The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Illinois

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		76.5
Current RPI:		73
Expected SOS:		47
Current SOS:		80
Current Record:		16-8
Expected Record:		18-13
Current Conf Record:		8-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		125
Expected OOC SOS:		108

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-8	33.3	0.03%
22-9	41.3	0.34%
21-10	50.3	2.75%
20-11	59.2	11.42%
19-12	68.7	25.62%
18-13	78.6	33.43%
17-14	89.5	21.01%
16-15	102.9	5.39%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	H	96-69	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	80-61	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	94-48	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	78-64	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Utah (162.8)	MWC	N	58-60	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	N	68-72	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	A	76-74	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	H	84-77	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	88-53	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	N	67-70	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Missouri (39.0)	B12	N	68-81	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	89-83	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	N	83-85	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	59-42	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	H	54-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	63-73	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	78-84	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	68-73	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Indiana (206.6)	B10	H	72-70	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	57-49	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	H	78-73	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	0-0		14%	-11.6
2-14	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	0-0		44%	-1.5
2-20	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	0-0		17%	-10.4
2-23	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-27	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	H	0-0		51%	0.3
3-3	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	0-0		19%	-9.5
3-6	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	0-0		37%	-3.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois	B10	26.55	26.26	62.75	55.97	6.77	3.13
Michigan St.	B10	4.61	4.03	81.82	78.44	2.94	2.29
Iowa	B10	4.57	3.97	36.36	32.95	-1.25	-1.35
Northwestern	B10	4.53	4.00	71.43	69.17	1.94	1.53
Indiana	B10	4.48	3.97	45.00	37.32	-0.45	-1.01
Penn St.	B10	4.40	3.97	38.10	34.53	-1.05	-1.23
Purdue	B10	2.49	4.03	85.71	81.10	1.78	2.50
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.27	1.78	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.40
Wofford	SC	2.27	1.72	69.57	70.28	0.89	0.70
Georgia	SEC	2.22	1.72	45.00	43.49	-0.22	-0.22
Bradley	MVC	2.22	1.69	50.00	48.44	0.00	-0.05
Missouri	B12	2.18	1.67	72.73	69.63	0.99	0.65
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.18	1.69	80.00	75.81	1.31	0.87
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.72	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.17
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.72	80.95	83.03	1.34	1.14
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.13	1.67	9.09	9.93	-1.74	-1.34
Western Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.67	57.14	58.64	0.30	0.29
Clemson	ACC	2.13	1.64	72.73	69.19	0.97	0.63
Boise St.	WAC	2.08	1.61	47.62	47.53	-0.10	-0.08
Utah	MWC	2.08	1.64	42.86	42.40	-0.30	-0.25
Michigan	B10	0.73	2.49	45.45	43.64	-0.07	-0.32
Minnesota	B10	0.72	2.49	63.64	65.20	0.20	0.76
Wisconsin	B10	0.59	4.02	78.26	79.26	0.33	2.35
Ohio St.	B10	0.54	4.00	75.00	74.10	0.27	1.93
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.27	0.16	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.08
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.16	81.82	72.57	0.17	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.19	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.07
Drake	MVC	0.22	0.14	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.22	0.13	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.18	0.13
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.16	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.19	0.20	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.19	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.11	4.76	9.78	-0.16	-0.09
Toledo	MAC	0.18	0.16	8.70	10.09	-0.15	-0.13
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.14	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.18	0.20	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.18	0.14	91.30	88.21	0.15	0.10
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.17	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.16	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.16	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.14	0.08	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.08	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.16	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.14	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.14	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.05	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.11	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.16	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.11
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.07	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.10	-0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.13	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.13	0.08	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.13	0.11	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.13	0.11	20.00	23.58	-0.08	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.06	0.03
Furman	SC	0.13	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.13	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.08	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.08	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.05	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.16	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.05	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.09	0.08	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
American	Pat	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.05	80.95	82.07	0.05	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.05	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.05	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.05	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.05	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.04	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.04	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.00	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.00	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.05	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.00	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.00	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.05	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.00	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.05	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois	B10	26.55	26.26	62.75	55.97	6.77	3.13
Michigan St.	B10	4.61	4.03	81.82	78.44	2.94	2.29
Purdue	B10	2.49	4.03	85.71	81.10	1.78	2.50
Wisconsin	B10	0.59	4.02	78.26	79.26	0.33	2.35
Ohio St.	B10	0.54	4.00	75.00	74.10	0.27	1.93
Northwestern	B10	4.53	4.00	71.43	69.17	1.94	1.53
Iowa	B10	4.57	3.97	36.36	32.95	-1.25	-1.35
Indiana	B10	4.48	3.97	45.00	37.32	-0.45	-1.01
Penn St.	B10	4.40	3.97	38.10	34.53	-1.05	-1.23
Minnesota	B10	0.72	2.49	63.64	65.20	0.20	0.76
Michigan	B10	0.73	2.49	45.45	43.64	-0.07	-0.32
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.27	1.78	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.40
Georgia	SEC	2.22	1.72	45.00	43.49	-0.22	-0.22
Wofford	SC	2.27	1.72	69.57	70.28	0.89	0.70
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.72	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.17
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.72	80.95	83.03	1.34	1.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.18	1.69	80.00	75.81	1.31	0.87
Bradley	MVC	2.22	1.69	50.00	48.44	0.00	-0.05
Missouri	B12	2.18	1.67	72.73	69.63	0.99	0.65
Western Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.67	57.14	58.64	0.30	0.29
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.13	1.67	9.09	9.93	-1.74	-1.34
Utah	MWC	2.08	1.64	42.86	42.40	-0.30	-0.25
Clemson	ACC	2.13	1.64	72.73	69.19	0.97	0.63
Boise St.	WAC	2.08	1.61	47.62	47.53	-0.10	-0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.19	0.20	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.18	0.20	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.19	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.16	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.18	0.13
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.16	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.16	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.16	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.18	0.16	8.70	10.09	-0.15	-0.13
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.16	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.16	81.82	72.57	0.17	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.27	0.16	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.08
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.16	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.11
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.14	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.22	0.14	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.18	0.14	91.30	88.21	0.15	0.10
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.14	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.14	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Liberty	BSth	0.22	0.13	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.17	0.13	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Temple	A10	0.19	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.04	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.11	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.13	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
Furman	SC	0.13	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.13	0.11	20.00	23.58	-0.08	-0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.11	4.76	9.78	-0.16	-0.09
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.13	0.11	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.07	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.08	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.08	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.09	0.08	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.08	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.06	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.14	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.05	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.14	0.08	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.13	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.13	0.08	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.08	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.05
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.10	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.05	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.05	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.05	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.05	80.95	82.07	0.05	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.05	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.05	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.04	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.05	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.05	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.05	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.05
California	P10	0.00	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.00	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.05	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00