The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Buffalo page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 13, 2010.

Buffalo

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		108.0
Current RPI:		108
Expected SOS:		150
Current SOS:		150
Current Record:		17-12
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-2
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC RPI:		68
Expected OOC SOS:		87

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-12		108.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Buffalo.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Vermont (119.0)	AE	H	57-58	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Navy (264.8)	Pat	A	63-53	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Towson (264.2)	CAA	A	78-69	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Canisius (205.8)	MAAC	H	71-73	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Army (247.0)	Pat	H	74-67	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Purdue (16.0)	B10	A	65-101	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	A	86-80	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	A	71-65	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	N	73-83	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Liberty (232.0)	BSth	N	81-64	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Miami OH (144.1)	MAC	H	73-55	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Bowling Green (189.4)	MAC	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	78-65	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Kent St. (47.2)	MAC	A	54-89	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Ohio (94.5)	MAC	A	77-99	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Ball St. (218.1)	MAC	H	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Northern Illinois (261.4)	MAC	A	95-83	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Western Michigan (151.0)	MAC	H	70-85	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Central Michigan (195.4)	MAC	A	82-88	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Toledo (324.2)	MAC	A	65-59	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Eastern Michigan (201.5)	MAC	H	84-67	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Kent St. (47.2)	MAC	H	70-55	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Bowling Green (189.4)	MAC	H	64-51	W	100%	0.0
2-20	St. Peter's (181.8)	MAAC	A	77-75	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Ohio (94.5)	MAC	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Miami OH (144.1)	MAC	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Toledo (324.2)	MAC	H	72-54	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Miami OH (144.1)	MAC	N	59-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Buffalo's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Buffalo's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Buffalo.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.24	26.24	60.28	60.28	5.40	5.40
Miami OH	MAC	5.89	5.89	41.38	41.38	-1.01	-1.01
Ohio	MAC	4.36	4.36	59.38	59.38	0.82	0.82
Akron	MAC	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Kent St.	MAC	4.21	4.21	72.41	72.41	1.89	1.89
Bowling Green	MAC	4.21	4.21	48.15	48.15	-0.16	-0.16
Toledo	MAC	4.06	4.06	10.34	10.34	-3.22	-3.22
Western Michigan	MAC	2.51	2.51	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.47	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Ball St.	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Central Michigan	MAC	2.42	2.42	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.39	2.39	34.48	34.48	-0.74	-0.74
Canisius	MAAC	1.92	1.92	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Towson	CAA	1.89	1.89	33.33	33.33	-0.63	-0.63
Niagara	MAAC	1.89	1.89	56.25	56.25	0.24	0.24
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Navy	Pat	1.81	1.81	44.83	44.83	-0.19	-0.19
Purdue	B10	1.78	1.78	83.87	83.87	1.21	1.21
Army	Pat	1.78	1.78	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Vermont	AE	1.78	1.78	72.73	72.73	0.81	0.81
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Jacksonville	ASun	1.72	1.72	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Liberty	BSth	1.72	1.72	44.44	44.44	-0.19	-0.19
Valparaiso	Horz	0.28	0.28	41.38	41.38	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.27	0.27	62.50	62.50	0.07	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.24	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.23	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.23	0.23	84.85	84.22	0.16	0.15
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.22	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.20	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Rider	MAAC	0.19	0.19	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.19	0.19	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Siena	MAAC	0.16	0.16	81.82	81.82	0.10	0.10
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.16	0.16	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.15	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.13	0.13	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.11	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.00	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.09	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	78.79	78.18	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.06	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.24	26.24	60.28	60.28	5.40	5.40
Miami OH	MAC	5.89	5.89	41.38	41.38	-1.01	-1.01
Ohio	MAC	4.36	4.36	59.38	59.38	0.82	0.82
Akron	MAC	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Kent St.	MAC	4.21	4.21	72.41	72.41	1.89	1.89
Bowling Green	MAC	4.21	4.21	48.15	48.15	-0.16	-0.16
Toledo	MAC	4.06	4.06	10.34	10.34	-3.22	-3.22
Western Michigan	MAC	2.51	2.51	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.47	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Ball St.	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Central Michigan	MAC	2.42	2.42	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.39	2.39	34.48	34.48	-0.74	-0.74
Canisius	MAAC	1.92	1.92	45.16	45.16	-0.19	-0.19
Towson	CAA	1.89	1.89	33.33	33.33	-0.63	-0.63
Niagara	MAAC	1.89	1.89	56.25	56.25	0.24	0.24
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Navy	Pat	1.81	1.81	44.83	44.83	-0.19	-0.19
Purdue	B10	1.78	1.78	83.87	83.87	1.21	1.21
Army	Pat	1.78	1.78	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Vermont	AE	1.78	1.78	72.73	72.73	0.81	0.81
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Jacksonville	ASun	1.72	1.72	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Liberty	BSth	1.72	1.72	44.44	44.44	-0.19	-0.19
Valparaiso	Horz	0.28	0.28	41.38	41.38	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.27	0.27	62.50	62.50	0.07	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.24	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.23	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.23	0.23	84.85	84.22	0.16	0.15
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.22	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.20	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Rider	MAAC	0.19	0.19	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.19	0.19	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Siena	MAAC	0.16	0.16	81.82	81.82	0.10	0.10
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.16	0.16	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.15	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.13	0.13	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.11	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.00	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.09	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	78.79	78.18	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.06	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.24	26.24	60.28	60.28	5.40	5.40
Kent St.	MAC	4.21	4.21	72.41	72.41	1.89	1.89
Akron	MAC	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Purdue	B10	1.78	1.78	83.87	83.87	1.21	1.21
Ohio	MAC	4.36	4.36	59.38	59.38	0.82	0.82
Vermont	AE	1.78	1.78	72.73	72.73	0.81	0.81
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Jacksonville	ASun	1.72	1.72	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Niagara	MAAC	1.89	1.89	56.25	56.25	0.24	0.24
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Temple	A10	0.23	0.23	84.85	84.22	0.16	0.15
Siena	MAAC	0.16	0.16	81.82	81.82	0.10	0.10
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.20	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.24	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.47	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	2.51	2.51	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07