-42-52-35-16-52022411764.90.1
7684.6Long Beach St.BW0.54960.5348901-315-130-40-22-24-38-24-8531813.60.1
228228.7Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46820.49791630-111-160-20-21-32-57-44-52583292253.70.1
4047.9George WashingtonA100.57690.51541232-122-71-22-24-27-28-08-367257461.90.1
285272.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44330.46382640-310-160-00-10-22-68-72-82981792693.00.1
155160.1William & MaryCAA0.50530.51211302-113-140-20-21-34-58-34-5107391573.10.1
326311.7Tennessee MartinOVC0.41580.43513351-19-180-00-10-31-58-104-72883473101.70.1
303292.0UMBCAE0.43050.44493260-311-180-10-10-31-510-84-93123232902.00.1
209214.9WinthropBSth0.47580.44073311-214-120-00-01-13-510-63-52373312131.90.0
331316.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.41220.44773150-510-210-10-10-11-59-143-103392713160.70.0
8390.6LSUSEC0.54540.5514553-217-141-31-23-38-45-19-47061900.60.0
2533.2StanfordP120.59170.5567483-121-92-43-24-25-17-09-32948330.20.0
259254.4WagnerNEC0.45430.45772820-312-160-00-10-22-510-83-72451392540.40.0
98106.1WashingtonP120.53560.5409803-016-121-32-32-33-27-18-21102131060.10.0
118120.9Saint LouisA100.52650.52431042-117-120-21-22-36-47-18-3133190121-0.1-0.0
101108.0San DiegoWCC0.53490.5450723-114-131-41-22-35-36-15-49152109-1.0-0.0
711.7Miami FLACC0.62410.5710145-024-73-33-15-18-16-012-132212-0.3-0.0
148147.7Penn St.B100.51140.5486614-114-171-41-42-53-37-19-4159265150-2.3-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
318302.9NJITind0.42290.46102701-47-180-10-10-21-56-87-18316293305-2.1-0.1
141145.2Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51340.44793120-117-80-00-11-24-312-34-3161298148-2.8-0.1
229229.8ElonCAA0.46810.48092111-212-160-10-11-33-77-54-6251305233-3.2-0.1
224227.1North FloridaASun0.46960.45033080-312-150-00-10-31-411-64-9221256231-3.9-0.1
333316.6Alcorn St.SWAC0.41180.43313370-49-180-10-10-20-38-120-930744319-2.4-0.1
306296.8HowardMEAC0.42760.42413450-311-170-10-00-11-410-113-9308282300-3.2-0.1
334318.4LibertyBSth0.40920.43273381-29-170-00-00-12-77-93-5348349321-2.6-0.1
1117.2VirginiaACC0.61350.5692174-022-72-42-14-17-15-010-186819-1.8-0.1
289275.1HamptonMEAC0.44190.42703441-413-160-10-10-11-312-104-9283295283-7.9-0.2
286273.3HartfordAE0.44300.45762833-111-170-00-10-31-510-75-7238224281-7.7-0.2
133134.2MissouriSEC0.51900.5660232-212-171-51-32-35-34-26-515743143-8.8-0.2
297283.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43690.42933420-511-170-10-10-21-411-91-928996292-8.7-0.2
316303.0BinghamtonAE0.42330.46802500-48-210-10-10-31-77-92-11326192311-8.0-0.3
210215.3Utah ValleyWAC0.47550.45372972-113-140-10-10-21-312-76-7184261228-12.7-0.3
222224.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.47030.45492900-214-130-00-10-32-511-54-5235245238-13.4-0.3
305294.3LamarSlnd0.42920.45253020-39-160-10-10-21-57-81-6295197306-11.7-0.3
8189.4WyomingMWC0.54570.50901363-019-101-21-13-26-39-19-281221101-11.6-0.3
249246.3OaklandHorz0.45880.51331250-49-200-20-21-43-85-42-1125633260-13.7-0.3
113116.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52890.48152090-318-90-20-11-14-313-24-512932129-12.6-0.3
7785.4NebraskaB100.54890.5654272-115-131-42-33-44-25-07-311124898-12.6-0.3
