live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)



Through games of Nov 21, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
12.7DukeACC0.65780.584834-026-45-34-16-17-04-011-122227-24.3-9.9
23.9TexasB120.65000.584444-026-55-25-15-17-05-012-131551-47.1-12.8
34.2KentuckySEC0.64870.581254-027-44-24-17-18-13-012-1169-4.8-1.2
47.6WisconsinB100.63420.5747103-024-53-24-16-17-15-010-1629113-105.4-15.6
510.5LouisvilleACC0.62650.578963-025-65-43-15-18-15-012-1116421-10.5-1.2
612.4VirginiaACC0.62140.5726124-022-73-33-15-18-15-010-155348-35.6-3.6
813.9GonzagaWCC0.61670.5293953-025-42-13-14-18-18-010-11311733-19.1-2.0
714.9XavierBE0.61730.5669233-022-71-13-27-39-22-09-272672-57.1-4.6
916.2ConnecticutAmer0.61340.5651273-022-72-32-14-27-16-08-38788.20.7
1016.8Wichita St.MVC0.61210.5336902-023-40-02-15-18-17-07-241192-75.2-6.2
1118.8Miami FLACC0.60930.5712164-022-83-42-15-27-15-011-194852-33.2-2.5
1221.2VCUA100.60560.5600423-022-81-13-26-28-25-09-310925-3.8-0.3
1321.7San Diego St.MWC0.60450.5310933-023-51-12-15-29-27-08-2189959-37.3-2.5
1524.8North CarolinaACC0.60090.585422-019-103-62-13-27-14-09-22459105-80.2-4.7
1624.9SyracuseACC0.59970.5725133-122-93-42-24-28-15-010-31944147-122.1-7.5
1425.1ArizonaP120.60090.578573-020-92-33-34-25-15-09-2214242-16.9-0.9
1727.4KansasB120.59790.602611-117-122-53-25-27-22-07-4153152-124.6-6.4
1828.6BaylorB120.59620.5720143-020-92-33-25-26-25-010-11683109-80.4-4.2
1929.3IowaB100.59410.575692-221-102-53-24-26-16-010-34565133-103.7-5.7
2030.2Michigan St.B100.59320.5558502-121-82-33-24-26-17-09-256235169-138.8-7.4
2130.9West VirginiaB120.59310.5676214-021-92-32-25-28-24-010-2171071119.91.0
2231.4UtahP120.59200.5554512-120-92-33-23-25-17-08-32761212-180.6-9.1
2432.2CaliforniaP120.59060.5493653-123-82-33-23-26-18-011-22887131-98.8-5.2
2332.4Ohio St.B100.59120.5523592-023-82-33-24-26-17-011-238220329.41.4
2632.7ArkansasSEC0.59030.5414823-023-81-22-25-28-27-011-2229750-17.3-0.9
2533.0SMUAmer0.59030.5639311-220-91-32-24-27-26-07-44623140-107.0-5.0
2733.4BYUWCC0.58990.5600412-019-91-32-13-28-25-17-312463-29.6-1.4
2833.8FloridaSEC0.58980.5702182-119-102-42-25-37-14-08-3423536-2.2-0.1
2934.7MichiganB100.58910.5733112-019-93-43-33-26-14-08-2306789-54.3-2.4
3035.5George WashingtonA100.58660.51841162-122-71-22-14-28-28-09-25023339-3.5-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3136.8StanfordP120.58640.5551523-020-92-42-24-25-17-09-223662412.80.6
3239.3OregonP120.58390.5519603-020-91-23-24-26-16-09-2255098-58.7-2.4
3342.2IllinoisB100.58090.5637333-020-102-43-34-25-16-010-241126206-163.8-6.5
3444.4Saint Mary'sWCC0.57900.5426752-020-81-21-14-29-35-18-220281430.41.2
3645.2MassachusettsA100.57830.5547533-020-111-22-25-49-34-18-514575-29.8-1.2
3545.4ProvidenceBE0.57840.5706173-019-121-32-25-37-34-09-4312162-16.6-0.6
3846.2DaytonA100.57710.5418792-120-91-22-24-27-26-18-3353460-13.8-0.5
3746.3GeorgetownBE0.57820.5667242-018-91-22-24-36-24-07-23745156-109.7-3.8
3947.7ColoradoP120.57570.5446712-019-92-22-24-25-16-08-23414768-20.3-0.7
4048.9CincinnatiAmer0.57470.5610372-019-112-31-23-27-27-18-43312220-171.1-6.2
4152.4OklahomaB120.57240.5719151-117-112-42-23-36-23-07-369131180-127.6-4.3
4253.5VillanovaBE0.57080.5420773-020-102-32-24-36-26-09-37420795-41.5-1.5
4354.1Texas A&MSEC0.57000.5513622-119-101-22-24-37-25-08-34481200-145.9-5.1
4455.3MinnesotaB100.56910.5539571-118-112-42-23-26-17-09-2772524312.30.4
4555.7UCLAP120.56900.5646283-018-112-53-33-24-16-08-36675199-143.3-4.8
4656.9Notre DameACC0.56750.5389873-022-92-52-13-25-29-011-283284175-118.1-4.2
4758.8Iowa St.B120.56660.5612362-018-112-52-23-25-26-09-273190194-135.2-4.4
4859.1North Carolina St.ACC0.56610.577783-018-132-52-24-37-23-010-33625581.10.0
4960.2MarylandB100.56530.5566473-019-111-42-33-36-26-010-247132234-173.8-5.6
