live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 30, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
348346.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35710.41693442-185-260-10-10-10-75-171-123222203388.32.8
331326.9Savannah St.MEAC0.39590.44453143-157-210-10-20-21-66-102-102819429828.92.2
143146.1RutgersB100.51230.57322210-1211-201-30-52-74-44-18-5936011333.11.9
115112.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53090.425134213-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-5811048923.91.7
194191.4MissouriSEC0.48860.5728256-139-210-51-52-62-34-25-71914114942.41.7
265263.7DrakeMVC0.44880.5378884-166-230-40-20-71-65-42-92785523132.71.7
181178.4Wright St.Horz0.49550.49561599-1113-150-10-21-45-48-46-611810214038.41.7
9188.3TennesseeSEC0.54660.56164112-716-141-42-42-46-25-08-478645533.31.6
184180.2Washington St.P120.49470.5457719-1111-190-50-23-63-65-16-620924714733.21.5
287280.0North DakotaBSky0.43860.47132394-139-190-20-00-21-78-83-72038824436.01.5
240240.4Saint LouisA100.46160.51271228-1111-190-30-30-52-48-47-522027220832.41.4
270266.1Loyola MDPat0.44740.47932088-1210-190-10-10-25-105-64-725224923432.11.4
8179.8MassachusettsA100.55240.55226311-917-140-21-34-37-46-17-65795128.81.4
291282.4McNeese St.Slnd0.43670.45033023-1110-150-10-20-31-39-62-51651624735.41.4
162162.6DePaulBE0.50390.54257911-1113-181-52-42-33-35-26-728430513230.61.4
159159.0CreightonBE0.50570.55625510-1213-181-61-62-34-34-19-412020312831.01.3
2124.0MarylandB100.60610.55884818-424-71-33-24-29-16-012-1221011311.01.3
3435.8ArkansasSEC0.59040.54517316-423-81-23-25-35-18-011-218792015.81.3
196192.5Texas TechB120.48820.54886711-1012-191-81-40-22-38-110-316432016824.51.3
2726.1ButlerBE0.60300.57003215-622-93-43-32-19-14-09-3631281511.11.2
119125.6Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52380.502114611-816-120-30-13-22-211-38-2772619728.61.2
105106.2ClemsonACC0.53510.55555712-816-140-52-14-26-53-18-41572108125.21.2
2929.0ProvidenceBE0.59880.58361016-520-113-44-24-27-22-110-323211712.01.2
245246.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.45830.5346925-167-220-30-30-34-93-33-82498922422.71.1
157157.7Florida St.ACC0.50620.54487611-1014-170-51-22-55-46-18-519522813027.71.1
277274.1FordhamA100.44260.5282954-137-210-20-40-62-55-44-626420625024.11.1
33.8KansasB120.66390.6247117-324-76-45-25-17-01-011-22212.81.1
199195.0Santa ClaraWCC0.48700.52131109-1111-170-20-30-35-76-14-623120417025.01.1
342338.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.37920.44913042-124-210-10-10-30-44-110-73271153308.01.1
102102.3Georgia TechACC0.53770.57402010-1014-161-61-22-26-53-19-354818022.31.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
98.5VCUA100.64250.58311217-325-62-23-27-18-05-010-35153.51.0
234232.8UCFAmer0.46610.51131258-1111-170-30-41-43-28-46-423728720923.81.0
141146.1Boston CollegeACC0.51260.5622399-1013-171-61-33-43-45-08-415819612026.11.0
8684.7MichiganB100.54930.57501912-815-140-61-34-27-32-06-5145496519.71.0
5256.4Texas A&MSEC0.57020.55066514-520-100-22-34-36-17-09-356903818.41.0
224225.6PacificWCC0.46990.51621147-129-180-20-30-33-86-25-416723120718.61.0
2225.6Iowa St.B120.60480.57721815-421-94-44-24-13-16-010-250159169.60.9
279275.0Utah ValleyWAC0.44200.44723097-1111-160-10-10-10-510-84-923620125223.00.9
349349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.33570.42563400-152-240-10-10-30-42-150-8302383481.30.9
135141.7RiderMAAC0.51450.463926314-820-110-10-10-24-316-36-517927412318.70.9
5661.2TempleAmer0.56570.54517214-720-111-51-23-24-111-19-453624615.20.9
2526.1GeorgetownBE0.60320.5961314-619-102-63-33-19-02-08-2178188.10.9
167164.6PortlandWCC0.50300.509812810-1014-140-20-21-34-58-27-312724414321.60.9
208209.2Delaware St.MEAC0.47930.44523128-1014-150-00-10-33-412-54-915614018821.20.8
120126.5BelmontOVC0.52320.476322213-718-100-20-11-24-413-27-59010310719.50.8
