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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Kansas

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:3.0
Current RPI:3
Expected SOS:1
Current SOS:1
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:15-5
Expected Conf Record:15-5
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:8-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:5
Expected OOC SOS:1



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
24-93.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8Louisiana Monroe (244.0)SBH80-63W100%0.0
11-12Duke (9.0)ACCN94-83W100%0.0
11-19Iona (59.0)MAACH86-66W100%0.0
11-22Towson (95.0)CAAH88-58W100%0.0
11-28Wake Forest (113.0)ACCN78-87W100%0.0
11-29Villanova (5.0)BEN63-59L0%0.0
11-30UTEP (103.0)CUSAN67-63W100%0.0
12-7Colorado (34.0)P12A75-72L0%0.0
12-10Florida (1.0)SECA67-61L0%0.0
12-14New Mexico (12.0)MWCH80-63W100%0.0
12-21Georgetown (69.0)BEH86-64W100%0.0
12-30Toledo (38.0)MACH93-83W100%0.0
1-5San Diego St. (15.0)MWCH57-61L0%0.0
1-8Oklahoma (26.0)B12A83-90W100%0.0
1-11Kansas St. (51.0)B12H86-60W100%0.0
1-13Iowa St. (7.0)B12A70-77W100%0.0
1-18Oklahoma St. (45.0)B12H80-78W100%0.0
1-20Baylor (30.0)B12H78-68W100%0.0
1-25TCU (212.0)B12A69-91W100%0.0
1-29Iowa St. (7.0)B12H92-81W100%0.0
2-1Texas (36.0)B12A81-69L0%0.0
2-4Baylor (30.0)B12A52-69W100%0.0
2-8West Virginia (88.0)B12H83-69W100%0.0
2-10Kansas St. (51.0)B12A85-82L0%0.0
2-15TCU (212.0)B12H95-65W100%0.0
2-18Texas Tech (121.0)B12A63-64W100%0.0
2-22Texas (36.0)B12H85-54W100%0.0
2-24Oklahoma (26.0)B12H83-75W100%0.0
3-1Oklahoma St. (45.0)B12A72-65L0%0.0
3-5Texas Tech (121.0)B12H82-57W100%0.0
3-8West Virginia (88.0)B12A92-86L0%0.0
3-13Oklahoma St. (45.0)B12N77-70W100%0.0
3-14Iowa St. (7.0)B12N83-94L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kansas.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
KansasB1226.3926.3974.0774.0712.7112.71
Iowa St.B125.445.4483.3383.333.633.63
Oklahoma St.B125.425.4266.6766.671.811.81
BaylorB124.124.1270.9770.971.731.73
TexasB123.973.9770.9770.971.671.67
Kansas St.B123.973.9763.3363.331.061.06
Texas TechB123.953.9546.6746.67-0.26-0.26
OklahomaB123.923.9276.6776.672.092.09
West VirginiaB123.923.9253.3353.330.260.26
TCUB123.913.9125.9325.93-1.88-1.88
ColoradoP121.631.6366.6766.670.540.54
GeorgetownBE1.611.6156.6756.670.210.21
New MexicoMWC1.591.5984.3884.381.091.09
VillanovaBE1.591.5987.1087.101.181.18
San Diego St.MWC1.581.5886.6786.671.161.16
DukeACC1.561.5678.7978.790.900.90
Wake ForestACC1.561.5653.1253.120.100.10
TowsonCAA1.541.5470.0070.000.620.62
FloridaSEC1.521.5293.9493.941.331.33
IonaMAAC1.521.5270.9770.970.640.64
Louisiana MonroeSB1.521.5236.0036.00-0.42-0.42
ToledoMAC1.521.5283.8783.871.031.03
UTEPCUSA1.521.5270.0070.000.610.61
Boise St.MWC0.190.1959.3859.380.030.03
UT ArlingtonSB0.180.1843.3343.33-0.02-0.02
TulsaCUSA0.180.1863.6463.640.050.05
Louisiana TechCUSA0.170.1778.7978.790.100.10
Seton HallBE0.170.1750.0050.000.000.00
DePaulBE0.170.1736.3636.36-0.05-0.05
ButlerBE0.170.1743.3343.33-0.02-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
ArizonaP120.160.1688.2488.240.120.12
MemphisAmer0.160.1670.9770.970.070.07
South CarolinaSEC0.160.1641.1841.18-0.03-0.03
MarquetteBE0.140.1453.1253.120.010.01
Colorado St.MWC0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
George MasonA100.140.1435.4835.48-0.04-0.04
SyracuseACC0.140.1484.3884.380.090.09
North CarolinaACC0.140.1471.8871.880.060.06
Arkansas Little RockSB0.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Washington St.P120.120.1230.0030.00-0.05-0.05
CreightonBE0.120.1278.7978.790.070.07
William & MaryCAA0.120.1261.2961.290.030.03
UNLVMWC0.120.1260.6160.610.030.03
Utah St.MWC0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
XavierBE0.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1223.3323.33-0.06-0.06
Michigan St.B100.120.1276.4776.470.060.06
Fresno St.MWC0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
IowaB100.120.1261.2961.290.030.03
Northern IllinoisMAC0.120.1245.1645.16-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.120.1246.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.120.1253.5753.570.010.01
PittsburghACC0.120.1273.5373.530.050.05
BYUWCC0.110.1166.6766.670.040.04
TennesseeSEC0.110.1162.5062.500.030.03
USCP120.110.1132.2632.26-0.04-0.04
AuburnSEC0.110.1146.6746.67-0.01-0.01
KentuckySEC0.110.1170.5970.590.050.05
TroySB0.110.1131.0331.03-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.100.1064.5264.520.030.03
South AlabamaSB0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
Texas St.SB0.100.1020.6920.69-0.06-0.06
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.100.1048.1548.15-0.00-0.00
LSUSEC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
MississippiSEC0.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
ProvidenceBE0.100.1067.6567.650.030.03
St. John'sBE0.100.1062.5062.500.020.02
UTSACUSA0.100.1022.2222.22-0.05-0.05
New Mexico St.WAC0.090.0973.5373.530.040.04
San Jose St.MWC0.090.0917.2417.24-0.06-0.06
TulaneCUSA0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.090.0924.0024.00-0.05-0.05
GonzagaWCC0.090.0981.8281.820.060.06
Long Beach St.BW0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
RiderMAAC0.090.0945.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Air ForceMWC0.090.0935.7135.71-0.03-0.03
NevadaMWC0.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
TempleAmer0.090.0929.0329.03-0.04-0.04
Eastern MichiganMAC0.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.090.0914.8114.81-0.07-0.07
MercerASun0.090.0974.1974.190.050.05
Oral RobertsSlnd0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
WyomingMWC0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.090.0929.0329.03-0.04-0.04
AkronMAC0.090.0963.6463.640.030.03
Northern IowaMVC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.090.0961.7661.760.020.02
Arizona St.P120.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
MissouriSEC0.090.0966.6766.670.030.03
MichiganB100.090.0975.7675.760.050.05
ClemsonACC0.090.0962.5062.500.020.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.090.0961.7661.760.020.02
