live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 17, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
255253.6Nicholls St.Slnd0.45200.46772585-910-170-10-10-22-58-93-61084716390.62.8
273274.4Western CarolinaSC0.43990.51401263-136-230-10-20-71-95-43-81593121856.42.7
111111.1Texas SouthernSWAC0.53240.45482909-921-100-40-11-11-319-24-95776744.12.5
289286.1The CitadelSC0.43280.47672326-119-190-00-20-51-97-44-624928824046.12.2
8286.7MississippiSEC0.54780.56394211-717-140-50-33-48-25-19-450214442.71.7
3539.2Middle TennesseeCUSA0.58510.505414214-325-50-01-13-19-211-19-327182316.21.7
305301.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.42030.45262952-127-180-10-30-31-26-81-10191625942.81.6
288284.5Chicago St.WAC0.43370.50091503-155-230-20-20-31-74-92-1226414225133.51.6
274274.6Saint LouisA100.43970.52281065-138-230-10-40-82-85-35-829523924727.61.6
8586.9North Carolina St.ACC0.54720.57422913-616-151-71-34-37-24-011-2311064937.91.6
190191.5Loyola MDPat0.48760.48402038-813-150-20-01-25-48-75-5908114645.51.6
8084.4NebraskaB100.54880.598158-813-161-53-43-54-22-15-610624836.41.5
1212.9CreightonBE0.63380.56394317-125-54-32-17-17-05-012-0914457.91.4
242239.5BradleyMVC0.46070.50501437-1110-200-10-50-33-77-44-825719920732.51.4
182187.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.49030.457928310-816-130-10-10-32-414-48-511321114839.51.4
207206.4New OrleansSlnd0.47970.45742866-713-130-00-20-22-411-52-621911716145.41.4
2426.1MinnesotaB100.60610.58551715-422-91-34-37-37-12-012-16231313.11.4
184188.2San Jose St.MWC0.48950.52041137-711-160-10-21-45-75-25-417923414939.21.4
8788.0StanfordP120.54670.5809239-814-150-71-32-36-25-07-436105533.01.4
7275.7IllinoisB100.55480.57752811-716-141-42-45-45-24-09-347424530.71.3
283280.8DelawareCAA0.43570.48991775-128-210-10-21-52-85-65-621329525327.81.3
121123.9Georgia TechACC0.52480.56004911-614-162-52-32-52-26-08-41712609330.91.3
10099.8TempleAmer0.53930.55006510-917-142-31-22-34-58-19-438207128.81.2
337328.2Coppin St.MEAC0.39700.43323204-147-220-00-20-40-67-110-133227531117.21.2
7779.2ProvidenceBE0.55240.56643813-717-141-72-14-24-26-210-3611405227.21.2
186189.8Central MichiganMAC0.48880.47802239-715-140-00-11-36-69-48-313331615237.81.2
3337.9MarylandB100.58810.55635915-222-81-23-26-38-13-011-1331482215.91.2
4550.5Wake ForestACC0.57480.58871310-716-141-81-34-27-14-09-322293020.51.2
5864.3Seton HallBE0.56290.56254512-617-132-72-12-34-17-010-2511833925.31.2
159156.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.50690.48901789-914-140-00-20-34-610-26-611613912432.81.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
327320.8LongwoodBSth0.40570.45732874-117-200-10-00-30-66-101-834326830218.81.1
105108.7AuburnSEC0.53390.53448811-617-140-31-33-48-35-110-3481417929.71.1
266265.5BrownIvy0.44510.45782848-812-160-10-10-32-610-57-725231823629.51.1
183187.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48980.44733049-717-120-10-10-12-614-46-512615215532.81.1
9191.0Penn St.B100.54460.57173211-716-151-52-42-47-33-08-5127916823.01.0
5357.1PittsburghACC0.56830.6019312-716-152-72-24-36-22-111-217284017.11.0
151150.2William & MaryCAA0.51070.51391276-812-140-30-21-35-37-34-514713111634.21.0
155153.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.50850.517012010-815-150-20-41-16-58-36-61487912825.71.0
171171.1RutgersB100.49910.53129110-813-170-31-61-62-29-010-211234214724.10.9
164159.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.50560.467725710-816-130-00-21-32-412-46-714225313425.20.9
219215.2UMKCWAC0.47440.50251467-1111-170-30-10-23-78-45-92029919223.20.9
315309.9MaineAE0.41620.47932174-157-230-10-20-32-95-93-1130127029514.90.9
261263.1MaristMAAC0.44660.49821576-139-220-10-20-32-107-63-823915624320.10.9