3232.8GeorgiaSEC0.59380.57232714-520-100-32-26-38-24-09-33442248.80.8
253254.3UMass LowellAE0.45400.44883068-1212-160-10-00-22-69-75-716923323717.30.8
229230.8Mississippi St.SEC0.46720.52371048-1110-200-20-41-64-55-36-627730121317.80.8
325323.9PresbyterianBSth0.40100.47312333-155-220-10-00-30-94-90-93371463176.90.8
7677.8Long Beach St.BW0.55390.5420819-1116-141-20-32-56-37-14-1011936116.80.8
259259.5BrownIvy0.45080.48112027-1111-180-01-10-42-78-67-822327323920.50.8
330327.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.39660.44443155-167-220-10-10-21-76-114-113072903207.20.8
263262.0UC RiversideBW0.44960.48191977-1110-180-10-10-42-78-55-723425624121.00.8
221222.4FIUCUSA0.47160.47462287-1011-170-10-10-43-58-65-618829720220.40.8
106107.3Penn St.B100.53450.54248014-717-140-41-32-46-37-012-1612939215.30.7
5561.0Boise St.MWC0.56600.514211713-620-90-22-22-24-311-08-3551684912.00.7
266263.8DrexelCAA0.44870.49661566-139-190-00-20-52-96-42-829013024815.80.7
152153.0Gardner WebbBSth0.50870.49231729-914-130-10-21-24-39-54-51035813320.00.7
1619.1West VirginiaB120.61480.57162817-324-73-43-34-17-06-012-133175145.10.7
9896.8Kansas St.B120.54130.58001512-915-163-82-32-22-36-07-61841678313.80.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8383.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.55030.507913112-618-100-11-12-34-311-15-5133596914.30.7
336333.8MaineAE0.38730.47322322-194-250-10-10-30-93-111-123141173294.80.7
103103.2Oregon St.P120.53740.523210513-717-121-20-23-48-45-18-31773278617.20.7
1213.5Wichita St.MVC0.62650.53688918-226-31-22-15-17-011-09-21419112.50.7
311304.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.42070.43863266-159-200-10-00-11-88-91-1232021929311.10.7
88.5VillanovaBE0.64290.56793418-226-53-24-25-110-13-013-076962.50.6
112110.2PittsburghACC0.53290.55375912-816-150-60-22-38-36-110-3801879614.20.6
180178.7USCP120.49560.5457709-1112-180-40-22-65-55-18-414822316513.70.6
319318.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.40700.49691553-175-240-10-20-41-104-72-113121563126.60.6
5864.8IonaMAAC0.56260.479020915-623-80-00-10-28-315-27-465144568.80.6
6169.1WashingtonP120.56000.54517414-619-112-31-15-25-45-011-1371975811.10.6
4145.4LSUSEC0.57960.54507516-422-91-13-36-36-26-111-245162378.40.6
210211.4OhioMAC0.47790.5339937-1110-190-01-21-74-85-25-621715719714.40.6
132137.8CaliforniaP120.51690.54636912-915-160-51-24-45-45-110-38315812611.80.6
6471.1YaleIvy0.55870.505013812-619-100-00-12-26-511-29-6701276011.10.6
7174.4OregonP120.55630.55326214-718-120-41-15-48-24-09-3861166311.40.6
228230.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.46730.50371427-1011-170-10-21-53-77-35-522929821416.20.6
5458.6WoffordSC0.56760.486918615-522-70-20-12-15-114-27-42120508.60.5
155157.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50700.493516511-916-140-11-11-44-510-36-615414214215.10.5
7274.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55620.476422112-521-70-11-00-14-315-16-438526410.50.5
185180.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49450.48181989-1114-150-20-20-14-610-44-71354616614.70.5
3941.8DaytonA100.58330.513312016-423-70-11-25-27-110-010-235131356.80.5
286279.2VMISC0.43920.46842516-149-180-10-20-21-68-71-730510726811.20.5
148150.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.51020.45812799-1118-130-31-21-21-415-33-10116713812.40.5
131137.8UT ArlingtonSB0.51700.486718811-817-120-20-11-23-313-45-48511112512.80.5
163162.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50380.483919411-915-120-10-10-35-510-45-614313315012.70.5
283277.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44050.50421405-168-220-20-10-42-75-73-1128513726710.50.5
322319.8Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40480.43983215-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102862483136.80.5
