live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Dec 16, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
12.2VillanovaBE0.66500.58631511-028-35-25-16-17-04-013-02294-1.8-0.9
24.7DukeACC0.65140.5963411-125-64-24-16-19-12-013-01613.70.9
36.2North CarolinaACC0.64570.600229-124-74-45-25-17-03-011-25188-1.8-0.4
47.5VirginiaACC0.64090.5829179-124-63-34-25-18-04-011-174914-6.5-1.1
57.7XavierBE0.64020.59011210-125-63-44-15-19-04-012-162413-5.3-0.9
68.3Texas A&MSEC0.63880.592989-124-74-45-26-16-14-011-24119-0.7-0.1
710.2KansasB120.63300.602118-224-75-45-25-16-12-011-2222319-8.8-1.2
811.1PurdueB100.62980.56623711-226-52-14-18-28-14-011-2288715-3.9-0.6
912.3Michigan St.B100.62690.55166310-127-42-22-16-111-16-012-11713039.31.3
1114.1Wichita St.Amer0.62270.5639428-224-61-24-26-18-05-010-2339023-8.9-1.2
1014.1Arizona St.P120.62340.5402779-026-43-13-15-110-15-012-011175212.11.4
1217.5West VirginiaB120.61800.5764259-123-85-44-25-13-07-012-127154116.50.6
1319.0NevadaMWC0.61370.5416768-226-61-12-25-210-18-012-21244181.00.1
1420.3ArkansasSEC0.61290.5742308-223-83-43-25-28-13-011-218431010.30.9
1521.0Miami FLACC0.61200.5597489-021-72-33-23-18-16-010-01623139-18.0-1.4
1721.3Seton HallBE0.61090.5813209-222-92-43-25-28-24-011-2155724-2.7-0.2
1621.4TCUB120.61170.59011110-022-93-44-25-26-13-013-0350516.41.2
1822.2CincinnatiAmer0.60870.5369879-225-61-33-26-16-09-011-26828443-20.8-2.0
2023.3ArizonaP120.60730.5635438-323-82-33-25-210-24-010-3313332-8.7-0.8
1924.3KentuckySEC0.60760.5925109-121-102-53-25-18-13-011-2101228-3.7-0.3
2424.6GonzagaWCC0.60420.51691149-227-41-12-14-16-013-011-2256538-13.4-1.6
2124.8TennesseeSEC0.60610.5752287-121-93-42-25-29-13-010-2914618.81.3
2225.1MissouriSEC0.60580.5753278-221-93-43-25-28-13-010-22368718.11.3
2326.2OklahomaB120.60440.593268-119-114-54-35-23-04-010-21454179.20.6
2528.5CreightonBE0.60040.5660388-221-92-42-25-16-16-010-24719351-22.5-1.5
2629.7Rhode IslandA100.59930.5508676-321-81-21-14-29-27-08-3204218.70.6
2733.4ClemsonACC0.59430.5825189-120-102-53-34-27-14-011-11347312.40.1
2834.1SyracuseACC0.59380.5851169-120-112-52-25-29-13-011-28211222.11.3
2934.8Texas TechB120.59320.5650409-122-94-53-25-23-07-012-14424547-12.2-0.7
3035.1Florida St.ACC0.59210.5511669-122-83-43-23-26-17-011-15830941-5.9-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3136.7BaylorB120.59160.5867147-219-113-63-24-23-06-09-340107115-78.3-4.2
3237.0LouisvilleACC0.59030.5812218-220-112-62-23-18-15-010-3377869-32.0-1.8
3339.1TempleAmer0.58780.5820197-318-121-42-25-27-33-08-424161623.11.4
3540.1SMUAmer0.58630.5498708-322-92-33-23-24-110-010-372112100-59.9-3.5
3440.7USCP120.58650.5574535-320-90-31-24-210-14-08-3503775-34.3-1.8
3643.0Northern IowaMVC0.58390.5555566-319-90-32-15-37-24-06-43972518.00.9
3743.3AuburnSEC0.58370.5570549-121-101-32-35-28-15-011-2191003310.30.5
3843.8St. John'sBE0.58330.595057-217-132-71-24-27-14-09-330222023.81.2
3945.2MarylandB100.58130.5630449-320-101-41-25-37-16-010-25221283-37.8-1.9
4145.4Boise St.MWC0.58110.52431009-122-71-11-13-27-29-19-2291383015.40.8
4045.9TexasB120.58110.593077-318-133-73-35-24-14-09-4555968-22.1-1.1
4246.2Virginia TechACC0.58050.5537599-221-103-52-22-16-18-111-210732696-49.8-2.5
4347.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.57910.52081076-220-70-00-12-210-28-17-226352621.11.2
4547.1OregonP120.57910.5558559-321-101-32-24-210-25-010-390146104-56.9-3.0
4447.7AlabamaSEC0.57910.596537-317-142-53-35-36-21-09-43232720.71.0
4648.0MichiganB100.57870.5505689-320-101-32-25-37-26-010-2532382919.00.9
4748.1FloridaSEC0.57840.5692366-420-113-53-33-25-15-09-4893962-13.9-0.7
4848.6HoustonAmer0.57760.5377838-221-92-32-23-16-29-110-26022373-24.4-1.3
4949.5TowsonCAA0.57660.49571648-123-60-00-02-29-311-19-2211403712.50.7
