live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 24, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
88.3OregonP120.64540.56623924-426-42-23-09-15-16-010-2236853.32.1
295290.7Oral RobertsSum0.43100.51251346-226-220-20-11-33-103-62-10258382828.72.0
343341.4LongwoodBSth0.37790.45672864-224-230-10-00-50-54-121-83412783383.41.9
259256.9Saint LouisA100.44710.51671209-1910-210-20-20-73-86-15-830627524214.91.6
170170.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50170.480621415-1516-150-20-40-21-415-42-11197111619.01.6
8180.1WinthropBSth0.55080.472324420-621-60-20-03-14-114-26-33464755.11.4
98.2BaylorB120.64490.6007422-524-64-34-16-16-13-012-01644.21.4
115115.3North Carolina St.ACC0.52940.56074915-1415-161-61-52-47-15-111-26123310312.31.4
1920.5MinnesotaB100.61430.58422221-723-81-35-36-37-03-012-1629155.51.3
123123.5TempleAmer0.52430.53957714-1516-152-50-11-35-58-19-4647611310.51.3
164162.0Coastal CarolinaSB0.50470.521110612-1414-150-01-21-74-58-23-82539314022.01.2
336336.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38780.46032744-234-240-00-00-41-73-134-82362373342.41.2
225223.6USC UpstateASun0.46930.453029513-1413-140-00-01-61-311-56-72042842203.61.2
348348.0Florida A&MMEAC0.34600.38393505-206-210-10-00-00-36-180-113503123471.01.1
183183.8LSUSEC0.49470.5721339-1810-200-31-62-84-44-08-4371516914.81.1
144144.9Green BayHorz0.51230.482221015-1216-120-10-01-25-310-64-621026413410.91.1
296293.1BinghamtonAE0.42960.45552899-1810-180-10-20-11-99-56-62333352849.11.1
162161.0SamfordSC0.50560.478822215-1216-130-20-01-53-312-37-411524114912.01.1
3536.3Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59090.503014823-426-40-12-02-09-212-19-32516324.31.0
272275.8MaristMAAC0.43720.49831578-228-230-10-40-11-127-53-82381442687.81.0
249251.7Eastern KentuckyOVC0.45010.48951819-1910-190-10-10-33-77-75-81931352447.71.0
3436.0USCP120.59130.54207521-723-82-50-13-111-18-013-013163306.01.0
292290.0TulaneAmer0.43120.51821125-226-240-50-10-41-105-53-932229427812.01.0
302301.3DrakeMVC0.42550.50551436-217-210-00-50-13-84-71-93402532956.31.0
4545.6Virginia TechACC0.58080.54637119-821-92-42-38-12-27-011-166298378.60.9
303302.7UMass LowellAE0.42550.459727510-2010-200-00-20-12-118-65-93003293002.70.9
8888.4AuburnSEC0.54570.53358717-1118-130-31-34-58-16-111-2361597810.40.9
148150.8YaleIvy0.50980.474623813-1015-110-10-20-23-412-27-513023113515.80.9
131132.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51950.452729817-919-100-10-11-13-516-36-510911512111.50.9
307305.2South FloridaAmer0.42300.49921557-207-220-30-10-42-86-56-52663182996.20.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
263261.4Western CarolinaSC0.44430.51371296-217-220-10-10-91-86-43-8167312556.40.9
2726.4MarylandB100.60440.56254321-623-71-33-110-37-13-011-130113224.40.9
251252.2Cleveland St.Horz0.44990.51451277-218-210-20-00-53-95-53-8205352466.20.9
202197.7San DiegoWCC0.48730.521310511-1712-170-50-11-42-49-36-52012421925.70.8
278281.2BrownIvy0.43500.454529110-1511-170-10-20-21-710-57-726932526912.20.8
276280.4Austin PeayOVC0.43570.47662328-198-200-10-10-21-97-72-102811242728.40.8
135139.3SienaMAAC0.51480.517511614-1615-160-10-31-34-79-23-8182281336.30.8
12.6KansasB120.65890.58592025-327-45-13-18-19-12-012-183611.60.8
6465.1IllinoisB100.56250.58192315-1217-131-52-34-44-15-09-34541578.10.8
7274.4MississippiSEC0.55510.55605817-1119-120-41-54-37-07-09-48570668.40.8
2525.4XavierBE0.60580.5930918-1020-111-62-17-37-13-010-3914214.40.8
279280.5ColgatePat0.43490.45842809-2010-200-00-10-42-67-101-113453242746.50.8
5862.3ProvidenceBE0.56470.56035117-1119-122-53-24-23-26-210-379191557.30.8
191190.0Loyola MDPat0.49110.480721313-1414-140-10-11-27-26-85-5100991837.00.8
274278.0Appalachian St.SB0.43640.49941546-187-200-10-21-23-74-73-627728526513.00.8
