live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 19, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
13.3VillanovaBE0.66360.58452118-128-36-24-08-16-05-013-042612.30.8
35.2KentuckySEC0.65550.58561816-227-44-33-08-09-04-011-27250.20.0
25.4BaylorB120.65660.6051216-124-64-35-27-16-03-012-01323.40.7
46.0LouisvilleACC0.65340.6087116-325-64-54-15-18-03-012-1258-2.0-0.5
66.5GonzagaWCC0.65000.54107818-028-13-02-05-010-08-012-054310-3.5-1.2
56.8KansasB120.65100.5936817-125-63-34-28-18-02-011-282242.80.6
77.1North CarolinaACC0.64980.5953716-325-65-34-18-14-14-011-2133311-3.9-0.8
88.5ButlerBE0.64570.59121116-324-65-34-17-13-15-111-131435.51.1
911.1ArizonaP120.63850.57153217-226-51-43-06-011-05-011-2162812-0.9-0.2
1011.3FloridaSEC0.63810.5921914-423-81-53-18-17-14-010-39965.31.0
1112.4OregonP120.63550.56623916-225-52-23-17-18-15-010-2255513-0.6-0.1
1213.0VirginiaACC0.63410.5958614-323-74-53-16-15-04-010-2225217-4.0-0.7
1313.2Florida St.ACC0.63360.58022517-225-65-33-16-25-15-012-12612094.20.7
1413.4CreightonBE0.63290.56324517-125-54-32-17-17-05-012-01215276.41.2
1515.0CincinnatiAmer0.62890.55016616-227-41-23-17-18-08-011-21923150.00.0
1615.6DukeACC0.62790.58981214-423-83-54-15-17-04-012-1146816-0.4-0.1
1715.8UCLAP120.62710.53588419-128-33-23-05-09-08-013-02020018-2.2-0.4
1819.3WisconsinB100.61970.55296215-325-61-35-18-16-05-011-25121730-10.7-1.6
1920.2Saint Mary'sWCC0.61690.53568616-225-41-22-13-110-09-010-1236521-0.8-0.2
2020.7West VirginiaB120.61640.55735715-325-64-13-15-27-25-012-14224138-17.3-2.7
2122.5PurdueB100.61270.56444115-424-72-34-26-17-16-011-23411031-8.5-1.2
2322.7Notre DameACC0.61180.56853516-324-73-63-14-07-06-011-255169202.70.4
2223.0XavierBE0.61210.58961313-521-102-62-16-17-14-010-31018194.00.5
2425.0South CarolinaSEC0.60780.56384314-322-81-23-27-37-14-09-35364232.00.2
2525.9MinnesotaB100.60640.58611615-422-91-34-36-38-12-012-16251411.91.3
2628.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.60070.507413916-225-40-00-24-19-111-09-22799244.30.6
2729.1SMUAmer0.60050.53908016-424-71-12-26-37-18-010-3419036-6.9-0.8
2830.7DaytonA100.59730.54297513-422-70-12-27-26-27-08-36058264.70.6
2932.5MarylandB100.59500.55765416-222-81-23-27-28-13-011-1301362210.51.0
3033.8Illinois St.MVC0.59210.516712114-423-60-01-12-111-39-17-46261285.80.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3134.9NevadaMWC0.59120.520011416-324-70-10-04-212-38-011-231139322.90.3
3439.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.58490.504514415-325-50-01-14-19-312-19-328192910.11.0
3339.2Rhode IslandA100.58640.55815211-620-101-11-34-49-26-08-4393049-9.8-0.7
3239.5TCUB120.58700.57982613-419-111-52-34-38-13-011-118882514.50.9
3541.3USCP120.58290.54397316-422-91-51-12-111-17-013-011145338.30.7
3642.4Wake ForestACC0.58230.58891411-717-131-81-34-27-14-09-321292715.41.1
3742.7NorthwesternB100.58180.55406115-421-101-43-34-27-06-011-240167393.70.3
3843.4VCUA100.58110.54277614-522-90-22-14-211-35-110-3498246-2.6-0.2
3943.9IndianaB100.58090.57053413-620-113-52-24-23-17-010-37113178-34.1-2.2
4043.9ArkansasSEC0.58090.54676914-422-90-42-16-210-25-011-21562349.90.6
4145.1Iowa St.B120.58030.57263011-619-111-72-25-26-25-09-38717054-8.9-0.6
4247.4Michigan St.B100.57760.59131012-718-132-63-24-45-14-08-573153710.40.6
4347.4GeorgiaSEC0.57750.58142311-618-121-51-25-39-23-08-46935425.40.3
