The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Yale page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Yale

Conference:		Ivy
Expected RPI:		255.8
Current RPI:		272
Expected SOS:		255
Current SOS:		295
Current Record:		8-14
Expected Record:		11-19
Current Conf Record:		3-3
Expected Conf Record:		6-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-5
Current OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC RPI:		279
Expected OOC SOS:		296

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-15	207.0	0.21%
14-16	223.4	2.36%
13-17	237.0	13.12%
12-18	248.9	32.35%
11-19	260.6	32.33%
10-20	273.6	16.03%
9-21	287.7	3.37%
8-22	299.8	0.22%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Yale.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	N	86-92	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Hofstra (177.3)	CAA	N	63-68	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	N	65-55	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	H	64-71	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	N	74-88	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Elon (282.7)	SC	N	69-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Army (204.0)	Pat	A	48-64	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	48-46	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	60-72	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Bryant (344.6)	ind	H	69-54	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	78-87	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Colorado (136.4)	B12	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	A	71-93	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	68-89	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	A	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-9	NJ Inst of Technology (333.3)	GWC	H	79-48	W	100%	0.0
1-15	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	H	66-75	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	A	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	H	61-48	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	H	45-58	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	A	71-90	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	A	79-64	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	0-0		22%	-8.2
2-13	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	H	0-0		88%	13.1
2-19	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	A	0-0		13%	-12.2
2-20	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	A	0-0		61%	3.0
2-26	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	0-0		68%	5.0
2-27	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	A	0-0		7%	-16.2
3-5	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	H	0-0		72%	6.4
3-6	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	H	0-0		12%	-12.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Yale's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Yale's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Yale.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Yale	Ivy	26.27	26.30	38.46	39.57	-6.06	-5.49
Brown	Ivy	5.04	4.20	21.05	25.62	-2.92	-2.05
Bryant	ind	2.79	2.08	0.00	4.33	-2.79	-1.90
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.78	2.04	68.18	70.78	1.01	0.85
Columbia	Ivy	2.68	4.17	42.11	41.07	-0.42	-0.74
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.68	1.93	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.08
Army	Pat	2.65	2.05	55.00	57.46	0.26	0.31
Vermont	AE	2.63	1.99	66.67	66.10	0.88	0.64
Cornell	Ivy	2.59	4.11	85.00	84.94	1.81	2.87
Lehigh	Pat	2.55	1.97	63.64	64.52	0.69	0.57
Albany	AE	2.48	1.84	20.00	23.30	-1.49	-0.98
Providence	BE	2.47	1.78	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.19
Hartford	AE	2.46	1.89	31.82	33.64	-0.89	-0.62
Princeton	Ivy	2.44	4.08	68.75	69.18	0.91	1.56
Colgate	Pat	2.43	1.85	28.57	32.23	-1.04	-0.66
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.42	4.08	17.65	19.98	-1.57	-2.45
Hofstra	CAA	2.38	1.72	43.48	45.97	-0.31	-0.14
Charlotte	A10	2.37	1.72	77.27	70.75	1.30	0.72
Elon	SC	2.37	1.72	20.00	24.09	-1.42	-0.89
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.37	1.72	23.53	28.66	-1.25	-0.73
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	1.70	57.14	51.16	0.33	0.04
Colorado	B12	2.32	1.70	40.00	38.36	-0.46	-0.39
Wagner	NEC	0.56	0.39	16.00	21.62	-0.38	-0.22
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.54	4.22	15.79	17.31	-0.37	-2.76
Maine	AE	0.52	0.40	63.64	61.86	0.14	0.10
Lafayette	Pat	0.50	0.45	60.87	59.16	0.11	0.08
Stony Brook	AE	0.46	0.34	68.18	68.72	0.17	0.13
American	Pat	0.41	0.32	30.43	32.39	-0.16	-0.11
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.39	0.23	39.13	41.19	-0.08	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.37	0.32	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.36	0.41	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.09
Harvard	Ivy	0.34	4.11	73.68	74.61	0.16	2.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.34	0.38	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.32	0.30	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.31	0.35	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.31	0.33	26.09	31.05	-0.15	-0.12
St. John's	BE	0.31	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.03	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.28	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.26	0.23	95.83	91.37	0.23	0.19
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.25	0.20	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.07
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.25	0.22	8.70	11.46	-0.20	-0.17
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.24	0.17	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.23	0.24	39.13	36.57	-0.05	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.22	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.12	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.22	0.17	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.21	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.19	-0.13
Drexel	CAA	0.21	0.20	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.21	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.15	0.09
Binghamton	AE	0.18	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.23	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.12	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.21	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.21	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.12