3640.5USCP120.58470.54227616-323-82-51-13-110-27-013-0131612911.50.9
320312.6LafayettePat0.41430.46832545-117-210-10-00-42-64-103-728426130012.60.9
206205.3Indiana St.MVC0.48020.51901166-1111-181-00-40-34-65-55-61436718124.30.9
269270.9McNeese St.Slnd0.44140.47942153-108-180-10-10-21-67-81-72273624525.90.9
134137.0WyomingMWC0.51790.509813610-616-130-00-21-48-57-28-38319410928.00.9
2936.4TCUB120.59090.57922713-320-101-52-24-29-13-011-118932412.40.9
123125.7North Dakota St.Sum0.52410.488118310-616-110-10-11-15-510-36-511412610124.70.9
3135.5Illinois St.MVC0.59000.516012313-423-60-01-13-110-39-17-46466278.50.8
284282.4Austin PeayOVC0.43480.47872204-138-200-00-20-22-76-92-1028112026319.40.8
88.3ButlerBE0.64590.59141016-324-65-34-17-13-25-111-131344.30.8
236230.2USC UpstateASun0.46600.45073008-813-140-00-00-41-312-66-720129820822.20.8
166160.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50450.45752859-616-110-10-10-12-314-55-48511813525.70.8
6973.8College of CharlestonCAA0.55570.504714414-421-90-21-22-27-311-18-41011465716.80.8
9698.3AlabamaSEC0.54020.54247510-617-130-41-33-36-26-07-51521077721.30.8
67.0KansasB120.65000.5944817-125-64-34-17-18-02-011-281934.00.8
282280.6TulaneAmer0.43590.51761184-136-240-40-30-41-85-53-933030526713.60.8
117114.8Saint Joseph'sA100.53050.5469708-814-160-21-43-55-46-16-693559420.80.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6472.3Kansas St.B120.55740.55246213-418-131-61-32-28-16-012-1622805418.30.8
13.3VillanovaBE0.66310.58422018-128-36-23-08-16-05-013-052612.30.8
25.7BaylorB120.65530.6049216-124-64-35-16-16-03-012-01423.70.8
147149.4Green BayHorz0.51100.48711899-715-130-10-11-25-510-44-619921512722.40.8
1615.3Florida St.ACC0.62870.57932616-224-75-33-15-15-15-012-128133105.30.8
294289.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.42960.48621912-127-200-10-20-21-66-81-102501126920.60.7
196197.1Boston CollegeACC0.48480.5582519-911-200-61-33-54-43-27-624425218215.10.7
137140.1TowsonCAA0.51620.51321289-916-140-10-32-26-47-47-51028912020.10.7
149149.0LSUSEC0.51090.5667379-712-180-31-42-74-54-08-4452513118.00.7
127130.9Georgia St.SB0.52150.50191478-716-120-11-11-34-69-25-51229811020.90.7
910.8FloridaSEC0.63940.5917914-324-71-54-18-17-14-010-314973.80.7
118117.0ColoradoP120.52940.5331899-816-141-41-22-46-37-09-3881909918.00.7
9799.3Georgia SouthernSB0.53990.500015410-617-120-10-22-45-410-25-61191218118.30.7
8385.7TennesseeSEC0.54770.5831218-915-150-81-34-35-25-06-6104127015.70.7
345343.2PresbyterianBSth0.37040.45362922-134-230-00-00-41-63-122-73182843403.20.7
265265.0North FloridaASun0.44510.48541953-138-190-10-10-31-67-71-1231712824817.00.6
124126.5Arizona St.P120.52360.5650409-914-170-71-32-34-36-17-61548211115.50.6
6170.3Virginia TechACC0.55860.54766913-419-112-52-25-24-17-011-1713105614.30.6
213211.9RadfordBSth0.47640.48402026-1012-160-20-22-32-39-63-71783419417.90.6
104105.2MassachusettsA100.53620.524810011-718-130-01-32-57-48-110-3822078817.20.6
179183.5Washington St.P120.49230.5577548-810-190-60-20-45-55-16-520017617013.50.6
270272.2Robert MorrisNEC0.44120.45262966-1312-190-10-00-33-410-114-920810925814.20.6
307303.8North TexasCUSA0.41990.46962494-119-190-00-20-21-98-64-630529629112.80.6
9292.0VanderbiltSEC0.54410.598248-1013-181-61-54-55-23-06-78717814.00.6
1919.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.61800.53648215-225-41-22-13-111-09-010-12465172.70.6
221217.9DuquesneA100.47320.50971379-913-180-21-31-53-68-27-623024320413.90.6
138140.5UNC GreensboroSC0.51590.480221311-518-100-10-13-24-410-26-416322712614.50.6
157154.4George WashingtonA100.50820.5320909-915-160-21-43-55-57-18-513913713915.40.5
3743.4ArkansasSEC0.58180.54816814-422-90-42-15-210-25-011-21661358.40.5
