The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Ohio page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Ohio

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		95.0
Current RPI:		95
Expected SOS:		113
Current SOS:		113
Current Record:		20-14
Expected Record:		20-14
Current Conf Record:		11-9
Expected Conf Record:		11-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-2
Current OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC RPI:		81
Expected OOC SOS:		69

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
20-14		95.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	H	81-68	W	100%	0.0
11-17	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	H	93-82	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Lamar (292.0)	Slnd	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	N	53-60	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	A	80-81	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	H	66-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Delaware (239.0)	CAA	A	86-70	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Illinois St. (76.0)	MVC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	A	49-74	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Elon (269.0)	SC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	A	79-81	L	0%	0.0
1-6	IUPUI (84.0)	Sum	A	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	H	60-62	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	A	67-79	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	A	57-65	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	H	99-77	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	A	99-84	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	H	66-67	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	A	65-58	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	61-70	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	H	90-74	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	89-76	W	100%	0.0
2-14	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	88-91	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	H	64-59	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	70-68	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	82-60	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	85-77	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	N	81-64	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	N	54-42	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Akron (89.0)	MAC	N	81-75	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Ohio's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Ohio's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Ohio.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio	MAC	26.38	26.38	58.90	58.90	4.70	4.70
Akron	MAC	5.14	5.14	70.00	70.00	2.06	2.06
Miami OH	MAC	5.14	5.14	44.83	44.83	-0.53	-0.53
Kent St.	MAC	5.10	5.10	71.43	71.43	2.19	2.19
Buffalo	MAC	3.72	3.72	59.26	59.26	0.69	0.69
Bowling Green	MAC	3.65	3.65	44.44	44.44	-0.41	-0.41
Ball St.	MAC	3.49	3.49	48.15	48.15	-0.13	-0.13
Western Michigan	MAC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.16	2.16	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	2.15	2.15	10.00	10.00	-1.72	-1.72
Central Michigan	MAC	2.14	2.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.10	2.10	34.48	34.48	-0.65	-0.65
Marshall	CUSA	1.61	1.61	67.86	67.86	0.58	0.58
Austin Peay	OVC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Wright St.	Horz	1.59	1.59	64.52	64.52	0.46	0.46
Pittsburgh	BE	1.59	1.59	74.19	74.19	0.77	0.77
Robert Morris	NEC	1.56	1.56	66.67	66.67	0.52	0.52
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.55	1.55	58.62	58.62	0.27	0.27
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.55	1.55	27.59	27.59	-0.69	-0.69
Tulsa	CUSA	1.55	1.55	65.62	65.62	0.48	0.48
Lamar	Slnd	1.54	1.54	37.04	37.04	-0.40	-0.40
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.54	1.54	62.07	62.07	0.37	0.37
Illinois St.	MVC	1.50	1.50	70.97	70.97	0.63	0.63
IUPUI	Sum	1.50	1.50	70.97	70.97	0.63	0.63
Delaware	CAA	1.47	1.47	23.33	23.33	-0.78	-0.78
Elon	SC	1.47	1.47	26.67	26.67	-0.69	-0.69
Temple	A10	0.24	0.24	85.29	85.29	0.17	0.17
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	20.69	20.69	-0.14	-0.14
Valparaiso	Horz	0.24	0.24	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.22	0.22	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.21	0.21	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.17	0.17	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.17	0.17	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.17	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.16	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.15	7.41	7.41	-0.13	-0.13
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.15	28.12	28.12	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.14	0.14	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.14	0.14	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.12	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.10	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.08	0.08	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.04	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.04	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.04	0.04	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.04	0.04	16.13	16.13	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.02	0.02	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio	MAC	26.38	26.38	58.90	58.90	4.70	4.70
Akron	MAC	5.14	5.14	70.00	70.00	2.06	2.06
Miami OH	MAC	5.14	5.14	44.83	44.83	-0.53	-0.53
Kent St.	MAC	5.10	5.10	71.43	71.43	2.19	2.19
Buffalo	MAC	3.72	3.72	59.26	59.26	0.69	0.69
Bowling Green	MAC	3.65	3.65	44.44	44.44	-0.41	-0.41
Ball St.	MAC	3.49	3.49	48.15	48.15	-0.13	-0.13
Western Michigan	MAC	2.22	2.22	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.16	2.16	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	2.15	2.15	10.00	10.00	-1.72	-1.72
Central Michigan	MAC	2.14	2.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.10	2.10	34.48	34.48	-0.65	-0.65
Marshall	CUSA	1.61	1.61	67.86	67.86	0.58	0.58
Austin Peay	OVC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Wright St.	Horz	1.59	1.59	64.52	64.52	0.46	0.46
Pittsburgh	BE	1.59	1.59	74.19	74.19	0.77	0.77
Robert Morris	NEC	1.56	1.56	66.67	66.67	0.52	0.52
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.55	1.55	58.62	58.62	0.27	0.27
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.55	1.55	27.59	27.59	-0.69	-0.69
Tulsa	CUSA	1.55	1.55	65.62	65.62	0.48	0.48
Lamar	Slnd	1.54	1.54	37.04	37.04	-0.40	-0.40
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.54	1.54	62.07	62.07	0.37	0.37
Illinois St.	MVC	1.50	1.50	70.97	70.97	0.63	0.63
IUPUI	Sum	1.50	1.50	70.97	70.97	0.63	0.63
Delaware	CAA	1.47	1.47	23.33	23.33	-0.78	-0.78
Elon	SC	1.47	1.47	26.67	26.67	-0.69	-0.69
Temple	A10	0.24	0.24	85.29	85.29	0.17	0.17
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	20.69	20.69	-0.14	-0.14
Valparaiso	Horz	0.24	0.24	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.22	0.22	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.21	0.21	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.17	0.17	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.17	0.17	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.17	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.16	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.15	7.41	7.41	-0.13	-0.13
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.15	28.12	28.12	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.14	0.14	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.14	0.14	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.12	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.10	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.08	0.08	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	87.88	87.88	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.04	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.04	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.04	0.04	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.04	0.04	16.13	16.13	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.02	0.02	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01