5061.3MemphisAmer0.56430.5451680-119-101-41-23-25-29-18-38769103-41.7-1.3
5163.2Northern IowaMVC0.56290.52121133-020-91-21-12-27-39-18-34382215-151.8-4.9
5563.4CharlotteCUSA0.56190.50881363-021-90-11-13-28-39-18-452125459.42.1
5263.6PurdueB100.56270.5615353-018-111-32-34-35-25-09-276168117-53.4-1.6
5364.0Boise St.MWC0.56240.52361033-018-101-21-13-27-38-17-3401344618.00.6
5464.5IndianaB100.56190.5531583-020-112-43-33-24-17-011-271206161-96.5-3.1
5665.0GeorgiaSEC0.56160.5639322-117-121-31-24-46-35-17-4483397-32.0-1.0
5765.3Colorado St.MWC0.56130.5409842-018-100-11-13-38-46-17-32618155-89.7-2.7
5866.9MississippiSEC0.55970.5515612-118-121-32-33-36-36-18-462109279-212.1-6.7
6071.0Old DominionCUSA0.55670.49111793-022-60-11-13-17-210-19-160255170.02.2
6271.2WoffordSC0.55590.47552302-122-70-20-11-14-116-26-529271556.22.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5971.6NortheasternCAA0.55670.49751672-021-90-01-12-27-311-28-432631358.61.9
6172.2Arizona St.P120.55600.5601403-018-122-42-43-35-26-09-385173148-75.8-2.2
6374.4ToledoMAC0.55490.52001141-219-110-20-12-27-310-27-58913582-7.6-0.2
6475.5Oklahoma St.B120.55490.5693193-015-132-42-33-35-24-07-379149239-163.5-4.5
6576.6AmericanPat0.55360.50421472-119-110-00-12-38-510-27-55393183-106.4-3.2
6876.8HarvardIvy0.55310.50721411-117-90-11-12-25-310-27-55519208-131.2-3.8
6676.8RichmondA100.55310.5315921-119-121-21-23-37-38-19-4721295521.80.6
6778.2Long Beach St.BW0.55310.5397861-215-130-40-22-25-37-24-83914929.20.8
7278.5IonaMAAC0.55160.50001612-121-100-10-12-29-410-27-451883147.51.5
6978.6Seton HallBE0.55240.5492662-016-121-32-33-36-35-07-380187276.62.1
7078.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.55190.49891622-120-100-11-12-37-311-28-468178198-119.3-3.6
7178.9LSUSEC0.55170.5589442-116-131-32-33-37-34-18-34940573.92.1
7379.5Saint LouisA100.55150.52251082-019-101-31-22-27-38-19-258201772.52.0
7481.1South CarolinaSEC0.54970.5602392-215-131-42-33-35-24-06-4122119118-36.9-1.1
7582.8BuffaloMAC0.54910.52221102-118-120-20-12-37-49-38-4591382854.81.5
7684.0TempleAmer0.54780.5357882-118-121-41-23-25-28-28-470963252.01.5
7785.0BelmontOVC0.54760.47782201-120-80-10-01-16-313-27-557103285-200.0-5.8
7885.3UTEPCUSA0.54760.50231521-019-80-11-12-26-310-26-37811886-0.7-0.0
8086.5Florida St.ACC0.54680.5581451-117-142-51-23-37-35-19-499120179-92.5-2.6
7986.6Kansas St.B120.54710.5558482-116-132-52-33-34-26-08-3123251162-75.4-2.0
8187.6AlabamaSEC0.54610.5546543-016-131-41-23-36-25-18-367982364.61.7
8288.1Georgia TechACC0.54570.5644293-015-131-51-23-36-34-08-2541212662.11.6
8390.3Kent St.MAC0.54410.49771652-020-90-11-13-36-310-29-2115326882.30.1
8492.0NebraskaB100.54300.5643302-014-141-52-43-33-26-08-2103261127-35.0-0.9
8592.6San FranciscoWCC0.54260.52291051-017-101-31-22-27-37-17-286208225-132.4-3.3
8696.0New Mexico St.WAC0.54080.49641681-219-100-20-11-24-313-28-79032165-69.0-1.8
8898.0WashingtonP120.53950.5447702-016-121-42-42-23-17-18-2113259917.00.2
8998.3PittsburghACC0.53910.5658252-115-141-51-22-36-34-18-31121437325.30.7
8798.3Gardner WebbBSth0.53960.48172042-117-80-10-11-26-39-24-363166935.30.1
9099.0MissouriSEC0.53880.5657262-115-141-52-33-35-35-16-511643146-47.0-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
91101.0CreightonBE0.53770.5406853-017-131-32-33-45-36-19-31002247922.00.5
92101.5New MexicoMWC0.53740.51241273-118-110-11-13-36-48-18-3130297256-154.5-3.9
94102.4Bowling GreenMAC0.53680.50601442-017-110-00-12-36-48-27-31062601686.42.1
93102.7EvansvilleMVC0.53690.51081291-017-100-10-12-26-39-27-2941771884.72.0
95103.9AkronMAC0.53600.50941342-118-110-11-13-37-49-18-3149285141-37.1-0.9
96105.8MarquetteBE0.53480.5493641-115-131-41-33-44-26-07-31451932976.81.8
97106.1Utah St.MWC0.53450.49641693-019-100-11-12-27-49-29-2812733472.11.8
98106.7ButlerBE0.53440.5430742-016-131-31-33-45-35-18-3124230191-84.3-2.0
