The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Troy page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Troy

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		170.2
Current RPI:		167
Expected SOS:		196
Current SOS:		180
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		13-13
Current Conf Record:		8-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-4
Current OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC RPI:		210
Expected OOC SOS:		78

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-11	131.5	7.47%
14-12	152.3	27.89%
13-13	172.5	37.03%
12-14	191.6	22.00%
11-15	210.8	5.25%
10-16	228.6	0.35%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Troy.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-20	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	58-80	L	0%	0.0
11-24	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	59-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	N	80-64	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	A	77-80	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	A	81-77	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	70-99	L	0%	0.0
12-14	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	85-93	L	0%	0.0
12-17	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	78-76	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	75-78	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	83-82	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	64-46	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	69-83	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	84-68	W	100%	0.0
1-14	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	72-75	L	0%	0.0
1-16	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	77-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	54-69	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	75-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	73-66	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	70-67	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	69-87	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	0-0		89%	13.3
2-18	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	0-0		61%	3.0
2-20	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	H	0-0		65%	4.2
2-25	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	0-0		56%	1.7
2-27	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	0-0		39%	-3.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Troy's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Troy's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Troy.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.54	26.35	53.93	54.94	2.09	2.61
South Alabama	SB	5.44	4.75	47.62	47.36	-0.26	-0.25
Western Kentucky	SB	5.40	4.74	54.55	56.41	0.49	0.61
Louisiana Monroe	SB	5.39	4.57	40.00	39.08	-1.08	-1.00
Marshall	CUSA	4.92	4.01	63.16	62.89	1.30	1.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.28	4.80	54.55	57.57	0.30	0.73
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.11	4.69	42.86	45.87	-0.44	-0.39
Florida International	SB	3.07	4.70	25.00	25.04	-1.54	-2.35
New Orleans	SB	3.06	2.78	23.81	23.73	-1.60	-1.46
Denver	SB	3.01	2.79	63.64	61.70	0.82	0.65
North Texas	SB	3.00	2.78	60.00	62.29	0.60	0.68
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.90	2.78	45.00	46.63	-0.29	-0.19
UAB	CUSA	2.65	2.23	81.82	77.82	1.69	1.24
Georgia Southern	SC	2.54	2.02	13.64	17.26	-1.85	-1.32
Florida	SEC	2.54	2.06	72.73	66.65	1.15	0.68
Houston	CUSA	2.49	2.09	45.00	49.07	-0.25	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	2.43	1.99	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.23
Valparaiso	Horz	2.43	1.96	42.86	44.98	-0.35	-0.20
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.64	2.75	23.81	27.79	-0.34	-1.22
Arkansas St.	SB	0.58	2.74	57.14	56.95	0.08	0.38
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.49	0.34	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.38	0.37	31.82	29.58	-0.14	-0.15
Tulsa	CUSA	0.37	0.37	77.27	70.93	0.20	0.16
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.37	0.26	39.13	35.38	-0.08	-0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.34	0.20	20.00	21.94	-0.20	-0.11
Lamar	Slnd	0.27	0.24	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.27	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.11
Arkansas	SEC	0.26	0.20	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.26	0.19	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.26	0.22	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.10
Central Florida	CUSA	0.22	0.27	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.27	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.11
North Carolina	ACC	0.22	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.21	0.17	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.21	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.21	-0.13
Georgia	SEC	0.21	0.23	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.13	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.21	0.13	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.17	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.17	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.09	0.12
Centenary	Sum	0.16	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.11	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.10	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.21	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.11
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.16	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.08
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.10	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.10	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.13	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.09
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.07	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.07	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.11	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.07	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.11	0.10	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.07	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.07	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.07	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.04	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.04	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.04	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.04	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.04	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.07	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.17	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.07
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.10	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.04	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.07	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.07	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.07	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.17	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.07	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.10	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.04	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.04	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.04	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.04	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.54	26.35	53.93	54.94	2.09	2.61
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.28	4.80	54.55	57.57	0.30	0.73
South Alabama	SB	5.44	4.75	47.62	47.36	-0.26	-0.25
Western Kentucky	SB	5.40	4.74	54.55	56.41	0.49	0.61
Florida International	SB	3.07	4.70	25.00	25.04	-1.54	-2.35
Florida Atlantic	SB	3.11	4.69	42.86	45.87	-0.44	-0.39
Louisiana Monroe	SB	5.39	4.57	40.00	39.08	-1.08	-1.00
Marshall	CUSA	4.92	4.01	63.16	62.89	1.30	1.03
