live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
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Through games of Jan 29, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.4KentuckySEC0.68100.57981620-031-05-06-08-07-04-013-0162-0.6-1.0
22.5VirginiaACC0.67080.57891719-028-25-13-05-011-03-012-03213-0.5-0.3
33.7KansasB120.66450.6253117-324-76-45-25-17-01-011-22212.71.1
45.2ArizonaP120.65420.57093119-227-43-12-08-211-13-012-195541.20.5
56.8WisconsinB100.64820.57212718-227-42-25-17-19-13-012-111379-2.2-0.8
67.3GonzagaWCC0.64570.54168220-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-15148-0.7-0.3
77.8DukeACC0.64460.5854917-325-64-33-16-27-05-013-043370.80.2
98.5North CarolinaACC0.64220.6055217-424-74-43-26-18-03-010-315510-1.5-0.4
88.6VillanovaBE0.64230.56733518-226-53-24-25-110-13-013-077462.60.7
108.6VCUA100.64190.58241217-325-62-23-27-18-05-010-36153.61.1
1111.3UtahP120.63330.57182815-423-62-32-17-18-05-09-2162612-0.7-0.2
1213.5Wichita St.MVC0.62660.53698918-226-31-22-15-17-011-09-21418112.50.7
1315.3LouisvilleACC0.62280.58051417-324-72-52-16-18-06-012-1198719-3.7-0.6
1418.5BaylorB120.61630.5937414-521-93-53-24-27-14-011-1124323-4.5-0.6
1518.7SMUAmer0.61560.56014516-423-60-22-36-15-09-08-3281322-3.3-0.5
1619.2West VirginiaB120.61460.57142917-323-83-43-34-17-06-012-134177154.20.6
1721.7Northern IowaMVC0.60960.523010719-226-41-21-05-17-112-011-11371210.70.1
1822.9OklahomaB120.60810.5912513-720-104-54-12-25-24-09-3396731-8.1-0.9
1923.4Ohio St.B100.60700.55535817-524-71-32-26-29-06-011-25117536-12.6-1.7
2123.4Notre DameACC0.60640.52739820-227-43-32-15-08-19-012-18632827-3.6-0.5
2023.9MarylandB100.60640.55914818-424-71-33-24-29-16-012-122991310.91.3
2225.3Iowa St.B120.60480.57731815-421-94-44-24-13-16-010-252158169.30.9
2325.6XavierBE0.60400.58391014-720-112-34-25-27-32-010-3272526-0.4-0.0
2425.7TexasB120.60350.5890614-621-103-72-33-18-05-011-2235730-4.3-0.5
2626.0ButlerBE0.60300.57013215-622-93-43-32-19-14-09-3641251412.01.3
2726.0CincinnatiAmer0.60290.55954715-523-82-22-24-36-18-09-42910251.00.1
2526.2GeorgetownBE0.60320.5961314-619-102-63-33-19-02-08-2178188.20.8
2828.7San Diego St.MWC0.59900.54068415-523-71-22-26-25-19-19-3314429-0.3-0.0
3029.1StanfordP120.59840.55675315-521-91-42-16-28-25-09-34286281.10.1
2929.3ProvidenceBE0.59850.58331116-520-113-44-24-27-22-110-324221712.31.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3132.0DavidsonA100.59460.52639913-422-61-31-13-27-110-08-24918334-2.0-0.2
3232.7GeorgiaSEC0.59370.57232614-520-100-32-26-38-24-09-33341248.70.8
3333.1Colorado St.MWC0.59290.514111817-324-60-01-14-37-111-012-0882321.10.1
3435.5ArkansasSEC0.59030.54517216-423-81-23-25-35-18-011-218782015.51.2
3536.7Michigan St.B100.58850.57392114-720-110-52-25-29-24-09-4685639-2.3-0.2
3639.6Oklahoma St.B120.58620.58181313-618-113-62-22-24-15-09-247148336.60.4
3740.1TulsaAmer0.58490.53479215-421-81-31-24-16-110-17-410111242-1.9-0.2
3841.4DaytonA100.58330.513312016-423-70-11-25-27-110-010-235131356.40.5
3943.6BuffaloMAC0.58160.53878613-620-100-20-14-37-49-19-3206848-4.4-0.3
4043.8Old DominionCUSA0.58060.505213616-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11032430.80.1
4145.2LSUSEC0.57950.54497316-422-91-13-36-36-26-111-245160378.20.6
4246.0IndianaB100.57910.56403815-621-103-42-34-36-16-010-384142406.00.4
4346.4Seton HallBE0.57840.56154114-619-112-52-33-18-25-010-230150415.40.4
4450.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.57430.525010216-421-70-21-11-211-27-17-310411152-1.4-0.1
4650.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57370.478021114-324-40-20-13-03-117-07-36913888-37.3-3.1
4751.2BYUWCC0.57330.54397814-720-91-31-12-19-38-08-3321259-7.8-0.6
4551.3IowaB100.57410.56793413-720-113-41-33-38-15-09-4113120474.30.3
4852.4Miami FLACC0.57280.55356014-621-102-41-24-18-36-010-375152448.40.6
