live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 7, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
13.9OklahomaB120.65140.58591119-325-55-42-16-18-03-012-037921.90.6
23.9VillanovaBE0.64930.57861920-327-42-34-18-17-06-011-293812.91.2
35.4OregonP120.64540.5893719-424-63-15-18-34-13-010-2113032.40.6
65.9MarylandB100.64340.57003521-325-52-32-16-18-07-011-188241.90.5
46.0KansasB120.64420.5971318-423-75-54-16-04-14-011-14336-0.0-0.0
56.1VirginiaACC0.64350.5890819-423-76-23-14-26-14-011-123951.10.3
77.3IowaB100.63920.57871819-424-64-33-24-17-07-09-348838-0.7-0.2
87.9XavierBE0.63780.57013421-225-52-24-16-28-05-012-016170.90.2
98.7West VirginiaB120.63580.58111619-425-65-53-15-08-05-011-22811410-1.3-0.3
1010.8North CarolinaACC0.63060.57073119-424-73-33-17-17-15-011-2126291.80.3
1111.9SMUAmer0.62740.54427420-226-40-04-16-28-18-012-0575110.90.2
1212.9Miami FLACC0.62560.57732218-423-74-34-15-16-34-011-1199414-1.1-0.2
1313.3DaytonA100.62470.56274519-325-51-14-16-18-05-110-272121.30.2
1416.1LouisvilleACC0.61910.56454219-424-73-52-14-17-08-011-24620423-6.9-1.1
1517.0PurdueB100.61680.57072819-524-72-43-15-18-16-012-1149122-5.0-0.8
1617.3Iowa St.B120.61630.5903617-622-94-63-25-17-13-011-21559134.30.7
1717.6Michigan St.B100.61530.54757020-426-54-32-04-17-18-013-06118161.60.3
1820.0KentuckySEC0.61200.57072917-622-93-22-17-38-23-010-31616191.00.1
1920.5USCP120.61140.57372618-523-82-34-27-34-06-011-23074155.50.6
2021.5DukeACC0.60920.5915517-622-93-53-26-28-13-011-2101124-2.5-0.3
2121.6Texas A&MSEC0.60850.55445618-524-73-03-26-47-15-011-21341174.60.6
2223.8FloridaSEC0.60580.58541315-820-112-51-26-28-14-09-4223212.80.3
2325.9ArizonaP120.60240.54547319-524-71-33-29-25-06-012-13823028-2.1-0.2
2426.7TexasB120.60170.6038116-719-125-52-25-34-13-09-45721206.70.6
2630.0UtahP120.59770.57562416-720-102-43-29-32-04-010-221561812.01.0
2530.1BaylorB120.59830.58621016-620-103-81-15-16-05-010-22597273.10.3
2732.4Saint Joseph'sA100.59440.53918519-424-70-21-25-110-08-011-22972311.40.1
2835.0AkronMAC0.59200.509713218-424-60-10-04-112-49-010-25324447-12.0-0.9
2936.3ValparaisoHorz0.59000.493416718-424-50-10-03-19-311-08-3174846-9.7-1.0
3037.1VCUA100.58970.54766817-623-81-22-25-39-16-08-51096541-3.9-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3237.4Wichita St.MVC0.58900.523211316-621-70-20-13-29-19-05-59318325.40.6
3137.7ConnecticutAmer0.58940.55385717-622-91-21-25-47-08-010-3639051-13.3-1.1
3338.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.58810.489517818-323-40-01-13-13-116-08-14423352-13.4-1.4
3439.8IndianaB100.58760.53838819-523-82-31-04-16-39-010-39021155-15.2-1.1
3540.1Notre DameACC0.58760.57063216-720-104-31-32-36-17-09-351532911.10.8
3640.4William & MaryCAA0.58720.53818915-619-80-20-14-39-26-16-32742373.40.3
3841.2South Dakota St.Sum0.58620.503714717-522-60-00-03-212-37-19-34118245-3.8-0.3
3941.5MonmouthMAAC0.58550.495116119-525-61-21-03-06-114-38-318503011.51.2
3741.5CaliforniaP120.58640.57762115-819-122-43-35-45-14-010-35489347.50.5
4043.5ChattanoogaSC0.58400.479921119-324-41-10-02-08-213-19-232178385.50.5
4344.9ProvidenceBE0.58300.55205918-622-92-41-16-15-28-012-1311913311.91.0
4145.0George WashingtonA100.58310.52889918-523-81-12-24-28-38-111-255215369.00.6
4245.1PittsburghACC0.58310.56414316-520-91-52-14-17-26-010-147180432.10.1
4445.3ColoradoP120.58300.56294416-720-102-51-25-36-05-010-2491482619.31.3
4546.0Stony BrookAE0.58200.481020617-422-50-00-13-15-214-07-4398661-15.0-1.7
4746.8Florida St.ACC0.58150.56114916-719-112-52-23-36-16-010-250199397.80.5
4646.8South CarolinaSEC0.58160.511012619-324-61-11-06-38-27-012-0332822521.81.3
4847.1MichiganB100.58140.56184716-720-103-71-21-17-08-09-37613553-5.9-0.4
4947.3Seton HallBE0.58130.54737117-621-91-42-25-35-18-010-2722533512.30.9
5047.4CincinnatiAmer0.58100.54327517-722-91-43-13-36-210-010-37414567-19.6-1.5
