live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Feb 21, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.5SyracuseBE0.67160.57651727-129-25-04-16-09-05-013-046510.50.5
22.7KentuckySEC0.66340.56453527-129-25-12-06-011-05-014-178420.70.6
33.6Michigan St.B100.65970.6114121-524-67-42-03-28-04-010-213174-0.4-0.3
54.0DukeACC0.65680.6029323-426-55-42-06-19-03-013-21231.00.7
44.1North CarolinaACC0.65690.5916424-426-52-53-06-09-05-013-25195-0.9-0.7
66.5KansasB120.64500.5878922-525-65-34-13-17-06-010-3322760.50.3
76.7Ohio St.B100.64390.58731023-525-66-52-05-18-05-012-112957-0.3-0.2
810.0MarquetteBE0.63300.57452222-525-63-33-25-210-04-011-2267582.00.6
910.4BaylorB120.63050.57591922-524-60-47-15-06-07-012-036391.40.6
1012.2Wichita St.MVC0.62650.55365723-425-41-21-16-012-15-09-2101314-1.8-0.7
1112.6MichiganB100.62640.58051420-722-84-43-15-15-15-09-366156102.60.6
1213.6GeorgetownBE0.62420.58131319-621-74-33-21-28-05-09-1934121.60.4
1313.6MissouriB120.62410.54007725-327-44-14-24-08-18-013-040275130.60.2
1414.0Nevada Las VegasMWC0.62340.56024220-623-72-34-23-18-17-014-22012215-1.0-0.2
1515.5Southern MississippiCUSA0.62080.55145920-523-61-13-26-18-25-111-21144114.51.0
1615.8FloridaSEC0.62000.56623122-624-72-42-05-110-35-012-3289316-0.2-0.0
1716.0TempleA100.61980.55495521-524-63-01-16-38-25-011-3163017-1.0-0.2
1817.8Florida St.ACC0.61680.5894719-721-93-32-26-18-23-19-5632019-1.2-0.2
1919.6IndianaB100.61360.57172620-723-83-42-05-17-26-013-014159181.60.3
2020.0LouisvilleBE0.61290.57462121-623-82-55-14-18-16-012-1871200.00.0
2121.4WisconsinB100.61060.57751620-723-82-72-05-010-14-011-2308322-0.6-0.1
2224.4St. LouisA100.60630.53149521-524-50-11-16-38-08-011-238183231.40.3
2325.6MemphisCUSA0.60490.57342519-822-91-51-25-110-15-010-534527-1.4-0.2
2426.6GonzagaWCC0.60380.53299021-524-50-14-24-16-110-011-21731215.60.9
2627.0CreightonMVC0.60250.527010424-525-51-12-13-211-17-011-11813528-1.0-0.3
2527.6VanderbiltSEC0.60250.5887819-821-102-42-06-47-14-011-43721261.60.3
2727.6New MexicoMWC0.60210.53438821-524-52-12-24-18-08-113-28226529-1.4-0.3
2828.2ConnecticutBE0.60180.6049217-1019-111-54-24-27-22-010-2612244.20.6
2928.6Colorado St.MWC0.60170.5904616-917-111-42-14-37-34-010-42724253.60.5
3030.4CaliforniaP120.59900.53548622-624-70-21-17-28-28-010-3365931-0.6-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.5Murray St.OVC0.59800.485719023-124-22-01-01-07-114-010-025537-5.5-1.3
3231.8HarvardIvy0.59730.492317122-325-41-01-13-112-19-113-22517132-0.2-0.0
3333.1AlabamaSEC0.59610.57641817-920-101-30-28-49-12-011-3293840-6.9-1.0
3434.0St. Mary'sWCC0.59500.520511721-523-51-22-14-23-113-09-348104331.00.2
3534.9VirginiaACC0.59420.53927921-623-72-41-07-16-27-013-144231340.90.1
3635.7Long Beach St.BW0.59300.525611017-720-80-30-22-17-112-05-731139-3.3-0.5
3737.2San Diego St.MWC0.59160.54786318-621-72-33-23-05-28-012-257212352.20.2
3938.1Kansas St.B120.59050.55635319-821-93-33-22-18-26-011-141213362.10.3
3838.2Seton HallBE0.59070.55994419-921-91-32-24-310-14-011-121120308.21.4
4039.8West VirginiaBE0.58890.58501117-1019-121-43-35-37-22-010-3242243-3.2-0.4
4140.8Iowa St.B120.58730.56154119-821-102-51-11-210-27-010-38118242-1.2-0.1
4242.1Oral RobertsSum0.58610.491317425-526-50-11-13-17-215-09-47516045-2.9-0.9
4342.2Middle TennesseeSB0.58590.488718023-425-40-01-13-29-111-010-33381384.21.2
4443.0Notre DameBE0.58570.55874719-821-103-43-22-26-36-08-5150179412.00.2
4544.0IonaMAAC0.58400.503314822-624-60-01-14-27-111-29-3193944-0.0-0.0
4645.2Brigham YoungWCC0.58290.524311221-622-71-21-25-14-112-010-3467846-0.8-0.2
4747.6Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.55954618-1020-111-21-35-28-35-010-54537470.60.1
4852.3AkronMAC0.57650.52989918-820-100-00-34-66-110-07-7943561-8.7-0.8
