Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
337	331.4	North Dakota	GWC	0.3801	0.4114	336	3-16	7-20	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-4	7-12	2-13	333	232	310	21.4	2.6
165	162.0	Rutgers	BE	0.5042	0.5563	51	11-12	13-17	0-6	0-3	3-6	5-3	5-0	9-3	104	225	125	37.0	1.9
280	277.1	Longwood	ind	0.4310	0.4546	271	6-16	8-19	0-1	0-3	0-3	1-2	8-9	5-17	255	173	248	29.1	1.7
87	89.5	Northwestern	B10	0.5482	0.5155	133	16-7	21-10	1-4	0-2	3-2	6-1	11-1	12-1	65	292	66	23.5	1.6
56	54.7	Texas Tech	B12	0.5795	0.5835	15	15-7	18-12	1-6	2-3	3-2	6-1	6-0	12-2	15	92	33	21.7	1.5
180	180.7	DePaul	BE	0.4934	0.5634	38	8-15	10-20	1-6	1-3	1-7	3-2	4-2	7-5	140	170	153	27.7	1.5
35	36.1	Gonzaga	WCC	0.5978	0.5198	119	18-4	24-5	1-2	2-1	6-0	4-0	12-1	12-3	40	47	24	12.1	1.4
122	125.5	Duquesne	A10	0.5247	0.5369	91	11-11	14-15	0-4	0-5	0-2	7-4	7-0	8-5	86	116	96	29.5	1.4
336	331.2	Stetson	ASun	0.3818	0.4617	259	3-18	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-8	3-11	0-7	330	172	323	8.2	1.3
311	310.3	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.4057	0.4625	257	4-16	6-20	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-7	6-9	0-8	309	53	294	16.3	1.3
245	243.8	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4543	0.5309	103	4-16	6-21	0-3	0-4	0-5	1-6	5-3	3-8	178	32	226	17.8	1.2
324	323.2	Toledo	MAC	0.3923	0.4986	164	2-21	3-27	0-1	0-1	0-5	0-13	3-7	2-12	299	144	315	8.2	1.1
319	317.9	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.3972	0.4375	317	5-13	7-19	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-4	7-10	7-18	303	300	303	14.9	1.1
228	224.0	North Florida	ASun	0.4677	0.4639	252	10-13	13-16	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-8	10-4	4-5	145	130	206	18.0	1.1
66	65.1	South Florida	BE	0.5692	0.5595	46	15-8	19-11	2-3	1-2	5-5	6-1	5-0	10-2	57	198	52	13.1	1.1
272	273.3	Elon	SC	0.4334	0.4816	199	5-17	8-21	0-1	0-1	0-3	2-8	5-9	2-9	270	161	256	17.3	1.0
192	193.8	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4858	0.5070	149	10-11	13-16	0-0	0-3	0-8	4-4	8-2	7-6	167	183	173	20.8	1.0
264	267.0	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4379	0.5097	143	5-19	7-22	0-2	0-3	0-4	1-8	6-5	1-10	243	17	253	14.0	1.0
73	75.1	Notre Dame	BE	0.5601	0.5526	60	17-7	20-11	1-3	1-2	5-4	6-2	6-1	11-2	83	250	61	14.1	1.0
292	287.9	Florida International	SB	0.4239	0.4806	203	6-19	7-23	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-10	5-8	2-10	288	211	276	11.9	1.0
21	23.3	Michigan St.	B10	0.6122	0.5557	53	19-5	24-7	2-3	2-1	6-2	6-1	8-0	10-3	46	114	14	9.3	1.0
213	208.7	Ball St.	MAC	0.4771	0.4714	231	11-10	14-14	0-3	0-1	1-1	6-4	7-5	6-6	233	242	190	18.7	0.9
82	81.8	Arizona	P10	0.5542	0.5711	30	12-11	16-14	1-3	1-3	4-4	8-3	3-1	6-6	98	9	69	12.8	0.9
17	20.7	Rhode Island	A10	0.6155	0.5424	80	19-3	24-5	1-2	3-2	4-0	12-1	5-0	12-1	4	28	13	7.7	0.9
204	204.4	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4798	0.4752	220	9-11	11-14	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-5	10-2	4-5	168	197	187	17.4	0.9
346	345.4	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3391	0.4404	308	0-24	1-30	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-5	1-19	0-13	319	58	344	1.4	0.9
134	135.8	La Salle	A10	0.5187	0.5395	83	11-12	14-16	0-5	0-4	0-3	6-3	8-1	8-6	105	93	118	17.8	0.9
15	18.9	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6178	0.5273	108	21-2	26-3	0-0	2-1	6-1	12-1	6-0	10-1	54	210	12	6.9	0.9
48	47.3	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.5866	0.5759	25	16-7	19-11	2-5	1-2	2-3	9-1	5-0	12-2	29	142	36	11.3	0.9
293	288.2	Towson	CAA	0.4235	0.4862	189	6-17	8-21	0-1	0-4	0-3	1-8	6-6	3-8	291	252	277	11.2	0.9
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
226	222.6	San Francisco	WCC	0.4686	0.5211	116	7-15	9-18	0-1	1-3	0-5	2-6	6-4	3-10	263	103	209	13.6	0.9
10	14.1	New Mexico	MWC	0.6250	0.5502	62	21-3	26-5	3-1	3-2	4-1	8-1	8-0	14-1	10	51	10	4.1	0.8
222	221.0	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4698	0.5163	126	8-16	10-19	0-0	0-6	0-5	3-4	7-5	6-9	190	107	211	10.0	0.8
112	112.9	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5318	0.5337	98	13-9	15-14	0-4	0-3	1-2	6-5	8-0	8-5	112	201	97	15.9	0.8
270	269.9	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4359	0.4616	260	8-14	10-17	0-0	0-0	1-3	3-9	6-6	3-6	257	258	257	12.9	0.8
24	25.1	Wake Forest	ACC	0.6102	0.5731	28	16-5	20-8	1-3	4-2	5-3	4-1	6-0	10-2	38	126	16	9.1	0.8
246	247.8	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4515	0.4776	212	7-14	10-16	0-2	0-1	0-2	2-6	8-6	0-8	269	7	236	11.8	0.8
47	47.1	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5870	0.5157	131	19-5	23-7	1-2	1-1	4-1	9-3	8-0	10-2	76	282	39	8.1	0.8
220	217.5	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.4714	0.4625	256	10-11	13-14	0-0	0-0	0-4	3-7	11-2	5-4	205	280	203	14.5	0.8
75	76.7	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5588	0.5447	72	14-8	17-12	0-2	1-2	3-3	5-4	8-1	6-7	113	56	67	9.7	0.8
140	142.3	San Jose St.	WAC	0.5153	0.5196	121	11-11	14-15	0-1	0-3	3-4	3-4	8-4	7-6	127	212	124	18.3	0.7
177	174.3	Stanford	P10	0.4967	0.5366	93	10-13	13-17	0-2	0-3	3-7	4-4	6-1	6-6	189	165	157	17.3	0.7
124	127.2	Arkansas	SEC	0.5235	0.5629	39	12-11	15-16	0-4	1-3	4-4	5-3	5-1	7-8	191	67	113	14.2	0.7
295	292.5	Centenary	Sum	0.4205	0.4673	245	6-16	7-20	0-0	0-1	0-6	1-4	7-8	3-6	218	145	283	9.5	0.7
37	37.8	Richmond	A10	0.5959	0.5475	68	18-6	22-9	1-2	3-3	2-3	8-1	7-0	11-4	36	60	30	7.8	0.7
4	4.7	Villanova	BE	0.6552	0.5823	17	21-2	26-4	4-3	4-1	7-1	6-0	4-0	11-1	18	146	3	1.7	0.7