Denver	SB	3.01	2.79	63.64	61.70	0.82	0.65
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.90	2.78	45.00	46.63	-0.29	-0.19
North Texas	SB	3.00	2.78	60.00	62.29	0.60	0.68
New Orleans	SB	3.06	2.78	23.81	23.73	-1.60	-1.46
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.64	2.75	23.81	27.79	-0.34	-1.22
Arkansas St.	SB	0.58	2.74	57.14	56.95	0.08	0.38
UAB	CUSA	2.65	2.23	81.82	77.82	1.69	1.24
Houston	CUSA	2.49	2.09	45.00	49.07	-0.25	-0.04
Florida	SEC	2.54	2.06	72.73	66.65	1.15	0.68
Georgia Southern	SC	2.54	2.02	13.64	17.26	-1.85	-1.32
Auburn	SEC	2.43	1.99	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.23
Valparaiso	Horz	2.43	1.96	42.86	44.98	-0.35	-0.20
Tulsa	CUSA	0.37	0.37	77.27	70.93	0.20	0.16
Tulane	CUSA	0.38	0.37	31.82	29.58	-0.14	-0.15
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.49	0.34	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.27	0.27	31.82	30.34	-0.10	-0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.27	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.11
Central Florida	CUSA	0.22	0.27	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.37	0.26	39.13	35.38	-0.08	-0.08
Lamar	Slnd	0.27	0.24	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.09	0.12
Georgia	SEC	0.21	0.23	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.26	0.22	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.10
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.21	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.11
East Carolina	CUSA	0.34	0.20	20.00	21.94	-0.20	-0.11
Arkansas	SEC	0.26	0.20	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.26	0.19	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.22	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.17	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.21	0.17	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.17	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.16	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.11	0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.21	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.21	-0.13
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.17	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.13	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.21	0.13	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.13	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.09
Centenary	Sum	0.16	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.11	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.10	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.03
American	Pat	0.11	0.10	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.10	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.17	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.10	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.10	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.10	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Albany	AE	0.05	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.07	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.07	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.07	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.07	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.07	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.07	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.07	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.07	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.07	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.07	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.07	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.07	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.04	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.04	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.04	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.04	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.04	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.04	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.04	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.04	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.04	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.04	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.54	26.35	53.93	54.94	2.09	2.61
UAB	CUSA	2.65	2.23	81.82	77.82	1.69	1.24
Marshall	CUSA	4.92	4.01	63.16	62.89	1.30	1.03
Florida	SEC	2.54	2.06	72.73	66.65	1.15	0.68
Denver	SB	3.01	2.79	63.64	61.70	0.82	0.65
North Texas	SB	3.00	2.78	60.00	62.29	0.60	0.68
Western Kentucky	SB	5.40	4.74	54.55	56.41	0.49	0.61
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.28	4.80	54.55	57.57	0.30	0.73
Tulsa	CUSA	0.37	0.37	77.27	70.93	0.20	0.16
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.26	0.22	76.19	73.20	0.13	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.13	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.14	82.61	75.26	0.11	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.16	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.10	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.17	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.09	0.12
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.27	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.11
Arkansas St.	SB	0.58	2.74	57.14	56.95	0.08	0.38
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.10	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.07	0.06
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.07	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.49	0.34	55.56	55.85	0.05	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.07	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.10	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.26	0.19	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.13	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.10	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.07	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.22	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.21	0.17	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.17	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.04	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.04	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.10	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.07	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.07	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.26	0.20	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.07	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.07	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.04	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.04	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.04	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.17	0.13	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.04	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.04	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.11	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.04	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.21	0.13	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.10	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.04	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.07	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.07	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.04	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.17	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.04	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.04	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.21	0.23	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.22	0.27	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.27	0.24	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.10	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01