The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Colorado page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Colorado

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		134.3
Current RPI:		148
Expected SOS:		21
Current SOS:		33
Current Record:		9-12
Expected Record:		11-17
Current Conf Record:		2-7
Expected Conf Record:		4-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-1
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		146
Expected OOC SOS:		184

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-13	74.9	0.07%
14-14	85.0	1.65%
13-15	101.3	11.90%
12-16	121.2	31.98%
11-17	142.6	34.08%
10-18	161.9	17.09%
9-19	179.1	3.22%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colorado.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	H	88-72	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Coppin St. (329.8)	MEAC	H	82-58	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Texas Southern (204.5)	SWAC	H	88-77	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Gonzaga (36.1)	WCC	N	72-76	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Arizona (81.8)	P10	N	87-91	L	0%	0.0
12-1	San Francisco (222.6)	WCC	H	78-54	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	A	69-74	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Colorado St. (112.9)	MWC	A	62-77	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Cal St. Northridge (225.4)	BW	H	92-58	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Yale (254.6)	Ivy	H	70-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	A	59-84	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Miami OH (135.4)	MAC	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Texas (19.1)	B12	A	86-103	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Baylor (23.8)	B12	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	H	81-87	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	A	78-90	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	63-67	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	A	63-64	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Kansas (1.4)	B12	H	66-72	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Missouri (38.8)	B12	H	66-84	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	A	0-0		8%	-15.5
2-17	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	H	0-0		63%	3.6
2-20	Kansas (1.4)	B12	A	0-0		3%	-21.1
2-24	Missouri (38.8)	B12	A	0-0		10%	-14.2
2-27	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	H	0-0		60%	2.8
3-2	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	A	0-0		34%	-4.4
3-6	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	H	0-0		59%	2.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Colorado's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Colorado's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Colorado.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Colorado	B12	26.13	26.13	34.18	33.90	-8.27	-8.41
Kansas St.	B12	2.85	4.24	80.95	78.32	1.77	2.40
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.82	2.47	68.18	62.29	1.02	0.61
Nebraska	B12	2.80	4.28	59.09	51.69	0.51	0.14
Kansas	B12	2.75	4.22	95.65	92.70	2.51	3.60
Texas	B12	2.70	2.38	78.26	76.24	1.53	1.25
Texas A&M	B12	2.70	2.38	71.43	65.66	1.16	0.74
Missouri	B12	2.70	4.25	72.73	68.89	1.23	1.61
Baylor	B12	2.69	2.38	80.00	75.33	1.62	1.20
Iowa St.	B12	2.64	4.22	54.55	49.08	0.24	-0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.60	2.00	38.10	48.82	-0.62	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	2.49	1.85	57.14	51.17	0.36	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	2.49	1.88	33.33	33.56	-0.83	-0.62
Oregon St.	P10	2.48	1.93	42.86	38.21	-0.35	-0.46
Tulsa	CUSA	2.48	1.87	76.19	69.95	1.30	0.75
Arizona	P10	2.44	1.88	50.00	52.05	0.00	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	2.44	1.88	80.95	83.02	1.51	1.24
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.44	1.85	47.37	56.23	-0.13	0.23
Yale	Ivy	2.44	1.82	38.10	39.44	-0.58	-0.38
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.43	1.82	16.67	23.82	-1.62	-0.95
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.38	1.79	40.91	44.74	-0.43	-0.19
Miami OH	MAC	2.38	1.79	45.45	49.34	-0.22	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.47	2.44	59.09	51.63	0.09	0.08
Texas Tech	B12	0.41	2.41	68.18	59.94	0.15	0.48
Oregon	P10	0.32	0.24	54.55	48.80	0.03	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.32	0.24	69.57	68.88	0.12	0.09
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.28	0.19	47.06	53.81	-0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.28	0.24	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.27	0.24	21.74	24.91	-0.15	-0.12
Arizona St.	P10	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.08
Southern California	P10	0.27	0.24	60.87	59.64	0.06	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.27	0.21	63.64	58.77	0.07	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.19	18.18	20.35	-0.14	-0.11
Brigham Young	MWC	0.21	0.18	87.50	87.42	0.16	0.14
UCLA	P10	0.21	0.21	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.12	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
California	P10	0.21	0.23	65.22	68.43	0.06	0.09
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.17	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.17	0.13	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.18	77.27	75.68	0.09	0.09
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.12	45.45	44.04	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.17	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.04	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.09	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.18	0.00	4.36	-0.16	-0.17
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.12	69.57	71.44	0.06	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.16	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.13	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.42	-0.05	-0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.64	0.12	0.09
Akron	MAC	0.16	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.15	22.73	21.40	-0.09	-0.09
Denver	SB	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.15	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.16	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.12	0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.14	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.08
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.18	43.48	43.05	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.18	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.14	12.00	18.83	-0.12	-0.09
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	72.00	73.85	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	22.73	25.50	-0.07	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	82.61	79.46	0.08	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.10	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.16	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.13	27.78	26.81	-0.05	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.30	-0.06	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.09	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.13	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.13	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.04	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.09	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.09	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.07	0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.12	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.09	15.79	27.70	-0.07	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.11	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.09	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.09	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.11	0.09	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.12	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.12	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.08
