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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Georgia

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:52.0
Current RPI:52
Expected SOS:15
Current SOS:15
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-0
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:42
Expected OOC SOS:21



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
18-1452.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Clemson (69.0)ACCA74-64L0%0.0
11-14UNC Asheville (73.0)BSthH60-46W100%0.0
11-17Furman (96.0)SCH84-78W100%0.0
11-21George Washington (102.0)A10N73-81W100%0.0
11-22Kansas (4.0)B12N65-54L0%0.0
11-25Gardner Webb (186.0)BSthH77-59W100%0.0
12-4Marquette (60.0)BEH79-89L0%0.0
12-14Louisiana Lafayette (114.0)SBH73-60W100%0.0
12-17Charleston Southern (295.0)BSthH84-64W100%0.0
12-20Georgia Tech (105.0)ACCA43-60W100%0.0
12-23Oakland (109.0)HorzA86-79L0%0.0
12-29Auburn (113.0)SECA84-96W100%0.0
1-4South Carolina (42.0)SECH61-67L0%0.0
1-7Missouri (257.0)SECH71-66W100%0.0
1-11Mississippi (77.0)SECA47-69W100%0.0
1-14Florida (10.0)SECA80-76L0%0.0
1-17Vanderbilt (44.0)SECH76-68W100%0.0
1-21Texas A&M (92.0)SECA63-62L0%0.0
1-25Alabama (78.0)SECH60-80L0%0.0
1-28Texas (156.0)B12H59-57W100%0.0
1-31Kentucky (3.0)SECA90-81L0%0.0
2-4South Carolina (42.0)SECA77-75L0%0.0
2-7Florida (10.0)SECH60-72L0%0.0
2-11Tennessee (82.0)SECA75-76W100%0.0
2-14Mississippi St. (150.0)SECH79-72W100%0.0
2-18Kentucky (3.0)SECH77-82L0%0.0
2-23Alabama (78.0)SECA55-60W100%0.0
2-25LSU (193.0)SECH82-80W100%0.0
3-1Auburn (113.0)SECH79-78W100%0.0
3-4Arkansas (28.0)SECA85-67L0%0.0
3-9Tennessee (82.0)SECN59-57W100%0.0
3-10Kentucky (3.0)SECN71-60L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
GeorgiaSEC26.1726.1754.1754.172.182.18
KentuckySEC5.345.3483.8783.873.623.62
AlabamaSEC3.903.9058.0658.060.630.63
South CarolinaSEC3.783.7865.5265.521.171.17
TennesseeSEC3.773.7751.7251.720.130.13
FloridaSEC3.753.7573.3373.331.751.75
AuburnSEC3.703.7060.0060.000.740.74
VanderbiltSEC2.362.3657.5857.580.360.36
ArkansasSEC2.312.3172.7372.731.051.05
Mississippi St.SEC2.292.2951.6151.610.070.07
MississippiSEC2.272.2762.5062.500.570.57
MissouriSEC2.262.2625.8125.81-1.09-1.09
LSUSEC2.212.2133.3333.33-0.74-0.74
Texas A&MSEC2.212.2150.0050.000.000.00
UNC AshevilleBSth1.721.7272.4172.410.770.77
Charleston SouthernBSth1.711.7133.3333.33-0.57-0.57
ClemsonACC1.711.7151.6151.610.060.06
KansasB121.701.7087.1087.101.261.26
Gardner WebbBSth1.701.7055.1755.170.180.18
TexasB121.681.6834.3834.38-0.53-0.53
Georgia TechACC1.661.6653.3353.330.110.11
FurmanSC1.611.6165.5265.520.500.50
MarquetteBE1.591.5960.0060.000.320.32
George WashingtonA101.561.5659.3859.380.290.29
Louisiana LafayetteSB1.561.5663.3363.330.420.42
OaklandHorz1.561.5672.4172.410.700.70
WinthropBSth0.240.2480.0080.000.140.14
PresbyterianBSth0.240.2410.7110.71-0.19-0.19
High PointBSth0.230.2342.8642.86-0.03-0.03
OklahomaB120.220.2235.4835.48-0.06-0.06
Texas TechB120.190.1956.2556.250.020.02
LongwoodBSth0.190.1914.2914.29-0.13-0.13
CampbellBSth0.190.1945.1645.16-0.02-0.02
LibertyBSth0.190.1955.1755.170.020.02
Seton HallBE0.170.1765.6265.620.050.05
Florida St.ACC0.170.1775.7675.760.090.09
MercerSC0.170.1743.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Kansas St.B120.170.1760.6160.610.040.04
TCUB120.170.1754.5554.550.020.02
North CarolinaACC0.170.1778.7978.790.100.10
ValparaisoHorz0.170.1774.1974.190.080.08
RadfordBSth0.160.1640.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Virginia TechACC0.150.1568.7568.750.060.06
USC UpstateASun0.150.1546.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Georgia St.SB0.150.1560.0060.000.030.03
Coastal CarolinaSB0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
DukeACC0.150.1577.1477.140.080.08
UABCUSA0.150.1550.0050.000.000.00
North FloridaASun0.150.1536.6736.67-0.04-0.04
West VirginiaB120.150.1576.4776.470.080.08
East Tennessee St.SC0.130.1378.1278.120.070.07
PittsburghACC0.130.1348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.130.1331.0331.03-0.05-0.05
ChattanoogaSC0.130.1358.6258.620.020.02
MichiganB100.130.1368.5768.570.050.05
SyracuseACC0.130.1356.2556.250.020.02
Little RockSB0.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
VCUA100.120.1276.4776.470.070.07
Miami FLACC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
Cleveland St.Horz0.120.1226.6726.67-0.06-0.06
DavidsonA100.120.1253.1253.120.010.01
BaylorB120.120.1277.4277.420.070.07
Iowa St.B120.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
Oklahoma St.B120.120.1261.2961.290.030.03
LouisvilleACC0.120.1275.0075.000.060.06
DuquesneA100.120.1231.2531.25-0.04-0.04
VMISC0.110.1114.2914.29-0.08-0.08
Western CarolinaSC0.100.1023.3323.33-0.06-0.06
WoffordSC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
GonzagaWCC0.100.1096.9796.970.090.09
North Carolina St.ACC0.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Wake ForestACC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
XavierBE0.100.1061.7661.760.020.02
Boston CollegeACC0.100.1028.1228.12-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
OregonP120.100.1084.8584.850.070.07
UT ArlingtonSB0.100.1074.1974.190.050.05
Michigan St.B100.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
Saint LouisA100.090.0936.3636.36-0.03-0.03
UCLAP120.090.0987.8887.880.070.07
DaytonA100.090.0976.6776.670.050.05
Tennessee MartinOVC0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.090.0951.7251.720.000.00
SamfordSC0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.080.0870.9770.970.030.03
Youngstown St.Horz0.080.0834.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Appalachian St.SB0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechCUSA0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
