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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Kansas

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:2.0
Current RPI:2
Expected SOS:1
Current SOS:1
Current Record:26-8
Expected Record:26-8
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:9-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:0-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:1
Expected OOC SOS:2



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
26-82.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14UC Santa Barbara (87.0)BWH69-59W100%0.0
11-18Kentucky (1.0)SECN40-72L0%0.0
11-24Rider (140.0)MAACH87-60W100%0.0
11-27Rhode Island (66.0)A10N60-76W100%0.0
11-28Tennessee (96.0)SECN82-67W100%0.0
11-30Michigan St. (23.0)B10N56-61W100%0.0
12-5Florida (72.0)SECH71-65W100%0.0
12-10Georgetown (25.0)BEA70-75W100%0.0
12-13Utah (20.0)P12N63-60W100%0.0
12-20Lafayette (122.0)PatH96-69W100%0.0
12-22Temple (34.0)AmerA77-52L0%0.0
12-30Kent St. (94.0)MACH78-62W100%0.0
1-4UNLV (114.0)MWCH76-61W100%0.0
1-7Baylor (10.0)B12A55-56W100%0.0
1-10Texas Tech (183.0)B12H86-54W100%0.0
1-13Oklahoma St. (49.0)B12H67-57W100%0.0
1-17Iowa St. (9.0)B12A86-81L0%0.0
1-19Oklahoma (18.0)B12H85-78W100%0.0
1-24Texas (42.0)B12A62-75W100%0.0
1-28TCU (131.0)B12A61-64W100%0.0
1-31Kansas St. (100.0)B12H68-57W100%0.0
2-2Iowa St. (9.0)B12H89-76W100%0.0
2-7Oklahoma St. (49.0)B12A67-62L0%0.0
2-10Texas Tech (183.0)B12A51-73W100%0.0
2-14Baylor (10.0)B12H74-64W100%0.0
2-16West Virginia (24.0)B12A62-61L0%0.0
2-21TCU (131.0)B12H81-72W100%0.0
2-23Kansas St. (100.0)B12A70-63L0%0.0
2-28Texas (42.0)B12H69-64W100%0.0
3-3West Virginia (24.0)B12H76-69W100%0.0
3-7Oklahoma (18.0)B12A75-73L0%0.0
3-12TCU (131.0)B12N64-59W100%0.0
3-13Baylor (10.0)B12N62-52W100%0.0
3-14Iowa St. (9.0)B12N66-70L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kansas.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
KansasB1226.4626.4679.7179.7115.7215.72
Iowa St.B125.335.3376.6776.672.842.84
TCUB125.285.2860.0060.001.061.06
BaylorB125.285.2879.3179.313.103.10
TexasB123.953.9564.5264.521.151.15
OklahomaB123.933.9370.0070.001.571.57
West VirginiaB123.903.9073.3373.331.821.82
Kansas St.B123.903.9046.6746.67-0.26-0.26
Texas TechB123.853.8543.3343.33-0.51-0.51
Oklahoma St.B123.853.8557.1457.140.550.55
KentuckySEC1.601.60100.00100.001.601.60
FloridaSEC1.581.5850.0050.000.000.00
TennesseeSEC1.561.5651.6151.610.050.05
UNLVMWC1.521.5254.8454.840.150.15
LafayettePat1.521.5263.3363.330.400.40
Michigan St.B101.491.4969.7069.700.590.59
TempleAmer1.491.4968.7568.750.560.56
UtahP121.491.4976.6776.670.800.80
GeorgetownBE1.491.4970.0070.000.600.60
RiderMAAC1.491.4967.7467.740.530.53
Kent St.MAC1.471.4766.6766.670.490.49
Rhode IslandA101.471.4772.4172.410.660.66
UC Santa BarbaraBW1.471.4758.6258.620.250.25
South CarolinaSEC0.300.3050.0050.000.000.00
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.230.2343.7543.75-0.03-0.03
LSUSEC0.200.2068.7568.750.080.08
Texas A&MSEC0.200.2064.5264.520.060.06
VanderbiltSEC0.200.2058.0658.060.030.03
ArkansasSEC0.200.2076.4776.470.110.11
MissouriSEC0.180.1825.8125.81-0.09-0.09
Texas SouthernSWAC0.180.1864.7164.710.050.05
MarylandB100.180.1881.8281.820.120.12
AlabamaSEC0.180.1854.8454.840.020.02
MemphisAmer0.160.1656.2556.250.020.02
ConnecticutAmer0.160.1658.8258.820.030.03
Mississippi St.SEC0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
MississippiSEC0.160.1662.5062.500.040.04
ButlerBE0.140.1468.7568.750.050.05
TulsaAmer0.140.1470.9770.970.060.06
Long Beach St.BW0.140.1445.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Washington St.P120.140.1441.9441.94-0.02-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.140.1440.7440.74-0.03-0.03
SouthernSWAC0.140.1446.8846.88-0.01-0.01
GeorgiaSEC0.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
AuburnSEC0.130.1341.1841.18-0.02-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.130.1318.7518.75-0.08-0.08
IowaB100.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
CreightonBE0.120.1242.4242.42-0.02-0.02
George MasonA100.120.1226.6726.67-0.05-0.05
ArizonaP120.120.1291.1891.180.100.10
UCLAP120.120.1260.6160.610.020.02
StanfordP120.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
WisconsinB100.110.1191.1891.180.090.09
BradleyMVC0.110.1125.0025.00-0.06-0.06
UMKCWAC0.110.1138.7138.71-0.03-0.03
IllinoisB100.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
Oregon St.P120.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.090.0925.8125.81-0.05-0.05
ProvidenceBE0.090.0966.6766.670.030.03
AmericanPat0.090.0951.5251.520.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.090.0936.6736.67-0.02-0.02
WashingtonP120.090.0951.6151.610.000.00
Boston UniversityPat0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
San Diego St.MWC0.090.0975.7675.760.050.05
Santa ClaraWCC0.090.0940.0040.00-0.02-0.02
MarquetteBE0.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Air ForceMWC0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
MonmouthMAAC0.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.090.0955.5655.560.010.01
SMUAmer0.090.0981.2581.250.060.06
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.090.0956.6756.670.010.01
RadfordBSth0.090.0962.0762.070.020.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.090.0910.3410.34-0.07-0.07
OaklandHorz0.090.0946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Cal PolyBW0.070.0740.7440.74-0.01-0.01
UC IrvineBW0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
UC RiversideBW0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
La SalleA100.070.0751.5251.520.000.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
AkronMAC0.070.0758.8258.820.010.01
BucknellPat0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
XavierBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
Ball St.MAC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
Arizona St.P120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
LehighPat0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
VillanovaBE0.070.0794.1294.120.060.06
YaleIvy0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
BuffaloMAC0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
NavyPat0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
PennIvy0.070.0732.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Fresno St.MWC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
NevadaMWC0.070.0724.1424.14-0.04-0.04
New Mexico St.WAC0.070.0767.7467.740.020.02
Norfolk St.MEAC0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.070.0747.0647.06-0.00-0.00
