The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northwestern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Northwestern

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		89.5
Current RPI:		66
Expected SOS:		133
Current SOS:		72
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		5-6
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-1
Current OOC Record:		11-1
Expected OOC Record:		12-1
Expected OOC RPI:		65
Expected OOC SOS:		292

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-7	60.1	0.77%
23-8	68.0	8.90%
22-9	77.7	25.35%
21-10	88.4	33.74%
20-11	101.7	22.11%
19-12	117.7	7.78%
18-13	135.3	1.23%
17-14	156.3	0.11%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northwestern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Northern Illinois (248.8)	MAC	H	77-55	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Butler (17.3)	Horz	H	54-67	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Tennessee St. (275.6)	OVC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Liberty (253.0)	BSth	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	N	72-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	N	67-65	W	100%	0.0
12-1	North Carolina St. (110.0)	ACC	A	65-53	W	100%	0.0
12-13	North Carolina A&T (283.2)	MEAC	H	90-65	W	100%	0.0
12-16	North Florida (224.0)	ASun	H	84-54	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Stanford (174.3)	P10	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Central Connecticut (308.2)	NEC	H	74-54	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Illinois (76.1)	B10	A	83-89	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Michigan St. (23.3)	B10	H	70-91	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Texas Pan American (326.7)	GWC	H	53-44	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Michigan (142.3)	B10	A	68-62	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Wisconsin (12.1)	B10	H	50-60	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Purdue (15.1)	B10	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Ohio St. (38.8)	B10	A	56-76	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Illinois (76.1)	B10	H	73-68	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Minnesota (61.0)	B10	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Michigan St. (23.3)	B10	A	70-79	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Michigan (142.3)	B10	H	67-52	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Indiana (207.1)	B10	H	78-61	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Iowa (201.1)	B10	A	0-0		66%	4.5
2-14	Minnesota (61.0)	B10	H	0-0		46%	-1.2
2-17	Penn St. (210.9)	B10	H	0-0		80%	9.2
2-21	Wisconsin (12.1)	B10	A	0-0		11%	-13.1
2-25	Iowa (201.1)	B10	H	0-0		87%	12.5
2-28	Penn St. (210.9)	B10	A	0-0		54%	1.2
3-3	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	0-0		100%	32.5
3-6	Indiana (207.1)	B10	A	0-0		61%	3.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northwestern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northwestern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northwestern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern	B10	26.36	26.26	64.52	64.65	7.65	7.70
Michigan St.	B10	4.82	4.00	77.27	75.00	2.63	2.00
Illinois	B10	4.73	4.00	68.18	59.64	1.72	0.77
Michigan	B10	4.73	3.99	50.00	47.31	0.00	-0.22
Wisconsin	B10	2.74	3.97	77.27	77.84	1.50	2.21
Indiana	B10	2.70	3.97	42.86	35.95	-0.39	-1.12
Minnesota	B10	2.64	4.03	61.90	63.73	0.63	1.11
Ohio St.	B10	2.61	2.50	73.91	72.83	1.25	1.14
Purdue	B10	2.60	2.46	90.48	84.61	2.11	1.70
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.36	1.77	38.10	38.75	-0.56	-0.40
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.32	1.75	20.83	24.84	-1.35	-0.88
Notre Dame	BE	2.27	1.67	73.91	65.47	1.09	0.52
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.69	83.33	83.50	1.51	1.13
Liberty	BSth	2.26	1.66	45.00	43.11	-0.23	-0.23
North Florida	ASun	2.22	1.64	45.45	46.91	-0.20	-0.10
Iowa St.	B12	2.22	1.72	59.09	52.12	0.40	0.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.17	1.61	40.91	42.70	-0.40	-0.24
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.17	1.61	25.00	31.93	-1.09	-0.58
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.17	1.61	60.87	56.13	0.47	0.20
Stanford	P10	2.17	1.61	45.45	44.53	-0.20	-0.18
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.17	1.67	12.50	19.45	-1.63	-1.02
Iowa	B10	0.79	4.03	33.33	31.33	-0.26	-1.50
Penn St.	B10	0.62	3.97	34.78	32.17	-0.19	-1.42
Presbyterian	BSth	0.24	0.14	12.50	15.32	-0.18	-0.10
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.24	0.19	65.22	66.14	0.07	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.23	0.13	69.57	66.83	0.09	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.17	58.33	58.25	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.16	81.82	83.61	0.15	0.11
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.11	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.19	0.11	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.19	0.11	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.18	1.72	19.05	21.53	-0.11	-0.98
Valparaiso	Horz	0.18	0.13	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.18	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.18	0.16	79.17	77.01	0.11	0.08
Virginia	ACC	0.18	0.16	66.67	57.28	0.06	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.13	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.18	0.10	66.67	67.98	0.06	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.08	55.00	51.98	0.02	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	15.79	22.91	-0.10	-0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.09	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.11	95.83	93.08	0.13	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	56.52	0.03	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.14	0.11	0.00	4.21	-0.14	-0.10
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	17.39	20.22	-0.09	-0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.16	71.43	67.91	0.06	0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.14	21.74	22.22	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.17	15.79	27.70	-0.10	-0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.14	0.08	8.70	9.55	-0.12	-0.06
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.11	8.70	10.07	-0.12	-0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.14	0.08	82.61	79.46	0.09	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.11	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.13	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.14	0.11	65.22	68.43	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.34	0.09	0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.08	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.08	60.00	63.84	0.03	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.11	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.42	0.05	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.11	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.13	0.13	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.08	76.19	73.21	0.07	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.44	-0.06	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.08	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	72.00	73.85	0.04	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.06	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.14	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.17	22.73	24.06	-0.05	-0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.05	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.11	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.08
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.05	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.05	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.13	4.76	9.60	-0.09	-0.11
