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Through games of Mar 11, 2018.


Georgia

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:79.0
Current RPI:79
Expected SOS:44
Current SOS:44
Current Record:18-15
Expected Record:18-15
Current Conf Record:9-12
Expected Conf Record:9-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:59
Expected OOC SOS:176



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
18-1579.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Bryant (341.0)NECH79-54W100%0.0
11-14USC Upstate (344.0)ASunH74-65W100%0.0
11-19Texas A&M Corpus Chris (326.0)SlndH68-65W100%0.0
11-23Cal St. Fullerton (131.0)BWA57-64W100%0.0
11-24San Diego St. (62.0)MWCN75-68L0%0.0
11-26Saint Mary's (40.0)WCCN83-81W100%0.0
12-2Marquette (58.0)BEA66-73W100%0.0
12-5Winthrop (173.0)BSthH87-82W100%0.0
12-16Massachusetts (240.0)A10A72-62L0%0.0
12-19Georgia Tech (161.0)ACCH80-59W100%0.0
12-22Temple (52.0)AmerH84-66W100%0.0
12-31Kentucky (10.0)SECA66-61L0%0.0
1-3Mississippi (141.0)SECH71-60W100%0.0
1-6Alabama (42.0)SECH65-46W100%0.0
1-10Missouri (43.0)SECA68-56L0%0.0
1-13South Carolina (90.0)SECH57-64L0%0.0
1-16LSU (95.0)SECA60-61W100%0.0
1-20Auburn (15.0)SECA79-65L0%0.0
1-23Arkansas (30.0)SECH77-80L0%0.0
1-27Kansas St. (53.0)B12A56-51L0%0.0
1-30Florida (46.0)SECH72-60W100%0.0
2-3Mississippi St. (73.0)SECA72-57L0%0.0
2-7Vanderbilt (132.0)SECA81-66L0%0.0
2-10Auburn (15.0)SECH61-78L0%0.0
2-14Florida (46.0)SECA69-72W100%0.0
2-17Tennessee (8.0)SECH73-62W100%0.0
2-21South Carolina (90.0)SECA66-57L0%0.0
2-24LSU (95.0)SECH93-82W100%0.0
2-28Texas A&M (29.0)SECH60-61L0%0.0
3-3Tennessee (8.0)SECA66-61L0%0.0
3-7Vanderbilt (132.0)SECN78-62W100%0.0
3-8Missouri (43.0)SECN60-62W100%0.0
3-9Kentucky (10.0)SECN62-49L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
GeorgiaSEC26.1726.1753.9053.902.042.04
KentuckySEC3.763.7668.7568.751.411.41
TennesseeSEC3.753.7577.4277.422.062.06
South CarolinaSEC3.733.7346.6746.67-0.25-0.25
VanderbiltSEC3.713.7136.6736.67-0.99-0.99
AuburnSEC3.663.6676.6776.671.951.95
FloridaSEC3.663.6666.6766.671.221.22
LSUSEC3.643.6458.6258.620.630.63
MissouriSEC3.613.6162.0762.070.870.87
ArkansasSEC2.322.3266.6766.670.770.77
AlabamaSEC2.292.2957.5857.580.350.35
Mississippi St.SEC2.272.2764.5264.520.660.66
MississippiSEC2.252.2538.7138.71-0.51-0.51
Texas A&MSEC2.192.1961.2961.290.500.50
TempleAmer1.611.6154.8454.840.160.16
Kansas St.B121.591.5965.6265.620.500.50
MarquetteBE1.561.5661.2961.290.350.35
MassachusettsA101.561.5637.5037.50-0.39-0.39
WinthropBSth1.561.5659.2659.260.290.29
Georgia TechACC1.561.5641.9441.94-0.25-0.25
Saint Mary'sWCC1.541.5487.5087.501.161.16
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd1.541.5432.0032.00-0.55-0.55
Cal St. FullertonBW1.541.5464.2964.290.440.44
USC UpstateASun1.541.5411.1111.11-1.20-1.20
BryantNEC1.521.5210.0010.00-1.21-1.21
San Diego St.MWC1.521.5266.6766.670.510.51
North FloridaASun0.220.2236.6736.67-0.06-0.06
Gardner WebbBSth0.200.2037.9337.93-0.05-0.05
ClemsonACC0.170.1771.8871.880.070.07
West VirginiaB120.160.1670.5970.590.070.07
UNC AshevilleBSth0.150.1561.2961.290.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.150.1580.0080.000.090.09
Iowa St.B120.140.1441.9441.94-0.02-0.02
VillanovaBE0.140.1488.2488.240.110.11
DaytonA100.140.1445.1645.16-0.01-0.01
KansasB120.140.1479.4179.410.080.08
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.130.1351.7251.720.000.00
RadfordBSth0.130.1362.5062.500.030.03
Long Beach St.BW0.130.1341.9441.94-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.120.1248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
BaylorB120.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
LipscombASun0.120.1268.9768.970.050.05
MemphisAmer0.120.1261.7661.760.030.03
HoustonAmer0.120.1278.7978.790.070.07
UCFAmer0.120.1259.3859.380.020.02
CincinnatiAmer0.120.1288.2488.240.090.09
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.120.1276.6776.670.060.06
GonzagaWCC0.120.1288.2488.240.090.09
ConnecticutAmer0.120.1243.7543.75-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.120.1256.6756.670.020.02
George MasonA100.120.1248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
TCUB120.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
BYUWCC0.110.1170.5970.590.050.05
Houston BaptistSlnd0.110.1110.7110.71-0.08-0.08
Incarnate WordSlnd0.110.1112.5012.50-0.08-0.08
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.110.1143.3343.33-0.01-0.01
High PointBSth0.100.1040.7440.74-0.02-0.02
PresbyterianBSth0.100.1027.5927.59-0.04-0.04
Colorado St.MWC0.100.1032.2632.26-0.03-0.03
WagnerNEC0.100.1070.0070.000.040.04
USCP120.100.1067.6567.650.030.03
Utah ValleyWAC0.100.1065.5265.520.030.03
Alcorn St.SWAC0.100.1025.0025.00-0.05-0.05
Notre DameACC0.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
St. John'sBE0.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
WyomingMWC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
Fresno St.MWC0.100.1063.3363.330.030.03
Arizona St.P120.090.0964.5264.520.030.03
Seton HallBE0.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
VirginiaACC0.090.0993.9493.940.080.08
Western MichiganMAC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Wichita St.Amer0.090.0978.1278.120.050.05
MinnesotaB100.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
Texas TechB120.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
Wake ForestACC0.090.0935.4835.48-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleACC0.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
La SalleA100.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.090.0916.1316.13-0.06-0.06
Virginia TechACC0.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
North CarolinaACC0.090.0971.4371.430.040.04
Oklahoma St.B120.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
TexasB120.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
OklahomaB120.090.0958.0658.060.010.01
New OrleansSlnd0.090.0942.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.090.0944.4444.44-0.01-0.01
CampbellBSth0.080.0846.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
UC DavisBW0.080.0866.6766.670.030.03
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.080.0870.0070.000.030.03
CreightonBE0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
VCUA100.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
CaliforniaP120.070.0725.8125.81-0.04-0.04
Sacramento St.BSky0.070.0716.6716.67-0.05-0.05
NevadaMWC0.070.0779.4179.410.040.04
