The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Yale page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Yale

Conference:		Ivy
Expected RPI:		267.2
Current RPI:		268
Expected SOS:		273
Current SOS:		271
Current Record:		11-19
Expected Record:		11-19
Current Conf Record:		6-8
Expected Conf Record:		6-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-5
Current OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC RPI:		290
Expected OOC SOS:		307

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
11-19		267.2		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Yale.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Sacred Heart (262.8)	NEC	N	86-92	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Hofstra (144.3)	CAA	N	63-68	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Colgate (288.8)	Pat	N	65-55	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Quinnipiac (133.1)	NEC	H	64-71	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Charlotte (68.0)	A10	N	74-88	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Elon (271.7)	SC	N	69-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Army (246.8)	Pat	A	48-64	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Hartford (302.8)	AE	A	48-46	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Vermont (126.5)	AE	H	60-72	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Bryant (345.2)	ind	H	69-54	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Providence (124.9)	BE	A	78-87	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Colorado (105.1)	B12	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Colorado St. (115.3)	MWC	A	71-93	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Albany (302.1)	AE	A	68-89	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Lehigh (158.2)	Pat	A	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-9	NJ Inst of Technology (341.4)	GWC	H	79-48	W	100%	0.0
1-15	Brown (255.5)	Ivy	H	66-75	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Brown (255.5)	Ivy	A	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Pennsylvania (299.1)	Ivy	H	61-48	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Princeton (132.7)	Ivy	H	45-58	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Cornell (47.0)	Ivy	A	71-90	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Columbia (250.0)	Ivy	A	79-64	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Harvard (97.9)	Ivy	H	79-82	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Dartmouth (334.5)	Ivy	H	69-56	W	100%	0.0
2-19	Princeton (132.7)	Ivy	A	58-82	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Pennsylvania (299.1)	Ivy	A	69-81	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Dartmouth (334.5)	Ivy	A	55-45	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Harvard (97.9)	Ivy	A	58-78	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Columbia (250.0)	Ivy	H	65-48	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Cornell (47.0)	Ivy	H	59-79	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Yale's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Yale's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Yale.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Yale	Ivy	26.29	26.28	37.86	37.86	-6.39	-6.38
Dartmouth	Ivy	4.22	4.21	16.00	16.00	-2.87	-2.86
Brown	Ivy	4.21	4.20	29.63	29.63	-1.71	-1.71
Columbia	Ivy	4.17	4.16	42.31	42.31	-0.64	-0.64
Cornell	Ivy	4.12	4.11	85.19	85.19	2.90	2.89
Harvard	Ivy	4.11	4.11	72.00	72.00	1.81	1.81
Princeton	Ivy	4.02	4.08	66.67	67.85	1.34	1.46
Pennsylvania	Ivy	4.02	4.08	20.00	19.38	-2.41	-2.50
Army	Pat	2.08	2.08	44.44	44.44	-0.23	-0.23
Bryant	ind	2.07	2.07	3.45	3.45	-1.93	-1.93
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.04	2.04	73.33	73.33	0.95	0.95
Lehigh	Pat	1.99	1.99	66.67	66.67	0.66	0.66
Vermont	AE	1.98	1.98	71.88	71.56	0.87	0.85
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Hartford	AE	1.89	1.89	27.59	27.59	-0.85	-0.85
Colgate	Pat	1.84	1.84	35.71	35.71	-0.53	-0.53
Albany	AE	1.83	1.83	19.35	19.35	-1.12	-1.12
Providence	BE	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.89	-0.43	-0.43
Hofstra	CAA	1.72	1.72	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Elon	SC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Charlotte	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.88	0.42	0.44
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.72	1.72	24.00	24.00	-0.89	-0.89
Colorado St.	MWC	1.70	1.70	50.00	48.79	0.00	-0.04
Colorado	B12	1.70	1.69	44.44	44.63	-0.19	-0.18
Lafayette	Pat	0.47	0.47	61.29	61.29	0.11	0.11
Bucknell	Pat	0.41	0.40	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.39	0.39	62.07	62.07	0.10	0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.39	0.39	41.38	41.38	-0.07	-0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.38	0.38	16.13	16.13	-0.26	-0.26
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.36	70.00	70.00	0.14	0.14
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.35	0.35	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Monmouth	NEC	0.35	0.34	38.71	38.71	-0.08	-0.08
American	Pat	0.34	0.34	35.48	35.48	-0.10	-0.10
Holy Cross	Pat	0.32	0.32	29.03	29.03	-0.13	-0.13
Navy	Pat	0.29	0.28	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.27	61.29	60.58	0.06	0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.25	0.24	13.33	13.33	-0.18	-0.18
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.24	0.23	36.67	35.73	-0.06	-0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	90.32	90.32	0.18	0.18
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.22	0.22	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.21	0.20	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.20	0.20	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.17	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.17	0.17	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.15	29.63	29.63	-0.06	-0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.17	62.07	62.11	0.04	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.14	3.33	3.33	-0.13	-0.13
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	93.55	93.55	0.12	0.12
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	72.41	73.08	0.06	0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.07
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	64.00	64.00	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.14	34.48	33.79	-0.03	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.49	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.59	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.06	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.48	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.16	44.15	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.10	87.42	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.33	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.06	0.08	71.43	71.90	0.02	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	28.57	29.70	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.05	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.05	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.77	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	19.23	20.52	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.80	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	42.86	43.51	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.07	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.06	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	67.49	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.76	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.33	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.75	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.15	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.24	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.26	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.60	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Yale	Ivy	26.29	26.28	37.86	37.86	-6.39	-6.38
