The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Hawaii page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Hawaii

Conference:		WAC
Expected RPI:		252.7
Current RPI:		250
Expected SOS:		109
Current SOS:		107
Current Record:		9-20
Expected Record:		9-20
Current Conf Record:		3-13
Expected Conf Record:		3-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-3
Current OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC RPI:		230
Expected OOC SOS:		153

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
9-20		252.7		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hawaii.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Southern Utah (326.6)	Sum	H	65-48	W	100%	0.0
11-15	McNeese St. (314.7)	Slnd	H	73-65	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Northern Colorado (117.8)	BSky	H	75-81	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Brigham Young (22.4)	MWC	H	65-83	L	0%	0.0
11-27	New Mexico (8.7)	MWC	H	71-83	L	0%	0.0
12-2	UC Irvine (273.6)	BW	A	70-80	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Lamar (291.9)	Slnd	H	96-78	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Chicago St. (344.9)	GWC	H	83-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	College of Charleston (92.9)	SC	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Nevada Las Vegas (50.9)	MWC	H	53-77	L	0%	0.0
12-25	St. Mary's (36.2)	WCC	H	75-84	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Northwestern St. (312.8)	Slnd	H	81-62	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Idaho (170.6)	WAC	H	52-59	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Boise St. (204.0)	WAC	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Fresno St. (184.7)	WAC	A	64-78	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Utah St. (31.5)	WAC	A	54-98	L	0%	0.0
1-17	San Jose St. (168.2)	WAC	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	New Mexico St. (67.4)	WAC	H	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Louisiana Tech (79.2)	WAC	H	60-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	San Jose St. (168.2)	WAC	A	60-83	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Nevada (65.4)	WAC	A	60-66	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Fresno St. (184.7)	WAC	H	51-61	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Louisiana Tech (79.2)	WAC	A	60-66	L	0%	0.0
2-15	New Mexico St. (67.4)	WAC	A	64-88	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Cal Poly (254.1)	BW	H	89-102	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Utah St. (31.5)	WAC	H	50-61	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Nevada (65.4)	WAC	H	74-63	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Boise St. (204.0)	WAC	A	63-82	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Idaho (170.6)	WAC	A	69-78	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Hawaii's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Hawaii's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Hawaii.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hawaii	WAC	26.32	26.29	20.61	20.61	-15.47	-15.45
San Jose St.	WAC	4.38	4.41	44.44	44.37	-0.49	-0.50
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.36	4.39	68.97	68.95	1.66	1.66
Utah St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	78.57	79.02	2.49	2.54
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	59.26	59.20	0.80	0.80
Nevada	WAC	4.32	4.35	62.96	63.65	1.12	1.19
Fresno St.	WAC	4.30	4.32	41.38	41.05	-0.74	-0.77
Boise St.	WAC	4.27	4.29	46.43	45.12	-0.30	-0.42
Idaho	WAC	4.26	4.29	42.31	41.40	-0.65	-0.74
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.00	90.00	90.25	1.61	1.61
Brigham Young	MWC	2.01	2.00	86.67	87.03	1.48	1.48
McNeese St.	Slnd	1.94	1.94	26.92	26.92	-0.90	-0.89
St. Mary's	WCC	1.93	1.92	82.76	82.76	1.26	1.26
UC Irvine	BW	1.93	1.92	37.93	37.93	-0.47	-0.46
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.93	1.92	75.00	75.54	0.96	0.98
Northwestern St.	Slnd	1.87	1.87	29.17	29.17	-0.78	-0.78
Southern Utah	Sum	1.87	1.87	19.23	19.23	-1.15	-1.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.85	1.85	75.86	75.86	0.96	0.95
Cal Poly	BW	1.84	1.84	37.93	37.38	-0.44	-0.46
Lamar	Slnd	1.79	1.79	37.04	37.04	-0.46	-0.46
Chicago St.	GWC	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
College of Charleston	SC	1.72	1.72	67.74	67.74	0.61	0.61
Pacific	BW	0.38	0.37	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.12
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.34	24.14	24.14	-0.18	-0.17
Seattle	ind	0.30	0.29	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.14
Utah	MWC	0.29	0.31	46.67	45.46	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.27	0.26	65.52	65.52	0.08	0.08
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.07	0.07
Wyoming	MWC	0.26	0.25	27.59	27.59	-0.12	-0.11
Texas Christian	MWC	0.26	0.27	37.93	36.74	-0.06	-0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	71.43	71.93	0.11	0.11
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.25	0.24	30.77	30.77	-0.10	-0.09
UC Riverside	BW	0.23	0.23	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.23	0.26	46.43	47.53	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.23	0.23	20.69	20.69	-0.13	-0.13
UC Davis	BW	0.23	0.22	39.29	39.31	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.20	0.20	18.75	18.71	-0.13	-0.13
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.20	30.00	30.00	-0.08	-0.08
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.12
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.22	28.57	27.67	-0.09	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	35.48	36.20	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.18	0.18	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.18	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.18	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	65.38	65.38	0.05	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.16	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.16	0.16	57.69	56.45	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.16	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.16	0.16	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.10	0.09