5148.9GonzagaWCC0.57970.524110918-522-70-21-22-25-014-07-4602462-13.1-1.3
5249.0San Diego St.MWC0.57960.54058216-621-80-21-13-212-15-15-613820445.00.4
5350.5Arkansas Little RockSB0.57850.469024119-225-40-01-03-17-115-18-14527659-8.5-0.7
5451.0St. BonaventureA100.57800.54117915-620-91-21-23-37-27-08-380165492.00.1
5553.0SyracuseACC0.57640.56733816-819-122-53-23-35-16-110-361112485.00.4
5753.0PrincetonIvy0.57630.505114113-520-70-20-21-14-115-19-4358064-11.0-0.7
5653.3VanderbiltSEC0.57630.57073013-1019-122-62-22-37-25-08-5733658-4.7-0.3
5853.8ButlerBE0.57560.54906616-720-102-41-24-26-17-011-14223468-14.2-1.0
5955.6YaleIvy0.57450.493016814-520-70-31-11-15-213-18-57917160-4.4-0.3
6057.3Oregon St.P120.57320.58271513-816-123-42-33-44-14-08-2431014215.30.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6159.9Kansas St.B120.57080.57792014-918-132-101-23-18-15-011-2341394019.91.2
6260.4UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57030.506613916-520-70-01-04-26-48-06-312329276-15.6-1.0
6362.4WashingtonP120.56890.57053315-818-122-42-45-24-25-08-4135121566.40.4
6463.6WisconsinB100.56790.58561214-917-142-62-13-27-33-18-51064765-1.4-0.1
6565.9Texas TechB120.56600.5943413-916-142-92-22-26-14-010-220515411.90.8
6667.0TulsaAmer0.56540.55176015-818-120-22-32-47-27-08-48798634.00.3
6769.3UC IrvineBW0.56340.503814516-621-90-20-11-36-214-19-5526770-0.7-0.1
6870.7UCLAP120.56240.5881913-1017-142-62-35-34-23-09-4652572-1.3-0.1
6971.2DavidsonA100.56220.55945412-816-120-31-42-28-25-17-336465021.21.1
7072.3GeorgetownBE0.56100.58461413-1116-152-51-44-34-36-07-61113473-0.7-0.1
7172.3BYUWCC0.56070.509313316-821-90-12-23-15-211-38-47110377-4.7-0.4
7274.1EvansvilleMVC0.55950.488018418-623-70-00-22-27-313-010-25922782-7.9-0.6
7374.5HofstraCAA0.55940.526210615-819-100-02-22-56-39-07-48212278-3.5-0.3
7478.3GeorgiaSEC0.55700.56823613-816-130-31-44-48-23-07-47576612.30.6
7578.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.55640.505014215-619-90-00-11-28-410-16-4683579-0.1-0.0
7679.6Arizona St.P120.55570.58031713-1116-151-51-35-57-12-110-32626745.60.4
7782.0LSUSEC0.55410.54906515-819-121-41-14-36-46-07-6212203757.00.4
7882.0AlabamaSEC0.55380.56783713-916-141-62-23-46-35-09-324175725.01.5
7982.6James MadisonCAA0.55340.518212117-721-90-10-13-210-37-19-39517390-7.4-0.6
8083.4IPFWSum0.55270.494516217-720-90-10-30-18-411-19-485251803.40.2
8184.0BelmontOVC0.55230.492417216-819-100-01-11-56-312-27-68311594-10.0-0.7
8285.6TempleAmer0.55140.54118014-818-121-32-22-33-39-16-61691296916.61.0
8385.9StanfordP120.55140.5979210-1013-151-72-54-33-03-06-4108327114.90.7
8486.0BuffaloMAC0.55140.53419313-918-120-30-31-29-47-16-613285842.00.1
8587.4UABCUSA0.55010.461226519-424-60-00-02-16-515-19-314431397-9.6-0.6
8788.1Georgia TechACC0.54970.57722312-1116-151-61-33-36-25-010-36492817.10.4
8688.5ArkansasSEC0.54990.56065212-1117-141-41-25-57-44-07-61343191-2.5-0.1
8889.1Boise St.MWC0.54940.523911014-818-111-20-22-28-47-17-47881863.10.2
8989.9CreightonBE0.54870.53968315-919-121-51-32-37-18-19-4165295100-10.1-0.6
9090.5AlbanyAE0.54760.457427418-623-70-11-11-14-117-310-48426692-1.5-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.4HawaiiBW0.54760.467524616-322-50-10-02-26-114-19-211227196-4.6-0.3
9294.4College of CharlestonCAA0.54560.521011814-817-110-10-24-36-37-17-377168886.40.4
9395.5New MexicoMWC0.54490.520911914-920-110-20-12-211-56-27-6166123112-16.5-0.9
9495.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.54490.457727212-520-60-00-10-26-213-13-5191158130-34.4-2.0
9595.8Ohio St.B100.54450.56554114-1017-141-70-21-27-37-08-513768878.80.5
97100.1SienaMAAC0.54190.493616516-920-110-10-22-15-312-47-44060110-9.9-0.6
96100.2Tennessee TechOVC0.54200.482920215-718-90-10-11-25-312-26-5131181101-0.8-0.0