5052.9Notre DameACC0.57390.5513657-319-113-52-12-26-27-09-311026299-46.1-2.2
5153.4St. BonaventureA100.57350.52171068-222-81-22-13-26-210-19-3358656-2.6-0.1
5254.8Ohio St.B100.57240.5641419-320-111-31-24-311-24-09-48463459.80.5
5456.8Saint Mary'sWCC0.56970.49751609-225-60-11-13-19-212-111-26221392-35.2-1.9
5557.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.56960.5316926-421-91-11-12-36-310-18-4492670-12.1-0.6
5358.2UtahP120.56980.5608457-318-111-31-32-48-25-08-359135508.20.3
5659.2UNLVMWC0.56830.50591369-224-71-21-23-27-112-111-26725388-28.8-1.4
5760.1BuffaloMAC0.56770.5383826-320-100-20-12-210-48-17-534971-10.9-0.5
5861.1ButlerBE0.56730.5776248-318-132-62-34-25-15-010-345884219.10.8
5962.0South CarolinaSEC0.56630.5716358-217-131-42-43-37-23-09-341724022.00.9
6062.5BYUWCC0.56500.50391419-224-70-11-22-28-112-111-2421574616.50.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6166.6UCLAP120.56290.5527617-319-111-41-33-29-24-08-48662112-45.4-1.7
6470.3VermontAE0.55900.48142046-522-80-10-12-36-315-18-664133673.30.2
6270.8San Diego St.MWC0.55920.5279956-319-91-31-23-25-28-16-412013191-20.2-0.8
6571.2UT ArlingtonSB0.55860.49861577-321-90-10-12-26-314-28-4741595714.20.6
6371.5Missouri St.MVC0.55900.52311038-320-100-01-14-39-47-19-375176127-55.5-2.1
6772.5ProvidenceBE0.55780.5809227-316-151-61-33-36-25-09-456764923.50.9
6672.7MinnesotaB100.55820.5386809-320-111-41-23-28-37-011-2792494428.71.1
6873.0Penn St.B100.55750.5388788-320-110-31-23-38-37-011-276255125-52.0-2.0
6974.9Old DominionCUSA0.55580.47852147-323-70-01-12-26-314-19-3872606014.90.7
7077.6New Mexico St.WAC0.55420.48351927-219-60-00-11-27-311-18-36316585-7.4-0.3
7178.8Oklahoma St.B120.55360.5742318-217-142-83-32-23-06-010-394196118-39.2-1.4
7281.3DavidsonA100.55190.51721134-417-100-31-12-14-210-25-412496162-80.7-2.7
7382.9MarquetteBE0.55070.5718347-316-141-71-23-25-25-09-310515595-12.1-0.5
7483.8NorthwesternB100.55020.5499698-417-130-31-34-36-35-08-413523494-10.2-0.3
7683.9Kansas St.B120.55010.5576529-218-132-72-33-25-16-011-2114298138-54.1-1.9
7583.9Loyola ChicagoMVC0.55010.50661359-219-100-01-23-37-48-19-261291113-29.1-1.0
7786.7Northern KentuckyHorz0.54770.46742525-321-70-10-01-15-315-16-48094150-63.3-2.6
7887.4Iowa St.B120.54730.5873138-214-162-73-42-33-14-09-3481032265.42.4
7988.4ValparaisoMVC0.54710.51231206-318-110-11-12-47-48-18-391272101-12.6-0.4
8088.7UC Santa BarbaraBW0.54680.46712548-221-70-10-11-17-313-29-3381913553.71.9
8188.9UNC GreensboroSC0.54650.46932466-321-70-10-01-26-213-27-39523289-0.1-0.0
8289.6Ball St.MAC0.54620.51111225-419-110-11-12-38-58-18-4881797910.60.3
8390.0UCFAmer0.54580.5515647-317-131-52-42-25-28-19-3821324842.01.5
8493.5South DakotaSum0.54360.46202708-320-70-20-11-15-215-29-4100290903.50.1
8595.5ConnecticutAmer0.54230.5755267-315-161-71-42-25-26-07-67715102-6.5-0.2
8695.7Fresno St.MWC0.54210.50871308-319-100-21-22-35-211-18-3128270131-35.3-1.2
8798.0Georgia SouthernSB0.54120.48092086-320-90-00-12-25-412-27-4661865246.01.5
8898.5UC DavisBW0.54060.48191986-318-90-10-01-26-411-27-443853662.52.0
8999.2BucknellPat0.53980.49371704-719-120-20-11-25-512-35-811338161-61.8-2.1
90100.5Mississippi St.SEC0.53970.5328908-118-121-42-33-26-27-011-1462675446.51.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
91100.8HofstraCAA0.53930.51051236-318-110-20-22-27-38-37-454587723.80.8
92101.2IonaMAAC0.53900.49801595-419-110-10-11-26-412-36-67048120-18.8-0.6
93102.1LipscombASun0.53860.47712185-417-90-20-11-13-213-36-636323468.12.2
94103.1BelmontOVC0.53760.48711847-521-100-11-11-35-314-27-610682109-5.9-0.2
95105.1VCUA100.53640.51371186-520-110-21-22-26-311-28-512545123-17.9-0.6
96105.6Murray St.OVC0.53600.46692555-220-70-00-11-15-214-36-3130254139-33.4-1.1