4954.0NorthwesternB100.57490.58391216-1117-131-71-23-38-14-010-22350486.00.7
5055.3PurdueB100.57370.56922817-1019-121-72-15-15-26-010-378169541.30.2
5155.6South FloridaBE0.57360.57392416-1017-130-61-23-210-33-06-612349505.60.5
5256.0Miami FLACC0.57280.56263816-1018-111-40-32-49-05-09-46799497.00.7
5356.7WashingtonP120.57240.53788119-821-90-30-24-48-19-07-511053515.70.6
5457.0TexasB120.57190.56922717-1119-121-72-21-18-27-010-36412558-1.0-0.1
5557.4XavierA100.57160.55755117-1019-110-32-34-36-16-09-57243552.40.3
5757.6South Dakota St.Sum0.57120.488518220-722-70-01-12-16-313-27-47717860-2.4-0.3
5658.0MarshallCUSA0.57150.56792915-1017-121-31-23-46-27-08-55414526.00.5
5858.6NevadaWAC0.57110.505314420-522-60-10-23-16-213-010-493189571.60.2
5959.5Central FloridaCUSA0.57050.53179317-719-91-41-21-17-38-09-379186536.50.5
6060.3New Mexico St.WAC0.56960.528110018-821-90-21-10-29-310-011-5586767-6.7-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6161.5BelmontASun0.56830.489217921-723-70-21-21-18-113-27-5556665-3.5-0.6
6263.3Mississippi St.SEC0.56730.54676519-921-101-33-14-48-25-013-256190594.30.4
6363.5OregonP120.56710.53318919-821-90-10-44-27-210-09-380124567.50.8
6564.7Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56600.486418823-625-60-01-23-28-213-010-36117570-5.3-0.7
6464.7North Carolina St.ACC0.56620.56553318-1019-120-61-24-19-26-011-45228640.70.1
6667.2DrexelCAA0.56430.469923123-524-60-00-14-06-314-09-38322871-3.8-0.5
6768.7Weber St.BSky0.56320.464225520-421-50-00-32-13-016-17-35011377-8.3-1.0
6869.2DavidsonSC0.56260.496616219-721-71-20-10-16-213-15-569474-4.8-0.7
6970.4Louisiana St.SEC0.56220.54666616-1018-121-31-33-37-36-010-4108217664.40.3
7071.2Northern IowaMVC0.56110.55016116-1218-121-22-21-39-45-19-32225629.21.2
7172.2ColoradoP120.56080.53838016-818-100-21-23-46-28-06-410285720.20.0
7272.8George MasonCAA0.56040.482619723-624-70-00-13-37-314-19-411322582-9.2-1.3
7373.6IllinoisB100.55970.57442316-1217-143-71-23-36-25-011-247141685.60.5
7476.0WyomingMWC0.55830.53109716-818-102-21-31-15-310-012-27429086-10.0-0.8
7576.6MississippiSEC0.55770.56273715-1116-140-51-33-49-13-010-4601216313.61.0
7677.4La SalleA100.55730.516512318-921-101-20-15-27-59-011-410325478-0.6-0.0
7877.6ArizonaP120.55690.521111619-921-100-21-24-58-19-09-47373698.60.9
7777.8WagnerNEC0.55690.456427723-425-40-00-11-27-117-09-242149761.80.4
7977.9DaytonA100.55670.54966216-1018-122-11-35-46-25-210-47694734.90.4
8179.7MinnesotaB100.55560.56164017-1019-121-61-14-37-25-012-143201754.70.4
8079.7CincinnatiBE0.55570.526610519-821-102-33-22-27-27-110-315832085-5.3-0.4
8280.3MassachusettsA100.55560.508613919-821-91-21-13-47-19-111-39025081-0.7-0.1
8380.7OhioMAC0.55510.485719120-622-80-11-14-26-212-212-27025391-10.3-0.8
8481.5BuffaloMAC0.55430.511813115-817-100-11-23-45-29-16-510611984-2.5-0.2
8582.0BucknellPat0.55420.489417819-821-80-10-11-48-312-09-687136802.00.3
8682.4ArkansasSEC0.55380.55086017-1019-121-31-23-38-36-112-365174793.40.2
8784.7Cleveland St.Horz0.55210.504714519-921-90-01-01-39-59-19-3357488-3.3-0.4
8887.4Long IslandNEC0.55030.458526921-723-70-00-12-05-516-16-6168266870.40.1
8989.4Loyola MDMAAC0.54920.476621220-721-80-11-11-15-414-28-36221892-2.6-0.4
9090.3DuquesneA100.54840.55615414-1116-130-21-14-58-43-08-58561837.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9292.2MontanaBSky0.54690.471322718-621-60-01-11-23-216-16-511610695-2.8-0.3
9192.2DenverSB0.54730.486118920-821-81-12-21-05-412-110-3397994-1.8-0.3
9394.3Missouri St.MVC0.54570.54636715-1316-140-31-42-16-57-06-61075896-1.7-0.2
9494.9ValparaisoHorz0.54530.499715718-1019-100-11-03-29-56-35-613714297-2.1-0.3
9595.0MarylandACC0.54520.55954516-1117-130-61-42-35-18-010-4101153896.00.6
9796.1PittsburghBE0.54430.56763015-1316-151-41-53-46-25-011-251126933.10.3
