The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Buffalo page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Buffalo

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		134.2
Current RPI:		132
Expected SOS:		141
Current SOS:		155
Current Record:		11-9
Expected Record:		14-13
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-2
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC RPI:		96
Expected OOC SOS:		116

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-9	80.3	0.12%
17-10	91.2	2.01%
16-11	102.9	8.91%
15-12	117.5	23.07%
14-13	134.0	32.29%
13-14	151.6	23.73%
12-15	167.9	8.69%
11-16	181.9	1.17%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Buffalo.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	57-58	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Navy (269.1)	Pat	A	63-53	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Towson (292.1)	CAA	A	78-69	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	H	71-73	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Army (204.0)	Pat	H	74-67	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	65-101	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	A	86-80	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	71-65	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	N	73-83	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	N	81-64	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	73-55	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Akron (113.3)	MAC	H	78-65	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	54-89	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	77-99	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	95-83	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	70-85	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	82-88	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	65-59	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	0-0		69%	5.2
2-13	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	0-0		36%	-4.0
2-17	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	0-0		72%	6.3
2-20	St. Peter's (145.2)	MAAC	A	0-0		32%	-5.1
2-24	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	0-0		19%	-9.4
2-27	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	0-0		51%	0.2
3-4	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	0-0		26%	-7.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Buffalo's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Buffalo's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Buffalo.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.12	26.17	58.33	54.10	4.35	2.14
Bowling Green	MAC	3.06	4.46	50.00	48.11	0.00	-0.17
Miami OH	MAC	3.02	4.43	45.45	48.43	-0.27	-0.14
Ball St.	MAC	3.01	2.52	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	3.01	2.52	9.09	10.44	-2.46	-1.99
Kent St.	MAC	3.01	4.43	68.18	69.44	1.09	1.72
Akron	MAC	3.00	4.43	72.73	67.84	1.36	1.58
Western Michigan	MAC	2.96	2.49	52.38	55.07	0.14	0.25
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.95	2.49	38.10	38.71	-0.70	-0.56
Central Michigan	MAC	2.95	2.52	47.37	50.52	-0.16	0.03
Ohio	MAC	2.89	4.40	47.62	49.27	-0.14	-0.06
Towson	CAA	2.67	2.01	23.81	24.34	-1.40	-1.03
Canisius	MAAC	2.66	2.07	41.67	43.26	-0.44	-0.28
Niagara	MAAC	2.65	2.04	54.17	53.57	0.22	0.15
Purdue	B10	2.62	1.92	85.71	81.17	1.87	1.20
Navy	Pat	2.62	1.95	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
Army	Pat	2.55	1.92	60.00	61.31	0.51	0.43
Vermont	AE	2.55	1.88	66.67	66.10	0.85	0.61
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.55	1.91	63.64	59.77	0.70	0.37
Jacksonville	ASun	2.50	1.85	54.55	58.46	0.23	0.31
Liberty	BSth	2.50	1.85	45.00	43.11	-0.25	-0.26
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.62	2.52	47.62	47.36	-0.03	-0.13
Valparaiso	Horz	0.33	0.29	40.91	43.37	-0.06	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.29	0.22	79.17	77.57	0.17	0.12
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.28	0.22	22.73	22.57	-0.15	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.27	0.16	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.23	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.23	0.25	62.50	65.32	0.06	0.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.10
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.10	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.20	0.19	72.00	70.73	0.09	0.08
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.20	0.22	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	1.97	58.33	58.61	0.03	0.34
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.18	0.10	21.05	22.43	-0.10	-0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.17	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.08	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.17	0.10	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.17	0.13	72.73	71.91	0.08	0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.16	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.17	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
Illinois	B10	0.17	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.17	0.13	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.17	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.11	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.17	0.19	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.13	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.17	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.09	0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.10	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.15	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.16	0.13	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.16	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.22	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.22	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.22	4.17	4.73	-0.14	-0.19
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.10	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.07	70.59	70.98	0.05	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.09	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.12	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.07	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.10	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.07	-0.05
