The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Duquesne page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Duquesne

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		125.5
Current RPI:		96
Expected SOS:		91
Current SOS:		50
Current Record:		11-11
Expected Record:		14-15
Current Conf Record:		3-6
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		86
Expected OOC SOS:		116

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-11	72.7	0.31%
17-12	83.2	2.78%
16-13	96.5	13.33%
15-14	113.1	29.10%
14-15	132.7	33.56%
13-16	152.9	17.19%
12-17	170.8	3.59%
11-18	188.1	0.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Duquesne.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Nicholls St. (293.0)	Slnd	H	85-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Iowa (201.1)	B10	A	52-50	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Binghamton (237.5)	AE	N	70-52	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	A	77-83	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Radford (173.6)	BSth	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Pittsburgh (26.3)	BE	N	58-67	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Savannah St. (320.5)	ind	H	58-44	W	100%	0.0
12-9	West Virginia (5.3)	BE	A	39-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Robert Morris (156.7)	NEC	H	59-54	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Canisius (203.7)	MAAC	H	86-77	W	100%	0.0
12-19	IUPUI (106.4)	Sum	A	64-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	St. Francis PA (313.2)	NEC	H	86-56	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Old Dominion (34.0)	CAA	A	54-63	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Richmond (37.8)	A10	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Dayton (30.8)	A10	A	72-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	St. Louis (123.7)	A10	H	75-79	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	A	67-75	L	0%	0.0
1-23	St. Bonaventure (185.8)	A10	H	70-69	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Xavier (26.5)	A10	A	50-86	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Saint Joseph's (174.9)	A10	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Temple (23.6)	A10	A	60-76	L	0%	0.0
2-6	George Washington (137.0)	A10	A	70-63	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Massachusetts (194.1)	A10	H	0-0		73%	6.7
2-14	La Salle (135.8)	A10	H	0-0		63%	3.6
2-17	Charlotte (46.6)	A10	A	0-0		20%	-9.2
2-21	Dayton (30.8)	A10	H	0-0		30%	-5.8
2-27	St. Louis (123.7)	A10	A	0-0		30%	-5.9
3-3	St. Bonaventure (185.8)	A10	A	0-0		33%	-4.7
3-6	Fordham (295.4)	A10	H	0-0		94%	17.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Duquesne's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Duquesne's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Duquesne.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Duquesne	A10	26.11	26.04	50.00	48.80	0.00	-0.63
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.68	4.01	42.11	43.30	-0.42	-0.54
Dayton	A10	2.63	3.98	71.43	70.98	1.13	1.67
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.58	2.28	40.91	37.85	-0.47	-0.56
George Washington	A10	2.58	2.25	57.14	56.99	0.37	0.31
Richmond	A10	2.57	2.31	73.91	70.26	1.23	0.94
Xavier	A10	2.53	2.28	68.18	70.46	0.92	0.93
Rhode Island	A10	2.52	2.25	85.71	80.87	1.80	1.39
St. Louis	A10	2.48	3.94	60.00	53.93	0.50	0.31
Temple	A10	2.47	2.25	78.26	76.85	1.40	1.21
Binghamton	AE	2.43	1.87	40.91	40.04	-0.44	-0.37
Robert Morris	NEC	2.42	1.81	66.67	65.90	0.81	0.58
Pittsburgh	BE	2.42	1.84	73.91	69.98	1.16	0.73
Old Dominion	CAA	2.37	1.84	70.83	72.69	0.99	0.83
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.36	1.78	31.82	31.32	-0.86	-0.66
Canisius	MAAC	2.33	1.79	45.83	46.72	-0.19	-0.12
Savannah St.	ind	2.33	1.79	31.58	32.68	-0.86	-0.62
Western Carolina	SC	2.32	1.75	66.67	65.18	0.77	0.53
West Virginia	BE	2.32	1.78	81.82	78.75	1.48	1.02
Iowa	B10	2.27	1.72	34.78	31.83	-0.69	-0.63
IUPUI	Sum	2.27	1.72	63.64	65.84	0.62	0.55
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.27	1.72	23.53	27.61	-1.20	-0.77
Radford	BSth	2.27	1.72	55.00	58.44	0.23	0.29
Charlotte	A10	0.35	2.28	78.26	71.45	0.20	0.98
La Salle	A10	0.35	2.28	47.83	46.72	-0.02	-0.15
Fordham	A10	0.30	2.28	9.52	9.01	-0.25	-1.87
Massachusetts	A10	0.30	2.25	31.82	31.81	-0.11	-0.82
Bowling Green	MAC	0.30	0.24	47.62	45.72	-0.01	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.24	0.17	43.48	43.79	-0.03	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.21	0.14	30.00	31.80	-0.08	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.15	43.48	47.69	-0.03	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.17	62.50	57.77	0.05	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.20	0.15	65.22	62.02	0.06	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.20	0.18	70.83	63.36	0.08	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.20	0.15	66.67	65.51	0.07	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.20	0.20	54.55	49.23	0.02	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.20	0.15	57.14	61.39	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.20	0.15	95.83	91.32	0.18	0.12
Towson	CAA	0.20	0.17	26.09	26.14	-0.09	-0.08
Lehigh	Pat	0.20	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.26	91.30	85.32	0.16	0.18
Georgetown	BE	0.20	0.15	77.27	73.45	0.11	0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.12	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.11	75.00	73.71	0.10	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.19	0.12	68.18	66.69	0.07	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.11	28.57	27.82	-0.08	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.19	0.17	57.14	57.50	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.12	32.00	31.25	-0.07	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.19	0.12	39.13	41.52	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.19	0.12	41.67	42.67	-0.03	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.19	0.17	39.13	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.18	0.10	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.17	0.18	39.13	41.23	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.11	4.76	9.60	-0.15	-0.09