9696.2Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54440.455728019-622-70-10-01-24-217-17-612819999-2.8-0.3
9897.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.54390.525810816-1018-101-22-51-03-111-26-6149105907.21.1
9997.9StanfordP120.54310.510813418-920-100-11-23-44-311-010-286222100-2.1-0.2
10098.4Kent St.MAC0.54280.496316418-820-90-01-12-55-311-19-4105203104-5.6-0.4
10199.1PrincetonIvy0.54240.514112713-1016-121-01-11-56-47-37-79996981.10.1
102102.8Virginia TechACC0.53970.56263915-1316-150-61-31-38-26-111-46891103-0.2-0.0
103104.7TulsaCUSA0.53860.53009816-1117-130-31-22-29-36-37-7134901022.70.2
104106.6YaleIvy0.53740.479720515-717-90-10-31-16-410-08-4952611015.60.4
105108.2St. BonaventureA100.53640.514812614-1016-120-20-14-64-18-17-5120192110-1.8-0.1
106108.4LehighPat0.53580.442930820-722-70-10-12-14-416-011-41143241062.40.4
107109.4TennesseeSEC0.53560.56363613-1315-152-51-32-35-45-07-72121641081.40.1
108110.5ButlerHorz0.53430.518911817-1217-130-20-12-37-58-16-69829116-5.5-0.8
109112.6Old DominionCAA0.53320.516212418-1119-120-20-03-65-411-06-711723119-6.4-0.7
113112.9Tennessee St.OVC0.53270.488318317-1017-110-21-20-14-312-36-6119148127-14.1-1.7
110113.0Oklahoma St.B120.53310.57542012-1413-171-51-42-34-45-06-61651291058.00.6
111113.4PennsylvaniaIvy0.53300.527310215-1118-130-21-21-58-38-18-9127461121.40.1
112113.8UCLAP120.53280.53518714-1216-140-20-34-54-39-06-6174108121-7.2-0.5
114113.9LamarSlnd0.53220.479820415-1018-110-30-00-36-312-27-65341115-1.1-0.1
115115.3VillanovaBE0.53170.5912511-1612-180-81-42-47-12-17-584261114.30.3
116115.7College of CharlestonSC0.53110.500115417-1119-110-10-03-38-38-49-31561132.70.3
117115.7FairfieldMAAC0.53100.503414717-1118-120-00-21-45-412-15-714272124-8.3-0.9
119116.6MercerASun0.53060.465424919-920-100-10-10-35-315-27-5118230118-1.4-0.1
118116.7Texas ChristianMWC0.53070.54377014-1115-142-22-31-25-45-29-61752521079.70.6
121117.7Robert MorrisNEC0.52990.457227321-822-90-10-04-33-416-19-449115126-8.3-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
120118.0GeorgiaSEC0.52990.57821512-1413-170-51-33-54-44-09-589621171.00.1
122118.0UABCUSA0.52980.55864912-1413-161-51-31-44-35-15-8157481099.00.7
123120.8Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52800.502814915-1216-130-30-02-37-58-16-5921101200.80.1
124121.1OklahomaB120.52770.55864813-1315-150-73-21-33-37-110-2592061147.10.5
125126.1Illinois St.MVC0.52500.507114317-1118-120-30-13-28-47-39-3136280128-1.9-0.2
126126.5NC AshevilleBSth0.52450.473021916-918-90-10-10-24-414-12-7228451233.50.3
127127.3ManhattanMAAC0.52410.466424619-1021-100-11-11-32-317-28-5141291129-1.7-0.2
128128.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52330.481819913-816-90-10-50-12-113-14-5109401226.60.5
129128.7Georgia St.CAA0.52320.467124419-921-90-00-02-44-414-19-3140323131-2.3-0.2
130134.2NebraskaB100.52010.56014312-1313-161-70-22-53-26-08-31352591304.20.3
131135.5DrakeMVC0.51920.526510614-1315-141-21-20-55-48-06-51601971332.50.3
132135.7AuburnSEC0.51910.54446914-1315-150-41-43-56-26-010-411223312510.70.7
133137.0Indiana St.MVC0.51830.511113315-1215-140-31-11-46-47-28-31042701325.00.5
134137.1San FranciscoWCC0.51820.501715016-1116-121-11-51-21-213-18-4131239139-1.9-0.2
136138.7South Carolina UpstateASun0.51740.469723316-1118-110-10-01-33-514-35-61462071353.70.3
135139.0Texas El PasoCUSA0.51770.53708313-1315-151-21-32-36-46-37-713251143-4.0-0.2
137139.7RichmondA100.51700.53159414-1415-161-10-32-85-57-09-696117142-2.3-0.2
138141.7AmericanPat0.51560.446030118-919-100-11-01-26-412-39-61783251410.70.0
139143.0OaklandSum0.51500.509613714-1415-150-10-32-42-412-25-7122571403.00.3
140143.2ClemsonACC0.51500.525710914-1315-151-31-11-36-67-18-6217269147-3.8-0.3