98100.6ClemsonACC0.54160.53019614-918-123-32-12-43-27-27-52663388317.60.9
101101.1Grand CanyonWAC0.54080.453628219-423-50-11-01-06-315-212-266229104-2.9-0.2
100101.3Long Beach St.BW0.54120.53948410-1215-140-31-13-34-37-34-910418912.30.7
99101.3Rhode IslandA100.54120.54127813-1018-131-30-42-27-39-08-5124111113-11.7-0.6
102101.9UT ArlingtonSB0.54050.471423414-721-90-10-11-15-315-38-267265983.90.2
103105.0HoustonAmer0.53890.507513616-720-101-10-23-35-210-110-2128329106-1.0-0.0
104108.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53710.490717511-817-100-10-11-33-312-22-5231117127-19.0-0.8
106108.7RichmondA100.53660.54247712-1016-141-32-32-56-27-08-4103133126-17.3-0.9
105108.9OhioMAC0.53670.522411513-817-120-10-21-38-58-18-386175999.90.4
107111.4MississippiSEC0.53500.512712515-818-130-31-23-47-37-010-3972788526.41.3
108113.0OaklandHorz0.53380.477122217-821-100-20-21-18-312-28-592195128-15.0-1.0
109113.5Kent St.MAC0.53340.510313014-818-120-20-11-37-69-18-410721710310.50.5
111113.9DuquesneA100.53330.52989714-817-130-31-31-46-29-09-31132721112.90.1
110114.1MemphisAmer0.53340.528110314-919-120-31-33-36-39-19-4158187120-5.9-0.3
113114.5NorthwesternB100.53310.510512916-820-110-60-11-27-211-012-1913341086.50.4
112114.7North Dakota St.Sum0.53320.484219414-817-110-11-11-15-610-18-41223101140.70.0
114114.8Northern IowaMVC0.53280.521811713-1117-132-00-22-45-68-37-56229123-8.2-0.5
116117.2North Carolina St.ACC0.53150.56184812-1215-161-61-42-46-35-010-39417710512.20.7
115117.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.53150.452129215-520-80-10-10-25-315-17-369216139-21.8-1.1
117119.1TennesseeSEC0.53060.56264611-1215-162-21-32-77-43-07-61205510910.10.5
118119.7New Mexico St.WAC0.52990.473023015-819-90-00-11-34-314-27-7184167121-1.3-0.1
119120.4MercerSC0.52970.452728616-621-80-00-11-25-415-28-31143151155.40.3
120120.9UNLVMWC0.52920.523811111-1116-131-11-22-45-57-07-4100120133-12.1-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.7UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52880.52331129-1214-140-10-22-62-310-25-77069526.71.5
122122.6Fresno St.MWC0.52820.506813813-817-120-20-11-48-38-27-41261861220.60.0
123123.4MarquetteBE0.52780.53549115-917-140-52-25-52-29-011-212730410716.40.9
124123.8East Tennessee St.SC0.52740.492517013-917-120-10-21-25-511-25-611673124-0.2-0.0
125124.5IonaMAAC0.52720.491317314-918-110-00-30-33-314-13-621787148-23.5-1.2
126125.6ColumbiaIvy0.52640.486419014-719-100-00-31-34-214-29-61592191169.60.4
127126.6Wake ForestACC0.52610.57452510-1312-180-71-33-44-34-09-356709333.62.0
128126.7PepperdineWCC0.52580.503514813-1016-120-01-22-34-29-56-4105153129-2.3-0.1
130127.6Virginia TechACC0.52520.55535513-1115-161-80-33-24-17-18-52072591198.60.5
129127.9MarshallCUSA0.52530.52939812-1216-150-20-11-55-59-24-91829141-13.1-0.7
131129.8Illinois St.MVC0.52430.528810013-1115-150-21-30-45-59-15-7143141254.80.3
132129.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.52400.458327115-620-90-00-02-14-414-49-237200146-16.1-0.7
133131.0Penn St.B100.52330.55046312-1214-170-61-31-37-46-09-412123710229.01.6
134132.1Central MichiganMAC0.52270.528410110-1014-140-01-11-37-96-04-6216125137-4.9-0.2
135135.1NevadaMWC0.52090.505414011-915-130-00-21-57-48-26-411924711718.10.8
136135.3UNC AshevilleBSth0.52090.463225915-819-90-10-01-15-612-25-5148143147-11.7-0.6
137136.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.52030.496715713-1016-120-00-21-28-46-36-6183262149-13.0-0.7
138136.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.52010.493616612-716-110-00-11-29-56-27-21503461324.70.2
139137.4North FloridaASun0.51980.448330515-819-90-20-10-24-115-38-6110224144-6.6-0.4
140137.6ElonCAA0.51960.522411412-1115-140-10-32-63-49-17-4891571361.60.1
141138.9Weber St.BSky0.51890.449030213-719-90-01-10-13-215-45-5139131157-18.1-0.9
