The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Providence page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Providence

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		97.7
Current RPI:		102
Expected SOS:		23
Current SOS:		62
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		14-16
Current Conf Record:		4-7
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		101
Expected OOC SOS:		167

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-11	48.0	0.02%
18-12	55.4	0.14%
17-13	64.7	1.73%
16-14	75.0	8.12%
15-15	85.2	21.16%
14-16	96.7	33.55%
13-17	109.7	27.06%
12-18	124.5	8.21%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Providence.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Bryant (344.6)	ind	H	96-53	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Bucknell (275.4)	Pat	H	76-65	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Mercer (226.8)	ASun	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Alabama (105.9)	SEC	A	75-84	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Vermont (145.2)	AE	H	106-64	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Boston College (106.3)	ACC	H	77-82	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Northeastern (48.5)	CAA	A	76-72	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	A	82-86	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Brown (265.6)	Ivy	H	78-62	W	100%	0.0
12-9	George Washington (137.0)	A10	A	110-97	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Iona (80.5)	MAAC	H	73-82	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Yale (254.6)	Ivy	H	87-78	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	78-93	L	0%	0.0
1-3	St. John's (100.3)	BE	A	74-59	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Louisville (36.8)	BE	H	70-92	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Rutgers (162.0)	BE	H	94-81	W	100%	0.0
1-14	DePaul (180.7)	BE	A	79-62	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Marquette (53.4)	BE	A	63-93	L	0%	0.0
1-23	South Florida (65.1)	BE	H	105-109	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Connecticut (54.0)	BE	H	81-66	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Cincinnati (61.6)	BE	A	88-92	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	68-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Marquette (53.4)	BE	H	79-82	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Georgetown (8.5)	BE	H	0-0		35%	-4.1
2-13	Villanova (4.7)	BE	A	0-0		10%	-13.7
2-17	West Virginia (5.3)	BE	H	0-0		26%	-7.1
2-23	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	H	0-0		21%	-8.9
2-27	South Florida (65.1)	BE	A	0-0		30%	-5.7
3-4	Pittsburgh (26.3)	BE	A	0-0		20%	-9.1
3-6	Seton Hall (72.8)	BE	H	0-0		56%	1.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Providence's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Providence's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Providence.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Providence	BE	26.18	26.00	49.52	43.47	-0.25	-3.40
Marquette	BE	4.58	3.83	61.90	63.72	1.09	1.05
Notre Dame	BE	2.60	2.27	69.57	62.14	1.02	0.55
Rutgers	BE	2.59	2.25	50.00	44.36	0.00	-0.25
DePaul	BE	2.55	2.25	36.36	35.07	-0.70	-0.67
Connecticut	BE	2.55	2.24	63.64	58.40	0.70	0.38
Cincinnati	BE	2.55	2.24	59.09	53.94	0.46	0.18
St. John's	BE	2.51	2.27	57.14	50.93	0.36	0.04
Syracuse	BE	2.50	3.83	95.65	91.44	2.29	3.18
Bryant	ind	2.47	1.84	0.00	4.35	-2.47	-1.68
South Florida	BE	2.45	3.83	63.64	60.46	0.67	0.80
Brown	Ivy	2.42	1.81	25.00	28.27	-1.21	-0.78
Louisville	BE	2.41	2.24	63.64	60.75	0.66	0.48
Rhode Island	A10	2.37	1.78	85.71	80.87	1.69	1.10
Yale	Ivy	2.37	1.78	38.10	39.44	-0.56	-0.38
Bucknell	Pat	2.31	1.75	39.13	40.59	-0.50	-0.33
Mercer	ASun	2.31	1.75	47.62	44.94	-0.11	-0.18
Vermont	AE	2.27	1.72	70.83	69.39	0.95	0.67
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.72	50.00	47.04	0.00	-0.10
Alabama	SEC	2.22	1.70	54.55	52.56	0.20	0.09
George Washington	A10	2.22	1.70	57.14	56.99	0.32	0.24
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.70	69.57	70.50	0.87	0.70
Iona	MAAC	2.22	1.69	70.83	69.69	0.93	0.67
Villanova	BE	0.43	2.25	91.30	85.17	0.35	1.58
West Virginia	BE	0.42	2.22	82.61	79.64	0.28	1.32
Georgetown	BE	0.38	2.24	77.27	73.76	0.21	1.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.38	0.33	85.71	85.58	0.27	0.24
Pittsburgh	BE	0.33	2.22	75.00	70.65	0.17	0.92
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.28	0.17	69.57	71.85	0.11	0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.28	0.25	40.00	39.17	-0.06	-0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.28	0.20	73.91	69.55	0.13	0.08
Maine	AE	0.28	0.19	65.22	63.02	0.08	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.27	0.19	54.17	57.60	0.02	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.24	0.14	69.57	71.44	0.09	0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.24	0.17	43.48	45.29	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.24	0.14	45.45	44.04	-0.02	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.23	0.19	27.27	31.07	-0.11	-0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.23	2.22	57.14	57.97	0.03	0.35
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.14	84.00	81.56	0.16	0.09
Drexel	CAA	0.23	0.17	56.00	55.95	0.03	0.02
Albany	AE	0.23	0.16	23.08	25.74	-0.12	-0.08
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.14	4.17	4.75	-0.20	-0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.17	70.59	70.97	0.08	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.20	0.14	26.09	31.04	-0.09	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.17	78.26	71.74	0.11	0.07
