The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Detroit page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Detroit

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		168.0
Current RPI:		168
Expected SOS:		208
Current SOS:		208
Current Record:		19-14
Expected Record:		19-14
Current Conf Record:		11-10
Expected Conf Record:		11-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-3
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		175
Expected OOC SOS:		321

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-14		168.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Detroit.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-11	California (20.0)	P10	A	61-95	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	H	86-80	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	N	71-59	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Albany (302.0)	AE	A	66-54	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	N	79-59	W	100%	0.0
11-28	DePaul (212.0)	BE	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	H	82-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Cleveland St. (166.0)	Horz	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	69-70	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Michigan (132.0)	B10	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	76-58	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Illinois Chicago (291.0)	Horz	A	56-60	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Loyola Chicago (213.0)	Horz	A	59-42	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Butler (11.0)	Horz	H	62-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	A	81-65	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	H	59-61	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Loyola Chicago (213.0)	Horz	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Illinois Chicago (291.0)	Horz	H	76-73	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Butler (11.0)	Horz	A	58-63	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	A	70-74	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	92-72	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	H	62-64	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	H	60-71	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	A	53-70	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Cleveland St. (166.0)	Horz	A	65-54	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	A	62-54	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	A	89-82	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	N	62-53	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	N	50-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Detroit's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Detroit's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Detroit.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.57	26.57	57.62	57.62	4.05	4.05
Wright St.	Horz	5.53	5.53	58.62	58.62	0.95	0.95
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.51	5.51	60.71	60.71	1.18	1.18
Valparaiso	Horz	5.47	5.47	42.31	42.31	-0.84	-0.84
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.16	4.16	56.67	56.67	0.56	0.56
Cleveland St.	Horz	4.11	4.11	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Butler	Horz	4.11	4.11	86.67	86.67	3.01	3.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	4.08	4.08	22.22	22.22	-2.27	-2.27
Loyola Chicago	Horz	4.07	4.07	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Youngstown St.	Horz	4.07	4.07	23.08	23.08	-2.19	-2.19
Central Michigan	MAC	1.86	1.86	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	1.75	1.75	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Bowling Green	MAC	1.74	1.74	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Eastern Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	1.67	1.67	69.70	69.70	0.66	0.66
Albany	AE	1.62	1.62	22.58	22.58	-0.89	-0.89
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	6.67	6.67	-1.38	-1.38
DePaul	BE	1.57	1.57	23.33	23.33	-0.84	-0.84
Chicago St.	GWC	1.57	1.57	22.22	22.22	-0.87	-0.87
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.54	1.54	25.81	25.81	-0.75	-0.75
California	P10	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Michigan	B10	1.52	1.52	43.33	43.33	-0.20	-0.20
Toledo	MAC	0.43	0.43	9.68	9.68	-0.34	-0.34
Akron	MAC	0.31	0.31	69.70	69.70	0.12	0.12
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.30	33.33	33.33	-0.10	-0.10
Ball St.	MAC	0.30	0.30	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.28	0.28	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Miami OH	MAC	0.25	0.25	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.24	0.24	79.41	79.41	0.14	0.14
Wisconsin	B10	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Ohio	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.20	0.20	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Washington	P10	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.10	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.07	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.04	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.04	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.04	0.04	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.57	26.57	57.62	57.62	4.05	4.05
Wright St.	Horz	5.53	5.53	58.62	58.62	0.95	0.95
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.51	5.51	60.71	60.71	1.18	1.18
Valparaiso	Horz	5.47	5.47	42.31	42.31	-0.84	-0.84
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.16	4.16	56.67	56.67	0.56	0.56
Cleveland St.	Horz	4.11	4.11	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Butler	Horz	4.11	4.11	86.67	86.67	3.01	3.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	4.08	4.08	22.22	22.22	-2.27	-2.27
Loyola Chicago	Horz	4.07	4.07	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Youngstown St.	Horz	4.07	4.07	23.08	23.08	-2.19	-2.19
Central Michigan	MAC	1.86	1.86	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	1.75	1.75	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Bowling Green	MAC	1.74	1.74	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Eastern Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	1.67	1.67	69.70	69.70	0.66	0.66
Albany	AE	1.62	1.62	22.58	22.58	-0.89	-0.89
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	6.67	6.67	-1.38	-1.38
DePaul	BE	1.57	1.57	23.33	23.33	-0.84	-0.84
Chicago St.	GWC	1.57	1.57	22.22	22.22	-0.87	-0.87
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.54	1.54	25.81	25.81	-0.75	-0.75
California	P10	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Michigan	B10	1.52	1.52	43.33	43.33	-0.20	-0.20
Toledo	MAC	0.43	0.43	9.68	9.68	-0.34	-0.34
Akron	MAC	0.31	0.31	69.70	69.70	0.12	0.12
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.30	33.33	33.33	-0.10	-0.10
Ball St.	MAC	0.30	0.30	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.28	0.28	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Miami OH	MAC	0.25	0.25	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.24	0.24	79.41	79.41	0.14	0.14
Wisconsin	B10	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Ohio	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.20	0.20	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Washington	P10	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.10	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.07	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.04	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.04	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.04	0.04	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Detroit	Horz	26.57	26.57	57.62	57.62	4.05	4.05
Butler	Horz	4.11	4.11	86.67	86.67	3.01	3.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.51	5.51	60.71	60.71	1.18	1.18
Wright St.	Horz	5.53	5.53	58.62	58.62	0.95	0.95
Robert Morris	NEC	1.67	1.67	69.70	69.70	0.66	0.66
California	P10	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.16	4.16	56.67	56.67	0.56	0.56
Western Michigan	MAC	1.75	1.75	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Ohio St.	B10	0.24	0.24	79.41	79.41	0.14	0.14
Akron	MAC	0.31	0.31	69.70	69.70	0.12	0.12
Kent St.	MAC	0.28	0.28	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Wisconsin	B10	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Washington	P10	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.22	0.22	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04