The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Davidson page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Davidson

Conference:		SC
Expected RPI:		159.4
Current RPI:		167
Expected SOS:		145
Current SOS:		118
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		14-14
Current Conf Record:		7-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-2
Current OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC RPI:		224
Expected OOC SOS:		36

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	111.9	2.14%
16-12	128.3	11.58%
15-13	146.3	27.97%
14-14	163.8	31.73%
13-15	180.2	19.58%
12-16	197.2	6.02%
11-17	214.2	0.94%
10-18	230.0	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Davidson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Butler (17.3)	Horz	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
11-19	South Florida (65.1)	BE	N	58-65	L	0%	0.0
11-20	La Salle (135.8)	A10	N	70-84	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Penn St. (210.9)	B10	N	57-59	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	65-75	L	0%	0.0
12-3	The Citadel (194.9)	SC	A	74-63	W	100%	0.0
12-5	College of Charleston (103.4)	SC	A	55-67	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Gonzaga (36.1)	WCC	N	91-103	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Cornell (51.6)	Ivy	N	88-91	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Hofstra (173.8)	CAA	N	61-52	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Pennsylvania (296.5)	Ivy	H	79-50	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Massachusetts (194.1)	A10	H	63-61	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Samford (256.7)	SC	H	66-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Appalachian St. (129.6)	SC	H	68-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Furman (266.2)	SC	A	86-81	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wofford (98.8)	SC	A	62-68	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	H	67-77	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Georgia Southern (297.4)	SC	A	91-87	W	100%	0.0
1-28	College of Charleston (103.4)	SC	H	86-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	The Citadel (194.9)	SC	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Georgia Southern (297.4)	SC	H	84-74	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Appalachian St. (129.6)	SC	A	0-0		35%	-4.3
2-13	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	A	0-0		36%	-4.0
2-17	Wofford (98.8)	SC	H	0-0		50%	0.1
2-20	Furman (266.2)	SC	H	0-0		85%	11.2
2-22	Chattanooga (220.0)	SC	A	0-0		60%	2.6
2-24	NC Greensboro (267.0)	SC	H	0-0		87%	12.1
2-27	Elon (273.3)	SC	A	0-0		71%	6.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Davidson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Davidson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Davidson.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Davidson	SC	26.42	26.31	44.44	49.35	-2.94	-0.34
College of Charleston	SC	5.45	4.39	65.22	63.64	1.66	1.20
The Citadel	SC	5.44	4.38	52.38	52.70	0.26	0.24
Georgia Southern	SC	5.43	4.45	19.05	21.50	-3.36	-2.54
Western Carolina	SC	2.96	4.32	66.67	65.21	0.99	1.31
Samford	SC	2.95	2.66	30.00	32.30	-1.18	-0.94
Furman	SC	2.90	4.37	45.00	43.73	-0.29	-0.55
Appalachian St.	SC	2.86	4.32	55.00	59.75	0.29	0.84
Wofford	SC	2.85	4.39	65.22	67.48	0.87	1.53
La Salle	A10	2.61	1.94	45.45	44.55	-0.24	-0.21
Massachusetts	A10	2.54	1.94	33.33	32.77	-0.85	-0.67
Cornell	Ivy	2.49	1.91	85.00	85.07	1.74	1.34
Rhode Island	A10	2.49	1.88	85.71	80.87	1.78	1.16
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.48	1.91	17.65	20.66	-1.61	-1.12
Penn St.	B10	2.45	1.82	31.82	29.87	-0.89	-0.73
Butler	Horz	2.38	1.79	83.33	83.50	1.59	1.20
Gonzaga	WCC	2.38	1.79	80.95	83.02	1.47	1.18
Hofstra	CAA	2.38	1.82	47.83	49.44	-0.10	-0.02
South Florida	BE	2.38	1.79	63.64	60.78	0.65	0.39
Chattanooga	SC	0.66	2.66	47.83	46.35	-0.03	-0.19
NC Greensboro	SC	0.59	2.67	20.83	23.95	-0.34	-1.39
Elon	SC	0.54	2.70	22.73	26.06	-0.29	-1.29
South Carolina	SEC	0.31	0.25	59.09	54.44	0.06	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.30	0.21	80.95	82.07	0.19	0.14
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.60	0.16	0.12
Michigan St.	B10	0.26	0.24	79.17	76.61	0.15	0.13
Clemson	ACC	0.25	0.25	69.57	66.83	0.10	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.23	0.18	39.13	36.58	-0.05	-0.05
Drexel	CAA	0.23	0.15	56.00	55.95	0.03	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.21	0.21	29.17	31.02	-0.09	-0.08
Xavier	A10	0.21	0.12	69.57	71.44	0.08	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.21	0.15	66.67	59.01	0.07	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.20	0.12	40.00	40.10	-0.04	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.18	0.19	15.79	17.63	-0.12	-0.12
Brown	Ivy	0.18	0.16	23.81	27.30	-0.09	-0.07
Yale	Ivy	0.17	0.19	36.36	38.12	-0.05	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	65.22	62.02	0.05	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.16	0.09	57.14	57.50	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.19	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.10	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.10	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.13	-0.10
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.14	0.08
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.08
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.16	0.15	78.26	71.74	0.09	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.09	82.61	79.46	0.10	0.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.13	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.12	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.04	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.12	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.13	73.68	75.41	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.09	82.61	82.34	0.08	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.12	0.06	60.87	59.15	0.03	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.10	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.09	91.30	85.32	0.10	0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.09	29.17	29.51	-0.05	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.12	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.11	0.13	40.00	39.17	-0.02	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.13	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.16	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.11	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.09	64.00	63.77	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.10	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.16	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.09	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.09	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.12	20.00	23.49	-0.06	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.12	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Providence	BE	0.11	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.15	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.42	-0.04	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.06	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.09	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.12	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.04	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.07	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.21	-0.06	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.03	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.05	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.03	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.09	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.00	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.16	70.59	70.97	0.00	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	84.00	81.56	0.00	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Davidson	SC	26.42	26.31	44.44	49.35	-2.94	-0.34
