The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Montana page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Montana

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		102.5
Current RPI:		100
Expected SOS:		236
Current SOS:		205
Current Record:		15-7
Expected Record:		18-8
Current Conf Record:		8-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-2
Current OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC RPI:		83
Expected OOC SOS:		195

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-7	91.5	44.02%
18-8	106.2	42.36%
17-9	124.8	12.34%
16-10	146.2	1.24%
15-11	171.7	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	H	61-37	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Boise St. (214.0)	WAC	H	95-82	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	49-56	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	59-63	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	H	48-59	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	A	82-73	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
12-19	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	67-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	H	59-56	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	H	79-66	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	H	90-58	W	100%	0.0
1-15	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	A	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	A	52-61	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Northern Colorado (103.7)	BSky	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Northern Arizona (204.1)	BSky	A	84-64	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	H	75-61	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	91-68	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	A	0-0		64%	3.9
2-14	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	A	0-0		86%	11.7
2-20	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	0-0		95%	18.0
2-27	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	H	0-0		84%	10.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Montana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Montana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Montana.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.67	26.53	72.22	74.31	11.85	12.90
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.41	4.95	81.82	80.10	3.44	2.98
Northern Arizona	BSky	5.37	4.93	50.00	49.35	0.00	-0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	5.28	4.90	15.79	21.92	-3.61	-2.75
Weber St.	BSky	5.17	4.84	63.16	66.30	1.36	1.58
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.71	3.98	52.38	47.68	0.22	-0.18
Montana St.	BSky	3.38	4.90	45.00	47.88	-0.34	-0.21
Sacramento St.	BSky	3.33	4.95	31.82	31.05	-1.21	-1.87
Portland St.	BSky	3.05	4.91	40.00	41.31	-0.61	-0.85
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.01	4.88	19.05	20.11	-1.86	-2.92
Boise St.	WAC	2.80	2.37	47.62	47.53	-0.13	-0.12
Colorado St.	MWC	2.63	2.16	57.14	51.16	0.38	0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	2.10	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
Oregon	P10	2.54	2.17	57.14	50.49	0.36	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	2.52	2.09	16.67	28.91	-1.68	-0.88
UC Riverside	BW	2.44	2.07	35.00	37.85	-0.73	-0.50
Denver	SB	2.42	2.02	59.09	58.13	0.44	0.33
Washington	P10	2.38	2.06	68.18	67.78	0.86	0.73
Seattle	ind	0.56	0.65	45.83	48.87	-0.05	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.43	0.35	73.91	76.66	0.20	0.18
Southern California	P10	0.41	0.37	60.87	59.61	0.09	0.07
Wyoming	MWC	0.40	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.13	-0.10
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.37	0.32	60.00	59.64	0.07	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.37	0.31	87.50	87.42	0.28	0.23
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.68	0.08	0.12
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.31	0.38	22.73	21.40	-0.17	-0.22
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.23	27.27	25.31	-0.14	-0.11
San Jose St.	WAC	0.30	0.33	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.27	0.21	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.26	0.21	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.26	0.24	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
Air Force	MWC	0.26	0.21	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.08
Southern Utah	Sum	0.26	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.16	-0.10
UC Davis	BW	0.26	0.27	35.00	33.21	-0.08	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.23	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.27	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	0.25	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.23	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.19	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.18	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.22	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.21	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.09	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.21	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.23	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.16
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.13	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.15	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.21	36.36	36.06	-0.04	-0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.17	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.20	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.14
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.07	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
California	P10	0.10	0.13	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.07	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.04	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.04	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.08
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.07	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.67	26.53	72.22	74.31	11.85	12.90
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.41	4.95	81.82	80.10	3.44	2.98
Sacramento St.	BSky	3.33	4.95	31.82	31.05	-1.21	-1.87
Northern Arizona	BSky	5.37	4.93	50.00	49.35	0.00	-0.06
Portland St.	BSky	3.05	4.91	40.00	41.31	-0.61	-0.85
Idaho St.	BSky	5.28	4.90	15.79	21.92	-3.61	-2.75
Montana St.	BSky	3.38	4.90	45.00	47.88	-0.34	-0.21
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.01	4.88	19.05	20.11	-1.86	-2.92
Weber St.	BSky	5.17	4.84	63.16	66.30	1.36	1.58
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.71	3.98	52.38	47.68	0.22	-0.18
Boise St.	WAC	2.80	2.37	47.62	47.53	-0.13	-0.12
Oregon	P10	2.54	2.17	57.14	50.49	0.36	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	2.63	2.16	57.14	51.16	0.38	0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	2.10	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	2.52	2.09	16.67	28.91	-1.68	-0.88
UC Riverside	BW	2.44	2.07	35.00	37.85	-0.73	-0.50
Washington	P10	2.38	2.06	68.18	67.78	0.86	0.73
Denver	SB	2.42	2.02	59.09	58.13	0.44	0.33
Seattle	ind	0.56	0.65	45.83	48.87	-0.05	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.31	0.38	22.73	21.40	-0.17	-0.22
Southern California	P10	0.41	0.37	60.87	59.61	0.09	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.68	0.08	0.12
Utah St.	WAC	0.43	0.35	73.91	76.66	0.20	0.18
San Jose St.	WAC	0.30	0.33	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.37	0.32	60.00	59.64	0.07	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.37	0.31	87.50	87.42	0.28	0.23
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.27	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.10
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.26	0.27	35.00	33.21	-0.08	-0.09
Washington St.	P10	0.21	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.40	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.13	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	0.25	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.26	0.24	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.23	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.16
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.23	27.27	25.31	-0.14	-0.11
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.23	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.23	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.21	36.36	36.06	-0.04	-0.06
Utah	MWC	0.27	0.21	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.26	0.21	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.26	0.21	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.14
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.20	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.19	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.18	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Southern Utah	Sum	0.26	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.16	-0.10
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.17	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.09
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.15	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.09
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.22	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.08
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.21	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.09	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.13	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.10	0.13	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.07	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.07	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.07	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.04	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.04	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.67	26.53	72.22	74.31	11.85	12.90
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.41	4.95	81.82	80.10	3.44	2.98
Weber St.	BSky	5.17	4.84	63.16	66.30	1.36	1.58
Washington	P10	2.38	2.06	68.18	67.78	0.86	0.73
Denver	SB	2.42	2.02	59.09	58.13	0.44	0.33
Colorado St.	MWC	2.63	2.16	57.14	51.16	0.38	0.05
Oregon	P10	2.54	2.17	57.14	50.49	0.36	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.37	0.31	87.50	87.42	0.28	0.23
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.71	3.98	52.38	47.68	0.22	-0.18
Utah St.	WAC	0.43	0.35	73.91	76.66	0.20	0.18
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.18	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.23	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.16
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.14
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.07	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.41	0.37	60.87	59.61	0.09	0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.21	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.09	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.68	0.08	0.12
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.37	0.32	60.00	59.64	0.07	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.21	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
California	P10	0.10	0.13	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.07	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.04	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.07	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.26	0.21	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	2.10	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	5.37	4.93	50.00	49.35	0.00	-0.06
San Jose St.	WAC	0.30	0.33	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.04	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.20	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.22	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.23	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.27	0.21	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.25	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.21	36.36	36.06	-0.04	-0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.56	0.65	45.83	48.87	-0.05	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.13	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.19	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.26	0.27	35.00	33.21	-0.08	-0.09
Air Force	MWC	0.26	0.21	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.23	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.08
Santa Clara	WCC	0.26	0.24	33.33	34.27	-0.09	-0.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.17	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.25	0.27	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.10
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.15	12.00	18.82	-0.13	-0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.40	0.26	33.33	30.72	-0.13	-0.10
Boise St.	WAC	2.80	2.37	47.62	47.53	-0.13	-0.12
Pepperdine	WCC	0.30	0.23	27.27	25.31	-0.14	-0.11
Southern Utah	Sum	0.26	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.16	-0.10
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.31	0.38	22.73	21.40	-0.17	-0.22
Montana St.	BSky	3.38	4.90	45.00	47.88	-0.34	-0.21
Portland St.	BSky	3.05	4.91	40.00	41.31	-0.61	-0.85
UC Riverside	BW	2.44	2.07	35.00	37.85	-0.73	-0.50
Sacramento St.	BSky	3.33	4.95	31.82	31.05	-1.21	-1.87
North Dakota	GWC	2.52	2.09	16.67	28.91	-1.68	-0.88
Eastern Washington	BSky	3.01	4.88	19.05	20.11	-1.86	-2.92
Idaho St.	BSky	5.28	4.90	15.79	21.92	-3.61	-2.75