141142.5AlbanyAE0.51330.478522317-1218-120-20-21-04-713-18-61432261384.50.7
316314.7Chicago St.WAC0.41580.49981533-233-250-10-20-50-63-112-122751463113.70.7
350350.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.31400.41093410-261-280-00-10-10-51-210-133462593500.30.7
224224.1RadfordBSth0.46960.482920611-1611-170-20-32-31-48-63-7181482195.10.7
146147.8ElonCAA0.51120.492717215-1316-130-11-11-54-29-46-51752681425.80.7
6666.5Kansas St.B120.56110.55735717-1119-122-41-41-38-16-011-253236606.50.7
5962.4TCUB120.56450.57432916-1117-130-72-33-28-14-010-240112566.40.7
270274.1Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43760.432532112-1613-160-00-00-31-612-73-103423432677.10.7
246248.9DelawareCAA0.45190.487019110-1810-190-00-20-53-87-45-62263042453.90.7
255254.4QuinnipiacMAAC0.44840.488418410-1910-200-10-30-13-97-63-72832452504.40.6
305300.7Cal PolyBW0.42460.45342947-189-190-00-10-23-66-113-92491642928.70.6
159157.6Washington St.P120.50720.56015311-1512-170-50-30-45-57-06-51961381507.60.6
6969.4ClemsonACC0.55850.57932514-1316-141-64-44-23-25-010-235106645.40.6
234231.9BradleyMVC0.46370.511013610-1910-200-00-60-24-66-54-82401552274.90.6
195192.6North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49000.377435118-621-60-00-00-11-320-26-51503011884.60.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
280280.1BryantNEC0.43490.462226710-1911-190-10-10-12-59-112-10256632755.10.6
8686.6NebraskaB100.54690.6023311-1512-172-41-54-53-22-15-6973806.60.6
34.7North CarolinaACC0.65380.5931823-525-65-35-16-24-15-011-2113231.70.6
262261.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.44490.45912789-1510-170-10-00-22-67-83-6138972538.20.6
178176.9RutgersB100.49810.53388612-1613-170-40-62-62-28-010-21073311706.90.6
239237.7North FloridaASun0.45970.49611609-189-180-10-20-53-36-61-12291822361.70.5
328328.0MaineAE0.40050.47482375-245-250-10-30-11-114-93-113092863262.00.5
220222.2Bowling GreenMAC0.47050.504414611-1612-180-10-01-24-127-35-72642402166.20.5
243244.0DuquesneA100.45540.513912810-1811-200-30-11-43-107-27-62292542395.00.5
284284.3NiagaraMAAC0.43330.47292419-219-220-00-20-16-83-113-83183302795.30.5
9494.2Georgia TechACC0.54210.56144815-1216-143-31-43-63-26-08-4162235886.20.5
139143.0Mississippi St.SEC0.51400.53568314-1315-150-21-33-85-26-09-31332191367.00.5
5352.0Seton HallBE0.57440.56244417-1019-111-63-14-33-18-010-250181484.00.5
277279.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.43540.438131711-1711-170-00-10-31-610-74-103163402772.20.5
196193.2HofstraCAA0.48960.503014713-1614-160-10-30-56-38-47-51351751894.20.5
23.1VillanovaBE0.65750.57922626-328-34-25-08-16-05-013-044221.10.5
10299.8Texas A&MSEC0.53840.56025214-1316-140-61-63-24-17-08-47845945.80.5
7777.2StanfordP120.55330.58991513-1314-150-81-33-14-45-07-4292725.20.5
216218.4Indiana St.MVC0.47330.517611510-1810-191-00-50-23-66-65-6155912153.40.5
227227.6DePaulBE0.46660.5439739-1910-210-60-42-50-57-27-62823112243.60.5
266268.1Youngstown St.Horz0.44050.47932219-199-200-00-11-33-75-94-72572802644.10.4
4948.5NorthwesternB100.57800.55426220-821-102-42-35-37-05-011-239147453.50.4
8787.1Penn St.B100.54670.57842714-1415-161-52-23-56-43-08-510658825.10.4
294290.8NJITASun0.43100.46452609-199-190-20-00-21-68-86-81832342891.80.4
130129.3St. John'sBE0.52070.56364112-1613-181-71-34-41-16-26-72172101245.30.4
113113.1UNC GreensboroSC0.53060.482520918-819-90-10-14-34-211-26-41612131094.10.4
201196.5EvansvilleMVC0.48780.520910712-1613-160-10-61-04-48-57-483521933.50.4
119118.7ColoradoP120.52710.53169015-1316-142-31-32-44-38-09-3911871144.70.4
3636.8UT ArlingtonSB0.59040.507114119-622-71-10-11-110-310-18-31943342.80.4
275277.5St. Francis PANEC0.43610.422133412-1513-150-00-00-20-513-82-83233052734.50.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7677.0Ohio St.B100.55330.57273216-1317-142-52-35-44-15-110-369107734.00.4
