Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

New! RPI broken down by contributions of individual teams and winning percentages (scroll down past graphs)

The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated  Montana   page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.


Montana

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:97.0
Current RPI:97
Expected SOS:206
Current SOS:206
Current Record:20-9
Expected Record:20-9
Current Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-2
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:78
Expected OOC SOS:178



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-997.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13North Dakota (339.0)GWCH61-37W100%0.0
11-14Boise St. (203.0)WACH95-82W100%0.0
11-15Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH64-63W100%0.0
11-19Denver (165.0)SBA49-56L0%0.0
11-23Oregon (138.0)P10A68-55W100%0.0
11-29Washington (41.0)P10A59-63L0%0.0
12-4Northern Arizona (197.0)BSkyH71-54W100%0.0
12-5Northern Colorado (117.0)BSkyH48-59L0%0.0
12-10Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA82-73W100%0.0
12-12Colorado St. (120.0)MWCA61-62L0%0.0
12-19UC Riverside (255.0)BWH67-52W100%0.0
12-21Fresno St. (190.0)WACH59-56W100%0.0
12-31Idaho St. (305.0)BSkyA65-67L0%0.0
1-2Weber St. (85.0)BSkyA56-64L0%0.0
1-8Eastern Washington (279.0)BSkyH79-66W100%0.0
1-9Portland St. (221.0)BSkyH90-58W100%0.0
1-15Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA57-56W100%0.0
1-23Montana St. (200.0)BSkyA52-61L0%0.0
1-28Northern Colorado (117.0)BSkyA64-62W100%0.0
1-30Northern Arizona (197.0)BSkyA84-64W100%0.0
2-5Weber St. (85.0)BSkyH75-61W100%0.0
2-6Idaho St. (305.0)BSkyH91-68W100%0.0
2-12Portland St. (221.0)BSkyA81-76W100%0.0
2-14Eastern Washington (279.0)BSkyA68-69L0%0.0
2-20Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH86-58W100%0.0
2-27Montana St. (200.0)BSkyH67-73L0%0.0
3-6Northern Arizona (197.0)BSkyH81-60W100%0.0
3-9Northern Colorado (117.0)BSkyN68-63W100%0.0
3-10Weber St. (85.0)BSkyA66-65W100%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Montana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Montana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Montana.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
MontanaBSky26.7826.7872.0072.0011.7911.79
Northern ColoradoBSky6.266.2681.4881.483.943.94
Northern ArizonaBSky6.236.2352.1752.170.270.27
Weber St.BSky6.226.2268.0068.002.242.24
Portland St.BSky4.724.7239.2939.29-1.01-1.01
Montana St.BSky4.614.6144.0044.00-0.55-0.55
Sacramento St.BSky4.584.5826.9226.92-2.12-2.12
Idaho St.BSky4.554.5516.0016.00-3.09-3.09
Eastern WashingtonBSky4.534.5323.0823.08-2.44-2.44
Loyola MarymountWCC3.573.5756.6756.670.480.48
Boise St.WAC2.112.1146.6746.67-0.14-0.14
Colorado St.MWC1.991.9948.2848.28-0.07-0.07
OregonP101.931.9351.6151.610.060.06
Fresno St.WAC1.911.9145.1645.16-0.18-0.18
North DakotaGWC1.891.8922.2222.22-1.05-1.05
UC RiversideBW1.891.8938.4638.46-0.44-0.44
DenverSB1.841.8458.0658.060.300.30
WashingtonP101.841.8471.8871.880.800.80
Seattleind0.590.5954.8454.840.060.06
Utah St.WAC0.390.3978.7978.790.220.22
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.320.3224.1424.14-0.17-0.17
San Jose St.WAC0.320.3243.3343.33-0.04-0.04
Southern CaliforniaP100.320.3253.3353.330.020.02
PortlandWCC0.310.3165.5265.520.100.10
Brigham YoungMWC0.300.3084.8584.850.210.21
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.300.3067.8667.860.110.11
San FranciscoWCC0.280.2835.7135.71-0.08-0.08
WyomingMWC0.250.2527.5927.59-0.11-0.11
Washington St.P100.250.2550.0050.000.000.00
PepperdineWCC0.250.2520.6920.69-0.14-0.14
San Diego St.MWC0.240.2474.1974.190.120.12
Air ForceMWC0.240.2427.5927.59-0.11-0.11
UC DavisBW0.240.2440.0040.00-0.05-0.05
NevadaWAC0.230.2361.2961.290.050.05
Santa ClaraWCC0.230.2330.0030.00-0.09-0.09
IdahoWAC0.230.2344.8344.83-0.02-0.02
GonzagaWCC0.220.2280.6580.650.140.14
Oregon St.P100.220.2245.1645.16-0.02-0.02
UtahMWC0.210.2145.1645.16-0.02-0.02
Southern UtahSum0.210.2118.5218.52-0.13-0.13
ArizonaP100.210.2151.6151.610.010.01
HawaiiWAC0.200.2031.0331.03-0.07-0.07
San DiegoWCC0.190.1932.2632.26-0.07-0.07
St. Mary'sWCC0.190.1983.3383.330.130.13
StanfordP100.190.1943.7543.75-0.02-0.02
New MexicoMWC0.190.1987.8887.880.140.14
Cal PolyBW0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.160.1618.1818.18-0.10-0.10