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	73.08	73.18	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.13	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.12	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.12	0.12	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.12	0.11	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.09	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.80	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.57	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hawaii	WAC	26.32	26.29	20.61	20.61	-15.47	-15.45
San Jose St.	WAC	4.38	4.41	44.44	44.37	-0.49	-0.50
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.36	4.39	68.97	68.95	1.66	1.66
Utah St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	78.57	79.02	2.49	2.54
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	59.26	59.20	0.80	0.80
Nevada	WAC	4.32	4.35	62.96	63.65	1.12	1.19
Fresno St.	WAC	4.30	4.32	41.38	41.05	-0.74	-0.77
Boise St.	WAC	4.27	4.29	46.43	45.12	-0.30	-0.42
Idaho	WAC	4.26	4.29	42.31	41.40	-0.65	-0.74
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.00	90.00	90.25	1.61	1.61
Brigham Young	MWC	2.01	2.00	86.67	87.03	1.48	1.48
McNeese St.	Slnd	1.94	1.94	26.92	26.92	-0.90	-0.89
St. Mary's	WCC	1.93	1.92	82.76	82.76	1.26	1.26
UC Irvine	BW	1.93	1.92	37.93	37.93	-0.47	-0.46
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.93	1.92	75.00	75.54	0.96	0.98
Northwestern St.	Slnd	1.87	1.87	29.17	29.17	-0.78	-0.78
Southern Utah	Sum	1.87	1.87	19.23	19.23	-1.15	-1.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.85	1.85	75.86	75.86	0.96	0.95
Cal Poly	BW	1.84	1.84	37.93	37.38	-0.44	-0.46
Lamar	Slnd	1.79	1.79	37.04	37.04	-0.46	-0.46
Chicago St.	GWC	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
College of Charleston	SC	1.72	1.72	67.74	67.74	0.61	0.61
Pacific	BW	0.38	0.37	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.12
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.34	24.14	24.14	-0.18	-0.17
Utah	MWC	0.29	0.31	46.67	45.46	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.14
Seattle	ind	0.30	0.29	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.26	0.27	37.93	36.74	-0.06	-0.07
Portland	WCC	0.27	0.26	65.52	65.52	0.08	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.07	0.07
Long Beach St.	BW	0.23	0.26	46.43	47.53	-0.02	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.26	0.25	27.59	27.59	-0.12	-0.11
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	71.43	71.93	0.11	0.11
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.25	0.24	30.77	30.77	-0.10	-0.09
UC Riverside	BW	0.23	0.23	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.23	0.23	20.69	20.69	-0.13	-0.13
UC Davis	BW	0.23	0.22	39.29	39.31	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.22	28.57	27.67	-0.09	-0.10
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.20	0.20	18.75	18.71	-0.13	-0.13
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.20	30.00	30.00	-0.08	-0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.12
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	35.48	36.20	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.18	0.18	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.18	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.18	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	65.38	65.38	0.05	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.16	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.16	0.16	57.69	56.45	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.16	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.16	0.16	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.10	0.09
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	73.08	73.18	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.13	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.12	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.12	0.12	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.12	0.11	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.09	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.80	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.57	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	78.57	79.02	2.49	2.54
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.36	4.39	68.97	68.95	1.66	1.66
New Mexico	MWC	2.01	2.00	90.00	90.25	1.61	1.61
Brigham Young	MWC	2.01	2.00	86.67	87.03	1.48	1.48
St. Mary's	WCC	1.93	1.92	82.76	82.76	1.26	1.26
Nevada	WAC	4.32	4.35	62.96	63.65	1.12	1.19
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.93	1.92	75.00	75.54	0.96	0.98
Northern Colorado	BSky	1.85	1.85	75.86	75.86	0.96	0.95
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.35	4.38	59.26	59.20	0.80	0.80
College of Charleston	SC	1.72	1.72	67.74	67.74	0.61	0.61
Pacific	BW	0.38	0.37	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	71.43	71.93	0.11	0.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.10	0.09
Portland	WCC	0.27	0.26	65.52	65.52	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.07	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.16	70.37	69.63	0.07	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	73.08	73.18	0.06	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	65.38	65.38	0.05	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.16	0.16	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.30	0.29	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.16	0.16	57.69	56.45	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.09	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.80	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	76.67	77.26	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.12	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.25	51.72	50.46	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.57	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.12	0.11	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.13	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01