4145.7Michigan St.B100.57970.59121112-718-132-63-25-44-14-08-57216378.70.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6574.1La SalleA100.55650.53838110-518-110-21-24-46-47-17-479376113.10.5
139141.0SamfordSC0.51570.480821211-617-120-20-11-35-412-27-410721712912.00.5
275275.1Youngstown St.Horz0.43940.48412016-129-200-01-11-42-86-74-723724926411.10.5
311305.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41890.42943272-1410-190-00-20-30-610-81-122919629411.00.5
5154.9UT ArlingtonSB0.57060.504214511-520-91-10-11-27-210-28-32156468.90.5
268268.3DetroitHorz0.44360.51071343-147-220-10-11-42-104-61-103006925612.30.5
253252.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45280.45162976-912-150-10-00-32-611-53-828916423913.50.5
7074.6Arkansas St.SB0.55540.500815211-620-100-10-13-26-410-38-43795659.60.4
290286.9South FloridaAmer0.43200.49691596-118-210-30-20-42-76-46-52773352797.90.4
233228.1DePaulBE0.46740.5503648-119-220-70-31-51-66-17-62622902217.10.4
224221.6Cleveland St.Horz0.47120.51281325-1310-190-20-11-43-86-53-82054121011.60.4
3035.7NevadaMWC0.59090.520211415-324-70-10-04-213-37-011-230134314.70.4
238235.9East CarolinaAmer0.46300.49691609-1013-180-30-41-52-410-28-52093152269.90.4
181185.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49150.47712297-1215-160-20-30-31-314-52-112031717510.50.4
243241.6DrexelCAA0.45970.48541946-1110-190-10-20-42-78-45-72223172329.60.4
299295.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42620.43453193-1411-190-20-10-21-49-101-11260582869.30.4
230226.6Long Beach St.BW0.46800.49051764-1411-190-40-10-32-49-73-111761521511.60.4
140142.4UC IrvineBW0.51510.47712289-918-120-20-20-32-216-45-9140401339.40.4
2731.5DaytonA100.59650.54537112-422-70-12-26-26-17-08-35653283.50.4
216214.0PacificWCC0.47510.5294927-1110-200-50-10-34-85-35-72361842059.00.4
277275.3Central ArkansasSlnd0.43910.47652334-1410-210-20-10-32-57-111-12310842669.30.4
7476.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.55420.484220011-520-70-20-11-23-115-28-56362697.20.3
107109.9CanisiusMAAC0.53330.493317312-720-110-10-11-28-511-37-4941491027.90.3
6874.8Texas TechB120.55580.54067913-420-112-42-22-26-38-012-191327668.80.3
4448.6GeorgiaSEC0.57660.58042411-618-121-51-25-39-23-08-47035435.60.3
2323.8XavierBE0.61030.58771413-521-102-62-16-27-14-010-31124212.80.3
333325.1Savannah St.MEAC0.39980.41763394-129-180-10-10-30-39-101-102961503205.10.3
154152.1St. John'sBE0.50940.5602489-1112-191-70-42-51-27-26-72262351457.10.3
322311.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.41360.42263326-911-160-00-00-02-79-84-73233323047.00.3
125128.9UABCUSA0.52230.485019710-719-110-20-21-25-413-26-61811621217.90.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
336327.3StetsonASun0.39790.43823144-128-200-00-00-30-47-125-93143403234.30.3
191192.8Holy CrossPat0.48700.47962149-1015-160-10-20-43-611-46-71551531857.80.3
116114.3TulsaAmer0.53080.5437739-715-150-21-42-43-29-26-6153801077.30.3
195196.3PennIvy0.48520.48441986-813-140-10-11-43-49-47-61511701888.30.3
260262.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44760.48711886-1210-190-10-11-32-77-75-81931302557.10.3
178183.2MercerSC0.49240.50851396-1113-160-10-21-64-68-24-7165441767.20.3
199199.9UNLVMWC0.48330.51671219-1014-170-30-21-35-67-27-62102041936.90.3
319309.0Cal PolyBW0.41480.45092993-128-200-00-10-22-77-103-92611913036.00.3
237235.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.46330.49171757-1112-180-10-21-33-78-53-72712122296.30.2
4851.4AkronMAC0.57370.501514814-323-70-20-03-18-212-29-342155474.40.2
321310.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.41430.42073333-1310-170-20-00-20-410-91-113211353055.30.2
174173.8Stony BrookAE0.49720.48431999-816-130-00-22-14-610-55-82332131685.80.2
234229.7CharlotteCUSA0.46660.48332047-912-160-10-20-32-610-45-51942012236.70.2
