Wofford

Conference:	SC
Expected RPI:	129.0
Current RPI:	129
Expected SOS:	185
Current SOS:	185
Current Record:	18-12
Expected Record:	18-12
Current Conf Record:	12-8
Expected Conf Record:	12-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	12-2
Current OOC Record:	6-4
Expected OOC Record:	6-4
Expected OOC RPI:	105
Expected OOC SOS:	140

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-12	129.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wofford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	South Carolina (90.0)	SEC	H	52-73	L	0%
11-16	California (216.0)	P12	A	79-65	L	0%
11-19	North Florida (218.0)	ASun	H	86-83	W	100%
11-22	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	A	79-56	L	0%
11-26	UNC Asheville (130.0)	BSth	A	85-65	L	0%
11-29	Coastal Carolina (246.0)	SB	A	81-87	W	100%
12-6	Georgia Tech (161.0)	ACC	H	63-60	W	100%
12-17	High Point (273.0)	BSth	N	57-70	W	100%
12-20	North Carolina (4.0)	ACC	A	75-79	W	100%
12-30	UNC Greensboro (65.0)	SC	A	71-67	L	0%
1-4	VMI (313.0)	SC	H	92-53	W	100%
1-6	The Citadel (281.0)	SC	H	109-92	W	100%
1-10	Harvard (117.0)	Ivy	H	63-62	W	100%
1-13	Furman (97.0)	SC	H	79-70	W	100%
1-18	Samford (296.0)	SC	A	89-93	W	100%
1-20	Chattanooga (304.0)	SC	H	71-67	W	100%
1-24	VMI (313.0)	SC	A	46-63	W	100%
1-27	East Tennessee St. (93.0)	SC	H	62-75	L	0%
1-29	Western Carolina (215.0)	SC	H	77-68	W	100%
2-1	The Citadel (281.0)	SC	A	80-78	L	0%
2-3	Mercer (174.0)	SC	A	73-65	L	0%
2-7	Samford (296.0)	SC	H	92-79	W	100%
2-10	Furman (97.0)	SC	A	76-52	L	0%
2-15	Western Carolina (215.0)	SC	A	69-84	W	100%
2-17	Chattanooga (304.0)	SC	A	64-74	W	100%
2-20	UNC Greensboro (65.0)	SC	H	66-76	L	0%
2-23	East Tennessee St. (93.0)	SC	A	71-75	W	100%
2-25	Mercer (174.0)	SC	H	68-69	L	0%
3-3	Mercer (174.0)	SC	N	53-73	W	100%
3-4	UNC Greensboro (65.0)	SC	N	56-55	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Wofford's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Wofford's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Wofford.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Wofford	SC	26.54	26.54	61.43	61.43	6.07	6.07
UNC Greensboro	SC	6.08	6.08	75.00	75.00	3.04	3.04
Mercer	SC	5.94	5.94	51.85	51.85	0.22	0.22
East Tennessee St.	SC	4.52	4.52	73.33	73.33	2.11	2.11
The Citadel	SC	4.49	4.49	25.93	25.93	-2.16	-2.16
Furman	SC	4.46	4.46	68.97	68.97	1.69	1.69
Western Carolina	SC	4.46	4.46	39.29	39.29	-0.96	-0.96
Chattanooga	SC	4.44	4.44	27.59	27.59	-1.99	-1.99
Samford	SC	4.38	4.38	28.57	28.57	-1.88	-1.88
VMI	SC	4.38	4.38	26.92	26.92	-2.02	-2.02
UNC Asheville	BSth	1.92	1.92	60.00	60.00	0.38	0.38
High Point	BSth	1.83	1.83	42.31	42.31	-0.28	-0.28
North Carolina	ACC	1.75	1.75	73.53	73.53	0.82	0.82
South Carolina	SEC	1.72	1.72	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Coastal Carolina	SB	1.69	1.69	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Texas Tech	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.69	1.69	41.94	41.94	-0.27	-0.27
California	P12	1.67	1.67	23.33	23.33	-0.89	-0.89
Harvard	Ivy	1.67	1.67	58.62	58.62	0.29	0.29
North Florida	ASun	1.67	1.67	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Liberty	BSth	0.31	0.31	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
Longwood	BSth	0.29	0.29	13.33	13.33	-0.21	-0.21
Tennessee	SEC	0.27	0.27	75.76	75.76	0.14	0.14
Clemson	ACC	0.26	0.26	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Presbyterian	BSth	0.26	0.26	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.22	0.22	28.57	28.57	-0.09	-0.09
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.18	0.18	93.94	93.94	0.16	0.16
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.18	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Campbell	BSth	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.17	0.17	57.14	57.14	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.15	78.79	78.79	0.09	0.09
Memphis	Amer	0.14	0.14	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.14	24.24	24.24	-0.07	-0.07
Elon	CAA	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
UNC Wilmington	CAA	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	CAA	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
VCU	A10	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SB	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
UT Arlington	SB	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	9.68	9.68	-0.09	-0.09
Colorado	P12	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
LSU	SEC	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.11	70.59	70.59	0.04	0.04
Stanford	P12	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	ACC	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	SB	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	CUSA	0.08	0.08	17.86	17.86	-0.05	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.62	40.62	-0.02	-0.02
NJIT	ASun	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Penn	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
UCF	Amer	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Davidson	A10	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	SB	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
USC Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	10.71	10.71	-0.06	-0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	84.85	84.85	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Georgia Southern	SB	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P12	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	B12	0.08	0.08	70.59	70.59	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	ACC	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.00	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
UMBC	AE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	38.46	38.46	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	Amer	0.06	0.06	88.24	88.24	0.04	0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.06	26.92	26.92	-0.03	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	12.50	12.50	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	MVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
FIU	CUSA	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	SEC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P12	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P12	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Butler	BE	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
USC	P12	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Washington	P12	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P12	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	6.67	6.67	-0.05	-0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	BE	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
TCU	B12	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Louisville	ACC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
UTSA	CUSA	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Boston University	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	14.29	14.29	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P12	0.03	0.03	64.71	64.71	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P12	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Seattle	WAC	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	P12	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	Amer	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	15.62	15.62	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
North Texas	CUSA	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	Amer	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	SEC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UTEP	CUSA	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.03	0.03	44.44	44.44	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	MWC	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	Amer	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00