The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Creighton page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Creighton

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		123.3
Current RPI:		127
Expected SOS:		83
Current SOS:		90
Current Record:		12-12
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		5-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		197
Expected OOC SOS:		159

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-12	78.6	0.96%
17-13	92.2	10.01%
16-14	108.1	29.79%
15-15	126.7	34.16%
14-16	146.7	19.52%
13-17	164.8	5.03%
12-18	183.2	0.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Creighton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Dayton (32.1)	A10	A	80-90	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Florida A&M (325.5)	MEAC	H	78-53	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	80-65	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Michigan (143.6)	B10	N	76-83	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Xavier (26.6)	A10	N	67-80	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	N	55-63	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	George Mason (132.8)	CAA	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	H	77-62	W	100%	0.0
12-19	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	A	61-66	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	85-56	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	52-60	L	0%	0.0
1-1	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	64-70	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	58-70	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	62-71	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	73-68	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	74-79	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	52-70	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	0-0		68%	5.2
2-13	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	0-0		58%	2.2
2-16	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	0-0		13%	-12.2
2-20	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	0-0		81%	9.4
2-23	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	0-0		34%	-4.5
2-27	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	0-0		67%	4.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Creighton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Creighton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Creighton.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Creighton	MVC	26.44	26.37	48.89	48.28	-0.59	-0.91
Missouri St.	MVC	4.89	4.28	68.18	65.66	1.78	1.34
Drake	MVC	4.84	4.25	43.48	42.73	-0.63	-0.62
Evansville	MVC	4.78	4.24	25.00	24.34	-2.39	-2.18
Wichita St.	MVC	4.78	4.25	81.82	79.25	3.04	2.48
Illinois St.	MVC	2.93	4.25	65.22	62.91	0.89	1.10
Bradley	MVC	2.93	4.27	54.55	52.70	0.27	0.23
Indiana St.	MVC	2.89	4.24	54.55	53.62	0.26	0.31
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.88	4.24	90.91	87.82	2.36	3.21
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.79	4.24	57.14	55.67	0.40	0.48
Dayton	A10	2.26	1.78	71.43	70.94	0.97	0.74
Xavier	A10	2.18	1.72	68.18	70.45	0.79	0.70
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.17	1.72	25.00	29.48	-1.09	-0.71
George Mason	CAA	2.13	1.69	60.87	56.28	0.46	0.21
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.13	1.70	23.81	24.88	-1.12	-0.85
Michigan	B10	2.13	1.69	42.86	42.00	-0.30	-0.27
New Mexico	MWC	2.13	1.69	86.96	82.97	1.57	1.12
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.08	1.67	20.00	23.76	-1.25	-0.87
Iona	MAAC	2.08	1.67	70.83	69.76	0.87	0.66
Nebraska	B12	2.08	1.67	59.09	52.10	0.38	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	2.08	1.67	31.58	32.68	-0.77	-0.58
Iowa	B10	0.26	0.22	33.33	30.82	-0.09	-0.09
Arkansas St.	SB	0.23	0.17	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.23	0.14	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.23	0.17	5.00	8.59	-0.21	-0.14
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.22	0.20	8.70	9.54	-0.18	-0.16
Georgia St.	CAA	0.22	0.14	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.22	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.15	33.33	33.43	-0.06	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.19	0.21	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.18	0.14	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.18	0.11	77.27	70.93	0.10	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.23	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.18	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.17	15.79	27.84	-0.12	-0.07
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.18	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.18	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.17	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.14	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.14	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.08	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.13	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.14	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.14	87.50	87.42	0.10	0.10
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.08	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.11	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.11	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.13	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.09	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.09	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.07
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.09	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.24	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.13
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.14	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.07	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.11	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.05	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.03	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.08	-0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.09	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	1.72	52.38	50.46	0.00	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
California	P10	0.04	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.04	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.04	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.04	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.04	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.04	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.04	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.04	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.04	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.00	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.02
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.02
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Creighton	MVC	26.44	26.37	48.89	48.28	-0.59	-0.91
Missouri St.	MVC	4.89	4.28	68.18	65.66	1.78	1.34
Bradley	MVC	2.93	4.27	54.55	52.70	0.27	0.23
Drake	MVC	4.84	4.25	43.48	42.73	-0.63	-0.62
Illinois St.	MVC	2.93	4.25	65.22	62.91	0.89	1.10
Wichita St.	MVC	4.78	4.25	81.82	79.25	3.04	2.48
Indiana St.	MVC	2.89	4.24	54.55	53.62	0.26	0.31
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.88	4.24	90.91	87.82	2.36	3.21
Evansville	MVC	4.78	4.24	25.00	24.34	-2.39	-2.18
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.79	4.24	57.14	55.67	0.40	0.48
Dayton	A10	2.26	1.78	71.43	70.94	0.97	0.74
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	1.72	52.38	50.46	0.00	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.17	1.72	25.00	29.48	-1.09	-0.71
Xavier	A10	2.18	1.72	68.18	70.45	0.79	0.70
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.13	1.70	23.81	24.88	-1.12	-0.85
George Mason	CAA	2.13	1.69	60.87	56.28	0.46	0.21
Michigan	B10	2.13	1.69	42.86	42.00	-0.30	-0.27
New Mexico	MWC	2.13	1.69	86.96	82.97	1.57	1.12
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.08	1.67	20.00	23.76	-1.25	-0.87
Iona	MAAC	2.08	1.67	70.83	69.76	0.87	0.66
Nebraska	B12	2.08	1.67	59.09	52.10	0.38	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	2.08	1.67	31.58	32.68	-0.77	-0.58
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.24	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.13
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.23	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.26	0.22	33.33	30.82	-0.09	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.22	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.19	0.21	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.22	0.20	8.70	9.54	-0.18	-0.16
Arkansas St.	SB	0.23	0.17	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.23	0.17	5.00	8.59	-0.21	-0.14
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.17	15.79	27.84	-0.12	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.15	33.33	33.43	-0.06	-0.05
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.10
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.23	0.14	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.14	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.08
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.18	0.14	27.27	29.40	-0.08	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.14	87.50	87.42	0.10	0.10
Georgia St.	CAA	0.22	0.14	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.14	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.18	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.09	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.14	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.06
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.11	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.18	0.11	77.27	70.93	0.10	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.18	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.13	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.07
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.13	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.18	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.06	-0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.11	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.11	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.11	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.17	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.05
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.09	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.09	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.08	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.14	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.08	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.08	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.04	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.03	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.09	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.07	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.08	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.05	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.04	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.00	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.04	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00