Georgia Southern	SC	5.43	4.45	19.05	21.50	-3.36	-2.54
College of Charleston	SC	5.45	4.39	65.22	63.64	1.66	1.20
Wofford	SC	2.85	4.39	65.22	67.48	0.87	1.53
The Citadel	SC	5.44	4.38	52.38	52.70	0.26	0.24
Furman	SC	2.90	4.37	45.00	43.73	-0.29	-0.55
Appalachian St.	SC	2.86	4.32	55.00	59.75	0.29	0.84
Western Carolina	SC	2.96	4.32	66.67	65.21	0.99	1.31
Elon	SC	0.54	2.70	22.73	26.06	-0.29	-1.29
NC Greensboro	SC	0.59	2.67	20.83	23.95	-0.34	-1.39
Chattanooga	SC	0.66	2.66	47.83	46.35	-0.03	-0.19
Samford	SC	2.95	2.66	30.00	32.30	-1.18	-0.94
La Salle	A10	2.61	1.94	45.45	44.55	-0.24	-0.21
Massachusetts	A10	2.54	1.94	33.33	32.77	-0.85	-0.67
Cornell	Ivy	2.49	1.91	85.00	85.07	1.74	1.34
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.48	1.91	17.65	20.66	-1.61	-1.12
Rhode Island	A10	2.49	1.88	85.71	80.87	1.78	1.16
Penn St.	B10	2.45	1.82	31.82	29.87	-0.89	-0.73
Hofstra	CAA	2.38	1.82	47.83	49.44	-0.10	-0.02
Butler	Horz	2.38	1.79	83.33	83.50	1.59	1.20
Gonzaga	WCC	2.38	1.79	80.95	83.02	1.47	1.18
South Florida	BE	2.38	1.79	63.64	60.78	0.65	0.39
Clemson	ACC	0.25	0.25	69.57	66.83	0.10	0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.31	0.25	59.09	54.44	0.06	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.26	0.24	79.17	76.61	0.15	0.13
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.21	0.21	29.17	31.02	-0.09	-0.08
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.60	0.16	0.12
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.30	0.21	80.95	82.07	0.19	0.14
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.18	0.19	15.79	17.63	-0.12	-0.12
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.19	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.08
Yale	Ivy	0.17	0.19	36.36	38.12	-0.05	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.23	0.18	39.13	36.58	-0.05	-0.05
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	65.22	62.02	0.05	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.18	0.16	23.81	27.30	-0.09	-0.07
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.16	70.59	70.97	0.00	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.16	72.73	71.93	0.05	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.16	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.23	0.15	56.00	55.95	0.03	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.15	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.16	0.15	78.26	71.74	0.09	0.07
Illinois	B10	0.21	0.15	66.67	59.01	0.07	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.13	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.13	55.56	56.61	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.11	0.13	40.00	39.17	-0.02	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.13	73.68	75.41	0.06	0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.12	20.00	23.49	-0.06	-0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.20	0.12	40.00	40.10	-0.04	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.12	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.12	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.13	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.12	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.12	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.21	0.12	69.57	71.44	0.08	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.12	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.10	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.10	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.09	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.09	64.00	63.77	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.09	82.61	79.46	0.10	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.09	82.61	82.34	0.08	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.09	29.17	29.51	-0.05	-0.04
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.09	91.30	85.32	0.10	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.42	-0.04	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.16	0.09	57.14	57.50	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.09	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.14	0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.11	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.09	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.04	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.05	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.09	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.07	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.12	0.06	60.87	59.15	0.03	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.10	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.04
Troy	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.11	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.10	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.06	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.07	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.21	-0.06	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.00	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.00	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.05	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.03	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.00	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	84.00	81.56	0.00	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Rhode Island	A10	2.49	1.88	85.71	80.87	1.78	1.16
Cornell	Ivy	2.49	1.91	85.00	85.07	1.74	1.34
College of Charleston	SC	5.45	4.39	65.22	63.64	1.66	1.20
Butler	Horz	2.38	1.79	83.33	83.50	1.59	1.20
Gonzaga	WCC	2.38	1.79	80.95	83.02	1.47	1.18
Western Carolina	SC	2.96	4.32	66.67	65.21	0.99	1.31
Wofford	SC	2.85	4.39	65.22	67.48	0.87	1.53
South Florida	BE	2.38	1.79	63.64	60.78	0.65	0.39
Appalachian St.	SC	2.86	4.32	55.00	59.75	0.29	0.84
The Citadel	SC	5.44	4.38	52.38	52.70	0.26	0.24
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.30	0.21	80.95	82.07	0.19	0.14
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.60	0.16	0.12
Michigan St.	B10	0.26	0.24	79.17	76.61	0.15	0.13
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.14	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.09	82.61	79.46	0.10	0.06
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.10	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.25	0.25	69.57	66.83	0.10	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.09	91.30	85.32	0.10	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.16	0.15	78.26	71.74	0.09	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.21	0.12	69.57	71.44	0.08	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.09	82.61	82.34	0.08	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.10	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.21	0.15	66.67	59.01	0.07	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.13	73.68	75.41	0.06	0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.31	0.25	59.09	54.44	0.06	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.06	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.15	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.09	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.04