The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Valparaiso page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Valparaiso

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		167.6
Current RPI:		164
Expected SOS:		147
Current SOS:		133
Current Record:		9-13
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-3
Current OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC RPI:		235
Expected OOC SOS:		180

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-13	114.0	1.11%
14-14	132.1	8.73%
13-15	151.8	26.69%
12-16	170.5	36.10%
11-17	188.6	21.34%
10-18	207.1	5.56%
9-19	223.3	0.46%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Valparaiso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	78-88	L	0%	0.0
11-15	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	77-88	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	60-90	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	A	97-89	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Troy (170.2)	SB	N	64-80	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	67-84	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	62-86	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
12-22	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
12-27	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	57-77	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	55-54	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	58-64	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	57-59	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	64-58	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	86-67	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	82-85	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	84-79	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	71-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	74-70	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	0-0		86%	11.7
2-11	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	0-0		31%	-5.5
2-13	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	0-0		56%	1.6
2-17	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	0-0		73%	6.7
2-20	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	0-0		49%	-0.3
2-26	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	0-0		20%	-9.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Valparaiso's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Valparaiso's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Valparaiso.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Valparaiso	Horz	26.51	26.43	46.74	48.11	-1.73	-1.00
Wright St.	Horz	5.31	4.60	59.09	62.85	0.97	1.18
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.31	4.57	61.90	58.28	1.26	0.76
Detroit	Horz	5.25	4.60	57.14	59.03	0.75	0.83
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	5.24	4.60	50.00	51.07	0.00	0.10
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.60	82.61	83.47	2.17	3.08
Illinois Chicago	Horz	3.27	4.62	23.81	23.76	-1.71	-2.43
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.17	4.56	55.00	52.17	0.32	0.20
Youngstown St.	Horz	3.13	4.56	30.00	28.18	-1.25	-1.99
Cleveland St.	Horz	3.04	4.60	47.62	47.72	-0.14	-0.21
Toledo	MAC	2.62	2.16	9.09	10.44	-2.15	-1.71
Ball St.	MAC	2.47	2.00	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.97	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.59
Michigan St.	B10	2.43	1.94	78.26	75.83	1.37	1.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.37	1.84	40.00	43.21	-0.47	-0.25
Georgia Southern	SC	2.33	1.82	18.18	20.83	-1.48	-1.06
Purdue	B10	2.33	1.88	85.71	81.17	1.66	1.17
Troy	SB	2.32	1.82	45.00	48.40	-0.23	-0.06
North Carolina	ACC	2.32	1.81	54.55	50.36	0.21	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.51	0.34	78.26	78.92	0.29	0.19
Central Michigan	MAC	0.40	0.40	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.36	2.03	47.62	45.49	-0.02	-0.18
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.32	0.26	8.70	9.54	-0.26	-0.21
Western Michigan	MAC	0.31	0.31	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.30	0.28	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.30	0.31	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.26	0.19	33.33	33.96	-0.09	-0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.25	0.31	69.57	70.29	0.10	0.13
Western Kentucky	SB	0.21	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.21	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.25	36.36	37.37	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.05
Albany	AE	0.20	0.15	23.08	25.77	-0.11	-0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.24	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.11
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.15	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.10	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.10
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.24	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.24	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.15	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.15	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.07	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.13	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.07
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.10	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.16	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
California	P10	0.10	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.15	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.08
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.10	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.07	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.12	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Valparaiso	Horz	26.51	26.43	46.74	48.11	-1.73	-1.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	3.27	4.62	23.81	23.76	-1.71	-2.43
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.60	82.61	83.47	2.17	3.08
Detroit	Horz	5.25	4.60	57.14	59.03	0.75	0.83
Wright St.	Horz	5.31	4.60	59.09	62.85	0.97	1.18
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	5.24	4.60	50.00	51.07	0.00	0.10
Cleveland St.	Horz	3.04	4.60	47.62	47.72	-0.14	-0.21
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.31	4.57	61.90	58.28	1.26	0.76
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.17	4.56	55.00	52.17	0.32	0.20
Youngstown St.	Horz	3.13	4.56	30.00	28.18	-1.25	-1.99
Toledo	MAC	2.62	2.16	9.09	10.44	-2.15	-1.71
Bowling Green	MAC	0.36	2.03	47.62	45.49	-0.02	-0.18
Ball St.	MAC	2.47	2.00	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.97	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.59
Michigan St.	B10	2.43	1.94	78.26	75.83	1.37	1.00
Purdue	B10	2.33	1.88	85.71	81.17	1.66	1.17
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.37	1.84	40.00	43.21	-0.47	-0.25
Georgia Southern	SC	2.33	1.82	18.18	20.83	-1.48	-1.06
Troy	SB	2.32	1.82	45.00	48.40	-0.23	-0.06
North Carolina	ACC	2.32	1.81	54.55	50.36	0.21	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.40	0.40	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.51	0.34	78.26	78.92	0.29	0.19
Kent St.	MAC	0.25	0.31	69.57	70.29	0.10	0.13
Western Michigan	MAC	0.31	0.31	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.30	0.31	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.30	0.28	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.32	0.26	8.70	9.54	-0.26	-0.21
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.25	36.36	37.37	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.24	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.24	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.24	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.11
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.26	0.19	33.33	33.96	-0.09	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.21	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.16	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
Albany	AE	0.20	0.15	23.08	25.77	-0.11	-0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.15	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.08
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.15	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.06
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.15	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.21	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.13	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.08
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.10
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.12	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.10	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.10	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.10	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.15	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.07	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.07	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	3.33	4.60	82.61	83.47	2.17	3.08
Purdue	B10	2.33	1.88	85.71	81.17	1.66	1.17
Michigan St.	B10	2.43	1.94	78.26	75.83	1.37	1.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	5.31	4.57	61.90	58.28	1.26	0.76
Wright St.	Horz	5.31	4.60	59.09	62.85	0.97	1.18
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.97	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.59
Detroit	Horz	5.25	4.60	57.14	59.03	0.75	0.83
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.17	4.56	55.00	52.17	0.32	0.20
Wisconsin	B10	0.51	0.34	78.26	78.92	0.29	0.19
North Carolina	ACC	2.32	1.81	54.55	50.36	0.21	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.16	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.09
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.24	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.11
Kent St.	MAC	0.25	0.31	69.57	70.29	0.10	0.13
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.16	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.18	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.16	0.10	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.16	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Washington	P10	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.30	0.28	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.10	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.31	0.31	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.21	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.07	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.21	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.07	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.00	0.00