The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Virginia page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Virginia

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		127.0
Current RPI:		127
Expected SOS:		56
Current SOS:		56
Current Record:		15-16
Expected Record:		15-16
Current Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		160
Expected OOC SOS:		275

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
15-16		127.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Longwood (286.0)	ind	H	85-72	W	100%	0.0
11-16	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	49-66	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	79-46	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Oral Roberts (126.0)	Sum	H	76-55	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Stanford (164.0)	P10	N	52-57	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Cleveland St. (166.0)	Horz	N	76-65	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	H	66-69	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	A	67-68	L	0%	0.0
12-21	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	H	68-37	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	H	80-54	W	100%	0.0
12-30	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	72-63	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	72-53	W	100%	0.0
1-9	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	A	70-62	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	H	82-75	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
1-18	NC Wilmington (237.0)	CAA	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	A	57-69	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	H	71-76	L	0%	0.0
1-31	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	75-60	W	100%	0.0
2-3	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	H	59-47	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	H	61-64	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	A	55-61	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	66-85	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	H	50-69	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	A	49-72	L	0%	0.0
2-23	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	A	62-74	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Duke (3.0)	ACC	H	49-67	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	A	55-68	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	H	68-74	L	0%	0.0
3-11	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	N	68-62	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Duke (3.0)	ACC	N	46-57	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Virginia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Virginia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Virginia.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia	ACC	26.16	26.16	42.86	42.86	-3.74	-3.74
Miami FL	ACC	4.00	4.00	60.00	60.00	0.80	0.80
North Carolina St.	ACC	3.93	3.93	59.38	59.38	0.74	0.74
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.92	3.92	72.41	72.41	1.76	1.76
Duke	ACC	3.90	3.90	84.38	84.38	2.68	2.68
Wake Forest	ACC	3.88	3.88	62.96	62.96	1.01	1.01
Boston College	ACC	3.86	3.86	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Maryland	ACC	3.83	3.83	71.43	71.43	1.64	1.64
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.40	2.40	65.62	65.62	0.75	0.75
Florida St.	ACC	2.33	2.33	70.00	70.00	0.93	0.93
North Carolina	ACC	2.30	2.30	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Clemson	ACC	2.30	2.30	66.67	66.67	0.77	0.77
Longwood	ind	1.77	1.77	30.77	30.77	-0.68	-0.68
NC Wilmington	CAA	1.77	1.77	30.00	30.00	-0.71	-0.71
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.74	1.74	25.93	25.93	-0.84	-0.84
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.69	1.69	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Penn St.	B10	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
Auburn	SEC	1.69	1.69	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.67	1.67	18.75	18.75	-1.04	-1.04
Hampton	MEAC	1.67	1.67	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
South Florida	BE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Stanford	P10	1.64	1.64	41.94	41.94	-0.26	-0.26
Cleveland St.	Horz	1.61	1.61	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Rider	MAAC	1.61	1.61	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
UAB	CUSA	1.61	1.61	76.67	76.67	0.86	0.86
NC Greensboro	SC	0.28	0.28	25.81	25.81	-0.14	-0.14
North Carolina Central	ind	0.23	0.23	12.00	12.00	-0.18	-0.18
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.16	32.00	32.00	-0.06	-0.06
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.14	0.14	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.13	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Elon	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.13	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.11	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.10	80.65	80.65	0.06	0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.08	0.08	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia	ACC	26.16	26.16	42.86	42.86	-3.74	-3.74
Miami FL	ACC	4.00	4.00	60.00	60.00	0.80	0.80
North Carolina St.	ACC	3.93	3.93	59.38	59.38	0.74	0.74
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.92	3.92	72.41	72.41	1.76	1.76
Duke	ACC	3.90	3.90	84.38	84.38	2.68	2.68
Wake Forest	ACC	3.88	3.88	62.96	62.96	1.01	1.01
Boston College	ACC	3.86	3.86	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Maryland	ACC	3.83	3.83	71.43	71.43	1.64	1.64
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.40	2.40	65.62	65.62	0.75	0.75
Florida St.	ACC	2.33	2.33	70.00	70.00	0.93	0.93
North Carolina	ACC	2.30	2.30	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Clemson	ACC	2.30	2.30	66.67	66.67	0.77	0.77
Longwood	ind	1.77	1.77	30.77	30.77	-0.68	-0.68
NC Wilmington	CAA	1.77	1.77	30.00	30.00	-0.71	-0.71
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.74	1.74	25.93	25.93	-0.84	-0.84
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.69	1.69	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Penn St.	B10	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
Auburn	SEC	1.69	1.69	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.67	1.67	18.75	18.75	-1.04	-1.04
Hampton	MEAC	1.67	1.67	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
South Florida	BE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Stanford	P10	1.64	1.64	41.94	41.94	-0.26	-0.26
Cleveland St.	Horz	1.61	1.61	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Rider	MAAC	1.61	1.61	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
UAB	CUSA	1.61	1.61	76.67	76.67	0.86	0.86
NC Greensboro	SC	0.28	0.28	25.81	25.81	-0.14	-0.14
North Carolina Central	ind	0.23	0.23	12.00	12.00	-0.18	-0.18
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.16	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.16	32.00	32.00	-0.06	-0.06
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.14	0.14	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.14	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.13	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Elon	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.13	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.11	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.10	80.65	80.65	0.06	0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.08	0.08	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02