The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated DePaul page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

DePaul

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		180.2
Current RPI:		152
Expected SOS:		37
Current SOS:		18
Current Record:		8-15
Expected Record:		10-20
Current Conf Record:		1-10
Expected Conf Record:		3-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-2
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		140
Expected OOC SOS:		171

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-15	101.0	0.01%
14-16	115.4	0.20%
13-17	132.2	2.19%
12-18	150.7	9.85%
11-19	168.0	25.65%
10-20	183.6	33.74%
9-21	198.7	22.78%
8-22	212.6	5.57%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for DePaul.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	N	60-52	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	N	53-57	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	N	58-51	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	58-50	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	54-67	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	N	45-76	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	77-56	W	100%	0.0
12-16	American (306.9)	Pat	H	57-62	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	A	61-64	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	52-65	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	H	50-67	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Villanova (6.2)	BE	A	72-99	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Providence (98.2)	BE	H	62-79	L	0%	0.0
1-17	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	47-67	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Marquette (55.4)	BE	H	51-50	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	77-87	L	0%	0.0
1-26	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	H	46-62	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	69-80	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	57-64	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	0-0		11%	-13.6
2-16	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	H	0-0		65%	4.2
2-20	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	0-0		18%	-9.9
2-24	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	0-0		11%	-13.2
2-27	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	A	0-0		36%	-3.9
3-2	South Florida (64.9)	BE	H	0-0		33%	-4.9
3-5	St. John's (101.2)	BE	H	0-0		43%	-1.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

DePaul's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

DePaul's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against DePaul.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
DePaul	BE	26.22	26.01	28.87	28.33	-11.08	-11.27
Marquette	BE	4.73	3.83	66.67	67.24	1.58	1.32
Georgetown	BE	2.60	2.27	76.19	72.41	1.36	1.02
Villanova	BE	2.60	2.28	90.48	81.91	2.11	1.45
Syracuse	BE	2.56	2.25	95.65	91.09	2.34	1.85
Providence	BE	2.55	2.25	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.23
Connecticut	BE	2.51	2.22	59.09	55.04	0.46	0.22
St. John's	BE	2.46	3.83	52.38	47.15	0.12	-0.22
West Virginia	BE	2.46	2.22	85.71	81.58	1.75	1.40
Pittsburgh	BE	2.41	2.25	72.73	69.83	1.10	0.89
Notre Dame	BE	2.41	2.22	69.57	62.17	0.94	0.54
American	Pat	2.28	1.73	27.27	29.97	-1.04	-0.69
Detroit	Horz	2.27	1.73	59.09	60.45	0.41	0.36
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	1.78	75.00	72.24	1.14	0.79
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.27	1.72	23.81	23.41	-1.19	-0.92
Columbia	Ivy	2.27	1.72	42.11	40.58	-0.36	-0.32
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.23	1.72	68.18	67.43	0.81	0.60
Tennessee	SEC	2.23	1.75	80.95	74.82	1.38	0.87
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.22	1.69	40.91	37.84	-0.40	-0.41
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.17	1.67	35.29	40.96	-0.64	-0.30
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.17	1.67	26.09	26.31	-1.04	-0.79
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.17	1.67	95.45	91.36	1.98	1.38
Texas St.	Slnd	2.17	1.67	38.89	38.29	-0.48	-0.39
Rutgers	BE	0.43	3.83	47.83	42.42	-0.02	-0.58
Cincinnati	BE	0.38	2.25	60.87	54.40	0.08	0.20
Seton Hall	BE	0.34	2.25	57.14	56.33	0.05	0.28
South Florida	BE	0.33	2.22	65.22	62.00	0.10	0.53
Louisville	BE	0.29	2.25	65.22	61.42	0.09	0.51
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.12	0.09
Cornell	Ivy	0.25	0.20	85.71	85.57	0.18	0.14
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.20	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.25	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.09
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.24	0.16	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.20	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.17	23.81	27.31	-0.10	-0.08
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.20	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.20	0.20	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.11
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.14	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.13	0.10
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.19	0.11	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.09	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.12	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.05
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.11	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.12	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.12	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Maine	AE	0.15	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.09
Purdue	B10	0.15	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.12	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.12	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Albany	AE	0.14	0.08	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.17	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.08
Evansville	MVC	0.11	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.06	-0.07
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.17	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.19	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.15
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.08	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.14	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.14	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.06
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.00	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.00	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.08	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.00	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.00	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.08	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
DePaul	BE	26.22	26.01	28.87	28.33	-11.08	-11.27
Rutgers	BE	0.43	3.83	47.83	42.42	-0.02	-0.58
Marquette	BE	4.73	3.83	66.67	67.24	1.58	1.32
St. John's	BE	2.46	3.83	52.38	47.15	0.12	-0.22
Villanova	BE	2.60	2.28	90.48	81.91	2.11	1.45
Georgetown	BE	2.60	2.27	76.19	72.41	1.36	1.02
Syracuse	BE	2.56	2.25	95.65	91.09	2.34	1.85
Pittsburgh	BE	2.41	2.25	72.73	69.83	1.10	0.89
Cincinnati	BE	0.38	2.25	60.87	54.40	0.08	0.20
Louisville	BE	0.29	2.25	65.22	61.42	0.09	0.51
Providence	BE	2.55	2.25	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.23
Seton Hall	BE	0.34	2.25	57.14	56.33	0.05	0.28
West Virginia	BE	2.46	2.22	85.71	81.58	1.75	1.40
Notre Dame	BE	2.41	2.22	69.57	62.17	0.94	0.54
Connecticut	BE	2.51	2.22	59.09	55.04	0.46	0.22
South Florida	BE	0.33	2.22	65.22	62.00	0.10	0.53
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	1.78	75.00	72.24	1.14	0.79
Tennessee	SEC	2.23	1.75	80.95	74.82	1.38	0.87
Detroit	Horz	2.27	1.73	59.09	60.45	0.41	0.36
American	Pat	2.28	1.73	27.27	29.97	-1.04	-0.69
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.23	1.72	68.18	67.43	0.81	0.60
Columbia	Ivy	2.27	1.72	42.11	40.58	-0.36	-0.32
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.27	1.72	23.81	23.41	-1.19	-0.92
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.22	1.69	40.91	37.84	-0.40	-0.41
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.17	1.67	35.29	40.96	-0.64	-0.30
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.17	1.67	26.09	26.31	-1.04	-0.79
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.17	1.67	95.45	91.36	1.98	1.38
Texas St.	Slnd	2.17	1.67	38.89	38.29	-0.48	-0.39
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.25	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.09
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.20	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.25	0.20	85.71	85.57	0.18	0.14
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.12	0.09
Temple	A10	0.20	0.20	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.11
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.19	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.15
Brown	Ivy	0.20	0.17	23.81	27.31	-0.10	-0.08
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.17	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.17	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.06
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.24	0.16	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.13	0.10
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.14	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.14	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.14	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.12	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.12	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.11	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.06	-0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.20	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.15	0.12	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.12	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.12	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.12	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.20	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.19	0.11	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.11	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.10
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.09
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.08
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.09	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.00	0.08	41.67	42.69	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.08	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.02
Maine	AE	0.15	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.14	0.08	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.15	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.08	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01