141144.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.51440.449829218-820-90-20-02-03-315-48-571921440.60.0
142145.0North Dakota St.Sum0.51400.471122815-1017-100-00-20-36-110-56-3121293148-3.0-0.2
143145.4IowaB100.51390.54027614-1315-163-40-33-44-56-08-52493051369.40.6
145145.7DelawareCAA0.51370.487018715-1217-120-10-03-34-510-35-62232491387.70.7
144145.8IdahoWAC0.51390.496416314-1115-130-00-12-24-69-37-7203257153-7.2-0.5
146145.9Penn St.B100.51350.56613212-1613-180-81-24-44-24-18-513918413411.90.9
147146.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.51330.447329816-1118-120-30-20-31-217-21-1122281460.30.0
148146.4Oregon St.P120.51300.510113614-1216-130-11-24-52-49-19-2115287151-4.6-0.4
149148.4Tennessee TechOVC0.51200.483119516-1116-120-00-30-25-310-47-5129220163-14.6-1.6
150149.5Bowling GreenMAC0.51160.508214113-1215-141-10-11-64-48-26-7166170158-8.5-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151150.3St. John'sBE0.51130.56463412-1613-180-71-31-36-55-07-618914313713.31.0
152150.6EvansvilleMVC0.51080.53209213-1413-150-41-13-13-77-25-52001731455.60.6
154151.1Stony BrookAE0.51030.427332718-819-80-10-10-15-314-35-6238281156-4.9-0.6
153151.5Utah St.WAC0.51060.521811413-1415-150-11-11-64-39-48-8143118162-10.5-0.6
155152.5Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.51030.524811111-1412-150-20-13-24-96-13-612471493.50.2
156153.9Air ForceMWC0.50920.54317111-1112-140-41-31-32-38-08-4188283155-1.1-0.1
157156.2DetroitHorz0.50820.497816015-1216-130-00-20-58-57-15-6195157164-7.8-0.6
158156.5Boise St.MWC0.50790.53708212-1213-150-31-40-45-46-19-5147284169-12.5-0.8
160156.6RutgersBE0.50740.55465612-1514-171-42-52-33-56-08-5198232157-0.4-0.0
159156.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.50750.436231816-719-80-10-20-03-116-57-41843211506.70.4
161158.5CharlotteA100.50650.513012912-1314-150-21-22-73-48-08-51302441544.50.3
162161.3VermontAE0.50540.454928219-1120-110-10-20-24-416-27-81551681592.30.5
163162.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50490.484719315-1316-130-00-12-34-810-15-821614415210.21.6
164162.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.50450.456927614-1016-100-20-10-03-413-44-488109167-4.4-0.4
165162.9McNeese St.Slnd0.50420.473921712-1014-120-10-10-23-611-22-822064166-3.1-0.2
166163.5Texas A&MB120.50400.54277212-1313-160-70-40-33-29-08-32013191612.50.2
167167.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.50150.504514613-1414-150-20-22-14-58-42-11274541652.70.2
168168.9ProvidenceBE0.50090.53119613-1514-171-51-40-44-38-011-21333331680.90.1
169169.0ColumbiaIvy0.50090.495416512-1214-140-10-22-24-68-39-5100181173-4.0-0.3
170169.6Washington St.P120.50070.500015513-1314-150-11-21-64-28-37-4171299171-1.4-0.1
171169.6RiceCUSA0.50030.510713512-1214-140-20-20-44-59-06-6210229177-7.4-0.5
172171.0Youngstown St.Horz0.49950.488718112-1313-140-00-12-35-77-33-62342461701.00.1
174174.3Holy CrossPat0.49770.481919813-1314-140-10-11-13-710-36-81941981722.30.2
173174.7Coastal CarolinaBSth0.49770.455028114-915-100-00-01-04-610-43-4235260184-9.3-0.9
175175.3Wake ForestACC0.49740.53239112-1513-170-40-22-44-57-19-513820516015.31.4
176176.8WoffordSC0.49660.453528616-1217-120-10-00-24-412-65-6207292178-1.2-0.1
177177.5Florida AtlanticSB0.49600.515312510-1612-160-10-42-32-48-43-9144181743.50.3
179178.4East CarolinaCUSA0.49490.5423738-1310-150-30-20-44-55-15-4153191182-3.6-0.2
180178.9George WashingtonA100.49490.5528589-1710-200-30-41-76-33-35-9161471753.90.3
178179.2North FloridaASun0.49510.489717714-1514-160-20-20-32-612-25-7126761790.20.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181179.8QuinnipiacNEC0.49470.465125115-1216-130-00-00-44-512-37-491193183-3.2-0.3