6869.0College of CharlestonCAA0.55860.504414521-822-80-11-22-27-311-08-4105148672.00.4
4748.1VanderbiltSEC0.57840.6092115-1316-152-53-35-55-02-17-6481462.10.4
9394.1St. BonaventureA100.54230.518211317-1019-110-30-20-19-310-18-4136173904.10.4
6564.9PittsburghACC0.56230.5975515-1316-153-71-33-38-11-111-22239622.90.4
186185.0UABCUSA0.49360.486619414-1316-140-20-20-25-410-46-61731181805.00.4
171169.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50130.457828114-1016-110-10-10-13-213-55-4941011636.60.4
149151.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.50960.52919313-1414-140-40-22-42-210-26-41641741474.40.4
4242.2Wake ForestACC0.58460.59061216-1217-130-71-25-36-05-09-31517402.20.3
124124.1TulsaAmer0.52400.54647013-1414-160-41-42-34-28-36-6146731204.10.3
208207.9Boston CollegeACC0.48070.5677379-199-220-50-64-62-33-27-62241942052.90.3
193191.4FordhamA100.49050.516911712-1513-171-11-11-46-85-35-72451931874.40.3
10098.5RichmondA100.53950.526210116-1118-120-31-22-28-47-16-6214222953.50.3
321319.4Western IllinoisSum0.41120.46182696-186-190-10-00-21-75-81-83473423181.40.3
153154.0New OrleansSlnd0.50870.456628814-916-100-00-20-03-413-32-62161031486.00.3
308305.7Charleston SouthernBSth0.42270.46372637-188-180-10-10-60-38-71-73032053032.70.3
282283.5CampbellBSth0.43350.445230810-1611-160-00-20-40-310-74-52443062803.50.3
8484.6AlabamaSEC0.54820.54597216-1117-130-42-23-66-16-07-512485813.60.3
323322.5LafayettePat0.40820.46082717-207-210-10-00-32-75-103-72992993211.50.3
2021.1VirginiaACC0.61290.5970618-920-103-53-26-24-05-010-22457201.10.3
3030.8South CarolinaSEC0.59780.56873419-821-91-23-27-45-14-09-34769291.80.3
293289.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.43100.45672877-188-190-10-41-30-27-91-1017242854.40.3
314310.4Sacramento St.BSky0.41840.44063118-169-180-00-00-21-78-91-83312153073.40.3
248251.1MissouriSEC0.45090.5384797-208-220-42-31-90-65-15-72862632483.10.3
206203.4Central MichiganMAC0.48330.475423414-1315-150-00-00-27-88-48-31262972003.40.3
221223.0IUPUISum0.47020.472824211-1612-160-00-21-36-55-64-82282742212.00.3
6263.6Boise St.MWC0.56350.52889516-918-101-10-23-48-26-16-4110160612.60.3
1413.7Florida St.ACC0.63020.58082422-624-75-24-14-34-16-012-126116130.70.3
105107.4OaklandHorz0.53400.471524521-722-70-00-23-05-314-28-31512891061.40.3
134139.5Arizona St.P120.51520.55565913-1614-170-70-33-33-48-07-61881541372.50.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212211.3Texas St.SB0.47800.453029613-1115-130-01-11-03-710-55-52923502083.30.2
253253.6James MadisonCAA0.44900.50681428-218-220-00-21-44-104-51-113262202521.60.2
104102.9Texas TechB120.53660.53338817-1118-132-41-33-36-28-012-11033361002.90.2
5453.4PrincetonIvy0.57300.500715117-620-60-10-21-16-212-06-69975521.40.2
7172.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.55580.480321717-719-70-20-02-24-213-16-6154218711.90.2
154154.1CanisiusMAAC0.50830.485719817-1317-140-10-21-09-58-57-41212171522.10.2
160158.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50610.447830414-916-100-10-10-11-415-44-41392241553.70.2
10199.5FurmanSC0.53880.489818018-1019-100-00-12-56-211-25-6152171981.50.2
138142.4WyomingMWC0.51420.513113314-1216-130-00-31-76-28-28-3841891393.40.2
283284.5UTSACUSA0.43340.448330310-1611-180-00-10-12-69-103-83173152813.50.2
2625.7CreightonBE0.60490.56294221-623-73-22-15-48-04-012-010150250.70.2
176176.6FairfieldMAAC0.49840.481221215-1316-130-00-20-13-812-25-41662721751.60.2
7069.4New Mexico St.WAC0.55840.468225220-522-50-00-02-37-113-111-246251681.40.2
9997.5ChattanoogaSC0.53990.487618817-919-90-10-12-46-210-17-354142961.50.2
215215.6Utah ValleyWAC0.47530.48591969-1510-160-10-02-42-67-45-71682002141.60.2
173173.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.49970.451130017-1118-110-10-10-33-315-48-51282471712.00.2
