The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Georgetown page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Georgetown

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		8.9
Current RPI:		8
Expected SOS:		1
Current SOS:		1
Current Record:		17-5
Expected Record:		21-8
Current Conf Record:		7-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		10-1
Expected OOC Record:		10-1
Expected OOC RPI:		5
Expected OOC SOS:		15

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-5	3.2	1.73%
23-6	4.9	12.06%
22-7	6.6	29.04%
21-8	8.6	32.63%
20-9	12.7	18.50%
19-10	18.8	5.28%
18-11	27.3	0.71%
17-12	38.0	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgetown.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	A	74-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	46-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	A	63-44	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	H	97-64	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Mount St. Mary's (186.5)	NEC	H	83-62	W	100%	0.0
12-5	American (306.9)	Pat	H	73-46	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Butler (17.9)	Horz	N	72-65	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Washington (50.4)	P10	N	74-66	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Old Dominion (35.4)	CAA	H	57-61	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	86-70	W	100%	0.0
12-31	St. John's (101.2)	BE	H	66-59	W	100%	0.0
1-3	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	67-50	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	59-62	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Villanova (6.2)	BE	A	77-82	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	74-66	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	H	88-63	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	56-73	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Duke (3.7)	ACC	H	89-77	W	100%	0.0
2-3	South Florida (64.9)	BE	H	64-72	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Villanova (6.2)	BE	H	103-90	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	0-0		64%	4.0
2-14	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	A	0-0		85%	11.3
2-18	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	H	0-0		47%	-0.8
2-23	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
2-27	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	H	0-0		84%	10.7
3-1	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	A	0-0		25%	-7.4
3-6	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	H	0-0		82%	10.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgetown's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Georgetown's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Georgetown.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Georgetown	BE	26.21	26.01	75.53	72.72	13.38	11.82
Villanova	BE	4.90	3.99	95.00	84.84	4.41	2.78
Marquette	BE	2.72	2.32	63.64	64.92	0.74	0.69
DePaul	BE	2.72	2.35	36.36	35.06	-0.74	-0.70
Pittsburgh	BE	2.68	2.33	77.27	73.16	1.46	1.08
St. John's	BE	2.67	2.35	57.14	50.94	0.38	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	2.67	2.35	60.00	59.52	0.53	0.45
Connecticut	BE	2.64	2.35	63.64	58.37	0.72	0.39
Syracuse	BE	2.57	3.96	95.65	92.40	2.35	3.36
Rutgers	BE	2.57	3.96	50.00	45.43	0.00	-0.36
Temple	A10	2.48	1.84	82.61	80.16	1.62	1.11
South Florida	BE	2.47	2.29	63.64	60.87	0.67	0.50
American	Pat	2.42	1.84	31.82	33.54	-0.88	-0.61
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.42	1.81	40.91	49.35	-0.44	-0.02
Duke	ACC	2.37	1.78	86.36	85.07	1.73	1.25
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.75	77.78	78.31	1.29	0.99
Lafayette	Pat	2.32	1.78	63.64	61.27	0.63	0.40
Old Dominion	CAA	2.32	1.75	70.83	72.66	0.97	0.79
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.72	86.96	86.81	1.68	1.27
Savannah St.	ind	2.27	1.72	31.58	32.68	-0.84	-0.60
Tulane	CUSA	2.27	1.72	33.33	30.64	-0.76	-0.67
Washington	P10	2.27	1.72	72.73	71.23	1.03	0.73
Louisville	BE	0.41	2.32	65.22	62.15	0.12	0.56
West Virginia	BE	0.40	2.32	86.36	82.44	0.29	1.51
Notre Dame	BE	0.40	2.29	70.83	64.96	0.17	0.69
Providence	BE	0.40	2.32	52.17	47.00	0.02	-0.14
Cincinnati	BE	0.35	2.29	60.87	56.84	0.08	0.31
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.31	0.21	16.67	19.94	-0.21	-0.12
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.17	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.08
Columbia	Ivy	0.26	0.21	40.00	39.13	-0.05	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.06	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.17	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.26	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.10
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.18	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.13
Holy Cross	Pat	0.21	0.15	26.09	31.05	-0.10	-0.06
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.18	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.20	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.16	-0.09
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.20	0.12	68.18	66.65	0.07	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.14	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.14	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.17	0.15	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.16	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.16	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.16	0.15	70.59	70.98	0.07	0.06
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.12	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.12	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.15	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.08	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.12	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.08	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.11	0.12	0.00	4.18	-0.11	-0.11
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.15	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.07
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.18	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.12	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.12	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Albany	AE	0.10	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.10	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.07	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.00	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.00	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.00	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Georgetown	BE	26.21	26.01	75.53	72.72	13.38	11.82
Villanova	BE	4.90	3.99	95.00	84.84	4.41	2.78
Rutgers	BE	2.57	3.96	50.00	45.43	0.00	-0.36
Syracuse	BE	2.57	3.96	95.65	92.40	2.35	3.36
Connecticut	BE	2.64	2.35	63.64	58.37	0.72	0.39
DePaul	BE	2.72	2.35	36.36	35.06	-0.74	-0.70
Seton Hall	BE	2.67	2.35	60.00	59.52	0.53	0.45
St. John's	BE	2.67	2.35	57.14	50.94	0.38	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	2.68	2.33	77.27	73.16	1.46	1.08
West Virginia	BE	0.40	2.32	86.36	82.44	0.29	1.51
Marquette	BE	2.72	2.32	63.64	64.92	0.74	0.69
Louisville	BE	0.41	2.32	65.22	62.15	0.12	0.56
Providence	BE	0.40	2.32	52.17	47.00	0.02	-0.14
Notre Dame	BE	0.40	2.29	70.83	64.96	0.17	0.69
South Florida	BE	2.47	2.29	63.64	60.87	0.67	0.50
Cincinnati	BE	0.35	2.29	60.87	56.84	0.08	0.31
American	Pat	2.42	1.84	31.82	33.54	-0.88	-0.61
Temple	A10	2.48	1.84	82.61	80.16	1.62	1.11
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.42	1.81	40.91	49.35	-0.44	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	2.32	1.78	63.64	61.27	0.63	0.40
Duke	ACC	2.37	1.78	86.36	85.07	1.73	1.25
Old Dominion	CAA	2.32	1.75	70.83	72.66	0.97	0.79
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.75	77.78	78.31	1.29	0.99
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.72	86.96	86.81	1.68	1.27
Savannah St.	ind	2.27	1.72	31.58	32.68	-0.84	-0.60
Tulane	CUSA	2.27	1.72	33.33	30.64	-0.76	-0.67
Washington	P10	2.27	1.72	72.73	71.23	1.03	0.73
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.26	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.10
Columbia	Ivy	0.26	0.21	40.00	39.13	-0.05	-0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.31	0.21	16.67	19.94	-0.21	-0.12
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.18	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.18	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.13
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.18	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.04
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.17	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.17	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.08
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.15	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.07
Princeton	Ivy	0.16	0.15	70.59	70.98	0.07	0.06
Army	Pat	0.16	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.21	0.15	26.09	31.05	-0.10	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.06	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.17	0.15	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.15	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.06
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.14	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.14	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.05
Bryant	ind	0.11	0.12	0.00	4.18	-0.11	-0.11
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.12	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.08	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.12	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.12	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.20	0.12	68.18	66.65	0.07	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.12	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.20	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.16	-0.09
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
California	P10	0.10	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.07
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.16	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.15	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.10	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Albany	AE	0.10	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.08	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.05
Maine	AE	0.10	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.07	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.12	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.08	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01