107112.2HofstraCAA0.53220.47682243-121-100-00-11-26-412-39-499289125-12.8-0.3
198200.2Air ForceMWC0.48340.49991581-112-150-20-11-43-67-26-3217343218-17.8-0.4
181177.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.49540.49171812-315-150-20-21-43-411-37-5196325195-17.2-0.4
173174.5Indiana St.MVC0.49670.51271293-113-150-20-21-43-48-26-4181184193-18.5-0.4
6876.2AkronMAC0.55490.51171323-121-90-11-14-38-39-19-310028191-14.8-0.5
288275.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.44200.47302360-310-190-10-10-22-78-94-9264214293-18.0-0.5
215218.1RadfordBSth0.47370.45902781-214-130-00-10-23-610-53-6248250239-20.9-0.5
302291.0DartmouthIvy0.43090.45432920-210-180-00-10-31-68-95-9309340308-17.0-0.5
6068.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56010.48122103-121-70-10-11-16-314-26-4325982-13.7-0.5
217220.9ColgatePat0.47280.49211781-312-180-10-11-43-77-64-8225194243-22.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
267262.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44940.47962141-310-170-10-10-23-66-63-8271209284-21.3-0.5
311298.2Austin PeayOVC0.42600.45432930-49-180-00-10-21-67-93-8331274317-18.8-0.5
147147.2SienaMAAC0.51180.47772171-217-120-00-11-25-511-45-4163255169-21.8-0.5
244242.1IdahoBSky0.46100.45452911-112-150-00-10-23-59-74-5242315268-25.9-0.6
325310.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.41690.44913090-49-210-10-10-21-68-112-10319155327-16.5-0.6
151157.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.50660.50861384-014-130-10-22-44-58-25-4141247183-26.0-0.6
322306.9StetsonASun0.41960.44473270-39-180-00-00-21-68-93-10325297325-18.1-0.6
146147.3College of CharlestonCAA0.51210.50221562-317-140-30-21-35-410-26-7175127173-25.7-0.7
97105.4Stony BrookAE0.53640.48242051-219-100-10-11-25-413-26-79057130-24.6-0.7
245243.4TroySB0.46010.46342660-212-150-00-10-33-68-63-4301342275-31.6-0.7
290275.7CornellIvy0.44180.46382632-411-180-00-21-42-58-76-9293309301-25.3-0.7
323308.8Idaho St.BSky0.41850.46232690-38-200-00-10-22-86-92-8332260330-21.2-0.7
346333.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39340.44543250-36-220-00-10-30-56-131-11335138346-12.7-0.7
8791.8New Mexico St.WAC0.54420.49651682-319-100-20-11-24-214-28-78426117-25.2-0.7
307298.2Saint Peter'sMAAC0.42720.47402320-49-210-00-10-32-86-93-7333318322-23.8-0.7
3242.8DaytonA100.58140.5338913-122-81-22-24-29-27-09-3366060-17.2-0.7
166168.1MonmouthMAAC0.50110.48072132-217-140-10-11-24-512-45-6193232200-31.9-0.8
274264.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44780.45312991-212-150-00-10-32-59-64-7282262296-31.4-0.8
280272.7RiceCUSA0.44410.50441481-27-190-10-11-42-75-53-5284235302-29.3-0.8
251247.1Tennessee TechOVC0.45820.45103042-113-150-00-10-22-510-75-7246333282-34.9-0.8
262256.8South DakotaSum0.45290.47692230-511-180-00-10-23-77-74-9286218291-34.2-0.8
223225.6BucknellPat0.47020.50601471-410-190-10-11-44-86-43-823690262-36.4-0.8
2938.7VCUA100.58590.5598373-120-101-12-25-37-25-08-426858-19.3-0.9
178176.1Weber St.BSky0.49600.48232061-314-130-10-11-34-410-33-618340214-37.9-0.9
328314.3PennIvy0.41490.47292370-37-210-00-20-41-65-93-11337290337-22.7-0.9
132133.6TCUB120.51920.52181094-017-132-52-32-32-110-011-1156351170-36.4-0.9