142139.1Oklahoma St.B120.51870.56015311-1214-172-90-32-35-15-19-4175284142-2.9-0.2
143139.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.51840.465025318-722-90-00-21-27-213-311-21293331318.90.6
144140.1Old DominionCUSA0.51820.483419813-1019-120-10-21-34-414-27-6162127151-10.9-0.7
145143.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51640.448230614-718-80-00-10-22-416-17-5156283165-22.0-1.2
146145.6MontanaBSky0.51470.460326711-816-100-10-11-22-314-42-61972713510.60.5
147146.5Georgia St.SB0.51440.492517111-815-120-00-11-44-410-45-2235213412.50.5
148146.9Indiana St.MVC0.51400.510712712-1115-140-00-32-36-47-45-6163951451.90.1
149147.0ToledoMAC0.51390.485819213-918-120-01-01-36-710-28-4177318150-3.0-0.2
150147.7NebraskaB100.51350.527710413-1116-151-60-31-34-29-18-5215291163-15.3-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151148.4NortheasternCAA0.51350.524610811-1314-161-11-22-64-57-37-5991401435.40.3
153150.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.51220.5407817-1211-160-20-11-27-103-14-59843154-4.0-0.2
152150.4VermontAE0.51220.479321313-1117-130-20-31-43-314-27-7130155158-7.6-0.5
154150.7Oral RobertsSum0.51180.5329949-1412-160-10-22-43-76-26-6583713812.70.8
155154.0TowsonCAA0.50960.478921615-817-120-01-12-64-310-27-4241350162-8.0-0.4
156155.9Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50890.469523912-815-100-00-01-17-58-43-4170161172-16.1-0.9
157155.9Ball St.MAC0.50860.486419114-818-120-01-10-28-79-28-4192322159-3.1-0.1
158157.8Wright St.Horz0.50770.478022013-1017-120-21-10-16-510-44-72482141534.80.3
159158.2IllinoisB100.50740.54597211-1314-171-41-42-53-48-08-51369614018.21.2
160159.0AuburnSEC0.50690.5664399-1311-191-30-33-84-52-26-61022211841.02.1
161162.3Morehead St.OVC0.50480.488218211-1114-130-00-11-34-59-35-6164164176-13.7-0.7
162162.6FurmanSC0.50470.483719512-1115-140-11-10-13-512-54-7201152168-5.4-0.3
163162.8Green BayHorz0.50460.471623212-1016-130-01-20-33-612-26-51402391557.80.5
165164.2Utah St.MWC0.50360.51871209-1113-140-10-11-64-68-16-3811131604.20.2
166164.4Tennessee St.OVC0.50360.452029314-717-100-00-01-43-514-17-4185337170-5.6-0.3
164164.5DePaulBE0.50370.5610508-1510-200-41-41-82-36-16-618820215212.50.8
167164.9WinthropBSth0.50320.446430913-716-100-00-00-24-512-35-3145307171-6.1-0.3
168167.0MilwaukeeHorz0.50190.465025413-917-120-00-21-14-612-27-4147273169-2.0-0.1
169168.4BucknellPat0.50120.470223712-1016-120-00-00-23-613-42-8260170181-12.6-0.8
170170.0FairfieldMAAC0.50030.487618613-1116-140-10-20-23-312-56-41011001646.00.3
171170.7RadfordBSth0.49980.489817711-1114-140-00-12-23-79-35-58845173-2.3-0.1
172172.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.49870.45542799-714-110-20-10-22-212-42-5152110192-19.9-0.8
173173.1SouthernSWAC0.49820.418334413-719-90-00-00-22-416-35-5118192182-8.9-0.5
174173.5Western KentuckyCUSA0.49740.517312310-1213-160-21-02-45-57-56-59640178-4.5-0.2
176174.7TCUB120.49720.56085110-1312-191-101-31-43-26-09-417428016113.70.9
175175.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.49720.49711549-1213-160-11-11-22-59-62-721993184-9.0-0.4
177177.2Mississippi St.SEC0.49570.5431769-1312-180-40-32-73-37-17-5190228183-5.8-0.3
178179.4WyomingMWC0.49430.525610710-1312-170-00-21-37-84-35-6154581745.40.3
179179.9IUPUISum0.49410.509713110-1512-180-11-12-34-95-43-1127421816712.90.7
180181.2Colorado St.MWC0.49320.497115611-1015-140-00-21-46-68-26-52052561792.20.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181184.2George MasonA100.49160.5480678-1511-200-30-41-55-64-36-717610515628.21.7
182184.4Washington St.P120.49140.5716278-149-200-60-52-71-15-17-4146144185-0.6-0.0
183184.9NavyPat0.49080.448830315-919-110-20-01-13-315-68-4161281186-1.1-0.1
184185.6East CarolinaAmer0.49040.526810510-1313-180-20-42-72-39-28-513319316619.61.0
185186.4Murray St.OVC0.49040.488318110-1213-140-00-01-44-69-44-7149101806.40.4