91	91.8	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5462	0.5427	79	13-10	16-13	0-2	0-2	2-3	11-5	3-2	7-4	66	121	81	10.8	0.7
315	315.4	Howard	MEAC	0.4006	0.4397	309	6-19	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-8	8-12	1-14	335	203	308	7.4	0.7
271	272.6	Cal Poly	BW	0.4340	0.4533	275	8-14	10-19	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-6	8-10	3-10	313	315	260	12.6	0.7
100	103.4	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5376	0.4474	292	19-5	23-6	0-0	0-0	2-2	6-2	14-2	11-2	100	316	95	8.4	0.7
281	278.2	UC Irvine	BW	0.4304	0.4432	302	8-14	12-17	0-1	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-8	6-7	267	329	266	12.2	0.7
98	103.4	Drexel	CAA	0.5379	0.5198	120	14-11	17-14	0-3	2-3	1-2	4-4	10-2	5-8	158	96	93	10.4	0.7
96	101.8	Georgia	SEC	0.5397	0.5837	13	10-11	13-16	3-4	1-4	2-6	2-3	5-0	8-5	88	72	88	13.8	0.7
148	146.3	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5129	0.5370	89	10-12	14-15	0-5	0-1	1-3	5-6	6-0	3-8	213	16	132	14.3	0.7
127	130.2	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5217	0.5048	155	12-11	16-13	0-2	0-1	1-4	5-5	10-2	5-6	123	25	117	13.2	0.6
197	201.1	Iowa	B10	0.4817	0.5626	42	8-16	10-21	0-6	0-4	0-7	3-4	6-0	6-7	192	94	192	9.1	0.6
95	100.3	St. John's	BE	0.5402	0.5722	29	12-10	15-15	1-6	2-3	3-4	5-2	5-0	10-2	37	112	89	11.3	0.6
120	123.7	St. Louis	A10	0.5254	0.5287	106	13-8	16-13	1-2	2-3	1-3	7-4	6-1	8-5	171	219	109	14.7	0.6
71	72.8	Seton Hall	BE	0.5626	0.5699	31	12-9	17-12	1-6	2-2	3-4	5-1	7-0	9-2	58	194	64	8.8	0.6
12	15.1	Purdue	B10	0.6241	0.5572	49	19-3	25-5	4-2	2-2	4-2	8-0	7-0	12-0	7	77	11	4.1	0.6
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
9	12.1	Wisconsin	B10	0.6293	0.5689	33	18-5	24-6	3-2	2-2	6-1	5-1	7-0	10-2	22	44	9	3.1	0.6
2	3.0	Syracuse	BE	0.6645	0.5878	9	23-1	28-3	4-1	4-1	10-0	6-0	4-0	13-0	1	40	2	1.0	0.6
198	201.3	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4814	0.4865	188	10-12	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-6	2-4	10-4	4-6	151	99	191	10.3	0.6
109	111.1	Washington St.	P10	0.5330	0.5161	128	14-8	17-12	0-2	0-3	3-3	5-4	9-0	9-2	69	281	100	11.1	0.6
34	35.2	UAB	CUSA	0.5989	0.5321	101	19-4	24-6	1-0	1-1	5-4	8-1	9-0	12-2	23	98	29	6.2	0.6
194	196.6	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4841	0.4891	181	10-11	13-15	0-1	0-1	1-1	4-10	7-2	7-5	180	276	185	11.6	0.5
155	151.8	Rider	MAAC	0.5098	0.5025	158	14-12	16-15	0-1	0-1	1-4	6-8	9-1	7-6	132	180	143	8.8	0.5
1	1.4	Kansas	B12	0.6762	0.5870	10	23-1	29-2	5-1	4-1	6-0	11-0	3-0	14-1	6	42	1	0.4	0.5
302	297.4	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4163	0.4989	163	4-19	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-4	3-11	2-8	1-10	315	150	290	7.4	0.5
90	92.0	Miami FL	ACC	0.5463	0.5241	113	15-7	18-11	1-2	2-3	4-4	2-2	10-0	13-0	62	345	83	9.0	0.5
77	79.3	Oklahoma	B12	0.5564	0.5818	18	13-9	15-15	2-5	2-4	3-2	4-2	4-1	9-5	94	137	72	7.3	0.5
223	220.9	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4697	0.5389	85	9-14	11-19	0-3	0-4	1-7	3-6	6-0	9-5	163	209	213	7.9	0.5
171	168.4	Arkansas St.	SB	0.5003	0.4742	222	12-9	15-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	5-4	10-3	3-6	248	190	159	9.4	0.5
329	326.0	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3885	0.4689	241	3-21	5-25	0-1	0-3	0-4	0-6	5-12	1-11	280	73	322	4.0	0.5
167	163.2	Auburn	SEC	0.5032	0.5475	67	10-12	13-17	0-3	0-3	2-6	4-4	7-1	8-6	157	164	154	9.2	0.5
224	221.5	Delaware	CAA	0.4692	0.5357	96	7-17	9-21	0-2	0-6	1-4	3-5	5-4	4-8	160	39	214	7.5	0.5
326	323.6	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3914	0.4766	213	3-16	5-22	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-8	5-10	3-10	306	234	319	4.6	0.5
18	21.7	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6148	0.5765	24	16-5	21-8	2-2	3-1	6-3	6-2	5-0	10-3	45	79	17	4.7	0.5
145	144.8	UCLA	P10	0.5137	0.5568	50	11-12	13-17	1-3	1-1	4-8	4-5	4-1	5-7	187	41	136	8.8	0.5
176	174.9	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4968	0.5497	63	9-14	11-19	0-5	1-4	1-2	4-7	5-1	6-8	134	37	166	8.9	0.4
60	61.6	Cincinnati	BE	0.5730	0.5881	8	14-9	17-13	2-5	2-4	4-4	5-1	4-0	9-3	31	43	56	5.6	0.4
14	17.3	Butler	Horz	0.6194	0.5417	81	21-4	25-5	1-1	2-2	3-1	13-0	6-0	8-4	32	5	15	2.3	0.4
70	72.2	Oakland	Sum	0.5626	0.4993	162	16-8	20-9	0-4	0-0	1-1	5-2	15-1	4-7	102	10	68	4.2	0.4
203	204.2	Oregon St.	P10	0.4799	0.5155	134	10-12	12-18	0-1	0-2	2-6	6-6	3-3	6-6	234	301	196	8.2	0.4
57	55.5	William & Mary	CAA	0.5788	0.5341	97	15-7	19-10	1-0	3-3	2-3	5-1	9-2	8-3	12	22	51	4.5	0.4
26	26.3	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6088	0.5839	12	18-6	22-9	2-4	2-1	6-3	8-1	3-1	11-2	25	55	22	4.3	0.4
256	257.1	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4447	0.5049	154	6-15	8-19	0-3	0-1	0-3	3-11	5-2	4-5	164	174	251	6.1	0.4
19	23.3	Texas A&M	B12	0.6130	0.5953	7	16-6	19-10	2-6	3-2	5-2	5-0	5-0	10-3	33	46	19	4.3	0.4
258	264.5	UC Riverside	BW	0.4400	0.4625	255	7-14	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-6	7-8	5-6	229	247	258	6.5	0.4
211	206.8	Wyoming	MWC	0.4784	0.5587	48	7-14	9-19	0-6	1-3	1-1	3-6	4-4	5-7	186	69	201	5.8	0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
52	51.6	Cornell	Ivy	0.5827	0.4817	198	18-3	25-4	0-2	0-0	3-2	8-0	14-0	12-3	44	138	49	2.6	0.4
287	284.5	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4262	0.4708	233	8-17	10-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-8	9-9	3-12	297	205	279	5.5	0.4
160	158.7	North Texas	SB	0.5059	0.4507	281	13-8	17-10	0-1	0-1	0-0	4-4	13-4	6-3	92	220	151	7.7	0.4