298294.4Sacred HeartNEC0.42700.42513308-1113-180-10-00-01-512-115-82683032904.40.2
158156.9South DakotaSum0.50700.476423511-817-120-10-10-25-511-47-61582321515.90.2
329322.4Delaware St.MEAC0.40380.41843373-149-200-00-10-12-47-131-123161933193.40.2
8486.0UNC AshevilleBSth0.54740.477522611-620-90-10-21-26-214-26-56560824.00.2
338328.7Sacramento St.BSky0.39670.43903123-117-200-00-00-10-87-101-83352373262.70.2
256254.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.45160.45122985-1011-160-20-00-11-710-62-7220682495.60.2
2527.9South CarolinaSEC0.60250.56254413-322-81-23-27-37-14-09-34372261.90.2
276274.5IdahoBSky0.43940.43313215-912-150-00-00-11-810-63-62672822704.50.2
2121.2Notre DameACC0.61510.56863516-224-73-53-15-17-06-011-253163201.20.2
4044.3ClemsonACC0.58100.57982511-618-122-63-25-24-24-010-23292422.30.2
3843.3NorthwesternB100.58170.55396015-421-101-43-35-27-06-011-240175412.30.2
239236.9NavyPat0.46230.47622367-1013-160-00-00-44-79-54-72581792333.90.1
160157.0Wright St.Horz0.50680.489018010-716-130-00-01-35-710-37-4981671534.00.1
205206.0Northern IowaMVC0.48020.52271075-1110-180-20-30-24-75-34-6164542024.00.1
348346.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.35520.39153482-147-210-00-00-10-47-151-113442913460.50.1
241237.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46170.45013026-1013-150-10-10-21-512-71-92931032343.70.1
131135.6Fresno St.MWC0.51890.51171339-715-130-11-12-44-57-26-41683081323.60.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
314308.0DartmouthIvy0.41730.47532403-116-210-00-10-32-74-93-102992743062.00.1
227224.5South AlabamaSB0.46940.49361727-912-170-00-21-43-68-45-62513022222.50.1
144145.3OklahomaB120.51310.5814227-911-191-82-42-41-35-16-61851221432.30.1
286283.0Miami OHMAC0.43400.48272066-1010-190-00-10-43-97-65-63043332812.00.1
222218.1Western KentuckyCUSA0.47300.47812219-1014-170-10-21-23-710-56-72353142162.10.1
161157.8BuffaloMAC0.50650.51641226-1013-160-20-21-33-58-44-71771041561.80.1
172172.7Missouri St.MVC0.49820.478022211-717-130-00-30-25-412-38-41983261711.70.1
5460.0MonmouthMAAC0.56580.495716414-523-80-10-13-17-413-18-334113591.00.1
115114.4RichmondA100.53080.520511211-618-120-11-42-36-38-16-62142251131.40.1
119119.4Mississippi St.SEC0.52800.52679712-518-120-31-23-65-27-09-31572811181.40.1
120120.2IowaB100.52750.55336111-816-151-42-43-43-27-08-51801921191.20.0
343339.3St. Francis NYNEC0.37970.43743163-156-240-10-00-20-56-161-113382513390.30.0
126131.1Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52160.489017911-618-110-00-31-26-410-28-31112761301.10.0
246247.1Oral RobertsSum0.45640.52301033-148-200-20-10-34-113-32-10225142461.10.0
106109.0Texas A&MSEC0.53380.5590509-815-150-61-32-34-27-08-486451081.00.0
3236.2VCUA100.58950.54357414-423-80-22-14-310-26-010-34976360.20.0
114112.4Tennessee St.OVC0.53170.473624210-618-90-11-01-25-211-37-4781711120.40.0
1415.1DukeACC0.62920.59061214-423-83-54-15-16-04-012-11063150.10.0
173174.2MontanaBSky0.49760.454029110-919-120-10-10-23-616-35-82282201740.20.0
212211.2UC DavisBW0.47660.43803159-816-130-00-10-12-513-66-71882642110.20.0
185189.0San DiegoWCC0.48950.5264988-912-170-50-11-32-69-26-51832001890.00.0
8686.8BelmontOVC0.54720.475423911-419-70-10-20-15-214-16-49714387-0.2-0.0
5562.7ValparaisoHorz0.56380.495516614-423-70-21-02-18-313-19-35210563-0.3-0.0
4952.7CaliforniaP120.57260.55735613-520-101-51-13-38-16-09-3777153-0.3-0.0
232227.3Portland St.BSky0.46780.42353317-614-120-00-00-03-511-64-4150293228-0.7-0.0
187189.2HofstraCAA0.48870.50091498-1014-160-20-21-45-58-57-5137188190-0.8-0.0
5763.5New Mexico St.WAC0.56300.459027915-223-40-00-01-18-214-111-26629964-0.5-0.0
136139.0HarvardIvy0.51660.48262077-515-100-01-12-32-410-26-5146165140-1.0-0.0
