The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Montana page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Montana

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		101.7
Current RPI:		104
Expected SOS:		205
Current SOS:		213
Current Record:		19-9
Expected Record:		19-10
Current Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-3
Current OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC Record:		7-3
Expected OOC RPI:		79
Expected OOC SOS:		179

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-9	94.9	34.76%
19-10	105.3	65.24%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	North Dakota (337.6)	GWC	H	61-37	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Boise St. (204.4)	WAC	H	95-82	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Loyola Marymount (176.4)	WCC	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Denver (164.5)	SB	A	49-56	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Oregon (144.9)	P10	A	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Washington (49.9)	P10	A	59-63	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Northern Arizona (199.8)	BSky	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Northern Colorado (118.8)	BSky	H	48-59	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Loyola Marymount (176.4)	WCC	A	82-73	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Colorado St. (115.3)	MWC	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
12-19	UC Riverside (256.5)	BW	H	67-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Fresno St. (185.0)	WAC	H	59-56	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Idaho St. (305.1)	BSky	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Weber St. (76.7)	BSky	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Eastern Washington (275.2)	BSky	H	79-66	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Portland St. (221.5)	BSky	H	90-58	W	100%	0.0
1-15	Sacramento St. (297.8)	BSky	A	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Montana St. (201.4)	BSky	A	52-61	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Northern Colorado (118.8)	BSky	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Northern Arizona (199.8)	BSky	A	84-64	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Weber St. (76.7)	BSky	H	75-61	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Idaho St. (305.1)	BSky	H	91-68	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Portland St. (221.5)	BSky	A	81-76	W	100%	0.0
2-14	Eastern Washington (275.2)	BSky	A	68-69	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Sacramento St. (297.8)	BSky	H	86-58	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Montana St. (201.4)	BSky	H	67-73	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Northern Arizona (199.8)	BSky	H	81-60	W	100%	0.0
3-9	Northern Colorado (118.8)	BSky	N	68-63	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Weber St. (76.7)	BSky	A	0-0		34%	-3.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Montana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Montana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Montana.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.70	26.79	70.34	69.79	10.86	10.60
Northern Colorado	BSky	6.43	6.26	81.48	81.48	4.05	3.94
Northern Arizona	BSky	6.40	6.23	52.17	52.17	0.28	0.27
Portland St.	BSky	4.80	4.72	39.29	39.29	-1.03	-1.01
Montana St.	BSky	4.71	4.61	44.00	44.00	-0.57	-0.55
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.69	4.58	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.12
Idaho St.	BSky	4.65	4.55	16.00	16.00	-3.16	-3.09
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	6.22	68.00	68.00	1.68	2.24
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.63	4.53	23.08	23.08	-2.49	-2.44
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.70	3.57	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.48
Boise St.	WAC	2.19	2.11	48.28	46.97	-0.08	-0.13
Colorado St.	MWC	2.06	1.99	50.00	48.77	0.00	-0.05
Oregon	P10	2.01	1.94	51.72	51.58	0.07	0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	1.98	1.91	46.67	46.19	-0.13	-0.15
North Dakota	GWC	1.96	1.89	23.08	23.08	-1.06	-1.02
UC Riverside	BW	1.95	1.89	38.46	38.46	-0.45	-0.44
Denver	SB	1.91	1.84	58.06	58.06	0.31	0.30
Washington	P10	1.90	1.84	68.97	69.58	0.72	0.72
Seattle	ind	0.58	0.59	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Southern California	P10	0.34	0.32	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.32	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
San Jose St.	WAC	0.34	0.32	44.83	44.75	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.32	0.31	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.39	80.00	80.35	0.19	0.23
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.28	35.71	35.71	-0.08	-0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.30	87.10	87.42	0.21	0.23
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.28	0.30	65.38	65.38	0.09	0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.26	0.25	28.57	29.71	-0.11	-0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.26	0.25	20.69	20.69	-0.15	-0.14
Air Force	MWC	0.25	0.24	25.93	26.38	-0.12	-0.11
UC Davis	BW	0.25	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	62.07	62.73	0.06	0.06
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	46.43	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.24	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.10	-0.09
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.26	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.24	71.43	71.92	0.10	0.11
Arizona	P10	0.22	0.21	53.33	53.67	0.01	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.23	46.67	45.56	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.19	83.33	83.33	0.13	0.13
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.19	90.32	90.32	0.16	0.15
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.21	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	37.93	38.29	-0.05	-0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.13
