The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Evansville page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Evansville

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		276.1
Current RPI:		292
Expected SOS:		139
Current SOS:		166
Current Record:		5-17
Expected Record:		6-22
Current Conf Record:		0-13
Expected Conf Record:		1-17
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-1
Current OOC Record:		5-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC RPI:		239
Expected OOC SOS:		334

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-18	225.6	0.10%
9-19	239.9	0.98%
8-20	253.3	7.92%
7-21	266.8	28.70%
6-22	280.8	46.82%
5-23	293.2	15.47%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Evansville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	H	76-46	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	60-64	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	58-82	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	A	91-90	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	61-57	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	57-63	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	H	75-58	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	84-63	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	A	68-71	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	60-74	L	0%	0.0
1-1	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	46-65	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	H	64-72	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	63-82	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	55-69	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	56-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	57-65	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	65-72	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	64-74	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	66-76	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	56-63	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	71-84	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	63-83	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	0-0		15%	-11.1
2-13	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	0-0		11%	-13.2
2-17	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	0-0		4%	-19.1
2-20	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	0-0		70%	5.7
2-23	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	0-0		12%	-12.9
2-27	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	0-0		20%	-9.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Evansville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Evansville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Evansville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Evansville	MVC	26.57	26.40	18.63	18.84	-16.67	-16.45
Missouri St.	MVC	5.38	4.57	63.64	62.09	1.47	1.11
Bradley	MVC	5.27	4.54	47.62	46.53	-0.25	-0.32
Illinois St.	MVC	5.23	4.61	63.64	60.85	1.43	1.00
Indiana St.	MVC	5.22	4.57	52.38	51.09	0.25	0.10
Creighton	MVC	5.22	4.54	45.45	47.16	-0.47	-0.26
Southern Illinois	MVC	3.36	4.66	52.38	50.96	0.16	0.09
Drake	MVC	3.24	4.61	41.67	39.98	-0.54	-0.92
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.10	4.54	90.91	87.77	2.53	3.43
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.62	2.07	5.26	8.93	-2.34	-1.70
Austin Peay	OVC	2.48	1.97	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.14
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.47	1.94	9.09	9.93	-2.02	-1.55
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	52.17	54.53	0.11	0.17
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.38	1.91	47.62	45.66	-0.11	-0.17
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.32	1.85	35.29	40.96	-0.68	-0.33
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.85	82.61	83.36	1.48	1.23
Georgia Southern	SC	2.27	1.79	18.18	20.83	-1.45	-1.04
Miami OH	MAC	2.27	1.79	40.91	45.88	-0.41	-0.15
Wichita St.	MVC	1.01	4.54	79.17	76.38	0.59	2.40
Murray St.	OVC	0.41	0.29	86.96	85.47	0.30	0.21
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.41	0.38	27.27	25.82	-0.18	-0.18
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.34	0.28	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.31	0.29	68.18	67.88	0.11	0.10
Ball St.	MAC	0.30	0.22	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.26	0.19	65.22	64.71	0.08	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.21	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.21	0.19	20.00	24.04	-0.13	-0.10
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.21	0.19	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.21	0.22	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.21	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.20	0.12	80.95	82.07	0.12	0.08
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.18	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.12	71.43	69.51	0.08	0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.28	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.19	1.97	22.73	22.30	-0.11	-1.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.19	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.15	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.19	0.15	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.19	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.19	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.13	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.10	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.18	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.19	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.08
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.14	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Troy	SB	0.14	0.09	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.15	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.10
Denver	SB	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.12	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.18	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.11
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.06
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.18	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.12	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.00	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.00	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Evansville	MVC	26.57	26.40	18.63	18.84	-16.67	-16.45
Southern Illinois	MVC	3.36	4.66	52.38	50.96	0.16	0.09
Drake	MVC	3.24	4.61	41.67	39.98	-0.54	-0.92
Illinois St.	MVC	5.23	4.61	63.64	60.85	1.43	1.00
Missouri St.	MVC	5.38	4.57	63.64	62.09	1.47	1.11
Indiana St.	MVC	5.22	4.57	52.38	51.09	0.25	0.10
Creighton	MVC	5.22	4.54	45.45	47.16	-0.47	-0.26
Wichita St.	MVC	1.01	4.54	79.17	76.38	0.59	2.40
Bradley	MVC	5.27	4.54	47.62	46.53	-0.25	-0.32
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.10	4.54	90.91	87.77	2.53	3.43
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.62	2.07	5.26	8.93	-2.34	-1.70
Austin Peay	OVC	2.48	1.97	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.14
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.19	1.97	22.73	22.30	-0.11	-1.09
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.47	1.94	9.09	9.93	-2.02	-1.55
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.38	1.91	47.62	45.66	-0.11	-0.17
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	52.17	54.53	0.11	0.17
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.32	1.85	35.29	40.96	-0.68	-0.33
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.85	82.61	83.36	1.48	1.23
Georgia Southern	SC	2.27	1.79	18.18	20.83	-1.45	-1.04
Miami OH	MAC	2.27	1.79	40.91	45.88	-0.41	-0.15
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.41	0.38	27.27	25.82	-0.18	-0.18
Murray St.	OVC	0.41	0.29	86.96	85.47	0.30	0.21
Morehead St.	OVC	0.31	0.29	68.18	67.88	0.11	0.10
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.28	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.34	0.28	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.21	0.22	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.30	0.22	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.21	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.21	0.19	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.26	0.19	65.22	64.71	0.08	0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.21	0.19	20.00	24.04	-0.13	-0.10
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.19	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.08
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.18	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.18	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.18	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.19	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.18	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.15	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.15	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.19	0.15	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.19	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.11
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.13	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.21	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.12	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.12	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.10
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.20	0.12	80.95	82.07	0.12	0.08
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.12	71.43	69.51	0.08	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.19	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.10	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.14	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.06
Denver	SB	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.14	0.09	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.07	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.00	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.00	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.10	4.54	90.91	87.77	2.53	3.43
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.85	82.61	83.36	1.48	1.23
Missouri St.	MVC	5.38	4.57	63.64	62.09	1.47	1.11
Illinois St.	MVC	5.23	4.61	63.64	60.85	1.43	1.00
Wichita St.	MVC	1.01	4.54	79.17	76.38	0.59	2.40
Murray St.	OVC	0.41	0.29	86.96	85.47	0.30	0.21
Indiana St.	MVC	5.22	4.57	52.38	51.09	0.25	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	3.36	4.66	52.38	50.96	0.16	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.20	0.12	80.95	82.07	0.12	0.08
Morehead St.	OVC	0.31	0.29	68.18	67.88	0.11	0.10
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.06
Western Kentucky	SB	2.42	1.91	52.17	54.53	0.11	0.17
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.12	71.43	69.51	0.08	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.26	0.19	65.22	64.71	0.08	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.15	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.18	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.10	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.15	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.25	0.21	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.19	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.18	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.30	0.22	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.12	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.28	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.10	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.14	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01