291287.1CornellIvy0.43180.48801843-127-210-00-21-41-85-73-11280196288-0.9-0.0
324312.8UC RiversideBW0.41180.46092752-117-190-10-00-12-75-101-9308100314-1.2-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
323314.0HartfordAE0.41240.45302936-139-220-00-10-22-97-105-10319345315-1.0-0.1
326316.8Morgan St.MEAC0.40890.39353466-1012-160-00-10-10-412-102-10337278318-1.2-0.1
1011.6ArizonaP120.63710.57283116-226-51-43-16-011-15-011-2152212-0.4-0.1
112111.8YaleIvy0.53220.47652348-617-90-10-11-34-211-27-5120208114-2.2-0.1
193195.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48580.38453519-620-70-00-00-11-218-46-5141294197-1.5-0.1
225221.6Air ForceMWC0.47080.52241087-911-180-00-31-55-75-35-6240189224-2.4-0.1
5256.2Oklahoma St.B120.57000.5862169-716-141-72-34-25-24-010-2295958-1.8-0.1
1313.4OregonP120.63280.56703615-225-52-23-17-29-15-010-2255114-0.6-0.1
77.5LouisvilleACC0.64870.6089115-324-74-54-15-18-03-012-1258-0.5-0.1
285282.2St. Francis PANEC0.43440.43133245-1112-160-00-00-20-411-92-8306256285-2.8-0.1
200199.7EvansvilleMVC0.48330.51311308-1013-160-20-41-13-68-47-410386203-3.3-0.1
180183.7FairfieldMAAC0.49200.48182088-815-140-00-11-33-710-35-4162272187-3.3-0.1
150150.3Boston UniversityPat0.51070.48152109-817-120-00-02-44-511-34-7221127154-3.7-0.1
1715.3CincinnatiAmer0.62790.54966615-227-41-23-16-18-08-011-2202716-0.7-0.1
214212.1Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47610.44313066-714-120-10-10-11-313-74-4145246217-4.9-0.1
240238.1ManhattanMAAC0.46170.49491687-1211-200-20-10-43-88-55-6170159242-3.9-0.2
9393.7MarshallCUSA0.54310.514812410-818-120-10-31-36-311-26-61185298-4.3-0.2
229225.8LIU BrooklynNEC0.46870.419633511-718-120-10-01-02-315-86-6207313230-4.2-0.2
317308.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41600.44013115-1310-190-00-10-21-79-93-10336339312-3.6-0.2
194195.7PortlandWCC0.48560.51311318-812-160-40-10-24-68-36-5192216200-4.3-0.2
339335.3Southern UtahBSky0.38700.44103092-146-230-00-00-10-85-140-11349267337-1.7-0.2
102101.7IonaMAAC0.53830.500315311-819-120-11-12-17-410-47-45583106-4.3-0.2
264266.1High PointBSth0.44520.45862815-1011-160-00-10-42-48-73-6255222271-4.9-0.2
318309.1HawaiiBW0.41570.43843136-912-160-10-10-21-311-85-7307258313-3.9-0.2
8186.2New MexicoMWC0.54790.54137811-817-130-21-33-36-47-17-51107391-4.8-0.2
228225.0NJITASun0.46920.46022787-1013-150-10-10-21-411-76-8195250231-6.0-0.2
306303.2Charleston SouthernBSth0.42000.46122732-127-190-10-10-41-47-91-7309221308-4.8-0.2
192192.8Murray St.OVC0.48690.45602888-916-120-01-11-14-410-64-8278254199-6.2-0.2
296291.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42860.40643435-1113-150-10-00-20-312-82-8285202297-5.3-0.2
156154.1Loyola MarymountWCC0.50840.5284948-813-150-40-20-35-48-26-4167187160-5.9-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
203203.1Gardner WebbBSth0.48140.46302687-914-140-00-21-52-311-44-6182182209-5.9-0.2
35.2KentuckySEC0.65490.58511816-227-44-33-07-09-04-011-2736-0.8-0.2
254253.8Bowling GreenMAC0.45220.49651626-1111-190-10-10-33-107-55-7275271260-6.2-0.2
8989.6St. BonaventureA100.54540.523810112-619-110-21-32-27-39-18-412115895-5.4-0.2
340335.9Southern MissCUSA0.38640.46192703-125-230-10-10-20-85-101-9348309338-2.1-0.2
332325.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.40030.44553052-167-240-20-30-20-47-130-1330332329-3.7-0.2
245246.0FordhamA100.45720.51751196-1110-200-10-31-64-84-45-7265231252-6.0-0.2
235229.2North DakotaBSky0.46620.43183236-714-110-00-00-13-610-52-5217173237-7.8-0.3
128133.0ToledoMAC0.52050.51861179-816-140-00-31-36-59-36-612449141-8.0-0.3
177183.0Coastal CarolinaSB0.49280.51921157-913-160-00-22-73-58-33-825397191-8.0-0.3
258257.1Appalachian St.SB0.44990.49701584-109-180-10-11-52-65-63-6273292265-7.9-0.3
346343.5Grambling St.SWAC0.36730.38983494-128-200-10-00-10-38-142-8334323345-1.5-0.3