342326.4The CitadelSC0.40190.45083060-27-190-10-10-21-66-101-6343275347-20.6-0.9
317305.2San Jose St.MWC0.42290.50671440-35-210-10-21-52-92-52-6349308331-25.8-0.9
8491.3Kent St.MAC0.54510.50661453-119-100-11-23-36-39-18-3131314124-32.7-0.9
330315.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.41310.44733180-28-190-00-00-21-77-102-7322234343-27.4-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
128131.1DetroitHorz0.52070.50651462-215-130-10-21-35-49-36-610428174-42.9-1.0
241239.9LipscombASun0.46240.45782810-311-150-10-10-31-410-63-9247193288-48.1-1.0
156159.7VermontAE0.50520.47042441-216-120-00-01-24-512-45-7155122205-45.3-1.1
136136.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51780.49871620-215-110-10-11-34-39-34-613225186-49.2-1.1
314302.7UC RiversideBW0.42360.47032450-28-200-20-10-31-57-94-8302259338-35.3-1.1
4148.1OregonP120.57680.5501583-120-91-32-24-27-26-09-2395378-29.9-1.1
4450.2NortheasternCAA0.57440.50241554-023-80-11-13-210-310-19-4289377-26.8-1.2
140144.2AlbanyAE0.51350.45602881-219-100-10-11-23-415-47-6143227189-44.8-1.2
255252.6TulaneAmer0.45530.50861371-110-190-20-21-53-76-36-5311341298-45.4-1.2
2431.5ArkansasSEC0.59360.5447733-023-81-22-15-29-27-011-2206255-23.5-1.2
234233.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.46600.45163031-213-150-10-10-21-412-73-920081286-52.8-1.2
185181.7NevadaMWC0.49310.51901171-312-160-20-22-44-56-24-6227182236-54.3-1.2
160165.2Morehead St.OVC0.50250.47662261-416-130-00-11-33-512-45-8187171216-50.8-1.2
6170.8Oklahoma St.B120.55910.5677214-016-122-52-32-35-25-08-279206113-42.2-1.2
190185.5ManhattanMAAC0.49150.47502311-315-140-00-11-34-610-44-5250300242-56.5-1.3
291278.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.44030.47162391-210-190-00-11-32-87-74-9281252329-50.8-1.3
199201.9UNC AshevilleBSth0.48240.46602551-213-130-00-00-23-79-43-5210205263-61.1-1.3
142144.2CanisiusMAAC0.51320.49271762-116-130-00-11-35-510-45-4115100202-57.8-1.3
1217.9ArizonaP120.61340.5726124-022-72-23-25-27-15-09-2103537-19.1-1.4
3746.1IllinoisB100.57880.5596394-020-101-42-34-26-16-010-24915783-36.9-1.4
298283.5Western IllinoisSum0.43600.47402331-28-170-00-10-22-76-73-6306240342-58.5-1.5
227228.2Virginia TechACC0.46860.5365872-110-200-70-31-32-47-27-5272339278-49.8-1.5
111116.1AmericanPat0.52970.49451723-217-130-00-11-45-510-36-694147172-55.9-1.5
293280.1SouthernSWAC0.43910.44003320-311-170-10-10-20-310-91-926630335-54.9-1.5
321307.7DelawareCAA0.42010.49491710-36-230-10-20-32-93-82-9334219350-42.3-1.5
304294.0CampbellBSth0.42980.46362650-29-190-00-00-22-86-82-8321294348-54.0-1.6
292278.0New HampshireAE0.43990.44343280-211-160-00-00-22-69-74-7310327344-66.0-1.6
197199.5Texas St.SB0.48360.47842162-113-130-10-01-23-59-53-3140188276-76.5-1.6
4553.0MassachusettsA100.57260.5549514-119-120-21-34-49-34-18-522697-44.0-1.6
99105.2PittsburghACC0.53520.5593412-115-141-51-22-26-34-18-3121153167-61.8-1.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
176176.0BryantNEC0.49660.47202381-116-130-10-11-22-313-64-714741250-74.0-1.6
37.5WisconsinB100.63570.5645294-025-42-24-16-17-15-010-178018-10.5-1.7
294281.1BradleyMVC0.43880.52161111-26-220-20-21-52-84-53-7317151334-52.9-1.7