99108.6La SalleA100.53330.52551002-017-131-31-32-35-38-28-4881373573.61.8
100109.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53270.46152692-018-70-10-11-14-213-27-464726544.11.1
101110.8YaleIvy0.53210.49771661-117-120-10-11-24-411-37-88277205-94.2-2.4
104111.7St. John'sBE0.53140.5540562-015-141-42-33-43-26-17-4135136129-17.3-0.4
102112.4Stony BrookAE0.53150.48401991-218-110-10-11-34-412-36-79646166-53.6-1.4
106112.5HoustonAmer0.53060.49611701-019-101-21-22-34-211-19-21213441993.52.3
103112.5Green BayHorz0.53140.48491960-116-90-20-01-16-310-25-491102124-11.5-0.3
105112.6TulsaAmer0.53080.5416802-115-131-31-22-35-46-26-4128115278-165.4-3.8
107115.1Missouri St.MVC0.53030.51241261-016-110-20-12-26-48-26-3111183305-189.9-4.2
109115.7Murray St.OVC0.52900.46342631-120-80-10-01-14-315-38-495133306-190.3-5.1
108115.9Holy CrossPat0.52950.49381752-016-110-10-12-25-49-36-36115612103.92.4
110118.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52740.47352360-218-90-10-11-13-214-34-511924130-12.0-0.3
111119.8UC IrvineBW0.52740.47742221-117-100-10-11-25-311-36-5981764079.81.9
115121.4Illinois St.MVC0.52550.52291041-115-120-20-11-35-47-25-412691160-38.6-0.9
112121.5San DiegoWCC0.52580.5409832-113-141-41-21-34-36-15-412071221-99.5-2.3
114121.9Boston UniversityPat0.52560.50211531-216-120-10-11-35-410-35-51041066754.91.3
116122.7Louisiana MonroeSB0.52540.48082081-116-100-00-01-16-410-33-365101174-51.3-1.2
113123.1Western MichiganMAC0.52570.50661421-014-120-00-12-45-47-25-3144286226-102.9-2.2
118123.1LafayettePat0.52490.47992122-118-100-10-11-25-311-37-31052874479.11.9
117123.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.52500.47842172-017-110-10-10-23-313-45-584605766.51.6
119125.3Penn St.B100.52310.5604383-114-161-51-42-44-36-18-4125189135-9.7-0.2
122128.2OhioMAC0.52200.52281061-115-120-01-12-45-57-25-4178148209-80.8-1.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121128.3Rhode IslandA100.52220.5268991-014-121-21-22-34-36-15-31461534781.31.7
120128.5Cleveland St.Horz0.52250.50081581-116-130-20-11-34-410-36-79256233-104.5-2.3
123130.3CanisiusMAAC0.52090.50251502-017-120-00-12-36-68-35-475573793.32.1
124131.0VermontAE0.52010.46392621-118-100-00-01-24-413-37-51081443893.02.2
125133.3DetroitHorz0.51920.50241510-216-120-10-11-35-49-36-61093811419.30.4
126133.3ColumbiaIvy0.51920.49501721-116-110-20-11-24-311-37-611770297-163.7-3.5
127133.3Georgia St.SB0.51920.48571930-217-130-00-11-35-511-44-6138128158-24.7-0.6
128134.9SienaMAAC0.51860.49101801-217-120-00-11-26-59-35-4134172138-3.1-0.1
129135.0College of CharlestonCAA0.51840.49811641-317-130-20-21-34-312-35-71637812015.00.4
131135.4WyomingMWC0.51820.51401231-016-130-21-22-34-48-27-4139215314-178.6-4.0
130135.7DenverSum0.51820.48441971-118-110-10-11-25-412-37-6118105167-31.3-0.7
132135.8DavidsonA100.51810.5329911-014-141-41-32-34-47-26-4129165303-167.2-3.7
133136.0MonmouthMAAC0.51800.48631891-118-130-10-11-26-511-46-51372221360.00.0
134136.0High PointBSth0.51780.48022103-016-110-00-11-24-511-35-41022396670.01.6
136136.6Wake ForestACC0.51690.5680202-213-181-71-32-43-36-18-51471465482.62.3
135137.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51730.50361490-214-120-10-11-24-48-34-612720255-117.6-2.4
137138.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.51680.48581921-015-110-00-12-34-49-34-41016817121.52.6
138139.1Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51640.46612530-116-90-00-11-24-310-33-4164282154-14.9-0.3
140139.2ClemsonACC0.51550.5594431-213-151-51-32-45-34-16-4220213319-179.8-4.2
139140.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51550.46232651-017-100-20-11-12-214-46-51142256476.41.8
141141.7NevadaMWC0.51520.51541201-114-120-21-22-35-46-24-417521130111.72.4
142145.0HofstraCAA0.51350.46312642-120-110-00-11-25-414-59-413131711035.00.8