201	203.7	Canisius	MAAC	0.4801	0.4839	194	11-14	14-16	0-0	0-1	1-2	5-9	7-4	6-6	223	306	198	5.7	0.4
269	269.0	High Point	BSth	0.4364	0.4231	328	9-12	12-15	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	10-8	3-6	282	331	262	7.0	0.4
237	236.1	South Dakota	GWC	0.4597	0.4018	341	9-9	15-10	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	14-3	5-8	245	206	231	5.1	0.4
277	275.6	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4319	0.4890	182	5-20	7-24	0-1	0-1	0-5	2-9	6-8	3-10	235	135	270	5.6	0.4
133	135.4	Miami OH	MAC	0.5190	0.5294	104	10-13	14-16	0-4	0-2	2-3	5-5	7-2	4-10	226	49	128	7.4	0.3
217	212.4	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4747	0.4659	249	9-11	13-14	0-0	0-1	1-2	4-4	8-6	5-6	207	222	205	7.4	0.3
142	143.3	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5144	0.4682	243	13-10	17-12	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-4	13-4	4-5	119	85	137	6.3	0.3
227	222.1	Seattle	ind	0.4684	0.4548	270	11-13	15-16	0-0	0-1	1-4	3-5	11-6	14-16	219	275	216	6.1	0.3
231	224.7	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4664	0.4448	297	9-9	13-11	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-5	12-4	2-6	284	129	218	6.7	0.3
344	342.9	Southern	SWAC	0.3508	0.4093	337	4-18	6-23	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-4	6-15	2-9	322	224	342	0.9	0.3
184	185.1	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4906	0.4875	185	11-11	13-14	0-3	0-0	1-1	5-8	7-1	7-2	73	270	179	6.1	0.3
41	41.0	Florida St.	ACC	0.5934	0.5606	45	17-6	21-9	2-2	2-3	5-3	6-1	6-0	12-2	41	202	37	4.0	0.3
103	106.3	Boston College	ACC	0.5362	0.5691	32	12-11	15-15	0-5	1-4	5-4	4-3	5-0	9-5	155	204	101	5.3	0.3
85	84.6	North Carolina	ACC	0.5522	0.5829	16	13-10	16-15	1-7	2-3	4-3	4-1	5-0	11-4	59	91	80	4.6	0.3
22	23.6	Temple	A10	0.6115	0.5542	55	19-5	24-7	3-3	2-2	2-1	10-2	7-0	12-3	26	35	21	2.6	0.3
97	102.0	Montana	BSky	0.5384	0.4702	235	15-7	18-8	0-0	0-1	1-2	5-3	12-2	7-3	80	195	98	4.0	0.3
248	248.8	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4507	0.4779	211	8-14	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-8	9-4	4-9	264	244	244	4.8	0.3
45	44.3	San Diego St.	MWC	0.5897	0.5463	71	14-7	19-9	1-3	1-2	1-1	9-2	7-1	9-3	35	105	41	3.3	0.3
144	144.6	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5137	0.4783	210	12-8	16-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	3-3	11-4	4-6	183	123	138	6.6	0.3
107	110.0	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5336	0.5432	76	14-10	17-14	1-2	2-4	2-7	4-1	7-0	12-3	103	274	105	5.0	0.3
61	62.1	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5723	0.5144	136	18-4	22-8	1-3	2-2	5-3	5-1	10-0	13-1	84	343	58	4.1	0.3
110	111.6	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5328	0.5140	138	10-8	15-11	0-1	0-3	1-4	4-1	10-2	6-4	114	223	106	5.6	0.3
186	187.2	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4896	0.4717	229	10-10	15-13	0-1	0-0	1-3	4-7	10-3	5-7	227	260	181	6.2	0.3
191	194.1	Massachusetts	A10	0.4858	0.5474	69	7-15	9-20	0-4	0-4	1-3	4-8	4-1	5-8	165	59	189	5.1	0.3
299	295.4	Fordham	A10	0.4187	0.5370	90	2-19	2-26	0-5	0-4	0-2	1-9	1-6	2-10	292	185	293	2.4	0.3
250	253.0	Liberty	BSth	0.4478	0.4550	269	9-12	11-16	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-7	10-5	2-7	262	122	249	4.0	0.2
173	170.2	Troy	SB	0.4992	0.4825	196	10-11	13-13	0-0	0-1	0-2	6-5	7-4	2-6	209	76	165	5.2	0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
163	161.2	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5045	0.4949	172	11-11	15-14	0-3	0-1	1-2	5-8	8-1	7-4	129	229	156	5.2	0.2
289	285.6	UC Davis	BW	0.4250	0.4524	278	7-13	9-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-9	8-9	2-10	321	321	281	4.6	0.2
74	76.1	Illinois	B10	0.5590	0.5588	47	16-8	18-13	2-4	2-3	2-2	4-3	8-0	8-5	125	109	73	3.1	0.2
172	169.0	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.4997	0.4342	321	13-6	17-9	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-2	16-3	7-3	141	283	163	6.0	0.2
265	267.3	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4376	0.5044	156	5-16	8-19	0-0	0-1	0-5	4-8	3-6	2-7	210	11	263	4.3	0.2
43	42.7	Mississippi	SEC	0.5913	0.5514	61	17-6	22-8	1-4	1-1	4-2	8-1	8-0	12-2	24	89	40	2.7	0.2
76	79.3	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5566	0.4837	195	12-5	18-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	7-3	11-2	4-5	147	88	76	3.3	0.2
51	51.0	Florida	SEC	0.5831	0.5612	43	17-6	21-10	2-6	2-2	4-1	7-0	6-1	12-3	72	154	48	3.0	0.2
72	73.2	South Carolina	SEC	0.5620	0.5781	22	13-9	16-14	2-5	1-3	3-4	6-2	5-0	9-5	85	84	70	3.2	0.2
115	116.0	Bradley	MVC	0.5299	0.5465	70	12-11	15-14	0-2	0-2	4-4	5-6	5-0	6-5	162	111	112	4.0	0.2
157	153.5	Oregon	P10	0.5088	0.5367	92	12-10	15-15	0-1	1-3	4-6	5-4	5-1	8-4	122	143	149	4.5	0.2
25	25.2	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.6101	0.5837	14	16-6	20-9	2-2	3-3	5-3	4-1	5-0	11-2	28	118	23	2.2	0.2
254	256.8	Tulane	CUSA	0.4451	0.5037	157	7-15	9-20	0-1	0-3	0-6	2-5	6-5	5-8	250	226	254	2.8	0.2
241	241.3	Lamar	Slnd	0.4559	0.4637	253	10-11	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-6	9-6	5-7	265	269	237	4.3	0.2
247	249.6	Columbia	Ivy	0.4507	0.4699	237	8-12	11-17	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-6	10-6	6-8	225	243	246	3.6	0.2
131	134.0	Buffalo	MAC	0.5197	0.5126	141	11-9	14-13	0-1	0-1	1-2	6-8	7-2	6-5	96	115	130	4.0	0.2
114	114.8	Pacific	BW	0.5308	0.4731	224	15-7	20-10	0-1	1-2	2-1	3-4	15-2	9-5	130	168	111	3.8	0.2
126	129.6	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5219	0.4809	201	12-9	17-11	0-1	0-1	2-1	7-4	9-4	5-5	106	48	126	3.6	0.2