CaliforniaP100.160.1669.7069.700.060.06
Cal St. FullertonBW0.160.1648.2848.28-0.01-0.01
PacificBW0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
Houston BaptistGWC0.150.1536.3636.36-0.04-0.04
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.150.1575.0075.000.070.07
Texas ChristianMWC0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Louisiana MonroeSB0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechWAC0.140.1469.7069.700.050.05
UCLAP100.130.1343.7543.75-0.02-0.02
Chicago St.GWC0.120.1221.4321.43-0.07-0.07
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Notre DameBE0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
UC IrvineBW0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
South AlabamaSB0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.110.1165.6265.620.030.03
Arizona St.P100.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
Iowa St.B120.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.090.0935.7135.71-0.03-0.03
Morehead St.OVC0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.090.0925.0025.00-0.05-0.05
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.090.0946.1546.15-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0925.9325.93-0.04-0.04
OklahomaB120.090.0941.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
BelmontASun0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
Wright St.Horz0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
North TexasSB0.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
BradleyMVC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
MemphisCUSA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Southern MississippiCUSA0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
RiceCUSA0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0611.5411.54-0.05-0.05
South DakotaGWC0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0630.7730.77-0.02-0.02
Northern IowaMVC0.060.0687.5087.500.040.04
Texas A&MB120.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0632.0032.00-0.02-0.02
Arkansas Little RockSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Florida InternationalSB0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
New OrleansSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
TulsaCUSA0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
DrakeMVC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
IUPU Fort WayneSum0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
ColoradoB120.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
YaleIvy0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
IllinoisB100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
LamarSlnd0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
MissouriB120.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
OaklandSum0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
TroySB0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
Western KentuckySB0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Texas TechB120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00


BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
MontanaBSky26.7826.7872.0072.0011.7911.79
Northern ColoradoBSky6.266.2681.4881.483.943.94
Northern ArizonaBSky6.236.2352.1752.170.270.27
Weber St.BSky6.226.2268.0068.002.242.24
Portland St.BSky4.724.7239.2939.29-1.01-1.01
Montana St.BSky4.614.6144.0044.00-0.55-0.55
Sacramento St.BSky4.584.5826.9226.92-2.12-2.12
Idaho St.BSky4.554.5516.0016.00-3.09-3.09
Eastern WashingtonBSky4.534.5323.0823.08-2.44-2.44
Loyola MarymountWCC3.573.5756.6756.670.480.48
Boise St.WAC2.112.1146.6746.67-0.14-0.14
Colorado St.MWC1.991.9948.2848.28-0.07-0.07
OregonP101.931.9351.6151.610.060.06
Fresno St.WAC1.911.9145.1645.16-0.18-0.18
North DakotaGWC1.891.8922.2222.22-1.05-1.05
UC RiversideBW1.891.8938.4638.46-0.44-0.44
DenverSB1.841.8458.0658.060.300.30
WashingtonP101.841.8471.8871.880.800.80
Seattleind0.590.5954.8454.840.060.06
Utah St.WAC0.390.3978.7978.790.220.22
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.320.3224.1424.14-0.17-0.17
San Jose St.WAC0.320.3243.3343.33-0.04-0.04
Southern CaliforniaP100.320.3253.3353.330.020.02
PortlandWCC0.310.3165.5265.520.100.10
Brigham YoungMWC0.300.3084.8584.850.210.21
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.300.3067.8667.860.110.11
San FranciscoWCC0.280.2835.7135.71-0.08-0.08
