The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Valparaiso page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 13, 2010.

Valparaiso

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		186.0
Current RPI:		186
Expected SOS:		145
Current SOS:		145
Current Record:		12-17
Expected Record:		12-17
Current Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-2
Current OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC RPI:		246
Expected OOC SOS:		153

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-17		186.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Valparaiso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Ball St. (218.1)	MAC	A	78-88	L	0%	0.0
11-15	North Carolina (91.9)	ACC	A	77-88	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Michigan St. (28.1)	B10	A	60-90	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	A	97-89	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Troy (109.0)	SB	N	64-80	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Butler (10.6)	Horz	A	67-84	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Purdue (16.0)	B10	A	62-86	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Toledo (324.2)	MAC	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
12-22	IUPU Fort Wayne (225.0)	Sum	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
12-27	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	57-77	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	H	55-54	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	H	58-64	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Detroit (168.2)	Horz	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Wright St. (79.9)	Horz	A	57-59	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cleveland St. (166.0)	Horz	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Illinois Chicago (291.0)	Horz	A	64-58	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Loyola Chicago (213.0)	Horz	A	86-67	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	A	82-85	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)	Horz	A	84-79	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Wright St. (79.9)	Horz	H	71-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Detroit (168.2)	Horz	H	74-70	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Illinois Chicago (291.0)	Horz	H	83-82	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Cleveland St. (166.0)	Horz	A	71-80	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	A	77-75	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Loyola Chicago (213.0)	Horz	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Bowling Green (189.4)	MAC	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Butler (10.6)	Horz	H	69-74	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Detroit (168.2)	Horz	H	82-89	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Valparaiso's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Valparaiso's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Valparaiso.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Valparaiso	Horz	26.43	26.43	44.80	44.80	-2.75	-2.75
Detroit	Horz	6.22	6.22	56.67	56.67	0.83	0.83
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.61	4.61	56.67	56.67	0.61	0.61
Wright St.	Horz	4.57	4.57	60.00	60.00	0.91	0.91
Cleveland St.	Horz	4.55	4.55	44.83	44.83	-0.47	-0.47
Butler	Horz	4.55	4.55	86.67	86.67	3.33	3.33
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.54	4.54	62.07	62.07	1.10	1.10
Illinois Chicago	Horz	4.50	4.50	25.93	25.93	-2.17	-2.17
Loyola Chicago	Horz	4.45	4.45	46.15	46.15	-0.34	-0.34
Youngstown St.	Horz	4.45	4.45	23.08	23.08	-2.40	-2.40
Toledo	MAC	2.07	2.07	10.00	10.00	-1.65	-1.65
Bowling Green	MAC	1.97	1.97	42.86	42.86	-0.28	-0.28
Ball St.	MAC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Akron	MAC	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Michigan St.	B10	1.86	1.86	74.19	74.19	0.90	0.90
Purdue	B10	1.81	1.81	83.87	83.87	1.22	1.22
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.78	1.78	46.43	46.43	-0.13	-0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	1.75	1.75	24.14	24.14	-0.91	-0.91
Troy	SB	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
North Carolina	ACC	1.75	1.75	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	0.39	0.39	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.37	0.37	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.31	0.31	74.19	74.19	0.15	0.15
Kent St.	MAC	0.29	0.29	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Buffalo	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.62	58.62	0.05	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.82	58.82	0.05	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.28	0.28	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.23	0.23	11.54	11.54	-0.18	-0.18
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.23	0.23	33.33	33.33	-0.08	-0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.22	0.22	78.79	78.18	0.13	0.12
Minnesota	B10	0.22	0.22	63.64	63.00	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.20	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.17	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.17	0.17	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.16	0.16	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.14	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.14	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.12	0.12	12.00	12.00	-0.09	-0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.12	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.12	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.62	64.03	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.22	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.91	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	69.70	68.35	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Valparaiso	Horz	26.43	26.43	44.80	44.80	-2.75	-2.75
Detroit	Horz	6.22	6.22	56.67	56.67	0.83	0.83
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.61	4.61	56.67	56.67	0.61	0.61
Wright St.	Horz	4.57	4.57	60.00	60.00	0.91	0.91
Cleveland St.	Horz	4.55	4.55	44.83	44.83	-0.47	-0.47
Butler	Horz	4.55	4.55	86.67	86.67	3.33	3.33
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.54	4.54	62.07	62.07	1.10	1.10
Illinois Chicago	Horz	4.50	4.50	25.93	25.93	-2.17	-2.17
Loyola Chicago	Horz	4.45	4.45	46.15	46.15	-0.34	-0.34
Youngstown St.	Horz	4.45	4.45	23.08	23.08	-2.40	-2.40
Toledo	MAC	2.07	2.07	10.00	10.00	-1.65	-1.65
Bowling Green	MAC	1.97	1.97	42.86	42.86	-0.28	-0.28
Ball St.	MAC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Akron	MAC	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Michigan St.	B10	1.86	1.86	74.19	74.19	0.90	0.90
Purdue	B10	1.81	1.81	83.87	83.87	1.22	1.22
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.78	1.78	46.43	46.43	-0.13	-0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	1.75	1.75	24.14	24.14	-0.91	-0.91
Troy	SB	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
North Carolina	ACC	1.75	1.75	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	0.39	0.39	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.37	0.37	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.31	0.31	74.19	74.19	0.15	0.15
Kent St.	MAC	0.29	0.29	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Buffalo	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.62	58.62	0.05	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.82	58.82	0.05	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.28	0.28	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.23	0.23	11.54	11.54	-0.18	-0.18
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.23	0.23	33.33	33.33	-0.08	-0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.22	0.22	78.79	78.18	0.13	0.12
Minnesota	B10	0.22	0.22	63.64	63.00	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.20	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.17	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.17	0.17	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.16	0.16	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.14	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.14	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.12	0.12	12.00	12.00	-0.09	-0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.12	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.12	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.62	64.03	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.22	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.91	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	69.70	68.35	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	4.55	4.55	86.67	86.67	3.33	3.33
Purdue	B10	1.81	1.81	83.87	83.87	1.22	1.22
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.54	4.54	62.07	62.07	1.10	1.10
Wright St.	Horz	4.57	4.57	60.00	60.00	0.91	0.91
Michigan St.	B10	1.86	1.86	74.19	74.19	0.90	0.90
Detroit	Horz	6.22	6.22	56.67	56.67	0.83	0.83
Akron	MAC	1.90	1.90	68.75	68.75	0.71	0.71
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.61	4.61	56.67	56.67	0.61	0.61
Troy	SB	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
Wisconsin	B10	0.31	0.31	74.19	74.19	0.15	0.15
Ohio St.	B10	0.22	0.22	78.79	78.18	0.13	0.12
Kent St.	MAC	0.29	0.29	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Oakland	Sum	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.09	0.09
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.94	93.42	0.07	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.20	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.12	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.22	0.22	63.64	63.00	0.06	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.82	58.82	0.05	0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.28	0.28	58.62	58.62	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.22	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.91	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.16	0.16	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.14	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.62	64.03	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.37	0.37	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	69.70	68.35	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00