4447.9ClemsonACC0.57680.58222211-718-122-63-25-24-24-010-23280416.90.4
4749.9Wichita St.MVC0.57340.492417315-425-50-11-21-111-112-09-312824583-33.1-3.0
4650.1VermontAE0.57340.498715415-523-70-20-11-29-213-09-5658163-12.9-1.1
4551.3AkronMAC0.57400.502214714-323-70-20-03-18-212-29-344147456.30.3
4956.3PittsburghACC0.56900.6030312-716-152-72-24-36-22-111-217274016.31.0
4856.3UT ArlingtonSB0.56910.502514611-520-91-10-11-27-310-28-32459488.30.5
5057.1CaliforniaP120.56840.55805313-619-111-51-13-38-17-09-37770525.10.3
5157.2HoustonAmer0.56760.53598313-620-101-22-23-36-39-09-37013771-13.8-0.9
5259.2MonmouthMAAC0.56610.495816314-523-80-20-03-17-413-18-333112563.20.2
5360.1Miami FLACC0.56590.56244712-518-122-71-24-25-17-010-28827276-15.9-0.8
5761.5New Mexico St.WAC0.56440.460727515-223-40-00-01-18-213-111-264291601.50.1
5461.7Kansas St.B120.56490.55196414-419-121-52-33-27-17-012-1612804714.70.7
5862.0ValparaisoHorz0.56390.495416514-423-70-21-02-18-313-19-354104611.00.1
5562.1UtahP120.56460.53188911-519-91-51-12-27-18-07-312721968-5.9-0.3
5662.4MarquetteBE0.56450.55905112-618-122-61-24-34-17-09-312522875-12.6-0.6
5962.6Seton HallBE0.56380.56364412-617-132-71-12-34-17-010-2481793527.61.3
6064.6Ohio St.B100.56280.57253112-718-131-53-35-25-15-110-36610766-1.4-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6165.5La SalleA100.56210.53798111-519-100-11-23-37-37-17-48242578.50.4
6366.2ChattanoogaSC0.56070.485319512-421-70-10-02-38-311-07-36316377-10.8-0.6
6667.4BYUWCC0.55980.52729414-621-101-30-12-210-38-19-4129155100-32.6-1.9
6467.4Texas TechB120.56070.54007914-420-112-42-23-26-28-012-1903295116.40.7
6267.8MichiganB100.56080.56633812-718-131-43-44-35-15-010-35610680-12.2-0.5
6568.5Oklahoma St.B120.55990.5851209-815-151-62-43-35-24-010-22963671.50.1
6768.9Virginia TechACC0.55930.54667014-419-111-52-25-24-17-011-1723095018.90.9
6872.3UCFAmer0.55680.521711114-420-100-31-14-24-310-19-310822984-11.7-0.5
6972.9San Diego St.MWC0.55640.523410310-719-100-11-12-29-57-07-49312690-17.1-0.8
7077.0IllinoisB100.55410.57692811-716-140-42-45-35-24-09-350464433.01.4
7277.3College of CharlestonCAA0.55320.506314114-521-90-20-22-28-311-18-4961285819.31.0
7177.3Boise St.MWC0.55390.522010810-618-100-11-12-37-47-16-411717788-10.7-0.4
7378.6ProvidenceBE0.55270.56713713-717-141-72-25-24-26-110-3571335325.61.2
7479.3Arkansas St.SB0.55200.499815111-620-100-10-23-26-311-38-443100709.30.4
7580.8TennesseeSEC0.55090.5853198-915-150-81-24-35-24-06-689116515.80.7
7683.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.54980.52281068-616-110-00-21-26-48-24-5134118116-32.7-1.2
7783.6MemphisAmer0.54920.516612214-521-101-21-23-45-211-010-39820589-5.4-0.2
7883.8BelmontOVC0.54890.476723012-419-70-10-20-16-213-16-410713086-2.2-0.1
7984.0MississippiSEC0.54890.56574011-717-140-50-34-48-25-19-447174341.01.7
8185.2East Tennessee St.SC0.54790.481121112-521-80-10-21-27-313-08-381202128-42.8-2.1
8085.3New MexicoMWC0.54830.54197711-817-130-21-33-36-37-17-51107291-5.7-0.2
8285.9StanfordP120.54770.57892710-814-150-71-32-36-25-07-437126223.91.0
8386.2GeorgetownBE0.54750.58591710-915-162-71-32-45-14-09-4683793-6.8-0.3
8586.5AlabamaSEC0.54740.54457211-617-130-41-33-37-26-07-5133977412.50.5
8487.1PrincetonIvy0.54740.49351699-617-90-00-21-34-312-16-611310298-10.9-0.5
8688.0UNC AshevilleBSth0.54620.479821611-720-90-10-21-26-214-26-55951799.00.5
