The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Denver page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Denver

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		148.7
Current RPI:		148
Expected SOS:		204
Current SOS:		196
Current Record:		14-9
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		7-5
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-4
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC RPI:		80
Expected OOC SOS:		52

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-9	98.7	1.77%
19-10	114.0	12.06%
18-11	132.8	29.04%
17-12	154.5	32.59%
16-13	175.4	18.67%
15-14	195.8	5.34%
14-15	216.2	0.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Denver.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	65-71	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	75-56	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	56-49	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	H	80-77	W	100%	0.0
11-28	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	A	83-80	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	H	62-55	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	A	59-64	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	H	89-82	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	62-72	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	87-65	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	84-83	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	A	57-72	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	64-55	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	46-64	L	0%	0.0
1-7	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	75-66	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	72-67	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	49-55	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-23	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	71-48	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	57-69	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	0-0		31%	-5.3
2-13	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	0-0		37%	-3.7
2-18	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	0-0		81%	9.4
2-20	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	0-0		71%	6.0
2-25	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	0-0		46%	-1.2
2-27	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	0-0		63%	3.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Denver's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Denver's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Denver.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Denver	SB	26.34	26.28	59.74	60.40	5.13	5.47
Louisiana Monroe	SB	4.83	4.23	35.00	35.08	-1.45	-1.26
Arkansas St.	SB	4.74	4.23	57.89	57.67	0.75	0.65
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.77	4.24	20.00	25.88	-1.66	-2.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.77	4.23	45.00	47.00	-0.28	-0.25
South Alabama	SB	2.77	4.10	50.00	49.12	0.00	-0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.76	2.50	47.62	49.31	-0.13	-0.03
Troy	SB	2.75	2.50	45.00	48.40	-0.28	-0.08
Florida International	SB	2.72	2.48	25.00	24.55	-1.36	-1.26
New Orleans	SB	2.72	4.20	23.81	23.52	-1.42	-2.23
Western Kentucky	SB	2.66	2.54	56.52	57.86	0.35	0.40
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.47	1.91	78.26	77.24	1.40	1.04
Wyoming	MWC	2.41	1.87	35.00	31.86	-0.72	-0.68
Colorado St.	MWC	2.37	1.85	57.14	51.16	0.34	0.04
Lamar	Slnd	2.33	1.88	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.14
Seattle	ind	2.32	1.81	47.83	50.50	-0.10	0.02
Montana	BSky	2.31	1.81	71.43	73.17	0.99	0.84
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.31	1.81	40.91	44.74	-0.42	-0.19
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.23	1.75	90.91	87.79	1.82	1.33
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.23	1.75	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Portland	WCC	2.22	1.75	60.00	64.36	0.44	0.50
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.17	1.72	35.00	48.48	-0.65	-0.05
North Texas	SB	0.74	2.60	61.90	63.70	0.18	0.71
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.74	2.54	52.17	54.45	0.03	0.23
Indiana St.	MVC	0.29	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.04	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.25	0.19	27.27	27.20	-0.11	-0.09
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.19	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.24	0.16	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.21	18.18	19.18	-0.15	-0.13
Oregon	P10	0.20	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.20	0.25	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.20	0.19	31.82	29.58	-0.07	-0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.18	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.17
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.15	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.20	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.05
Washington	P10	0.19	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.19	0.18	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.19	0.21	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.24	30.43	29.01	-0.07	-0.10
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.13	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.16	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.12	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.09	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.12	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.13	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.15	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.14	0.09	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.06
UC Riverside	BW	0.14	0.09	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.15	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.14	0.14	35.00	33.21	-0.04	-0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.12	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.07
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.19	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.10
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.08	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Denver	SB	26.34	26.28	59.74	60.40	5.13	5.47
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.77	4.24	20.00	25.88	-1.66	-2.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	4.83	4.23	35.00	35.08	-1.45	-1.26
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.77	4.23	45.00	47.00	-0.28	-0.25
Arkansas St.	SB	4.74	4.23	57.89	57.67	0.75	0.65
New Orleans	SB	2.72	4.20	23.81	23.52	-1.42	-2.23
South Alabama	SB	2.77	4.10	50.00	49.12	0.00	-0.07
North Texas	SB	0.74	2.60	61.90	63.70	0.18	0.71
Western Kentucky	SB	2.66	2.54	56.52	57.86	0.35	0.40
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.74	2.54	52.17	54.45	0.03	0.23
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.76	2.50	47.62	49.31	-0.13	-0.03
Troy	SB	2.75	2.50	45.00	48.40	-0.28	-0.08
Florida International	SB	2.72	2.48	25.00	24.55	-1.36	-1.26
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.47	1.91	78.26	77.24	1.40	1.04
Lamar	Slnd	2.33	1.88	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.14
Wyoming	MWC	2.41	1.87	35.00	31.86	-0.72	-0.68
Colorado St.	MWC	2.37	1.85	57.14	51.16	0.34	0.04
Montana	BSky	2.31	1.81	71.43	73.17	0.99	0.84
Seattle	ind	2.32	1.81	47.83	50.50	-0.10	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.31	1.81	40.91	44.74	-0.42	-0.19
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.23	1.75	90.91	87.79	1.82	1.33
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.23	1.75	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Portland	WCC	2.22	1.75	60.00	64.36	0.44	0.50
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.17	1.72	35.00	48.48	-0.65	-0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.20	0.25	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.24	30.43	29.01	-0.07	-0.10
Portland St.	BSky	0.19	0.21	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.21	18.18	19.18	-0.15	-0.13
Centenary	Sum	0.25	0.19	27.27	27.20	-0.11	-0.09
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.19	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.19	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.10
Tulane	CUSA	0.20	0.19	31.82	29.58	-0.07	-0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.18	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.17
Indiana St.	MVC	0.29	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.04	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.19	0.18	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.20	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.24	0.16	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.15	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.15	0.15	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.15	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.14	0.14	35.00	33.21	-0.04	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.16	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.13	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.13	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.20	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.12	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.12	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.12	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Washington	P10	0.19	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.09	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.14	0.09	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.14	0.09	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.08	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Denver	SB	26.34	26.28	59.74	60.40	5.13	5.47
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.23	1.75	90.91	87.79	1.82	1.33
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.47	1.91	78.26	77.24	1.40	1.04
Montana	BSky	2.31	1.81	71.43	73.17	0.99	0.84
Arkansas St.	SB	4.74	4.23	57.89	57.67	0.75	0.65
Portland	WCC	2.22	1.75	60.00	64.36	0.44	0.50
Western Kentucky	SB	2.66	2.54	56.52	57.86	0.35	0.40
Colorado St.	MWC	2.37	1.85	57.14	51.16	0.34	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.74	2.60	61.90	63.70	0.18	0.71
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.23	1.75	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.15	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.10	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.09	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.15	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
Washington	P10	0.19	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.08	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.16	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.13	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.29	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.74	2.54	52.17	54.45	0.03	0.23
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02