The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Marshall page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Marshall

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		83.3
Current RPI:		87
Expected SOS:		123
Current SOS:		133
Current Record:		14-7
Expected Record:		18-10
Current Conf Record:		5-4
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-1
Current OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC RPI:		48
Expected OOC SOS:		125

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-7	55.3	2.60%
20-8	64.9	13.87%
19-9	75.1	29.46%
18-10	86.1	31.05%
17-11	99.4	16.96%
16-12	115.2	5.19%
15-13	133.0	0.84%
14-14	156.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Marshall.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	North Carolina A&T (283.2)	MEAC	H	79-63	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Middle Tennessee (189.8)	SB	H	63-60	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Old Dominion (34.0)	CAA	A	62-70	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Lamar (241.3)	Slnd	H	87-74	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Ohio (147.2)	MAC	N	60-53	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Binghamton (237.5)	AE	A	69-55	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	99-70	W	100%	0.0
12-20	High Point (269.0)	BSth	H	109-76	W	100%	0.0
12-22	North Carolina (84.6)	ACC	A	61-98	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	78-75	W	100%	0.0
1-2	St. Bonaventure (185.8)	A10	H	80-61	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Southern Mississippi (111.6)	CUSA	H	76-63	W	100%	0.0
1-9	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	A	83-65	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Central Florida (193.8)	CUSA	A	81-75	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	H	89-79	W	100%	0.0
1-20	West Virginia (5.3)	BE	N	60-68	L	0%	0.0
1-23	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	H	59-61	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Memphis (65.4)	CUSA	H	72-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Houston (144.2)	CUSA	A	66-81	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
2-6	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	H	100-49	W	100%	0.0
2-13	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	A	0-0		29%	-6.0
2-17	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		59%	2.5
2-20	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		76%	7.5
2-24	Rice (288.6)	CUSA	A	0-0		78%	8.5
2-27	Central Florida (193.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		89%	13.3
3-2	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	H	0-0		49%	-0.3
3-6	Southern Methodist (198.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		54%	1.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Marshall's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Marshall's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Marshall.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marshall	CUSA	26.39	26.25	65.93	65.70	8.41	8.24
East Carolina	CUSA	5.10	4.19	22.22	23.69	-2.83	-2.20
Troy	SB	4.92	3.72	52.63	54.56	0.26	0.34
UAB	CUSA	2.89	4.26	81.82	78.03	1.84	2.39
Houston	CUSA	2.84	2.50	45.00	49.10	-0.28	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	2.79	4.26	33.33	30.85	-0.93	-1.63
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.71	2.49	58.82	58.08	0.48	0.40
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.71	2.08	54.55	56.89	0.25	0.29
Tulsa	CUSA	2.71	4.19	76.19	71.00	1.42	1.76
Memphis	CUSA	2.67	2.47	68.18	69.01	0.97	0.94
Central Florida	CUSA	2.66	4.19	50.00	47.39	0.00	-0.22
Ohio	MAC	2.60	1.94	52.38	52.72	0.12	0.11
Lamar	Slnd	2.60	1.97	50.00	46.34	0.00	-0.14
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.60	1.97	25.00	31.93	-1.30	-0.71
Binghamton	AE	2.44	1.82	40.91	40.04	-0.44	-0.36
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.43	1.82	42.11	44.17	-0.38	-0.21
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.79	45.00	46.07	-0.24	-0.14
North Carolina	ACC	2.38	1.79	54.55	50.31	0.22	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	2.38	1.79	70.83	72.69	0.99	0.81
West Virginia	BE	2.38	1.79	81.82	78.75	1.52	1.03
Rice	CUSA	0.55	2.53	31.82	30.65	-0.20	-0.98
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.50	2.50	77.27	76.56	0.28	1.33
South Alabama	SB	0.45	0.38	47.83	47.55	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.41	0.26	47.62	48.61	-0.02	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.38	0.29	54.17	56.01	0.03	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.34	0.23	22.73	22.86	-0.18	-0.12
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.33	2.43	45.00	43.88	-0.03	-0.30
North Carolina Central	ind	0.28	0.19	4.76	9.60	-0.26	-0.16
Tennessee	SEC	0.28	0.16	81.82	75.63	0.18	0.08
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.28	0.17	36.36	36.18	-0.08	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.27	0.29	24.00	23.72	-0.14	-0.15
Wake Forest	ACC	0.23	0.16	76.19	71.16	0.12	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.23	0.16	45.45	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.23	0.13	78.26	71.74	0.13	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.22	0.19	77.27	77.14	0.12	0.10
Syracuse	BE	0.21	0.12	95.83	91.32	0.20	0.10
Albany	AE	0.21	0.15	23.08	25.74	-0.11	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.21	0.15	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.10	54.55	55.03	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.16	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.17	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.07	0.03
Denver	SB	0.17	0.13	60.87	59.59	0.04	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.17	0.13	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.17	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.17	0.20	45.45	47.50	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.17	0.09	20.00	23.49	-0.10	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.16	24.00	26.47	-0.09	-0.07
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.13	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.17	0.10	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.09	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.12	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.12	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.16	0.16	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.19	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.16	0.19	23.81	28.38	-0.08	-0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.12	75.00	70.94	0.08	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.09	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.07	44.00	45.16	-0.02	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.07	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.07	20.83	23.58	-0.07	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.12	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.10	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.06	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.07	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.06	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.12	0.07	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.12	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.13	22.73	25.50	-0.06	-0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.07	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.07	17.39	20.02	-0.07	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.07	52.38	56.28	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.12	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.06	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.09	70.83	63.36	0.05	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.09	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.07