143147.0MarshallCUSA0.51200.51711182-115-140-20-22-45-58-25-61517911136.00.8
144148.0UNLVMWC0.51120.5423762-113-160-31-32-45-45-26-5140377771.01.6
145149.1AlbanyAE0.51100.45153031-119-100-00-11-24-414-47-61362588465.11.5
149149.5VanderbiltSEC0.50980.5352891-014-150-31-33-54-36-17-4154184312-162.5-3.5
146150.0PepperdineWCC0.51020.51251252-014-140-31-21-34-38-27-3150301253-103.0-2.3
148150.9Santa ClaraWCC0.51000.5269981-112-140-31-21-34-45-24-4183221163-12.1-0.3
147151.2ManhattanMAAC0.51020.48142060-216-120-00-11-35-59-34-4215291262-110.8-2.4
151151.3Boston CollegeACC0.50900.5627342-212-171-71-32-43-35-17-41772039457.31.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150151.6AuburnSEC0.50920.5512632-112-170-31-32-55-54-16-5133113190-38.4-0.9
152152.8IPFWSum0.50900.45023081-117-90-00-01-24-412-36-41563281502.80.1
153153.1Southern MissCUSA0.50870.49831631-114-130-00-11-45-58-35-4159231197-43.9-0.9
154155.9Wright St.Horz0.50800.49031821-115-130-00-11-34-59-46-69711141114.92.3
156157.1PortlandWCC0.50630.50951321-014-140-31-21-35-57-27-3160315254-96.9-2.1
157157.3St. BonaventureA100.50620.51191281-115-140-21-32-44-48-27-4186306326-168.7-3.7
155157.6ArmyPat0.50650.47942143-016-120-10-01-25-410-47-311028820137.63.0
160158.4Indiana St.MVC0.50580.51061301-114-140-20-22-44-48-36-41852046197.42.2
158158.5Oregon St.P120.50590.52121122-014-141-31-32-34-36-17-316733010148.53.2
159158.6UT ArlingtonSB0.50590.48531942-116-130-20-00-24-511-44-5107110176-17.4-0.4
161161.1Oral RobertsSum0.50500.49611711-213-140-00-11-34-67-44-7141397685.11.7
162162.7TCUB120.50340.51451223-016-141-51-32-32-210-111-117935115111.70.3
164162.9NorthwesternB100.50290.5444723-013-171-61-42-43-27-19-317433713923.90.6
163164.4Morehead St.OVC0.50290.47582280-316-130-10-11-33-412-45-8166161235-70.6-1.6
165165.0TennesseeSEC0.50220.5416811-112-160-31-32-54-45-16-418015915312.00.3
167166.5South FloridaAmer0.50140.5290962-013-170-31-32-54-47-27-515716314521.50.5
166167.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.50160.50161562-014-130-10-22-44-48-25-4165241193-26.0-0.5
170167.6UMKCWAC0.50100.45712841-117-110-00-11-23-313-58-615326353114.62.5
168167.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50130.50881370-114-150-00-22-44-67-35-6173104349-181.3-3.9
169168.0BucknellPat0.50110.50571451-214-150-10-21-45-67-34-7158100189-21.0-0.4
171169.4DuquesneA100.50040.50191540-014-140-21-31-34-48-27-3204349345-175.6-3.8
172171.3North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49940.41633490-117-80-10-10-11-116-34-514325310665.31.6
173172.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.49870.49321761-215-150-20-11-43-410-37-519031811557.81.3
174173.3Texas TechB120.49790.5449691-113-171-51-42-44-36-19-320030956117.32.8
175175.2Western KentuckyCUSA0.49750.52461011-112-160-10-22-53-57-34-617647292-116.8-2.5
176175.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.49720.48801851-116-130-00-02-36-69-35-420119745130.32.8
177176.7RutgersB100.49630.5558491-111-190-41-52-53-45-17-51871969977.71.9
179177.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.49560.46742491-216-130-10-10-23-412-65-6162141246-68.2-1.4
178177.9BryantNEC0.49580.46942461-116-130-10-11-22-413-64-7148621707.90.2
180179.7ValparaisoHorz0.49510.48162052-114-130-00-01-34-69-46-5132157203-23.3-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
182180.2DePaulBE0.49470.5483672-011-181-41-42-53-44-16-518820212357.21.3
181180.4South Dakota St.Sum0.49480.48791861-214-140-10-11-34-59-55-715589288-107.6-2.2
183180.6WinthropBSth0.49430.45692851-115-110-00-01-24-410-54-4191316250-69.4-1.4
184181.5William & MaryCAA0.49390.50021591-112-150-10-21-33-48-43-614251227-45.5-0.9
186183.0Texas St.SB0.49300.47442332-014-120-10-00-13-510-54-29318610875.01.5