Dartmouth	Ivy	4.22	4.21	16.00	16.00	-2.87	-2.86
Brown	Ivy	4.21	4.20	29.63	29.63	-1.71	-1.71
Columbia	Ivy	4.17	4.16	42.31	42.31	-0.64	-0.64
Cornell	Ivy	4.12	4.11	85.19	85.19	2.90	2.89
Harvard	Ivy	4.11	4.11	72.00	72.00	1.81	1.81
Pennsylvania	Ivy	4.02	4.08	20.00	19.38	-2.41	-2.50
Princeton	Ivy	4.02	4.08	66.67	67.85	1.34	1.46
Army	Pat	2.08	2.08	44.44	44.44	-0.23	-0.23
Bryant	ind	2.07	2.07	3.45	3.45	-1.93	-1.93
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.04	2.04	73.33	73.33	0.95	0.95
Lehigh	Pat	1.99	1.99	66.67	66.67	0.66	0.66
Vermont	AE	1.98	1.98	71.88	71.56	0.87	0.85
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Hartford	AE	1.89	1.89	27.59	27.59	-0.85	-0.85
Colgate	Pat	1.84	1.84	35.71	35.71	-0.53	-0.53
Albany	AE	1.83	1.83	19.35	19.35	-1.12	-1.12
Providence	BE	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.89	-0.43	-0.43
Hofstra	CAA	1.72	1.72	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Charlotte	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.88	0.42	0.44
Elon	SC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.72	1.72	24.00	24.00	-0.89	-0.89
Colorado St.	MWC	1.70	1.70	50.00	48.79	0.00	-0.04
Colorado	B12	1.70	1.69	44.44	44.63	-0.19	-0.18
Lafayette	Pat	0.47	0.47	61.29	61.29	0.11	0.11
Bucknell	Pat	0.41	0.40	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.39	0.39	62.07	62.07	0.10	0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.39	0.39	41.38	41.38	-0.07	-0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.38	0.38	16.13	16.13	-0.26	-0.26
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.36	70.00	70.00	0.14	0.14
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.35	0.35	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Monmouth	NEC	0.35	0.34	38.71	38.71	-0.08	-0.08
American	Pat	0.34	0.34	35.48	35.48	-0.10	-0.10
Holy Cross	Pat	0.32	0.32	29.03	29.03	-0.13	-0.13
Navy	Pat	0.29	0.28	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.27	61.29	60.58	0.06	0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.25	0.24	13.33	13.33	-0.18	-0.18
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.24	0.23	36.67	35.73	-0.06	-0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	90.32	90.32	0.18	0.18
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.22	0.22	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.21	0.20	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.20	0.20	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.17	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.17	0.17	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.17	62.07	62.11	0.04	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.15	29.63	29.63	-0.06	-0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	93.55	93.55	0.12	0.12
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.14	3.33	3.33	-0.13	-0.13
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.14	34.48	33.79	-0.03	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	72.41	73.08	0.06	0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.07
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	64.00	64.00	0.03	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.49	-0.04	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Temple	A10	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.06	0.08	71.43	71.90	0.02	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.59	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.06	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.48	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.16	44.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.06	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.10	87.42	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.33	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	28.57	29.70	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.05	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.05	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	42.86	43.51	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.77	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	19.23	20.52	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.75	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.80	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.07	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	67.49	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.76	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.33	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.15	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.26	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.24	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.60	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	4.12	4.11	85.19	85.19	2.90	2.89
Harvard	Ivy	4.11	4.11	72.00	72.00	1.81	1.81
Princeton	Ivy	4.02	4.08	66.67	67.85	1.34	1.46
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.04	2.04	73.33	73.33	0.95	0.95
Vermont	AE	1.98	1.98	71.88	71.56	0.87	0.85
Lehigh	Pat	1.99	1.99	66.67	66.67	0.66	0.66
Charlotte	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.88	0.42	0.44
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	90.32	90.32	0.18	0.18
Hofstra	CAA	1.72	1.72	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.36	70.00	70.00	0.14	0.14
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	93.55	93.55	0.12	0.12
Lafayette	Pat	0.47	0.47	61.29	61.29	0.11	0.11
Maine	AE	0.39	0.39	62.07	62.07	0.10	0.09
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	72.41	73.08	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Temple	A10	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.27	61.29	60.58	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.10	87.42	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.17	62.07	62.11	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	64.00	64.00	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.33	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.48	0.02	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.06	0.08	71.43	71.90	0.02	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.21	0.20	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.24	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.05	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01