2827.7Notre DameACC0.60180.56584021-723-82-73-05-16-07-011-258179270.70.2
132134.0William & MaryCAA0.51860.513413113-1314-130-21-22-35-36-44-51371021322.00.2
240238.4UNLVMWC0.45900.516512210-1811-200-30-21-73-77-27-62081962371.40.2
6364.3TennesseeSEC0.56300.58781714-1316-141-61-46-34-24-07-56710631.30.1
109109.6MemphisAmer0.53270.510213718-1019-120-31-23-34-411-010-31162551081.60.1
269271.1DetroitHorz0.43910.50161507-217-220-10-00-42-95-71-103201332701.10.1
299295.4Sacred HeartNEC0.42880.426533013-1713-180-10-00-01-612-115-82682912941.40.1
3335.9ArkansasSEC0.59180.55506021-722-90-43-26-19-14-111-21646350.90.1
342340.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37840.42313336-217-230-00-10-10-87-130-123361533400.50.1
182182.9PennIvy0.49480.482820712-1214-130-10-21-13-59-37-61451801811.90.1
180178.8Utah St.MWC0.49700.526310011-1512-160-11-12-84-35-35-51921661771.80.1
8284.3New MexicoMWC0.54860.54866616-1217-130-20-45-44-37-17-59244831.30.1
213213.6Missouri St.MVC0.47700.478122515-1415-150-00-51-14-510-48-41983262130.60.1
331329.4Delaware St.MEAC0.39890.41723377-208-210-10-00-12-66-131-123121993290.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5150.6GeorgiaSEC0.57550.58552115-1217-130-51-27-46-23-08-44426500.60.1
332331.7Grambling St.SWAC0.39540.38663499-1511-170-10-00-10-411-112-83373333310.70.1
192190.9Holy CrossPat0.49070.477322915-1516-150-00-30-34-511-46-71571611900.90.1
167165.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.50330.516012414-1514-160-20-50-05-59-36-6156951650.90.1
337336.3Southern MissCUSA0.38760.45892796-206-220-10-10-11-85-101-93493283360.30.1
244243.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45540.468625112-1612-170-00-00-30-1112-35-62803212430.50.1
107108.0La SalleA100.53360.53438514-1216-130-31-12-36-66-06-5122671071.00.1
2928.4Oklahoma St.B120.60120.58951618-920-101-63-25-17-13-010-21233280.40.1
349348.0St. Francis NYNEC0.34420.43053253-263-270-10-00-10-63-191-113432923480.00.1
217218.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.47300.472724312-1313-150-10-00-14-89-55-52593322180.70.1
260258.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44620.431032412-1413-140-00-00-13-510-96-52133382580.50.1
1516.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.62260.53907825-326-31-21-15-09-010-010-12054160.10.1
223223.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.46980.469424813-1514-170-10-20-13-711-66-72553272230.60.1
128127.9MarshallCUSA0.52180.513513014-1316-140-10-20-36-310-46-6118611270.90.1
166163.0North DakotaBSky0.50430.440431214-816-90-00-02-13-311-52-5169651621.00.1
1617.2PurdueB100.62100.56065023-525-61-34-18-17-15-011-238126170.20.0
236234.3PortlandWCC0.46220.52341038-208-210-60-00-42-66-46-51842232340.30.0
142144.4Northern IowaMVC0.51310.52699913-1413-150-20-50-07-46-34-6153371440.40.0
245249.4Air ForceMWC0.45210.51681199-1710-190-00-22-72-76-35-62602292490.40.0
290288.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.43150.47782278-219-220-20-20-22-77-101-12293872880.50.0
1212.1DukeACC0.63450.59041422-624-74-46-14-15-15-012-11781120.10.0
185185.3UMKCWAC0.49370.504914412-1413-150-20-10-42-511-35-9206921850.30.0
122122.0Wright St.Horz0.52500.491417617-1118-110-00-01-35-712-17-4871371220.00.0
156156.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.50760.488918314-1315-130-00-20-34-510-36-61111291560.10.0
247251.0Montana St.BSky0.45110.452829712-1413-160-00-00-12-911-63-8311258251-0.0-0.0
129128.9George WashingtonA100.52120.52819815-1316-150-30-32-37-57-08-5147178129-0.1-0.0
3938.9NevadaMWC0.58820.516911822-624-70-10-06-310-38-011-23115739-0.1-0.0
3737.9Miami FLACC0.58950.56753819-820-103-61-34-16-06-010-28024438-0.1-0.0
233231.7IdahoBSky0.46410.438331612-1214-130-00-00-11-813-43-6248249232-0.3-0.0
