The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Troy page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Troy

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		109.0
Current RPI:		109
Expected SOS:		172
Current SOS:		172
Current Record:		17-12
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Conf Record:		15-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-4
Current OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC RPI:		201
Expected OOC SOS:		56

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-12		109.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Troy.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-20	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	58-80	L	0%	0.0
11-24	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	A	59-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	N	80-64	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	A	77-80	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	A	81-77	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	A	70-99	L	0%	0.0
12-14	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	85-93	L	0%	0.0
12-17	New Orleans (323.0)	SB	H	78-76	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	H	75-78	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Louisiana Monroe (273.0)	SB	A	83-82	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Denver (165.0)	SB	H	64-46	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	A	69-83	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Florida International (296.0)	SB	A	84-68	W	100%	0.0
1-14	North Texas (104.0)	SB	H	72-75	L	0%	0.0
1-16	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	H	77-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Louisiana Lafayette (245.0)	SB	A	54-69	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Louisiana Monroe (273.0)	SB	H	75-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	H	73-66	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	A	70-67	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	A	69-87	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Florida International (296.0)	SB	H	81-78	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	H	66-62	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	H	86-80	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Arkansas Little Rock (301.0)	SB	A	76-73	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Arkansas St. (202.0)	SB	A	64-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	N	67-55	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	N	54-48	W	100%	0.0
3-9	North Texas (104.0)	SB	N	63-66	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Troy's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Troy's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Troy.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.50	26.50	63.78	63.78	7.30	7.30
South Alabama	SB	6.08	6.08	51.85	51.85	0.23	0.23
Western Kentucky	SB	6.08	6.08	64.52	64.52	1.76	1.76
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.42	4.42	60.71	60.71	0.95	0.95
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.38	4.38	42.31	42.31	-0.67	-0.67
Florida International	SB	4.36	4.36	20.69	20.69	-2.56	-2.56
North Texas	SB	4.32	4.32	71.43	71.43	1.85	1.85
Louisiana Monroe	SB	4.26	4.26	37.04	37.04	-1.10	-1.10
Marshall	CUSA	3.59	3.59	66.67	66.67	1.20	1.20
Denver	SB	2.74	2.74	61.29	61.29	0.62	0.62
Arkansas St.	SB	2.66	2.66	53.57	53.57	0.19	0.19
New Orleans	SB	2.63	2.63	22.22	22.22	-1.46	-1.46
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.62	2.62	40.74	40.74	-0.49	-0.49
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.56	2.56	22.22	22.22	-1.42	-1.42
UAB	CUSA	2.01	2.01	73.33	73.33	0.94	0.94
Florida	SEC	1.89	1.89	62.50	62.50	0.47	0.47
Houston	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.12	53.12	0.12	0.12
Georgia Southern	SC	1.81	1.81	20.69	20.69	-1.06	-1.06
Auburn	SEC	1.81	1.81	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Valparaiso	Horz	1.75	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Tulsa	CUSA	0.40	0.40	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.13
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.37	0.37	55.17	55.17	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.34	0.34	26.67	26.67	-0.16	-0.16
Rice	CUSA	0.28	0.28	23.33	23.33	-0.15	-0.15
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.25	71.88	71.88	0.11	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.25	0.25	35.48	35.48	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.36	-0.06	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.22	81.25	81.25	0.14	0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.21	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.20	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.20	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.18	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	6.45	6.45	-0.13	-0.13
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.14	0.14	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.09	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.50	26.50	63.78	63.78	7.30	7.30
South Alabama	SB	6.08	6.08	51.85	51.85	0.23	0.23
Western Kentucky	SB	6.08	6.08	64.52	64.52	1.76	1.76
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.42	4.42	60.71	60.71	0.95	0.95
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.38	4.38	42.31	42.31	-0.67	-0.67
Florida International	SB	4.36	4.36	20.69	20.69	-2.56	-2.56
North Texas	SB	4.32	4.32	71.43	71.43	1.85	1.85
Louisiana Monroe	SB	4.26	4.26	37.04	37.04	-1.10	-1.10
Marshall	CUSA	3.59	3.59	66.67	66.67	1.20	1.20
Denver	SB	2.74	2.74	61.29	61.29	0.62	0.62
Arkansas St.	SB	2.66	2.66	53.57	53.57	0.19	0.19
New Orleans	SB	2.63	2.63	22.22	22.22	-1.46	-1.46
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.62	2.62	40.74	40.74	-0.49	-0.49
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.56	2.56	22.22	22.22	-1.42	-1.42
UAB	CUSA	2.01	2.01	73.33	73.33	0.94	0.94
Florida	SEC	1.89	1.89	62.50	62.50	0.47	0.47
Houston	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.12	53.12	0.12	0.12
Georgia Southern	SC	1.81	1.81	20.69	20.69	-1.06	-1.06
Auburn	SEC	1.81	1.81	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Valparaiso	Horz	1.75	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Tulsa	CUSA	0.40	0.40	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.13
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.37	0.37	55.17	55.17	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.34	0.34	26.67	26.67	-0.16	-0.16
Rice	CUSA	0.28	0.28	23.33	23.33	-0.15	-0.15
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.25	71.88	71.88	0.11	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.25	0.25	35.48	35.48	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.36	-0.06	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.22	81.25	81.25	0.14	0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.21	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.20	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.20	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.18	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	6.45	6.45	-0.13	-0.13
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.14	0.14	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.09	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	26.50	26.50	63.78	63.78	7.30	7.30
North Texas	SB	4.32	4.32	71.43	71.43	1.85	1.85
Western Kentucky	SB	6.08	6.08	64.52	64.52	1.76	1.76
Marshall	CUSA	3.59	3.59	66.67	66.67	1.20	1.20
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.42	4.42	60.71	60.71	0.95	0.95
UAB	CUSA	2.01	2.01	73.33	73.33	0.94	0.94
Denver	SB	2.74	2.74	61.29	61.29	0.62	0.62
Florida	SEC	1.89	1.89	62.50	62.50	0.47	0.47
South Alabama	SB	6.08	6.08	51.85	51.85	0.23	0.23
Arkansas St.	SB	2.66	2.66	53.57	53.57	0.19	0.19
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.22	81.25	81.25	0.14	0.14
Tulsa	CUSA	0.40	0.40	66.67	66.67	0.13	0.13
Houston	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.12	53.12	0.12	0.12
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.25	71.88	71.88	0.11	0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.21	0.21	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.37	0.37	55.17	55.17	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.18	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01