The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Davidson page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Davidson

Conference:		SC
Expected RPI:		180.4
Current RPI:		182
Expected SOS:		149
Current SOS:		147
Current Record:		14-15
Expected Record:		14-15
Current Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-2
Current OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC RPI:		217
Expected OOC SOS:		32

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-15		180.4		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Davidson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Butler (15.7)	Horz	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
11-19	South Florida (67.2)	BE	N	58-65	L	0%	0.0
11-20	La Salle (171.3)	A10	N	70-84	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Penn St. (192.7)	B10	N	57-59	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Rhode Island (43.5)	A10	H	65-75	L	0%	0.0
12-3	The Citadel (200.1)	SC	A	74-63	W	100%	0.0
12-5	College of Charleston (92.6)	SC	A	55-67	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Gonzaga (36.9)	WCC	N	91-103	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Cornell (47.0)	Ivy	N	88-91	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Hofstra (144.3)	CAA	N	61-52	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Pennsylvania (299.1)	Ivy	H	79-50	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Massachusetts (186.9)	A10	H	63-61	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Samford (262.0)	SC	H	66-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Appalachian St. (98.9)	SC	H	68-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Furman (279.3)	SC	A	86-81	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wofford (68.5)	SC	A	62-68	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Western Carolina (118.5)	SC	H	67-77	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	A	91-87	W	100%	0.0
1-28	College of Charleston (92.6)	SC	H	86-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	The Citadel (200.1)	SC	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	H	84-74	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Appalachian St. (98.9)	SC	A	56-66	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Western Carolina (118.5)	SC	A	75-72	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Wofford (68.5)	SC	H	51-73	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Furman (279.3)	SC	H	61-58	W	100%	0.0
2-22	Chattanooga (238.5)	SC	A	73-78	L	0%	0.0
2-24	NC Greensboro (246.5)	SC	H	60-56	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Elon (271.7)	SC	A	99-96	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Elon (271.7)	SC	N	59-66	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Davidson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Davidson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Davidson.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Davidson	SC	26.28	26.27	46.72	46.72	-1.73	-1.73
Wofford	SC	4.39	4.39	74.19	74.19	2.12	2.12
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
Elon	SC	4.33	4.33	24.14	24.14	-2.24	-2.24
College of Charleston	SC	4.30	4.30	66.67	66.67	1.43	1.43
The Citadel	SC	4.30	4.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	4.29	4.29	25.00	25.00	-2.15	-2.15
Western Carolina	SC	4.29	4.29	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Furman	SC	4.26	4.26	42.31	42.31	-0.65	-0.65
NC Greensboro	SC	2.69	2.69	26.67	26.67	-1.25	-1.25
Chattanooga	SC	2.68	2.68	40.00	40.00	-0.54	-0.54
Samford	SC	2.62	2.62	29.63	29.63	-1.07	-1.07
La Salle	A10	1.87	1.87	37.93	37.93	-0.45	-0.45
Massachusetts	A10	1.87	1.87	35.71	34.96	-0.53	-0.56
Cornell	Ivy	1.85	1.84	85.71	85.71	1.32	1.32
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.84	1.84	23.08	22.36	-0.99	-1.02
Rhode Island	A10	1.81	1.81	71.43	72.15	0.78	0.80
Hofstra	CAA	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Penn St.	B10	1.76	1.75	34.48	34.03	-0.54	-0.56
Butler	Horz	1.72	1.72	86.67	86.44	1.26	1.26
Gonzaga	WCC	1.72	1.72	80.00	80.00	1.03	1.03
South Florida	BE	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.63	0.42	0.44
South Carolina	SEC	0.23	0.23	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.28	0.09	0.09
Michigan St.	B10	0.22	0.22	77.42	77.42	0.12	0.12
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.22	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.22	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
Temple	A10	0.21	0.20	83.87	83.87	0.14	0.14
Yale	Ivy	0.21	0.20	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.18	0.18	14.81	14.81	-0.13	-0.13
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.20	36.67	35.73	-0.05	-0.06
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.17	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.17	0.20	63.33	64.07	0.05	0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.03	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.15	0.14	51.72	51.15	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	63.33	64.12	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.14	19.23	19.23	-0.09	-0.09
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.14	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.14	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	58.06	56.88	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.15	69.23	70.23	0.05	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.12	0.11	7.14	7.14	-0.10	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.11	55.17	53.74	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.11	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.11	67.86	67.53	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.41	72.41	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.11	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	40.00	39.90	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	53.33	54.26	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.11	60.00	60.61	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.76	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	76.67	76.76	0.05	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	42.86	43.51	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.59	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	65.38	65.38	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.11	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.99	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	44.09	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.53	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	44.83	45.99	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.33	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.33	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.05	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.24	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.08	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	44.83	45.21	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.03	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	20.00	19.80	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.00	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.40	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.06	26.67	26.49	-0.01	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.89	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.80	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.76	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Davidson	SC	26.28	26.27	46.72	46.72	-1.73	-1.73