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.05	0.04	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.12	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.12	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.07	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.12	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.12	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.03	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.09	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.09	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.13	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.07	21.05	22.44	-0.03	-0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.00	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.00	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	47.14	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.00	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.08
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.00	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.00	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.00	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.06	9.52	8.90	-0.00	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.00	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.60	0.00	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marshall	CUSA	26.39	26.25	65.93	65.70	8.41	8.24
UAB	CUSA	2.89	4.26	81.82	78.03	1.84	2.39
Tulane	CUSA	2.79	4.26	33.33	30.85	-0.93	-1.63
Central Florida	CUSA	2.66	4.19	50.00	47.39	0.00	-0.22
Tulsa	CUSA	2.71	4.19	76.19	71.00	1.42	1.76
East Carolina	CUSA	5.10	4.19	22.22	23.69	-2.83	-2.20
Troy	SB	4.92	3.72	52.63	54.56	0.26	0.34
Rice	CUSA	0.55	2.53	31.82	30.65	-0.20	-0.98
Houston	CUSA	2.84	2.50	45.00	49.10	-0.28	-0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.50	2.50	77.27	76.56	0.28	1.33
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.71	2.49	58.82	58.08	0.48	0.40
Memphis	CUSA	2.67	2.47	68.18	69.01	0.97	0.94
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.33	2.43	45.00	43.88	-0.03	-0.30
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.71	2.08	54.55	56.89	0.25	0.29
Lamar	Slnd	2.60	1.97	50.00	46.34	0.00	-0.14
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.60	1.97	25.00	31.93	-1.30	-0.71
Ohio	MAC	2.60	1.94	52.38	52.72	0.12	0.11
Binghamton	AE	2.44	1.82	40.91	40.04	-0.44	-0.36
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.43	1.82	42.11	44.17	-0.38	-0.21
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.79	45.00	46.07	-0.24	-0.14
North Carolina	ACC	2.38	1.79	54.55	50.31	0.22	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	2.38	1.79	70.83	72.69	0.99	0.81
West Virginia	BE	2.38	1.79	81.82	78.75	1.52	1.03
South Alabama	SB	0.45	0.38	47.83	47.55	-0.02	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.38	0.29	54.17	56.01	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.27	0.29	24.00	23.72	-0.14	-0.15
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.41	0.26	47.62	48.61	-0.02	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.34	0.23	22.73	22.86	-0.18	-0.12
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.17	0.20	45.45	47.50	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.28	0.19	4.76	9.60	-0.26	-0.16
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.19	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.16	0.19	23.81	28.38	-0.08	-0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.22	0.19	77.27	77.14	0.12	0.10
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.28	0.17	36.36	36.18	-0.08	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.23	0.16	45.45	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.28	0.16	81.82	75.63	0.18	0.08
Wake Forest	ACC	0.23	0.16	76.19	71.16	0.12	0.07
Liberty	BSth	0.16	0.16	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.16	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.16	24.00	26.47	-0.09	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.21	0.15	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.21	0.15	23.08	25.74	-0.11	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.17	0.13	60.87	59.59	0.04	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.13	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.17	0.13	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.13	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.23	0.13	78.26	71.74	0.13	0.06
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.13	22.73	25.50	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.12	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.12	52.38	53.77	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.17	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.12	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.12	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.12	75.00	70.94	0.08	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.21	0.12	95.83	91.32	0.20	0.10
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.12	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.16	0.12	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.12	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.10	54.55	55.03	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.17	0.10	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.17	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.07	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.17	0.09	20.00	23.49	-0.10	-0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.12	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.10	0.07
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.09	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.09	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.12	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.09	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.09	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.09	70.83	63.36	0.05	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.09	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.07	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.07	17.39	20.02	-0.07	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.07	44.00	45.16	-0.02	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.07	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.07	20.83	23.58	-0.07	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.07	52.38	56.28	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.07	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.07	21.05	22.44	-0.03	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.12	0.07	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.06	9.52	8.90	-0.00	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.06	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.06	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.05	0.04	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.05
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.06	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.07	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.03	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.00	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.00	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.00	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.00	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.60	0.00	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.00	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.00	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	47.14	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.00	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01