Southern UtahBSky0.070.0732.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.070.0786.6786.670.050.05
CaliforniaP120.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.070.0770.0070.000.030.03
HoustonAmer0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
PurdueB100.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
IndianaB100.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
DrakeMVC0.070.0726.6726.67-0.03-0.03
FurmanSC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
Georgia St.SB0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.070.000.00-0.07-0.07
LamarSlnd0.070.0742.3142.31-0.01-0.01
New OrleansSlnd0.070.0730.7730.77-0.03-0.03
UTSACUSA0.070.0742.8642.86-0.01-0.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
DaytonA100.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0565.5265.520.020.02
FordhamA100.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
George WashingtonA100.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
HawaiiBW0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
MassachusettsA100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0552.9452.940.000.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
UC DavisBW0.050.0579.3179.310.030.03
Colorado St.MWC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
Georgia TechACC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MercerSC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
VCUA100.050.0574.2974.290.020.02
ArmyPat0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
ColgatePat0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
ColoradoP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
DePaulBE0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Holy CrossPat0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Seton HallBE0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
St. John'sBE0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
ToledoMAC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
USCP120.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
PrincetonIvy0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
WagnerNEC0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
NebraskaB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
TowsonCAA0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
College of CharlestonCAA0.050.0527.2727.27-0.02-0.02
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
IonaMAAC0.050.0576.4776.470.020.02
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MaristMAAC0.050.0521.8821.88-0.03-0.03
MarshallCUSA0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
Missouri St.MVC0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
New MexicoMWC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
Northern KentuckyASun0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
PittsburghACC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
San Jose St.MWC0.050.050.000.00-0.05-0.05
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.02-0.02
SienaMAAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Utah St.MWC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
VMISC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Weber St.BSky0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
WoffordSC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
WyomingMWC0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.040.0416.6716.67-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiAmer0.040.0468.7568.750.020.02
East CarolinaAmer0.040.0438.7138.71-0.01-0.01
LipscombASun0.040.0439.2939.29-0.01-0.01
RiceCUSA0.040.0434.4834.48-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.040.0425.8125.81-0.02-0.02
St. Francis PANEC0.040.0450.0050.000.000.00
Texas St.SB0.040.0439.2939.29-0.01-0.01
TulaneAmer0.040.0446.6746.67-0.00-0.00
UCFAmer0.040.0437.9337.93-0.01-0.01
DukeACC0.040.0487.8887.880.030.03
North CarolinaACC0.040.0468.5768.570.020.02
MichiganB100.040.0448.3948.39-0.00-0.00
NorthwesternB100.040.0446.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Ohio St.B100.040.0469.7069.700.020.02
BrownIvy0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.020.0276.6776.670.010.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
DuquesneA100.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
RichmondA100.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
San DiegoWCC0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
SeattleWAC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Southern MissCUSA0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
UMass LowellAE0.020.0239.2939.29-0.01-0.01
VermontAE0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Alabama St.SWAC0.020.0262.9662.960.010.01
Arkansas Little RockSB0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
BYUWCC0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
Central MichiganMAC0.020.0271.4371.430.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
NJITind0.020.0256.0056.000.000.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
North DakotaBSky0.020.0221.4321.43-0.01-0.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Wichita St.MVC0.020.0287.1087.100.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
AlbanyAE0.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.020.0216.1316.13-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
HartfordAE0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
PortlandWCC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.020.0272.4172.410.010.01
South DakotaSum0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Tennessee TechOVC0.020.0235.7135.71-0.01-0.01
DelawareCAA0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Florida St.ACC0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
Miami FLACC0.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
UABCUSA0.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
Wake ForestACC0.020.0240.6240.62-0.00-0.00
William & MaryCAA0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0244.4444.44-0.00-0.00
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0260.7160.710.000.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
LouisvilleACC0.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
MinnesotaB100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Montana St.BSky0.020.0220.6920.69-0.01-0.01
Notre DameACC0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
Penn St.B100.020.0252.9452.940.000.00
RutgersB100.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.020.0229.6329.63-0.01-0.01