288	284.6	Hartford	AE	0.4258	0.4567	262	7-16	9-20	0-2	0-0	0-1	1-10	9-7	2-11	338	279	282	2.6	0.2
111	113.2	Western Carolina	SC	0.5318	0.4729	226	15-7	19-9	0-1	1-1	2-1	5-3	11-4	7-3	39	57	110	3.2	0.2
239	237.5	Binghamton	AE	0.4588	0.4791	207	9-14	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-11	8-4	3-10	258	133	235	2.5	0.2
78	80.3	Southern California	P10	0.5555	0.5476	66	14-9	18-12	2-2	3-1	4-2	5-5	5-1	8-4	75	61	78	2.3	0.2
102	105.9	Alabama	SEC	0.5362	0.5528	59	13-10	16-14	1-5	1-3	2-3	4-2	9-0	10-4	91	106	103	2.9	0.2
29	32.5	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.6014	0.5365	94	18-4	23-6	3-2	2-1	4-1	6-1	9-0	11-2	49	153	31	1.5	0.2
135	137.0	George Washington	A10	0.5178	0.5067	151	12-10	16-13	0-3	0-4	1-2	6-3	8-1	10-3	121	309	134	3.0	0.2
221	220.0	Chattanooga	SC	0.4700	0.4785	208	11-12	13-16	0-1	0-2	0-3	5-4	8-6	6-5	143	141	217	3.0	0.2
225	222.1	South Alabama	SB	0.4689	0.4643	250	11-12	13-15	0-0	0-1	1-1	3-9	9-4	6-4	170	263	220	2.1	0.1
249	249.9	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4500	0.4021	340	8-9	13-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-1	13-6	1-6	329	177	247	2.9	0.1
275	275.5	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4322	0.4950	170	4-17	6-21	0-1	0-1	1-6	1-7	5-5	2-9	260	104	273	2.5	0.1
5	5.3	West Virginia	BE	0.6520	0.6041	2	19-4	24-6	3-4	4-1	8-1	7-0	2-0	11-1	2	24	5	0.3	0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
8	8.5	Georgetown	BE	0.6393	0.6097	1	17-5	21-8	5-4	2-2	5-2	5-0	4-0	10-1	5	15	8	0.5	0.1
341	340.4	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3617	0.4394	311	2-22	3-26	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-11	2-14	1-12	344	340	340	0.4	0.1
117	121.3	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5268	0.5070	150	14-9	17-12	1-2	0-1	2-2	5-7	8-0	7-4	110	139	119	2.3	0.1
294	288.6	Rice	CUSA	0.4232	0.4804	205	7-15	9-20	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	8-6	6-7	244	262	287	1.6	0.1
30	32.8	Siena	MAAC	0.6011	0.5152	135	21-4	24-6	0-3	1-1	3-1	11-1	10-0	7-5	90	83	32	0.8	0.1
141	142.3	Michigan	B10	0.5151	0.5546	54	10-12	13-16	0-5	1-2	2-5	4-3	6-1	6-5	153	119	140	2.3	0.1
253	256.7	Samford	SC	0.4452	0.4869	187	6-15	8-19	0-1	0-2	0-4	1-8	7-4	3-6	195	86	255	1.7	0.1
123	125.3	Nebraska	B12	0.5246	0.5495	64	13-10	16-15	0-7	1-3	3-2	3-4	8-0	12-3	77	277	123	2.3	0.1
261	265.8	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4390	0.4620	258	8-13	11-16	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-5	9-5	3-6	325	304	264	1.8	0.1
119	122.6	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5259	0.4922	178	13-11	18-12	1-1	1-1	0-6	2-2	13-2	4-8	144	31	121	1.6	0.1
158	156.7	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5073	0.4527	277	16-9	20-11	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-4	15-4	6-8	212	207	155	1.7	0.1
313	313.2	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4025	0.4481	290	7-16	9-20	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-7	8-10	3-9	314	254	312	1.2	0.1
118	121.8	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5267	0.5100	142	12-10	16-13	0-1	1-1	2-3	5-6	8-2	7-6	71	33	120	1.8	0.1
196	201.2	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4817	0.4490	285	12-11	16-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-3	11-5	2-6	304	284	200	1.2	0.1
39	38.8	Ohio St.	B10	0.5952	0.5429	77	18-6	23-8	3-4	2-1	3-2	5-1	10-0	10-3	55	149	38	0.8	0.1
304	299.9	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4141	0.4393	312	7-16	10-20	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-5	10-10	2-12	324	255	299	0.9	0.1
251	252.8	James Madison	CAA	0.4478	0.4732	223	10-14	12-19	0-1	1-5	1-4	1-5	9-5	8-5	203	346	252	0.8	0.1
129	132.2	George Mason	CAA	0.5206	0.5050	153	15-9	17-13	0-2	1-4	1-2	4-3	11-2	6-6	208	159	131	1.2	0.1
46	46.6	Charlotte	A10	0.5874	0.5362	95	18-5	22-8	1-5	3-3	1-0	8-1	9-0	10-4	68	157	46	0.6	0.1
152	148.1	Denver	SB	0.5117	0.4808	202	14-9	17-12	0-1	0-0	1-2	5-5	12-4	7-4	78	52	147	1.1	0.0
86	84.4	Portland	WCC	0.5517	0.5158	130	13-8	18-9	0-1	1-4	1-2	5-2	11-1	8-5	95	78	84	0.4	0.0
149	146.1	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.5127	0.4840	193	14-10	17-12	0-0	0-2	1-2	8-3	8-4	6-5	221	307	146	0.1	0.0
89	91.1	Virginia	ACC	0.5471	0.5532	56	14-7	17-12	1-3	2-3	3-3	5-3	5-1	9-4	156	272	91	0.1	0.0
243	242.1	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4556	0.4500	284	9-12	12-15	0-2	0-1	0-3	2-4	10-5	4-5	230	273	242	0.1	0.0
331	328.9	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3851	0.4714	230	2-21	2-24	0-1	0-0	0-4	1-5	2-13	2-19	326	266	329	-0.1	-0.0
94	98.8	Wofford	SC	0.5407	0.4765	214	16-8	20-10	0-1	0-1	2-3	4-4	15-1	7-5	87	117	99	-0.2	-0.0
62	62.8	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5716	0.5257	110	17-5	21-9	0-1	1-2	3-4	7-1	10-0	10-4	93	158	63	-0.2	-0.0
175	173.6	Radford	BSth	0.4973	0.4695	238	11-10	15-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-2	11-6	3-6	222	27	174	-0.4	-0.0
153	149.7	Maine	AE	0.5111	0.4560	266	15-8	18-10	0-1	0-0	1-1	4-4	13-4	7-5	131	228	150	-0.3	-0.0
6	5.9	Kentucky	SEC	0.6496	0.5674	34	22-1	27-4	2-1	3-0	8-2	11-0	4-0	15-0	8	87	6	-0.1	-0.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
259	264.4	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4399	0.4468	294	8-9	11-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-4	9-6	4-5	289	341	265	-0.6	-0.0
99	103.4	College of Charleston	SC	0.5378	0.4940	176	16-9	19-11	0-1	0-1	2-1	5-6	12-2	5-7	137	50	104	-0.6	-0.0