4952.7Green BayHorz0.57250.492217515-422-60-11-04-26-312-19-3369254-1.3-0.1
5054.7George WashingtonA100.57130.520511116-522-92-31-23-27-29-010-358223459.70.5
5255.0FloridaSEC0.57050.5861811-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61112773-18.0-1.1
5155.2Texas A&MSEC0.57080.55126514-520-100-22-35-36-17-09-354843817.20.9
5357.2MississippiSEC0.56920.55575613-720-111-23-44-35-27-19-488127516.20.4
5458.1WoffordSC0.56770.487118415-522-70-20-12-15-114-27-42120508.10.5
5560.6Boise St.MWC0.56600.514211713-620-90-22-22-24-311-08-3571654911.60.7
5761.5TempleAmer0.56510.54457614-720-111-51-23-24-111-19-456654615.50.9
5661.9North Carolina St.ACC0.56510.5878713-917-141-61-24-37-24-09-47331583.90.2
5864.4IonaMAAC0.56260.478920915-623-80-00-10-28-315-27-466144568.40.6
5967.2ConnecticutAmer0.56130.55615511-818-121-52-42-33-19-17-5904879-11.8-0.6
6067.4St. John'sBE0.56120.57362212-717-131-73-33-15-34-010-24164616.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6368.9Murray St.OVC0.55930.473923216-423-50-10-03-17-214-28-410819074-5.1-0.4
6169.2WashingtonP120.55960.54477414-619-112-31-15-35-45-011-1371955712.20.6
6270.1Bowling GreenMAC0.55960.495416013-420-80-01-22-36-211-18-281308700.10.0
6471.3RichmondA100.55870.55984611-918-131-31-33-36-46-07-61123482-10.7-0.5
6571.4SyracuseACC0.55810.56054414-718-131-61-13-37-36-09-496126674.40.2
6672.1MemphisAmer0.55770.55276213-719-121-51-32-24-112-18-51033877-4.9-0.3
6773.0AlabamaSEC0.55730.55715212-718-120-51-34-35-27-09-362129649.00.4
6873.7William & MaryCAA0.55690.502714511-718-90-10-11-36-210-34-5924083-9.3-0.5
7173.9ValparaisoHorz0.55590.469424316-422-60-00-11-19-312-110-26524886-12.1-0.7
6974.2IllinoisB100.55620.54776813-819-122-31-33-47-26-010-372189713.20.2
7074.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55610.476422212-521-70-11-00-14-315-16-438526212.30.6
7276.7UCLAP120.55430.56733612-917-141-61-12-48-25-08-5110536610.70.5
7376.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55420.477121715-522-80-00-12-36-214-28-413128595-18.1-0.9
7577.4Rhode IslandA100.55400.510312713-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-3100198689.40.4
7477.5YaleIvy0.55410.505813511-619-100-00-12-25-511-29-6701146314.50.6
7877.6EvansvilleMVC0.55350.511012615-520-91-30-11-36-213-19-267181725.60.3
7677.7Long Beach St.BW0.55380.5418819-1116-141-20-32-56-37-14-1011936017.70.8
7777.8Central MichiganMAC0.55380.486518711-419-70-01-12-25-310-27-1132348104-26.2-1.0
7978.1Georgia St.SB0.55340.492717213-720-100-11-21-16-213-36-4466990-11.9-0.7
8080.5MassachusettsA100.55200.55166411-917-140-21-33-37-46-17-66095327.51.3
8182.2WyomingMWC0.55080.486318815-421-80-22-13-14-312-19-299318766.20.3
8282.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.55040.508013112-618-100-11-12-34-311-15-5133586913.90.7
8383.4PurdueB100.55010.55076613-818-130-43-25-35-45-08-518522489-5.6-0.3
8584.5UTEPCUSA0.54900.507013213-721-91-11-11-36-212-28-45329102-17.5-0.9
8484.6Illinois St.MVC0.54920.53559012-817-120-41-11-25-310-17-46335111-26.4-1.4
8685.5MichiganB100.54860.57421912-815-140-61-34-27-32-06-5149506520.51.0
8786.5South CarolinaSEC0.54840.5726259-915-141-43-33-44-35-08-37497116-29.5-1.3
8887.0OregonP120.54800.55316113-718-120-41-15-47-35-09-3851177512.00.5
8988.3High PointBSth0.54670.477921214-519-80-10-11-16-413-16-344137103-14.7-0.7
9088.6TennesseeSEC0.54670.56164012-716-141-42-42-46-25-08-478635533.61.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9188.8HarvardIvy0.54660.50331429-517-90-10-02-15-410-38-4591097810.80.4
9390.6Kent St.MAC0.54530.503314314-520-100-11-12-45-312-18-4151281101-10.4-0.5
9291.0ColoradoP120.54540.56223911-916-141-40-32-58-25-07-513596856.00.3
9491.4New MexicoMWC0.54470.519011313-719-110-11-23-37-38-28-414425494-2.6-0.1
9592.7MinnesotaB100.54380.55725112-916-141-41-33-45-26-010-25019199-6.3-0.3
9793.6South Dakota St.Sum0.54340.476422114-719-90-20-10-04-316-37-5107188118-24.4-1.3