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.15	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.06	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.12	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.06	33.33	36.46	-0.03	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.09	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.03	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.09	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.33	10.42	-0.05	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.07	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.21	-0.05	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.74	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.54	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.04	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.80	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.00	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.00	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.63	-0.00	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.00	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.00	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.00	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Colorado	B12	26.13	26.13	34.18	33.90	-8.27	-8.41
Nebraska	B12	2.80	4.28	59.09	51.69	0.51	0.14
Missouri	B12	2.70	4.25	72.73	68.89	1.23	1.61
Kansas St.	B12	2.85	4.24	80.95	78.32	1.77	2.40
Iowa St.	B12	2.64	4.22	54.55	49.08	0.24	-0.08
Kansas	B12	2.75	4.22	95.65	92.70	2.51	3.60
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.82	2.47	68.18	62.29	1.02	0.61
Oklahoma	B12	0.47	2.44	59.09	51.63	0.09	0.08
Texas Tech	B12	0.41	2.41	68.18	59.94	0.15	0.48
Texas	B12	2.70	2.38	78.26	76.24	1.53	1.25
Baylor	B12	2.69	2.38	80.00	75.33	1.62	1.20
Texas A&M	B12	2.70	2.38	71.43	65.66	1.16	0.74
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.60	2.00	38.10	48.82	-0.62	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	2.48	1.93	42.86	38.21	-0.35	-0.46
Gonzaga	WCC	2.44	1.88	80.95	83.02	1.51	1.24
San Francisco	WCC	2.49	1.88	33.33	33.56	-0.83	-0.62
Arizona	P10	2.44	1.88	50.00	52.05	0.00	0.08
Tulsa	CUSA	2.48	1.87	76.19	69.95	1.30	0.75
Colorado St.	MWC	2.49	1.85	57.14	51.17	0.36	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.44	1.85	47.37	56.23	-0.13	0.23
Yale	Ivy	2.44	1.82	38.10	39.44	-0.58	-0.38
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.43	1.82	16.67	23.82	-1.62	-0.95
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.38	1.79	40.91	44.74	-0.43	-0.19
Miami OH	MAC	2.38	1.79	45.45	49.34	-0.22	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.27	0.24	21.74	24.91	-0.15	-0.12
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.28	0.24	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.32	0.24	69.57	68.88	0.12	0.09
Southern California	P10	0.27	0.24	60.87	59.64	0.06	0.05
Oregon	P10	0.32	0.24	54.55	48.80	0.03	-0.01
California	P10	0.21	0.23	65.22	68.43	0.06	0.09
Arizona St.	P10	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.08
Washington St.	P10	0.27	0.21	63.64	58.77	0.07	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.21	0.21	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.28	0.19	47.06	53.81	-0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.22	0.19	18.18	20.35	-0.14	-0.11
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.18	0.00	4.36	-0.16	-0.17
Brigham Young	MWC	0.21	0.18	87.50	87.42	0.16	0.14
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.18	77.27	75.68	0.09	0.09
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.18	43.48	43.05	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.18	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.16	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.42	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.16	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.15	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.16	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.12	0.10
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.15	22.73	21.40	-0.09	-0.09
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.15	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.14	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.08
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.14	12.00	18.83	-0.12	-0.09
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.13	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.16	0.13	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.13	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.13	86.96	84.64	0.12	0.09
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.17	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.17	0.13	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.13	27.78	26.81	-0.05	-0.06
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.12	45.45	44.04	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.12	69.57	71.44	0.06	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.16	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.12	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.12	82.61	82.34	0.07	0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.12	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.12	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.12	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.12	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	72.00	73.85	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	22.73	25.50	-0.07	-0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.10	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.09	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.17	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.04	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.09	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.09	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.09	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.11	0.09	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.09	15.79	27.70	-0.07	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.09	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.09	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.03
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.09	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.09	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.07	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	82.61	79.46	0.08	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.54	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.80	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.04	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.11	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.30	-0.06	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.63	-0.00	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.06	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.22	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.03	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.06	33.33	36.46	-0.03	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.33	10.42	-0.05	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.35	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.21	-0.05	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.00	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.00	-0.01