WyomingMWC0.250.2527.5927.59-0.11-0.11
Washington St.P100.250.2550.0050.000.000.00
PepperdineWCC0.250.2520.6920.69-0.14-0.14
San Diego St.MWC0.240.2474.1974.190.120.12
Air ForceMWC0.240.2427.5927.59-0.11-0.11
UC DavisBW0.240.2440.0040.00-0.05-0.05
NevadaWAC0.230.2361.2961.290.050.05
Santa ClaraWCC0.230.2330.0030.00-0.09-0.09
IdahoWAC0.230.2344.8344.83-0.02-0.02
GonzagaWCC0.220.2280.6580.650.140.14
Oregon St.P100.220.2245.1645.16-0.02-0.02
UtahMWC0.210.2145.1645.16-0.02-0.02
Southern UtahSum0.210.2118.5218.52-0.13-0.13
ArizonaP100.210.2151.6151.610.010.01
HawaiiWAC0.200.2031.0331.03-0.07-0.07
San DiegoWCC0.190.1932.2632.26-0.07-0.07
St. Mary'sWCC0.190.1983.3383.330.130.13
StanfordP100.190.1943.7543.75-0.02-0.02
New MexicoMWC0.190.1987.8887.880.140.14
Cal PolyBW0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.160.1618.1818.18-0.10-0.10
CaliforniaP100.160.1669.7069.700.060.06
Cal St. FullertonBW0.160.1648.2848.28-0.01-0.01
PacificBW0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
Houston BaptistGWC0.150.1536.3636.36-0.04-0.04
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.150.1575.0075.000.070.07
Texas ChristianMWC0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Louisiana MonroeSB0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechWAC0.140.1469.7069.700.050.05
UCLAP100.130.1343.7543.75-0.02-0.02
Chicago St.GWC0.120.1221.4321.43-0.07-0.07
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Notre DameBE0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
UC IrvineBW0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
South AlabamaSB0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.110.1165.6265.620.030.03
Arizona St.P100.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
Iowa St.B120.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.090.0935.7135.71-0.03-0.03
Morehead St.OVC0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.090.0925.0025.00-0.05-0.05
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.090.0946.1546.15-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0925.9325.93-0.04-0.04
OklahomaB120.090.0941.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
BelmontASun0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
Wright St.Horz0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
North TexasSB0.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
BradleyMVC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
MemphisCUSA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Southern MississippiCUSA0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
RiceCUSA0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0611.5411.54-0.05-0.05
South DakotaGWC0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0630.7730.77-0.02-0.02
Northern IowaMVC0.060.0687.5087.500.040.04
Texas A&MB120.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0632.0032.00-0.02-0.02
Arkansas Little RockSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Florida InternationalSB0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
New OrleansSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
TulsaCUSA0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
DrakeMVC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
IUPU Fort WayneSum0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
ColoradoB120.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
YaleIvy0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
IllinoisB100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
LamarSlnd0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
MissouriB120.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
OaklandSum0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
TroySB0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
Western KentuckySB0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Texas TechB120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00


BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
MontanaBSky26.7826.7872.0072.0011.7911.79
Northern ColoradoBSky6.266.2681.4881.483.943.94
Weber St.BSky6.226.2268.0068.002.242.24
WashingtonP101.841.8471.8871.880.800.80
Loyola MarymountWCC3.573.5756.6756.670.480.48
DenverSB1.841.8458.0658.060.300.30
Northern ArizonaBSky6.236.2352.1752.170.270.27
Utah St.WAC0.390.3978.7978.790.220.22
Brigham YoungMWC0.300.3084.8584.850.210.21