Wofford	SC	4.39	4.39	74.19	74.19	2.12	2.12
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
Elon	SC	4.33	4.33	24.14	24.14	-2.24	-2.24
College of Charleston	SC	4.30	4.30	66.67	66.67	1.43	1.43
The Citadel	SC	4.30	4.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	4.29	4.29	25.00	25.00	-2.15	-2.15
Western Carolina	SC	4.29	4.29	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Furman	SC	4.26	4.26	42.31	42.31	-0.65	-0.65
NC Greensboro	SC	2.69	2.69	26.67	26.67	-1.25	-1.25
Chattanooga	SC	2.68	2.68	40.00	40.00	-0.54	-0.54
Samford	SC	2.62	2.62	29.63	29.63	-1.07	-1.07
La Salle	A10	1.87	1.87	37.93	37.93	-0.45	-0.45
Massachusetts	A10	1.87	1.87	35.71	34.96	-0.53	-0.56
Cornell	Ivy	1.85	1.84	85.71	85.71	1.32	1.32
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.84	1.84	23.08	22.36	-0.99	-1.02
Rhode Island	A10	1.81	1.81	71.43	72.15	0.78	0.80
Hofstra	CAA	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Penn St.	B10	1.76	1.75	34.48	34.03	-0.54	-0.56
Butler	Horz	1.72	1.72	86.67	86.44	1.26	1.26
Gonzaga	WCC	1.72	1.72	80.00	80.00	1.03	1.03
South Florida	BE	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.63	0.42	0.44
South Carolina	SEC	0.23	0.23	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.28	0.09	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.22	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
Michigan St.	B10	0.22	0.22	77.42	77.42	0.12	0.12
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.22	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.20	36.67	35.73	-0.05	-0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.21	0.20	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.21	0.20	83.87	83.87	0.14	0.14
Charlotte	A10	0.17	0.20	63.33	64.07	0.05	0.06
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.18	0.18	14.81	14.81	-0.13	-0.13
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.17	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.03	0.08	0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.15	69.23	70.23	0.05	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.15	0.14	51.72	51.15	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	63.33	64.12	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.14	19.23	19.23	-0.09	-0.09
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.14	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.14	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	58.06	56.88	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.12	0.11	7.14	7.14	-0.10	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.11	55.17	53.74	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.11	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.11	67.86	67.53	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.11	60.00	60.61	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.41	72.41	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.11	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	40.00	39.90	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	53.33	54.26	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	76.67	76.76	0.05	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.76	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	42.86	43.51	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.08	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	24.14	23.59	-0.03	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	65.38	65.38	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.99	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.53	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.11	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.33	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	44.09	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.33	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.06	26.67	26.49	-0.01	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	44.83	45.99	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.24	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.05	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	44.83	45.21	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.03	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.00	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.40	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	20.00	19.80	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.89	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.80	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.76	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wofford	SC	4.39	4.39	74.19	74.19	2.12	2.12
College of Charleston	SC	4.30	4.30	66.67	66.67	1.43	1.43
Cornell	Ivy	1.85	1.84	85.71	85.71	1.32	1.32
Butler	Horz	1.72	1.72	86.67	86.44	1.26	1.26
Western Carolina	SC	4.29	4.29	64.29	64.29	1.23	1.23
Appalachian St.	SC	4.35	4.35	62.07	62.07	1.05	1.05
Gonzaga	WCC	1.72	1.72	80.00	80.00	1.03	1.03
Rhode Island	A10	1.81	1.81	71.43	72.15	0.78	0.80
South Florida	BE	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.63	0.42	0.44
Hofstra	CAA	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Temple	A10	0.21	0.20	83.87	83.87	0.14	0.14
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.22	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
Michigan St.	B10	0.22	0.22	77.42	77.42	0.12	0.12
Clemson	ACC	0.23	0.23	70.00	70.28	0.09	0.09
Kent St.	MAC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.03	0.08	0.08
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.14	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	83.87	83.87	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.15	69.23	70.23	0.05	0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.17	0.20	63.33	64.07	0.05	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	76.67	76.76	0.05	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.14	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.11	67.86	67.53	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	72.41	72.41	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	63.33	64.12	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03