114113.1UC DavisBW0.53120.462626513-419-80-00-01-16-411-38-311331910013.10.5
4852.1Miami FLACC0.57280.55366014-621-102-41-14-18-36-010-375153457.10.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
109108.8NebraskaB100.53420.55854912-815-151-42-32-55-45-08-41462419810.80.5
206205.7Virginia TechACC0.48080.5409849-1112-190-70-21-43-57-18-523330919510.70.5
110109.8NortheasternCAA0.53310.486019114-820-110-00-11-37-412-38-5951721018.80.5
177174.3OaklandHorz0.49820.51531168-1213-160-21-22-33-67-33-102134516113.30.5
294286.6Cal St. FullertonBW0.43420.47692196-139-200-00-00-52-117-46-72102702779.60.5
309303.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42220.42503436-1512-200-10-20-31-411-113-112481652967.20.5
262262.6DuquesneA100.44960.52461035-137-210-20-40-51-86-34-62822632539.60.5
44.9ArizonaP120.65580.57093120-227-44-12-08-111-13-012-195440.90.4
5054.5George WashingtonA100.57130.520511216-522-92-31-23-27-29-010-359221477.50.4
3739.4Oklahoma St.B120.58610.58161313-618-113-62-22-25-15-09-247147336.40.4
233232.3HartfordAE0.46640.450630010-1014-140-10-10-22-512-56-61732122239.30.4
243246.0Weber St.BSky0.45880.46892497-1112-150-10-20-32-49-53-62117623511.00.4
202197.2Saint Joseph'sA100.48570.52171098-1112-180-31-22-52-47-56-616817718611.20.4
218219.7Missouri St.MVC0.47310.52251086-1310-180-40-20-43-67-34-62061502109.70.4
4246.2IndianaB100.57910.56403815-621-103-42-34-36-16-010-384143406.20.4
192189.9Indiana St.MVC0.48980.51581159-1113-160-40-13-32-28-53-82952271818.90.4
337335.6San Jose St.MWC0.38470.50881300-180-280-10-30-60-90-90-103462373341.60.4
7476.2UCLAP120.55480.56773612-917-141-61-12-48-25-08-511153688.20.4
7778.1Rhode IslandA100.55390.510212713-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-3102200708.10.4
154156.0St. Francis PANEC0.50730.465725910-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-58211814610.00.4
153153.5NorthwesternB100.50860.55186410-1013-180-51-42-64-27-09-41552401449.50.4
303296.3New OrleansSlnd0.42630.43743273-109-150-00-20-20-48-81-5214982879.30.4
302297.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42640.45772826-119-190-00-20-31-48-113-72692432907.40.4
4346.5Seton HallBE0.57840.56144214-619-112-52-33-18-25-010-231152415.50.4
297291.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43140.45782806-139-190-10-10-12-108-74-61942132856.30.3
6973.7AlabamaSEC0.55680.55665212-718-120-51-34-35-27-09-364134667.70.3
183179.9Robert MorrisNEC0.49490.468924811-1017-130-20-10-14-613-34-82271481727.90.3
165163.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.50370.48611909-814-130-00-10-34-510-42-52151361549.30.3
123128.0Western MichiganMAC0.52240.500415011-716-130-01-12-45-69-17-41663251199.00.3
8584.7HarvardIvy0.54930.502614510-517-90-10-02-15-410-38-460114777.70.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5762.3North Carolina St.ACC0.56510.5878713-917-141-61-24-37-24-09-47430575.30.3
6068.3St. John'sBE0.56060.57292312-717-131-73-33-15-34-010-24367626.30.3
126131.7LafayettePat0.52030.488118211-817-110-20-00-16-510-37-3401231247.70.3
118122.6VanderbiltSEC0.52600.53848710-916-140-31-55-44-26-19-3982081148.60.3
125129.2MarquetteBE0.52190.56913310-1013-171-71-52-25-23-18-41251101227.20.3
77.9DukeACC0.64450.5853917-325-64-33-16-27-05-013-043670.90.3
10198.7Stony BrookAE0.53990.480820313-819-100-10-22-04-413-27-65231944.70.3
307300.3Western IllinoisSum0.42380.47662206-118-170-00-00-31-67-83-62762182955.30.3
7978.4EvansvilleMVC0.55310.510512615-520-91-30-11-35-213-19-268185744.40.3
312306.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.41890.45722837-149-200-10-00-22-77-105-82462823033.80.3
5356.4MississippiSEC0.56970.55635313-720-111-23-44-35-27-19-487119524.40.3
308302.8DelawareCAA0.42250.49451624-166-230-10-11-22-94-91-103241732993.80.3
133141.5AmericanPat0.51500.488218111-1016-140-00-01-37-68-47-5711511356.50.2