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.17	43.33	42.54	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.16	16.13	16.13	-0.11	-0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.15	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.14	37.93	36.75	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.14	43.33	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.16	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.13	0.15	75.86	76.35	0.07	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.77	-0.04	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.27	0.04	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.11	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.14	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.09	48.00	47.34	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.06	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.85	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.57	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.05	66.67	67.50	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.87	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.22	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.70	26.79	70.34	69.79	10.86	10.60
Northern Colorado	BSky	6.43	6.26	81.48	81.48	4.05	3.94
Northern Arizona	BSky	6.40	6.23	52.17	52.17	0.28	0.27
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	6.22	68.00	68.00	1.68	2.24
Portland St.	BSky	4.80	4.72	39.29	39.29	-1.03	-1.01
Montana St.	BSky	4.71	4.61	44.00	44.00	-0.57	-0.55
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.69	4.58	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.12
Idaho St.	BSky	4.65	4.55	16.00	16.00	-3.16	-3.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.63	4.53	23.08	23.08	-2.49	-2.44
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.70	3.57	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.48
Boise St.	WAC	2.19	2.11	48.28	46.97	-0.08	-0.13
Colorado St.	MWC	2.06	1.99	50.00	48.77	0.00	-0.05
Oregon	P10	2.01	1.94	51.72	51.58	0.07	0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	1.98	1.91	46.67	46.19	-0.13	-0.15
North Dakota	GWC	1.96	1.89	23.08	23.08	-1.06	-1.02
UC Riverside	BW	1.95	1.89	38.46	38.46	-0.45	-0.44
Denver	SB	1.91	1.84	58.06	58.06	0.31	0.30
Washington	P10	1.90	1.84	68.97	69.58	0.72	0.72
Seattle	ind	0.58	0.59	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.39	80.00	80.35	0.19	0.23
Southern California	P10	0.34	0.32	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.32	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
San Jose St.	WAC	0.34	0.32	44.83	44.75	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.32	0.31	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.30	87.10	87.42	0.21	0.23
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.28	0.30	65.38	65.38	0.09	0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.28	35.71	35.71	-0.08	-0.08
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.26	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.26	0.25	28.57	29.71	-0.11	-0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.26	0.25	20.69	20.69	-0.15	-0.14
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.24	71.43	71.92	0.10	0.11
Air Force	MWC	0.25	0.24	25.93	26.38	-0.12	-0.11
UC Davis	BW	0.25	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	62.07	62.73	0.06	0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.24	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.10	-0.09
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	46.43	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.23	46.67	45.56	-0.01	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.21	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.22	0.21	53.33	53.67	0.01	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.13
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.19	83.33	83.33	0.13	0.13
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.19	90.32	90.32	0.16	0.15
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	37.93	38.29	-0.05	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.17	43.33	42.54	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.16	16.13	16.13	-0.11	-0.11
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.16	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.15	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.13	0.15	75.86	76.35	0.07	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.14	37.93	36.75	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.14	43.33	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.14	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.77	-0.04	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.27	0.04	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.71	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.11	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.09	48.00	47.34	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.06	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.85	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.57	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.05	66.67	67.50	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.87	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.22	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.70	26.79	70.34	69.79	10.86	10.60
Northern Colorado	BSky	6.43	6.26	81.48	81.48	4.05	3.94
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	6.22	68.00	68.00	1.68	2.24
Washington	P10	1.90	1.84	68.97	69.58	0.72	0.72
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.70	3.57	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.48
Denver	SB	1.91	1.84	58.06	58.06	0.31	0.30
Northern Arizona	BSky	6.40	6.23	52.17	52.17	0.28	0.27
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.30	87.10	87.42	0.21	0.23
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.39	80.00	80.35	0.19	0.23
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.19	90.32	90.32	0.16	0.15
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.19	83.33	83.33	0.13	0.13
Portland	WCC	0.32	0.31	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.24	71.43	71.92	0.10	0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.28	0.30	65.38	65.38	0.09	0.09
Oregon	P10	2.01	1.94	51.72	51.58	0.07	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.13	0.15	75.86	76.35	0.07	0.08