9693.8ToledoMAC0.54350.523410512-818-130-20-12-47-59-18-597169109-15.2-0.7
9997.2Stony BrookAE0.54100.482319613-819-100-10-22-04-413-27-64828925.20.3
10197.3UNLVMWC0.54080.54437711-917-131-31-32-44-28-28-4254106-8.7-0.4
9897.4Kansas St.B120.54120.57991512-914-173-82-32-22-36-07-61861678413.40.7
10097.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54080.459127512-520-70-00-31-32-118-15-4106119110-12.5-0.8
10297.7Arizona St.P120.54070.55765011-1017-141-51-24-48-34-08-5169199114-16.3-0.7
10399.5Oregon St.P120.53990.523310613-618-111-20-23-48-35-08-3176327936.50.3
104102.4Georgia TechACC0.53770.57402010-1014-161-61-22-26-53-19-355808022.41.1
105106.3La SalleA100.53530.54048511-916-150-31-22-45-49-18-57749108-1.7-0.1
106106.5ClemsonACC0.53510.55545712-816-140-52-14-26-53-18-41562108125.51.2
107106.9Penn St.B100.53480.54278014-717-140-41-32-36-37-012-1612919115.90.8
108108.2Georgia SouthernSB0.53450.457828011-419-70-00-01-25-213-34-2163343117-8.8-0.3
109108.6NebraskaB100.53420.55854912-815-151-42-32-55-45-08-41452429810.60.5
110109.1AkronMAC0.53400.502714613-619-110-01-24-35-49-28-4194313112-2.9-0.1
111109.6PittsburghACC0.53320.55415912-816-150-60-22-38-36-110-3791829712.60.6
112110.3NortheasternCAA0.53280.485619114-820-110-00-11-37-412-38-5951761055.30.3
113111.9UC IrvineBW0.53220.501014810-816-120-11-11-36-49-25-7155115119-7.1-0.3
114112.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53140.425734113-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-5801008725.51.9
115113.3UC DavisBW0.53120.462526513-419-80-00-01-16-411-38-311531910013.30.5
116114.0TCUB120.53070.525810014-619-121-82-31-13-111-013-091349134-20.0-0.9
117120.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52730.52551018-1015-130-20-11-37-57-25-710911129-8.6-0.3
118123.9VanderbiltSEC0.52510.53738810-916-140-31-55-44-26-19-31052141158.90.3
119124.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52450.503014411-816-120-30-13-22-211-38-2762589628.41.2
120126.5BelmontOVC0.52340.476521913-718-100-20-11-24-413-27-58710210719.50.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121128.1MarquetteBE0.52240.56973310-1013-171-71-52-25-23-18-41241071226.10.3
122128.4New Mexico St.WAC0.52220.482919510-1018-110-20-21-32-215-26-915923160-31.6-1.7
123128.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52190.463126412-718-90-10-12-23-313-27-6137135137-8.3-0.4
124130.8Western MichiganMAC0.52140.500215111-716-130-01-12-45-69-17-416632512010.80.4
125133.3LafayettePat0.51960.487318311-817-110-20-00-16-510-37-3431301258.30.3
126133.4CanisiusMAAC0.51930.479320811-818-110-00-11-24-513-35-4122124144-10.6-0.4
127134.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.51910.45642897-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-226881286.30.2
129134.6HofstraCAA0.51870.457728214-821-100-00-01-34-516-29-4147324180-45.4-2.4
130135.0Cleveland St.Horz0.51840.503614010-1015-140-30-11-44-310-25-818279138-3.0-0.1
131135.1AlbanyAE0.51840.454029213-720-90-00-12-14-414-35-81842121350.10.0
128135.5ColumbiaIvy0.51880.51361198-715-120-10-01-46-48-37-613973162-26.5-0.9
132137.1CaliforniaP120.51730.54706912-915-160-51-24-45-35-110-38315612314.10.7
133139.3UT ArlingtonSB0.51650.486119011-817-120-20-11-23-313-45-48912212415.30.6
134140.9AmericanPat0.51560.488918111-1016-140-00-01-37-68-47-5711461319.90.4
135141.2St. BonaventureA100.51510.500914911-716-130-11-32-34-28-37-4197315155-13.8-0.5
136141.8PepperdineWCC0.51470.494616312-816-120-21-21-34-310-26-4221333152-10.2-0.5
137142.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.51430.459927312-918-110-20-10-04-414-35-811439174-31.2-1.4
138143.1RiderMAAC0.51410.463726314-820-110-10-10-24-316-36-518127612617.10.8
139145.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.51350.49201769-715-120-00-22-44-39-27-293307171-26.0-0.8