97105.8South Dakota St.Sum0.53580.48681866-518-90-20-01-25-311-28-51111529312.80.4
98106.2Portland St.BSky0.53560.46932476-319-90-10-10-16-313-27-3832195947.21.6
100107.6AlbanyAE0.53470.456329110-222-80-00-11-14-317-211-378283128-20.4-0.7
101108.4ColoradoP120.53460.5527628-315-150-41-32-36-45-18-41082028226.40.8
99108.8Eastern MichiganMAC0.53510.50141495-216-110-00-12-27-57-26-3109252171-62.2-1.6
102109.3NortheasternCAA0.53460.51051245-417-120-01-23-36-58-26-510469141-31.7-0.9
103109.4GeorgiaSEC0.53400.5581507-214-161-42-43-44-34-08-4811618722.40.7
105109.6WashingtonP120.53350.5468737-317-141-31-32-47-46-19-471537237.61.2
104109.8BradleyMVC0.53390.50551378-218-120-01-23-57-48-19-3103294164-54.2-1.6
107110.2San DiegoWCC0.53330.49901548-319-100-11-22-34-211-28-399216111-0.8-0.0
106110.4DaytonA100.53340.5482725-516-140-11-22-47-56-26-69858129.40.9
108111.2Wake ForestACC0.53270.5727326-413-171-61-32-35-44-17-5151121173-61.8-2.0
109111.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53270.44453227-121-60-10-01-15-215-37-2732966645.51.4
110113.1MercerSC0.53170.47822154-419-100-10-11-34-413-26-5150190122-8.9-0.3
111113.2North Carolina St.ACC0.53150.5582498-316-152-62-42-33-27-010-3138240130-16.8-0.5
112113.6WisconsinB100.53150.5725335-714-171-61-33-45-34-07-6174838627.60.9
114115.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.52990.45073037-322-80-00-01-24-318-29-3153344158-42.2-1.4
113115.9FurmanSC0.53030.48541896-319-100-20-12-25-312-27-4921061087.90.2
115117.6WyomingMWC0.52880.52281048-317-130-20-32-37-38-29-3511196552.61.6
116118.1Boston CollegeACC0.52860.5430748-316-152-51-41-33-29-010-31583377840.11.2
117118.9East Tennessee St.SC0.52820.48152025-419-100-20-12-33-314-26-5118143129-10.1-0.3
118119.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.52810.45852847-221-80-00-11-24-315-28-3119310156-36.8-1.1
119119.6EvansvilleMVC0.52800.5257988-216-130-10-23-46-57-18-3571491109.60.3
120119.6Utah ValleyWAC0.52790.49441685-416-110-20-11-25-311-38-5931187445.61.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.1Central MichiganMAC0.52750.49511656-217-110-00-12-37-58-28-21013048437.11.0
122122.1UABCUSA0.52630.48341935-419-100-01-21-35-212-27-4237331219-96.9-2.9
123125.0LamarSlnd0.52470.45073044-119-70-00-01-14-314-35-3691646164.01.9
124127.0TulsaAmer0.52360.5358887-415-150-31-22-45-57-17-5143144135-8.0-0.2
126127.2Western MichiganMAC0.52340.50501394-417-120-00-12-47-68-16-5184264169-41.8-1.2
127127.6TulaneAmer0.52340.51981097-317-130-41-31-23-311-19-312727111611.60.3
125127.9IllinoisB100.52360.5532607-515-151-30-32-57-45-08-4136166200-72.1-2.1
128129.1College of CharlestonCAA0.52280.48172005-318-100-10-11-24-312-36-4144288192-62.9-1.7
129129.4OaklandHorz0.52230.47772176-520-110-20-11-25-314-37-610273134-4.6-0.1
130129.9IndianaB100.52200.5581516-514-160-51-33-45-45-08-41541741218.90.3
131130.4Illinois St.MVC0.52190.5493714-613-160-11-33-56-53-25-6126306466.41.9
132132.2La SalleA100.52080.5354895-615-160-31-21-35-58-36-7116207656.21.6
134133.4UNC AshevilleBSth0.52010.47042444-418-110-10-10-24-414-35-6117102160-26.6-0.8
133133.5Louisiana TechCUSA0.52020.50031505-417-110-00-21-34-411-26-41491689835.51.0
135134.4MonmouthMAAC0.51960.51821123-815-150-20-11-25-69-43-91458157-22.6-0.6
136135.7RutgersB100.51860.5369869-317-131-41-31-44-39-011-112332311916.70.5
137136.0NebraskaB100.51840.5385817-516-150-41-33-56-47-09-41572506373.02.1
138138.5IdahoBSky0.51790.46162745-318-100-10-01-15-512-36-4132244147-8.5-0.2
139138.6PennIvy0.51740.46672567-419-100-10-11-16-412-310-511519910335.61.1
140139.4LSUSEC0.51680.5543586-314-161-52-42-43-35-08-4134178148-8.6-0.2
141139.9RiderMAAC0.51640.48162016-518-120-10-01-35-412-46-6121104144-4.1-0.1
143143.3OhioMAC0.51440.50741335-516-130-11-22-36-67-16-5215204226-82.7-2.2
