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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Kansas

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:4.0
Current RPI:4
Expected SOS:21
Current SOS:21
Current Record:28-4
Expected Record:28-4
Current Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Record:16-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC RPI:8
Expected OOC SOS:37



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
28-44.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Indiana (79.0)B10N99-103L0%0.0
11-15Duke (6.0)ACCN77-75W100%0.0
11-18Siena (122.0)MAACH86-65W100%0.0
11-21UAB (201.0)CUSAN83-63W100%0.0
11-22Georgia (52.0)SECN65-54W100%0.0
11-25UNC Asheville (73.0)BSthH95-57W100%0.0
11-29Long Beach St. (214.0)BWH91-61W100%0.0
12-3Stanford (100.0)P12H89-74W100%0.0
12-6UMKC (184.0)WACH105-62W100%0.0
12-10Nebraska (107.0)B10H89-72W100%0.0
12-17Davidson (93.0)A10N89-71W100%0.0
12-22UNLV (242.0)MWCA53-71W100%0.0
12-30TCU (67.0)B12A80-86W100%0.0
1-3Kansas St. (57.0)B12H90-88W100%0.0
1-7Texas Tech (124.0)B12H85-68W100%0.0
1-10Oklahoma (168.0)B12A70-81W100%0.0
1-14Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12H87-80W100%0.0
1-16Iowa St. (21.0)B12A72-76W100%0.0
1-21Texas (156.0)B12H79-67W100%0.0
1-24West Virginia (24.0)B12A85-69L0%0.0
1-28Kentucky (3.0)SECA73-79W100%0.0
2-1Baylor (11.0)B12H73-68W100%0.0
2-4Iowa St. (21.0)B12H89-92L0%0.0
2-6Kansas St. (57.0)B12A71-74W100%0.0
2-11Texas Tech (124.0)B12A79-80W100%0.0
2-13West Virginia (24.0)B12H84-80W100%0.0
2-18Baylor (11.0)B12A65-67W100%0.0
2-22TCU (67.0)B12H87-68W100%0.0
2-25Texas (156.0)B12A67-77W100%0.0
2-27Oklahoma (168.0)B12H73-63W100%0.0
3-4Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12A85-90W100%0.0
3-9TCU (67.0)B12H82-85L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kansas.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
KansasB1226.3126.3185.7185.7118.7918.79
TCUB125.595.5956.6756.670.740.74
West VirginiaB124.124.1278.1278.122.322.32
TexasB124.124.1235.4835.48-1.20-1.20
Iowa St.B124.124.1270.9770.971.731.73
Kansas St.B124.044.0464.5264.521.171.17
OklahomaB124.014.0137.9337.93-0.97-0.97
Texas TechB123.993.9960.0060.000.800.80
Oklahoma St.B123.993.9965.5265.521.241.24
BaylorB123.993.9982.7682.762.612.61
GeorgiaSEC1.701.7058.0658.060.270.27
UNLVMWC1.661.6635.4835.48-0.48-0.48
KentuckySEC1.641.6487.8887.881.241.24
UNC AshevilleBSth1.611.6172.4172.410.720.72
Long Beach St.BW1.611.6141.9441.94-0.26-0.26
UABCUSA1.611.6151.6151.610.050.05
UMKCWAC1.611.6148.2848.28-0.06-0.06
IndianaB101.591.5953.1253.120.100.10
SienaMAAC1.591.5951.5251.520.050.05
DukeACC1.591.5979.4179.410.930.93
NebraskaB101.591.5937.9337.93-0.38-0.38
DavidsonA101.561.5654.8454.840.150.15
StanfordP121.561.5644.8344.83-0.16-0.16
AuburnSEC0.270.2756.2556.250.030.03
North CarolinaACC0.210.2178.7978.790.120.12
WashingtonP120.190.1929.0329.03-0.08-0.08
Michigan St.B100.170.1757.5857.580.030.03
ClemsonACC0.170.1753.1253.120.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.170.1773.5373.530.080.08
FloridaSEC0.170.1775.0075.000.080.08
LouisvilleACC0.170.1775.0075.000.080.08
Arizona St.P120.150.1545.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.150.1553.3353.330.010.01
MarylandB100.150.1574.1974.190.070.07
WisconsinB100.150.1573.5373.530.070.07
IowaB100.150.1556.2556.250.020.02
MichiganB100.150.1568.5768.570.050.05
NorthwesternB100.150.1567.6567.650.050.05
Colorado St.MWC0.150.1565.6265.620.050.05
AlabamaSEC0.140.1457.5857.580.020.02
TennesseeSEC0.140.1448.3948.39-0.00-0.00
CampbellBSth0.130.1345.1645.16-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.130.1384.8584.850.090.09
VCUA100.130.1376.4776.470.070.07
Wichita St.MVC0.130.1387.8887.880.090.09
Penn St.B100.120.1245.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
Nebraska OmahaSum0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
George WashingtonA100.120.1257.5857.580.020.02
Incarnate WordSlnd0.120.1232.0032.00-0.04-0.04
Miami FLACC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
VanderbiltSEC0.120.1255.8855.880.010.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.120.1221.8821.88-0.07-0.07
Texas A&MSEC0.120.1251.6151.610.000.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.100.1083.3383.330.070.07
Ohio St.B100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
LongwoodBSth0.100.1014.2914.29-0.07-0.07
SouthernSWAC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.100.1021.4321.43-0.06-0.06
UCLAP120.100.1087.8887.880.080.08
ColoradoP120.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
RadfordBSth0.100.1040.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.100.1020.0020.00-0.06-0.06
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.100.1076.6776.670.050.05
MississippiSEC0.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
RichmondA100.100.1062.5062.500.020.02
Utah St.MWC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
SMUAmer0.100.1088.2488.240.070.07
LSUSEC0.100.1032.2632.26-0.03-0.03
IllinoisB100.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.100.1072.7372.730.040.04
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.090.0955.8855.880.010.01
ManhattanMAAC0.090.0931.2531.25-0.03-0.03
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.080.0824.1424.14-0.04-0.04
Charleston SouthernBSth0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
Oregon St.P120.080.0812.9012.90-0.06-0.06
LibertyBSth0.080.0855.1755.170.010.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.070.0735.7135.71-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.070.0776.6776.670.040.04
FurmanSC0.070.0763.3363.330.020.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.070.0767.7467.740.030.03
MemphisAmer0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.070.0768.9768.970.030.03
Mississippi St.SEC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
DrakeMVC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
Green BayHorz0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
PurdueB100.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
Washington St.P120.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
CharlotteCUSA0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
North TexasCUSA0.070.0721.4321.43-0.04-0.04