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.16	0.12	20.00	23.49	-0.10	-0.07
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.12	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.16	0.13	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.09	21.05	22.44	-0.09	-0.05
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.12	26.09	31.04	-0.07	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.55	0.10	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.13	27.27	31.42	-0.07	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.09	73.91	70.59	0.07	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	79.17	77.01	0.09	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.12	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.90	-0.04	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.02	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.15	0.11	86.36	81.79	0.11	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.12	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.11	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.06
Albany	AE	0.14	0.09	23.08	25.74	-0.08	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.14	0.12	66.67	64.35	0.05	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.12	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.11	84.00	81.56	0.10	0.07
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.08	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.08	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.09	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.10	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.12	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.15	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	22.73	26.15	-0.06	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.02	-0.07	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.09	0.08
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.09	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.08	-0.07
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.04	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.12	68.18	68.74	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.15	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.09	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.03	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.15	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.10	0.09	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.08	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.09	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.06	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.09	4.17	4.75	-0.09	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.12	16.00	21.66	-0.06	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.06	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	35.30	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.04	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.04	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.50	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.34	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.09	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.09	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.12	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.05
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.03	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.09	85.71	85.58	0.04	0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.09	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.12	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.06	0.00	4.21	-0.00	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.00	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.00	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.00	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.00	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.00	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Duquesne	A10	26.11	26.04	50.00	48.80	0.00	-0.63
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.68	4.01	42.11	43.30	-0.42	-0.54
Dayton	A10	2.63	3.98	71.43	70.98	1.13	1.67
St. Louis	A10	2.48	3.94	60.00	53.93	0.50	0.31
Richmond	A10	2.57	2.31	73.91	70.26	1.23	0.94
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.58	2.28	40.91	37.85	-0.47	-0.56
Fordham	A10	0.30	2.28	9.52	9.01	-0.25	-1.87
Xavier	A10	2.53	2.28	68.18	70.46	0.92	0.93
La Salle	A10	0.35	2.28	47.83	46.72	-0.02	-0.15
Charlotte	A10	0.35	2.28	78.26	71.45	0.20	0.98
Temple	A10	2.47	2.25	78.26	76.85	1.40	1.21
Rhode Island	A10	2.52	2.25	85.71	80.87	1.80	1.39
Massachusetts	A10	0.30	2.25	31.82	31.81	-0.11	-0.82
George Washington	A10	2.58	2.25	57.14	56.99	0.37	0.31
Binghamton	AE	2.43	1.87	40.91	40.04	-0.44	-0.37
Pittsburgh	BE	2.42	1.84	73.91	69.98	1.16	0.73
Old Dominion	CAA	2.37	1.84	70.83	72.69	0.99	0.83
Robert Morris	NEC	2.42	1.81	66.67	65.90	0.81	0.58
Canisius	MAAC	2.33	1.79	45.83	46.72	-0.19	-0.12
Savannah St.	ind	2.33	1.79	31.58	32.68	-0.86	-0.62
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.36	1.78	31.82	31.32	-0.86	-0.66
West Virginia	BE	2.32	1.78	81.82	78.75	1.48	1.02
Western Carolina	SC	2.32	1.75	66.67	65.18	0.77	0.53
Iowa	B10	2.27	1.72	34.78	31.83	-0.69	-0.63
IUPUI	Sum	2.27	1.72	63.64	65.84	0.62	0.55
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.27	1.72	23.53	27.61	-1.20	-0.77
Radford	BSth	2.27	1.72	55.00	58.44	0.23	0.29
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.26	91.30	85.32	0.16	0.18