8789.1WinthropBSth0.54560.469724912-420-70-10-12-13-314-26-33866872.10.1
8889.7Penn St.B100.54540.57272911-815-161-52-42-47-33-08-5124867217.70.8
8991.2MarshallCUSA0.54450.516312310-818-120-10-31-36-311-26-61124595-3.8-0.1
9091.4North Carolina St.ACC0.54410.57123313-616-151-71-33-37-24-011-2351235536.41.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9292.1NebraskaB100.54370.596858-912-171-53-52-54-22-15-610945933.11.4
9392.4VanderbiltSEC0.54370.597848-1013-181-61-54-55-23-06-78618210.40.4
9192.4NortheasternCAA0.54390.507613812-718-120-12-12-16-68-47-576129112-19.6-0.8
9492.8St. BonaventureA100.54350.522310712-619-110-21-32-27-39-18-413517397-4.2-0.2
9594.8BucknellPat0.54200.479122214-622-90-10-11-37-315-18-5105132102-7.2-0.4
9898.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53940.483620311-619-80-20-11-24-114-28-57460926.90.3
9699.0OhioMAC0.54000.489917910-519-90-00-11-36-311-27-3111264134-35.0-1.2
9799.1IonaMAAC0.53960.501514911-819-120-11-11-17-410-47-45277104-4.9-0.2
9999.2TempleAmer0.53930.55046510-1016-152-41-22-33-58-19-436216930.21.3
101100.5Georgia SouthernSB0.53860.498515810-617-120-10-12-35-410-25-61221348515.50.6
100100.5LehighPat0.53870.49011779-818-100-10-12-25-411-35-56740110-9.5-0.4
102101.4MassachusettsA100.53840.52519712-719-120-01-32-58-47-110-383207947.40.3
103102.8San FranciscoWCC0.53760.520411312-718-120-41-11-25-410-29-394204121-18.2-0.8
104103.2SyracuseACC0.53740.56314611-816-152-72-24-24-35-08-5182178133-29.8-1.1
105104.1AuburnSEC0.53650.53618212-617-140-31-33-48-35-110-3461247331.11.2
107107.9North Dakota St.Sum0.53430.491817411-617-100-10-11-16-510-36-51021058126.91.0
106108.0Texas A&MSEC0.53460.5574559-815-150-61-33-34-28-08-47853109-1.0-0.0
109109.5DavidsonA100.53360.5341889-816-130-32-31-35-38-17-491121124-14.5-0.5
108109.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53380.496515910-618-110-10-22-35-311-28-375242135-25.1-0.9
110110.7Texas SouthernSWAC0.53250.45472929-921-100-40-11-11-319-24-95886446.72.6
111112.0OaklandHorz0.53200.474923812-521-80-01-22-16-213-38-3140266137-25.0-1.1
113112.0YaleIvy0.53170.47572358-617-90-10-11-35-211-27-5120215114-2.0-0.1
112112.0CanisiusMAAC0.53170.491617512-720-110-10-11-28-511-27-41031621066.00.3
114113.4TulsaAmer0.53120.54467110-715-150-31-42-43-28-26-6150791130.40.0
115114.6RichmondA100.53030.521910911-717-130-11-42-37-38-16-62112161059.60.4
117119.1OklahomaB120.52800.5813248-912-182-62-42-41-25-06-617912210118.10.7
116119.6Mississippi St.SEC0.52800.52709512-517-131-31-23-65-27-09-31582821172.60.1
119120.4Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52700.47962178-716-100-10-11-23-312-36-6151225151-30.6-1.1
118120.5Saint Joseph'sA100.52720.5470688-914-160-21-42-55-56-16-6955710317.50.7
120120.7Fort WayneSum0.52700.468825211-618-90-11-21-14-312-28-380258127-6.3-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.7Fresno St.MWC0.52680.511013410-715-130-11-12-45-47-36-4165310125-3.3-0.1
122124.7Georgia TechACC0.52460.56014811-714-161-52-32-53-26-08-41642529628.71.2
123125.5ColoradoP120.52410.5314909-916-141-41-32-35-48-09-39219911510.50.4
124126.9IowaB100.52350.55515911-915-161-42-53-43-26-08-51761811188.90.3
126127.2UABCUSA0.52330.487418911-719-110-20-21-25-413-16-61811421207.20.3
125127.2Arizona St.P120.52340.5641429-1014-170-71-32-34-37-17-61598910720.20.9
127127.4TowsonCAA0.52310.514212810-916-140-10-32-27-48-47-5998410819.40.8
