The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Maine page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Maine

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		154.9
Current RPI:		141
Expected SOS:		266
Current SOS:		257
Current Record:		14-8
Expected Record:		17-11
Current Conf Record:		7-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		130
Expected OOC SOS:		230

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-8	115.7	1.15%
19-9	129.0	11.25%
18-10	143.9	30.63%
17-11	159.6	35.31%
16-12	175.3	17.53%
15-13	191.4	3.90%
14-14	207.7	0.22%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Maine.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Fordham (296.2)	A10	A	76-73	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	A	71-72	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	A	59-56	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	H	46-59	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	A	76-66	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	55-101	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	57-51	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	54-71	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	A	65-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	A	52-51	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	H	52-50	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	56-64	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	66-61	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-18	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	56-42	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	63-54	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	77-69	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	56-54	W	100%	0.0
1-30	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	55-56	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	61-49	W	100%	0.0
2-8	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	0-0		75%	7.3
2-10	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	0-0		26%	-7.0
2-17	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	0-0		46%	-1.0
2-21	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	0-0		80%	9.3
2-24	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	0-0		81%	9.6
2-27	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	0-0		23%	-7.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Maine's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Maine's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Maine.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Maine	AE	26.33	26.36	67.27	66.57	9.09	8.74
Vermont	AE	5.09	4.47	65.22	64.93	1.55	1.34
Binghamton	AE	4.98	4.43	42.86	41.49	-0.71	-0.75
Albany	AE	3.00	4.47	24.00	26.90	-1.56	-2.06
Stony Brook	AE	2.97	4.52	71.43	71.17	1.27	1.91
Boston University	AE	2.96	4.46	56.52	59.13	0.39	0.81
Hartford	AE	2.92	4.49	31.82	34.15	-1.06	-1.42
New Hampshire	AE	2.85	4.45	36.84	39.14	-0.75	-0.97
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.85	4.43	4.55	7.68	-2.59	-3.75
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.52	1.97	68.18	70.78	0.92	0.82
Colgate	Pat	2.48	1.97	28.57	32.23	-1.06	-0.70
Columbia	Ivy	2.48	2.04	42.11	40.58	-0.39	-0.38
Brown	Ivy	2.45	1.95	20.00	24.71	-1.47	-0.98
Syracuse	BE	2.42	1.94	95.65	91.09	2.21	1.59
Fordham	A10	2.42	1.94	10.00	9.20	-1.94	-1.58
Connecticut	BE	2.37	1.91	59.09	55.04	0.43	0.19
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.33	1.82	45.45	40.83	-0.21	-0.33
Princeton	Ivy	2.33	1.91	75.00	73.71	1.16	0.91
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.79	54.55	50.44	0.21	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.27	1.82	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.27	1.82	20.00	24.69	-1.36	-0.92
Yale	Ivy	0.52	0.43	36.36	38.12	-0.14	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.47	0.47	15.79	17.64	-0.32	-0.30
Marist	MAAC	0.41	0.34	4.17	4.73	-0.38	-0.31
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.22	16.00	21.62	-0.22	-0.13
Harvard	Ivy	0.33	0.38	73.68	75.41	0.15	0.19
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.31	0.25	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.31	0.28	85.71	85.57	0.22	0.20
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.30	0.28	39.13	41.19	-0.07	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.29	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.28	0.19	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.23	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.07
Bryant	ind	0.26	0.15	0.00	4.18	-0.26	-0.14
Rhode Island	A10	0.26	0.22	86.36	81.50	0.19	0.14
Rutgers	BE	0.26	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
American	Pat	0.26	0.25	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.25	0.22	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.25	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.24	0.18	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.22	0.19	60.87	59.16	0.05	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.26	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.12
St. John's	BE	0.21	0.18	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.20	0.16	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.18	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.09	0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.15	22.22	27.56	-0.11	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.18	0.17	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.17	0.17	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.07
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.17	0.20	11.11	20.93	-0.13	-0.11
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.16	0.19	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
James Madison	CAA	0.16	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.16	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	81.82	72.57	0.10	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.15	0.12	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.31	16.67	19.94	-0.10	-0.19
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.12	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.19	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.10
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.12	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.11	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.10	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
