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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Georgia

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:62.0
Current RPI:62
Expected SOS:26
Current SOS:26
Current Record:19-13
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Record:12-9
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:69
Expected OOC SOS:4



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
19-1362.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Chattanooga (50.0)SCH90-92L0%0.0
11-20Murray St. (169.0)OVCH63-52W100%0.0
11-25High Point (158.0)BSthH49-46W100%0.0
11-28Seton Hall (19.0)BEA69-62L0%0.0
12-1Oakland (116.0)HorzH86-82W100%0.0
12-4Kansas St. (92.0)B12H66-68L0%0.0
12-8Winthrop (130.0)BSthH74-64W100%0.0
12-19Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH75-61W100%0.0
12-22Clemson (131.0)ACCH71-48W100%0.0
12-29Robert Morris (291.0)NECH79-67W100%0.0
1-2Florida (55.0)SECA77-63L0%0.0
1-6Missouri (222.0)SECH77-59W100%0.0
1-9Mississippi (96.0)SECA72-71L0%0.0
1-13Tennessee (143.0)SECH81-72W100%0.0
1-16Texas A&M (18.0)SECH45-79L0%0.0
1-20Missouri (222.0)SECA57-60W100%0.0
1-23Arkansas (133.0)SECH76-73W100%0.0
1-26LSU (94.0)SECA89-85L0%0.0
1-30Baylor (25.0)B12A83-73L0%0.0
2-2South Carolina (65.0)SECH69-56W100%0.0
2-6Auburn (175.0)SECH65-55W100%0.0
2-9Kentucky (11.0)SECA82-48L0%0.0
2-13Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA57-66W100%0.0
2-16Florida (55.0)SECH53-57L0%0.0
2-20Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA80-67L0%0.0
2-24Auburn (175.0)SECA84-81L0%0.0
2-27Mississippi (96.0)SECH80-66W100%0.0
3-3South Carolina (65.0)SECA72-74W100%0.0
3-5Alabama (73.0)SECH70-63W100%0.0
3-10Mississippi St. (154.0)SECN79-69W100%0.0
3-11South Carolina (65.0)SECN64-65W100%0.0
3-12Kentucky (11.0)SECN93-80L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
GeorgiaSEC26.2326.2356.1556.153.233.23
South CarolinaSEC5.305.3082.1482.143.413.41
MississippiSEC3.863.8663.3363.331.031.03
Mississippi St.SEC3.783.7848.2848.28-0.13-0.13
MissouriSEC3.783.7834.4834.48-1.17-1.17
KentuckySEC3.783.7875.0075.001.891.89
FloridaSEC3.783.7854.8454.840.370.37
AuburnSEC3.733.7334.4834.48-1.16-1.16
AlabamaSEC2.442.4458.0658.060.390.39
TennesseeSEC2.392.3945.4545.45-0.22-0.22
Texas A&MSEC2.392.3975.7675.761.231.23
ArkansasSEC2.292.2951.6151.610.070.07
VanderbiltSEC2.292.2958.0658.060.370.37
LSUSEC2.262.2656.2556.250.280.28
ClemsonACC1.731.7356.6756.670.230.23
Kansas St.B121.731.7350.0050.000.000.00
Georgia TechACC1.691.6959.3859.380.320.32
BaylorB121.661.6664.5264.520.480.48
WinthropBSth1.641.6471.4371.430.700.70
High PointBSth1.621.6266.6766.670.540.54
Seton HallBE1.611.6175.0075.000.810.81
OaklandHorz1.591.5967.7467.740.560.56
Robert MorrisNEC1.591.5932.2632.26-0.56-0.56
ChattanoogaSC1.561.5683.8783.871.061.06
Murray St.OVC1.561.5653.5753.570.110.11
Oklahoma St.B120.220.2237.5037.50-0.05-0.05
KansasB120.210.2187.8887.880.160.16
Texas TechB120.200.2061.2961.290.040.04
XavierBE0.200.2084.3884.380.130.13
UNC AshevilleBSth0.180.1864.5264.520.050.05
Gardner WebbBSth0.180.1846.6746.67-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.180.1848.4848.48-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.180.1843.3343.33-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.170.1743.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Florida St.ACC0.170.1759.3859.380.030.03
TexasB120.170.1762.5062.500.040.04
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.160.1657.6957.690.020.02
Northwestern St.Slnd0.150.1520.8320.83-0.09-0.09
St. John'sBE0.150.1522.5822.58-0.08-0.08
Miami FLACC0.150.1578.1278.120.080.08
Wright St.Horz0.150.1560.6160.610.030.03
South FloridaAmer0.150.1524.2424.24-0.07-0.07
Iowa St.B120.140.1465.6265.620.040.04
West VirginiaB120.140.1476.4776.470.080.08
LongwoodBSth0.140.1423.3323.33-0.07-0.07
PresbyterianBSth0.130.1328.5728.57-0.06-0.06
Charleston SouthernBSth0.130.1322.2222.22-0.07-0.07
RadfordBSth0.130.1348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Georgia SouthernSB0.130.1341.3841.38-0.02-0.02
MemphisAmer0.120.1255.8855.880.010.01
MercerSC0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
DePaulBE0.120.1229.0329.03-0.05-0.05
VirginiaACC0.120.1278.7978.790.070.07
Wake ForestACC0.120.1235.4835.48-0.04-0.04
East Tennessee St.SC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
OklahomaB120.120.1278.1278.120.070.07
TCUB120.120.1236.3636.36-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleACC0.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
LibertyBSth0.110.1134.4834.48-0.03-0.03
Tennessee MartinOVC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
DrexelCAA0.100.1020.0020.00-0.06-0.06
Jacksonville St.OVC0.100.1020.6920.69-0.06-0.06
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.100.1011.1111.11-0.08-0.08
Tennessee TechOVC0.100.1060.7160.710.020.02
LipscombASun0.100.1032.2632.26-0.04-0.04
Norfolk St.MEAC0.100.1048.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.100.1041.3841.38-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.100.1078.1278.120.050.05
Notre DameACC0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
WagnerNEC0.100.1067.7467.740.030.03
DukeACC0.090.0969.7069.700.040.04
VillanovaBE0.090.0985.2985.290.070.07
CampbellBSth0.080.0833.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Austin PeayOVC0.080.0848.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.080.0870.9770.970.030.03
UNC GreensboroSC0.080.0837.9337.93-0.02-0.02
MilwaukeeHorz0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
HofstraCAA0.080.0871.8871.880.030.03
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.080.0834.4834.48-0.02-0.02