222225.2Holy CrossPat0.47040.49511607-1111-160-00-01-16-94-64-5140852187.20.2
4551.9IowaB100.57400.56793513-720-113-41-33-38-15-09-4112120483.90.2
257259.2HoustonAmer0.45140.49631588-1211-190-30-41-41-28-68-42243322545.20.2
6571.4SyracuseACC0.55830.56074414-718-131-61-13-37-36-09-497126674.40.2
138145.2UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51310.477821311-816-120-10-21-33-312-44-61932551396.20.2
8282.4WyomingMWC0.55080.486418915-421-80-22-13-14-312-19-2101318784.40.2
260260.9NavyPat0.45020.48711847-1310-190-10-20-15-96-63-82932092564.90.2
230230.7South FloridaAmer0.46710.5299946-1410-200-20-40-62-47-35-72161452264.70.2
232231.3IUPUISum0.46660.48761838-1412-180-10-10-52-79-64-102401632274.30.2
9291.3ColoradoP120.54520.56184011-916-141-41-32-48-35-07-513496874.30.2
284278.2MilwaukeeHorz0.43960.49421636-148-200-10-20-33-85-53-92791602744.20.2
264263.2Grand CanyonWAC0.44900.440431910-1015-140-10-11-21-414-57-82512342594.20.2
276270.1North TexasCUSA0.44460.49391646-119-190-00-31-43-46-64-62662222664.10.2
321319.9Coppin St.MEAC0.40490.47282352-176-220-10-10-50-85-80-12297283181.90.1
128134.6Incarnate WordSlnd0.51890.45602897-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-228951313.60.1
160159.7BucknellPat0.50570.489618011-1016-140-10-00-28-88-44-82281811563.70.1
7073.8IllinoisB100.55660.54826813-819-122-31-33-57-26-010-372183712.80.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3029.2StanfordP120.59820.55625415-521-91-42-16-28-25-09-34284281.20.1
3333.1Colorado St.MWC0.59280.514111817-324-60-01-14-37-111-012-0882321.10.1
2626.0CincinnatiAmer0.60300.55954615-523-82-22-24-36-18-09-42910251.00.1
327325.3Morgan St.MEAC0.39880.43553304-168-220-10-10-11-76-122-123232583241.30.1
1721.7Northern IowaMVC0.60960.522910719-226-41-21-05-17-112-011-11370210.70.1
231231.3New HampshireAE0.46670.434133310-914-130-00-00-13-612-55-62263022292.30.1
168164.7AuburnSEC0.50280.5612439-1012-181-21-52-65-43-27-5121711622.70.1
268264.8College of CharlestonCAA0.44800.49631576-1610-210-10-30-42-88-55-82021212631.80.1
4044.0Old DominionCUSA0.58070.505213616-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11033431.00.1
207207.2Texas St.SB0.48020.48181997-912-140-10-11-21-59-53-31221412052.20.1
326323.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.40030.41673464-128-190-00-10-30-58-100-93311293230.90.1
235234.8UTSACUSA0.46480.46472628-912-150-00-10-43-49-54-52703262331.80.1
147149.6James MadisonCAA0.51080.500914913-918-130-20-11-44-412-37-6160731481.60.1
250250.5Appalachian St.SB0.45600.46842508-1111-180-00-01-32-88-63-62613042491.50.1
267263.5LipscombASun0.44870.44583107-1111-150-10-00-11-810-53-92962772621.50.1
215216.2Northwestern St.Slnd0.47540.46472616-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-6241152151.20.0
289282.8FairfieldMAAC0.43740.49301686-159-210-10-10-31-107-72-8268652820.80.0
256258.0East CarolinaAmer0.45190.51281216-129-200-30-41-51-37-55-62712862571.00.0
139145.7RadfordBSth0.51270.456928612-718-100-10-11-24-413-36-4992171450.70.0
205204.5BryantNEC0.48160.47582249-1014-150-00-00-34-710-53-8201802040.50.0
121127.2CanisiusMAAC0.52290.480120712-818-110-00-11-24-513-35-41171131270.20.0
315311.1NiagaraMAAC0.41500.49171773-176-230-00-20-32-84-101-8299723110.10.0
2326.0XavierBE0.60360.58341114-720-112-34-25-27-32-010-32727260.00.0
317314.0SamfordSC0.41190.43283358-1411-190-00-10-31-79-86-6255341314-0.0-0.0
299293.7FurmanSC0.42880.47012435-138-190-10-10-32-77-71-8319164294-0.3-0.0
2828.8San Diego St.MWC0.59910.54078615-523-71-22-26-25-19-19-3304429-0.2-0.0
280275.2SeattleWAC0.44130.43593298-913-130-00-00-23-310-75-7262239276-0.8-0.0
6371.3Bowling GreenMAC0.55870.494916113-420-80-01-22-37-211-18-27930772-0.7-0.0
200194.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.48680.46612589-814-120-00-11-32-610-23-5190135196-1.2-0.0