185183.0Weber St.BSky0.49330.47052450-214-110-10-10-23-410-42-520841242-59.0-1.2
187184.3Virginia TechACC0.49250.5419782-012-181-71-31-32-38-19-318933622162.34.1
188185.5RiderMAAC0.49180.47892162-115-140-10-11-24-510-45-4182299273-87.5-1.9
190188.3North TexasCUSA0.49010.50621432-013-150-10-22-53-58-35-51921859098.32.1
189188.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.49040.48881830-114-130-00-11-25-68-43-41985510088.41.8
191190.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.48960.46472570-113-120-10-10-22-311-42-517110277-86.7-1.7
192190.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.48930.44203281-116-110-00-11-22-314-54-5181179232-41.5-0.9
193194.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.48730.47372351-113-130-00-11-33-69-43-5202244259-64.8-1.3
194194.5UCFAmer0.48690.51531211-013-150-21-21-43-47-36-4214302311-116.5-2.5
195197.0UABCUSA0.48600.51651190-212-160-20-11-34-66-34-622854282-85.0-1.9
197198.7Air ForceMWC0.48520.50391481-112-150-20-21-43-57-26-322734517226.70.6
196199.1North Dakota St.Sum0.48530.48272011-212-130-20-11-23-58-44-515292216-16.9-0.3
199200.1MontanaBSky0.48450.47162410-213-140-10-10-23-410-63-621111210496.11.9
198200.5Cal PolyBW0.48500.50771391-110-160-20-21-33-66-42-816117301-100.5-2.0
200201.2HamptonMEAC0.48420.43243441-217-110-10-10-12-215-66-6170254223-21.8-0.5
201204.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47662250-213-140-00-01-24-78-52-5237205291-86.8-1.7
202205.6HawaiiBW0.48170.47602273-114-110-00-11-33-49-35-419416981124.62.6
203206.1St. Francis PANEC0.48130.45273000-214-140-10-10-12-312-73-7203194241-34.9-0.7
204206.8Fresno St.MWC0.48100.5309940-29-180-20-21-43-73-33-6251175290-83.2-1.8
205208.4North FloridaASun0.48060.44943090-213-140-10-10-31-312-64-9205240217-8.6-0.2
206208.7Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.48010.49291771-213-160-30-11-23-59-56-71699013474.71.6
207210.5PrincetonIvy0.47910.47312381-213-140-10-11-33-49-56-72122382073.50.1
208210.6St. Francis NYNEC0.47900.44943110-216-130-00-00-12-413-74-722422985125.62.7
209211.3FIUCUSA0.47880.47752211-013-160-10-11-33-69-56-5168312304-92.7-2.0
211214.6Central MichiganMAC0.47670.48821842-011-140-00-11-43-57-35-224135019222.60.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
210214.8Portland St.BSky0.47680.45292971-013-130-00-10-13-410-64-419330369145.82.9
212214.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.47670.48611901-013-150-10-21-43-58-46-42333416208.84.3
213215.7East Tennessee St.SC0.47650.46602540-113-140-10-10-12-511-63-620984276-60.3-1.2
214216.7TowsonCAA0.47590.47342372-114-160-00-11-33-610-66-618427414274.71.7
215218.1MercerSC0.47510.45023071-114-130-00-10-31-312-54-523122712692.11.9
217218.2MaristMAAC0.47470.48252020-112-160-00-01-34-87-53-5243292328-109.8-2.2
218219.2Saint Joseph'sA100.47450.52271071-210-200-30-31-43-65-45-7210167243-23.8-0.6
216220.1UNC WilmingtonCAA0.47470.48701881-111-170-10-10-33-68-64-6172170116104.12.2
219220.3ChattanoogaSC0.47410.44893140-215-130-10-10-22-313-64-623824514377.31.6
220220.6Washington St.P120.47380.5541551-28-200-51-51-41-44-24-6250236274-53.4-1.4
221222.1ColgatePat0.47300.50091570-211-190-10-21-43-76-64-82161512220.10.0
223222.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.47260.5436731-28-190-40-31-43-64-23-62177318537.20.9
222223.1George MasonA100.47290.5673221-36-220-30-41-63-62-22-82261420122.10.6
224223.1Alabama St.SWAC0.47220.40873510-116-90-10-10-11-115-63-419518278145.13.1
225223.8Mississippi St.SEC0.47210.52451022-011-180-30-32-53-56-27-421829619627.80.7
226224.0Ball St.MAC0.47200.50731400-111-170-10-21-43-66-45-5246281266-42.0-0.9
227224.1USCP120.47200.5577462-28-210-41-51-52-54-25-6258191289-64.9-1.9
228224.2Georgia SouthernSB0.47150.46772480-112-140-00-00-14-68-53-323930715767.21.3