WisconsinB100.080.0873.5373.530.040.04
HowardMEAC0.070.0725.0025.00-0.04-0.04
NebraskaB100.070.0736.6736.67-0.02-0.02
LipscombASun0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
Notre DameACC0.070.0773.5373.530.040.04
SienaMAAC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
CreightonBE0.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
Louisiana MonroeSB0.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
MemphisAmer0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Northwestern St.Slnd0.070.0736.0036.00-0.02-0.02
ButlerBE0.070.0774.1974.190.040.04
St. BonaventureA100.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
BelmontOVC0.070.0777.7877.780.040.04
MinnesotaB100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
RichmondA100.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
Arizona St.P120.070.0745.4545.45-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
HofstraCAA0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.060.0636.0036.00-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Green BayHorz0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0529.4129.41-0.02-0.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
The CitadelSC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
Wright St.Horz0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
DePaulBE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
FIUCUSA0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
GeorgetownBE0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Holy CrossPat0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
MonmouthMAAC0.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
ProvidenceBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
St. John'sBE0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
Texas St.SB0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
VermontAE0.050.0584.8584.850.040.04
VillanovaBE0.050.0591.1891.180.040.04
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0573.3373.330.020.02
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
TulaneAmer0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
VirginiaACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Penn St.B100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
PurdueB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
UMKCWAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
HoustonAmer0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
George MasonA100.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MassachusettsA100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.WAC0.030.0310.3410.34-0.02-0.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
ElonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
HamptonMEAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
NavyPat0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
NevadaMWC0.030.0382.3582.350.020.02
NortheasternCAA0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Ohio St.B100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
SMUAmer0.030.0388.2488.240.020.02
Southern UtahBSky0.030.0312.9012.90-0.02-0.02
UC DavisBW0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Western MichiganMAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
AmericanPat0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
DenverSum0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Fresno St.MWC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
IUPUISum0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.030.0319.2319.23-0.02-0.02
Montana St.BSky0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
New OrleansSlnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0337.0437.04-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.030.033.333.33-0.02-0.02
OhioMAC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
Old DominionCUSA0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
TroySB0.030.0358.8258.820.000.00
USCP120.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.020.026.906.90-0.02-0.02
Boise St.MWC0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.020.0244.4444.44-0.00-0.00
IllinoisB100.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
IndianaB100.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
LehighPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.020.0212.9012.90-0.02-0.02
StanfordP120.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.020.0284.3884.380.020.02
UNLVMWC0.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01
UTEPCUSA0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.020.0220.0020.00-0.01-0.01
BradleyMVC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
ColoradoP120.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
FordhamA100.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.020.0261.5461.540.010.01
Incarnate WordSlnd0.020.0232.0032.00-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.020.0261.7661.760.010.01
La SalleA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
MontanaBSky0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Murray St.OVC0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
NorthwesternB100.020.0267.6567.650.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
TempleAmer0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
BucknellPat0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Fort WayneSum0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.020.0255.8855.880.000.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0260.7160.710.000.00
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.020.0253.5753.570.000.00