120118.8South DakotaSum0.52660.479621918-1018-110-10-01-26-312-47-6158207119-0.2-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
177177.7Fort WayneSum0.49810.461727015-1116-110-00-31-13-311-48-3102293178-0.3-0.0
258256.7Tennessee TechOVC0.44720.470824610-1810-190-00-11-43-87-52-11332288257-0.3-0.0
9291.6UCFAmer0.54370.516112318-1019-110-40-12-26-411-09-311926692-0.4-0.0
229229.7PepperdineWCC0.46510.5380818-208-210-40-11-43-64-63-8272132230-0.3-0.1
4343.6Michigan St.B100.58290.59271017-1118-132-73-15-34-14-08-5752044-0.4-0.1
137142.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.51460.495716314-1116-130-10-20-34-512-28-373238143-0.9-0.1
339338.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38240.44343094-246-250-20-30-11-55-150-1330747339-0.2-0.1
7576.5SyracuseACC0.55330.56194517-1218-133-43-33-44-25-18-517816977-0.5-0.1
127127.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.52220.450030116-1119-120-40-10-12-317-34-97713128-0.7-0.1
165163.0San Jose St.MWC0.50460.519611012-1213-140-10-23-53-47-25-4185256164-1.0-0.1
4646.5Rhode IslandA100.58000.55456118-920-101-30-12-310-26-08-4332147-0.5-0.1
7375.1Arkansas St.SB0.55500.490917818-821-90-10-12-38-311-28-46014376-0.9-0.1
184185.0Ball St.MAC0.49400.457128517-1018-120-00-00-36-413-48-4232348186-1.0-0.1
315312.5AmericanPat0.41760.47612337-217-220-10-10-30-87-83-8294183313-0.5-0.1
252253.0UTEPCUSA0.44970.464625911-1513-160-01-10-34-58-81-10333211254-1.0-0.1
5553.5AkronMAC0.57290.494116822-624-70-20-00-012-211-29-36821654-0.5-0.1
265265.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44260.457528410-1710-180-10-00-31-59-81-927362266-1.0-0.1
326324.4UC RiversideBW0.40530.44903026-187-190-10-00-12-45-131-9330202325-0.6-0.1
334334.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.39090.43893157-208-220-00-00-11-86-132-10328296335-0.4-0.1
228228.2High PointBSth0.46590.464426112-1412-150-00-11-51-310-53-6235170229-0.8-0.1
226226.8East CarolinaAmer0.46700.494616613-1514-170-40-20-53-410-38-5218319228-1.2-0.1
174174.5Morehead St.OVC0.49930.502514912-1413-140-10-00-43-89-12-926155176-1.5-0.1
3235.5UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59180.508113923-524-50-00-15-28-211-09-2279636-0.5-0.1
1717.6SMUAmer0.61970.53488424-427-41-11-27-29-09-010-35612518-0.4-0.1
140143.0BuffaloMAC0.51380.518411113-1415-150-10-30-45-59-24-7207149145-2.0-0.1
65.6LouisvilleACC0.65130.6057222-624-73-54-17-08-03-012-1396-0.4-0.1
110109.3IowaB100.53240.55825615-1316-151-52-44-45-25-08-5171167111-1.7-0.1
179176.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.49810.52321049-1511-160-10-20-44-77-34-511789179-2.6-0.1
108108.6George MasonA100.53330.513313217-1018-120-20-22-39-37-29-3129265110-1.4-0.2
8989.9TowsonCAA0.54500.516612118-1118-120-00-31-19-48-37-5958091-1.1-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9695.3Fresno St.MWC0.54160.517911415-1116-120-12-04-52-38-26-415928797-1.7-0.2
232230.8CharlotteCUSA0.46450.482720811-1412-160-10-20-02-710-45-5195182233-2.2-0.2
1110.7ButlerBE0.63920.59271122-623-75-14-18-21-15-111-121211-0.3-0.2
324323.5HartfordAE0.40730.44743069-219-220-00-20-01-108-95-10325345324-0.5-0.2
317314.3Jackson St.SWAC0.41500.40293449-1512-160-10-00-11-411-102-8297248316-1.7-0.2
8384.1UtahP120.54840.52989216-1017-110-61-21-27-08-17-313222586-1.9-0.2
211207.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48060.459427712-1214-130-10-10-14-510-52-7296212210-2.5-0.2
200194.5Houston BaptistSlnd0.48780.480521510-1212-130-00-10-33-58-51-622718198-3.5-0.2
172169.9Saint Joseph'sA100.50110.54067610-1712-180-31-31-45-85-17-58672173-3.1-0.2
133139.1Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51560.487119017-1218-120-11-20-16-610-34-6221239141-1.9-0.2
311308.4UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.42030.47522357-197-210-00-00-50-87-75-9262271310-1.6-0.2