182181.4CampbellBSth0.49360.447529716-1217-130-00-10-15-412-65-7236307186-4.6-0.4
183182.3South CarolinaSEC0.49280.55865010-1611-190-71-11-46-54-28-61961951811.30.1
184182.6Morehead St.OVC0.49280.485119212-1414-140-00-21-34-59-44-81831141802.60.3
185183.0South AlabamaSB0.49250.469123514-1015-110-20-21-24-210-37-3972111767.00.6
186183.6St. Francis NYNEC0.49240.450928915-1216-130-00-10-43-213-53-8300315185-1.4-0.2
187185.1CornellIvy0.49070.51801199-1411-160-00-21-54-96-04-923098190-4.9-0.3
188186.2NortheasternCAA0.49030.497716112-1513-160-00-00-75-67-44-7152128192-5.8-0.6
189186.3Georgia TechACC0.49030.5405759-1811-190-30-32-53-66-27-7154132187-0.7-0.1
190186.8Western MichiganMAC0.48990.513612810-1612-180-30-21-52-49-45-911110188-1.2-0.1
191189.0Boston UniversityAE0.48890.471122914-1516-150-00-20-52-714-14-11211101189-0.0-0.0
192191.0HawaiiWAC0.48700.490417613-1115-130-20-12-34-48-47-7271277198-7.0-0.5
193192.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.48650.453528513-1216-130-01-10-23-411-76-7169235196-3.8-0.3
195192.5Georgia SouthernSC0.48600.471722312-1212-140-00-00-32-610-40-8330147194-1.5-0.1
194192.6Savannah St.MEAC0.48610.421833416-1018-110-30-00-10-418-35-8255245197-4.4-0.4
196194.7TulaneCUSA0.48450.472922013-1115-130-30-10-23-612-110-2125339200-5.3-0.3
197197.3Austin PeayOVC0.48320.52631079-1910-200-10-60-23-77-33-11180151934.30.5
198197.6DePaulBE0.48240.524211311-1612-180-50-51-43-48-09-32143371916.60.8
199197.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.48240.461826112-1214-140-10-00-34-510-45-7145154201-3.1-0.3
200198.7Portland St.BSky0.48200.468123911-1313-150-00-00-61-413-44-81671621953.70.2
201199.2Western IllinoisSum0.48150.484219411-1211-140-10-20-32-39-53-4186237207-7.8-0.9
202200.0East Tennessee St.ASun0.48100.457127413-1314-140-00-00-35-59-65-51702741991.00.1
203201.4Fresno St.WAC0.47970.500715210-1612-180-00-11-54-87-48-8176234203-1.6-0.1
204203.9Louisiana TechWAC0.47820.493316911-1413-160-10-10-65-67-38-7181263204-0.1-0.0
205206.8NiagaraMAAC0.47630.493716712-1713-180-10-21-40-812-35-81991502051.80.2
206207.5Wright St.Horz0.47550.501115112-1612-180-20-01-54-118-05-7197138208-0.5-0.1
208208.2LafayettePat0.47500.488218411-1612-170-00-10-63-89-25-10239187209-0.8-0.1
207208.5North TexasSB0.47520.469823212-1213-130-00-12-42-69-24-6240226218-9.5-0.9
209208.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47490.457727113-1415-140-00-10-22-712-47-61642722026.60.6
210211.4San DiegoWCC0.47270.52121159-169-180-10-50-30-69-23-8276172214-2.6-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212212.8RiderMAAC0.47200.499815611-1812-190-10-20-52-710-53-10248127213-0.2-0.0
211213.2NC WilmingtonCAA0.47200.51681229-189-200-00-00-84-75-44-71561022103.20.3
213214.1Cal PolyBW0.47110.446629913-1315-140-10-30-03-312-77-61912892113.10.3
214214.7Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47110.468523710-1512-160-10-20-52-410-54-8173166216-1.3-0.1
215215.9Utah ValleyGWC0.47040.416033814-1016-110-00-00-41-316-47-10264285217-1.1-0.1
216216.8Southern MethodistCUSA0.46990.51181329-1610-190-20-31-34-95-37-61512142124.80.4
217219.4Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.46800.456227812-1413-140-10-10-32-310-713-14226279220-0.6-0.1
218219.4AlbanyAE0.46780.419533617-1318-130-10-00-21-717-29-61593142154.40.8
219221.3Delaware St.MEAC0.46670.439031211-1213-130-00-10-22-511-51-930211620615.31.2
220222.9NC GreensboroSC0.46590.480620211-1711-180-30-10-32-49-61-10263362220.90.1
221224.9SienaMAAC0.46470.471622512-1513-160-01-11-34-58-65-62512762231.90.2
222226.0LipscombASun0.46430.477221111-1612-170-10-21-21-810-44-72131672242.00.2
223226.9Miami OHMAC0.46410.52711038-179-190-10-24-61-54-53-925788233-6.1-0.4
224226.9PortlandWCC0.46350.5568525-215-230-30-60-52-63-42-101909231-4.1-0.7