156157.9North Dakota St.Sum0.50670.456628812-717-100-10-11-23-213-56-5200310159-1.1-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
203201.5DartmouthIvy0.48310.47212378-914-140-00-01-24-58-77-7208312203-1.5-0.0
217219.7Fresno St.MWC0.47320.50501378-1111-180-11-31-53-56-43-8311296221-1.3-0.1
204204.2Boston UniversityPat0.48180.50461397-1212-160-10-10-16-86-53-719951206-1.8-0.1
4952.9Green BayHorz0.57250.492217315-422-60-11-04-26-312-19-3369254-1.1-0.1
241244.3Northern KentuckyASun0.45960.47302347-1211-160-20-00-21-710-54-920599246-1.7-0.1
9391.4New MexicoMWC0.54470.519111313-719-110-11-23-37-38-28-414425393-1.6-0.1
193190.2DetroitHorz0.48960.50671339-1212-170-10-21-64-67-35-815963192-1.8-0.1
334332.3BinghamtonAE0.38940.47052402-194-250-10-20-10-94-110-13338149333-0.7-0.1
104105.9La SalleA100.53580.54088511-917-140-31-22-45-49-18-57650108-2.1-0.1
169166.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50190.46632559-916-110-11-11-22-312-46-5136182169-2.6-0.1
127134.3Cleveland St.Horz0.51890.504114110-1015-140-30-11-44-310-25-818278137-2.7-0.1
179176.0George MasonA100.49650.5651376-129-200-50-52-52-35-34-716217179-3.0-0.1
344341.2Chicago St.WAC0.37300.46752531-183-250-10-10-40-63-131-13313106342-0.8-0.1
1111.4UtahP120.63280.57132915-423-62-32-17-18-05-09-2162612-0.6-0.1
144147.4ChattanoogaSC0.51200.475922312-818-110-20-20-15-213-45-617283151-3.6-0.1
255258.1SienaMAAC0.45200.47732158-1211-180-00-00-34-87-73-6230184261-2.9-0.1
3840.2TulsaAmer0.58480.53479115-421-81-31-24-16-110-17-410411242-1.8-0.1
166162.9Cal PolyBW0.50340.49001798-913-130-10-11-35-47-45-5124191167-4.1-0.1
3132.5DavidsonA100.59400.525610113-422-61-31-13-27-110-08-25119434-1.5-0.1
212212.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.47700.46922468-1114-160-11-11-21-612-64-8197105217-4.1-0.1
146148.7Sacramento St.BSky0.51140.458727612-617-100-10-01-11-315-54-5192242153-4.3-0.2
108108.0AkronMAC0.53430.502914413-619-110-01-24-35-49-28-4189311112-4.0-0.2
3637.2Michigan St.B100.58840.57392114-720-110-52-25-29-24-09-4675639-1.8-0.2
188186.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49160.445031312-1018-130-20-10-03-614-47-8129169190-3.5-0.2
4450.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.57430.525010216-421-70-21-11-211-27-17-310610953-2.3-0.2
214215.0Alabama St.SWAC0.47610.39303519-517-80-10-10-11-116-42-5265224220-5.0-0.2
282277.4Youngstown St.Horz0.44050.47522277-149-190-00-20-52-77-46-6187257281-3.6-0.2
209210.4Ball St.MAC0.47820.5265986-1110-180-20-22-63-65-34-6250225216-5.6-0.2
271266.0Arkansas St.SB0.44740.45592908-1111-170-00-00-42-710-54-4267346270-4.0-0.2
328326.2UNC GreensboroSC0.39780.46092703-166-220-10-10-22-64-121-9330254328-1.8-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
226227.7South DakotaSum0.46860.46612579-1213-160-00-10-33-410-75-8245279232-4.3-0.2
273268.1TowsonCAA0.44610.45662879-1212-180-10-10-42-710-66-6243337272-3.9-0.2
236236.7Western CarolinaSC0.46390.46092698-1213-160-00-10-43-710-53-8242235242-5.3-0.2
248249.9SouthernSWAC0.45650.44393166-1313-160-10-10-30-713-40-1128918255-5.1-0.2
130136.2AlbanyAE0.51770.453029613-720-90-00-12-14-414-35-8186216141-4.8-0.2
174169.2LehighPat0.50020.49191759-1014-140-10-00-07-97-45-5130122175-5.8-0.2
310305.1Southern MissCUSA0.42090.50111484-136-210-00-20-71-64-73-6263195308-2.9-0.2
223225.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47040.461226710-1215-160-00-10-24-610-76-5175289230-4.5-0.2
213213.0DenverSum0.47690.49261719-1213-160-10-21-22-410-66-717687219-6.0-0.2
6771.6MemphisAmer0.55820.55336113-719-121-51-32-24-112-18-51003576-4.4-0.2
150152.3CharlotteCUSA0.50910.49981529-1116-150-10-42-42-312-27-6123100158-5.7-0.2
324323.2Montana St.BSky0.40120.48022063-166-230-10-00-41-64-122-927261326-2.8-0.2
300295.6MarshallCUSA0.42820.49821534-157-220-20-21-41-75-72-9321211300-4.4-0.3
345342.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.36850.41603483-156-220-10-10-20-56-130-10340174344-1.5-0.3