Army	Pat	0.19	0.14	57.14	59.01	0.03	0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.19	0.11	52.17	53.91	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.14	45.83	47.79	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.19	0.14	82.61	82.34	0.12	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.11	76.19	73.21	0.10	0.05
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.17	43.48	43.79	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.19	0.25	73.68	75.41	0.09	0.13
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.14	22.22	27.54	-0.10	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.18	0.14	29.17	29.51	-0.07	-0.06
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.09	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.09	14.29	15.66	-0.10	-0.06
American	Pat	0.14	0.14	30.43	32.38	-0.06	-0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	42.60	-0.03	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.06
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.14	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.14	0.11	68.18	68.74	0.05	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.11	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.08	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.11	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	41.52	-0.03	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.08	8.70	10.07	-0.11	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.11	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.14	0.08	8.33	10.42	-0.11	-0.07
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.14	0.20	15.79	17.63	-0.09	-0.13
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.13	0.11	32.00	31.25	-0.05	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.14	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.14	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.08
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.11	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.93	0.04	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.11	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.14	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.12
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.06	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.10	0.20	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.11
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.08	16.00	21.66	-0.07	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.09	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.08	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.11	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.08	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.06	27.78	26.81	-0.04	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.07	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.11	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.11	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.03
Hartford	AE	0.09	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.11	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.11	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.11	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.08	30.43	30.24	-0.04	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.11	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.11	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.11	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.43	0.01	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.11	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.03	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.30	-0.01	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.11	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.04	0.08	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.02	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.00	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.00	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.44	-0.00	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.00	0.01
Washington	P10	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Providence	BE	26.18	26.00	49.52	43.47	-0.25	-3.40
Syracuse	BE	2.50	3.83	95.65	91.44	2.29	3.18
Marquette	BE	4.58	3.83	61.90	63.72	1.09	1.05
South Florida	BE	2.45	3.83	63.64	60.46	0.67	0.80
Notre Dame	BE	2.60	2.27	69.57	62.14	1.02	0.55
St. John's	BE	2.51	2.27	57.14	50.93	0.36	0.04
Rutgers	BE	2.59	2.25	50.00	44.36	0.00	-0.25
Villanova	BE	0.43	2.25	91.30	85.17	0.35	1.58
DePaul	BE	2.55	2.25	36.36	35.07	-0.70	-0.67
Cincinnati	BE	2.55	2.24	59.09	53.94	0.46	0.18
Connecticut	BE	2.55	2.24	63.64	58.40	0.70	0.38
Louisville	BE	2.41	2.24	63.64	60.75	0.66	0.48
Georgetown	BE	0.38	2.24	77.27	73.76	0.21	1.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.33	2.22	75.00	70.65	0.17	0.92
West Virginia	BE	0.42	2.22	82.61	79.64	0.28	1.32
Seton Hall	BE	0.23	2.22	57.14	57.97	0.03	0.35
Bryant	ind	2.47	1.84	0.00	4.35	-2.47	-1.68
Brown	Ivy	2.42	1.81	25.00	28.27	-1.21	-0.78
Rhode Island	A10	2.37	1.78	85.71	80.87	1.69	1.10
Yale	Ivy	2.37	1.78	38.10	39.44	-0.56	-0.38
Bucknell	Pat	2.31	1.75	39.13	40.59	-0.50	-0.33
Mercer	ASun	2.31	1.75	47.62	44.94	-0.11	-0.18
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.72	50.00	47.04	0.00	-0.10
Vermont	AE	2.27	1.72	70.83	69.39	0.95	0.67