142143.5Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51510.5271964-612-140-10-12-45-55-34-897135885.52.3
144144.8Grand CanyonWAC0.51380.46142777-320-90-10-21-34-315-110-5182311204-59.2-1.8
145145.6VanderbiltSEC0.51340.592593-610-211-81-52-44-33-05-816110172-26.4-0.8
146147.9Washington St.P120.51210.5374857-314-160-21-33-46-55-18-4961281452.90.1
147150.6North Dakota St.Sum0.51090.49741614-514-120-10-11-42-310-36-61299110545.61.2
148151.4MemphisAmer0.51030.52411017-316-150-30-33-44-39-19-414120914011.40.3
149154.1IowaB100.50870.5430756-614-170-21-32-74-56-08-5159259214-59.9-1.7
151154.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.50830.46422636-518-100-10-21-13-213-47-7156123179-24.4-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
152154.8MississippiSEC0.50800.5747295-511-201-61-62-54-34-07-619093193-38.2-1.2
150154.8WagnerNEC0.50840.45332975-217-100-10-10-12-315-45-48517153101.82.6
153156.9YaleIvy0.50730.47652205-716-130-10-10-34-512-37-8148169168-11.1-0.3
156157.5Oregon St.P120.50680.5386798-314-160-41-42-45-46-19-31753001516.50.2
155157.6LibertyBSth0.50700.45212995-319-80-00-11-24-314-36-3173215201-43.4-1.3
154157.8ToledoMAC0.50710.51891104-514-160-10-11-37-76-36-6176163177-19.2-0.5
157159.4Utah St.MWC0.50610.52381025-614-160-20-32-53-38-26-6181147211-51.6-1.5
158159.4San FranciscoWCC0.50590.52221055-315-150-30-21-34-39-47-514055165-5.6-0.2
161160.4William & MaryCAA0.50530.50521385-313-140-10-22-33-48-45-4659210654.41.3
159160.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.50590.47422245-316-120-00-01-34-611-35-513319413327.50.7
160160.7St. Francis PANEC0.50530.46012803-516-110-10-10-13-413-44-514612214614.70.4
162161.3Robert MorrisNEC0.50480.44953076-519-120-00-10-23-416-57-614725614912.30.4
163161.6Georgia St.SB0.50470.47212345-417-120-00-01-24-511-46-5169274231-69.4-2.0
165162.1MassachusettsA100.50440.49961536-517-140-11-22-45-49-38-520024613626.10.7
164162.2MarshallCUSA0.50440.50011517-316-140-10-21-34-410-48-41222421557.20.2
166163.4StanfordP120.50350.5652395-612-190-51-42-45-54-16-721261227-63.6-2.0
167164.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.50270.5285944-413-170-10-22-55-56-36-6179153240-75.2-1.9
168168.3MilwaukeeHorz0.50090.45412966-418-110-00-02-23-413-47-41392278088.32.6
169169.6GeorgetownBE0.49990.5251998-114-151-61-32-32-110-010-1203351216-46.4-1.4
170172.3Tennessee TechOVC0.49910.47982125-415-140-10-01-33-611-46-514222111458.31.5
171172.6PittsburghACC0.49870.5800236-510-210-81-51-42-36-17-6186137178-5.4-0.2
172172.7Saint Joseph'sA100.49870.50961254-514-160-20-22-34-68-35-7180142210-37.3-1.0
173174.2AkronMAC0.49800.49681626-214-130-00-11-35-68-26-3164289175-0.8-0.0
174174.2DePaulBE0.49770.5544576-511-191-71-41-52-37-07-5240302235-60.8-2.0
176174.3NavyPat0.49770.45043058-318-120-10-00-13-515-48-411229315321.30.6
175174.6Indiana St.MVC0.49770.5376843-611-170-10-32-75-64-24-6221109212-37.4-1.0
177175.9Wright St.Horz0.49700.46142755-417-120-00-11-44-413-46-51631821741.90.1
178176.4George WashingtonA100.49660.52051085-615-160-21-21-43-59-36-71665115917.40.5
179177.3HarvardIvy0.49660.48511903-614-140-10-11-24-59-55-9172110184-6.7-0.2
180178.9RadfordBSth0.49570.46122783-415-130-10-10-12-513-44-615218814236.91.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181179.1MontanaBSky0.49540.45842853-416-120-00-00-35-611-35-5213276195-15.9-0.4
182179.5WinthropBSth0.49510.45163013-415-110-00-11-13-512-43-5205248180-0.5-0.0
183182.6Coastal CarolinaSB0.49350.49611633-514-140-00-11-43-59-44-616036185-2.4-0.1
184183.0UC IrvineBW0.49310.50881292-912-180-20-11-52-69-43-1118527202-19.0-0.5
185185.6CaliforniaP120.49160.5598475-510-200-41-42-54-64-26-6195101228-42.4-1.4