190	193.0	Montana St.	BSky	0.4865	0.4754	219	10-11	13-13	0-0	0-0	1-5	4-4	8-4	4-6	228	217	194	-1.0	-0.1
27	26.5	Xavier	A10	0.6083	0.5637	37	16-7	21-9	1-4	3-3	3-1	8-0	6-0	8-6	50	14	27	-0.5	-0.1
130	133.8	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5197	0.5163	127	12-10	15-13	0-2	0-2	3-3	5-5	8-0	8-2	116	311	135	-1.2	-0.1
7	6.8	Kansas St.	B12	0.6450	0.6016	4	18-4	23-6	3-2	3-2	3-1	10-0	3-0	12-1	3	20	7	-0.2	-0.1
314	315.1	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4009	0.4488	287	5-17	7-22	0-1	0-1	0-4	1-4	6-12	2-11	317	178	316	-0.9	-0.1
59	61.0	Minnesota	B10	0.5732	0.5559	52	14-8	19-11	2-4	1-2	2-3	7-1	8-1	9-3	47	68	62	-1.0	-0.1
84	83.9	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5526	0.5210	117	16-8	19-11	0-2	0-2	4-2	8-5	7-0	11-1	52	237	85	-1.1	-0.1
169	166.4	Valparaiso	Horz	0.5016	0.5075	147	10-13	12-16	0-3	0-1	0-3	6-6	6-2	2-8	237	181	168	-1.6	-0.1
262	265.6	Brown	Ivy	0.4389	0.4878	184	5-16	8-21	0-1	0-3	0-6	1-4	7-8	4-11	246	169	267	-1.4	-0.1
274	273.7	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4332	0.4437	299	10-13	11-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-10	10-5	3-6	294	313	275	-1.3	-0.1
185	185.8	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.4906	0.5142	137	8-12	12-16	0-3	1-3	0-4	4-7	7-0	6-6	148	163	188	-2.2	-0.1
23	24.0	California	P10	0.6113	0.5861	11	15-8	21-9	0-3	0-2	6-3	12-2	2-0	8-4	11	1	25	-1.0	-0.1
178	175.1	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4966	0.5444	74	9-13	11-18	0-4	0-4	0-5	2-5	8-0	6-7	182	156	177	-1.9	-0.1
80	80.7	Weber St.	BSky	0.5551	0.5081	146	13-8	17-9	0-2	0-2	1-1	5-3	10-1	4-6	117	18	82	-1.3	-0.1
139	141.3	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5158	0.5185	122	9-12	13-15	0-4	1-1	0-2	5-3	7-6	4-8	79	4	144	-2.7	-0.1
32	34.0	Old Dominion	CAA	0.5997	0.5427	78	18-7	23-8	1-1	2-4	3-2	5-1	12-0	8-5	30	6	35	-1.0	-0.1
342	342.6	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3518	0.3945	345	5-17	7-23	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	7-16	1-17	347	325	343	-0.4	-0.1
174	173.8	Hofstra	CAA	0.4974	0.5096	144	11-13	14-16	0-1	0-5	1-5	3-4	11-1	7-5	128	110	176	-2.2	-0.1
309	307.5	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4079	0.4354	318	6-14	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	8-9	4-4	242	339	309	-1.5	-0.1
199	201.6	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4811	0.4731	225	10-12	13-14	0-0	0-1	0-2	4-7	9-4	2-7	277	208	204	-2.4	-0.1
193	194.9	The Citadel	SC	0.4854	0.4818	197	11-12	14-14	0-2	0-1	1-3	3-5	10-4	4-6	185	124	197	-2.1	-0.1
104	106.4	IUPUI	Sum	0.5356	0.4804	204	15-8	19-10	0-1	0-0	1-4	5-3	13-2	5-6	138	54	108	-1.6	-0.1
116	119.6	Princeton	Ivy	0.5277	0.4566	263	12-5	19-8	0-1	0-1	2-1	2-3	15-1	8-5	159	291	122	-2.4	-0.1
316	316.8	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3990	0.4758	218	4-17	6-21	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-6	5-9	2-7	254	82	318	-1.2	-0.1
3	3.7	Duke	ACC	0.6600	0.5956	6	19-4	26-5	2-3	6-1	9-1	6-1	3-0	13-2	9	26	4	-0.3	-0.1
290	285.5	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4248	0.4523	279	5-14	9-18	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-4	7-10	2-9	298	251	288	-2.5	-0.1
216	211.9	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4753	0.4680	244	10-11	13-15	0-0	0-1	1-2	4-7	8-5	6-6	188	268	215	-3.1	-0.1
195	198.8	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4830	0.5170	125	9-11	12-16	0-1	0-4	2-6	2-3	8-2	5-7	266	230	202	-3.2	-0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
303	299.1	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4154	0.4702	236	6-16	7-22	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-10	7-6	2-8	272	187	301	-1.9	-0.2
255	257.7	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4448	0.4664	248	7-12	10-16	0-1	0-0	0-3	2-7	7-6	2-8	332	288	261	-3.3	-0.2
263	266.2	Furman	SC	0.4384	0.4476	291	9-12	11-16	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-6	9-5	4-5	251	318	269	-2.8	-0.2
182	182.9	Winthrop	BSth	0.4922	0.4563	265	11-10	15-12	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-5	13-3	2-7	236	100	186	-3.1	-0.2
170	167.2	Niagara	MAAC	0.5013	0.4946	173	13-13	16-15	0-0	0-1	1-3	7-9	7-2	7-6	161	231	170	-2.8	-0.2
179	179.9	Drake	MVC	0.4939	0.5254	111	11-14	13-18	0-2	1-2	2-5	4-7	6-3	5-8	247	256	183	-3.1	-0.2
202	203.4	Lafayette	Pat	0.4801	0.4350	320	14-9	17-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	16-6	9-6	200	324	207	-3.6	-0.2
138	139.4	Belmont	ASun	0.5166	0.4683	242	15-10	19-11	0-1	0-1	0-2	6-3	13-4	5-5	133	95	142	-2.6	-0.2
338	333.3	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3757	0.4071	338	4-14	7-19	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-6	7-10	2-12	323	235	335	-1.7	-0.2
181	180.7	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4934	0.4784	209	12-12	15-14	0-1	0-2	1-2	5-6	10-2	8-3	120	319	184	-3.3	-0.2
297	293.0	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4196	0.4723	227	4-14	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-7	6-7	1-8	271	75	297	-4.0	-0.2
55	54.0	Connecticut	BE	0.5801	0.6010	5	14-9	18-13	2-6	1-2	6-3	6-2	2-0	10-3	17	12	57	-3.0	-0.2
312	311.0	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.4051	0.4433	301	7-17	8-21	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	6-11	3-6	281	312	313	-2.0	-0.2
88	89.0	Harvard	Ivy	0.5481	0.4669	246	14-5	20-7	0-1	1-1	1-2	3-2	15-1	10-3	61	216	92	-3.0	-0.2
229	225.2	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4669	0.5211	115	7-17	9-21	0-1	1-5	1-5	2-7	6-3	4-8	193	102	229	-3.8	-0.2