New MexicoMWC0.190.1987.8887.880.140.14
GonzagaWCC0.220.2280.6580.650.140.14
St. Mary'sWCC0.190.1983.3383.330.130.13
San Diego St.MWC0.240.2474.1974.190.120.12
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.300.3067.8667.860.110.11
PortlandWCC0.310.3165.5265.520.100.10
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.150.1575.0075.000.070.07
CaliforniaP100.160.1669.7069.700.060.06
OregonP101.931.9351.6151.610.060.06
Seattleind0.590.5954.8454.840.060.06
Louisiana TechWAC0.140.1469.7069.700.050.05
NevadaWAC0.230.2361.2961.290.050.05
PacificBW0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
Northern IowaMVC0.060.0687.5087.500.040.04
Notre DameBE0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
Arizona St.P100.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
North TexasSB0.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
New Mexico St.WAC0.110.1165.6265.620.030.03
Morehead St.OVC0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
MemphisCUSA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Texas A&MB120.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
Southern CaliforniaP100.320.3253.3353.330.020.02
Wright St.Horz0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
South DakotaGWC0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
BelmontASun0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
TulsaCUSA0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
OaklandSum0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
MissouriB120.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
ArizonaP100.210.2151.6151.610.010.01
Southern MississippiCUSA0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
Western KentuckySB0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
TroySB0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
IllinoisB100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
BradleyMVC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Texas TechB120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
Washington St.P100.250.2550.0050.000.000.00
IUPU Fort WayneSum0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
ColoradoB120.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
DrakeMVC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Cal St. FullertonBW0.160.1648.2848.28-0.01-0.01
Iowa St.B120.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.090.0946.1546.15-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
OklahomaB120.090.0941.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UCLAP100.130.1343.7543.75-0.02-0.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0632.0032.00-0.02-0.02
UtahMWC0.210.2145.1645.16-0.02-0.02
Oregon St.P100.220.2245.1645.16-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0630.7730.77-0.02-0.02
StanfordP100.190.1943.7543.75-0.02-0.02
IdahoWAC0.230.2344.8344.83-0.02-0.02
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.090.0935.7135.71-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Little RockSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
New OrleansSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Florida InternationalSB0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
Texas ChristianMWC0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Houston BaptistGWC0.150.1536.3636.36-0.04-0.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0925.9325.93-0.04-0.04
Cal PolyBW0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
San Jose St.WAC0.320.3243.3343.33-0.04-0.04
Louisiana MonroeSB0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.090.0925.0025.00-0.05-0.05
UC DavisBW0.240.2440.0040.00-0.05-0.05
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0611.5411.54-0.05-0.05
Colorado St.MWC1.991.9948.2848.28-0.07-0.07
San DiegoWCC0.190.1932.2632.26-0.07-0.07
Chicago St.GWC0.120.1221.4321.43-0.07-0.07
HawaiiWAC0.200.2031.0331.03-0.07-0.07
San FranciscoWCC0.280.2835.7135.71-0.08-0.08
Santa ClaraWCC0.230.2330.0030.00-0.09-0.09
Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.160.1618.1818.18-0.10-0.10
Air ForceMWC0.240.2427.5927.59-0.11-0.11
WyomingMWC0.250.2527.5927.59-0.11-0.11
Southern UtahSum0.210.2118.5218.52-0.13-0.13
Boise St.WAC2.112.1146.6746.67-0.14-0.14
PepperdineWCC0.250.2520.6920.69-0.14-0.14
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.320.3224.1424.14-0.17-0.17
