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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Kansas

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:5.0
Current RPI:5
Expected SOS:19
Current SOS:19
Current Record:29-5
Expected Record:29-5
Current Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Record:17-4
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC RPI:6
Expected OOC SOS:17


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
29-55.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Southeast Missouri St. (216.0)OVCH74-55W100%0.0
11-13Michigan St. (9.0)B10N64-67L0%0.0
11-15Chattanooga (292.0)SCH69-55W100%0.0
11-19Washington St. (196.0)P12N78-41W100%0.0
11-20St. Louis (15.0)A10H73-59W100%0.0
11-26San Jose St. (261.0)WACH70-57W100%0.0
11-30Oregon St. (181.0)P12H84-78W100%0.0
12-8Colorado (38.0)P12H90-54W100%0.0
12-15Belmont (21.0)OVCH89-60W100%0.0
12-18Richmond (92.0)A10H87-59W100%0.0
12-22Ohio St. (10.0)B10A66-74W100%0.0
12-29American (278.0)PatH89-57W100%0.0
1-6Temple (42.0)A10H69-62W100%0.0
1-9Iowa St. (41.0)B12H97-89W100%0.0
1-12Texas Tech (214.0)B12A46-60W100%0.0
1-14Baylor (71.0)B12H61-44W100%0.0
1-19Texas (116.0)B12A59-64W100%0.0
1-22Kansas St. (19.0)B12A55-59W100%0.0
1-26Oklahoma (39.0)B12H67-54W100%0.0
1-28West Virginia (146.0)B12A56-61W100%0.0
2-2Oklahoma St. (27.0)B12H80-85L0%0.0
2-6Texas Christian (238.0)B12A62-55L0%0.0
2-9Oklahoma (39.0)B12A72-66L0%0.0
2-11Kansas St. (19.0)B12H83-62W100%0.0
2-16Texas (116.0)B12H73-47W100%0.0
2-20Oklahoma St. (27.0)B12A67-68W100%0.0
2-23Texas Christian (238.0)B12H74-48W100%0.0
2-25Iowa St. (41.0)B12A96-108W100%0.0
3-2West Virginia (146.0)B12H91-65W100%0.0
3-4Texas Tech (214.0)B12H79-42W100%0.0
3-9Baylor (71.0)B12A81-58L0%0.0
3-14Texas Tech (214.0)B12H91-63W100%0.0
3-15Iowa St. (41.0)B12H88-73W100%0.0
3-16Kansas St. (19.0)B12N70-54W100%0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kansas.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.


Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
KansasB1226.4826.4885.0085.0018.5418.54
Kansas St.B125.345.3486.6786.673.923.92
Iowa St.B125.305.3073.3373.332.472.47
Texas TechB125.295.2939.2939.29-1.13-1.13
TexasB123.963.9653.3353.330.260.26
West VirginiaB123.943.9443.3343.33-0.53-0.53
Oklahoma St.B123.933.9376.6776.672.102.10
OklahomaB123.933.9365.5265.521.221.22
BaylorB123.893.8955.1755.170.400.40
Texas ChristianB123.863.8631.0331.03-1.47-1.47
ColoradoP121.611.6167.7467.740.570.57
Oregon St.P121.591.5945.1645.16-0.15-0.15
Michigan St.B101.581.5874.1974.190.770.77
Ohio St.B101.541.5481.2581.250.960.96
Washington St.P121.541.5441.9441.94-0.25-0.25
Southeast Missouri St.OVC1.521.5250.0050.000.000.00
St. LouisA101.521.5284.3884.381.041.04
RichmondA101.521.5258.0658.060.240.24
TempleA101.521.5274.1974.190.730.73
BelmontOVC1.491.4982.7682.760.980.98
ChattanoogaSC1.491.4937.9337.93-0.36-0.36
AmericanPat1.471.4734.4834.48-0.46-0.46
San Jose St.WAC1.471.4729.6329.63-0.60-0.60
GonzagaWCC0.280.2893.7593.750.240.24
ArizonaP120.210.2178.1278.120.120.12
MichiganB100.200.2078.1278.120.110.11
Texas ArlingtonWAC0.190.1959.3859.380.040.04
Arizona St.P120.190.1963.6463.640.050.05
WashingtonP120.180.1854.5554.550.020.02
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.180.1822.5822.58-0.10-0.10
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.170.1770.9770.970.070.07
NorthwesternB100.160.1640.6240.62-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.140.1437.9337.93-0.03-0.03
StanfordP120.140.1456.2556.250.020.02
Virginia CommonwealthA100.140.1476.4776.470.070.07
Nebraska OmahaSum0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.140.1452.9452.940.010.01
OregonP120.140.1476.4776.470.070.07
Southern CaliforniaP120.140.1443.7543.75-0.02-0.02
UCLAP120.140.1473.5373.530.060.06
PurdueB100.140.1446.8846.88-0.01-0.01
South Carolina UpstateASun0.140.1445.1645.16-0.01-0.01
CharlotteA100.140.1465.6265.620.040.04
George WashingtonA100.140.1443.3343.33-0.02-0.02
IowaB100.140.1463.6463.640.040.04
Murray St.OVC0.120.1265.5265.520.040.04
Tennessee TechOVC0.120.1237.0437.04-0.03-0.03
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.120.1238.7138.71-0.03-0.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.120.1235.4835.48-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.120.1213.7913.79-0.08-0.08
MinnesotaB100.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
CaliforniaP120.110.1164.5264.520.030.03
UtahP120.110.1141.9441.94-0.02-0.02
Brigham YoungWCC0.110.1164.5264.520.030.03
LamarSlnd0.110.119.689.68-0.09-0.09
SouthernSWAC0.110.1168.9768.970.040.04
DuquesneA100.110.1126.6726.67-0.05-0.05
ButlerA100.110.1175.7675.760.060.06
NebraskaB100.110.1145.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
WisconsinB100.110.1167.6567.650.040.04
Louisiana TechWAC0.100.1080.6580.650.060.06
New Orleansind0.100.1018.1818.18-0.06-0.06
Texas St.WAC0.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Tennessee St.OVC0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
College of CharlestonSC0.100.1072.7372.730.040.04
LehighPat0.100.1068.9768.970.040.04
NavyPat0.100.1023.3323.33-0.05-0.05
OhioMAC0.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0939.2939.29-0.02-0.02
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.090.0928.0028.00-0.04-0.04
Tennessee MartinOVC0.090.0925.0025.00-0.05-0.05
AlabamaSEC0.090.0962.5062.500.020.02
GramblingSWAC0.090.090.000.00-0.09-0.09
DavidsonSC0.090.0978.1278.120.050.05
Northern KentuckyASun0.090.0940.7440.74-0.02-0.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.090.0958.0658.060.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
Fresno St.MWC0.090.0932.1432.14-0.03-0.03
Virginia TechACC0.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.090.0954.8454.840.010.01
MassachusettsA100.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
IndianaB100.090.0981.8281.820.060.06
Rhode IslandA100.090.0927.5927.59-0.04-0.04
DelawareCAA0.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
IdahoWAC0.080.0837.9337.93-0.02-0.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.080.0869.7069.700.030.03
HoustonCUSA0.070.0760.0060.000.010.01
ArmyPat0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
NC GreensboroSC0.070.0724.1424.14-0.04-0.04
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0757.6957.690.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UC DavisBW0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Austin PeayOVC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
Oral RobertsSlnd0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
GeorgetownBE0.070.0780.6580.650.040.04
WoffordSC0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Central ArkansasSlnd0.070.0739.2939.29-0.01-0.01
OaklandSum0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Portland St.BSky0.070.0723.0823.08-0.04-0.04
FordhamA100.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
La SalleA100.070.0770.0070.000.030.03
St. BonaventureA100.070.0748.2848.28-0.00-0.00
XavierA100.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
IllinoisB100.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
CampbellBSth0.070.0736.6736.67-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiBE0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
DrakeMVC0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
FloridaSEC0.070.0778.7978.790.040.04
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
North DakotaBSky0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
South DakotaSum0.070.0728.5728.57-0.03-0.03
YaleIvy0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
DenverWAC0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
SeattleWAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Texas San AntonioWAC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Utah St.WAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
James MadisonCAA0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
Montana St.BSky0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Appalachian St.SC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
BucknellPat0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
ColgatePat0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
ElonSC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
Holy CrossPat0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
LafayettePat0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
LipscombASun0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Western CarolinaSC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
TroySB0.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
HamptonMEAC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
HowardMEAC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
Utah ValleyGWC0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
ArkansasSEC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Cal PolyBW0.050.0555.1755.170.000.00
KentuckySEC0.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0514.8114.81-0.03-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Northwestern St.Slnd0.050.0570.3770.370.020.02
Southern MethodistCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Southern UtahBSky0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
St. John'sBE0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.050.0585.1985.190.030.03
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Texas El PasoCUSA0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
TulsaCUSA0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
UABCUSA0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Air ForceMWC0.050.0553.5753.570.000.00
AkronMAC0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
BuffaloMAC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
MaristMAAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Missouri St.MVC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
North CarolinaACC0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0570.5970.590.020.02
RadfordBSth0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
South FloridaBE0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
TennesseeSEC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
TowsonCAA0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Virginia Military InstBSth0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.GWC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
Penn St.B100.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.040.0454.8454.840.000.00
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0344.4444.44-0.00-0.00
Weber St.BSky0.030.0380.0080.000.020.02
Boston UniversityAE0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
Central FloridaCUSA0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
FurmanSC0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Georgia SouthernSC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Georgia TechACC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
High PointBSth0.020.0253.5753.570.000.00
Kennesaw St.ASun0.020.0210.0010.00-0.02-0.02
Louisiana St.SEC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.027.147.14-0.02-0.02
MD Baltimore CountyAE0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
MercerASun0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.020.0284.8584.850.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
NortheasternCAA0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
QuinnipiacNEC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
San FranciscoWCC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Ball St.MAC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
MissouriSEC0.020.0269.7069.700.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.020.0265.5265.520.010.01
CanisiusMAAC0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Colorado St.MWC0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
ConnecticutBE0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
George MasonCAA0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
HartfordAE0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Idaho St.BSky0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Kent St.MAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
LibertyBSth0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoHorz0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Miami FLACC0.020.0281.8281.820.010.01
NC WilmingtonCAA0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
NiagaraMAAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Northern ArizonaBSky0.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCAA0.020.0216.6716.67-0.02-0.02
PennsylvaniaIvy0.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
PortlandWCC0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
San DiegoWCC0.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
StetsonASun0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
SyracuseBE0.020.0274.2974.290.010.01
Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
VillanovaBE0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
WagnerNEC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Wake ForestACC0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
William & MaryCAA0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
WyomingMWC0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
AlbanyAE0.020.0270.5970.590.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Loyola MarymountWCC0.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
NC AshevilleBSth0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
New MexicoMWC0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
North TexasSB0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
ValparaisoHorz0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
WinthropBSth0.020.0239.2939.29-0.00-0.00