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.67	26.53	72.22	74.31	11.85	12.90
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.41	4.95	81.82	80.10	3.44	2.98
Weber St.	BSky	5.17	4.84	63.16	66.30	1.36	1.58
Washington	P10	2.38	2.06	68.18	67.78	0.86	0.73
Denver	SB	2.42	2.02	59.09	58.13	0.44	0.33
Brigham Young	MWC	0.37	0.31	87.50	87.42	0.28	0.23
Utah St.	WAC	0.43	0.35	73.91	76.66	0.20	0.18
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.23	86.96	84.62	0.15	0.16
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.20	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.14
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.18	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.36	0.37	61.90	65.68	0.08	0.12
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.27	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.09	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.41	0.37	60.87	59.61	0.09	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.13	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.37	0.32	60.00	59.64	0.07	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.21	0.27	57.14	60.54	0.03	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.07	91.30	88.21	0.09	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	2.63	2.16	57.14	51.16	0.38	0.05
California	P10	0.10	0.13	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.21	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.06	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.13	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.21	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.09	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	2.54	2.10	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Oregon	P10	2.54	2.17	57.14	50.49	0.36	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.07	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.26	0.21	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.07	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.04	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.07	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.04	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.22	0.15	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.25	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.30	0.33	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.10	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.56	0.65	45.83	48.87	-0.05	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.21	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.16	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.27	0.21	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.17	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.20	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.13	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.23	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04