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.11	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.32	0.03	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.17	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.05	26.09	31.04	-0.04	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.05	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.05	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.05	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.11	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	73.91	69.55	0.04	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.08	30.43	30.24	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.09	0.05	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.08	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.08	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.05	79.17	73.38	0.05	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.05	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	86.96	85.51	0.06	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.05	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.05	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.10	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.11	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.35	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.11	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.08	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.60	0.03	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.02	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.08	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.08	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	39.81	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.04	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.11	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.05	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.11	22.22	27.54	-0.02	-0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.04	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	84.00	81.56	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.11	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.04	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.00	0.05	30.43	32.38	-0.00	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.08	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.05	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.00	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.00	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.00	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.05	29.17	31.02	-0.00	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.05	16.67	19.93	-0.00	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.00	0.05	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.08	64.00	63.77	0.00	0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	18.18	20.35	-0.00	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.16	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.00	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.05	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern	B10	26.36	26.26	64.52	64.65	7.65	7.70
Minnesota	B10	2.64	4.03	61.90	63.73	0.63	1.11
Iowa	B10	0.79	4.03	33.33	31.33	-0.26	-1.50
Michigan St.	B10	4.82	4.00	77.27	75.00	2.63	2.00
Illinois	B10	4.73	4.00	68.18	59.64	1.72	0.77
Michigan	B10	4.73	3.99	50.00	47.31	0.00	-0.22
Indiana	B10	2.70	3.97	42.86	35.95	-0.39	-1.12
Penn St.	B10	0.62	3.97	34.78	32.17	-0.19	-1.42
Wisconsin	B10	2.74	3.97	77.27	77.84	1.50	2.21
Ohio St.	B10	2.61	2.50	73.91	72.83	1.25	1.14
Purdue	B10	2.60	2.46	90.48	84.61	2.11	1.70
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.36	1.77	38.10	38.75	-0.56	-0.40
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.32	1.75	20.83	24.84	-1.35	-0.88
Iowa St.	B12	2.22	1.72	59.09	52.12	0.40	0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.18	1.72	19.05	21.53	-0.11	-0.98
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.69	83.33	83.50	1.51	1.13
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.17	1.67	12.50	19.45	-1.63	-1.02
Notre Dame	BE	2.27	1.67	73.91	65.47	1.09	0.52
Liberty	BSth	2.26	1.66	45.00	43.11	-0.23	-0.23
North Florida	ASun	2.22	1.64	45.45	46.91	-0.20	-0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.17	1.61	40.91	42.70	-0.40	-0.24
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.17	1.61	25.00	31.93	-1.09	-0.58
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.17	1.61	60.87	56.13	0.47	0.20
Stanford	P10	2.17	1.61	45.45	44.53	-0.20	-0.18
Marquette	BE	0.24	0.19	65.22	66.14	0.07	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.17	22.73	24.06	-0.05	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.17	15.79	27.70	-0.10	-0.07
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.17	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.23	0.17	58.33	58.25	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.16	71.43	67.91	0.06	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.18	0.16	66.67	57.28	0.06	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.23	0.16	81.82	83.61	0.15	0.11
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.16	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.07
Texas	B12	0.18	0.16	79.17	77.01	0.11	0.08
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.14	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.24	0.14	12.50	15.32	-0.18	-0.10
Alabama	SEC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.14	21.74	22.22	-0.08	-0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.23	0.13	69.57	66.83	0.09	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.14	0.13	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.18	0.13	43.48	43.62	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.13	4.76	9.60	-0.09	-0.11
Missouri	B12	0.13	0.13	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.18	0.13	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.11	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	15.79	22.91	-0.10	-0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.11	22.22	27.54	-0.02	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.11	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	72.00	73.85	0.04	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.19	0.11	30.00	31.19	-0.08	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.11	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.11	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.14	0.11	0.00	4.21	-0.14	-0.10
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.11	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	17.39	20.22	-0.09	-0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.11	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	56.52	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.11	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.11	95.83	93.08	0.13	0.09
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.11	8.70	10.07	-0.12	-0.09
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.11	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.11	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.11	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.18	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.19	0.11	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.11	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.08
California	P10	0.14	0.11	65.22	68.43	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.34	0.09	0.07
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.42	0.05	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.10	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.18	0.10	66.67	67.98	0.06	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.09	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.08	55.00	51.98	0.02	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.08	62.50	57.77	0.03	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.08	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.08	60.00	63.84	0.03	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.08	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.08	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.08	64.00	63.77	0.00	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.60	0.03	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.04	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.06
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.08	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.08	30.43	30.24	-0.04	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.08	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.14	0.08	8.70	9.55	-0.12	-0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.14	0.08	82.61	79.46	0.09	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.08	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.08	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.08	76.19	73.21	0.07	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.44	-0.06	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.00	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.91	-0.06	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.05	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.05	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.05	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.05	26.09	31.04	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.05	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
American	Pat	0.00	0.05	30.43	32.38	-0.00	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.05	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.05	29.17	31.02	-0.00	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.05	16.67	19.93	-0.00	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.05	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.05	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	84.00	81.56	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.32	0.03	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.05	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	73.91	69.55	0.04	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01