The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Fairfield page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Fairfield

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		81.0
Current RPI:		81
Expected SOS:		171
Current SOS:		171
Current Record:		22-10
Expected Record:		22-10
Current Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		16-0
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC RPI:		130
Expected OOC SOS:		273

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-10		81.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fairfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Central Connecticut (309.0)	NEC	H	67-58	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Fordham (306.0)	A10	H	63-55	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	42-71	L	0%	0.0
11-23	American (295.0)	Pat	A	72-56	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	A	81-60	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Hofstra (145.0)	CAA	A	80-84	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	H	70-61	W	100%	0.0
12-6	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	A	61-48	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	73-54	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Sacred Heart (263.0)	NEC	H	93-77	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Rhode Island (39.0)	A10	A	84-89	L	0%	0.0
12-29	St. Francis NY (294.0)	NEC	H	65-58	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	58-52	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	88-85	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	H	73-81	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	H	76-74	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	A	70-50	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	80-88	L	0%	0.0
2-5	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	H	59-46	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	A	79-75	W	100%	0.0
2-15	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	A	74-56	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Vermont (119.0)	AE	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	H	80-74	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	N	67-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	N	69-63	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Fairfield's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Fairfield's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Fairfield.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Manhattan	MAAC	4.26	4.26	37.93	37.93	-1.03	-1.03
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Marist	MAAC	4.18	4.18	3.57	3.57	-3.88	-3.88
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.16	4.16	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Howard	MEAC	1.78	1.78	22.58	22.58	-0.98	-0.98
Holy Cross	Pat	1.74	1.74	30.00	30.00	-0.70	-0.70
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.71	1.71	39.29	39.29	-0.37	-0.37
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.70	1.70	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	1.69	1.69	7.41	7.41	-1.44	-1.44
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	72.73	72.73	0.76	0.76
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	70.97	70.97	0.69	0.69
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	72.41	72.41	0.70	0.70
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.23	0.23	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.22	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.19	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Boston University	AE	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Manhattan	MAAC	4.26	4.26	37.93	37.93	-1.03	-1.03
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Marist	MAAC	4.18	4.18	3.57	3.57	-3.88	-3.88
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.16	4.16	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Howard	MEAC	1.78	1.78	22.58	22.58	-0.98	-0.98
Holy Cross	Pat	1.74	1.74	30.00	30.00	-0.70	-0.70
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.71	1.71	39.29	39.29	-0.37	-0.37
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.70	1.70	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	1.69	1.69	7.41	7.41	-1.44	-1.44
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	72.73	72.73	0.76	0.76
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	70.97	70.97	0.69	0.69
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	72.41	72.41	0.70	0.70
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.23	0.23	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.22	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.19	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Boston University	AE	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.15	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fairfield	MAAC	26.54	26.54	72.86	72.86	12.13	12.13
Siena	MAAC	5.68	5.68	80.00	80.00	3.41	3.41
Iona	MAAC	4.13	4.13	68.97	68.97	1.57	1.57
Vermont	AE	1.67	1.67	72.73	72.73	0.76	0.76
Niagara	MAAC	5.66	5.66	56.67	56.67	0.75	0.75
Maryland	ACC	1.56	1.56	72.41	72.41	0.70	0.70
Rhode Island	A10	1.64	1.64	70.97	70.97	0.69	0.69
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.11	4.11	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Canisius	MAAC	5.68	5.68	51.72	51.72	0.20	0.20
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Rider	MAAC	4.22	4.22	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.18	0.18	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.23	0.23	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.10	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.69	1.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03