The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Ohio page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Ohio

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		147.7
Current RPI:		161
Expected SOS:		119
Current SOS:		145
Current Record:		11-11
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		3-6
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-2
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-6
Expected OOC RPI:		99
Expected OOC SOS:		63

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-11	89.2	0.29%
18-12	102.8	3.39%
17-13	118.0	12.64%
16-14	135.1	26.21%
15-15	153.0	30.64%
14-16	169.4	18.95%
13-17	184.5	6.60%
12-18	199.4	1.21%
11-19	214.8	0.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	81-68	W	100%	0.0
11-17	North Carolina A&T (267.9)	MEAC	H	93-82	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	N	53-60	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	80-81	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	H	66-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Delaware (226.0)	CAA	A	86-70	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	49-74	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Elon (282.7)	SC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	A	79-81	L	0%	0.0
1-6	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	A	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	60-62	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Akron (113.3)	MAC	H	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	67-79	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	57-65	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	H	99-77	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	99-84	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	66-67	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	65-58	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	A	61-70	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	0-0		62%	3.2
2-11	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	0-0		76%	7.5
2-14	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	0-0		30%	-5.6
2-17	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	0-0		22%	-8.2
2-20	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	0-0		40%	-2.6
2-24	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	0-0		67%	4.7
2-27	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	0-0		49%	-0.2
3-4	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	0-0		82%	10.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Ohio's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Ohio's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Ohio.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio	MAC	26.13	26.15	49.00	48.85	-0.52	-0.60
Akron	MAC	2.74	4.00	68.18	64.66	1.00	1.17
Kent St.	MAC	2.73	4.03	68.18	68.97	0.99	1.53
Miami OH	MAC	2.64	4.00	40.91	46.33	-0.48	-0.29
Toledo	MAC	2.64	2.28	9.09	10.44	-2.16	-1.80
Ball St.	MAC	2.64	2.24	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	2.64	3.96	45.00	44.67	-0.26	-0.42
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.64	2.25	38.10	38.71	-0.63	-0.51
Buffalo	MAC	2.63	3.96	57.89	54.13	0.42	0.33
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.63	2.24	45.00	44.82	-0.26	-0.23
Marshall	CUSA	2.48	1.81	65.00	64.27	0.75	0.52
Austin Peay	OVC	2.47	1.81	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.12
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.44	1.76	54.55	56.91	0.22	0.24
Lamar	Slnd	2.43	1.75	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.13
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.43	1.75	26.32	35.96	-1.15	-0.49
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	2.42	1.75	68.18	67.02	0.88	0.60
Pittsburgh	BE	2.37	1.78	72.73	69.83	1.08	0.71
Tulsa	CUSA	2.33	1.73	76.19	69.92	1.22	0.69
IUPUI	Sum	2.32	1.70	68.18	69.39	0.84	0.66
Robert Morris	NEC	2.32	1.75	65.22	62.82	0.71	0.45
Delaware	CAA	2.27	1.67	27.27	27.88	-1.03	-0.74
Elon	SC	2.27	1.67	20.00	24.09	-1.36	-0.86
Illinois St.	MVC	2.27	1.70	69.57	65.64	0.89	0.53
Western Michigan	MAC	0.47	2.25	54.55	57.27	0.04	0.33
Central Michigan	MAC	0.47	2.30	50.00	53.32	0.00	0.15
Temple	A10	0.26	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.15	0.13
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.25	0.26	27.27	25.82	-0.11	-0.12
Drake	MVC	0.24	0.17	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.15	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.21	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
Towson	CAA	0.21	0.23	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.12
Wofford	SC	0.21	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.07	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.09
Florida International	SB	0.20	0.17	24.00	23.74	-0.11	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.17	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.20	0.17	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.20	0.14	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.09
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.23	22.73	22.57	-0.11	-0.12
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.20	0.23	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.14	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.15	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.15	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.06
Chattanooga	SC	0.16	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.14	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.16	0.12	68.00	67.20	0.06	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.15	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.05	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.23	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.15	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.17	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.12	-0.07
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.14	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.12
Duquesne	A10	0.15	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.16	28.57	27.72	-0.06	-0.07
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.11	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.08
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.12	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.17	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.11	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.17	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.23	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.08	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.05	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	1.78	62.50	65.52	0.02	0.55
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.00	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.00	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.08	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.00	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Washington	P10	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio	MAC	26.13	26.15	49.00	48.85	-0.52	-0.60
Kent St.	MAC	2.73	4.03	68.18	68.97	0.99	1.53
Akron	MAC	2.74	4.00	68.18	64.66	1.00	1.17
Miami OH	MAC	2.64	4.00	40.91	46.33	-0.48	-0.29
Bowling Green	MAC	2.64	3.96	45.00	44.67	-0.26	-0.42
Buffalo	MAC	2.63	3.96	57.89	54.13	0.42	0.33
Central Michigan	MAC	0.47	2.30	50.00	53.32	0.00	0.15
Toledo	MAC	2.64	2.28	9.09	10.44	-2.16	-1.80
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.64	2.25	38.10	38.71	-0.63	-0.51
Western Michigan	MAC	0.47	2.25	54.55	57.27	0.04	0.33
Ball St.	MAC	2.64	2.24	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.63	2.24	45.00	44.82	-0.26	-0.23
Marshall	CUSA	2.48	1.81	65.00	64.27	0.75	0.52
Austin Peay	OVC	2.47	1.81	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.12
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	1.78	62.50	65.52	0.02	0.55
Pittsburgh	BE	2.37	1.78	72.73	69.83	1.08	0.71
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.44	1.76	54.55	56.91	0.22	0.24
Lamar	Slnd	2.43	1.75	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.13
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.43	1.75	26.32	35.96	-1.15	-0.49
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	2.42	1.75	68.18	67.02	0.88	0.60
Robert Morris	NEC	2.32	1.75	65.22	62.82	0.71	0.45
Tulsa	CUSA	2.33	1.73	76.19	69.92	1.22	0.69
Illinois St.	MVC	2.27	1.70	69.57	65.64	0.89	0.53
IUPUI	Sum	2.32	1.70	68.18	69.39	0.84	0.66
Delaware	CAA	2.27	1.67	27.27	27.88	-1.03	-0.74
Elon	SC	2.27	1.67	20.00	24.09	-1.36	-0.86
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.25	0.26	27.27	25.82	-0.11	-0.12
Towson	CAA	0.21	0.23	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.12
Temple	A10	0.26	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.15	0.13
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.23	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.20	0.23	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.23	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.23	22.73	22.57	-0.11	-0.12
Morehead St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.20	0.17	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.20	0.17	24.00	23.74	-0.11	-0.09
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.09
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.17	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.20	0.17	82.61	78.56	0.13	0.10
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.17	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.17	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.24	0.17	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.16	28.57	27.72	-0.06	-0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.15	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.22	0.15	31.82	29.58	-0.08	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.15	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.09
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.14	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.12
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.20	0.14	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.14	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.21	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.21	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.07	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.14	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.08
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.08
Vermont	AE	0.16	0.12	68.00	67.20	0.06	0.04
Troy	SB	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.12	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.15	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.05	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.11	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.11	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.15	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.12	-0.07
Chattanooga	SC	0.16	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.06
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.08	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.08	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.15	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.05	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02