225227.1Texas TechB120.46340.5447688-188-220-60-50-21-87-07-5231308229-1.9-0.2
226227.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.46330.479220610-1612-160-00-20-33-79-44-82271402198.50.8
227228.5Florida Gulf CoastASun0.46290.464225412-1413-150-00-00-51-912-24-6253251234-5.5-0.4
228229.0Arkansas St.SB0.46290.491217511-1712-180-20-20-42-79-35-92081232281.00.1
229229.2IUPUISum0.46240.492917011-1611-180-20-21-22-59-75-6163161240-10.8-1.0
230231.6HoustonCUSA0.46130.493816611-1313-151-10-11-34-86-37-52602982274.60.3
231232.7North Carolina CentralMEAC0.46070.437731510-1212-140-10-00-30-512-62-821586257-24.3-1.6
234234.1Sacred HeartNEC0.45960.457027513-1614-170-00-10-34-711-56-72292682322.10.2
233234.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.45960.446330010-1613-170-30-10-30-313-61-1124511248-13.7-0.8
232234.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45970.449129312-1313-140-10-20-12-411-63-8316313235-0.5-0.0
235234.6Boston CollegeACC0.45950.5410748-199-211-30-30-53-84-15-926815122113.61.1
237235.4Florida InternationalSB0.45900.50021537-188-190-00-31-34-74-63-820982236-0.6-0.1
236235.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45900.434932011-1113-130-00-00-32-411-63-7315322249-13.3-0.8
238236.5Eastern MichiganMAC0.45850.468723610-1612-180-20-11-33-58-74-1025421922511.50.7
239238.9Western KentuckySB0.45700.50941389-1810-190-10-40-55-45-64-920232241-2.1-0.2
241239.6MaristMAAC0.45680.482719611-1712-180-10-21-31-610-56-61772082309.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240239.8FordhamA100.45680.51231309-1610-190-41-10-52-66-37-619225622613.80.9
242243.4Ball St.MAC0.45490.431432412-1215-130-00-10-42-413-58-41793342394.40.3
243243.9Appalachian St.SC0.45450.467124310-1511-160-10-00-32-69-63-61931002430.90.1
245244.2ElonSC0.45430.456027911-1412-150-10-11-32-49-73-6206134253-8.8-0.8
244244.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.45430.51711208-198-210-30-30-43-85-23-83122882422.60.2
246245.0Southern CaliforniaP120.45380.5395786-217-240-30-40-82-74-25-8205972387.00.5
247246.8FurmanSC0.45270.450129111-1412-150-00-00-23-69-74-5244309247-0.2-0.0
248247.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.45260.462525711-1512-160-10-00-61-511-43-7286221251-4.0-0.3
249248.8HofstraCAA0.45180.50851409-2010-210-01-02-71-106-47-6172155250-1.2-0.1
250249.8SamfordSC0.45140.48112009-1610-170-10-02-22-66-91-8261562445.80.4
251249.8Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45120.48721859-1810-190-20-30-23-37-95-61622002454.80.4
252250.4Southern UtahSum0.45110.457527211-1511-160-00-30-31-510-53-6328342261-10.6-1.2
254251.3Coppin St.MEAC0.44990.44013109-1311-140-00-20-31-410-51-8310158252-0.7-0.0
253251.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.45040.49351688-169-170-10-20-70-28-63-714816265-13.6-1.1
255253.6James MadisonCAA0.44950.470123011-1812-190-00-00-72-910-47-6224302256-2.4-0.4
256253.6Arizona St.P120.44920.51711218-199-210-20-21-85-54-44-826215223716.61.7
260254.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44790.437231611-1513-160-10-10-11-611-72-11305209260-5.5-0.4
258254.5ToledoMAC0.44830.445830211-1414-150-10-11-33-410-77-62473042468.50.7
257254.6BradleyMVC0.44880.5366847-227-240-50-21-53-83-45-8225130255-0.4-0.1
259255.3MonmouthNEC0.44810.478520810-1911-200-20-10-50-710-52-11292177258-2.7-0.3
261255.6Western CarolinaSC0.44750.460326310-1711-180-00-10-42-49-84-71871762541.60.1
262257.0UC RiversideBW0.44690.458826810-1511-170-00-30-13-68-75-7218242259-2.0-0.2
263258.0JacksonvilleASun0.44660.49191738-209-200-30-10-23-75-82-923780262-4.0-0.5
264258.7StetsonASun0.44620.49191728-188-200-30-10-32-87-52-823368266-7.3-0.6
265261.1UC IrvineBW0.44430.47982038-169-180-10-30-30-59-63-8256112268-6.9-0.6
