Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Big West Conference

Expected RPI:		21
Current RPI:		20
Current OOC Record:		38-61 (0.3838)
Expected OOC Record:		44-67 (0.3964)
Expected OOC RPI:		22
Expected OOC SOS:		23

Expected				RPI		SOS		SOS Rank		Current		Projected		Conf Records				1-25		26-50		51-100		101-200		200+		Non Conf Forecasts						Current
RPI Rank		Team		Forecast		Forecast		Forecast		W-L		W-L		Current		Projected		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		RPI		SOS		RPI
115.6		Pacific		0.5305		0.4727		227		15-7		20-10		8-2		12-4		0-1		1-2		2-1		3-4		15-2		9-5		131		169		112
139.7		Long Beach St.		0.5166		0.5197		120		9-12		13-15		5-5		8-8		0-4		1-1		0-1		5-3		7-6		4-8		76		4		143
144.6		UC Santa Barbara		0.5137		0.4784		211		12-8		16-10		8-3		11-5		0-1		0-1		1-1		3-3		11-4		4-6		182		122		138
212.6		Cal St. Fullerton		0.4744		0.4654		249		9-11		13-14		5-5		8-8		0-0		0-1		1-2		4-4		8-6		5-6		207		225		208
225.5		Cal St. Northridge		0.4663		0.4763		216		9-14		13-18		4-6		7-9		0-1		0-1		0-1		5-9		9-6		6-9		214		177		229
264.2		UC Riverside		0.4399		0.4625		256		7-14		10-17		3-8		5-11		0-1		0-1		0-2		3-6		7-8		5-6		229		243		258
272.8		Cal Poly		0.4341		0.4533		275		8-14		10-19		5-5		7-9		0-1		0-1		0-1		2-6		8-10		3-10		313		314		259
277.0		UC Irvine		0.4310		0.4440		297		8-14		12-17		3-7		6-10		0-1		0-0		0-1		3-8		9-8		6-7		266		328		264
285.3		UC Davis		0.4253		0.4528		277		7-13		9-19		5-5		7-9		0-0		0-0		0-1		1-9		8-9		2-10		321		320		280

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI:

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