229225.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.47140.45522900-214-140-10-10-12-411-73-920695238-12.8-0.3
230225.4RadfordBSth0.47120.47552291-212-150-00-11-33-68-53-6266243272-46.6-1.0
231227.2East CarolinaAmer0.47010.52221090-19-180-30-31-42-55-34-5294334341-113.8-2.6
233227.9PacificWCC0.46960.5274971-17-180-30-21-43-73-23-4225265286-58.1-1.3
232228.3Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46980.43883330-114-130-00-10-22-412-64-524028316464.31.4
234231.8LehighPat0.46830.50171550-310-180-00-11-44-85-53-725314517754.81.2
235233.5Sacramento St.BSky0.46680.45902771-113-140-10-00-12-510-74-5199257132101.52.1
236234.6FordhamA100.46650.51801170-210-180-20-31-53-75-25-526527118747.61.1
237235.2North DakotaBSky0.46600.46432590-212-160-10-10-22-510-73-7234160298-62.8-1.3
238236.5TroySB0.46510.46432600-213-140-00-10-24-69-53-4286332281-44.5-1.0
239237.3Loyola MDPat0.46470.49231782-111-180-10-11-44-87-44-7221216249-11.7-0.3
240239.1Western CarolinaSC0.46420.45792820-213-160-00-10-32-510-73-826919987152.13.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241239.8Miami OHMAC0.46360.52141111-110-190-10-21-53-85-34-7275180318-78.2-1.9
242240.3James MadisonCAA0.46340.47802192-115-160-10-11-24-610-67-624223474166.33.8
243241.1Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46300.49461740-110-170-20-21-32-57-44-5273340268-26.9-0.6
244241.7FairfieldMAAC0.46280.51051311-210-200-10-11-43-96-53-71973116873.71.8
245241.9OaklandHorz0.46250.50481460-310-190-10-21-43-85-43-1024758271-29.1-0.6
247242.6WagnerNEC0.46210.46172680-212-160-00-10-22-510-73-7223122313-70.4-1.5
246242.9Utah ValleyWAC0.46210.45652861-112-150-10-10-21-410-85-822227718161.91.3
248244.0ElonCAA0.46130.47612261-111-170-10-10-33-68-64-623627021331.00.7
249244.5Arkansas St.SB0.46080.46222660-112-160-00-11-24-68-63-5306338343-98.5-2.2
250245.7IdahoBSky0.46030.44923131-113-140-00-00-13-510-84-52493202378.70.2
251247.5LipscombASun0.45960.46122710-211-150-10-10-31-410-73-9244150348-100.5-2.2
252249.0Delaware St.MEAC0.45870.44063311-213-160-10-10-21-511-84-9213195119130.03.0
254250.9RiceCUSA0.45770.50871381-18-180-10-21-42-65-53-5230210107143.93.3
255251.3VMISC0.45710.45802811-112-150-10-20-21-410-72-626410817378.31.8
253251.3SouthernSWAC0.45770.44163290-213-150-10-20-21-312-71-922936299-47.7-1.1
256251.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.45710.46192670-312-190-30-20-21-411-81-122351321932.90.8
257252.1South AlabamaSB0.45630.47732230-111-180-10-10-23-87-63-6271218335-82.9-1.9
259252.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45570.44773170-213-140-00-10-22-511-64-5279290338-85.5-1.8
258252.8SeattleWAC0.45590.46042741-212-140-00-10-22-410-65-728725083169.83.8
260256.1DrakeMVC0.45500.51921150-28-210-20-21-53-85-43-829615880176.14.5
261256.3CornellIvy0.45460.46552552-312-160-10-11-42-59-66-825729322828.30.7
262256.6DrexelCAA0.45440.50001600-49-180-10-11-33-65-62-7310742515.60.1
263257.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.45390.47382340-211-180-00-11-33-77-65-8259247302-44.2-1.0
264258.4USC UpstateASun0.45300.43653372-014-130-00-10-22-411-66-72543002571.40.0
265260.2TulaneAmer0.45230.50931351-110-190-30-21-52-66-36-5326346264-3.8-0.1
266260.7Grand CanyonWAC0.45180.45552892-214-150-10-11-32-412-67-828027622931.70.8
267262.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45120.48721870-29-180-00-11-43-76-53-6285275333-70.5-1.6
268262.8Incarnate WordSlnd0.45000.44683190-010-140-00-00-21-59-71-521986347-84.2-1.8
269264.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.45000.45063060-310-160-20-10-11-310-81-7196224420.50.5
270264.8UC DavisBW0.44970.44943101-012-150-00-11-22-69-76-5252347310-45.2-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271265.1Coppin St.MEAC0.44940.48342000-39-190-20-20-31-58-71-112078149116.12.8