206208.9AuburnSEC0.47880.5473682-29-200-30-31-64-74-15-6204124274-65.1-1.7
242240.5LehighPat0.46230.50011570-49-190-00-11-43-86-52-8270136312-71.5-1.7
7481.7ButlerBE0.55140.5436773-017-122-42-23-25-26-08-3113273142-60.3-1.7
3846.5IowaB100.57810.5691183-220-112-52-34-25-17-09-47711089-42.5-1.7
7179.3CincinnatiAmer0.55290.5551503-018-121-41-22-36-37-18-46414141-61.7-1.8
253251.7PrincetonIvy0.45550.47752191-311-160-00-21-42-48-65-8269237328-76.3-1.8
191187.6Northwestern St.Slnd0.49060.46302670-213-120-10-10-22-311-42-517110272-84.4-1.8
235233.4George MasonA100.46580.5596381-46-230-21-51-72-72-22-925429297-63.6-1.9
8692.0Arizona St.P120.54460.5509573-117-131-42-33-35-26-19-3125199162-70.0-1.9
4753.4CaliforniaP120.57220.5445753-121-102-42-23-25-29-110-354117105-51.6-1.9
114119.8Western MichiganMAC0.52790.51701212-114-120-01-22-45-56-24-4145285204-84.2-2.0
256252.0Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45490.48501980-310-170-00-10-43-76-53-6276276340-88.0-2.0
254252.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.45540.45862790-412-190-30-20-30-311-81-1225312332-79.6-2.0
105110.4St. John'sBE0.53290.5573452-015-141-52-33-33-26-18-3142162190-79.6-2.0
6776.2CreightonBE0.55490.5470694-018-122-42-33-35-26-19-372211146-69.8-2.0
815.9North CarolinaACC0.61630.587823-021-83-52-14-17-14-09-2144541-25.1-2.1
247245.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45900.47752180-311-160-00-01-23-67-72-5315253339-93.8-2.1
7076.9GeorgiaSEC0.55420.5569473-116-131-41-23-36-35-17-45647149-72.1-2.2
207213.5Fresno St.MWC0.47630.5305950-39-180-20-21-53-74-33-6260156309-95.5-2.2
152157.8PortlandWCC0.50650.50751412-014-140-31-21-34-58-27-3158330251-93.2-2.2
232231.8North DakotaBSky0.46720.46522580-212-160-10-10-23-69-63-7220175333-101.2-2.2
9199.6Green BayHorz0.54000.48681961-117-80-20-01-16-310-26-36586188-88.4-2.2
100106.6DenverSum0.53500.49701642-119-100-10-11-26-312-38-58950196-89.4-2.2
211216.0RiderMAAC0.47520.47092412-214-150-10-11-23-510-65-4208320315-99.0-2.3
201205.4FIUCUSA0.48110.48072121-113-160-10-11-33-69-55-6166279307-101.6-2.3
2029.4SMUAmer0.59640.5652282-220-91-22-24-27-26-07-4401374-44.6-2.3
171172.1TennesseeSEC0.49850.5451711-112-160-31-32-54-54-16-4185135271-98.9-2.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
233233.2Cal PolyBW0.46610.49691651-19-170-10-21-42-56-52-820556341-107.8-2.3
248246.7Arkansas St.SB0.45900.47032460-111-160-00-11-33-67-62-5304319351-104.3-2.3
137138.7Southern MissCUSA0.51680.50351521-115-120-00-12-45-48-35-4138189247-108.3-2.4
134136.8Missouri St.MVC0.51820.51541241-114-130-21-22-35-47-25-4144165244-107.2-2.4
6372.8Kansas St.B120.55760.5598353-117-122-52-33-24-26-09-298264153-80.2-2.4
7582.5BelmontOVC0.55040.48272013-120-80-00-11-26-313-28-44583160-77.5-2.4
238236.8South AlabamaSB0.46340.48461990-211-180-10-10-33-78-63-6261167345-108.2-2.4
157161.7Northern ArizonaBSky0.50390.46572561-317-120-10-10-23-413-55-6153169266-104.3-2.4
164167.3Cleveland St.Horz0.50140.50401491-213-160-20-11-34-58-45-814954280-112.7-2.4
96103.6South CarolinaSEC0.53720.5619322-315-141-41-33-45-34-06-515188198-94.4-2.6
239238.6East CarolinaAmer0.46300.52351050-29-180-30-21-43-65-34-5296306349-110.4-2.7
145146.1St. BonaventureA100.51270.50941352-115-140-11-32-44-48-28-3172326259-112.9-2.7