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.07
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.12	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.06
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.11	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.07	0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.11	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Samford	SC	0.11	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.14	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.07
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.08	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.14	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.06
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.12	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.04	0.11	66.67	64.02	0.01	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Yale	Ivy	26.27	26.30	38.46	39.57	-6.06	-5.49
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.54	4.22	15.79	17.31	-0.37	-2.76
Brown	Ivy	5.04	4.20	21.05	25.62	-2.92	-2.05
Columbia	Ivy	2.68	4.17	42.11	41.07	-0.42	-0.74
Cornell	Ivy	2.59	4.11	85.00	84.94	1.81	2.87
Harvard	Ivy	0.34	4.11	73.68	74.61	0.16	2.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.42	4.08	17.65	19.98	-1.57	-2.45
Princeton	Ivy	2.44	4.08	68.75	69.18	0.91	1.56
Bryant	ind	2.79	2.08	0.00	4.33	-2.79	-1.90
Army	Pat	2.65	2.05	55.00	57.46	0.26	0.31
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.78	2.04	68.18	70.78	1.01	0.85
Vermont	AE	2.63	1.99	66.67	66.10	0.88	0.64
Lehigh	Pat	2.55	1.97	63.64	64.52	0.69	0.57
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.68	1.93	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.08
Hartford	AE	2.46	1.89	31.82	33.64	-0.89	-0.62
Colgate	Pat	2.43	1.85	28.57	32.23	-1.04	-0.66
Albany	AE	2.48	1.84	20.00	23.30	-1.49	-0.98
Providence	BE	2.47	1.78	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.19
Charlotte	A10	2.37	1.72	77.27	70.75	1.30	0.72
Hofstra	CAA	2.38	1.72	43.48	45.97	-0.31	-0.14
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.37	1.72	23.53	28.66	-1.25	-0.73
Elon	SC	2.37	1.72	20.00	24.09	-1.42	-0.89
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	1.70	57.14	51.16	0.33	0.04
Colorado	B12	2.32	1.70	40.00	38.36	-0.46	-0.39
Lafayette	Pat	0.50	0.45	60.87	59.16	0.11	0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.36	0.41	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.09
Maine	AE	0.52	0.40	63.64	61.86	0.14	0.10
Wagner	NEC	0.56	0.39	16.00	21.62	-0.38	-0.22
New Hampshire	AE	0.34	0.38	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.09
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.31	0.35	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.46	0.34	68.18	68.72	0.17	0.13
Holy Cross	Pat	0.31	0.33	26.09	31.05	-0.15	-0.12
American	Pat	0.41	0.32	30.43	32.39	-0.16	-0.11
Monmouth	NEC	0.37	0.32	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.32	0.30	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.23	0.24	39.13	36.57	-0.05	-0.06
Syracuse	BE	0.26	0.23	95.83	91.37	0.23	0.19
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.39	0.23	39.13	41.19	-0.08	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.23	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.25	0.22	8.70	11.46	-0.20	-0.17
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.21	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.21	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.25	0.20	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.21	0.20	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.31	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.03	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.28	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.22	0.17	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.24	0.17	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.18	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.22	0.15	23.81	29.40	-0.12	-0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.21	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.19	-0.13
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.12
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.14	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.14	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.21	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.15	0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.12	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.11	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.12	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.12	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.04	0.11	66.67	64.02	0.01	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
Temple	A10	0.11	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.07	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.08	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
California	P10	0.07	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.11	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	2.59	4.11	85.00	84.94	1.81	2.87
Charlotte	A10	2.37	1.72	77.27	70.75	1.30	0.72
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.78	2.04	68.18	70.78	1.01	0.85
Princeton	Ivy	2.44	4.08	68.75	69.18	0.91	1.56
Vermont	AE	2.63	1.99	66.67	66.10	0.88	0.64
Lehigh	Pat	2.55	1.97	63.64	64.52	0.69	0.57
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	1.70	57.14	51.16	0.33	0.04
Army	Pat	2.65	2.05	55.00	57.46	0.26	0.31
Syracuse	BE	0.26	0.23	95.83	91.37	0.23	0.19
Stony Brook	AE	0.46	0.34	68.18	68.72	0.17	0.13
Harvard	Ivy	0.34	4.11	73.68	74.61	0.16	2.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.21	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.15	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.12
Maine	AE	0.52	0.40	63.64	61.86	0.14	0.10
Lafayette	Pat	0.50	0.45	60.87	59.16	0.11	0.08
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.03
Temple	A10	0.11	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.07	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.06
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.08	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.12	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.31	0.20	54.55	49.24	0.03	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.21	0.20	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01