140145.6UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51310.477821411-816-120-10-21-23-312-44-61912561396.60.2
141145.6RadfordBSth0.51270.457128612-718-100-10-11-24-413-36-4982151450.60.0
142146.0Wake ForestACC0.51270.5713309-1212-190-70-32-55-45-18-5146151157-11.0-0.5
143146.9RutgersB100.51200.57282310-1211-201-30-52-74-44-18-5946211333.91.9
144147.4ChattanoogaSC0.51190.475922412-818-110-20-20-15-213-45-617383151-3.6-0.1
145147.8Boston CollegeACC0.51180.5612439-1013-171-61-33-43-45-08-416120412126.81.0
146148.7Sacramento St.BSky0.51130.458627712-617-100-10-01-11-315-54-5193243153-4.3-0.2
147149.4James MadisonCAA0.51080.500915013-918-130-20-11-44-412-37-6158721481.40.1
148150.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.51020.45812799-1118-130-31-21-21-415-33-10116713614.80.6
149151.8Utah St.MWC0.50950.493416811-816-130-11-23-42-310-36-5183237166-14.2-0.6
150152.8CharlotteCUSA0.50910.49991529-1116-150-10-42-42-312-27-6123101158-5.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151153.3East Tennessee St.SC0.50900.480220510-815-120-10-10-33-312-55-44024164-10.7-0.4
152153.6NorthwesternB100.50860.55186310-1013-180-51-42-64-27-09-415424014211.60.5
153153.8Gardner WebbBSth0.50860.49221749-914-130-10-21-24-39-54-51025913320.80.7
155156.9North Dakota St.Sum0.50720.457128512-717-100-10-11-23-213-56-5199306159-2.1-0.1
154156.9St. Francis PANEC0.50730.465725910-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-5821161479.90.4
156157.4Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50700.493516711-916-140-11-11-44-510-36-615314114314.40.5
157158.3Florida St.ACC0.50610.54467511-1014-170-51-22-55-46-18-519522913226.31.1
158158.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.50600.453929311-716-110-10-11-32-514-26-5178321176-17.2-0.7
160159.3CreightonBE0.50580.55635410-1213-181-61-62-34-34-19-412020312732.31.4
159159.6BucknellPat0.50600.490017811-1016-140-10-00-28-88-44-82271801545.60.2
161159.8San DiegoWCC0.50580.521111010-1113-160-31-31-34-57-26-5141170177-17.2-0.7
162161.9DePaulBE0.50420.54287911-1113-181-53-42-33-35-26-728430413031.91.5
163162.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50390.484119411-915-120-10-10-35-59-45-614313214913.70.6
164163.1Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50380.439532111-617-90-00-11-24-412-35-3128302185-21.9-0.9
165163.1Louisiana MonroeSB0.50360.48611899-814-130-00-10-34-510-42-52151341567.10.3
167163.8PortlandWCC0.50320.510112810-1014-140-20-21-34-58-27-312624514122.80.9
166163.9Cal PolyBW0.50330.48981808-913-130-10-11-35-57-45-5125192168-4.1-0.1
168164.5AuburnSEC0.50310.5614429-1012-181-21-52-54-43-27-5118701613.50.1
169165.7Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50240.46692559-916-110-10-11-22-312-46-5134178169-3.3-0.1
170166.9North FloridaASun0.50190.439032511-917-110-10-11-22-314-45-9235303191-24.1-1.1
171167.7LehighPat0.50120.49311699-1014-140-10-01-07-97-45-5127108173-5.3-0.2
173168.6St. Francis NYNEC0.50070.454129112-919-110-10-00-05-713-35-7220250182-13.4-0.6
172168.9MontanaBSky0.50080.47022419-815-120-00-21-22-312-52-722976200-31.1-1.1
174170.0TulaneAmer0.50030.506213412-815-140-20-42-51-112-28-3179317184-14.0-0.6
175170.2UABCUSA0.50010.51261239-1115-150-21-11-54-310-33-925247179-8.8-0.3
176172.2NJITind0.49870.460127211-1014-110-10-01-14-48-514-11172283183-10.8-0.5
177174.4OaklandHorz0.49800.51521168-1213-160-21-22-33-67-33-102134516311.40.4
178175.8ArmyPat0.49700.450030213-618-100-10-00-06-612-38-2152345189-13.2-0.5
179177.2George MasonA100.49650.5650376-129-200-50-52-52-35-34-716217181-3.8-0.1
180179.3Wright St.Horz0.49550.49561599-1113-150-10-21-45-48-46-611710514039.31.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181179.6USCP120.49510.5451719-1112-180-40-22-65-55-18-414822616514.60.6
183181.0Robert MorrisNEC0.49440.468325011-1017-130-20-10-14-613-34-82311531756.00.2
