Kansas

Conference:	B12
Expected RPI:	5.0
Current RPI:	5
Expected SOS:	2
Current SOS:	2
Current Record:	27-7
Expected Record:	27-7
Current Conf Record:	16-5
Expected Conf Record:	16-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	10-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	4-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	2-0
Current OOC Record:	11-2
Expected OOC Record:	11-2
Expected OOC RPI:	16
Expected OOC SOS:	15

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
27-7	5.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Tennessee St. (189.0)	OVC	H	92-56	W	100%
11-14	Kentucky (10.0)	SEC	N	65-61	W	100%
11-17	South Dakota St. (37.0)	Sum	H	98-64	W	100%
11-21	Texas Southern (222.0)	SWAC	H	114-71	W	100%
11-24	Oakland (182.0)	Horz	H	102-59	W	100%
11-28	Toledo (75.0)	MAC	H	96-58	W	100%
12-2	Syracuse (45.0)	ACC	N	60-76	W	100%
12-6	Washington (71.0)	P12	H	65-74	L	0%
12-10	Arizona St. (66.0)	P12	H	85-95	L	0%
12-16	Nebraska (56.0)	B10	A	72-73	W	100%
12-18	Nebraska Omaha (284.0)	Sum	H	109-64	W	100%
12-21	Stanford (86.0)	P12	N	54-75	W	100%
12-29	Texas (51.0)	B12	A	86-92	W	100%
1-2	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	H	73-85	L	0%
1-6	TCU (26.0)	B12	A	84-88	W	100%
1-9	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	H	83-78	W	100%
1-13	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	H	73-72	W	100%
1-15	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	A	66-71	W	100%
1-20	Baylor (68.0)	B12	H	70-67	W	100%
1-23	Oklahoma (49.0)	B12	A	85-80	L	0%
1-27	Texas A&M (29.0)	SEC	H	79-68	W	100%
1-29	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	A	56-70	W	100%
2-3	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	H	79-84	L	0%
2-6	TCU (26.0)	B12	H	71-64	W	100%
2-10	Baylor (68.0)	B12	A	80-64	L	0%
2-13	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	A	77-83	W	100%
2-17	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	H	77-69	W	100%
2-19	Oklahoma (49.0)	B12	H	104-74	W	100%
2-24	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	A	72-74	W	100%
2-26	Texas (51.0)	B12	H	80-70	W	100%
3-3	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	A	82-64	L	0%
3-8	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	N	82-68	W	100%
3-9	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	N	83-67	W	100%
3-10	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	N	81-70	W	100%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Kansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Kansas.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Kansas	B12	26.45	26.45	76.58	76.58	14.06	14.06
West Virginia	B12	5.37	5.37	77.42	77.42	2.95	2.95
Oklahoma St.	B12	5.30	5.30	56.67	56.67	0.71	0.71
Kansas St.	B12	5.30	5.30	73.33	73.33	2.47	2.47
Texas	B12	3.92	3.92	61.29	61.29	0.89	0.89
TCU	B12	3.92	3.92	70.00	70.00	1.57	1.57
Texas Tech	B12	3.91	3.91	74.19	74.19	1.89	1.89
Oklahoma	B12	3.89	3.89	58.62	58.62	0.67	0.67
Baylor	B12	3.88	3.88	55.17	55.17	0.40	0.40
Iowa St.	B12	3.84	3.84	44.83	44.83	-0.40	-0.40
Texas A&M	SEC	1.65	1.65	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.48
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	1.64	1.64	25.00	25.00	-0.82	-0.82
Texas Southern	SWAC	1.63	1.63	45.45	45.45	-0.15	-0.15
Arizona St.	P12	1.60	1.60	63.33	63.33	0.43	0.43
Kentucky	SEC	1.58	1.58	72.73	72.73	0.72	0.72
Washington	P12	1.56	1.56	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Stanford	P12	1.56	1.56	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Oakland	Horz	1.54	1.54	59.38	59.38	0.29	0.29
Syracuse	ACC	1.54	1.54	62.50	62.50	0.38	0.38
Toledo	MAC	1.54	1.54	68.75	68.75	0.58	0.58
South Dakota St.	Sum	1.52	1.52	82.76	82.76	1.00	1.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.52	1.52	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B10	1.47	1.47	70.97	70.97	0.62	0.62
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.26	0.26	28.57	28.57	-0.11	-0.11
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.20	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.20	37.50	37.50	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P12	0.20	0.20	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri	SEC	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	Sum	0.20	0.20	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Wichita St.	Amer	0.19	0.19	78.12	78.12	0.10	0.10
Oregon	P12	0.18	0.18	64.71	64.71	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Tulsa	Amer	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.18	0.18	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Colorado	P12	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
USC	P12	0.16	0.16	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
California	P12	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P12	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona	P12	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
UCLA	P12	0.14	0.14	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.13	0.13	20.00	20.00	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Denver	Sum	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	OVC	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Utah	P12	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.12	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.11	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	12.50	12.50	-0.08	-0.08
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.11	93.94	93.94	0.10	0.10
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.09	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	8.00	8.00	-0.08	-0.08
UMKC	WAC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.09	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Nevada	MWC	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.09	0.09	16.13	16.13	-0.06	-0.06
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	88.24	88.24	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	32.35	32.35	-0.03	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.09	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
UCF	Amer	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Xavier	BE	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Creighton	BE	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
North Texas	CUSA	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
UTSA	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisville	ACC	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
LSU	SEC	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	20.00	20.00	-0.04	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	CUSA	0.07	0.07	17.86	17.86	-0.04	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.07	0.07	10.71	10.71	-0.05	-0.05
IUPUI	Horz	0.07	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
USC Upstate	ASun	0.07	0.07	10.71	10.71	-0.05	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	15.62	15.62	-0.04	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
NJIT	ASun	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	82.35	82.35	0.03	0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	BSky	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	16.67	16.67	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pacific	WCC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
SMU	Amer	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.04	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.04	0.04	44.44	44.44	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.04	0.04	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	BE	0.04	0.04	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.04	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.04	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.04	24.24	24.24	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.04	0.04	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.04	0.04	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.04	0.04	17.24	17.24	-0.03	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.04	0.04	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
VCU	A10	0.04	0.04	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.04	0.04	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.04	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.04	9.68	9.68	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.04	0.04	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	6.67	6.67	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Seattle	WAC	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.02	0.02	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.02	0.02	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	Amer	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	40.62	40.62	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	Slnd	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	ACC	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Penn	Ivy	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
BYU	WCC	0.02	0.02	70.59	70.59	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01