The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Fairfield page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Fairfield

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		81.0
Current RPI:		82
Expected SOS:		173
Current SOS:		172
Current Record:		22-10
Expected Record:		22-10
Current Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		16-0
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC RPI:		129
Expected OOC SOS:		273

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-10		81.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fairfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Central Connecticut (309.0)	NEC	H	67-58	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Fordham (302.7)	A10	H	63-55	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Maryland (18.8)	ACC	A	42-71	L	0%	0.0
11-23	American (294.2)	Pat	A	72-56	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Howard (329.1)	MEAC	A	81-60	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Hofstra (145.6)	CAA	A	80-84	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Marist (334.7)	MAAC	H	70-61	W	100%	0.0
12-6	St. Peter's (181.0)	MAAC	A	61-48	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Holy Cross (275.2)	Pat	H	73-54	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Sacred Heart (262.8)	NEC	H	93-77	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Rhode Island (41.2)	A10	A	84-89	L	0%	0.0
12-29	St. Francis NY (292.9)	NEC	H	65-58	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Canisius (206.7)	MAAC	A	58-52	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Niagara (128.5)	MAAC	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Loyola MD (217.7)	MAAC	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Manhattan (226.8)	MAAC	H	88-85	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Siena (33.2)	MAAC	H	73-81	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Canisius (206.7)	MAAC	H	76-74	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Marist (334.7)	MAAC	A	70-50	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Iona (88.1)	MAAC	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Loyola MD (217.7)	MAAC	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Rider (141.3)	MAAC	H	80-88	L	0%	0.0
2-5	St. Peter's (181.0)	MAAC	H	59-46	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Siena (33.2)	MAAC	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Rider (141.3)	MAAC	A	79-75	W	100%	0.0
2-15	Manhattan (226.8)	MAAC	A	74-56	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Vermont (126.8)	AE	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Iona (88.1)	MAAC	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Niagara (128.5)	MAAC	H	80-74	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Canisius (206.7)	MAAC	N	67-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Niagara (128.5)	MAAC	N	69-63	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Siena (33.2)	MAAC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Fairfield's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Fairfield's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Fairfield.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Manhattan	MAAC	4.26	4.26	37.93	37.93	-1.03	-1.03
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Marist	MAAC	4.18	4.18	3.57	3.57	-3.88	-3.88
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.16	4.16	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Howard	MEAC	1.78	1.78	22.58	22.58	-0.98	-0.98
Holy Cross	Pat	1.74	1.74	30.00	30.00	-0.70	-0.70
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.71	1.71	39.29	39.29	-0.37	-0.37
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.70	1.70	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	1.69	1.69	7.41	7.41	-1.44	-1.44
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.57	0.73	0.72
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	72.41	72.07	0.74	0.73
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.23	0.23	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.23	48.28	47.10	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.22	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	60.71	60.18	0.05	0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Stony Brook	AE	0.21	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.19	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.77	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.15	0.15	83.87	83.97	0.10	0.10
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.17	61.29	60.56	0.03	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	36.67	35.84	-0.04	-0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	44.10	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	72.73	73.10	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	23.08	23.08	-0.07	-0.07
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.38	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.04	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.30	0.06	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.01	-0.03	-0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	19.23	20.52	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.08	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	50.95	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.15	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.00	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.58	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.78	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.08	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.29	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.14	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.81	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.71	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.07	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.79	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.15	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.06	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.78	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.12	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.35	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	54.17	54.31	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	69.23	69.23	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Manhattan	MAAC	4.26	4.26	37.93	37.93	-1.03	-1.03
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Marist	MAAC	4.18	4.18	3.57	3.57	-3.88	-3.88
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.16	4.16	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Howard	MEAC	1.78	1.78	22.58	22.58	-0.98	-0.98
Holy Cross	Pat	1.74	1.74	30.00	30.00	-0.70	-0.70
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.71	1.71	39.29	39.29	-0.37	-0.37
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.70	1.70	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	1.69	1.69	7.41	7.41	-1.44	-1.44
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.57	0.73	0.72
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	72.41	72.07	0.74	0.73
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.23	0.23	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.23	48.28	47.10	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.22	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	60.71	60.18	0.05	0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Stony Brook	AE	0.21	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.19	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.17	61.29	60.56	0.03	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.77	-0.04	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.15	0.15	83.87	83.97	0.10	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	36.67	35.84	-0.04	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	44.10	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	72.73	73.10	0.06	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	23.08	23.08	-0.07	-0.07
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.38	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.04	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.30	0.06	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.01	-0.03	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.08	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	19.23	20.52	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.08	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	50.95	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.15	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.00	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.29	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.58	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.78	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.14	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.81	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.71	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.07	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.79	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.15	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.06	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.78	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.35	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.12	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	54.17	54.31	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	69.23	69.23	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	72.41	72.07	0.74	0.73
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	71.88	71.57	0.73	0.72
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Temple	A10	0.15	0.15	83.87	83.97	0.10	0.10
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Stony Brook	AE	0.21	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.30	0.06	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	72.73	73.10	0.06	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	70.00	70.04	0.05	0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	60.71	60.18	0.05	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.17	61.29	60.56	0.03	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.78	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.29	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.79	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.08	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.08	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.58	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.78	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.81	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.35	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.38	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.12	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	69.23	69.23	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.84	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.06	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.15	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	50.95	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	54.17	54.31	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.07	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	46.67	45.97	-0.00	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.23	48.28	47.10	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.71	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.14	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	44.10	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03