FurmanSC0.070.0767.7467.740.030.03
Green BayHorz0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.070.0727.5927.59-0.03-0.03
UtahP120.070.0763.3363.330.020.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
PortlandWCC0.070.0724.1424.14-0.04-0.04
San Jose St.MWC0.070.0710.3410.34-0.06-0.06
St. Francis PANEC0.070.0757.1457.140.010.01
New HampshireAE0.070.0727.5927.59-0.03-0.03
SamfordSC0.070.0726.6726.67-0.03-0.03
DePaulBE0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.070.0778.7978.790.040.04
Florida St.ACC0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
Illinois St.MVC0.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
TulaneAmer0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
WoffordSC0.070.0760.0060.000.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
Washington St.P120.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
ProvidenceBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
TulsaAmer0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
George WashingtonA100.070.0745.4545.45-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.070.0782.3582.350.050.05
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
UCLAP120.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
VermontAE0.070.0778.7978.790.040.04
MercerSC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
Rhode IslandA100.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
TroySB0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.060.0653.5753.570.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
LibertyBSth0.050.0554.8454.840.010.01
LongwoodBSth0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
NJITASun0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0532.0032.00-0.02-0.02
Cal PolyBW0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
HawaiiBW0.050.0553.5753.570.000.00
UC RiversideBW0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UMKCWAC0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Air ForceMWC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Boise St.MWC0.050.0573.3373.330.020.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
IllinoisB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MichiganB100.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
New MexicoMWC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
UNLVMWC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
BradleyMVC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
BelmontOVC0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
ButlerBE0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.050.0540.7440.74-0.01-0.01
FIUCUSA0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.050.0524.2424.24-0.02-0.02
GeorgetownBE0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
HofstraCAA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
Murray St.OVC0.050.0582.7682.760.030.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
UABCUSA0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
WisconsinB100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
XavierBE0.050.0584.8584.850.030.03
AmericanPat0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
Georgia St.SB0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
ArizonaP120.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
PacificWCC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
San FranciscoWCC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.040.0471.8871.880.020.02
Fort WayneSum0.040.0450.0050.000.000.00
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.040.0450.0050.000.000.00
MonmouthMAAC0.040.0435.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.038.008.00-0.02-0.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
Texas St.SB0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
UTSACUSA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
DenverSum0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
AlbanyAE0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
BrownIvy0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.020.0223.0823.08-0.01-0.01
HartfordAE0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
NavyPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
RutgersB100.020.0242.4242.42-0.00-0.00
SienaMAAC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Utah St.MWC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
BuffaloMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.020.023.333.33-0.02-0.02
Coppin St.MEAC0.020.0215.6215.62-0.02-0.02
DrexelCAA0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
Little RockSB0.020.0220.0020.00-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0280.6580.650.010.01
Miami FLACC0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
North TexasCUSA0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Northern IllinoisMAC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Northern KentuckyHorz0.020.0268.9768.970.010.01
NorthwesternB100.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Old DominionCUSA0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
PennIvy0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Penn St.B100.020.0261.7661.760.010.01
PittsburghACC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
RiceCUSA0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
SMUAmer0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0280.0080.000.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
SyracuseACC0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
DavidsonA100.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
DuquesneA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
FordhamA100.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Holy CrossPat0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MaineAE0.020.0213.3313.33-0.02-0.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.020.0283.3383.330.020.02
NiagaraMAAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Northern ArizonaBSky0.020.0213.3313.33-0.02-0.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.020.0236.3636.36-0.01-0.01
RichmondA100.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
SeattleWAC0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
St. BonaventureA100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
UMass LowellAE0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.020.029.689.68-0.02-0.02
BucknellPat0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.020.0260.6160.610.000.00