186186.9NJITASun0.48960.461526413-1116-130-10-20-21-415-48-7125150190-3.1-0.2
187187.9FordhamA100.48930.496515811-915-130-20-31-43-310-28-217834417710.90.5
188188.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.48860.46762459-1113-140-10-10-42-311-52-720066198-9.4-0.4
189191.0WagnerNEC0.48740.421134214-818-100-00-10-11-117-76-4157303206-15.0-1.0
191191.2South DakotaSum0.48690.503814410-1412-170-00-20-45-107-17-61412081892.20.1
190191.4WoffordSC0.48700.48192049-1313-160-10-20-32-611-42-92782011883.40.2
193192.9Bowling GreenMAC0.48590.488717911-1014-150-10-21-34-89-27-4203342215-22.1-1.2
194193.1UCFAmer0.48590.504014311-1013-160-10-31-73-310-26-52513231912.10.1
192193.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.48600.438131910-1216-140-00-10-31-615-31-11305141224-30.6-1.6
195193.8Boston UniversityPat0.48540.452129113-1117-130-10-01-02-614-66-6189279195-1.2-0.1
196194.6MassachusettsA100.48490.52821029-1312-180-20-41-53-57-27-51802201877.60.4
197197.0High PointBSth0.48380.445131111-915-110-00-10-24-511-34-4193290216-19.0-1.0
198197.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.48350.477022313-1215-150-20-01-34-610-48-6155243209-11.9-0.7
199198.8New HampshireAE0.48220.452528911-914-130-10-20-20-314-45-62133111944.80.3
200200.1Saint LouisA100.48170.5476698-1410-200-31-41-32-75-25-72301371937.10.4
201200.3DenverSum0.48160.476422613-1115-140-00-10-26-79-38-52233301964.30.3
202201.5HamptonMEAC0.48100.427533712-916-110-10-20-21-215-44-71721281974.50.3
203201.8Houston BaptistSlnd0.48080.464825610-914-130-00-10-32-611-32-7280147227-25.2-1.1
204203.7Western MichiganMAC0.48020.5316957-1410-190-00-11-55-114-14-7199782030.70.0
205208.1Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47700.435732211-1015-130-00-10-11-414-74-6195260214-5.9-0.2
207208.3CornellIvy0.47670.49561608-1111-160-00-31-51-39-56-716717917533.31.7
206208.4DetroitHorz0.47680.482920110-1112-150-00-30-25-87-24-51811362071.40.1
208208.7Gardner WebbBSth0.47650.461526310-1213-140-10-10-24-59-52-72201302053.70.2
209209.6North DakotaBSky0.47640.46322609-1013-130-00-00-22-511-52-6275245220-10.4-0.5
210210.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.47560.430433311-1115-130-00-10-31-414-43-92101162019.40.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212212.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.47440.45162959-1314-150-00-20-41-514-42-11226642102.30.1
211212.3HarvardIvy0.47470.50041517-1311-170-20-22-23-56-66-8173151225-12.7-0.6
214215.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47290.461826110-1114-120-20-10-13-410-45-7204126217-1.9-0.1
213215.2Cal PolyBW0.47290.50781356-149-180-20-21-62-47-44-71425420015.20.7
215216.9CanisiusMAAC0.47200.477322111-1414-170-01-10-43-610-65-62022262124.90.3
216218.4MissouriSEC0.47100.5525588-159-220-50-31-84-64-07-618613420216.41.0
217219.2IdahoBSky0.47060.442231412-1016-130-10-10-14-312-86-51531972181.20.1
219220.5ArmyPat0.46970.442231512-1115-140-01-10-11-613-78-3117309235-14.5-0.8
218221.0LehighPat0.47020.50111507-1410-170-20-20-21-59-71-925623236-15.0-0.7
220222.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46860.440731611-1115-130-10-00-12-212-93-724520621111.80.6
221223.3ColgatePat0.46840.456527710-1213-150-00-00-25-58-83-724726821310.30.5
222226.0Jackson St.SWAC0.46710.427133810-1115-140-10-00-11-615-53-8227176241-15.0-0.7
223226.1San FranciscoWCC0.46680.465425112-1014-140-00-30-30-514-36-42823482224.10.2
224226.6ManhattanMAAC0.46670.48711889-1212-160-01-21-13-77-63-62221462197.60.3
225226.7RiderMAAC0.46610.477022410-1513-180-10-20-32-510-74-7225238250-23.3-1.3
227227.8St. John'sBE0.46530.5656406-177-230-41-51-71-64-16-621816620423.81.6
226228.2Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46550.47822188-1312-160-00-31-22-39-72-7327252230-1.8-0.1