170169.6ElonCAA0.49970.49571638-914-150-20-21-45-48-46-5161238177-7.4-0.3
2629.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59840.508613815-224-50-00-24-19-111-09-2269032-2.2-0.3
204204.6IUPUISum0.48030.48112116-1112-160-00-21-33-67-54-8206228213-8.4-0.3
9999.0WinthropBSth0.53940.467725911-420-70-10-12-13-215-26-34477105-6.0-0.3
6773.8UCFAmer0.55600.520711014-420-100-31-13-25-410-19-310923680-6.2-0.3
349348.3Florida A&MMEAC0.34580.39313472-145-220-10-00-10-35-170-11350286349-0.7-0.3
6069.4MichiganB100.55950.56503912-718-131-43-44-35-15-010-35911676-6.6-0.3
175178.0DenverSum0.49540.461227211-717-120-00-00-15-711-48-5174312186-8.0-0.3
292288.1UTSACUSA0.43090.44243077-911-180-00-10-23-68-93-8320322296-7.9-0.3
133136.6Old DominionCUSA0.51820.487918611-719-110-10-21-26-512-27-5144151144-7.4-0.3
188189.8RiderMAAC0.48860.458628211-816-150-00-01-33-612-57-4173347198-8.2-0.3
303297.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.42360.46652603-108-170-00-00-12-86-81-6294102307-9.1-0.3
162158.0Saint Peter'sMAAC0.50600.48561939-816-140-10-11-25-510-54-6223257167-9.0-0.3
9494.2DavidsonA100.54260.5360849-716-130-32-32-35-37-17-476108103-8.8-0.3
7175.3UtahP120.55500.52929310-518-101-51-12-26-28-07-313624083-7.7-0.3
262264.1CampbellBSth0.44620.44233087-812-150-00-10-31-411-64-5254324273-8.9-0.3
7882.5PrincetonIvy0.55040.49561659-617-90-00-21-34-212-16-61008790-7.5-0.4
8888.4GeorgetownBE0.54640.58441910-915-162-71-32-45-15-09-4733896-7.6-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
287283.9BryantNEC0.43390.46182714-1411-190-20-10-12-49-122-1025657293-9.1-0.4
5966.3ChattanoogaSC0.56110.486319012-421-70-10-02-28-311-07-35815773-6.7-0.4
7376.2Boise St.MWC0.55440.523010410-618-100-11-12-38-46-16-411516885-8.8-0.4
145146.7TexasB120.51260.5872157-1111-201-61-63-54-23-16-718774157-10.3-0.4
330324.7HowardMEAC0.40080.42863282-148-210-00-20-20-68-101-12312101331-6.3-0.4
109111.0Fort WayneSum0.53260.468825211-519-80-11-21-15-312-28-380259122-11.0-0.4
9090.8LehighPat0.54460.48891819-719-90-10-12-25-412-25-57448100-9.2-0.4
347346.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.35560.41813382-155-240-00-00-10-45-182-9341334348-1.3-0.4
312306.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.41760.41913363-1110-160-00-10-20-79-70-831350316-9.7-0.4
208206.8Little RockSB0.47940.46812559-715-140-10-12-34-410-67-4190329219-12.2-0.4
281279.1UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.43700.47032466-129-190-00-10-31-88-75-9270300289-9.9-0.4
3944.0Iowa St.B120.58100.57303011-619-112-72-14-26-25-09-38916651-7.0-0.4
169170.3UMBCAE0.49970.461027410-616-110-00-10-23-513-37-4156319183-12.7-0.5
271272.2MilwaukeeHorz0.44100.49911554-148-220-00-10-53-95-73-9241138283-10.8-0.5
5664.0MarquetteBE0.56340.55785312-618-122-61-24-35-17-09-312923074-10.0-0.5
6372.4Ohio St.B100.55750.57133311-718-131-53-45-34-15-110-36911084-11.6-0.5
163158.3SienaMAAC0.50600.51321298-1115-160-10-12-55-68-33-821243173-14.7-0.5
197197.2TroySB0.48460.48172098-914-160-01-12-33-59-66-6234336212-14.8-0.5
9594.1BucknellPat0.54260.479421613-622-90-10-11-36-315-18-592129104-9.9-0.5
1816.3UCLAP120.62560.53518518-128-33-22-05-09-08-013-02320619-2.7-0.5
135137.4George MasonA100.51760.508214011-617-130-11-32-36-48-29-3135285150-12.6-0.5
342338.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38060.42043343-147-230-00-00-20-87-130-12342169343-4.8-0.5
189190.6Utah ValleyWAC0.48830.48721876-912-140-10-11-22-68-55-7166185206-15.4-0.5
313308.1ColgatePat0.41740.46842533-157-230-10-00-41-75-111-11339287317-8.9-0.5
202201.1Houston BaptistSlnd0.48260.48601924-911-140-00-20-33-38-61-62048220-18.9-0.5
341337.0Alabama St.SWAC0.38280.41093413-138-210-00-10-20-58-131-10326210342-5.0-0.5