Bowling Green	MAC	0.30	0.24	47.62	45.72	-0.01	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.20	0.20	54.55	49.23	0.02	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.20	0.18	70.83	63.36	0.08	0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.17	0.18	39.13	41.23	-0.04	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.17	62.50	57.77	0.05	0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.24	0.17	43.48	43.79	-0.03	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.20	0.17	26.09	26.14	-0.09	-0.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.19	0.17	39.13	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.19	0.17	57.14	57.50	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.20	0.15	77.27	73.45	0.11	0.07
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.15	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.15	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.15	43.48	47.69	-0.03	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.20	0.15	65.22	62.02	0.06	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.20	0.15	66.67	65.51	0.07	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.15	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.20	0.15	57.14	61.39	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.20	0.15	95.83	91.32	0.18	0.12
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.20	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.06	0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.21	0.14	30.00	31.80	-0.08	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.13	27.27	31.42	-0.07	-0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.16	0.13	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.16	0.12	20.00	23.49	-0.10	-0.07
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.12	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.12	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.08
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.06
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.12	68.18	68.74	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.14	0.12	66.67	64.35	0.05	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.12	26.09	31.04	-0.07	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.12	29.17	31.02	-0.06	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.12	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.12	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.12	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.12	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.55	0.10	0.07
William & Mary	CAA	0.19	0.12	68.18	66.69	0.07	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.12	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.12	32.00	31.25	-0.07	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.19	0.12	39.13	41.52	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.19	0.12	41.67	42.67	-0.03	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.12	16.00	21.66	-0.06	-0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.11	75.00	73.71	0.10	0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.11	28.57	27.82	-0.08	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.11	84.00	81.56	0.10	0.07
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.11	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.15	0.11	86.36	81.79	0.11	0.07
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.11	4.76	9.60	-0.15	-0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.10	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.18	0.10	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.09	73.91	70.59	0.07	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.09	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.09	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.09	21.05	22.44	-0.09	-0.05
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	22.73	26.15	-0.06	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.09	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.09	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.08	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.09	0.08
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	35.30	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.09	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.14	0.09	23.08	25.74	-0.08	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.09	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.09	85.71	85.58	0.04	0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.09	4.17	4.75	-0.09	-0.08
Texas	B12	0.15	0.09	79.17	77.01	0.09	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.09	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.09	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.90	-0.04	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.06	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.08	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.08	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.08	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.04	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.50	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.02	-0.07	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.34	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.00	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.03	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.04	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.06	0.00	4.21	-0.00	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.03	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.00	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.06	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.00	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.00	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01