116115.5LehighPat0.52860.487718616-1117-110-10-03-13-711-25-57259117-1.5-0.2
318318.0The CitadelSC0.41270.48022186-206-220-00-20-61-85-64-6237267319-1.0-0.2
147148.5New HampshireAE0.51080.475023615-1116-110-10-21-13-511-26-5142252151-2.5-0.2
2222.2DaytonA100.61100.54776722-523-61-22-17-16-17-08-3515123-0.8-0.2
230229.7PacificWCC0.46510.5282979-209-210-50-10-44-66-45-7239186231-1.3-0.2
218219.3South AlabamaSB0.47260.492217411-1412-170-00-30-33-79-45-6270309222-2.7-0.2
268272.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43940.447730510-1411-160-10-00-31-511-63-8295198276-3.7-0.2
9191.5San FranciscoWCC0.54370.520810818-1119-110-41-01-34-313-19-39820493-1.5-0.2
7476.5GeorgetownBE0.55370.59051314-1415-163-61-43-45-04-19-4522379-2.5-0.2
114113.6DavidsonA100.52980.53788214-1315-141-40-21-45-48-07-4101134116-2.4-0.2
109.4KentuckySEC0.64210.58741923-525-62-45-07-17-04-010-321810-0.6-0.2
103102.1OhioMAC0.53700.486619317-819-90-00-01-17-511-27-3123283105-2.9-0.2
203198.5UC DavisBW0.48620.439831315-1117-120-00-10-12-414-66-7179257202-3.5-0.2
214214.4Long Beach St.BW0.47620.487918511-1712-180-40-11-22-49-73-1119422217-2.6-0.2
256255.3ManhattanMAAC0.44800.493617110-2110-210-20-20-32-118-35-6170165256-0.7-0.3
319317.7Morgan St.MEAC0.41210.395634611-1413-150-00-00-20-313-92-10334269320-2.3-0.3
298293.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.42880.408934212-1213-140-00-00-02-612-84-7338347298-4.7-0.3
329328.5North TexasCUSA0.39990.46532576-197-210-00-20-10-117-84-6313307330-1.5-0.3
257256.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.44780.425733112-1413-150-20-10-10-413-61-11310105260-3.4-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
187186.9MassachusettsA100.49290.520810913-1514-171-10-20-67-66-210-390214191-4.1-0.3
327324.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.40420.49531644-215-220-20-21-20-64-101-102205327-2.1-0.3
235234.2LamarSlnd0.46230.427132812-1214-130-00-00-22-612-64-5250344238-3.8-0.3
5657.1BelmontOVC0.56890.485419920-521-50-10-20-19-012-16-4828459-1.9-0.3
264265.9Portland St.BSky0.44280.426932910-1312-140-00-01-11-59-94-4144273271-5.1-0.3
194192.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.49020.464126214-1414-150-00-10-44-310-76-7160282195-2.7-0.3
126126.3Old DominionCUSA0.52250.487518917-1019-110-20-22-06-411-37-5141123130-3.7-0.3
3838.7Iowa St.B120.58850.57293118-919-112-62-24-16-25-08-411215141-2.3-0.3
205203.6Gardner WebbBSth0.48380.462426614-1315-130-10-12-60-313-34-6189195206-2.4-0.3
76.1ArizonaP120.65050.57383026-327-42-34-06-011-05-011-214247-0.9-0.3
112112.0Northern KentuckyHorz0.53150.485819718-1018-110-10-00-35-413-37-4104190115-3.0-0.3
155155.7LipscombASun0.50800.477322816-1216-120-10-01-41-414-35-9203156157-1.3-0.3
241242.2Little RockSB0.45650.466225511-1413-160-10-11-23-79-57-4186322247-4.8-0.3
121120.2Georgia St.SB0.52620.494416715-1017-110-11-10-26-69-25-5140136125-4.8-0.3
3131.8Illinois St.MVC0.59580.508713823-524-50-01-11-211-111-17-48912233-1.2-0.3
345344.5Central ConnecticutNEC0.36810.41443396-226-230-00-00-11-55-172-9339339345-0.5-0.4
2324.4WisconsinB100.60780.54686922-624-72-32-210-26-05-011-26224626-1.6-0.4
300296.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.42680.45462907-179-180-20-00-20-78-72-721153302-5.1-0.4
304300.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42470.43533188-1810-190-00-30-30-510-81-1226356306-5.7-0.4
238237.1Murray St.OVC0.46000.462626512-1512-160-01-10-24-57-74-8254197240-2.9-0.4
9897.5San Diego St.MWC0.54000.525110215-1117-120-12-13-56-46-17-496120102-4.5-0.4
210208.0South Dakota St.Sum0.48060.490717912-1613-160-00-20-35-88-45-8191140211-3.0-0.4
333332.4StetsonASun0.39480.42743278-208-200-00-00-40-48-125-9315346333-0.6-0.4