201200.6LibertyBSth0.48260.47702307-914-140-00-20-41-512-32-828788214-13.4-0.5
210210.0WoffordSC0.47740.49471704-1111-170-00-21-45-66-42-8269160225-15.0-0.5
351350.4Alabama A&MSWAC0.32540.38783501-153-260-00-00-10-53-190-11351343351-0.6-0.5
6673.8San Diego St.MWC0.55600.523210210-719-100-11-12-39-57-07-49913686-12.2-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
110111.2San FranciscoWCC0.53260.520611111-718-120-41-11-25-410-29-396205125-13.8-0.6
350348.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.34250.40963420-174-250-10-00-10-64-170-13347269350-1.3-0.6
2831.8SMUAmer0.59650.53888015-424-71-22-25-37-18-010-3419438-6.2-0.6
9899.8MemphisAmer0.53950.514812513-520-111-11-32-45-211-010-3105218115-15.2-0.6
249249.3PepperdineWCC0.45500.5446724-136-230-40-10-43-93-43-824285262-12.7-0.6
176181.5Northern IllinoisMAC0.49340.47872199-615-130-10-11-24-59-55-5248328201-19.5-0.6
325317.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40930.45872804-137-210-00-10-32-65-114-8243255327-9.9-0.6
231226.4ColumbiaIvy0.46780.46542636-712-140-00-10-43-69-45-7245304244-17.6-0.6
148149.6New HampshireAE0.51100.47802248-715-120-10-11-14-410-46-5134229166-16.4-0.6
300296.4AmericanPat0.42570.47582374-139-200-10-10-41-78-83-8297198310-13.6-0.6
226222.9ArmyPat0.46990.47452417-1013-160-10-10-43-510-55-6189178241-18.1-0.6
335325.6Idaho St.BSky0.39950.47062451-145-230-10-10-30-75-121-10311111336-10.4-0.6
344339.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.37890.43703173-146-240-00-00-11-106-132-10325283344-4.2-0.6
297292.9Kennesaw St.ASun0.42750.44773035-1210-180-00-10-41-58-94-10298320309-16.1-0.6
328323.0VMISC0.40400.49391712-124-230-10-10-41-93-71-8327181332-9.0-0.6
3440.3Rhode IslandA100.58570.55775511-620-101-21-34-48-26-08-4393050-9.7-0.7
143145.1Weber St.BSky0.51330.46352677-617-90-00-00-24-412-43-6224186164-18.9-0.7
244241.1Texas St.SB0.45910.45562898-713-150-01-11-22-59-75-5288350261-19.9-0.7
142145.0AlbanyAE0.51330.48312059-917-130-10-21-14-612-38-6131195162-17.0-0.7
316308.1HamptonMEAC0.41610.41313404-1110-160-00-00-21-410-91-10331172324-15.9-0.7
263265.0South Dakota St.Sum0.44540.48791856-1210-190-00-10-33-106-55-8215174284-19.0-0.7
165159.3Grand CanyonWAC0.50550.469225111-718-110-30-11-23-213-39-6196275180-20.7-0.7
152149.8FurmanSC0.51050.48501968-816-130-00-11-56-39-45-6169209169-19.2-0.7
251251.7LamarSlnd0.45360.42523297-713-140-00-00-12-511-84-5259348275-23.3-0.7
267268.0SouthernSWAC0.44370.40433456-1014-140-10-00-20-514-62-8290223287-19.0-0.8
280278.3BinghamtonAE0.43740.45282946-1011-170-00-20-22-89-66-6246346298-19.7-0.8
308305.0Western IllinoisSum0.41940.46532644-117-180-10-00-12-74-91-8345341322-17.0-0.8
259258.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44960.43073257-913-140-00-00-12-611-86-5216344280-21.3-0.8
257256.0JacksonvilleASun0.45080.40583449-714-130-00-00-21-213-98-5238351277-21.0-0.8
211210.4Western MichiganMAC0.47730.52301055-1111-180-20-21-43-76-43-8283147238-27.6-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7677.3NortheasternCAA0.55390.509813512-619-110-12-12-17-68-37-57511497-19.7-0.9
1112.8VirginiaACC0.63450.5966613-323-74-53-16-15-04-010-2194618-5.2-0.9
56.4GonzagaWCC0.65000.54187717-028-13-02-04-010-08-012-04399-2.6-0.9
46.9North CarolinaACC0.65000.5947716-325-65-34-18-13-14-011-2123311-4.1-0.9
278275.8SeattleWAC0.43880.46802566-910-160-10-10-31-88-45-7274307299-23.2-0.9
5054.6Miami FLACC0.57120.56214612-419-112-71-24-25-17-010-29527772-17.4-0.9
4649.1VermontAE0.57470.500815114-523-70-10-11-210-212-09-5607060-10.9-0.9
279277.1Oregon St.P120.43830.5492673-144-260-50-41-51-73-43-9332279292-14.9-0.9
310303.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.41900.43523183-98-170-00-00-11-68-92-5263321328-24.6-0.9