Fresno St.WAC1.911.9145.1645.16-0.18-0.18
UC RiversideBW1.891.8938.4638.46-0.44-0.44
Montana St.BSky4.614.6144.0044.00-0.55-0.55
Portland St.BSky4.724.7239.2939.29-1.01-1.01
North DakotaGWC1.891.8922.2222.22-1.05-1.05
Sacramento St.BSky4.584.5826.9226.92-2.12-2.12
Eastern WashingtonBSky4.534.5323.0823.08-2.44-2.44
Idaho St.BSky4.554.5516.0016.00-3.09-3.09


BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
MontanaBSky26.7826.7872.0072.0011.7911.79
Northern ColoradoBSky6.266.2681.4881.483.943.94
Weber St.BSky6.226.2268.0068.002.242.24
WashingtonP101.841.8471.8871.880.800.80
Loyola MarymountWCC3.573.5756.6756.670.480.48
DenverSB1.841.8458.0658.060.300.30
Northern ArizonaBSky6.236.2352.1752.170.270.27
Utah St.WAC0.390.3978.7978.790.220.22
Brigham YoungMWC0.300.3084.8584.850.210.21
New MexicoMWC0.190.1987.8887.880.140.14
GonzagaWCC0.220.2280.6580.650.140.14
St. Mary'sWCC0.190.1983.3383.330.130.13
San Diego St.MWC0.240.2474.1974.190.120.12
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.300.3067.8667.860.110.11
PortlandWCC0.310.3165.5265.520.100.10
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.150.1575.0075.000.070.07
CaliforniaP100.160.1669.7069.700.060.06
OregonP101.931.9351.6151.610.060.06
Seattleind0.590.5954.8454.840.060.06
Louisiana TechWAC0.140.1469.7069.700.050.05
NevadaWAC0.230.2361.2961.290.050.05
PacificBW0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
Northern IowaMVC0.060.0687.5087.500.040.04
Notre DameBE0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
Arizona St.P100.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
North TexasSB0.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
New Mexico St.WAC0.110.1165.6265.620.030.03
Morehead St.OVC0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
MemphisCUSA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Texas A&MB120.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
Southern CaliforniaP100.320.3253.3353.330.020.02
Wright St.Horz0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
South DakotaGWC0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
BelmontASun0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
TulsaCUSA0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
OaklandSum0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
MissouriB120.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
ArizonaP100.210.2151.6151.610.010.01
Southern MississippiCUSA0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
Western KentuckySB0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
TroySB0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
IllinoisB100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
BradleyMVC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Texas TechB120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
Washington St.P100.250.2550.0050.000.000.00
IUPU Fort WayneSum0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
ColoradoB120.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
DrakeMVC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Cal St. FullertonBW0.160.1648.2848.28-0.01-0.01
Iowa St.B120.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.090.0946.1546.15-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
OklahomaB120.090.0941.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UCLAP100.130.1343.7543.75-0.02-0.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0632.0032.00-0.02-0.02
UtahMWC0.210.2145.1645.16-0.02-0.02
Oregon St.P100.220.2245.1645.16-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0630.7730.77-0.02-0.02
StanfordP100.190.1943.7543.75-0.02-0.02
IdahoWAC0.230.2344.8344.83-0.02-0.02
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.090.0935.7135.71-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Little RockSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
New OrleansSB0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Florida InternationalSB0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
Texas ChristianMWC0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Houston BaptistGWC0.150.1536.3636.36-0.04-0.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0925.9325.93-0.04-0.04
Cal PolyBW0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
San Jose St.WAC0.320.3243.3343.33-0.04-0.04
Louisiana MonroeSB0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04