175170.0UABCUSA0.50020.51271239-1115-150-21-11-54-310-33-925347177-7.0-0.3
198194.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.48710.474322911-916-130-00-02-25-59-66-3138161201-6.2-0.3
219219.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.47300.45063018-914-130-00-10-32-512-43-6287251228-8.4-0.3
341338.3UMBCAE0.37940.44393173-185-240-00-10-30-75-122-11334294340-1.7-0.3
182179.7HawaiiBW0.49500.482019613-718-120-10-12-44-511-210-4141214187-7.3-0.3
67.4GonzagaWCC0.64590.54188220-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-16148-0.6-0.3
9592.8MinnesotaB100.54380.55715112-916-141-41-33-45-26-010-24819099-6.2-0.3
249250.6IPFWSum0.45600.46632567-1111-150-00-00-42-59-64-6247275258-7.4-0.3
9795.7Kent St.MAC0.54220.507813214-620-110-11-22-45-312-18-4153280102-6.3-0.3
339336.7Tennessee St.OVC0.38200.47052412-184-250-10-00-21-93-121-12342252339-2.3-0.3
107107.7Georgia SouthernSB0.53450.457728111-419-70-00-01-25-213-34-2163342116-8.3-0.3
8483.5PurdueB100.54970.55026613-818-130-43-25-35-45-08-518522690-6.5-0.3
111110.3UC IrvineBW0.53300.501914710-816-120-11-11-36-49-25-7151108118-7.7-0.3
191188.6CornellIvy0.49020.48501929-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8207259198-9.4-0.3
272266.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.44670.44563114-1412-180-20-20-21-211-102-10298170275-8.7-0.3
251251.0Portland St.BSky0.45550.44803078-912-140-00-00-22-510-64-4196321260-9.0-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151153.4East Tennessee St.SC0.50900.480220510-815-120-10-10-33-312-55-44125163-9.6-0.3
22.5VirginiaACC0.67110.57921719-028-25-13-06-011-03-012-03223-0.5-0.3
189186.0San FranciscoWCC0.49150.5280968-1312-170-20-20-45-76-25-6204125194-8.0-0.4
117119.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52760.5261998-1015-130-20-11-37-57-25-710811129-9.5-0.4
318316.5Southern UtahBSky0.40830.45072984-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8301262322-5.5-0.4
239239.9Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46180.47842106-911-150-00-20-42-68-45-4149276251-11.1-0.4
122127.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52250.463826412-718-90-10-12-23-313-27-6137132136-8.3-0.4
186181.8Oral RobertsSum0.49370.48132009-1014-140-11-00-33-510-65-7181179193-11.2-0.4
10097.8UNLVMWC0.54050.54387811-917-131-31-32-44-28-28-4255106-8.2-0.4
137143.4PepperdineWCC0.51380.493416712-816-120-21-21-24-310-26-4225336152-8.6-0.4
304297.5UMKCWAC0.42620.43923246-1410-190-10-00-11-59-113-12308269305-7.5-0.4
227229.6ManhattanMAAC0.46790.457128510-1014-150-00-00-33-810-43-6304329240-10.4-0.4
6269.3Murray St.OVC0.55930.473923116-423-50-10-03-17-214-28-410918975-5.7-0.4
108.5North CarolinaACC0.64220.6055217-424-74-43-26-18-03-010-315410-1.5-0.4
314308.4Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41680.43053374-1510-200-10-20-20-510-101-1128391316-7.6-0.5
301296.5Nebraska OmahaSum0.42710.43273367-1211-170-00-00-22-59-105-7294350306-9.5-0.5
1518.6SMUAmer0.61590.56054516-423-60-22-36-15-09-08-3261222-3.4-0.5
2425.7TexasB120.60350.5890614-621-103-72-34-18-05-011-2245730-4.3-0.5
295287.3South AlabamaSB0.43390.48122015-148-210-00-10-43-85-80-9348246297-9.7-0.5
274268.2Miami OHMAC0.44610.50891296-139-210-10-31-62-77-44-8318291279-10.8-0.5
176172.7NJITind0.49860.459927211-1014-110-10-02-14-48-514-11171283184-11.3-0.5
149151.6Utah St.MWC0.50960.493416611-816-130-11-23-42-310-36-5183238164-12.4-0.5
142146.4Wake ForestACC0.51250.5710309-1212-190-70-32-55-45-18-5147154157-10.6-0.5
323320.1The CitadelSC0.40440.43943235-128-180-00-11-11-67-102-5328331327-6.9-0.5
285279.2BradleyMVC0.43940.51181246-158-220-30-11-51-76-54-8300236289-9.8-0.5
6872.3William & MaryCAA0.55750.503414311-718-90-10-11-36-211-34-5893782-9.7-0.5
134142.1St. BonaventureA100.51460.500315111-716-130-11-32-44-29-37-4198317155-12.9-0.5