228231.0Loyola MDPat0.46400.49031768-1511-180-10-10-21-910-61-1025849240-9.0-0.5
229232.3Air ForceMWC0.46330.499415210-1211-180-00-11-34-116-27-411519420824.31.3
230232.7Miami OHMAC0.46310.5381907-159-210-20-10-46-103-35-7214102234-1.3-0.1
232232.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46300.453228510-1514-170-10-10-31-413-83-10273163252-19.2-0.9
231232.8FIUCUSA0.46310.46882429-1313-160-00-01-42-710-54-7283286253-20.2-1.0
233233.9Boston CollegeACC0.46230.5511627-168-230-70-40-52-45-27-624627519934.92.2
234234.9Missouri St.MVC0.46170.49601599-1411-180-00-30-45-85-33-83022462286.90.4
235237.0UTEPCUSA0.46090.456527612-1116-140-00-00-25-611-67-5209255245-8.0-0.4
236237.2CharlotteCUSA0.46060.48242038-1513-180-10-10-53-69-44-925418322116.20.8
237239.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.45950.481820510-1312-170-00-21-34-77-46-52403002327.20.4
238239.4St. Francis PANEC0.45940.448030811-1114-140-10-10-21-413-73-7228132247-7.6-0.4
239239.7Western CarolinaSC0.45920.50711376-159-190-00-30-33-85-52-820615257-17.3-0.7
243241.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.45830.431033211-1215-140-00-01-23-510-76-72383352374.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
242241.1TulaneAmer0.45830.51711248-1610-210-30-21-52-77-37-6221277254-12.9-0.7
241241.4PacificWCC0.45830.51771225-158-180-10-31-30-56-60-8333106246-4.6-0.2
240241.6Arkansas St.SB0.45860.47952129-1211-180-11-11-23-47-92-7325269262-20.4-0.9
245241.6Austin PeayOVC0.45800.46782449-1512-170-00-10-42-710-55-818715623110.60.6
244241.9PortlandWCC0.45810.494316410-1512-180-00-31-32-38-95-7261249249-7.1-0.5
246242.5JacksonvilleASun0.45760.428933511-1113-140-10-10-11-512-64-93153272384.50.2
247242.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.45750.48002109-1411-170-00-30-50-310-66-416831622616.71.0
248243.0MinnesotaB100.45730.5385876-178-220-40-31-53-85-16-62392122421.00.1
249244.3South FloridaAmer0.45670.5515615-206-250-30-41-61-73-43-102676922321.31.5
250246.1Northern KentuckyHorz0.45620.48811837-149-180-20-20-13-86-52-7270124255-8.9-0.4
251248.5Sacramento St.BSky0.45450.45262878-1112-150-00-01-13-59-95-4194305264-15.5-0.6
252250.4Georgia SouthernSB0.45340.47142358-1211-170-10-11-32-68-62-63193142446.40.3
253253.9UC DavisBW0.45150.48371968-1210-170-00-10-51-48-73-829224024310.90.5
254254.6SamfordSC0.45120.45322849-1412-170-10-20-12-610-67-4160320267-12.4-0.7
255255.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.45050.45582789-1312-150-00-10-23-79-52-9334241256-0.6-0.0
256255.5Montana St.BSky0.45030.44463129-1313-160-00-00-22-711-64-7198196258-2.5-0.1
257256.6South AlabamaSB0.44980.48302007-1410-190-00-11-52-67-73-622922523323.61.1
258257.4Utah ValleyWAC0.44940.47462287-149-170-10-10-31-68-63-9250174260-2.6-0.2
259258.6La SalleA100.44860.5492644-166-221-40-30-52-63-43-727213824810.60.6
260259.0Western IllinoisSum0.44840.49711555-137-170-10-11-32-83-34-4179301272-13.0-0.5
262260.0Youngstown St.Horz0.44790.48461937-169-200-10-30-13-97-63-824416922931.01.9
261260.1Appalachian St.SB0.44790.50241496-179-220-20-10-51-78-72-926276270-9.9-0.5
264262.0LibertyBSth0.44680.47002388-1510-180-00-20-14-66-80-10346189266-4.0-0.2
263262.3AmericanPat0.44690.47912147-169-200-00-10-23-66-112-92361092611.30.1
265263.5Santa ClaraWCC0.44600.49911537-169-200-10-30-51-48-83-83072362630.50.0
266263.6UC RiversideBW0.44600.451929411-1312-180-00-01-42-510-87-7253340275-11.4-0.7
267265.3DrexelCAA0.44500.5386863-195-230-10-41-71-93-22-82558823926.31.5
268265.4UNC GreensboroSC0.44460.48831806-159-190-10-20-22-107-41-9320142280-14.6-0.6
270267.5QuinnipiacMAAC0.44330.46902408-1311-180-00-20-32-59-83-6298296278-10.5-0.5