American	Pat	0.11	0.13	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.11	0.16	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.11	0.13	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.11	0.10	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.10	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.10	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.11	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.13	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.13	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.11	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.07	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.09	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.11	0.13	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.19	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.19	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.12
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.07	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.07	20.00	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.10	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.13	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.06
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.00	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.12	26.17	58.33	54.10	4.35	2.14
Bowling Green	MAC	3.06	4.46	50.00	48.11	0.00	-0.17
Miami OH	MAC	3.02	4.43	45.45	48.43	-0.27	-0.14
Kent St.	MAC	3.01	4.43	68.18	69.44	1.09	1.72
Akron	MAC	3.00	4.43	72.73	67.84	1.36	1.58
Ohio	MAC	2.89	4.40	47.62	49.27	-0.14	-0.06
Toledo	MAC	3.01	2.52	9.09	10.44	-2.46	-1.99
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.62	2.52	47.62	47.36	-0.03	-0.13
Ball St.	MAC	3.01	2.52	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	2.95	2.52	47.37	50.52	-0.16	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.95	2.49	38.10	38.71	-0.70	-0.56
Western Michigan	MAC	2.96	2.49	52.38	55.07	0.14	0.25
Canisius	MAAC	2.66	2.07	41.67	43.26	-0.44	-0.28
Niagara	MAAC	2.65	2.04	54.17	53.57	0.22	0.15
Towson	CAA	2.67	2.01	23.81	24.34	-1.40	-1.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	1.97	58.33	58.61	0.03	0.34
Navy	Pat	2.62	1.95	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
Purdue	B10	2.62	1.92	85.71	81.17	1.87	1.20
Army	Pat	2.55	1.92	60.00	61.31	0.51	0.43
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.55	1.91	63.64	59.77	0.70	0.37
Vermont	AE	2.55	1.88	66.67	66.10	0.85	0.61
Jacksonville	ASun	2.50	1.85	54.55	58.46	0.23	0.31
Liberty	BSth	2.50	1.85	45.00	43.11	-0.25	-0.26
Valparaiso	Horz	0.33	0.29	40.91	43.37	-0.06	-0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.23	0.25	62.50	65.32	0.06	0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.23	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.04
Temple	A10	0.29	0.22	79.17	77.57	0.17	0.12
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.28	0.22	22.73	22.57	-0.15	-0.12
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.22	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.22	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.20	0.22	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.22	4.17	4.73	-0.14	-0.19
Xavier	A10	0.17	0.19	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.20	0.19	72.00	70.73	0.09	0.08
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.19	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.19	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.12
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.16	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.11	0.16	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.27	0.16	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.10	-0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.15	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
American	Pat	0.11	0.13	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.17	0.13	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.17	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.08	-0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.11	0.13	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.13	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.17	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
Dayton	A10	0.17	0.13	72.73	71.91	0.08	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.13	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.05
Samford	SC	0.11	0.13	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.13	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.13	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.16	0.13	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.17	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.10
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.18	0.10	21.05	22.43	-0.10	-0.06
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.10	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.10	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.10	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.07	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.11	0.10	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.10	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.17	0.10	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.10	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.17	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.11	0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.10	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.16	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.09	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.17	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.09	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.07	20.00	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.09	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.12	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.07	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.07	70.59	70.98	0.05	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.07	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.11	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.07	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.11	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.04	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Buffalo	MAC	26.12	26.17	58.33	54.10	4.35	2.14
Purdue	B10	2.62	1.92	85.71	81.17	1.87	1.20
Akron	MAC	3.00	4.43	72.73	67.84	1.36	1.58
Kent St.	MAC	3.01	4.43	68.18	69.44	1.09	1.72
Vermont	AE	2.55	1.88	66.67	66.10	0.85	0.61
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.55	1.91	63.64	59.77	0.70	0.37
Army	Pat	2.55	1.92	60.00	61.31	0.51	0.43
Jacksonville	ASun	2.50	1.85	54.55	58.46	0.23	0.31
Niagara	MAAC	2.65	2.04	54.17	53.57	0.22	0.15
Temple	A10	0.29	0.22	79.17	77.57	0.17	0.12
Western Michigan	MAC	2.96	2.49	52.38	55.07	0.14	0.25
Butler	Horz	0.17	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.11	0.07