The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Louisville page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Louisville

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		37.0
Current RPI:		37
Expected SOS:		7
Current SOS:		7
Current Record:		20-12
Expected Record:		20-12
Current Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-0
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		46
Expected OOC SOS:		23

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
20-12		37.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	N	96-66	W	100%	0.0
11-21	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	69-56	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Morgan St. (103.0)	MEAC	H	90-81	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	H	80-53	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	A	71-76	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	H	80-48	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	H	65-87	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Western Carolina (123.0)	SC	H	83-91	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Oral Roberts (126.0)	Sum	H	94-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	H	102-75	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Louisiana Lafayette (245.0)	SB	H	84-69	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Radford (169.0)	BSth	H	79-53	W	100%	0.0
12-30	South Florida (71.0)	BE	H	73-52	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	62-71	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Providence (141.0)	BE	A	92-70	W	100%	0.0
1-9	St. John's (82.0)	BE	H	75-68	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Villanova (14.0)	BE	H	84-92	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	A	77-82	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	77-80	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	H	68-60	W	100%	0.0
1-30	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	A	74-77	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	H	82-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	H	76-60	W	100%	0.0
2-11	St. John's (82.0)	BE	A	55-74	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	H	91-89	W	100%	0.0
2-20	DePaul (212.0)	BE	A	68-59	W	100%	0.0
2-23	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	H	60-70	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	A	78-76	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Marquette (50.0)	BE	A	48-69	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	H	78-68	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	N	66-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Louisville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Louisville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Louisville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisville	BE	25.98	25.98	59.09	59.09	4.72	4.72
Cincinnati	BE	3.69	3.69	54.84	54.84	0.36	0.36
Connecticut	BE	3.68	3.68	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.49
St. John's	BE	3.66	3.66	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Syracuse	BE	3.61	3.61	93.33	93.33	3.13	3.13
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Notre Dame	BE	2.20	2.20	69.70	69.70	0.87	0.87
Marquette	BE	2.17	2.17	65.62	65.62	0.68	0.68
West Virginia	BE	2.17	2.17	81.25	81.25	1.36	1.36
South Florida	BE	2.15	2.15	64.52	64.52	0.62	0.62
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Pittsburgh	BE	2.12	2.12	74.19	74.19	1.03	1.03
Seton Hall	BE	2.12	2.12	60.00	60.00	0.42	0.42
Rutgers	BE	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Villanova	BE	2.09	2.09	76.67	76.67	1.12	1.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Appalachian St.	SC	1.68	1.68	66.67	66.67	0.56	0.56
Arkansas	SEC	1.66	1.66	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.64	1.64	77.14	77.14	0.89	0.89
Kentucky	SEC	1.64	1.64	93.94	93.94	1.44	1.44
Western Carolina	SC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Stetson	ASun	1.61	1.61	19.23	19.23	-0.99	-0.99
Western Kentucky	SB	1.59	1.59	63.64	63.64	0.43	0.43
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	1.59	1.59	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Charlotte	A10	1.56	1.56	60.00	60.00	0.31	0.31
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.56	1.56	74.19	74.19	0.76	0.76
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.56	1.56	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Radford	BSth	1.56	1.56	60.71	60.71	0.33	0.33
Campbell	ASun	0.18	0.18	60.71	60.71	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.18	0.18	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Elon	SC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
NC Asheville	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.09	0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.11	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.11	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.08	0.08	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.07	0.07	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisville	BE	25.98	25.98	59.09	59.09	4.72	4.72
Cincinnati	BE	3.69	3.69	54.84	54.84	0.36	0.36
Connecticut	BE	3.68	3.68	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.49
St. John's	BE	3.66	3.66	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Syracuse	BE	3.61	3.61	93.33	93.33	3.13	3.13
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Notre Dame	BE	2.20	2.20	69.70	69.70	0.87	0.87
Marquette	BE	2.17	2.17	65.62	65.62	0.68	0.68
West Virginia	BE	2.17	2.17	81.25	81.25	1.36	1.36
South Florida	BE	2.15	2.15	64.52	64.52	0.62	0.62
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Pittsburgh	BE	2.12	2.12	74.19	74.19	1.03	1.03
Seton Hall	BE	2.12	2.12	60.00	60.00	0.42	0.42
Rutgers	BE	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Villanova	BE	2.09	2.09	76.67	76.67	1.12	1.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Appalachian St.	SC	1.68	1.68	66.67	66.67	0.56	0.56
Arkansas	SEC	1.66	1.66	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.64	1.64	77.14	77.14	0.89	0.89
Kentucky	SEC	1.64	1.64	93.94	93.94	1.44	1.44
Western Carolina	SC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Stetson	ASun	1.61	1.61	19.23	19.23	-0.99	-0.99
Western Kentucky	SB	1.59	1.59	63.64	63.64	0.43	0.43
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	1.59	1.59	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Charlotte	A10	1.56	1.56	60.00	60.00	0.31	0.31
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.56	1.56	74.19	74.19	0.76	0.76
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.56	1.56	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Radford	BSth	1.56	1.56	60.71	60.71	0.33	0.33
Campbell	ASun	0.18	0.18	60.71	60.71	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.18	0.18	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Elon	SC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
NC Asheville	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.09	0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.11	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.11	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.08	0.08	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.07	0.07	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00