269267.6Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.44360.45702757-1610-190-20-20-21-510-82-12237572652.60.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.5SeattleWAC0.44210.451629610-1112-140-00-11-31-510-54-8326293291-20.5-1.2
272272.2Idaho St.BSky0.44050.42453409-1113-150-00-00-01-612-83-7311332279-6.8-0.3
273273.9UMKCWAC0.44000.47572276-159-170-21-00-21-76-64-8208149283-9.1-0.4
274274.4DelawareCAA0.43970.50791345-187-220-10-20-81-96-25-619628925915.40.9
275274.5LipscombASun0.43960.48701896-188-210-00-20-41-77-72-1325963277-2.5-0.2
276274.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.43950.49131745-167-190-00-20-21-106-51-7243122713.80.2
279275.0Sacred HeartNEC0.43890.44283138-1511-180-00-10-21-410-111-103312322732.00.1
278275.1UMass LowellAE0.43920.46492557-159-190-00-30-32-57-83-92942742696.10.3
277275.2Cleveland St.Horz0.43930.51051285-187-220-10-31-21-115-53-817182741.20.1
280276.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43830.48082076-158-200-10-00-52-66-83-9279263281-4.6-0.3
281276.6PennIvy0.43800.46662487-1110-170-10-20-41-49-55-8306328296-19.4-0.8
282279.3Texas St.SB0.43600.45082977-1110-170-00-10-31-79-64-3249351293-13.7-0.6
283280.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43570.48741875-178-210-10-10-51-76-71-103141842764.40.2
284281.3RutgersB100.43560.5343925-186-240-50-30-51-85-25-727623525130.32.2
285281.7Portland St.BSky0.43480.44983006-1310-170-00-00-10-810-82-7339339297-15.3-0.7
286283.5St. Francis NYNEC0.43390.43013349-1513-170-10-00-10-513-113-9300302287-3.5-0.2
287284.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.43330.46002697-139-180-00-10-62-37-95-62353362822.70.2
288286.0LIU BrooklynNEC0.43240.411334811-1214-150-00-00-02-312-126-5234341299-13.0-0.8
290289.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.42970.43303297-1210-170-00-10-10-610-90-933210426821.31.1
289289.4San DiegoWCC0.43040.48331997-158-200-11-31-30-37-104-62933192881.40.1
291290.3HowardMEAC0.42910.43543238-1311-170-11-00-11-69-94-9264210307-16.7-0.9
293290.6DartmouthIvy0.42900.47372296-139-180-00-20-31-68-75-8281308308-17.4-0.9
292290.7Holy CrossPat0.42900.44923019-1411-180-10-00-12-59-105-62322942900.70.0
294291.8BrownIvy0.42810.47152336-138-190-10-20-41-48-74-9318317294-2.2-0.1
295292.4RiceCUSA0.42810.48351976-159-200-00-11-42-86-83-82631602920.40.0
296292.7TroySB0.42770.47902155-168-210-00-20-41-67-93-62572582893.70.2
297293.2Alabama St.SWAC0.42710.43463266-1410-180-00-10-21-79-83-715184300-6.8-0.4
298294.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.42690.49451635-187-210-20-20-41-75-72-12252282859.40.6
299295.6San Jose St.MWC0.42590.50381465-156-210-00-10-44-102-62-7328288298-2.4-0.2
300295.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.42500.39903517-1112-140-00-00-11-611-73-5224312314-18.2-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301298.0Southern MissCUSA0.42380.46172626-139-180-00-01-32-76-92-7304250302-4.0-0.2
302299.9Robert MorrisNEC0.42270.45332837-1810-210-00-10-21-79-122-11299172313-13.1-0.9
304300.7North TexasCUSA0.42190.47192317-1410-190-00-00-32-87-83-8323254301-0.3-0.0
303301.0MaineAE0.42220.44873048-1510-190-00-21-20-69-104-9322331303-2.0-0.1
305302.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42050.42523397-1510-190-10-10-11-410-111-12312221311-8.4-0.4
306303.5The CitadelSC0.42020.44813077-149-190-00-20-21-67-94-627734528419.51.3
307304.4Jacksonville St.OVC0.41970.48052086-187-220-00-10-52-85-82-11338270316-11.6-1.0
310305.1StetsonASun0.41890.45752735-167-200-10-00-11-86-93-1028520928619.11.3
309305.3DrakeMVC0.41910.48781855-187-220-10-20-32-115-64-7291285318-12.7-0.9
308305.4BradleyMVC0.41920.52191163-214-260-20-30-52-102-71-113037129510.41.1
311307.7BinghamtonAE0.41710.47642255-187-220-10-20-40-67-103-102952073043.70.3
312308.0NiagaraMAAC0.41680.47872176-198-230-00-30-31-77-102-9321248309-1.0-0.1