254256.6Sacred HeartNEC0.45250.46102688-1313-170-10-00-13-910-65-7212205269-12.4-0.5
2023.6Notre DameACC0.60640.52749720-227-43-32-15-08-19-012-18832827-3.4-0.5
3537.2BuffaloMAC0.58880.54138314-621-100-20-14-38-49-19-3206844-6.8-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
113110.0Arizona St.P120.53280.55775011-1116-150-51-23-47-34-08-5170199121-11.0-0.5
1418.8BaylorB120.61630.5937414-521-93-53-24-27-14-011-1124323-4.2-0.5
350349.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.33500.43623280-181-280-00-10-30-61-190-11350308350-0.5-0.5
278274.0WagnerNEC0.44220.47572256-1310-180-10-10-03-107-61-930693288-14.0-0.5
173169.4TulaneAmer0.50030.506213412-815-140-21-42-51-112-28-3180316182-12.6-0.5
6671.8RichmondA100.55820.55934711-918-131-31-33-36-47-07-61143984-12.2-0.6
190187.1MonmouthMAAC0.49110.469224712-1017-140-20-11-13-413-64-7257260199-11.9-0.6
351350.6Florida A&MMEAC0.32340.41663470-201-280-00-00-20-81-180-13351313351-0.4-0.6
269265.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.44750.47762148-1311-190-30-11-51-39-66-6291347278-12.1-0.6
178174.5ArmyPat0.49760.450729913-618-100-10-00-06-612-38-2150344189-14.5-0.6
172169.5St. Francis NYNEC0.50050.453929112-919-110-10-00-05-713-35-7222250183-13.5-0.6
225227.6WinthropBSth0.46880.44143188-913-130-10-01-13-510-52-6310315243-15.4-0.6
7374.6ValparaisoHorz0.55580.469324416-422-60-00-11-19-312-110-26624585-10.4-0.6
306299.6Austin PeayOVC0.42490.48082045-147-210-00-10-43-55-103-9292230310-10.4-0.6
1315.3LouisvilleACC0.62290.58061417-324-72-52-16-18-06-012-1198619-3.7-0.6
201197.8VermontAE0.48570.453229510-1016-120-00-01-22-613-44-8254215211-13.2-0.6
5967.1ConnecticutAmer0.56130.55615611-818-121-52-42-33-19-17-5914879-11.9-0.6
4751.3BYUWCC0.57320.54397714-720-91-31-12-19-38-08-3321359-7.7-0.6
8079.0Georgia St.SB0.55300.492117413-720-100-11-21-16-213-36-4467491-12.0-0.7
9694.0ToledoMAC0.54330.523010612-818-130-20-12-47-59-18-596166109-15.0-0.7
316311.3Jackson St.SWAC0.41430.41513495-1512-190-00-00-20-811-92-11309229321-9.7-0.7
211211.8Morehead St.OVC0.47770.47412308-1313-160-10-10-32-811-23-10260202225-13.2-0.7
197193.2MercerSC0.48760.467425410-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8280193212-18.8-0.7
158158.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.50600.453829211-716-110-10-11-32-514-26-5178322176-17.2-0.7
242245.4PennIvy0.45890.48711856-1010-180-10-11-42-87-55-9259264264-18.6-0.7
140146.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.51260.49181769-715-120-00-22-44-39-27-294306171-24.7-0.7
161159.8San DiegoWCC0.50570.520911110-1113-160-31-31-34-57-26-5142171178-18.2-0.7
9088.0High PointBSth0.54670.477921214-519-80-10-11-16-412-16-344138103-15.0-0.8
216218.8USC UpstateASun0.47390.416934512-717-100-10-10-12-415-49-4174339236-17.2-0.8
333328.9Idaho St.BSky0.39370.44973033-166-220-00-00-30-76-121-9335281337-8.1-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
244246.7IdahoBSky0.45840.46482606-1012-150-00-01-33-37-83-6238186271-24.3-0.8
338336.0StetsonASun0.38230.44033203-156-210-00-10-10-76-112-11336314343-7.0-0.8
329325.9LongwoodBSth0.39760.45152974-167-220-00-10-22-95-102-9326295335-9.1-0.8
288280.6RiceCUSA0.43800.49271704-128-190-10-20-52-55-71-8343267301-20.4-0.8
56.7WisconsinB100.64870.57262618-227-42-25-17-19-13-012-111329-2.3-0.8
343340.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.37450.45362933-195-260-10-10-11-114-142-11329278345-4.2-0.8
145148.5ColumbiaIvy0.51160.51351198-814-130-10-11-46-48-37-613975173-24.5-0.8
346343.0JacksonvilleASun0.36810.42553414-166-220-00-10-11-55-153-11344343347-4.0-0.8
9997.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54060.458827512-520-70-00-31-32-118-15-4107124110-12.3-0.8
252253.6ElonCAA0.45440.45812789-1112-170-10-01-12-910-56-5219334273-19.4-0.9
116114.1TCUB120.53060.525810014-619-121-82-31-13-111-013-092349134-19.9-0.9