185181.2Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49430.48172009-1114-150-20-20-14-610-44-71364616714.20.5
184181.3Washington St.P120.49430.5452709-1111-190-50-22-63-65-16-620824914635.31.6
182181.3HawaiiBW0.49440.481320113-718-120-10-12-34-511-210-4142222188-6.7-0.3
186182.7Oral RobertsSum0.49360.48122039-1014-140-11-00-33-510-65-7180179193-10.3-0.3
187185.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49210.47742158-1014-140-00-12-23-59-63-5239232239-53.8-1.9
188186.7Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49150.445031312-1018-130-20-10-03-614-47-8130168187-0.3-0.0
189186.7San FranciscoWCC0.49150.5280968-1312-170-20-20-45-76-25-6204123195-8.3-0.4
190188.5Indiana St.MVC0.49040.51661149-1113-160-40-13-32-28-53-829521717810.50.5
191189.0DartmouthIvy0.49010.47242368-814-140-00-01-24-59-77-7207311194-5.0-0.2
192190.6DetroitHorz0.48970.50681339-1212-170-10-21-64-67-35-815761192-1.4-0.1
193190.7ColgatePat0.48930.49391668-1313-170-10-00-25-108-42-10287172221-30.3-1.1
194191.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.48900.474023111-816-130-00-02-25-49-66-3138166202-10.4-0.4
195192.5MissouriSEC0.48840.5727246-139-210-51-52-62-34-25-71924215042.51.7
197192.7MonmouthMAAC0.48830.468624811-1017-140-20-11-13-412-64-7258264204-11.3-0.5
196192.8Texas TechB120.48830.54886711-1012-191-81-40-22-38-110-316432017022.81.2
198193.3MercerSC0.48810.468025310-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8279184213-19.7-0.7
199193.5CornellIvy0.48760.48451938-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8210260199-5.5-0.2
200195.2Santa ClaraWCC0.48700.52131099-1111-170-20-30-35-76-14-623020517223.21.0
201195.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.48690.46612589-814-120-00-11-32-610-23-5190133198-2.6-0.1
202197.9VermontAE0.48570.453229610-1016-120-00-01-22-613-44-8255216214-16.1-0.7
203198.8Saint Joseph'sA100.48450.52041128-1112-180-31-22-52-47-56-617118518612.80.5
205205.0BryantNEC0.48160.47572259-1014-150-00-00-34-710-53-8201812032.00.1
204205.1Boston UniversityPat0.48170.50451387-1212-160-10-10-16-86-53-720051206-0.9-0.0
206206.1Virginia TechACC0.48080.5408839-1112-190-70-21-43-57-18-523331019610.10.4
207207.1Texas St.SB0.48020.48191977-912-140-10-11-21-59-53-31211392052.10.1
208207.7Ball St.MAC0.47970.5282956-1110-180-10-22-63-65-34-6250219216-8.3-0.3
209210.5OhioMAC0.47820.5343937-1110-190-01-21-74-85-25-621715719713.50.6
210210.7Delaware St.MEAC0.47820.44403168-1014-150-00-10-33-412-54-916014719020.70.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211212.0Morehead St.OVC0.47770.47412298-1313-160-10-10-32-811-23-10260202225-13.0-0.7
212213.4Northern ArizonaBSky0.47700.46922458-1114-160-11-11-21-612-64-8196106218-4.6-0.2
213213.9DenverSum0.47670.49231739-1213-160-10-21-23-410-66-717790222-8.1-0.3
214215.7Alabama St.SWAC0.47550.39233519-517-80-10-10-11-116-42-5270230224-8.3-0.3
215216.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.47540.46472616-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-624115217-0.7-0.0
217219.2IUPUISum0.47340.48771828-1312-180-10-10-52-710-54-1023815920910.20.4
216219.2USC UpstateASun0.47400.417034512-717-100-10-00-12-415-49-4174337238-18.8-0.9
218220.1Missouri St.MVC0.47320.52261086-1310-180-40-20-43-67-34-62051492119.10.4
219220.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.47300.45063008-914-130-00-10-32-512-43-6288252229-8.7-0.3
220220.7Fresno St.MWC0.47260.50431398-1111-180-11-31-53-56-43-8311298226-5.3-0.2
221221.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.47230.46072717-1012-140-00-00-24-78-51-7326294244-22.2-0.9
222222.4FIUCUSA0.47160.47472287-1011-170-10-10-33-58-65-618829620121.40.8
223224.6Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47060.461426710-1215-160-00-10-24-610-76-5175287231-6.4-0.3
224225.5Holy CrossPat0.47020.49481617-1111-160-00-01-16-94-54-5140932205.50.2
