The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Illinois

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		74.0
Current RPI:		74
Expected SOS:		34
Current SOS:		34
Current Record:		19-14
Expected Record:		19-14
Current Conf Record:		11-9
Expected Conf Record:		11-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		127
Expected OOC SOS:		110

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-14		74.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	H	96-69	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	80-61	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	H	94-48	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Wofford (69.0)	SC	H	78-64	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Utah (157.0)	MWC	N	58-60	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	N	68-72	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	A	76-74	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	H	84-77	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	H	88-53	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	N	67-70	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Missouri (44.0)	B12	N	68-81	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	H	89-83	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	N	83-85	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Iowa (211.0)	B10	H	59-42	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Indiana (222.0)	B10	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	H	54-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Michigan St. (28.0)	B10	A	63-73	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Purdue (16.0)	B10	H	78-84	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	A	68-73	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Indiana (222.0)	B10	H	72-70	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Iowa (211.0)	B10	A	57-49	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Michigan St. (28.0)	B10	H	78-73	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	A	63-56	W	100%	0.0
2-14	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	H	53-72	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Purdue (16.0)	B10	A	65-75	L	0%	0.0
2-23	Michigan (132.0)	B10	A	51-44	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	H	60-62	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	A	57-73	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	H	57-72	L	0%	0.0
3-12	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	N	58-54	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	N	81-88	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois	B10	26.36	26.36	54.25	54.25	2.24	2.24
Ohio St.	B10	5.34	5.34	77.42	77.42	2.93	2.93
Wisconsin	B10	5.30	5.30	78.57	78.57	3.03	3.03
Purdue	B10	3.91	3.91	83.33	83.33	2.61	2.61
Northwestern	B10	3.89	3.89	61.29	61.29	0.88	0.88
Michigan St.	B10	3.83	3.83	76.67	76.67	2.05	2.05
Indiana	B10	3.83	3.83	34.48	34.48	-1.19	-1.19
Penn St.	B10	3.80	3.80	37.93	37.93	-0.92	-0.92
Iowa	B10	3.78	3.78	33.33	33.33	-1.26	-1.26
Minnesota	B10	2.58	2.58	60.61	60.61	0.55	0.55
Michigan	B10	2.50	2.50	46.67	46.67	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.66	1.66	34.48	34.48	-0.51	-0.51
Gonzaga	WCC	1.64	1.64	80.00	80.00	0.98	0.98
Georgia	SEC	1.64	1.64	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Presbyterian	BSth	1.63	1.63	13.79	13.79	-1.18	-1.18
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.61	1.61	76.67	76.67	0.86	0.86
Wofford	SC	1.61	1.61	78.12	78.12	0.91	0.91
Bradley	MVC	1.59	1.59	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	1.57	1.57	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Missouri	B12	1.56	1.56	67.74	67.74	0.55	0.55
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.56	1.56	12.00	12.00	-1.19	-1.19
Clemson	ACC	1.54	1.54	70.00	70.00	0.62	0.62
Utah	MWC	1.54	1.54	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Boise St.	WAC	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.33	0.08	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.15	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.15	9.68	9.68	-0.12	-0.12
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	28.12	28.12	-0.06	-0.06
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.13	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.10	83.33	83.33	0.07	0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.10	12.00	12.00	-0.07	-0.07
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.07	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.02	0.02	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois	B10	26.36	26.36	54.25	54.25	2.24	2.24
Ohio St.	B10	5.34	5.34	77.42	77.42	2.93	2.93
Wisconsin	B10	5.30	5.30	78.57	78.57	3.03	3.03
Purdue	B10	3.91	3.91	83.33	83.33	2.61	2.61
Northwestern	B10	3.89	3.89	61.29	61.29	0.88	0.88
Michigan St.	B10	3.83	3.83	76.67	76.67	2.05	2.05
Indiana	B10	3.83	3.83	34.48	34.48	-1.19	-1.19
Penn St.	B10	3.80	3.80	37.93	37.93	-0.92	-0.92
Iowa	B10	3.78	3.78	33.33	33.33	-1.26	-1.26
Minnesota	B10	2.58	2.58	60.61	60.61	0.55	0.55
Michigan	B10	2.50	2.50	46.67	46.67	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.66	1.66	34.48	34.48	-0.51	-0.51
Gonzaga	WCC	1.64	1.64	80.00	80.00	0.98	0.98
Georgia	SEC	1.64	1.64	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Presbyterian	BSth	1.63	1.63	13.79	13.79	-1.18	-1.18
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.61	1.61	76.67	76.67	0.86	0.86
Wofford	SC	1.61	1.61	78.12	78.12	0.91	0.91
Bradley	MVC	1.59	1.59	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	1.57	1.57	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Missouri	B12	1.56	1.56	67.74	67.74	0.55	0.55
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.56	1.56	12.00	12.00	-1.19	-1.19
Clemson	ACC	1.54	1.54	70.00	70.00	0.62	0.62
Utah	MWC	1.54	1.54	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Boise St.	WAC	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.33	0.08	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.15	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.15	9.68	9.68	-0.12	-0.12
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	28.12	28.12	-0.06	-0.06
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.13	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.10	83.33	83.33	0.07	0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.10	12.00	12.00	-0.07	-0.07
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.07	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00