258258.9Air ForceMWC0.45120.49001787-1110-170-10-31-51-58-25-4256333280-21.1-0.9
320318.8TroySB0.40600.44743085-128-190-00-11-32-55-103-4333351331-12.2-0.9
164162.9Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50380.439532211-617-90-00-11-24-412-35-3126300185-22.1-0.9
220221.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.47230.46062717-1012-140-00-00-24-78-51-7325292245-23.2-0.9
1822.9OklahomaB120.60810.5912513-720-104-54-12-25-24-09-3396631-8.1-0.9
293286.5CampbellBSth0.43430.46832525-149-190-10-10-13-76-93-7244192307-20.5-0.9
290283.1Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43680.45822777-1210-170-00-10-31-79-64-7303323302-18.9-0.9
261261.1HowardMEAC0.44980.42983387-1012-160-00-10-21-711-63-9258271286-24.9-0.9
275270.5LIU BrooklynNEC0.44470.46222668-1211-180-00-10-23-98-64-7221188291-20.5-0.9
347345.7LibertyBSth0.35920.43493312-164-230-00-00-10-104-122-7347338349-3.3-0.9
335332.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38800.43413343-177-220-10-10-20-77-121-12332207341-8.1-1.0
7576.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55420.477121815-522-80-00-12-36-214-28-413128595-18.1-1.0
8985.8UTEPCUSA0.54830.506113513-721-91-11-11-36-212-28-45829105-19.2-1.0
238239.6Tennessee TechOVC0.46220.46922458-1212-160-00-00-35-77-66-6128198265-25.4-1.0
332328.9MaristMAAC0.39430.47202383-185-250-00-00-20-125-111-9339265336-7.1-1.0
298291.8NevadaMWC0.43120.49741544-137-210-10-31-52-54-72-8341299309-17.2-1.0
7878.2Central MichiganMAC0.55380.486818711-419-70-01-12-25-310-27-1132348104-25.8-1.0
11.4KentuckySEC0.68110.57981620-031-05-06-07-07-04-013-0162-0.6-1.0
171168.7MontanaBSky0.50080.47022429-815-120-00-21-22-312-52-723277200-31.3-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
170166.7North FloridaASun0.50190.438932511-917-110-10-11-22-314-45-9235303191-24.3-1.1
305298.2HamptonMEAC0.42570.42823398-1211-180-00-10-21-710-84-9275288319-20.8-1.1
5154.6FloridaSEC0.57090.5867811-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61102373-18.4-1.1
195192.2ColgatePat0.48850.49291698-1313-170-10-00-25-108-42-10288178222-29.8-1.1
313308.2Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41750.43433325-1410-180-00-10-21-59-113-11317284325-16.8-1.2
340337.8Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37940.40013504-159-200-00-00-10-89-123-10345340346-8.2-1.2
296289.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43250.45352947-1110-150-00-00-31-68-72-7349345315-25.9-1.2
281276.9Arkansas Little RockSB0.44050.47232367-1211-180-00-20-41-79-64-5274268304-27.1-1.2
247248.5LamarSlnd0.45720.47562266-1010-160-10-20-21-49-62-6218155284-35.5-1.2
8886.0South CarolinaSEC0.54850.5728249-915-141-43-33-44-34-08-37397115-29.0-1.3
9492.2South Dakota St.Sum0.54420.477321614-719-90-20-10-04-316-37-5105180117-24.8-1.3
136143.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.51410.459627312-918-110-20-10-04-414-35-811540174-30.9-1.4
8784.8Illinois St.MVC0.54910.53549012-817-120-41-11-25-310-17-46234111-26.2-1.4
237238.2PrincetonIvy0.46280.48491937-1012-170-00-01-34-97-46-9273266283-44.8-1.4
124128.2New Mexico St.WAC0.52220.482819510-1018-110-20-21-32-215-26-916124160-31.8-1.7
1923.3Ohio St.B100.60700.55535817-524-71-32-26-29-06-011-24917636-12.7-1.7
187185.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49200.47732178-1014-140-00-12-23-59-63-5239232238-52.8-1.8
292284.2Houston BaptistSlnd0.43560.45912745-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5316330332-47.8-1.9
246247.3Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.45780.44903059-813-150-10-20-21-412-73-7315335292-44.7-2.0
129134.9HofstraCAA0.51830.457228414-821-100-00-01-34-516-29-4152324180-45.1-2.4
4650.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57370.478021114-324-40-20-13-03-117-07-36913988-37.3-3.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com