The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Detroit page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Detroit

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		162.9
Current RPI:		174
Expected SOS:		214
Current SOS:		216
Current Record:		13-10
Expected Record:		18-12
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-3
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		180
Expected OOC SOS:		321

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-10	120.5	1.96%
19-11	136.4	16.01%
18-12	154.7	34.17%
17-13	172.2	31.19%
16-14	189.3	13.52%
15-15	206.7	2.85%
14-16	225.1	0.27%
13-17	237.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Detroit.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-11	California (24.1)	P10	A	61-95	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	86-80	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	N	71-59	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	66-54	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	N	79-59	W	100%	0.0
11-28	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	82-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	69-70	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	76-58	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	56-60	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	59-42	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	62-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	81-65	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	59-61	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	76-73	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	58-63	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	70-74	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	0-0		99%	26.9
2-11	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	0-0		73%	6.8
2-13	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	0-0		70%	5.7
2-17	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	0-0		19%	-9.7
2-20	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	0-0		82%	10.0
2-25	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	0-0		42%	-2.1
2-27	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	0-0		67%	4.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Detroit's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Detroit's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Detroit.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.50	26.39	56.70	58.44	3.55	4.46
Illinois Chicago	Horz	5.13	4.32	20.00	20.46	-3.08	-2.55
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.12	4.32	57.89	53.25	0.81	0.28
Butler	Horz	5.03	4.27	81.82	82.76	3.20	2.80
Valparaiso	Horz	5.03	4.30	40.00	42.86	-1.01	-0.61
Wright St.	Horz	3.21	4.30	60.87	63.52	0.70	1.16
Youngstown St.	Horz	3.10	4.29	30.00	28.64	-1.24	-1.83
Cleveland St.	Horz	3.06	4.30	47.62	48.14	-0.15	-0.16
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.05	4.27	59.09	57.29	0.55	0.62
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.05	4.30	52.38	53.65	0.15	0.31
Central Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.01	52.63	54.23	0.13	0.17
Western Michigan	MAC	2.38	1.88	57.14	58.64	0.34	0.32
Albany	AE	2.37	1.78	24.00	26.63	-1.23	-0.83
Robert Morris	NEC	2.36	1.84	69.57	66.16	0.93	0.59
Bowling Green	MAC	2.33	1.87	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.10
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.32	1.75	0.00	5.32	-2.32	-1.56
DePaul	BE	2.27	1.73	31.82	31.61	-0.83	-0.63
California	P10	2.17	1.67	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.58
Michigan	B10	2.17	1.67	42.86	42.00	-0.31	-0.27
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.17	1.70	16.67	21.51	-1.45	-0.97
Toledo	MAC	0.40	0.44	8.70	10.09	-0.33	-0.35
Ball St.	MAC	0.34	0.32	52.38	51.63	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.30	0.29	69.57	70.29	0.12	0.12
Akron	MAC	0.30	0.27	69.57	66.00	0.12	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.29	0.23	78.26	78.92	0.17	0.13
Ohio St.	B10	0.28	0.25	75.00	73.72	0.14	0.12
Miami OH	MAC	0.25	0.26	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.25	0.32	36.36	37.37	-0.07	-0.08
Northwestern	B10	0.23	0.17	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.20	0.21	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.08
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.19	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.18	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	1.84	47.62	47.86	-0.01	-0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.15	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.10
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.11	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.14	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.12	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
Temple	A10	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.23	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.15	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.08
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Washington	P10	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.03	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.05	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.05	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	1.73	20.00	21.34	-0.03	-0.99
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.04	0.05	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.04	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.04	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.04	0.05	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.04	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.03	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.04	0.05	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.04	0.05	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.04	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.00	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.00	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.50	26.39	56.70	58.44	3.55	4.46
Illinois Chicago	Horz	5.13	4.32	20.00	20.46	-3.08	-2.55
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.12	4.32	57.89	53.25	0.81	0.28
Wright St.	Horz	3.21	4.30	60.87	63.52	0.70	1.16
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.05	4.30	52.38	53.65	0.15	0.31
Cleveland St.	Horz	3.06	4.30	47.62	48.14	-0.15	-0.16
Valparaiso	Horz	5.03	4.30	40.00	42.86	-1.01	-0.61
Youngstown St.	Horz	3.10	4.29	30.00	28.64	-1.24	-1.83
Butler	Horz	5.03	4.27	81.82	82.76	3.20	2.80
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.05	4.27	59.09	57.29	0.55	0.62
Central Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.01	52.63	54.23	0.13	0.17
Western Michigan	MAC	2.38	1.88	57.14	58.64	0.34	0.32
Bowling Green	MAC	2.33	1.87	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.10
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	1.84	47.62	47.86	-0.01	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	2.36	1.84	69.57	66.16	0.93	0.59
Albany	AE	2.37	1.78	24.00	26.63	-1.23	-0.83
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.32	1.75	0.00	5.32	-2.32	-1.56
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	1.73	20.00	21.34	-0.03	-0.99
DePaul	BE	2.27	1.73	31.82	31.61	-0.83	-0.63
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.17	1.70	16.67	21.51	-1.45	-0.97
California	P10	2.17	1.67	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.58
Michigan	B10	2.17	1.67	42.86	42.00	-0.31	-0.27
Toledo	MAC	0.40	0.44	8.70	10.09	-0.33	-0.35
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.25	0.32	36.36	37.37	-0.07	-0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.34	0.32	52.38	51.63	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.30	0.29	69.57	70.29	0.12	0.12
Akron	MAC	0.30	0.27	69.57	66.00	0.12	0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.25	0.26	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.28	0.25	75.00	73.72	0.14	0.12
Wisconsin	B10	0.29	0.23	78.26	78.92	0.17	0.13
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.23	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.20	0.21	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.23	0.17	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.15	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.08
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.10
Samford	SC	0.05	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.08
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.12	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.11	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.19	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.18	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.09
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.15	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.14	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.04
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.07
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.00	-0.04
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.03	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.04	0.05	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.04	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.04	0.05	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.04	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.03	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.04	0.05	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.04	0.05	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.05	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.05	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.00	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.00	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.04	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.04	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.50	26.39	56.70	58.44	3.55	4.46
Butler	Horz	5.03	4.27	81.82	82.76	3.20	2.80
Robert Morris	NEC	2.36	1.84	69.57	66.16	0.93	0.59
Loyola Chicago	Horz	5.12	4.32	57.89	53.25	0.81	0.28
Wright St.	Horz	3.21	4.30	60.87	63.52	0.70	1.16
California	P10	2.17	1.67	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.58
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.05	4.27	59.09	57.29	0.55	0.62
Western Michigan	MAC	2.38	1.88	57.14	58.64	0.34	0.32
Syracuse	BE	0.18	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.29	0.23	78.26	78.92	0.17	0.13
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.05	4.30	52.38	53.65	0.15	0.31
Ohio St.	B10	0.28	0.25	75.00	73.72	0.14	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.07
Central Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.01	52.63	54.23	0.13	0.17
Kent St.	MAC	0.30	0.29	69.57	70.29	0.12	0.12
Akron	MAC	0.30	0.27	69.57	66.00	0.12	0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.23	0.17	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Temple	A10	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03