The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UCLA page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

UCLA

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		146.7
Current RPI:		136
Expected SOS:		52
Current SOS:		44
Current Record:		11-12
Expected Record:		13-17
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-1
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC RPI:		188
Expected OOC SOS:		47

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-13	87.2	0.14%
16-14	99.6	1.35%
15-15	114.1	8.09%
14-16	131.3	25.20%
13-17	149.6	37.93%
12-18	166.6	22.36%
11-19	181.4	4.92%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UCLA.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Cal St. Fullerton (212.6)	BW	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	75-64	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	H	71-52	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Portland (84.3)	WCC	N	47-74	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Butler (17.9)	Horz	N	67-69	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	N	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Kansas (1.8)	B12	H	61-73	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	N	54-72	L	0%	0.0
12-15	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	H	100-68	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	73-84	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	H	75-63	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	H	66-49	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	72-70	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	63-77	L	0%	0.0
1-6	California (24.1)	P10	A	76-75	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	46-67	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	66-71	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	62-52	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	77-73	W	100%	0.0
2-6	California (24.1)	P10	H	58-72	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	0-0		17%	-10.5
2-18	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	0-0		27%	-6.7
2-20	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	0-0		10%	-14.1
2-25	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	0-0		70%	5.7
2-27	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	0-0		61%	3.1
3-4	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	0-0		20%	-9.2
3-6	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	0-0		9%	-14.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UCLA's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UCLA's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UCLA.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UCLA	P10	26.32	26.35	39.05	38.40	-5.77	-6.11
California	P10	4.87	4.25	66.67	69.73	1.62	1.68
Stanford	P10	4.82	4.22	42.86	42.60	-0.69	-0.62
Southern California	P10	2.84	4.22	59.09	57.32	0.52	0.62
Arizona St.	P10	2.81	4.26	69.57	69.28	1.10	1.64
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.28	52.38	47.35	0.13	-0.23
Washington	P10	2.80	4.25	72.73	70.55	1.27	1.75
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	51.06	0.00	0.09
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	47.62	42.07	-0.13	-0.67
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	66.67	60.44	0.91	0.88
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.43	1.81	42.11	46.66	-0.38	-0.12
Long Beach St.	BW	2.38	1.79	40.00	43.65	-0.48	-0.23
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.33	1.78	23.81	22.17	-1.22	-0.99
Pepperdine	WCC	2.33	1.79	28.57	26.24	-1.00	-0.85
Portland	WCC	2.32	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.46	0.53
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.28	1.73	65.00	58.39	0.68	0.29
Kansas	B12	2.27	1.72	95.45	91.03	2.06	1.41
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.70	69.57	62.17	0.87	0.41
Colorado St.	MWC	2.22	1.72	61.90	54.73	0.53	0.16
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.22	1.72	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Butler	Horz	2.17	1.67	82.61	83.36	1.42	1.11
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.17	1.67	68.18	67.43	0.79	0.58
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.39	0.29	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.35	0.26	36.36	36.06	-0.10	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.31	0.21	36.36	40.08	-0.08	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.26	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.29	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.10
Portland St.	BSky	0.29	0.23	38.10	39.65	-0.07	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.29	0.26	33.33	33.43	-0.10	-0.09
UC Riverside	BW	0.26	0.21	33.33	36.45	-0.09	-0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.25	0.23	39.13	43.30	-0.06	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.18	0.18
New Mexico	MWC	0.25	0.17	87.50	83.52	0.19	0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.25	0.23	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.21	0.15	73.91	76.66	0.10	0.08
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.21	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.14
San Jose St.	WAC	0.20	0.14	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	0.20	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.20	0.26	68.18	68.10	0.07	0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.19	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.16	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.07	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.10	-0.07
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.17	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.09	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Montana	BSky	0.15	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.10
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.17	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.12
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.10	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.10	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.08	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.11	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.09	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.00	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UCLA	P10	26.32	26.35	39.05	38.40	-5.77	-6.11
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.28	52.38	47.35	0.13	-0.23
Arizona St.	P10	2.81	4.26	69.57	69.28	1.10	1.64
Washington	P10	2.80	4.25	72.73	70.55	1.27	1.75
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	47.62	42.07	-0.13	-0.67
California	P10	4.87	4.25	66.67	69.73	1.62	1.68
Southern California	P10	2.84	4.22	59.09	57.32	0.52	0.62
Stanford	P10	4.82	4.22	42.86	42.60	-0.69	-0.62
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	51.06	0.00	0.09
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	66.67	60.44	0.91	0.88
Portland	WCC	2.32	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.46	0.53
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	2.43	1.81	42.11	46.66	-0.38	-0.12
Pepperdine	WCC	2.33	1.79	28.57	26.24	-1.00	-0.85
Long Beach St.	BW	2.38	1.79	40.00	43.65	-0.48	-0.23
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.33	1.78	23.81	22.17	-1.22	-0.99
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.28	1.73	65.00	58.39	0.68	0.29
Colorado St.	MWC	2.22	1.72	61.90	54.73	0.53	0.16
Kansas	B12	2.27	1.72	95.45	91.03	2.06	1.41
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.22	1.72	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.70	69.57	62.17	0.87	0.41
Butler	Horz	2.17	1.67	82.61	83.36	1.42	1.11
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.17	1.67	68.18	67.43	0.79	0.58
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.39	0.29	47.83	44.39	-0.02	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.29	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.10
Cal Poly	BW	0.35	0.26	36.36	36.06	-0.10	-0.07
Pacific	BW	0.20	0.26	68.18	68.10	0.07	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.29	0.26	33.33	33.43	-0.10	-0.09
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.18	0.18
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.26	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.25	0.23	39.13	43.30	-0.06	-0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.25	0.23	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.29	0.23	38.10	39.65	-0.07	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.31	0.21	36.36	40.08	-0.08	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.14
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.21	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.26	0.21	33.33	36.45	-0.09	-0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.20	0.20	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.19	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.17	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.25	0.17	87.50	83.52	0.19	0.11
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.17	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.12
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.09	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.16	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.16	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.21	0.15	73.91	76.66	0.10	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.20	0.14	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.15	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.06
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.10	-0.07
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.07	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.11	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.10	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.10	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.09	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.09	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.08	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.00	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.00	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.00	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kansas	B12	2.27	1.72	95.45	91.03	2.06	1.41
California	P10	4.87	4.25	66.67	69.73	1.62	1.68
Butler	Horz	2.17	1.67	82.61	83.36	1.42	1.11
Washington	P10	2.80	4.25	72.73	70.55	1.27	1.75
Arizona St.	P10	2.81	4.26	69.57	69.28	1.10	1.64
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	66.67	60.44	0.91	0.88
Notre Dame	BE	2.23	1.70	69.57	62.17	0.87	0.41
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.17	1.67	68.18	67.43	0.79	0.58
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.28	1.73	65.00	58.39	0.68	0.29
Colorado St.	MWC	2.22	1.72	61.90	54.73	0.53	0.16
Southern California	P10	2.84	4.22	59.09	57.32	0.52	0.62
Portland	WCC	2.32	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.46	0.53
New Mexico	MWC	0.25	0.17	87.50	83.52	0.19	0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.18	0.18
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.09
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.28	52.38	47.35	0.13	-0.23
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.14
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.17	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.12
Ohio St.	B10	0.20	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.21	0.15	73.91	76.66	0.10	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.10
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.04
Pacific	BW	0.20	0.26	68.18	68.10	0.07	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.15	0.14	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.25	0.23	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04