186185.8ArmyPat0.49150.44123275-417-110-00-00-23-414-56-4187340203-17.2-0.5
189186.3Georgia TechACC0.49100.5600464-411-201-71-42-43-45-28-5229235215-28.7-0.9
188186.8PrincetonIvy0.49100.48561884-613-130-10-20-23-59-34-818889232-45.2-1.3
187187.1Texas SouthernSWAC0.49110.46142760-1115-160-30-30-30-414-30-132382189-1.9-0.1
191188.7Kent St.MAC0.48980.50881284-513-170-10-11-55-77-35-7241229281-92.3-2.5
190189.7ElonCAA0.48980.50321454-412-170-10-11-44-68-45-613712911772.71.8
192190.1Stony BrookAE0.48910.49121743-714-150-10-11-52-411-44-922799246-55.9-1.6
193192.1UTSACUSA0.48820.48052094-514-140-10-11-32-611-34-6202214230-37.9-1.0
194193.9LehighPat0.48710.46752514-515-130-10-10-13-611-44-6191195239-45.1-1.2
195194.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48610.48042102-813-160-00-10-44-79-43-823313918311.80.3
196198.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.48490.43853295-517-130-00-10-22-415-56-6222335223-24.9-0.7
197199.0Bowling GreenMAC0.48450.49341716-413-160-00-11-44-78-37-41772851963.00.1
199199.4SeattleWAC0.48300.46432625-515-130-00-11-33-611-38-6225312224-24.6-0.6
198199.7TroySB0.48380.48251954-614-150-10-11-23-59-64-7249282266-66.3-1.8
200202.4Long Beach St.BW0.48280.49901554-812-180-30-11-34-67-44-101705297105.43.2
201203.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.48170.47182364-413-130-00-11-33-58-45-517118418221.80.5
202204.1Tennessee St.OVC0.48140.48981783-412-150-20-10-32-410-53-615546220-15.9-0.4
203204.7Southern UtahBSky0.48100.47812164-413-140-10-11-23-69-44-513110855149.73.7
205205.8UMBCAE0.48010.46962455-514-140-10-21-41-312-45-7206237229-23.2-0.7
204206.4ColgatePat0.48020.46462594-614-140-00-10-23-511-54-624222018125.40.6
206207.4NiagaraMAAC0.47950.47362265-615-160-00-11-43-511-66-716817219710.40.3
207208.4PacificWCC0.47910.51581154-711-190-30-31-52-59-44-8239126245-36.6-1.2
208209.1Colorado St.MWC0.47890.5299934-611-190-30-41-63-47-35-71898114366.12.0
210210.2New MexicoMWC0.47790.5269972-811-190-20-31-53-56-34-8258742082.20.1
209210.3WoffordSC0.47790.48711833-413-150-10-11-43-58-44-619411415456.31.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.4Saint LouisA100.47710.51851114-612-180-11-22-54-66-45-72118016744.41.3
214213.1Miami OHMAC0.47620.50771325-410-190-10-21-44-95-45-6162230107106.13.1
213213.1Montana St.BSky0.47630.47082414-514-150-00-00-34-810-55-616518512489.12.4
212213.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.47670.44033282-816-150-10-20-41-414-52-111671912687.32.7
217213.8Weber St.BSky0.47600.46192713-514-130-00-00-33-610-44-5245198236-22.2-0.6
216213.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.47610.49831584-411-170-10-31-52-59-35-520426919419.90.6
215214.0North TexasCUSA0.47610.47352275-514-150-10-21-33-510-55-619621718727.00.7
218214.8BinghamtonAE0.47540.44413236-416-130-00-01-32-313-67-6209338234-19.2-0.5
219215.1FairfieldMAAC0.47500.47302314-514-150-10-11-23-510-55-6199162217-1.9-0.0
220215.9Appalachian St.SB0.47500.47522213-713-160-00-11-42-59-64-7250226252-36.1-1.0
222216.8DrexelCAA0.47370.49101754-613-170-01-21-34-66-65-722824119818.80.5
223217.7Fort WayneSum0.47350.47072425-512-140-10-00-32-610-46-621627718829.70.8
221218.2Oral RobertsSum0.47380.51361193-89-180-10-11-62-65-53-101934219028.20.8
224219.5HawaiiBW0.47220.47142384-213-120-20-11-33-39-35-4197148222-2.5-0.1
225220.5Northern IllinoisMAC0.47200.50261464-411-180-00-11-54-96-35-6260303221-0.5-0.0
226221.5North FloridaASun0.47180.48661873-811-170-20-21-32-48-53-111924117645.51.2
228223.4Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47040.44973064-515-140-10-00-22-512-65-6230320238-14.6-0.4
227223.7Boston UniversityPat0.47070.46462603-513-150-10-00-22-610-64-621022520617.70.5