Alabama	SEC	2.22	1.70	54.55	52.56	0.20	0.09
George Washington	A10	2.22	1.70	57.14	56.99	0.32	0.24
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.70	69.57	70.50	0.87	0.70
Iona	MAAC	2.22	1.69	70.83	69.69	0.93	0.67
Cornell	Ivy	0.38	0.33	85.71	85.58	0.27	0.24
Harvard	Ivy	0.19	0.25	73.68	75.41	0.09	0.13
Columbia	Ivy	0.28	0.25	40.00	39.17	-0.06	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.10	0.20	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.11
Florida St.	ACC	0.28	0.20	73.91	69.55	0.13	0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.14	0.20	15.79	17.63	-0.09	-0.13
Boston University	AE	0.27	0.19	54.17	57.60	0.02	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.23	0.19	27.27	31.07	-0.11	-0.07
Maine	AE	0.28	0.19	65.22	63.02	0.08	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.17	78.26	71.74	0.11	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.24	0.17	43.48	45.29	-0.03	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.17	70.59	70.97	0.08	0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.28	0.17	69.57	71.85	0.11	0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.23	0.17	56.00	55.95	0.03	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.17	43.48	43.79	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.23	0.16	23.08	25.74	-0.12	-0.08
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.14	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.12
Holy Cross	Pat	0.20	0.14	26.09	31.04	-0.09	-0.05
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.14	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.14	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.24	0.14	69.57	71.44	0.09	0.06
American	Pat	0.14	0.14	30.43	32.38	-0.06	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.19	0.14	57.14	59.01	0.03	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	42.60	-0.03	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.19	0.14	82.61	82.34	0.12	0.09
Long Island	NEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	41.52	-0.03	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.14	22.22	27.54	-0.10	-0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.14	84.00	81.56	0.16	0.09
Delaware	CAA	0.18	0.14	29.17	29.51	-0.07	-0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.14	45.83	47.79	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.24	0.14	45.45	44.04	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.14	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.14	4.17	4.75	-0.20	-0.12
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.11	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.11	76.19	73.21	0.10	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.11	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.11	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.11	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.11	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.19	0.11	52.17	53.91	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.11	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.11	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.09	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.11	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.11	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.14	0.11	68.18	68.74	0.05	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.13	0.11	32.00	31.25	-0.05	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.11	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.11	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.11	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.11	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.11	39.13	38.66	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.11	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.11	68.18	66.69	0.02	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.09	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.09	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.09	14.29	15.66	-0.10	-0.06
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.93	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.08	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.08	16.00	21.66	-0.07	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.08	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.08	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.14	0.08	8.33	10.42	-0.11	-0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.08	30.43	30.24	-0.04	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.08	8.70	10.07	-0.11	-0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.04	0.08	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.06	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.23	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.06	27.78	26.81	-0.04	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.03	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.07	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.43	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.30	-0.01	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.00	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.44	-0.00	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.00	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.00	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.03	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.00	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.02	-0.01