128127.9WyomingMWC0.52310.508213611-617-120-00-21-48-48-28-3842069928.90.9
129129.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.52190.459427711-620-90-10-21-24-216-26-5190237180-50.1-2.2
130130.9FurmanSC0.52140.48671929-817-120-00-11-46-39-45-6161194144-13.1-0.5
131131.0Georgia St.SB0.52120.50161488-716-120-11-11-34-69-25-512110111120.00.7
132133.1ToledoMAC0.52030.51821189-816-140-00-31-36-59-36-612349145-11.9-0.4
133133.3UNC GreensboroSC0.52020.482520712-518-100-10-13-24-410-26-415520812310.30.4
134134.3Tennessee St.OVC0.51950.473824110-717-100-11-01-25-310-47-479174141-6.7-0.3
136137.6UC IrvineBW0.51760.476323210-918-120-20-20-32-216-45-914944139-1.4-0.1
135137.7Old DominionCUSA0.51770.486819011-719-110-10-21-26-512-27-5145153147-9.3-0.4
137138.5SamfordSC0.51680.481721011-617-120-20-11-35-312-27-410621312612.50.5
139139.0WashingtonP120.51670.5566589-913-171-61-41-33-38-07-5156160173-34.0-1.3
138139.3George MasonA100.51670.507014011-617-130-01-32-36-48-29-3138290153-13.7-0.5
140139.5AlbanyAE0.51640.483820110-918-120-10-21-14-612-28-6131188158-18.5-0.8
141139.7HarvardIvy0.51630.48212087-515-100-00-12-33-410-26-51471661381.70.1
142139.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51630.488818411-717-120-00-31-26-510-28-3114273140-0.2-0.0
143144.3ConnecticutAmer0.51410.5540606-1112-170-30-33-63-35-24-720487155-10.7-0.4
145145.3TexasB120.51300.5875157-1111-201-61-63-53-23-16-718073156-10.7-0.4
144145.9William & MaryCAA0.51310.51491257-812-140-30-21-35-37-34-514412511926.90.8
146146.7Colorado St.MWC0.51240.52461009-815-140-01-22-65-57-16-5169135168-21.3-0.7
147147.4Green BayHorz0.51200.48801879-715-130-10-11-25-510-44-619621012918.40.6
148147.9New HampshireAE0.51190.47602349-716-110-10-11-14-410-46-5139243163-15.1-0.6
149148.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51150.485919410-817-130-10-11-26-410-54-6221251161-12.1-0.5
150150.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.51070.487718810-915-130-00-20-34-511-26-611915412228.01.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151150.2RiceCUSA0.51030.464026810-719-100-00-20-23-515-28-3118279167-16.8-0.7
153151.4George WashingtonA100.50970.53019210-915-160-11-42-55-57-18-513614413615.40.6
152151.6Northern KentuckyHorz0.50970.477622710-717-120-10-11-24-512-47-4130260172-20.4-0.7
154151.8LSUSEC0.50940.5672369-812-180-31-53-74-44-08-4452413120.80.8
155152.6St. John'sBE0.50920.5600499-1112-191-70-42-51-27-26-72282361484.60.2
156154.3Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50850.458028410-617-100-10-10-12-315-45-410011513222.30.8
157157.2Wright St.Horz0.50670.488918310-716-130-00-11-35-710-37-4971651525.20.2
158157.9Grand CanyonWAC0.50640.470124711-718-110-30-11-23-213-39-6191269179-21.1-0.7
159158.1Weber St.BSky0.50620.46262707-716-100-00-00-24-412-43-6227187171-12.9-0.5
160161.4Utah St.MWC0.50440.5352877-912-160-11-22-55-55-25-5168111193-31.6-1.1
162161.7Missouri St.MVC0.50410.479521912-718-120-00-41-25-412-38-41933241547.70.3
161161.8ElonCAA0.50410.49571649-915-140-20-11-45-49-46-5163238174-12.2-0.5
163162.0BuffaloMAC0.50380.51561246-1013-160-20-21-33-59-44-71831081593.00.1
165162.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.50350.468525310-915-140-00-21-33-512-46-714125013032.51.2
164162.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.50360.518711710-914-160-20-40-17-57-46-61436914319.60.8