225227.1PacificWCC0.46940.51541157-129-180-20-30-32-86-25-416823620819.11.0
227227.7South DakotaSum0.46850.46612579-1213-160-00-10-33-410-75-8245278232-4.3-0.2
226228.1WinthropBSth0.46890.44143188-913-130-10-01-13-610-52-6310316242-13.9-0.6
228228.5Northern IllinoisMAC0.46820.50461377-1011-170-10-21-53-77-35-522629721216.50.6
229230.3Mississippi St.SEC0.46750.52391048-1110-200-20-41-64-55-36-627630121515.30.7
231230.6HartfordAE0.46720.451729810-1014-140-10-10-22-512-56-617020721911.60.5
230231.0New HampshireAE0.46730.435033210-914-130-00-00-13-611-55-62253002283.00.1
232231.2South FloridaAmer0.46710.5299946-1410-200-20-40-62-47-35-72161432274.20.2
233232.1PrincetonIvy0.46670.48501927-912-170-00-01-34-97-46-9274266276-43.9-1.3
234232.7UCFAmer0.46610.51121258-1111-170-30-41-43-28-46-423628921022.71.0
235233.9ManhattanMAAC0.46540.45702879-1014-150-00-00-33-810-43-6304329253-19.1-0.7
236234.7UTSACUSA0.46490.46482608-912-150-00-10-43-49-54-5269326235-0.3-0.0
237236.7Western CarolinaSC0.46390.46092698-1213-160-00-10-33-710-53-8242233241-4.3-0.2
238240.1Tennessee TechOVC0.46220.46922448-1212-160-00-00-35-77-66-6129196264-23.9-1.0
240241.0Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46150.47812106-911-150-00-20-42-68-45-4150279251-10.0-0.3
239241.1Saint LouisA100.46160.51271228-1111-190-30-30-52-48-47-521927320734.11.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241244.4Northern KentuckyASun0.45960.47302357-1211-160-20-00-21-710-54-9206103246-1.6-0.1
242245.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.45880.5352915-167-220-30-30-44-93-33-82488522322.41.1
243245.9Weber St.BSky0.45880.46882477-1112-150-10-20-32-49-53-6211752369.90.4
244247.6Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.45790.44903069-813-150-10-20-21-412-73-7315335292-44.4-2.0
245247.7IdahoBSky0.45780.46402626-1012-150-00-11-33-47-83-6240197271-23.3-0.8
246248.5LamarSlnd0.45730.47562266-1010-160-10-20-21-49-62-6218154285-36.5-1.3
249250.3Appalachian St.SB0.45610.46852498-1111-180-00-01-32-88-63-62623052473.30.1
248250.5IPFWSum0.45630.46662567-1111-150-00-00-42-69-54-6247271259-8.5-0.3
247250.5SouthernSWAC0.45650.44393176-1313-160-10-10-30-713-40-1128919254-3.5-0.1
250252.4Portland St.BSky0.45490.44723088-912-140-00-00-22-510-74-4198323262-9.6-0.4
252253.3SienaMAAC0.45460.47712168-1111-180-00-00-34-87-73-6232187256-2.7-0.1
251253.6UMass LowellAE0.45460.44953048-1212-160-10-00-22-69-75-716723123716.60.8
253254.5ElonCAA0.45380.45732849-1112-170-10-01-12-910-56-5222338277-22.5-1.0
254255.6BrownIvy0.45320.48122027-1011-180-01-10-42-78-67-822427423421.60.8
255256.4PennIvy0.45260.48671855-1010-180-10-11-42-87-55-9259267283-26.6-1.0
256257.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45230.46072708-1313-170-10-00-13-910-65-7212206269-11.7-0.5
257258.2East CarolinaAmer0.45190.51281216-129-200-30-41-51-37-55-62712882580.20.0
258259.1Air ForceMWC0.45130.49001797-1110-170-10-31-51-58-25-4256334280-20.9-0.9
259259.4HoustonAmer0.45120.49601578-1211-190-30-41-41-28-68-42283322554.40.2
260260.9HowardMEAC0.45010.43023387-1012-160-00-10-22-711-63-9257270287-26.1-0.9
262261.5NavyPat0.44960.48651867-1310-190-10-20-15-96-63-82932132574.50.2
263261.8UC RiversideBW0.44950.48181997-1110-180-10-10-42-78-55-723425724021.80.8
261262.0DuquesneA100.44970.52471035-137-210-20-40-51-86-34-628226324913.00.6
264263.0DrakeMVC0.44920.5385874-166-230-40-20-71-65-42-92785423033.01.7
265263.8LipscombASun0.44890.44613107-1111-150-10-00-11-810-53-92962752603.80.1
266264.7Grand CanyonWAC0.44820.439532210-1015-140-10-11-21-414-57-82532392613.70.2
267264.9Loyola MDPat0.44810.48012068-1210-190-10-10-25-105-64-725124623331.91.4
270264.9College of CharlestonCAA0.44790.49631566-1610-210-10-30-42-88-55-82021212631.90.1
268265.0Arkansas St.SB0.44800.45672888-1111-170-00-00-42-710-54-4261344267-2.0-0.1