RiceCUSA0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
San Diego St.MWC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
UC RiversideBW0.070.0722.2222.22-0.04-0.04
UTSACUSA0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Western KentuckyCUSA0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Houston BaptistSlnd0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Western CarolinaSC0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
MissouriSEC0.070.0725.0025.00-0.04-0.04
South CarolinaSEC0.070.0767.7467.740.030.03
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
BradleyMVC0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Illinois St.MVC0.070.0781.2581.250.040.04
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
WoffordSC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Boston CollegeACC0.070.0728.1228.12-0.03-0.03
CanisiusMAAC0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
FairfieldMAAC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
IonaMAAC0.070.0764.7164.710.020.02
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0781.8281.820.040.04
MaristMAAC0.070.0725.0025.00-0.03-0.03
VirginiaACC0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.050.0567.8667.860.020.02
CaliforniaP120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
CreightonBE0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
High PointBSth0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
PresbyterianBSth0.050.0510.7110.71-0.04-0.04
SeattleWAC0.050.0537.0437.04-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.050.0564.5264.520.020.02
USC UpstateASun0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
UtahP120.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Utah ValleyWAC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
WinthropBSth0.050.0580.0080.000.030.03
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.050.0536.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
GeorgetownBE0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
New OrleansSlnd0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.050.0536.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
TulaneAmer0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
TulsaAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
XavierBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
MinnesotaB100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Air ForceMWC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Cal PolyBW0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
FIUCUSA0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
FordhamA100.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
La SalleA100.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
MarshallCUSA0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
NevadaMWC0.050.0582.3582.350.030.03
New MexicoMWC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0537.0437.04-0.01-0.01
San Jose St.MWC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
UC DavisBW0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.050.0518.5218.52-0.03-0.03
WyomingMWC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
ElonCAA0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Virginia TechACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
DuquesneA100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0585.2985.290.030.03
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.050.0596.9796.970.040.04
HamptonMEAC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0540.7440.74-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0523.0823.08-0.03-0.03
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Georgia TechACC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
HofstraCAA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
New HampshireAE0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
RiderMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
TempleAmer0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
VMISC0.050.0514.2914.29-0.03-0.03
Florida St.ACC0.040.0475.7675.760.020.02
Notre DameACC0.040.0473.5373.530.020.02
Wake ForestACC0.040.0459.3859.380.010.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
HarvardIvy0.030.0361.5461.540.010.01
IdahoBSky0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Murray St.OVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Seton HallBE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
USCP120.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
Weber St.BSky0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
Alabama A&MSWAC0.020.026.906.90-0.02-0.02
BinghamtonAE0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Fresno St.MWC0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
George MasonA100.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
HartfordAE0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
JacksonvilleASun0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MarquetteBE0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MassachusettsA100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
MercerSC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Northern ArizonaBSky0.020.0225.8125.81-0.01-0.01
OaklandHorz0.020.0273.3373.330.010.01
Old DominionCUSA0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Southern MissCUSA0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
Southern UtahBSky0.020.0212.9012.90-0.02-0.02
TroySB0.020.0258.8258.820.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Austin PeayOVC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Fort WayneSum0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.020.0217.8617.86-0.02-0.02
UMass LowellAE0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
AlbanyAE0.020.0260.6160.610.000.00
BucknellPat0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoHorz0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
VermontAE0.020.0284.8584.850.020.02
MaineAE0.020.0219.3519.35-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
PittsburghACC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
SyracuseACC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.020.0253.5753.570.000.00
William & MaryCAA0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00