274265.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44910.46012750-211-160-10-11-32-59-63-8293212308-42.4-1.0
272265.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44920.48601910-39-170-10-10-33-75-62-8289171284-18.3-0.4
276266.0BinghamtonAE0.44870.46422610-211-170-00-10-32-68-63-9281192122144.03.4
273266.4Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.44910.44663200-212-170-10-10-21-410-93-8256152280-13.6-0.3
275266.4BrownIvy0.44890.47272391-211-170-10-21-42-68-65-927426217888.42.1
277268.2PresbyterianBSth0.44760.48421980-29-180-10-10-32-76-62-725511418286.22.1
278268.2McNeese St.Slnd0.44720.44313270-111-140-10-10-11-410-72-526185112156.23.5
279269.3DelawareCAA0.44700.48242030-210-190-10-11-33-76-83-8295232340-70.7-1.7
280269.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44700.47922151-211-180-10-11-33-87-65-8260217296-26.6-0.6
281270.8NavyPat0.44640.49491730-39-190-10-21-43-75-54-627019818486.82.2
282271.4South DakotaSum0.44600.46712510-311-180-00-10-23-78-84-9291269294-22.6-0.5
283272.8Tennessee TechOVC0.44470.46042730-110-170-00-00-22-68-83-8292295324-51.2-1.2
286274.6IUPUISum0.44380.48521951-29-210-10-10-33-96-74-1024513923638.61.0
287274.7Northern KentuckyASun0.44350.46092721-210-170-10-10-21-59-84-9263162171103.72.5
284274.9Morgan St.MEAC0.44400.45243010-311-180-00-10-21-79-82-1128414222450.91.3
285275.2Savannah St.MEAC0.44380.45782831-210-180-20-10-22-58-82-102324921164.21.6
288276.3Youngstown St.Horz0.44260.46462580-310-180-00-10-32-77-74-8283314144132.33.3
289278.5Robert MorrisNEC0.44160.46132701-211-180-10-10-21-59-93-826214020276.52.0
291278.8New HampshireAE0.44030.44313260-211-160-00-00-22-69-74-7313327316-37.2-0.9
290279.6LibertyBSth0.44030.45143041-111-150-00-00-12-78-73-531134319584.62.1
292280.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.43940.43723360-113-160-00-00-12-511-104-7301322102178.74.5
295281.8Western IllinoisSum0.43840.47252400-29-160-00-00-22-76-72-7312219342-60.2-1.5
296282.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.43780.45902780-29-160-20-10-21-48-81-626716137145.83.5
294282.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.43860.47092440-39-200-10-10-32-68-94-927222625824.80.6
293283.9BradleyMVC0.43860.51331240-27-210-20-21-42-84-53-7334228317-33.1-1.0
297284.8Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43770.46712500-29-170-00-10-31-67-82-8302154346-61.2-1.5
299285.7Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.43710.47512321-08-190-10-10-31-67-93-10248174309-23.3-0.6
300285.7Nebraska OmahaSum0.43650.46012761-110-180-00-00-22-87-74-830031026916.70.4
298285.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43740.43543390-411-170-10-10-21-510-91-92908021867.81.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301288.1NiagaraMAAC0.43560.49071811-18-210-00-11-43-115-52-732522323058.11.8
302288.2Chicago St.WAC0.43490.48022110-28-200-00-10-41-76-83-11299164101187.24.9
303288.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.43460.46552560-210-190-10-10-21-58-102-930412723157.81.6
306289.2New OrleansSlnd0.43390.45392920-18-160-00-10-21-57-80-627830128161.24.0
304289.7CampbellBSth0.43420.47522310-18-200-00-10-32-86-83-7318311344-54.3-1.5
305289.9HartfordAE0.43410.45322942-111-170-00-10-32-69-74-8298267321-31.1-0.9
307290.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43260.44833161-110-180-00-00-12-69-103-727724821476.82.1
308295.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.43010.44013321-110-170-00-00-31-58-94-72683352878.00.2
310295.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.42980.45312960-39-190-10-00-21-68-92-102769424055.81.6
309296.3San Jose St.MWC0.43000.50941330-25-210-10-21-52-92-42-6345294307-10.7-0.3
312296.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42890.41093500-213-160-00-00-11-412-105-830733926729.70.8