322320.0VMISC0.41020.49371694-215-220-10-11-50-73-81-8327184323-3.0-0.4
118118.3Georgia SouthernSB0.52760.496915915-1116-130-10-11-45-49-35-6120127123-4.7-0.4
151153.3ToledoMAC0.50920.512313514-1416-150-00-30-17-78-46-613474160-6.7-0.4
152153.1Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50910.489118216-1217-120-00-41-05-611-28-3114279158-4.9-0.4
341339.3HowardMEAC0.38120.43013265-216-230-10-10-20-66-121-1230586341-1.7-0.4
204200.3RiderMAAC0.48580.454229316-1417-140-01-10-03-913-47-4187349203-2.7-0.4
207205.1MercerSC0.48250.507714011-1612-170-10-00-83-79-14-717460209-3.9-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
291289.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43130.44543078-149-160-00-00-24-66-92-5274308297-7.8-0.4
190189.7Boston UniversityPat0.49170.473224015-1315-140-00-00-46-610-44-7251203194-4.3-0.4
346345.7PresbyterianBSth0.36480.45952763-233-240-00-01-60-52-132-7304243346-0.3-0.4
306303.3McNeese St.Slnd0.42320.48432015-186-200-20-00-01-115-71-721930309-5.7-0.4
222223.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.47000.416033818-1118-120-10-00-04-315-86-6223320226-2.4-0.4
7979.0Colorado St.MWC0.55180.52909417-919-100-00-24-68-27-16-516511784-5.0-0.4
261260.0ArmyPat0.44530.468925011-1711-180-10-10-43-69-75-6209221263-3.0-0.4
189188.2Western MichiganMAC0.49180.515912511-1513-160-20-20-35-67-43-8284162196-7.8-0.5
4848.2CaliforniaP120.57810.56194719-920-100-61-13-39-17-09-3656651-2.8-0.5
320318.3Savannah St.MEAC0.41160.42113368-169-180-10-10-20-59-91-10302158322-3.7-0.5
150151.5UC IrvineBW0.50950.486219514-1316-140-20-20-32-214-55-912519159-7.5-0.5
335335.0Idaho St.BSky0.39030.46922494-225-240-10-00-30-75-131-10324172337-2.0-0.5
312308.2Incarnate WordSlnd0.41990.46562567-168-170-00-00-12-95-81-6308145315-6.8-0.5
219219.9MontanaBSky0.47260.457628314-1416-150-10-10-13-812-55-8222201225-5.1-0.5
168167.2OklahomaB120.50270.5760289-1810-201-70-52-52-35-06-6202152174-6.8-0.5
2122.1VCUA100.61120.54956523-525-61-22-14-212-25-010-3437724-1.9-0.5
145146.5Grand CanyonWAC0.51220.467625318-919-100-30-02-42-115-29-6199281154-7.5-0.5
158157.5TexasB120.50730.58781810-1811-201-52-61-64-33-06-719071166-8.5-0.5
9594.7North Dakota St.Sum0.54190.493617017-917-100-10-11-06-510-26-5938899-4.3-0.5
237234.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.46210.425433212-1113-130-00-10-30-613-30-829025241-6.7-0.5
5048.5MichiganB100.57790.56803618-1020-112-41-47-34-15-010-3499453-4.5-0.5
250253.1ColumbiaIvy0.45000.46522589-1410-160-00-20-22-78-55-7246300261-7.9-0.6
271277.0CornellIvy0.43730.49201756-197-210-00-30-31-95-63-11276177286-9.0-0.6
197194.1DenverSum0.48930.457628216-1216-130-00-01-14-812-38-5177314199-4.9-0.6
175174.0Weber St.BSky0.49920.460527314-1016-110-00-00-22-513-33-6225176184-10.0-0.6
310305.4Louisiana MonroeSB0.42120.49591615-206-230-10-20-31-105-74-7278290314-8.6-0.6
1817.6UCLAP120.61970.52999125-327-42-32-15-08-09-013-02826019-1.4-0.6
106107.4IonaMAAC0.53400.495216519-1119-120-11-20-17-411-37-471121112-4.6-0.6
309305.4Miami OHMAC0.42240.48771878-189-200-00-10-31-117-65-6288313312-6.6-0.6
330329.0Coppin St.MEAC0.39970.43463197-208-210-00-00-60-68-90-1331983332-3.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
325323.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.40590.43133236-167-180-00-00-10-77-102-5271317328-4.2-0.6
199195.1WoffordSC0.48870.497815812-1512-160-00-22-54-67-32-8267131201-5.9-0.6
163161.9UMBCAE0.50530.463226416-1016-110-00-20-23-413-27-4149302168-6.1-0.6
9796.6ConnecticutAmer0.54070.56194613-1314-151-50-23-45-36-14-718049104-7.4-0.6
1312.6CincinnatiAmer0.63320.54706825-327-42-22-15-111-08-011-2183414-1.4-0.6
6063.0MarquetteBE0.56430.55895417-1018-122-53-24-42-17-09-312722869-6.0-0.6
287287.7JacksonvilleASun0.43220.398934513-1413-140-00-00-21-312-98-5265351290-2.3-0.6