166166.0SienaMAAC0.50170.51191328-1214-170-10-12-54-78-43-820148170-4.0-0.1
167169.0UMBCAE0.50020.461527410-616-110-00-10-23-613-27-4154320186-17.0-0.6
168169.1Santa ClaraWCC0.49970.52441019-1014-160-50-12-24-68-35-7257226184-14.9-0.6
170172.1RutgersB100.49820.53059110-813-170-41-61-62-29-010-211534214923.10.9
169172.8Stony BrookAE0.49820.482720610-816-130-00-21-14-610-55-8232227175-2.2-0.1
171173.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.49800.5267968-912-160-40-20-44-48-26-4170196185-11.4-0.5
173174.5South DakotaSum0.49720.474723911-916-130-10-00-25-410-57-6173247176-1.5-0.1
172174.5San DiegoWCC0.49730.5249999-913-160-50-21-32-59-26-51862091695.50.2
174175.9Holy CrossPat0.49650.479921510-1016-150-10-10-44-512-46-714815016213.90.5
175177.1Boston UniversityPat0.49590.47942209-915-140-00-02-34-69-44-7230151198-20.9-0.7
176178.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.49520.457128511-817-120-10-10-22-414-48-511622014632.51.2
177179.4Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49470.47512368-1216-150-10-30-31-414-52-112102016415.40.6
178181.8Coastal CarolinaSB0.49320.51941157-913-160-00-22-73-48-33-825592188-6.2-0.2
179182.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.49270.446930310-717-120-10-10-12-615-36-512615716022.50.8
181183.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.49200.47712289-615-130-10-11-24-510-55-5254333204-20.6-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180183.6MontanaBSky0.49260.454829110-1018-130-10-10-23-615-35-82252231812.60.1
182187.4FairfieldMAAC0.49020.47992148-815-140-00-11-33-711-35-4171286194-6.6-0.2
183188.3Central MichiganMAC0.48970.47922219-715-140-00-11-36-69-48-313231114246.31.5
184189.2Utah ValleyWAC0.48940.48841856-912-140-10-11-22-58-55-7162180206-16.8-0.5
185189.2DenverSum0.48930.459427911-816-130-00-01-14-811-48-5177319197-7.8-0.3
186190.4Washington St.P120.48860.5574568-910-190-60-30-44-55-16-520718217812.40.6
187190.7RiderMAAC0.48840.458328311-816-150-00-01-33-612-57-4172348201-10.3-0.4
188192.0Murray St.OVC0.48760.45532909-916-120-01-11-14-410-64-8279255199-7.0-0.3
189192.4MercerSC0.48730.50791376-1212-170-10-21-54-68-24-7174471839.40.4
191193.0North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48720.38613519-620-70-00-00-11-218-46-51372851912.00.1
190193.3Northern IowaMVC0.48720.5250986-1111-170-30-31-15-75-34-6157411894.30.2
192194.6LibertyBSth0.48620.47672298-914-140-00-20-52-412-32-829196207-12.4-0.5
193195.1Loyola MDPat0.48570.48431998-913-150-20-01-25-47-75-5857815045.11.6
194196.1Boston CollegeACC0.48550.5597509-1011-200-61-43-44-43-27-623924018214.10.7
196196.9TroySB0.48480.48182098-914-160-01-12-43-59-66-6233334213-16.1-0.5
195197.1LipscombASun0.48500.46832558-1014-140-10-00-31-413-55-9217212221-23.9-0.9
198197.4EvansvilleMVC0.48450.51431278-1013-160-20-41-14-68-47-410183205-7.6-0.3
197197.5PennIvy0.48450.48372026-813-140-10-11-42-59-47-61531751925.50.2
199198.2New OrleansSlnd0.48440.45702867-714-120-00-20-22-412-42-622912716632.21.0
200198.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48380.46712606-914-130-10-10-12-411-52-7264113236-37.1-1.2
201201.1HofstraCAA0.48280.49941528-1113-170-20-21-44-58-57-5142197202-0.9-0.0
203201.4Ball St.MAC0.48230.459427811-617-130-00-11-34-511-48-4231349226-24.6-0.9