266262.9PresbyterianBSth0.44350.449029411-1512-160-10-01-11-710-75-5182216264-1.1-0.1
267265.5Rhode IslandA100.44160.52811015-236-250-20-22-90-104-33-12283180267-1.5-0.2
268266.7San Jose St.WAC0.44030.48721868-179-200-00-20-42-77-77-8241295270-3.3-0.3
269269.0Idaho St.BSky0.43880.47162248-179-190-00-11-60-58-71-113221882636.00.6
270270.4PepperdineWCC0.43800.48092018-188-190-10-50-22-46-75-62783362691.40.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271272.9PacificBW0.43620.46522509-1510-170-00-20-12-67-83-8291215279-6.1-0.6
272273.3WinthropBSth0.43580.46512529-189-190-10-10-11-98-71-9275107277-3.7-0.6
274275.0North DakotaGWC0.43400.43863138-1410-150-10-12-11-17-115-102421962741.00.1
273275.3UtahP120.43430.5474644-214-250-10-40-101-73-42-9279872750.30.1
275275.3Montana St.BSky0.43400.44373069-1510-160-00-10-31-39-93-72843062732.30.4
278278.1Seattleind0.43160.46732427-149-150-00-20-11-67-67-152822242726.10.5
277278.2High PointBSth0.43180.46242589-179-180-00-10-23-76-72-7303204280-1.8-0.3
276278.3Santa ClaraWCC0.43180.50721426-197-200-11-50-31-65-66-51852272717.31.0
279280.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.43000.45372838-179-190-00-20-20-69-82-1027077288-7.6-0.7
280280.6Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43000.436831710-1511-160-00-20-12-58-85-6281341281-0.4-0.1
281280.9Gardner WebbBSth0.42970.442630910-1711-180-10-00-02-109-74-7259310286-5.1-0.6
282281.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42960.46762417-168-190-00-10-50-78-62-9296163283-1.9-0.2
283283.4TroySB0.42770.47782107-177-190-00-20-31-87-54-62212102785.40.6
284284.2SouthernSWAC0.42720.388934412-1314-140-00-00-10-714-71-9334296289-4.8-0.5
285284.6Central MichiganMAC0.42650.46462537-189-200-10-20-50-69-74-92662472768.60.8
286285.1HowardMEAC0.42620.46382568-198-200-30-10-01-77-92-1025033291-5.9-0.9
287285.8IUPU Fort WayneSum0.42610.47232217-178-180-00-31-31-56-73-52693162823.80.3
289287.2Virginia Military InstBSth0.42420.430532510-1411-150-10-00-11-810-53-52933292843.20.3
288287.7MaineAE0.42430.427232810-1511-160-00-10-01-610-85-6232294294-6.3-0.9
290291.4South DakotaSum0.42110.46672456-177-180-00-21-21-65-82-53173402856.40.8
291292.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42030.46762407-208-210-10-00-61-67-82-92801652875.50.7
292293.1Morgan St.MEAC0.41980.46012656-188-200-10-21-20-57-103-921970298-4.9-0.4
293293.8ColgatePat0.41920.46122628-199-200-20-00-21-87-96-92672972930.80.1
296293.9New HampshireAE0.41880.411134011-1412-150-00-00-12-710-75-62973352903.90.5
294293.9Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.41900.46222607-178-190-10-00-20-88-82-15306133296-2.1-0.2
295294.0Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41890.47442167-188-190-00-00-44-94-64-52523172922.00.3
297295.1ArmyPat0.41810.428932611-1511-170-00-00-32-79-76-8329344300-4.9-0.7
298295.6St. Peter'sMAAC0.41760.49941585-235-250-00-30-60-95-71-113181452950.60.1
299296.8LibertyBSth0.41660.43953119-1710-180-00-00-02-118-82-8337326299-2.2-0.3
300298.4Texas St.Slnd0.41490.44403057-159-170-00-00-31-47-104-6243278306-7.6-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301299.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41380.42383338-1610-180-10-20-20-310-101-925842304-4.3-0.4
302301.9William & MaryCAA0.41210.49871594-244-260-10-10-51-93-91-113272482974.91.0
303303.1Alabama St.SWAC0.41090.41163398-1610-180-10-10-20-610-91-9277131307-3.9-0.4
304303.3Loyola ChicagoHorz0.41080.46552486-207-210-00-10-41-116-55-52463313030.30.0
305304.4ChattanoogaSC0.40980.46972347-198-200-20-00-22-56-103-7265137308-3.6-0.4
307305.9Nicholls St.Slnd0.40800.45122886-177-200-10-00-31-96-72-92992553014.90.5