8584.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54770.483320420-720-70-21-10-04-315-18-5747987-2.1-0.6
301296.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42650.43963148-1810-200-20-11-30-49-101-1124240308-11.2-0.6
209208.4NavyPat0.48070.481321114-1414-150-00-00-56-48-54-7234119212-3.6-0.7
286287.4MilwaukeeHorz0.43220.49841567-227-230-00-00-52-95-93-9247139293-5.6-0.7
9091.6IndianaB100.54390.56813515-1316-152-61-34-33-26-010-376141101-9.4-0.7
351350.7Alabama A&MSWAC0.31170.39073481-242-270-00-00-00-51-220-11351337351-0.3-0.7
231229.8WagnerNEC0.46510.431732214-1215-120-00-11-11-313-73-6215206235-5.2-0.7
338338.2Alabama St.SWAC0.38300.41233407-188-210-00-00-20-78-121-10321208342-3.8-0.7
254253.8Robert MorrisNEC0.44870.454229212-1813-180-10-01-31-511-94-9200100259-5.2-0.7
297292.1HamptonMEAC0.42940.421533510-1412-150-00-00-31-311-81-10314114305-12.9-0.8
117116.9HarvardIvy0.52790.479622015-717-80-00-21-25-310-26-5163192126-9.1-0.8
344342.0Southern UtahBSky0.37530.45142993-234-250-00-00-10-104-150-11344230344-2.0-0.8
273277.0DrexelCAA0.43670.48392028-218-220-00-30-42-106-55-7230316283-6.0-0.8
4140.2MonmouthMAAC0.58670.495816225-526-50-10-11-110-214-08-33210943-2.8-0.8
285285.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43320.47402397-178-190-00-31-11-66-92-7298232296-10.5-0.8
181182.4TroySB0.49510.478222414-1216-140-01-21-24-510-56-6252341197-14.6-0.8
313309.5DartmouthIvy0.41950.47662316-186-210-00-30-32-74-93-10301270317-7.5-0.8
288286.9HawaiiBW0.43210.442631012-1313-150-10-20-20-413-65-7287227301-14.1-0.9
143145.8Tennessee St.OVC0.51250.483720315-1115-120-11-10-26-48-47-459108153-7.2-0.9
169167.3RiceCUSA0.50260.460827217-918-110-00-10-23-616-28-3131295182-14.7-0.9
6767.7UNC AshevilleBSth0.55950.486819220-821-80-20-12-36-114-26-5412774-6.3-0.9
289287.6SouthernSWAC0.43180.403034312-1313-150-10-00-20-513-72-8289250304-16.4-0.9
111110.4Louisiana TechCUSA0.53240.466925419-821-80-00-20-24-217-16-5176209118-7.6-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8079.0BucknellPat0.55140.483120522-823-80-11-11-16-515-08-5889885-6.0-0.9
198194.5WashingtonP120.48890.5586559-1810-200-60-40-52-67-07-5148130207-12.5-1.0
340339.5FIUCUSA0.38170.47032474-225-240-00-30-11-74-132-9335276343-3.5-1.1
188187.8Kent St.MAC0.49220.477023015-1217-130-00-01-16-89-47-5231334204-16.2-1.1
125124.3NortheasternCAA0.52330.514512615-1415-150-02-23-25-65-57-55590131-6.7-1.1
4444.8VermontAE0.58180.492717324-525-50-10-10-113-112-09-58111149-4.2-1.1
5251.3HoustonAmer0.57530.54207419-821-90-42-13-17-39-09-35710458-6.7-1.2
4038.7Wichita St.MVC0.58820.500115225-426-40-11-21-011-013-09-310818842-3.3-1.2
136139.6Santa ClaraWCC0.51460.52859615-1415-150-50-13-22-610-15-7241185146-6.4-1.3
267271.8SeattleWAC0.43960.462026810-1410-160-00-10-50-810-25-7285323287-15.2-1.3
2425.4West VirginiaB120.60610.55366322-624-74-23-15-28-35-012-14226131-5.6-1.3
44.9FloridaSEC0.65330.5959723-525-62-46-29-04-05-010-3778-3.1-1.3
347347.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.34620.39103475-206-220-00-00-20-56-151-11348303349-1.1-1.3
161160.0LibertyBSth0.50590.480421616-1116-120-10-10-61-215-12-827978172-12.0-1.3
281283.6Oregon St.P120.43380.5496644-254-260-50-41-41-72-53-9329277291-7.4-1.4
157156.7Stony BrookAE0.50730.478022617-1117-120-00-20-17-410-45-8243262167-10.3-1.4
6162.9East Tennessee St.SC0.56380.485220021-623-60-10-12-29-212-08-37016870-7.1-1.5
5758.9ValparaisoHorz0.56700.491117723-624-60-21-02-05-415-09-36312865-6.1-1.5
242243.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45610.434432013-1414-150-00-10-11-713-65-6212310262-18.7-1.7
55.0GonzagaWCC0.65300.53808029-030-04-01-06-08-011-012-05509-4.0-2.6
7878.3BYUWCC0.55200.53198920-1020-110-40-13-28-29-29-411311089-10.7-2.9

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com