TulsaAmer0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
USC UpstateASun0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
IllinoisB100.070.0744.1244.12-0.01-0.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.070.0748.2848.28-0.00-0.00
SouthernSWAC0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
Boston CollegeACC0.070.0721.8821.88-0.04-0.04
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
TulaneAmer0.070.0735.2935.29-0.02-0.02
MassachusettsA100.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.070.0748.2848.28-0.00-0.00
SamfordSC0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Illinois St.MVC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
North CarolinaACC0.070.0782.3582.350.050.05
PittsburghACC0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
BradleyMVC0.070.0712.9012.90-0.05-0.05
Green BayHorz0.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
Kennesaw St.ASun0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
TroySB0.070.0724.1424.14-0.04-0.04
SyracuseACC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Michigan St.B100.070.0785.2985.290.050.05
PurdueB100.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
CreightonBE0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
MarquetteBE0.070.0760.6160.610.020.02
ButlerBE0.070.0767.7467.740.020.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
Arizona St.P120.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
EvansvilleMVC0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
HoustonAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
ArizonaP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0524.2424.24-0.03-0.03
ColoradoP120.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
HarvardIvy0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.050.0583.3383.330.030.03
Missouri St.MVC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UABCUSA0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
UMKCWAC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.050.0564.2964.290.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Virginia TechACC0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
BryantNEC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0513.7913.79-0.04-0.04
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
FurmanSC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
George MasonA100.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Georgia St.SB0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.050.0510.7110.71-0.04-0.04
LIU BrooklynNEC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
OregonP120.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
Sacred HeartNEC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
TowsonCAA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0580.0080.000.030.03
VMISC0.050.0522.2222.22-0.03-0.03
Colorado St.MWC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
ColumbiaIvy0.050.0565.5265.520.010.01
DuquesneA100.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
GeorgetownBE0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
NavyPat0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
ProvidenceBE0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
RichmondA100.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
VermontAE0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
George WashingtonA100.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
AlbanyAE0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
GonzagaWCC0.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
NJITASun0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Ohio St.B100.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
UCLAP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.030.0362.0762.070.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
BelmontOVC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
HamptonMEAC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
Weber St.BSky0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
MinnesotaB100.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Air ForceMWC0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
AkronMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
BinghamtonAE0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
BucknellPat0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Chicago St.WAC0.020.023.453.45-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
LehighPat0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.020.0222.8622.86-0.01-0.01
PennIvy0.020.0237.0437.04-0.01-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.020.0282.1482.140.020.02
Stony BrookAE0.020.0280.0080.000.010.01
ToledoMAC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
WashingtonP120.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
ColgatePat0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
College of CharlestonCAA0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
Coppin St.MEAC0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.020.0226.9226.92-0.01-0.01
North DakotaBSky0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Saint LouisA100.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
South DakotaSum0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
VCUA100.020.0270.5970.590.010.01
ArmyPat0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Cal PolyBW0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
MarshallCUSA0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
NebraskaB100.020.0247.0647.06-0.00-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.020.0276.6776.670.010.01