229225.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.46920.45652904-514-150-00-00-32-511-75-6218258247-21.5-0.6
230226.2UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.46890.48042116-713-160-10-10-43-59-57-8226243278-51.8-1.8
231229.0DrakeMVC0.46710.50941274-611-190-00-22-74-84-25-72563052254.00.1
232230.1Southern MissCUSA0.46650.50221473-49-180-10-31-42-67-43-6234206258-27.9-0.8
233231.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.46560.47322302-512-150-00-10-22-79-53-6267181263-31.6-0.8
234232.2ChattanoogaSC0.46530.48152033-512-170-00-01-42-99-44-7253183275-42.8-1.2
235233.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46510.49081763-410-170-10-20-42-37-63-61989720924.10.7
236233.2ManhattanMAAC0.46500.47142394-613-170-10-10-33-510-64-8254200284-50.8-1.4
237233.6DelawareCAA0.46490.48901812-611-180-00-21-53-77-44-7261268262-28.4-0.8
238234.4New OrleansSlnd0.46430.46172730-711-150-00-20-21-510-60-827417256-21.6-0.5
239234.7Austin PeayOVC0.46370.48681852-611-170-10-10-42-79-43-7279150251-16.3-0.4
240234.9Western IllinoisSum0.46360.45742875-211-120-00-00-32-49-45-420832816371.91.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241235.9George MasonA100.46330.50381435-612-190-10-21-53-88-36-72361672332.90.1
242236.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.46310.42953345-516-150-00-10-12-614-86-723134215284.12.4
243240.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.46080.44933084-313-140-00-10-22-411-84-52072802373.70.1
244241.3CanisiusMAAC0.46030.45592924-714-170-00-10-33-711-65-8270299276-34.7-1.0
246242.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.45970.39573494-416-120-00-10-11-215-75-7223297137105.13.2
245242.1UMKCWAC0.45990.50831312-98-200-10-10-62-86-43-11248952411.10.0
247243.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.45850.51501161-68-190-00-11-63-84-42-727267271-27.7-0.7
248246.6UTEPCUSA0.45700.49441672-611-170-00-20-53-58-54-62559819947.61.4
249248.7High PointBSth0.45550.44373241-512-140-10-00-13-69-62-6312321305-56.3-1.5
250249.2NJITASun0.45520.46052795-612-150-20-10-21-511-55-822415121831.20.9
252251.8Louisiana MonroeSB0.45360.48741823-510-160-10-10-31-58-63-52351132429.80.3
251251.9Nicholls St.Slnd0.45380.46292662-511-160-10-00-21-610-72-71783416685.92.4
253252.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45360.44483203-512-160-00-10-32-510-83-72202222448.60.3
254252.6Texas St.SB0.45340.46272684-512-170-00-01-33-68-85-6292350340-87.4-2.6
255253.5RichmondA100.45330.5326912-87-230-10-21-63-93-42-1024725260-6.5-0.2
256254.4DuquesneA100.45220.46852486-315-160-10-11-33-711-48-5283346317-62.6-1.9
257256.1North DakotaBSky0.45140.49241732-79-190-10-10-23-106-52-8244842533.10.1
258256.8South AlabamaSB0.45060.47082405-512-170-00-10-33-78-75-6264334290-33.2-1.0
260258.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.44970.46292671-711-170-10-10-31-59-81-9293105300-41.6-1.1
259258.6SienaMAAC0.45010.49311722-810-210-00-11-43-87-73-102324024315.60.5
261261.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44800.47352281-710-170-00-00-42-67-82-7330261308-47.0-1.3
262263.0CampbellBSth0.44730.43183323-513-140-00-00-12-511-73-6325349313-50.0-1.5
264264.2BrownIvy0.44590.44643174-511-150-00-10-22-69-65-7252318265-0.8-0.0
263264.3CornellIvy0.44630.45462954-411-160-10-10-13-68-76-7214287132132.33.8
265265.3Cal PolyBW0.44580.48122063-79-190-00-11-42-86-63-9257156285-19.7-0.6
266267.8Morgan St.MEAC0.44410.40113472-613-140-10-10-10-313-93-821920517097.83.0
267268.2Western CarolinaSC0.44410.50461402-78-210-20-10-51-76-63-82173118682.22.7
268268.8James MadisonCAA0.44360.48901803-810-200-00-21-43-76-73-9307278342-73.2-2.5
269269.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44270.47162371-79-180-10-10-21-68-81-828777293-23.4-0.6
