The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Jacksonville page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Jacksonville

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		143.2
Current RPI:		137
Expected SOS:		242
Current SOS:		217
Current Record:		13-10
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		9-5
Expected Conf Record:		13-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		121
Expected OOC SOS:		84

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-10	115.7	12.74%
18-11	132.1	35.06%
17-12	149.9	33.04%
16-13	167.1	15.63%
15-14	183.9	3.29%
14-15	199.6	0.23%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	A	61-87	L	0%	0.0
11-24	California (24.1)	P10	A	47-79	L	0%	0.0
11-27	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	93-97	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Georgia St. (231.8)	CAA	A	54-64	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	67-85	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	A	56-48	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	57-73	L	0%	0.0
12-21	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	A	70-93	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	N	83-73	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	61-51	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	74-75	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	91-52	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	A	80-70	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	A	82-58	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	79-73	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	82-66	W	100%	0.0
1-18	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	62-55	W	100%	0.0
1-23	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	65-52	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	A	72-68	W	100%	0.0
1-29	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	A	73-61	W	100%	0.0
1-31	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	A	79-63	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	A	70-73	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	A	61-79	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	0-0		92%	15.4
2-13	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	0-0		97%	20.8
2-18	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	0-0		66%	4.6
2-20	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	A	0-0		52%	0.5
2-25	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	0-0		69%	5.5
2-27	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	0-0		60%	2.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Jacksonville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Jacksonville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Jacksonville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	26.49	26.48	64.49	65.30	7.68	8.10
North Florida	ASun	5.26	4.58	47.62	48.67	-0.25	-0.12
Belmont	ASun	5.21	4.54	60.87	64.82	1.13	1.35
Lipscomb	ASun	5.20	4.53	52.38	56.98	0.25	0.63
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	5.06	4.54	20.00	22.60	-3.04	-2.49
Stetson	ASun	3.18	4.66	15.00	16.79	-2.23	-3.10
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	3.10	4.57	30.43	30.70	-1.21	-1.76
East Tennessee St.	ASun	3.08	4.54	47.83	52.59	-0.13	0.24
Campbell	ASun	3.07	4.53	55.00	58.23	0.31	0.75
Kennesaw St.	ASun	3.04	4.54	45.45	41.09	-0.28	-0.81
Mercer	ASun	2.98	4.56	40.00	40.03	-0.60	-0.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.37	1.91	72.73	68.44	1.08	0.70
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.65	1.06	0.62
Savannah St.	ind	2.32	1.91	31.58	32.68	-0.85	-0.66
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.27	1.81	57.89	55.60	0.36	0.20
Central Florida	CUSA	2.23	1.75	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.14
Georgia St.	CAA	2.22	1.75	34.78	36.32	-0.68	-0.48
South Carolina	SEC	2.22	1.78	57.14	52.84	0.32	0.10
Buffalo	MAC	2.17	1.72	57.89	54.00	0.34	0.14
California	P10	2.17	1.72	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.60
Miami FL	ACC	0.35	0.30	68.18	62.73	0.13	0.08
Longwood	ind	0.26	0.26	23.81	29.40	-0.13	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.24	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.11
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.21	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.24	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.20	-0.15
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.18	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.19	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.09	0.06
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.12	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.14	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.11
Howard	MEAC	0.15	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.12	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.09	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.17	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.09
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.13	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.04	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.04	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.04	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.04	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	26.49	26.48	64.49	65.30	7.68	8.10
Stetson	ASun	3.18	4.66	15.00	16.79	-2.23	-3.10
North Florida	ASun	5.26	4.58	47.62	48.67	-0.25	-0.12
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	3.10	4.57	30.43	30.70	-1.21	-1.76
Mercer	ASun	2.98	4.56	40.00	40.03	-0.60	-0.91
Belmont	ASun	5.21	4.54	60.87	64.82	1.13	1.35
East Tennessee St.	ASun	3.08	4.54	47.83	52.59	-0.13	0.24
Kennesaw St.	ASun	3.04	4.54	45.45	41.09	-0.28	-0.81
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	5.06	4.54	20.00	22.60	-3.04	-2.49
Lipscomb	ASun	5.20	4.53	52.38	56.98	0.25	0.63
Campbell	ASun	3.07	4.53	55.00	58.23	0.31	0.75
Savannah St.	ind	2.32	1.91	31.58	32.68	-0.85	-0.66
Florida St.	ACC	2.37	1.91	72.73	68.44	1.08	0.70
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.65	1.06	0.62
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.27	1.81	57.89	55.60	0.36	0.20
South Carolina	SEC	2.22	1.78	57.14	52.84	0.32	0.10
Central Florida	CUSA	2.23	1.75	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.14
Georgia St.	CAA	2.22	1.75	34.78	36.32	-0.68	-0.48
Buffalo	MAC	2.17	1.72	57.89	54.00	0.34	0.14
California	P10	2.17	1.72	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.60
Miami FL	ACC	0.35	0.30	68.18	62.73	0.13	0.08
Longwood	ind	0.26	0.26	23.81	29.40	-0.13	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.24	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.11
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.21	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.24	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.20	-0.15
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.18	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.17	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.09
Notre Dame	BE	0.19	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.14	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.11
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.07
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.12	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.15	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.09	0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.06
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.12	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.13	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.09
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.09	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.05	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.04	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.04	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.04	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.04	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	26.49	26.48	64.49	65.30	7.68	8.10
Belmont	ASun	5.21	4.54	60.87	64.82	1.13	1.35
Florida St.	ACC	2.37	1.91	72.73	68.44	1.08	0.70
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.87	72.73	66.65	1.06	0.62
California	P10	2.17	1.72	63.64	67.33	0.59	0.60
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.27	1.81	57.89	55.60	0.36	0.20
Buffalo	MAC	2.17	1.72	57.89	54.00	0.34	0.14
South Carolina	SEC	2.22	1.78	57.14	52.84	0.32	0.10
Campbell	ASun	3.07	4.53	55.00	58.23	0.31	0.75
Lipscomb	ASun	5.20	4.53	52.38	56.98	0.25	0.63
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.24	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.11
Miami FL	ACC	0.35	0.30	68.18	62.73	0.13	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.09	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.17	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.09
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.18	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.06
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.19	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.05
Washington	P10	0.13	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.05	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.21	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02