The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Minnesota page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Minnesota

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		61.2
Current RPI:		62
Expected SOS:		50
Current SOS:		46
Current Record:		14-8
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-1
Current OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC RPI:		48
Expected OOC SOS:		68

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-8	33.5	3.11%
21-9	44.2	15.69%
20-10	54.8	29.01%
19-11	65.1	29.25%
18-12	76.1	16.77%
17-13	88.2	5.31%
16-14	103.0	0.82%
15-15	123.3	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Minnesota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	H	87-50	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	H	82-42	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Utah Valley (329.2)	GWC	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Butler (17.9)	Horz	N	82-73	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Portland (84.3)	WCC	N	56-61	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	N	65-66	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	A	58-63	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	H	91-55	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	94-64	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	H	97-74	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	89-48	W	100%	0.0
12-23	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	H	92-62	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	H	75-70	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	86-74	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	60-79	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	53-60	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	78-81	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	65-61	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	63-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	66-64	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Michigan (143.6)	B10	H	0-0		84%	10.6
2-14	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	0-0		54%	1.2
2-18	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	0-0		50%	0.1
2-20	Indiana (206.6)	B10	H	0-0		93%	16.3
2-24	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	0-0		55%	1.3
2-27	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	0-0		49%	-0.3
3-3	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	0-0		60%	2.6
3-7	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	0-0		95%	17.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Minnesota's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Minnesota's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Minnesota.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Minnesota	B10	26.41	26.29	61.90	62.55	6.29	6.60
Ohio St.	B10	4.94	4.13	77.27	75.36	2.69	2.10
Penn St.	B10	4.79	4.10	38.10	34.53	-1.14	-1.27
Michigan St.	B10	4.74	4.10	77.27	74.99	2.58	2.05
Iowa	B10	2.85	4.13	34.78	32.77	-0.87	-1.42
Northwestern	B10	2.76	4.16	72.73	71.04	1.25	1.75
Purdue	B10	2.72	4.16	85.71	82.45	1.94	2.70
Indiana	B10	2.61	4.10	38.10	33.51	-0.62	-1.35
Butler	Horz	2.42	1.77	86.96	86.81	1.79	1.31
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.32	1.72	40.91	37.84	-0.42	-0.42
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.32	1.72	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.32	1.75	38.10	38.71	-0.55	-0.39
Brown	Ivy	2.27	1.67	25.00	28.28	-1.14	-0.72
Miami FL	ACC	2.27	1.67	66.67	61.40	0.76	0.38
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.27	1.67	73.91	76.11	1.09	0.87
Portland	WCC	2.27	1.67	60.00	64.36	0.45	0.48
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.27	1.67	72.22	69.72	1.01	0.66
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.27	1.67	47.62	45.66	-0.11	-0.14
Texas A&M	B12	2.27	1.67	71.43	65.66	0.97	0.52
Utah Valley	GWC	2.27	1.67	38.89	40.65	-0.51	-0.31
Illinois	B10	0.79	2.57	66.67	59.27	0.26	0.48
Wisconsin	B10	0.73	2.55	78.26	79.93	0.41	1.52
Michigan	B10	0.59	4.12	45.45	45.15	-0.05	-0.40
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.30	0.20	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.25	0.17	86.36	82.20	0.18	0.11
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.21	0.12	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.20	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.11
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.20	0.14	16.67	19.94	-0.13	-0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.17	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.10
Temple	A10	0.20	0.14	79.17	77.57	0.12	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.17	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.19	0.16	82.61	78.76	0.13	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.19	0.16	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.19	0.14	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.14	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.08	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.15	-0.08
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
American	Pat	0.15	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.14	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.11
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.15	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.05	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.15	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.15	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.07	-0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.11	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.08	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.13	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.15	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.15	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.12	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.10	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.12	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.07	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.12	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.08
Army	Pat	0.11	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.11	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.11	-0.08
Denver	SB	0.11	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.09	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.06
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.14	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.08	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.12	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.10
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.08	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.06
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.00	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.00	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Minnesota	B10	26.41	26.29	61.90	62.55	6.29	6.60
Northwestern	B10	2.76	4.16	72.73	71.04	1.25	1.75
Purdue	B10	2.72	4.16	85.71	82.45	1.94	2.70
Ohio St.	B10	4.94	4.13	77.27	75.36	2.69	2.10
Iowa	B10	2.85	4.13	34.78	32.77	-0.87	-1.42
Michigan	B10	0.59	4.12	45.45	45.15	-0.05	-0.40
Michigan St.	B10	4.74	4.10	77.27	74.99	2.58	2.05
Indiana	B10	2.61	4.10	38.10	33.51	-0.62	-1.35
Penn St.	B10	4.79	4.10	38.10	34.53	-1.14	-1.27
Illinois	B10	0.79	2.57	66.67	59.27	0.26	0.48
Wisconsin	B10	0.73	2.55	78.26	79.93	0.41	1.52
Butler	Horz	2.42	1.77	86.96	86.81	1.79	1.31
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.32	1.75	38.10	38.71	-0.55	-0.39
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.32	1.72	40.91	37.84	-0.42	-0.42
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.32	1.72	52.38	52.87	0.11	0.10
Brown	Ivy	2.27	1.67	25.00	28.28	-1.14	-0.72
Miami FL	ACC	2.27	1.67	66.67	61.40	0.76	0.38
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.27	1.67	73.91	76.11	1.09	0.87
Portland	WCC	2.27	1.67	60.00	64.36	0.45	0.48
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.27	1.67	72.22	69.72	1.01	0.66
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.27	1.67	47.62	45.66	-0.11	-0.14
Texas A&M	B12	2.27	1.67	71.43	65.66	0.97	0.52
Utah Valley	GWC	2.27	1.67	38.89	40.65	-0.51	-0.31
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.10
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.30	0.20	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.09
Boston College	ACC	0.20	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.17	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.17	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.11
West Virginia	BE	0.25	0.17	86.36	82.20	0.18	0.11
Texas	B12	0.19	0.16	82.61	78.76	0.13	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.19	0.16	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.09
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.07
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.14	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.20	0.14	16.67	19.94	-0.13	-0.08
Temple	A10	0.20	0.14	79.17	77.57	0.12	0.08
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.14	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.11
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.14	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.19	0.14	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.15	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.07	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.13	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.12	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.21	0.12	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.12	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.10
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.15	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.08	0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.11	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.06
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.10	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.15	-0.08
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.09	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.06
Utah	MWC	0.00	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.05
American	Pat	0.15	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.11	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.11	-0.08
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.15	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.05	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.08	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.08	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.06
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.15	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.08	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.15	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.12	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.12	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.07	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.11	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.11	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01