270270.5HamptonMEAC0.44230.41983391-713-150-20-00-10-413-72-10275125294-23.5-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.9Holy CrossPat0.44230.46832493-611-180-00-10-22-78-84-7259211291-20.1-0.6
272271.3FordhamA100.44190.49961524-610-200-20-20-42-97-45-7285257286-14.7-0.5
273272.9Gardner WebbBSth0.44090.47212351-89-190-10-20-21-68-71-9282117279-6.1-0.2
276274.0ColumbiaIvy0.43990.47462221-108-180-10-00-22-86-62-10305208287-13.0-0.4
274274.3Santa ClaraWCC0.44010.50391422-68-200-20-31-41-56-53-7323251343-68.7-2.4
275274.8Grambling St.SWAC0.44000.39893483-714-160-00-00-11-513-94-820122820569.82.3
278275.2SamfordSC0.43940.48181992-89-200-10-10-51-77-62-92862012696.20.2
277275.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.43940.39433503-814-130-00-00-10-414-83-8296306307-31.5-1.1
280277.2UC RiversideBW0.43810.47702192-69-190-00-10-43-86-73-927319726710.20.3
279277.4PepperdineWCC0.43840.51441172-87-220-20-20-51-65-62-9302173283-5.6-0.2
281279.0South FloridaAmer0.43740.49891565-69-220-20-30-51-77-56-7308347324-45.0-2.0
282279.7Arkansas St.SB0.43640.47342293-79-200-10-00-32-77-83-8295301310-30.3-1.0
283280.9PortlandWCC0.43610.51191211-77-210-30-30-41-65-62-830419225426.91.0
284281.2DetroitHorz0.43560.48102072-79-200-00-10-42-87-72-92466025724.20.9
286281.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.43490.47972131-88-190-10-10-41-77-62-112777026120.30.6
285281.3Tennessee MartinOVC0.43540.44843102-811-180-00-00-21-710-93-8310319296-14.7-0.5
289282.0Morehead St.OVC0.43470.50341441-66-210-10-10-42-74-81-82512825527.00.8
290282.6Nebraska OmahaSum0.43440.49471662-108-210-20-10-42-76-73-122911702775.60.2
287283.0East CarolinaAmer0.43490.50181485-49-200-20-30-41-67-46-5315348328-45.0-1.9
288283.0UMass LowellAE0.43480.45163005-512-160-00-00-31-510-86-62803272803.00.1
292283.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.43390.44183262-711-180-00-10-22-79-93-8290314302-18.3-0.6
291284.1Savannah St.MEAC0.43390.48132051-98-210-50-20-20-38-91-12183120777.12.6
293285.3Cleveland St.Horz0.43290.46732532-610-200-20-00-22-88-83-9284187322-36.7-1.2
294286.4Air ForceMWC0.43250.48911794-58-200-10-20-51-66-54-6297343315-28.6-1.1
298287.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.43020.44903090-69-160-00-10-11-57-90-7348279344-56.8-1.6
295287.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43150.47412253-69-200-10-10-31-77-94-724323319196.43.7
296287.7Eastern KentuckyOVC0.43100.46252693-69-200-00-00-31-88-74-7269313288-0.3-0.0
297289.1New HampshireAE0.43030.46652571-89-190-00-10-31-68-82-10342292345-55.9-1.9
300289.8AmericanPat0.42910.45902833-610-190-10-00-21-78-94-726628124841.81.4
299289.9Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42940.44773123-611-180-10-10-32-710-74-7316307321-31.1-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301290.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.42880.43733303-712-180-00-00-12-610-124-8319330292-1.9-0.1
302291.0DenverSum0.42850.46352644-79-170-00-01-32-96-64-8301316301-10.0-0.3
303292.7IUPUIHorz0.42760.47062431-78-190-20-10-31-67-81-8309124311-18.3-0.6
304294.8Sacramento St.BSky0.42630.49041770-87-220-00-10-42-95-71-1030612728212.80.4
306297.7SouthernSWAC0.42350.41153432-812-170-10-10-20-512-72-927811127324.70.9
305298.5CharlotteCUSA0.42400.48321942-67-210-00-20-51-66-83-7322308330-31.5-1.2
308299.4FIUCUSA0.42260.46442612-69-190-00-10-31-67-83-7334322312-12.6-0.5
307299.8StetsonASun0.42280.42443374-611-160-00-00-21-59-105-828133928910.80.4
309300.2Sacred HeartNEC0.42160.43683314-611-190-00-10-21-610-104-828932927030.21.1
310300.8Green BayHorz0.42140.45552932-69-190-10-10-31-78-83-7313265316-15.2-0.5
311302.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.42080.48241961-86-230-20-10-22-94-102-927114526834.21.4