311297.0UTSACUSA0.42940.48072090-18-190-00-11-32-85-73-6343348351-54.0-1.6
313298.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42730.45892790-49-190-10-10-21-58-104-10327289188110.93.3
314300.5Tennessee St.OVC0.42710.47152420-18-200-10-00-21-86-82-10314237330-29.5-0.9
315300.8DartmouthIvy0.42560.45272990-29-190-00-10-32-77-95-9319342332-31.2-0.9
316302.5Sacred HeartNEC0.42490.44543221-111-190-00-00-12-59-124-831527921092.52.9
319302.6LamarSlnd0.42420.44693180-29-170-10-10-21-48-101-730521426042.61.2
321302.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.42400.42393460-210-160-00-10-21-310-91-7297116121181.95.3
318303.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.42440.44923120-311-200-10-00-11-510-123-1032426627528.10.9
320303.2SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.42410.45113050-19-160-00-00-21-58-83-6321278334-30.8-0.9
317303.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.42470.47972130-38-220-00-11-43-94-82-8341319331-27.1-0.9
322305.2UMBCAE0.42280.44433230-210-190-10-10-21-59-94-932332426540.21.3
323306.5NJITind0.42150.45642871-27-180-10-10-31-66-87-1832230424561.51.9
324307.8UMass LowellAE0.42090.44403251-29-190-00-10-21-78-93-930832970237.87.8
325309.7PennIvy0.41970.47832180-27-210-00-10-42-75-93-11333246323-13.3-0.5
326310.5UC RiversideBW0.41860.47122430-28-200-10-10-31-66-94-8317272320-9.5-0.3
327310.8Austin PeayOVC0.41810.45602880-38-190-00-10-21-57-102-9335268322-11.2-0.4
328311.0HowardMEAC0.41800.42773450-310-180-10-00-11-59-113-9330305315-4.0-0.1
329312.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41780.43523401-310-200-10-10-20-59-112-10288130186126.04.6
330313.0Montana St.BSky0.41710.47712240-37-220-10-00-22-85-102-932012328330.01.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331316.1FurmanSC0.41400.46872471-17-200-10-10-31-56-102-728276327-10.9-0.4
333316.5Idaho St.BSky0.41280.45422910-38-200-00-00-22-86-102-8339280325-8.5-0.3
332317.1Jackson St.SWAC0.41370.42283471-211-200-00-10-11-610-123-1030924296221.18.7
334317.3StetsonASun0.41200.43873340-29-180-00-00-21-68-103-10337313350-32.7-1.2
335318.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.41100.45872800-48-200-10-10-21-57-113-1132820029325.61.0
336320.2SamfordSC0.41030.44133301-29-200-00-10-31-58-103-8331321204116.24.7
337323.0The CitadelSC0.40670.45312950-27-190-10-10-21-56-111-6338181336-13.0-0.5
338323.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40650.43263431-39-210-10-10-11-58-133-1130324971252.511.1
339324.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40460.43843350-18-190-00-00-21-57-122-733226430024.31.0
340326.3UNC GreensboroSC0.40380.44603210-28-200-10-10-21-47-122-8349308337-10.7-0.5
342326.3Houston BaptistSlnd0.40180.44413240-16-180-00-00-21-65-101-5336256125201.38.4
341327.3LongwoodBSth0.40340.46702521-16-230-10-10-21-85-113-834032324879.34.1
343327.8Southern UtahBSky0.40130.45332930-27-200-00-00-21-75-112-7344298329-1.2-0.1
344329.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40010.45183020-26-220-10-10-30-46-131-1132912427059.43.0
345331.6Appalachian St.SB0.39910.48092070-25-240-00-10-31-113-101-8342209339-7.4-0.5
347336.0Grambling St.SWAC0.38930.43333420-26-200-10-10-20-46-120-831652159177.010.5
346336.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.39060.45282980-36-230-00-00-21-75-131-1034618825284.55.6
348337.4JacksonvilleASun0.38840.43623380-37-210-10-10-21-56-123-1134833124790.46.1
349343.2MaineAE0.37730.44843150-35-230-00-00-31-84-131-1135032526182.28.5
350346.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.36800.43333410-35-250-00-10-20-64-160-1234715526383.312.0
351348.5Florida A&MMEAC0.35810.42253480-45-240-00-00-10-64-171-1235133329553.511.6


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com