The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Marquette page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Marquette

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		55.4
Current RPI:		61
Expected SOS:		46
Current SOS:		47
Current Record:		15-8
Expected Record:		20-10
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC RPI:		93
Expected OOC SOS:		202

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-8	32.6	6.65%
21-9	42.9	22.34%
20-10	53.2	32.28%
19-11	63.3	24.51%
18-12	74.2	10.99%
17-13	85.9	2.86%
16-14	100.6	0.34%
15-15	110.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Marquette.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	H	85-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Maryland Eastern Shore (313.8)	MEAC	H	86-60	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	87-41	W	100%	0.0
11-24	South Dakota (236.2)	GWC	H	93-68	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Xavier (26.6)	A10	N	71-61	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Michigan (143.6)	B10	N	79-65	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	N	56-57	L	0%	0.0
12-5	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	H	73-77	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	71-51	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	63-72	L	0%	0.0
12-19	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	78-51	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	102-62	W	100%	0.0
12-29	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	A	62-63	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Villanova (6.2)	BE	H	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	H	62-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Villanova (6.2)	BE	A	76-78	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Providence (98.2)	BE	H	93-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	50-51	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	71-76	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	H	82-59	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	70-68	W	100%	0.0
2-3	DePaul (180.2)	BE	H	80-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	82-79	W	100%	0.0
2-13	South Florida (64.9)	BE	H	0-0		82%	9.9
2-18	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	H	0-0		73%	6.6
2-21	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	0-0		56%	1.7
2-24	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	0-0		67%	4.9
2-28	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	0-0		55%	1.2
3-2	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	0-0		68%	5.0
3-6	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	H	0-0		83%	10.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Marquette's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Marquette's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Marquette.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marquette	BE	26.42	26.01	62.64	63.94	6.68	7.25
DePaul	BE	4.73	3.83	33.33	32.74	-1.58	-1.32
Villanova	BE	4.59	3.83	90.00	81.27	3.67	2.40
Providence	BE	4.58	3.83	57.14	49.95	0.65	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	2.61	2.25	80.95	75.98	1.61	1.17
Rutgers	BE	2.51	2.25	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
Syracuse	BE	2.51	2.25	95.65	91.09	2.29	1.85
Connecticut	BE	2.46	2.25	63.64	58.37	0.67	0.38
Wisconsin	B10	2.39	1.79	77.27	78.19	1.30	1.01
West Virginia	BE	2.36	2.25	85.71	81.58	1.69	1.42
Michigan	B10	2.32	1.75	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.16
Grambling	SWAC	2.27	1.73	25.00	26.96	-1.14	-0.79
Centenary	Sum	2.24	1.70	28.57	28.24	-0.96	-0.74
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.22	1.69	56.52	52.79	0.29	0.09
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.22	1.69	52.38	52.81	0.11	0.10
Florida St.	ACC	2.22	1.69	72.73	68.44	1.01	0.62
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.17	1.67	28.57	30.41	-0.93	-0.65
North Florida	ASun	2.17	1.69	45.45	46.93	-0.20	-0.10
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.67	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.14
South Dakota	GWC	2.17	1.67	52.94	63.05	0.13	0.44
Xavier	A10	2.17	1.69	72.73	73.90	0.99	0.81
Notre Dame	BE	0.52	2.25	70.83	64.93	0.22	0.67
St. John's	BE	0.48	2.25	54.55	49.81	0.04	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.34	2.22	65.22	63.06	0.10	0.58
Seton Hall	BE	0.29	2.22	57.14	57.90	0.04	0.35
Maryland	ACC	0.29	0.22	71.43	67.85	0.12	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.29	0.20	75.00	73.72	0.14	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.29	2.22	73.91	72.25	0.14	0.99
South Florida	BE	0.29	2.25	65.22	63.69	0.09	0.62
Cincinnati	BE	0.28	2.25	60.87	55.94	0.06	0.27
Dayton	A10	0.24	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.11	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.24	0.20	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.24	0.17	82.61	82.33	0.15	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.16	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.20	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.20	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.13	0.08
Temple	A10	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.09
American	Pat	0.19	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.08	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.14	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.19	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.14	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.19	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.06	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.19	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.19	0.14	22.73	22.57	-0.10	-0.08
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.09	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.19	0.14	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.14	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.11
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.14	0.08	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.10	33.33	46.80	-0.04	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.09	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.08	0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.09	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.09	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.09	0.05	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.08	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.11	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.08	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.00	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.00	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.00	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.00	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.00	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.00	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marquette	BE	26.42	26.01	62.64	63.94	6.68	7.25
Villanova	BE	4.59	3.83	90.00	81.27	3.67	2.40
DePaul	BE	4.73	3.83	33.33	32.74	-1.58	-1.32
Providence	BE	4.58	3.83	57.14	49.95	0.65	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	2.51	2.25	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
Notre Dame	BE	0.52	2.25	70.83	64.93	0.22	0.67
Syracuse	BE	2.51	2.25	95.65	91.09	2.29	1.85
Connecticut	BE	2.46	2.25	63.64	58.37	0.67	0.38
West Virginia	BE	2.36	2.25	85.71	81.58	1.69	1.42
South Florida	BE	0.29	2.25	65.22	63.69	0.09	0.62
Cincinnati	BE	0.28	2.25	60.87	55.94	0.06	0.27
St. John's	BE	0.48	2.25	54.55	49.81	0.04	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	2.61	2.25	80.95	75.98	1.61	1.17
Pittsburgh	BE	0.29	2.22	73.91	72.25	0.14	0.99
Louisville	BE	0.34	2.22	65.22	63.06	0.10	0.58
Seton Hall	BE	0.29	2.22	57.14	57.90	0.04	0.35
Wisconsin	B10	2.39	1.79	77.27	78.19	1.30	1.01
Michigan	B10	2.32	1.75	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.16
Grambling	SWAC	2.27	1.73	25.00	26.96	-1.14	-0.79
Centenary	Sum	2.24	1.70	28.57	28.24	-0.96	-0.74
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.22	1.69	56.52	52.79	0.29	0.09
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.22	1.69	52.38	52.81	0.11	0.10
Xavier	A10	2.17	1.69	72.73	73.90	0.99	0.81
Florida St.	ACC	2.22	1.69	72.73	68.44	1.01	0.62
North Florida	ASun	2.17	1.69	45.45	46.93	-0.20	-0.10
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.17	1.67	28.57	30.41	-0.93	-0.65
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.67	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.14
South Dakota	GWC	2.17	1.67	52.94	63.05	0.13	0.44
Maryland	ACC	0.29	0.22	71.43	67.85	0.12	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.29	0.20	75.00	73.72	0.14	0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.24	0.20	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.07
Temple	A10	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.57	0.11	0.09
Boston College	ACC	0.19	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.24	0.17	82.61	82.33	0.15	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.16	73.91	67.72	0.11	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.14	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.19	0.14	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.19	0.14	22.73	22.57	-0.10	-0.08
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.24	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.11	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.14	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.11
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.19	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.06	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.20	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.20	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.13	0.08
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.08
American	Pat	0.19	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.08	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.19	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.14	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.19	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.09	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.11	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.10	33.33	46.80	-0.04	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.14	-0.08
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.09	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.09	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.08	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.08	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.08
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.14	0.08	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00