269265.1DrexelCAA0.44790.49561586-139-190-00-20-52-96-42-829213624817.10.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271265.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.44770.47792138-1311-190-30-11-51-39-66-6290347278-12.4-0.6
272267.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.44620.44503124-1412-180-20-20-21-211-102-10298171279-11.1-0.4
274268.7Miami OHMAC0.44570.50931296-139-210-10-31-62-76-44-8318292282-13.3-0.6
273268.9TowsonCAA0.44590.45632909-1212-180-10-10-42-710-66-6244339274-5.1-0.3
276270.4North TexasCUSA0.44460.49391656-119-190-00-31-42-46-64-62662252655.40.2
275270.4LIU BrooklynNEC0.44480.46232668-1211-180-00-10-23-98-64-7223186291-20.6-0.9
277274.0FordhamA100.44250.5280974-137-210-20-40-61-55-44-626520825222.01.0
278274.6WagnerNEC0.44200.47552276-1310-180-10-10-03-107-61-930695288-13.4-0.5
279275.0Utah ValleyWAC0.44190.44713097-1111-160-10-10-10-510-84-923720025025.01.0
280275.4SeattleWAC0.44130.43593298-913-130-00-00-23-310-75-72642382723.40.1
282276.0Arkansas Little RockSB0.44120.47302347-1211-180-00-20-41-69-64-5272261305-29.0-1.3
281276.1Youngstown St.Horz0.44120.47612237-149-190-00-20-52-77-46-6187251281-4.9-0.2
283277.9MilwaukeeHorz0.44010.49471626-148-200-10-20-33-85-53-92801552707.90.3
284278.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43980.50341415-168-220-20-10-42-75-73-1128614026612.60.6
285279.7BradleyMVC0.43940.51181246-158-220-30-11-51-76-54-8299235289-9.3-0.5
287280.0North DakotaBSky0.43860.47132384-139-190-20-00-21-78-83-72039124337.01.6
286280.1FairfieldMAAC0.43920.49301706-149-210-10-10-31-97-72-8267662737.10.4
289280.4RiceCUSA0.43830.49301714-128-190-10-20-52-55-71-8343265299-18.6-0.7
288280.6VMISC0.43860.46762546-149-180-10-20-21-68-71-730711826812.60.6
291281.9McNeese St.Slnd0.43670.45043013-1110-150-10-20-31-39-62-51651624536.91.5
290283.1Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43690.45832787-1210-170-00-10-31-79-64-7303322303-19.9-1.0
292283.7Houston BaptistSlnd0.43560.45922745-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5316330332-48.3-1.9
293286.6South AlabamaSB0.43450.48181985-148-210-00-10-43-86-80-9348241296-9.4-0.5
294286.6CampbellBSth0.43430.46832515-149-190-10-10-13-76-93-7243193308-21.4-0.9
295287.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.43420.47682186-139-200-00-00-52-117-46-720927227512.00.6
296288.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43260.45362957-1110-150-00-00-31-68-72-7349346315-26.1-1.2
297290.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43210.45872766-139-190-10-10-12-98-74-61892092846.00.3
298292.1NevadaMWC0.43130.49741544-137-210-10-31-52-54-72-8341299310-17.9-1.1
299293.5FurmanSC0.42880.47012425-138-190-10-10-22-77-71-8319163294-0.5-0.0
300295.4MarshallCUSA0.42820.49821534-157-220-20-21-41-75-72-9321211301-5.6-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
303295.9New OrleansSlnd0.42640.43753273-109-150-00-20-20-48-81-5214982869.90.4
301296.7Nebraska OmahaSum0.42690.43253367-1211-170-00-00-22-59-95-7294350307-10.3-0.5
302297.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42640.45772836-119-190-00-20-31-48-113-72682442907.20.4
304298.2UMKCWAC0.42600.43903246-1410-190-10-00-11-59-113-12308269306-7.8-0.4
305298.3HamptonMEAC0.42580.42823398-1211-180-00-10-21-710-84-9275290318-19.7-1.0
306299.8Austin PeayOVC0.42500.48102045-147-210-00-10-43-55-103-9291227311-11.2-0.7
307302.9DelawareCAA0.42240.49431644-166-230-10-11-22-94-91-103241743002.90.2
308303.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42220.42503436-1512-200-10-20-31-411-113-112491642958.00.5
310304.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.42070.43853266-159-200-10-00-11-88-91-1232022029311.50.7
311304.9NiagaraMAAC0.42050.49061773-167-220-00-20-32-85-91-8302772977.90.5
309305.0Southern MissCUSA0.42100.50121474-136-210-00-20-71-64-73-6263194309-4.0-0.3