232	225.4	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4663	0.4763	216	9-14	13-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-9	9-6	6-9	211	176	230	-4.6	-0.2
210	205.8	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.4791	0.4893	180	11-12	13-16	0-0	0-4	2-4	1-3	9-6	8-7	174	239	210	-4.2	-0.2
121	124.0	Creighton	MVC	0.5252	0.5394	84	12-12	15-15	0-3	1-2	2-4	6-5	6-0	6-6	198	162	129	-5.0	-0.2
83	83.3	Marshall	CUSA	0.5531	0.5184	123	14-7	18-10	0-2	0-3	1-3	6-2	10-1	9-3	48	125	87	-3.7	-0.2
108	110.5	Iowa St.	B12	0.5334	0.5628	41	13-10	16-15	0-9	1-3	1-3	7-1	7-0	11-4	109	221	115	-4.5	-0.2
150	146.6	Stony Brook	AE	0.5124	0.4376	316	15-7	19-9	0-1	0-0	0-1	5-3	14-4	7-5	184	320	152	-5.4	-0.3
284	281.7	Hampton	MEAC	0.4277	0.4209	331	8-15	13-17	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-3	13-9	5-9	274	296	286	-4.3	-0.3
276	275.4	Bucknell	Pat	0.4322	0.4407	306	9-15	12-18	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-5	10-9	5-11	301	327	280	-4.6	-0.3
159	158.0	Lehigh	Pat	0.5061	0.4435	300	15-8	19-10	0-0	0-1	0-0	2-3	17-4	9-6	177	299	164	-6.0	-0.3
106	109.0	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5343	0.4889	183	16-8	19-10	0-1	0-3	0-2	6-4	12-1	7-4	107	265	114	-5.0	-0.3
188	189.8	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4882	0.4664	247	12-11	16-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	5-6	11-3	4-7	259	192	195	-5.2	-0.3
236	235.4	Hawaii	WAC	0.4602	0.5331	100	8-14	10-19	0-3	0-4	1-6	2-6	7-2	7-6	204	131	240	-4.6	-0.3
93	97.7	Providence	BE	0.5416	0.5772	23	12-11	14-16	1-6	1-3	2-7	4-1	5-0	8-4	101	167	102	-4.3	-0.3
28	30.8	Dayton	A10	0.6034	0.5644	36	16-6	22-8	1-5	3-1	1-0	12-2	4-0	11-3	16	19	34	-3.2	-0.3
238	236.7	Air Force	MWC	0.4592	0.5335	99	7-13	8-19	0-4	0-3	0-3	2-7	6-1	6-5	201	240	241	-4.3	-0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
187	187.9	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.4893	0.4813	200	9-14	14-15	0-2	0-2	0-1	3-5	11-5	4-8	196	74	193	-5.1	-0.3
321	320.5	Savannah St.	ind	0.3953	0.4202	333	6-14	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-6	7-7	5-13	300	290	324	-3.5	-0.3
267	268.6	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4369	0.4416	305	8-12	10-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	3-5	8-7	2-5	239	188	274	-5.4	-0.3
317	317.0	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.3987	0.4566	264	4-15	5-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-7	5-9	1-5	252	38	321	-4.0	-0.3
260	265.4	Navy	Pat	0.4392	0.4406	307	11-12	13-16	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-6	10-8	6-9	287	323	271	-5.6	-0.3
308	306.7	American	Pat	0.4087	0.4382	315	7-16	9-20	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	8-12	3-12	340	335	311	-4.3	-0.3
40	38.8	Clemson	ACC	0.5950	0.5743	27	16-7	20-10	2-4	2-2	5-3	5-1	6-0	12-2	42	151	43	-4.2	-0.3
50	50.5	Washington	P10	0.5840	0.5531	57	16-7	21-9	1-2	1-1	5-4	8-3	5-0	10-2	19	34	55	-4.5	-0.3
128	131.9	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5209	0.4720	228	15-8	19-10	0-1	0-1	1-3	4-3	14-2	7-4	136	196	139	-7.1	-0.3
136	138.8	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5171	0.4995	160	12-12	16-14	0-1	0-1	1-2	5-5	10-4	3-7	115	2	145	-6.2	-0.4
305	302.3	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4126	0.4759	217	4-19	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-11	5-8	0-9	320	71	307	-4.7	-0.4
162	159.4	Davidson	SC	0.5056	0.5096	145	10-11	14-14	0-2	0-2	1-4	4-5	9-2	3-7	224	36	167	-7.6	-0.4
20	23.8	Baylor	B12	0.6124	0.5759	26	16-5	21-8	2-3	3-1	7-1	4-2	5-0	12-1	21	152	28	-4.2	-0.4
69	70.9	Arizona St.	P10	0.5637	0.5372	88	16-8	21-10	0-4	1-2	3-3	9-2	8-0	10-3	70	120	75	-4.1	-0.4
240	239.8	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4572	0.4951	169	8-16	10-19	0-1	0-2	0-4	3-10	7-2	6-5	173	241	245	-5.2	-0.4
189	191.7	Campbell	ASun	0.4868	0.4482	289	12-9	16-11	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-6	12-4	3-4	238	257	199	-7.3	-0.4
219	216.0	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4725	0.4216	330	10-8	15-11	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-3	14-6	4-6	215	287	224	-8.0	-0.4
11	15.1	Tennessee	SEC	0.6246	0.5800	19	18-4	23-7	2-3	2-1	6-2	8-1	5-0	12-2	13	45	18	-2.9	-0.4
206	205.0	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4793	0.4691	239	11-11	14-13	0-1	0-1	0-5	2-3	11-4	2-7	275	147	212	-7.0	-0.4
244	242.9	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4551	0.4291	325	11-11	14-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-6	14-5	1-10	296	90	250	-7.1	-0.4
36	36.8	Louisville	BE	0.5976	0.6018	3	15-8	19-12	1-6	1-3	6-3	10-1	2-0	9-4	43	21	42	-5.2	-0.4
235	232.4	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4624	0.4953	168	9-15	12-18	0-1	0-5	0-3	3-5	9-5	6-6	216	271	239	-6.6	-0.4
285	282.6	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4274	0.4967	167	6-16	7-21	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-6	5-7	3-11	305	253	289	-6.4	-0.4
339	335.5	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3740	0.4747	221	1-19	2-25	0-0	0-1	0-5	0-8	2-10	0-8	331	160	338	-2.5	-0.4
214	210.0	Portland St.	BSky	0.4761	0.4934	177	8-13	11-17	0-0	0-1	2-5	2-6	8-5	3-9	206	101	219	-9.0	-0.4
298	293.9	Albany	AE	0.4194	0.4713	232	6-20	8-23	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-11	6-8	5-10	231	175	300	-6.1	-0.4
79	80.5	Iona	MAAC	0.5554	0.5072	148	18-7	22-9	0-1	0-4	2-2	10-2	10-1	9-4	82	134	86	-5.5	-0.4