313312.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.41350.46642496-158-200-10-10-02-76-111-9347257319-7.0-0.5
316312.0New OrleansSlnd0.41250.41923435-139-170-00-00-20-89-71-7309267317-5.0-0.3
314312.2MaristMAAC0.41350.47062365-177-220-00-21-21-76-113-62882873120.20.0
315313.0LafayettePat0.41260.46782435-177-210-10-10-11-76-123-8265213315-2.0-0.1
317314.2HartfordAE0.41180.45872706-178-220-10-30-30-58-114-10313298324-9.8-1.0
319318.6SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40770.48012094-196-220-10-10-42-84-93-9233773108.60.7
318318.8LongwoodBSth0.40780.45262885-177-210-00-00-02-125-91-9341299322-3.2-0.3
320319.0UMBCAE0.40760.45042986-198-230-00-10-20-98-104-11324325326-7.0-0.6
321319.4BryantNEC0.40720.45232906-188-220-10-20-30-38-142-10289159325-5.6-0.5
322319.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.40670.44573105-198-240-20-10-20-77-122-1224210830514.61.2
323321.3Coppin St.MEAC0.40490.45402813-176-200-20-20-20-56-90-112871330615.31.1
324322.0North Carolina CentralMEAC0.40410.42253415-159-170-00-00-10-79-92-9301205331-9.0-0.7
325323.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.40320.49281692-184-230-10-20-30-83-110-926953212.50.2
326325.9USC UpstateASun0.40090.45532805-176-210-10-00-12-74-113-10297222328-2.1-0.2
327326.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.39870.43533244-158-200-10-20-30-47-101-92961193206.60.5
330327.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.39760.43203316-139-180-00-00-11-97-81-8349324336-8.4-0.7
328327.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39810.44992994-206-260-00-00-40-86-130-1432999330-2.2-0.2
329328.2CampbellBSth0.39790.43243306-158-180-00-00-13-75-104-4284347332-3.8-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331328.4McNeese St.Slnd0.39500.43353283-147-180-10-10-32-36-90-729019329-0.6-0.0
332329.8Morgan St.MEAC0.39480.43633214-167-210-10-10-00-67-121-11310162344-14.2-1.2
335330.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.39420.46452583-185-240-10-20-41-64-111-1021143237.70.7
334331.0LamarSlnd0.39430.41673466-138-180-00-00-20-78-94-4271349342-11.0-1.1
333331.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.39430.46712473-194-230-10-00-30-84-111-103171983274.50.6
336332.2PresbyterianBSth0.39220.43873185-157-190-00-00-11-106-82-6340321333-0.8-0.1
337332.5Northwestern St.Slnd0.39130.43913173-136-180-10-10-30-66-70-630844339-6.5-0.6
339332.7Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.39060.42813363-178-210-10-10-20-78-100-11344185340-7.3-0.6
341333.7Savannah St.MEAC0.38990.41103497-139-170-20-10-00-29-113-7286231335-1.3-0.1
338333.8VMISC0.39090.46522523-164-210-00-10-21-104-82-6268242337-3.2-0.4
340334.6Southern UtahBSky0.39000.46022683-174-230-00-20-10-84-121-83162233340.60.1
342334.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38900.41483477-1710-200-20-00-10-610-113-11330261338-3.3-0.4
343340.5UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.38040.46462573-184-220-10-00-20-84-111-11348264341-0.5-0.1
344341.8UTSACUSA0.37820.46082663-194-250-10-00-30-74-131-10343297343-1.2-0.3
345343.8Chicago St.WAC0.37360.47812191-222-260-10-10-20-122-101-13337190345-1.2-0.3
346344.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.37030.43733202-205-250-10-10-22-73-140-12342154348-3.8-0.7
347344.6Grambling St.SWAC0.36910.43383273-165-220-00-00-20-95-100-9335107346-1.4-0.3
348347.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.36290.46602501-192-250-00-20-10-132-100-93503263470.20.1
349348.0Delaware St.MEAC0.35730.43523252-194-250-00-10-20-64-150-13345188349-1.0-0.3
350348.6Florida A&MMEAC0.35390.40163504-156-190-00-00-00-46-152-9336306350-1.4-0.5
351350.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.34410.41733453-204-250-00-10-10-34-201-10351343351-0.6-0.6


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com