202201.4IUPUISum0.48240.48092127-1112-160-00-21-33-68-54-8208233210-8.6-0.3
204201.8RadfordBSth0.48220.48521967-1013-150-20-22-22-39-53-71753417724.80.9
205202.4UNLVMWC0.48190.51481269-1014-170-30-21-34-68-27-62152181966.40.2
206202.8PortlandWCC0.48160.51111338-911-170-40-10-23-68-36-51882302002.80.1
207203.7San Jose St.MWC0.48110.51771197-810-170-10-21-44-75-25-418925716538.71.5
208207.4Gardner WebbBSth0.47900.46472677-1014-140-00-21-52-311-44-6178171216-8.6-0.3
210208.9Little RockSB0.47810.46682639-715-140-10-11-34-410-67-4195332222-13.1-0.5
209209.5Morehead St.OVC0.47820.49611616-1111-160-10-10-43-78-32-927376230-20.5-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.0Western MichiganMAC0.47760.52331055-1111-180-20-21-43-76-43-8281141240-30.0-0.9
212210.9PacificWCC0.47740.5294937-1211-190-50-10-35-75-35-72341832037.90.3
213210.9Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47710.46842549-815-140-00-10-33-811-35-6278328238-27.1-1.0
214211.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.47680.48681914-1010-150-00-20-23-37-61-62037225-13.4-0.4
215212.5North DakotaBSky0.47590.43323217-714-110-00-01-13-511-52-52121462111.50.0
216213.3USC UpstateASun0.47580.45043029-814-130-00-01-41-412-66-720529819023.30.9
217213.6WoffordSC0.47570.49271725-1111-170-00-21-44-66-42-8283184248-34.4-1.2
219214.1UMKCWAC0.47520.50361457-1111-170-30-10-23-78-45-92029418727.11.1
218214.5Indiana St.MVC0.47540.51891166-1210-191-00-40-34-75-55-61467119519.50.8
220215.3UC DavisBW0.47490.43643169-816-130-00-00-12-514-66-71942712150.30.0
221218.0Portland St.BSky0.47350.42053328-615-110-00-00-03-411-64-41603072180.00.0
222218.2DuquesneA100.47320.51201319-1013-180-21-31-43-78-27-622223420810.20.4
223218.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.47260.47772249-1014-170-10-21-23-710-56-7237314220-1.1-0.0
224219.0Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47250.42863279-816-130-00-00-11-515-75-6224335265-46.0-1.5
225220.0Kent St.MAC0.47210.47502378-914-160-00-11-34-89-47-5236341270-50.0-1.7
227220.6NavyPat0.47150.47772258-1014-150-00-01-44-69-54-72511642146.60.2
226221.0Cleveland St.Horz0.47190.51341295-1310-190-20-11-43-86-53-8206392129.00.3
228221.9LIU BrooklynNEC0.47110.416933812-718-120-10-01-02-315-86-6216321231-9.1-0.4
229223.5Air ForceMWC0.47000.52181107-1011-180-00-31-55-75-45-62441932194.50.2
230225.0South AlabamaSB0.46890.49301707-912-170-00-21-43-69-55-62533022232.00.1
231226.1DePaulBE0.46860.5520638-119-220-70-31-51-66-17-62602812179.10.5
232227.8ColumbiaIvy0.46760.46482666-712-140-00-10-33-69-45-7245306244-16.2-0.6
233228.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46760.45232957-1013-150-10-10-21-512-61-928685234-5.8-0.2
234228.7Long Beach St.BW0.46710.48901825-1411-190-40-10-22-510-73-11192162271.70.1
235230.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46600.44043096-813-130-10-00-11-412-74-4152262254-23.8-0.7
236231.7CharlotteCUSA0.46530.48322057-912-160-10-20-22-610-45-51981952292.70.1
237233.8FordhamA100.46390.51721207-1111-190-01-21-55-84-45-7265231235-1.2-0.0
238235.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.46280.49111767-1112-180-10-21-33-78-53-72712222332.60.1
239236.4East CarolinaAmer0.46270.49641609-1013-180-30-31-52-410-28-52093132288.40.3
240236.8Oral RobertsSum0.46250.52351024-148-200-20-11-34-104-32-10223132324.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241238.1NJITASun0.46180.46222727-1112-160-10-10-22-510-76-8185235245-6.9-0.2