42	41.8	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5922	0.5132	139	20-3	24-4	0-1	2-2	3-1	4-0	13-0	12-2	34	64	45	-3.2	-0.4
54	54.0	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.5804	0.5269	109	17-5	22-7	0-1	2-1	5-3	6-1	9-0	9-4	124	166	59	-5.0	-0.5
230	226.5	San Diego	WCC	0.4665	0.5158	129	8-16	10-19	0-1	0-4	1-5	2-4	6-5	6-9	199	113	232	-5.5	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
64	64.4	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5699	0.5318	102	16-7	21-10	1-2	2-2	3-2	8-4	7-0	12-3	67	213	71	-6.6	-0.5
151	147.2	Ohio	MAC	0.5122	0.5202	118	11-11	15-15	0-1	0-1	1-4	7-7	7-2	8-6	99	65	158	-10.8	-0.5
322	319.5	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3949	0.3886	346	5-10	9-13	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-3	9-8	0-4	343	191	326	-6.5	-0.5
333	329.6	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3833	0.4426	303	4-18	6-23	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-6	6-13	2-11	318	227	334	-4.4	-0.5
53	53.4	Marquette	BE	0.5808	0.5611	44	15-8	20-10	2-5	2-1	5-2	5-2	6-0	9-3	89	193	60	-6.6	-0.5
161	159.3	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5056	0.4908	179	13-11	17-14	1-0	0-1	2-2	5-7	10-3	7-6	135	81	171	-11.7	-0.5
266	268.8	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4370	0.4803	206	6-17	9-20	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-10	8-7	3-12	276	155	278	-9.2	-0.5
156	152.0	Boston University	AE	0.5095	0.4854	190	13-11	17-12	0-2	1-1	0-2	3-6	13-1	6-7	172	62	161	-9.0	-0.5
278	276.1	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4316	0.4231	329	10-13	13-16	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-6	11-9	5-8	302	342	284	-7.9	-0.5
330	326.7	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3870	0.4503	283	3-22	6-25	0-1	0-1	0-5	0-6	6-12	1-18	312	97	332	-5.3	-0.5
257	258.7	Long Island	NEC	0.4439	0.4487	288	9-14	12-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-5	9-9	4-9	283	259	268	-9.3	-0.6
327	324.9	New Orleans	SB	0.3901	0.4505	282	5-17	6-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-12	6-8	3-6	307	337	330	-5.1	-0.6
325	323.3	Wagner	NEC	0.3917	0.4489	286	4-21	7-24	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	5-15	3-11	327	308	328	-4.7	-0.6
49	48.5	Northeastern	CAA	0.5857	0.5492	65	16-8	20-10	0-1	3-2	3-2	4-4	9-0	6-6	60	3	54	-5.5	-0.6
340	337.7	Grambling	SWAC	0.3678	0.3970	344	5-13	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-3	7-13	1-6	310	238	341	-3.3	-0.6
218	214.6	Boise St.	WAC	0.4736	0.4847	192	10-12	14-16	0-0	0-2	1-7	5-4	8-3	10-4	175	338	225	-10.4	-0.6
234	226.7	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4658	0.4296	324	11-10	15-13	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-3	15-6	6-6	197	246	238	-11.3	-0.6
300	295.2	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4183	0.4976	166	5-18	6-22	0-3	0-0	0-3	2-13	4-3	3-7	268	248	304	-8.8	-0.6
307	305.4	Colgate	Pat	0.4097	0.4531	276	6-16	9-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	8-10	4-10	308	289	314	-8.6	-0.6
318	317.0	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.3982	0.4397	310	4-13	7-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-5	6-10	2-7	316	310	325	-8.0	-0.6
328	324.4	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3899	0.4284	326	5-18	7-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-7	7-12	0-12	337	136	331	-6.6	-0.6
132	134.3	Colorado	B12	0.5192	0.5793	21	9-12	11-17	1-6	1-4	1-4	4-3	5-1	7-5	146	184	148	-13.7	-0.6
58	58.3	Kent St.	MAC	0.5760	0.5288	105	16-7	21-9	0-1	1-2	2-2	11-4	7-1	9-5	51	30	65	-6.7	-0.6
286	283.2	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4267	0.4559	267	5-16	9-19	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-3	7-10	2-10	290	128	295	-11.8	-0.6
38	38.8	Missouri	B12	0.5952	0.5628	40	17-6	22-9	3-5	2-2	3-1	8-1	6-0	12-3	56	200	47	-8.2	-0.6
164	161.3	Fresno St.	WAC	0.5043	0.5174	124	11-12	15-16	0-1	0-2	2-5	4-4	8-3	8-7	194	218	175	-13.7	-0.6
33	35.3	Maryland	ACC	0.5992	0.5794	20	15-6	20-9	1-4	2-2	5-3	5-0	6-0	9-4	97	140	44	-8.7	-0.7
320	318.2	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3970	0.4419	304	4-15	6-20	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-4	6-11	3-7	273	298	327	-8.8	-0.7
143	144.2	Houston	CUSA	0.5140	0.5230	114	10-11	15-14	0-0	1-2	3-6	5-4	6-2	7-6	169	132	160	-15.8	-0.7
207	205.1	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4792	0.4439	298	9-9	14-11	0-0	0-0	0-2	1-5	12-4	4-5	214	236	221	-15.9	-0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
44	42.9	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5910	0.5244	112	17-5	22-6	1-0	3-2	3-2	3-2	11-0	9-1	14	63	50	-7.1	-0.7
301	296.5	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4170	0.4850	191	3-15	6-22	0-3	0-1	0-3	0-6	5-9	1-13	328	215	306	-9.5	-0.7
296	292.9	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4200	0.4950	171	4-18	5-23	0-1	0-1	0-6	1-6	4-9	2-10	261	108	302	-9.1	-0.7
166	162.9	Utah	MWC	0.5035	0.5386	86	10-12	13-17	1-4	2-3	1-4	4-4	6-3	7-7	202	179	178	-15.1	-0.7
13	15.7	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6221	0.5280	107	21-3	27-4	1-2	3-2	6-0	8-0	9-0	14-1	27	182	20	-4.3	-0.8
335	329.8	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3822	0.4334	322	3-16	6-20	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-4	5-12	3-7	279	267	337	-7.2	-0.8
283	279.4	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4294	0.4390	313	8-13	10-17	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-5	10-6	4-5	249	330	291	-11.6	-0.8