306306.4TowsonCAA0.40810.5355851-281-300-20-10-90-101-80-13301523024.41.0
308307.4Jackson St.SWAC0.40640.44503046-198-210-40-20-00-47-111-102043310-2.6-0.3
309307.4NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.40630.42433317-159-160-10-10-20-39-94-112942623052.40.3
310310.8St. Francis PANEC0.40350.47342186-216-230-00-00-62-74-91-1028760314-3.2-0.5
311311.9HartfordAE0.40240.43793148-208-210-00-00-20-108-91-12336286313-1.1-0.3
313312.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40080.45052905-186-200-00-20-10-76-102-8304303315-2.1-0.3
312313.1BrownIvy0.40110.47152266-207-230-00-20-30-126-65-113143123112.10.4
314313.3SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40010.44902956-167-180-00-10-12-65-102-7341332316-2.7-0.3
317314.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.39870.44503035-176-200-10-00-21-86-93-72722733095.60.6
315314.6Sacramento St.BSky0.39890.43363227-178-180-00-00-40-58-103-7331330317-2.4-0.4
316314.8HamptonMEAC0.39890.41993359-1810-200-00-00-00-810-124-10311318321-6.2-0.8
318315.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39810.45962665-206-220-00-20-11-85-112-102901393123.20.5
319315.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39790.45772705-216-240-00-10-42-94-112-12321258319-3.3-0.6
320315.8Houston BaptistGWC0.39710.45362846-177-190-10-20-22-45-114-12273146318-2.2-0.3
321317.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.39450.42393327-159-170-00-00-21-77-84-6308338320-2.5-0.2
322320.9Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.39110.42723297-218-230-10-20-20-68-111-12289103325-4.1-0.6
323322.1Florida A&MMEAC0.38910.43263236-197-210-00-10-20-87-110-12340243323-0.9-0.2
324322.9DartmouthIvy0.38830.47652134-215-240-00-30-31-114-73-12338311324-1.1-0.2
325324.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.38620.47882072-252-270-10-30-21-61-142-112982383222.40.7
326325.2Louisiana MonroeSB0.38520.47852092-242-260-10-10-40-112-91-11323240328-2.8-0.9
327327.2The CitadelSC0.38240.46822383-223-240-00-00-30-93-111-83242363270.20.1
328327.4RadfordBSth0.38230.46632474-235-240-10-00-41-83-122-92881113261.40.4
329328.8CanisiusMAAC0.38070.44822965-225-240-10-20-30-65-124-7319343330-1.2-0.3
330329.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.37980.47572152-262-280-20-10-40-102-112-102852023290.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331330.0Longwoodind0.37910.41853376-186-210-10-40-10-16-136-19326328332-2.0-0.4
332331.4NavyPat0.37750.47642142-232-250-10-00-20-102-122-11320264333-1.6-0.6
333333.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.37420.47232222-252-270-10-00-40-102-121-10332223335-1.8-0.7
334333.5Chicago St.GWC0.37320.45292873-234-240-20-10-20-64-131-173251943312.50.6
335333.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.37270.45922673-223-240-00-10-50-53-122-9307241336-2.2-0.6
337335.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.36830.40973415-186-200-10-10-10-66-110-831389337-1.2-0.3
336336.3MD Baltimore CountyAE0.36890.43443214-234-250-10-00-10-104-131-12339301338-1.7-0.9
338337.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.36370.40703434-176-190-10-10-00-66-110-730969340-2.5-0.5
339338.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.36330.46222592-212-250-00-10-40-72-120-113432823344.21.3
340338.7BryantNEC0.36290.46012642-262-280-00-20-50-82-141-11335267339-0.3-0.2
341340.1UC DavisBW0.35880.44313073-233-260-00-30-10-73-151-12342327342-1.9-1.2
342341.9South Carolina St.MEAC0.35010.42623303-224-240-10-10-10-64-153-92952713410.90.7
343342.6GramblingSWAC0.34480.40743423-214-240-00-00-30-54-160-10333185343-0.4-0.4
344343.9BinghamtonAE0.33410.43593191-261-280-10-00-21-80-170-13344300344-0.1-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com