HarvardIvy0.070.0786.2186.210.050.05
Mississippi St.SEC0.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
NortheasternCAA0.070.0734.3834.38-0.02-0.02
DelawareCAA0.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
CharlotteCUSA0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
North TexasCUSA0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
East CarolinaCUSA0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
ManhattanMAAC0.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
Western MichiganMAC0.070.0770.9770.970.030.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.070.0726.6726.67-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.070.0717.8617.86-0.05-0.05
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.070.0793.1093.100.060.06
PresbyterianBSth0.070.0713.3313.33-0.05-0.05
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
WisconsinB100.070.0778.7978.790.040.04
DaytonA100.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
ElonSC0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
WashingtonP120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
Charleston SouthernBSth0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Delaware St.MEAC0.070.0725.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
South FloridaAmer0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
UMKCWAC0.070.0734.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Utah ValleyWAC0.070.0762.0762.070.020.02
Notre DameACC0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Savannah St.MEAC0.070.0736.6736.67-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
VanderbiltSEC0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Florida St.ACC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
VirginiaACC0.070.0782.3582.350.040.04
UCLAP120.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
Georgia St.SB0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
Western KentuckySB0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.050.0514.8114.81-0.04-0.04
LongwoodBSth0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
SMUAmer0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
FIUCUSA0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
HofstraCAA0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
ColgatePat0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
San DiegoWCC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
The CitadelSC0.050.0513.7913.79-0.03-0.03
UABCUSA0.050.0555.1755.170.000.00
Ball St.MAC0.050.0510.7110.71-0.04-0.04
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
DetroitHorz0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
DuquesneA100.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0521.8821.88-0.03-0.03
George WashingtonA100.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
Georgia SouthernSC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
IdahoWAC0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Loyola MDPat0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
MaristMAAC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MonmouthMAAC0.050.0534.3834.38-0.01-0.01
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0521.2121.21-0.03-0.03
Northern ArizonaBSky0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0555.1755.170.000.00
OhioMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
SienaMAAC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
South DakotaSum0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
South Dakota St.Sum0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
OregonP120.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
Oregon St.P120.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
St. BonaventureA100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
DavidsonSC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
MarylandACC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Miami FLACC0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
RichmondA100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
CaliforniaP120.040.0459.3859.380.010.01
GeorgiaSEC0.040.0459.3859.380.010.01
UtahP120.040.0463.3363.330.010.01
Ohio St.B100.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
SamfordSC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
DenverSum0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
High PointBSth0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
LipscombASun0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Montana St.BSky0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
NavyPat0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
New HampshireAE0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
New OrleansSlnd0.020.0236.3636.36-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0278.5778.570.010.01
Sacramento St.BSky0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Southern UtahBSky0.020.023.573.57-0.02-0.02
UC RiversideBW0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
UMBCAE0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
VCUA100.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Western IllinoisSum0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
BuffaloMAC0.020.0264.2964.290.010.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
Kent St.MAC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
La SalleA100.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
LafayettePat0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
WoffordSC0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
Alabama A&MSWAC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0281.8281.820.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0246.1546.15-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
VMIBSth0.020.0255.5655.560.000.00
ArkansasSEC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
North FloridaASun0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
StanfordP120.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.020.0220.6920.69-0.01-0.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
VermontAE0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01