167161.8Santa ClaraWCC0.50400.5270969-914-160-50-01-34-68-25-7247203184-22.2-0.9
223218.8Morehead St.OVC0.47260.49541675-1111-160-10-10-42-68-42-927978250-31.2-0.9
209209.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47790.46952509-815-140-00-10-33-811-35-6272325235-25.7-1.0
153150.8Northern KentuckyHorz0.50990.477822510-717-120-10-11-24-413-47-4130263178-27.2-1.0
129132.5ConnecticutAmer0.52040.5571576-1013-160-31-33-54-35-24-719764158-25.5-1.0
198199.2Ball St.MAC0.48340.460527711-617-130-00-11-35-511-48-4232349227-27.8-1.0
247247.7James MadisonCAA0.45590.50651415-139-210-10-20-44-104-51-11328214272-24.3-1.0
146146.8RiceCUSA0.51240.462726910-619-100-00-10-24-415-18-3123289172-25.2-1.0
272274.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.44020.49671614-128-210-00-21-52-75-64-7276301301-27.0-1.0
4346.5HoustonAmer0.57780.53638313-521-90-22-23-27-39-09-36713262-15.5-1.1
130133.4Colorado St.MWC0.52000.5261999-716-130-01-22-57-56-16-5175124165-31.6-1.1
252252.6MissouriSEC0.45290.5351875-118-220-40-31-72-65-25-7292247276-23.4-1.1
302298.7NiagaraMAAC0.42410.47222435-149-220-00-11-34-84-113-8324337321-22.3-1.1
168163.4Utah St.MWC0.50340.5351867-912-160-10-22-56-64-25-5172115196-32.6-1.1
113111.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53210.494816910-618-110-10-22-35-312-28-381262142-30.7-1.1
122125.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52460.47682318-716-100-10-11-23-312-36-6160241159-33.2-1.1
331325.6UTEPCUSA0.40070.46652613-137-220-00-20-41-76-91-10329177341-15.4-1.1
108111.6OaklandHorz0.53260.475623812-521-80-01-22-26-213-38-3138266138-26.4-1.2
250249.9WagnerNEC0.45440.43283226-913-140-00-00-21-412-83-6211197282-32.1-1.2
6269.9BYUWCC0.55850.52779513-621-101-30-12-211-28-19-412815492-22.1-1.2
248247.8UMass LowellAE0.45590.46972488-1112-180-00-20-23-78-75-9282306278-30.2-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
101101.5OhioMAC0.53850.488718210-519-90-00-11-36-311-27-3117273137-35.5-1.2
103102.4SyracuseACC0.53730.56194711-816-152-62-24-24-35-08-5184180136-33.6-1.2
301297.5DrakeMVC0.42490.49841564-127-210-00-30-23-84-71-9346297325-27.5-1.3
220215.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47430.43013269-816-130-00-10-11-515-75-6218331257-41.4-1.3
141142.4WashingtonP120.51500.5581528-913-171-61-41-43-47-07-5149145179-36.6-1.3
217215.4LipscombASun0.47460.46442657-1013-150-10-00-41-313-65-9229233254-38.6-1.4
7983.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.54920.52211098-616-110-00-21-27-48-24-5132123123-39.1-1.4
309305.0Florida AtlanticCUSA0.41920.47142443-117-200-00-21-21-65-92-7302242335-30.0-1.5
293288.5Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43020.44023104-99-160-00-00-12-57-92-5286330330-41.5-1.5
2222.5PurdueB100.61240.56414115-424-72-34-26-17-16-011-23511233-10.5-1.5
334326.6FIUCUSA0.39960.47002472-146-230-10-20-31-75-102-9333265347-20.4-1.5
304301.1Tennessee TechOVC0.42210.46402665-139-200-00-10-42-87-82-11340311334-32.9-1.6
1515.0West VirginiaB120.62880.55655815-226-54-13-15-28-16-012-14624825-10.0-1.6
295290.3Montana St.BSky0.42950.45063015-1211-180-00-00-12-109-73-8315245333-42.7-1.7
215213.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.47560.46562625-913-140-10-10-12-511-62-7266119274-60.3-1.8
218215.3Kent St.MAC0.47440.47742278-914-160-00-11-34-89-47-5231338268-52.7-1.8
2020.0WisconsinB100.61800.55086315-325-61-34-18-17-05-011-25422434-14.0-2.1
7575.9East Tennessee St.SC0.55410.479221812-422-70-10-21-18-313-08-384219117-41.1-2.2
4749.6Wichita St.MVC0.57390.492217415-425-50-11-21-111-112-09-312524475-25.4-2.3
132135.3Louisiana TechCUSA0.51860.460627610-620-90-00-21-34-216-26-5186226195-59.7-2.4
4246.3IndianaB100.57900.57093412-620-113-52-24-34-17-010-36812589-42.7-2.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com