California	P10	0.11	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.10	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.09	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.04	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.04	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Maine	AE	26.33	26.36	67.27	66.57	9.09	8.74
Stony Brook	AE	2.97	4.52	71.43	71.17	1.27	1.91
Hartford	AE	2.92	4.49	31.82	34.15	-1.06	-1.42
Vermont	AE	5.09	4.47	65.22	64.93	1.55	1.34
Albany	AE	3.00	4.47	24.00	26.90	-1.56	-2.06
Boston University	AE	2.96	4.46	56.52	59.13	0.39	0.81
New Hampshire	AE	2.85	4.45	36.84	39.14	-0.75	-0.97
Binghamton	AE	4.98	4.43	42.86	41.49	-0.71	-0.75
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.85	4.43	4.55	7.68	-2.59	-3.75
Columbia	Ivy	2.48	2.04	42.11	40.58	-0.39	-0.38
Colgate	Pat	2.48	1.97	28.57	32.23	-1.06	-0.70
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.52	1.97	68.18	70.78	0.92	0.82
Brown	Ivy	2.45	1.95	20.00	24.71	-1.47	-0.98
Fordham	A10	2.42	1.94	10.00	9.20	-1.94	-1.58
Syracuse	BE	2.42	1.94	95.65	91.09	2.21	1.59
Princeton	Ivy	2.33	1.91	75.00	73.71	1.16	0.91
Connecticut	BE	2.37	1.91	59.09	55.04	0.43	0.19
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.27	1.82	20.00	24.69	-1.36	-0.92
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.33	1.82	45.45	40.83	-0.21	-0.33
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.27	1.82	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.79	54.55	50.44	0.21	0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.47	0.47	15.79	17.64	-0.32	-0.30
Yale	Ivy	0.52	0.43	36.36	38.12	-0.14	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.33	0.38	73.68	75.41	0.15	0.19
Marist	MAAC	0.41	0.34	4.17	4.73	-0.38	-0.31
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.31	16.67	19.94	-0.10	-0.19
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.30	0.28	39.13	41.19	-0.07	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.31	0.28	85.71	85.57	0.22	0.20
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.26	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.12
American	Pat	0.26	0.25	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.09
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.31	0.25	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.23	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.22	16.00	21.62	-0.22	-0.13
Rhode Island	A10	0.26	0.22	86.36	81.50	0.19	0.14
Bucknell	Pat	0.25	0.22	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.29	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.17	0.20	11.11	20.93	-0.13	-0.11
Army	Pat	0.28	0.19	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.22	0.19	60.87	59.16	0.05	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.16	0.19	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.19	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.25	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.18	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.21	0.18	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.24	0.18	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.26	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.09	0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.17	0.17	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.18	0.17	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.16	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.07
La Salle	A10	0.20	0.16	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.26	0.15	0.00	4.18	-0.26	-0.14
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	81.82	72.57	0.10	0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.15	22.22	27.56	-0.11	-0.07
James Madison	CAA	0.16	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.15	0.12	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.12	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.10
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.12	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.11	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.10	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.10	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.09	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.11	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.04	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.04	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Maine	AE	26.33	26.36	67.27	66.57	9.09	8.74
Syracuse	BE	2.42	1.94	95.65	91.09	2.21	1.59
Vermont	AE	5.09	4.47	65.22	64.93	1.55	1.34
Stony Brook	AE	2.97	4.52	71.43	71.17	1.27	1.91
Princeton	Ivy	2.33	1.91	75.00	73.71	1.16	0.91
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.52	1.97	68.18	70.78	0.92	0.82
Connecticut	BE	2.37	1.91	59.09	55.04	0.43	0.19
Boston University	AE	2.96	4.46	56.52	59.13	0.39	0.81
Cornell	Ivy	0.31	0.28	85.71	85.57	0.22	0.20
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.79	54.55	50.44	0.21	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.26	0.22	86.36	81.50	0.19	0.14
Harvard	Ivy	0.33	0.38	73.68	75.41	0.15	0.19
Pittsburgh	BE	0.25	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	81.82	72.57	0.10	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.26	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.12
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.09	0.07
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.23	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.07	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.22	0.19	60.87	59.16	0.05	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.10	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Army	Pat	0.28	0.19	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
California	P10	0.11	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.04	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.04	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.09	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.12	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.21	0.18	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.16	0.19	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.29	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.12	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.12	0.10	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.15	0.12	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.04	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.27	1.82	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.09	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.19	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee