The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Dayton page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Dayton

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		53.0
Current RPI:		53
Expected SOS:		33
Current SOS:		33
Current Record:		20-12
Expected Record:		20-12
Current Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		12-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		11-3
Expected OOC Record:		11-3
Expected OOC RPI:		15
Expected OOC SOS:		21

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
20-12		53.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Dayton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Creighton (115.0)	MVC	H	90-80	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	N	63-59	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Villanova (14.0)	BE	N	65-71	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Kansas St. (6.0)	B12	N	75-83	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Towson (264.0)	CAA	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	A	65-58	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	89-71	W	100%	0.0
12-8	George Mason (158.0)	CAA	A	56-55	W	100%	0.0
12-11	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	H	58-50	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	H	71-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	H	65-49	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Boston University (140.0)	AE	H	74-60	W	100%	0.0
1-1	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	H	59-35	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	H	78-72	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Fordham (306.0)	A10	A	74-58	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Xavier (19.0)	A10	A	74-78	L	0%	0.0
1-20	George Washington (148.0)	A10	H	66-51	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Saint Joseph's (180.0)	A10	A	59-60	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Rhode Island (39.0)	A10	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	St. Bonaventure (155.0)	A10	A	75-58	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Xavier (19.0)	A10	H	90-65	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	H	75-47	W	100%	0.0
2-13	St. Louis (86.0)	A10	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
2-18	La Salle (175.0)	A10	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Temple (9.0)	A10	A	41-49	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	H	96-68	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Richmond (25.0)	A10	A	56-60	L	0%	0.0
3-6	St. Louis (86.0)	A10	H	66-71	L	0%	0.0
3-9	George Washington (148.0)	A10	H	70-60	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Xavier (19.0)	A10	N	73-78	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Dayton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Dayton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Dayton.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Dayton	A10	26.11	26.11	60.94	60.94	5.71	5.71
Xavier	A10	5.22	5.22	75.86	75.86	2.70	2.70
George Washington	A10	3.68	3.68	57.14	57.14	0.53	0.53
Duquesne	A10	3.66	3.66	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	3.63	3.63	60.71	60.71	0.78	0.78
Richmond	A10	2.29	2.29	75.76	75.76	1.18	1.18
Temple	A10	2.22	2.22	84.85	84.85	1.55	1.55
Charlotte	A10	2.21	2.21	63.33	63.33	0.59	0.59
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.17	2.17	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	2.17	70.97	70.97	0.91	0.91
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.17	2.17	33.33	33.33	-0.72	-0.72
Fordham	A10	2.14	2.14	7.41	7.41	-1.82	-1.82
La Salle	A10	2.12	2.12	41.38	41.38	-0.37	-0.37
Massachusetts	A10	2.12	2.12	36.67	36.67	-0.56	-0.56
Old Dominion	CAA	1.79	1.79	78.79	78.79	1.03	1.03
George Mason	CAA	1.76	1.76	56.67	56.67	0.23	0.23
Towson	CAA	1.76	1.76	33.33	33.33	-0.59	-0.59
Miami OH	MAC	1.73	1.73	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Villanova	BE	1.69	1.69	76.67	76.67	0.90	0.90
Creighton	MVC	1.68	1.68	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Boston University	AE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Kansas St.	B12	1.66	1.66	77.42	77.42	0.91	0.91
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.64	1.64	65.62	65.62	0.51	0.51
New Mexico	MWC	1.61	1.61	87.50	87.50	1.21	1.21
Lehigh	Pat	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Ball St.	MAC	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	1.56	1.56	66.67	66.67	0.52	0.52
Presbyterian	BSth	1.56	1.56	13.79	13.79	-1.13	-1.13
Bowling Green	MAC	0.28	0.28	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.25	0.25	29.03	29.03	-0.10	-0.10
Delaware	CAA	0.22	0.22	22.58	22.58	-0.12	-0.12
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Marquette	BE	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.17	39.39	39.39	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.15	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.08	0.08	19.23	19.23	-0.05	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Dayton	A10	26.11	26.11	60.94	60.94	5.71	5.71
Xavier	A10	5.22	5.22	75.86	75.86	2.70	2.70
George Washington	A10	3.68	3.68	57.14	57.14	0.53	0.53
Duquesne	A10	3.66	3.66	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	3.63	3.63	60.71	60.71	0.78	0.78
Richmond	A10	2.29	2.29	75.76	75.76	1.18	1.18
Temple	A10	2.22	2.22	84.85	84.85	1.55	1.55
Charlotte	A10	2.21	2.21	63.33	63.33	0.59	0.59
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.17	2.17	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	2.17	70.97	70.97	0.91	0.91
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.17	2.17	33.33	33.33	-0.72	-0.72
Fordham	A10	2.14	2.14	7.41	7.41	-1.82	-1.82
La Salle	A10	2.12	2.12	41.38	41.38	-0.37	-0.37
Massachusetts	A10	2.12	2.12	36.67	36.67	-0.56	-0.56
Old Dominion	CAA	1.79	1.79	78.79	78.79	1.03	1.03
George Mason	CAA	1.76	1.76	56.67	56.67	0.23	0.23
Towson	CAA	1.76	1.76	33.33	33.33	-0.59	-0.59
Miami OH	MAC	1.73	1.73	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Villanova	BE	1.69	1.69	76.67	76.67	0.90	0.90
Creighton	MVC	1.68	1.68	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Boston University	AE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Kansas St.	B12	1.66	1.66	77.42	77.42	0.91	0.91
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.64	1.64	65.62	65.62	0.51	0.51
New Mexico	MWC	1.61	1.61	87.50	87.50	1.21	1.21
Lehigh	Pat	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Ball St.	MAC	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	1.56	1.56	66.67	66.67	0.52	0.52
Presbyterian	BSth	1.56	1.56	13.79	13.79	-1.13	-1.13
Bowling Green	MAC	0.28	0.28	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.25	0.25	29.03	29.03	-0.10	-0.10
Delaware	CAA	0.22	0.22	22.58	22.58	-0.12	-0.12
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Marquette	BE	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.17	39.39	39.39	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.15	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.08	0.08	19.23	19.23	-0.05	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02