The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northwestern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Northwestern

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		116.0
Current RPI:		116
Expected SOS:		132
Current SOS:		132
Current Record:		20-13
Expected Record:		20-13
Current Conf Record:		8-12
Expected Conf Record:		8-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-2
Current OOC Record:		12-1
Expected OOC Record:		12-1
Expected OOC RPI:		64
Expected OOC SOS:		283

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
20-13		116.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northwestern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	77-55	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Butler (11.0)	Horz	H	54-67	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Liberty (232.0)	BSth	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	N	72-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Iowa St. (124.0)	B12	N	67-65	W	100%	0.0
12-1	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	A	65-53	W	100%	0.0
12-13	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	H	90-65	W	100%	0.0
12-16	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	H	84-54	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Stanford (164.0)	P10	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Central Connecticut (309.0)	NEC	H	74-54	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Illinois (74.0)	B10	A	83-89	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Michigan St. (28.0)	B10	H	70-91	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	53-44	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Michigan (132.0)	B10	A	68-62	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	H	50-60	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Purdue (16.0)	B10	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	A	56-76	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Illinois (74.0)	B10	H	73-68	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Michigan St. (28.0)	B10	A	70-79	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Michigan (132.0)	B10	H	67-52	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Indiana (222.0)	B10	H	78-61	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Iowa (211.0)	B10	A	65-78	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	H	77-74	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	H	70-81	L	0%	0.0
2-21	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Iowa (211.0)	B10	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	A	60-79	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	72-49	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Indiana (222.0)	B10	A	80-88	L	0%	0.0
3-11	Indiana (222.0)	B10	N	73-58	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Purdue (16.0)	B10	N	61-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northwestern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northwestern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northwestern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern	B10	26.32	26.32	56.49	56.49	3.42	3.42
Indiana	B10	5.25	5.25	32.14	32.14	-1.88	-1.88
Minnesota	B10	4.01	4.01	62.50	62.50	1.00	1.00
Illinois	B10	3.89	3.89	58.06	58.06	0.63	0.63
Iowa	B10	3.88	3.88	30.00	30.00	-1.55	-1.55
Purdue	B10	3.88	3.88	86.67	86.67	2.85	2.85
Michigan	B10	3.86	3.86	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Wisconsin	B10	3.84	3.84	72.41	72.41	1.72	1.72
Michigan St.	B10	3.83	3.83	73.33	73.33	1.79	1.79
Penn St.	B10	3.81	3.81	31.03	31.03	-1.44	-1.44
Ohio St.	B10	2.54	2.54	78.79	78.79	1.46	1.46
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.66	1.66	34.48	34.48	-0.51	-0.51
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.64	1.64	29.03	29.03	-0.69	-0.69
Iowa St.	B12	1.61	1.61	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	1.61	1.61	22.22	22.22	-0.89	-0.89
Butler	Horz	1.58	1.58	87.10	87.10	1.17	1.17
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.57	1.57	18.75	18.75	-0.98	-0.98
Notre Dame	BE	1.57	1.57	69.70	69.70	0.62	0.62
Liberty	BSth	1.56	1.56	44.44	44.44	-0.17	-0.17
North Florida	ASun	1.54	1.54	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.52	1.52	41.38	41.38	-0.26	-0.26
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.52	1.52	57.58	57.58	0.23	0.23
Stanford	P10	1.52	1.52	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.33	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.14	12.00	12.00	-0.11	-0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.14	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.14	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.12	0.12	3.33	3.33	-0.12	-0.12
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Ball St.	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.09	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.04	0.04	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.04	0.04	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.04	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.04	0.04	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.04	0.04	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.04	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northwestern	B10	26.32	26.32	56.49	56.49	3.42	3.42
Indiana	B10	5.25	5.25	32.14	32.14	-1.88	-1.88
Minnesota	B10	4.01	4.01	62.50	62.50	1.00	1.00
Illinois	B10	3.89	3.89	58.06	58.06	0.63	0.63
Iowa	B10	3.88	3.88	30.00	30.00	-1.55	-1.55
Purdue	B10	3.88	3.88	86.67	86.67	2.85	2.85
Michigan	B10	3.86	3.86	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Wisconsin	B10	3.84	3.84	72.41	72.41	1.72	1.72
Michigan St.	B10	3.83	3.83	73.33	73.33	1.79	1.79
Penn St.	B10	3.81	3.81	31.03	31.03	-1.44	-1.44
Ohio St.	B10	2.54	2.54	78.79	78.79	1.46	1.46
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.66	1.66	34.48	34.48	-0.51	-0.51
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.64	1.64	29.03	29.03	-0.69	-0.69
Iowa St.	B12	1.61	1.61	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	1.61	1.61	22.22	22.22	-0.89	-0.89
Butler	Horz	1.58	1.58	87.10	87.10	1.17	1.17
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.57	1.57	18.75	18.75	-0.98	-0.98
Notre Dame	BE	1.57	1.57	69.70	69.70	0.62	0.62
Liberty	BSth	1.56	1.56	44.44	44.44	-0.17	-0.17
North Florida	ASun	1.54	1.54	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Central Connecticut	NEC	1.52	1.52	41.38	41.38	-0.26	-0.26
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.52	1.52	57.58	57.58	0.23	0.23
Stanford	P10	1.52	1.52	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.18	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.17	0.17	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.17	73.33	73.33	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.14	12.00	12.00	-0.11	-0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.14	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.14	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.12	0.12	3.33	3.33	-0.12	-0.12
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Ball St.	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.09	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00