312306.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41940.45782817-149-200-10-00-22-77-105-82462803024.20.3
313307.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41740.43423345-1410-180-00-10-11-59-113-11317284324-16.1-1.1
315308.3Western IllinoisSum0.41660.47652205-117-180-00-00-31-66-83-62772213044.30.2
314308.4Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41690.43073374-1510-200-10-20-20-510-101-1128389316-7.6-0.5
316311.1Jackson St.SWAC0.41430.41523495-1512-190-00-00-20-811-92-11309228321-9.9-0.7
317313.9SamfordSC0.41190.43283358-1411-190-00-10-31-79-86-6254341314-0.1-0.0
318316.3Southern UtahBSky0.40820.45072994-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8301262322-5.7-0.4
319318.8Illinois ChicagoHorz0.40670.49651553-175-240-10-20-41-104-72-113131613135.80.5
321319.1Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40560.44063195-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102852473127.10.5
320319.2TroySB0.40600.44743075-128-190-00-11-32-55-103-4333351331-11.8-0.9
323320.1The CitadelSC0.40440.43943235-128-180-00-11-11-67-102-5329331327-6.9-0.5
322320.4Coppin St.MEAC0.40440.47222372-176-220-10-10-40-85-80-12297303191.40.1
324323.2Montana St.BSky0.40120.48012073-166-230-10-00-41-64-122-927360326-2.8-0.2
325323.5PresbyterianBSth0.40110.47322333-155-220-10-00-30-94-90-93371453176.50.8
326323.7Alabama A&MSWAC0.40030.41673464-128-190-00-10-30-58-100-93321283230.70.1
327324.9Morgan St.MEAC0.39860.43533304-168-220-10-10-11-76-122-12323259325-0.1-0.0
328325.2LongwoodBSth0.39830.45222974-167-220-00-10-22-95-102-9325293334-8.8-0.8
329325.8UNC GreensboroSC0.39790.46102683-166-220-10-10-22-64-121-9331255329-3.2-0.3
330326.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.39720.44513115-167-220-10-10-21-76-114-113052863206.30.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331326.7Savannah St.MEAC0.39590.44463143-157-210-10-20-21-66-102-102819429828.72.2
332328.7Idaho St.BSky0.39360.44963033-166-220-00-00-30-66-121-9336282336-7.3-0.7
333332.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38860.43483333-177-220-10-10-20-67-121-12330201341-8.6-1.0
335332.9MaineAE0.38800.47412302-194-250-10-10-30-93-111-123141103284.90.7
334333.0BinghamtonAE0.38820.46912462-194-250-10-20-20-94-110-13338162335-2.0-0.3
336335.3San Jose St.MWC0.38490.50911300-180-280-10-30-60-90-90-103462343332.30.6
337335.4MaristMAAC0.38430.47122392-184-260-00-00-20-124-121-9339268340-4.6-0.7
338335.9StetsonASun0.38240.44033203-156-210-00-10-10-76-112-11335312343-7.1-0.8
339336.4Tennessee St.OVC0.38210.47062402-184-250-10-00-21-93-121-12342253338-1.6-0.2
340337.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37980.40063504-159-200-00-00-10-79-123-10345340346-8.5-1.2
342337.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.37920.44903052-124-210-10-10-30-44-110-73271133307.81.1
341338.1UMBCAE0.37960.44413153-185-240-00-10-30-75-122-11334295339-0.9-0.1
343340.6Central ConnecticutNEC0.37470.45382943-195-260-10-10-11-114-142-11328277345-4.4-0.9
344340.8Chicago St.WAC0.37360.46822521-183-250-10-10-40-63-131-13312104342-1.2-0.2
345342.6Alcorn St.SWAC0.36860.41603483-156-220-10-10-20-56-130-10340173344-1.4-0.2
346342.9JacksonvilleASun0.36810.42553424-166-220-00-10-11-55-153-11344342347-4.1-0.8
347345.6LibertyBSth0.35950.43523312-164-230-00-00-10-104-122-7347336349-3.4-0.9
348346.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35730.41723442-185-260-10-10-10-75-171-123222183379.33.0
349349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.33600.42593400-152-240-10-10-30-42-150-8300363481.30.8
350349.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.33510.43623280-181-280-00-10-30-61-190-11350309350-0.5-0.5
351350.6Florida A&MMEAC0.32340.41663470-201-280-00-00-20-81-180-13351314351-0.4-0.6


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com