168	164.2	Detroit	Horz	0.5029	0.4764	215	14-10	17-13	0-2	0-1	0-2	10-5	8-3	8-4	181	322	180	-15.8	-0.8
347	345.4	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3380	0.4204	332	1-20	2-24	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-16	1-20	345	314	347	-1.6	-0.8
343	342.9	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3511	0.3982	343	4-17	6-21	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-5	6-14	2-13	336	297	345	-2.1	-0.8
345	344.6	Bryant	ind	0.3435	0.4466	295	0-24	1-29	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-6	1-19	1-29	342	303	346	-1.4	-0.8
67	65.6	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5690	0.4985	165	19-5	23-8	0-1	1-1	3-4	7-2	11-0	12-3	64	286	74	-8.4	-0.8
92	94.9	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5437	0.4946	174	15-7	19-9	0-1	0-1	1-4	5-2	13-1	3-6	118	13	107	-12.1	-0.9
306	303.7	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4112	0.4016	342	6-13	10-16	0-0	0-1	0-0	1-6	9-9	0-8	346	249	317	-13.3	-0.9
125	129.4	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5220	0.4171	335	17-4	22-5	0-1	0-0	1-0	2-2	19-2	7-2	149	328	141	-11.6	-0.9
310	308.2	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4070	0.4039	339	9-14	12-17	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	12-11	5-8	339	347	320	-11.8	-0.9
63	64.4	Nevada	WAC	0.5705	0.5528	58	12-9	18-11	0-2	0-3	5-3	7-3	6-0	7-6	63	29	77	-12.6	-0.9
334	329.6	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3822	0.3824	347	7-12	10-15	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	10-11	3-10	334	317	339	-9.4	-0.9
205	204.5	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4794	0.4387	314	9-11	15-13	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-4	13-5	2-8	217	23	222	-17.5	-0.9
233	226.8	Mercer	ASun	0.4659	0.4691	240	10-12	12-16	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-6	8-5	2-6	232	80	243	-16.2	-0.9
16	19.1	Texas	B12	0.6175	0.5667	35	19-5	24-7	2-4	4-2	6-2	7-0	6-0	14-1	20	171	26	-6.9	-0.9
105	108.5	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5348	0.5022	159	16-8	19-11	0-2	1-1	2-3	7-5	9-0	10-2	142	333	127	-18.5	-1.0
113	114.2	Akron	MAC	0.5311	0.4945	175	16-7	20-10	0-1	0-2	1-2	10-5	9-1	9-5	152	214	133	-18.8	-1.0
101	104.2	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5368	0.4470	293	18-7	24-9	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-4	22-1	9-8	139	199	116	-11.8	-1.0
212	207.1	Indiana	B10	0.4780	0.5435	75	9-13	10-20	1-6	1-3	1-5	1-5	6-1	6-6	241	245	223	-15.9	-1.0
81	81.6	Wright St.	Horz	0.5543	0.5051	152	15-9	20-10	0-2	0-2	1-2	10-5	8-0	8-4	74	148	94	-12.4	-1.0
215	210.9	Penn St.	B10	0.4757	0.5444	73	8-15	10-20	0-6	0-3	1-6	3-3	5-3	8-4	166	294	228	-17.1	-1.0
154	148.8	Idaho	WAC	0.5110	0.5155	132	9-11	14-14	0-0	0-2	2-6	4-4	7-3	7-5	111	233	172	-23.2	-1.0
146	145.2	Vermont	AE	0.5134	0.4450	296	17-8	21-10	0-0	0-1	0-2	8-4	13-4	10-5	150	293	162	-16.8	-1.0
242	242.0	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4557	0.4191	334	12-11	16-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-5	14-7	9-4	176	344	259	-17.0	-1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
183	183.6	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4916	0.4513	280	10-8	15-11	0-0	0-1	0-2	3-4	12-4	7-3	126	302	208	-24.4	-1.0
208	204.7	Army	Pat	0.4792	0.4318	323	12-9	16-11	0-0	0-0	1-1	2-4	13-6	9-4	154	326	227	-22.3	-1.0
323	322.1	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.3933	0.4543	272	5-17	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-7	5-13	6-21	311	285	333	-10.9	-1.1
268	269.4	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4364	0.4640	251	7-14	9-17	0-0	0-1	0-4	1-8	8-5	1-7	295	189	285	-15.6	-1.1
332	330.2	Marist	MAAC	0.3838	0.4995	161	1-23	1-28	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-15	1-8	0-11	341	278	336	-5.8	-1.1
273	273.5	New Hampshire	AE	0.4333	0.4533	274	7-13	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-8	8-6	4-7	256	264	296	-22.5	-1.1
65	65.4	Memphis	CUSA	0.5693	0.5403	82	16-7	22-9	0-3	1-2	4-1	7-2	10-1	10-5	108	70	79	-13.6	-1.2
279	276.2	Evansville	MVC	0.4315	0.5127	140	5-17	6-22	0-2	0-2	0-5	1-12	5-1	6-4	240	336	292	-15.8	-1.2
252	254.6	Yale	Ivy	0.4465	0.4634	254	8-14	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-8	11-5	5-11	278	295	272	-17.4	-1.2
282	278.0	Monmouth	NEC	0.4303	0.4352	319	10-14	13-17	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-8	10-8	6-8	293	334	298	-20.0	-1.2
291	287.5	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4239	0.4599	261	7-16	8-20	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-7	7-8	4-8	253	305	305	-17.5	-1.4
200	203.8	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4802	0.4703	234	10-11	13-14	0-0	0-1	1-1	5-6	7-6	2-7	286	261	234	-30.2	-1.4
147	145.6	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.5130	0.4874	186	9-10	14-13	0-1	0-2	0-4	2-2	12-4	3-8	220	127	182	-36.4	-1.5
209	205.1	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4791	0.4554	268	8-14	14-15	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-5	13-4	0-11	285	8	233	-27.9	-1.5
137	139.2	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5166	0.4255	327	16-7	21-8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-4	19-3	8-5	179	332	169	-29.8	-1.7
31	33.8	Utah St.	WAC	0.6000	0.5383	87	17-6	23-7	1-0	1-2	6-3	7-2	8-0	10-4	53	66	53	-19.2	-1.9
68	68.4	Murray St.	OVC	0.5662	0.4542	273	20-3	25-4	0-1	0-0	1-1	7-1	16-0	6-3	81	186	90	-21.6	-2.6

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com