3038.9VillanovaBE0.58510.5385834-022-82-33-24-26-17-011-15828099-60.1-2.7
183179.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.49490.52121131-212-160-10-21-54-67-34-619558303-124.0-2.8
130132.6VanderbiltSEC0.52020.5398812-015-141-31-33-45-45-17-4134154255-122.4-2.8
4859.5MarylandB100.56760.5477664-020-101-32-23-27-27-010-246181144-84.5-2.9
170171.2Ball St.MAC0.49890.51291271-213-150-10-22-44-56-35-5207283313-141.8-3.0
5967.7ToledoMAC0.56080.52121122-220-100-20-12-38-39-18-487185161-93.3-3.0
124124.9PepperdineWCC0.52450.51291282-116-121-31-22-35-38-27-3135301249-124.1-3.0
193192.0UABCUSA0.48760.52171101-212-160-20-11-44-66-34-620327324-132.0-3.1
5060.1MemphisAmer0.56680.5432781-119-101-41-23-26-29-18-38574155-94.9-3.1
5160.4MinnesotaB100.56680.5565492-118-111-42-23-36-26-09-273212154-93.6-3.1
59.3LouisvilleACC0.63110.577984-025-65-33-14-18-15-012-1137734-24.7-3.2
174175.7South Dakota St.Sum0.49670.48721931-214-140-10-11-34-510-55-7165121326-150.3-3.2
48.3TexasB120.63450.582354-025-64-35-25-16-15-011-264632-23.7-3.2
3946.4Notre DameACC0.57790.5385824-123-83-52-13-16-19-011-292287120-73.6-3.2
192187.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49030.50371501-113-160-00-21-44-67-45-6194141336-149.0-3.3
3543.9Texas A&MSEC0.58070.5497593-121-91-31-24-39-26-09-33464122-78.1-3.3
1420.8ProvidenceBE0.60770.5770105-022-92-43-25-27-14-010-3111771-50.2-3.4
120122.4New MexicoMWC0.52570.51841183-217-130-21-23-45-58-28-4160258261-138.6-3.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
116118.2ClemsonACC0.52770.5483623-216-141-51-22-36-45-18-4162229252-133.8-3.6
3343.0SyracuseACC0.58120.5640303-120-112-52-24-26-26-010-33873128-85.0-3.7
149151.0DuquesneA100.50970.50361511-015-130-11-32-44-49-28-2174348314-163.0-3.7
23.2KentuckySEC0.65480.582065-027-44-24-17-19-03-012-11215-11.8-3.8
106110.6DavidsonA100.53280.5319921-115-130-31-32-35-37-16-4120152264-153.4-3.8
5361.4PurdueB100.56620.5595403-118-111-32-34-35-25-08-395170181-119.6-3.9
6472.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.55720.49171804-122-80-00-12-27-312-29-369251187-115.0-4.0
6575.7HarvardIvy0.55550.50791391-118-80-11-12-24-310-27-55221219-143.3-4.3
8086.8IndianaB100.54770.5578434-118-132-42-43-34-27-010-3119172232-145.2-4.3
112116.1ColumbiaIvy0.52940.49141822-118-90-20-12-23-213-38-59698294-177.9-4.4
2129.3Michigan St.B100.59590.5513563-121-81-33-24-26-17-09-261263107-77.7-4.4
4653.6UCLAP120.57230.5575444-019-102-42-24-25-17-08-35785180-126.4-4.4
1827.4KansasB120.59950.610012-117-123-53-24-26-21-07-4194123-95.6-4.9
8290.6TulsaAmer0.54540.5369853-116-121-31-22-25-37-16-4102129279-188.4-5.0
5260.2Northern IowaMVC0.56630.51731204-021-81-21-13-27-210-18-342111223-162.8-5.8
4351.1OklahomaB120.57440.5761112-116-122-42-23-36-23-07-375150224-172.9-5.9
13.0DukeACC0.65590.585735-027-45-34-15-17-05-012-121920-17.0-5.9
7884.5MississippiSEC0.54870.5539523-117-131-31-33-36-35-18-48297304-219.5-6.4
1927.7UtahP120.59870.5572462-121-82-32-24-26-17-08-32537151-123.3-6.7
69.8XavierBE0.62970.5701164-023-62-13-16-29-13-010-154269-59.2-7.0
1523.6BaylorB120.60400.577594-020-92-33-25-26-15-010-11892159-135.4-8.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com