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	62.07	62.73	0.06	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.58	0.59	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.11	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.14	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.06
California	P10	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.27	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.34	0.32	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.05	66.67	67.50	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.85	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.22	0.21	53.33	53.67	0.01	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.26	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.06	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.87	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	2.06	1.99	50.00	48.77	0.00	-0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.57	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.09	48.00	47.34	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.16	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.21	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.22	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.23	46.67	45.56	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	46.43	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.14	43.33	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.71	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.17	43.33	42.54	-0.02	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.34	0.32	44.83	44.75	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.77	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.14	37.93	36.75	-0.04	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	37.93	38.29	-0.05	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.15	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.25	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.19	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Boise St.	WAC	2.19	2.11	48.28	46.97	-0.08	-0.13
Hawaii	WAC	0.21	0.20	31.03	31.03	-0.08	-0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.28	35.71	35.71	-0.08	-0.08
Santa Clara	WCC	0.24	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.10	-0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.26	0.25	28.57	29.71	-0.11	-0.10
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.16	16.13	16.13	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.13
Air Force	MWC	0.25	0.24	25.93	26.38	-0.12	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	1.98	1.91	46.67	46.19	-0.13	-0.15
Pepperdine	WCC	0.26	0.25	20.69	20.69	-0.15	-0.14
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.32	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
UC Riverside	BW	1.95	1.89	38.46	38.46	-0.45	-0.44
Montana St.	BSky	4.71	4.61	44.00	44.00	-0.57	-0.55
Portland St.	BSky	4.80	4.72	39.29	39.29	-1.03	-1.01
North Dakota	GWC	1.96	1.89	23.08	23.08	-1.06	-1.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.69	4.58	26.92	26.92	-2.16	-2.12
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.63	4.53	23.08	23.08	-2.49	-2.44
Idaho St.	BSky	4.65	4.55	16.00	16.00	-3.16	-3.09

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Montana	BSky	26.70	26.79	70.34	69.79	10.86	10.60
Northern Colorado	BSky	6.43	6.26	81.48	81.48	4.05	3.94
Weber St.	BSky	4.65	6.22	68.00	68.00	1.68	2.24
Washington	P10	1.90	1.84	68.97	69.58	0.72	0.72
Loyola Marymount	WCC	3.70	3.57	56.67	56.67	0.49	0.48
Denver	SB	1.91	1.84	58.06	58.06	0.31	0.30
Northern Arizona	BSky	6.40	6.23	52.17	52.17	0.28	0.27
Utah St.	WAC	0.32	0.39	80.00	80.35	0.19	0.23
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.30	87.10	87.42	0.21	0.23
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.19	90.32	90.32	0.16	0.15
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.19	83.33	83.33	0.13	0.13
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.24	71.43	71.92	0.10	0.11
Portland	WCC	0.32	0.31	65.52	65.52	0.10	0.10
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.28	0.30	65.38	65.38	0.09	0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.13	0.15	75.86	76.35	0.07	0.08
Oregon	P10	2.01	1.94	51.72	51.58	0.07	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	62.07	62.73	0.06	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.58	0.59	54.84	54.84	0.06	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.14	70.97	70.87	0.05	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.11	70.97	71.29	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.27	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.34	0.32	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.05	66.67	67.50	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.85	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.22	0.21	53.33	53.67	0.01	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	69.24	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.26	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.06	53.85	54.83	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.87	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.57	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.16	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.09	48.00	47.34	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	48.39	47.38	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	43.33	42.79	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.22	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.14	43.33	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.21	46.67	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.23	46.67	45.56	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	46.43	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.18	0.17	43.33	42.54	-0.02	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.34	0.32	44.83	44.75	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.77	-0.04	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.14	37.93	36.75	-0.04	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.19	37.93	38.29	-0.05	-0.04