312302.4VMISC0.42060.46172723-58-190-00-00-51-77-73-62883252975.40.2
315303.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.41850.47282331-36-180-10-10-21-46-91-52636624954.31.8
314303.5HowardMEAC0.41900.43083330-1010-190-10-00-10-69-120-13333160329-25.5-0.9
313303.9Loyola MDPat0.41910.47302320-87-210-00-10-22-75-101-9344203339-35.1-1.3
318304.8St. Francis NYNEC0.41790.45552941-88-200-00-00-11-77-111-9339239332-27.2-1.0
316305.4RiceCUSA0.41820.48491911-86-230-00-20-41-75-92-930018027233.41.5
317306.0San Jose St.MWC0.41820.50941261-74-240-20-20-51-73-71-9343273341-35.0-1.6
319307.4The CitadelSC0.41710.48231972-66-210-10-20-41-65-92-7276189309-1.6-0.1
320308.3Little RockSB0.41610.49421692-86-230-00-00-42-114-82-9299158319-10.7-0.5
321308.8Bethune CookmanMEAC0.41530.37693513-714-150-00-00-00-314-124-9326345337-28.2-1.2
323309.3Idaho St.BSky0.41380.45083021-58-190-10-00-21-77-82-7328315331-21.7-0.8
322309.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.41510.44483212-58-180-00-10-22-66-92-6294317326-16.5-0.7
324311.6LafayettePat0.41260.46532581-87-210-10-00-11-76-111-9341263335-23.4-1.0
325316.2PresbyterianBSth0.40900.44703164-59-190-10-11-11-67-104-626529525066.23.2
326317.5MaristMAAC0.40840.46822502-97-230-10-00-21-96-112-1030321029522.51.2
327317.9QuinnipiacMAAC0.40740.44583183-79-210-00-00-22-77-123-9329332336-18.1-0.9
328319.1Northwestern St.Slnd0.40560.45932821-46-190-10-20-21-45-101-626813427445.12.1
329320.1BryantNEC0.40510.45732881-107-240-00-10-21-96-122-1131724726456.12.8
331320.2Jackson St.SWAC0.40400.40643451-810-190-00-10-20-610-91-1029817730416.20.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330320.8USC UpstateASun0.40410.45762861-106-210-00-10-31-65-101-12331224325-4.2-0.2
332322.7HartfordAE0.40300.44833114-69-200-00-00-31-77-114-933234130616.71.0
333323.0Florida A&MMEAC0.40220.44553190-127-240-10-10-30-57-130-153117129924.01.2
334324.9DartmouthIvy0.39970.44743132-57-190-00-10-21-75-103-9327333346-21.1-1.1
335328.3JacksonvilleASun0.39610.44733142-87-200-00-10-21-76-113-10321275334-5.7-0.4
337330.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.39180.41303420-88-190-10-20-20-68-90-93145625971.24.0
336330.7MaineAE0.39350.45952811-85-240-00-10-31-74-131-123453243237.70.5
338330.8McNeese St.Slnd0.39160.45692890-75-200-00-10-20-64-120-73381163273.80.2
339331.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.39150.42853350-98-200-00-10-20-58-120-1233514131813.10.8
340332.9Coppin St.MEAC0.38940.44273250-117-240-20-10-20-57-150-1533612030329.92.1
343335.3South Carolina St.MEAC0.38550.41613402-98-210-00-00-30-68-122-1131820731421.31.5
342335.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38550.45292980-85-230-00-00-31-84-122-10350336351-15.6-1.1
341336.1Chicago St.WAC0.38850.50711340-121-280-10-20-60-111-80-1534013629838.14.9
344336.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.38500.44723152-96-230-10-20-30-36-142-1126279213123.410.5
345336.5Youngstown St.Horz0.38500.46342650-84-250-00-00-31-104-110-11346236338-1.5-0.1
346339.4Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37840.42773360-106-250-00-10-30-66-130-133247532019.41.7
347341.9LongwoodBSth0.37650.47462230-83-250-10-00-20-102-130-10337115349-7.1-1.0
348342.9Alabama St.SWAC0.37040.42103380-106-230-10-10-20-76-130-11320643339.91.2
349347.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.35700.40453460-126-260-10-10-10-56-180-14349266350-2.9-0.6
350348.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.35060.40823440-115-260-00-10-20-75-150-133472183480.30.1
351349.7Delaware St.MEAC0.34150.41593410-93-260-00-00-10-63-190-133512863472.71.2


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com