242238.3ManhattanMAAC0.46170.49471687-1211-200-20-10-53-88-55-6167159243-4.7-0.2
243240.6Nicholls St.Slnd0.46000.46912506-910-170-10-10-22-58-83-61043815783.62.6
245241.5Texas St.SB0.45950.45572898-713-150-00-11-22-59-75-5289350259-17.5-0.6
244241.8ArmyPat0.45980.47382427-1112-170-10-00-43-610-55-6199186262-20.2-0.8
246243.8BradleyMVC0.45820.50481437-1210-200-10-50-33-77-54-826120120934.81.6
247249.5DrexelCAA0.45460.48481976-1210-190-10-20-42-88-55-72263152463.50.2
248251.9UMass LowellAE0.45340.46732598-1212-180-00-20-23-79-75-9287312274-22.1-0.9
249252.5James MadisonCAA0.45330.50621425-149-210-10-10-43-105-51-11329224278-25.5-1.1
250253.4High PointBSth0.45250.46032766-1011-160-00-10-52-49-63-62522112476.40.3
251253.9PepperdineWCC0.45250.5435744-146-230-40-10-43-93-43-824693263-9.1-0.5
252255.1MissouriSEC0.45150.5356855-128-220-40-31-72-65-25-7292244268-12.9-0.6
253255.9Bowling GreenMAC0.45110.49541676-1111-190-10-10-33-97-55-7280275264-8.1-0.3
254257.0South Dakota St.Sum0.45040.48981806-1310-190-00-10-33-106-55-8197158269-12.0-0.5
255258.9Appalachian St.SB0.44910.49611624-109-180-10-11-52-65-63-6277300267-8.1-0.3
257259.4LamarSlnd0.44870.42763297-813-140-00-00-12-511-94-5250347266-6.6-0.2
256259.6WagnerNEC0.44900.43273226-1013-140-00-00-21-411-83-6213198277-17.4-0.7
258260.3McNeese St.Slnd0.44830.48022134-109-170-10-10-21-68-81-72203224218.30.6
260262.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44710.45112996-1012-150-10-00-32-610-63-829316825111.30.4
259262.5MaristMAAC0.44720.49891536-139-220-10-20-32-107-53-823514824121.51.0
261263.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44690.48911816-139-200-10-11-32-77-75-81841192558.10.3
262263.2North FloridaASun0.44650.48441984-138-190-10-10-31-77-61-1231813825211.20.4
263265.9SouthernSWAC0.44530.40583446-1014-140-10-00-20-514-62-8285214286-20.1-0.8
264267.3Robert MorrisNEC0.44430.45302937-1312-190-10-00-23-510-104-92001092589.30.4
265267.6DelawareCAA0.44400.49011786-129-200-10-21-42-76-65-621429623730.61.3
266268.1BrownIvy0.44380.45622878-812-160-10-10-32-610-57-725832223929.11.1
267269.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44300.42973247-1012-150-00-00-12-610-86-5218344280-10.5-0.4
269269.9JacksonvilleASun0.44260.40453459-814-130-00-00-11-312-98-5242351288-18.1-0.8
268270.0DetroitHorz0.44270.51001353-147-220-10-11-42-104-61-103047525614.00.6
270271.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.44140.45132985-1110-170-20-00-11-79-72-721967279-7.9-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271271.7IdahoBSky0.44130.43233236-912-150-00-00-11-811-63-6269289273-1.3-0.0
272271.9CampbellBSth0.44110.44443067-912-150-00-10-31-410-74-5247317282-10.1-0.4
273273.2Western CarolinaSC0.44100.51321304-136-230-10-20-71-95-43-81663122449.22.5
274274.7Saint LouisA100.43990.52331045-138-230-10-40-82-85-35-829623924925.71.5
275274.9MilwaukeeHorz0.43960.49861574-148-220-00-10-53-95-83-9248143285-10.1-0.4
277275.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.43910.49541664-128-210-00-21-53-75-64-7282303304-28.4-1.1
276275.7Youngstown St.Horz0.43910.48392006-129-200-01-11-42-86-74-723825326114.70.7
278275.7St. Francis PANEC0.43880.42953266-1112-160-00-00-20-512-92-8309265283-7.3-0.3
279276.6SeattleWAC0.43860.46772576-910-160-10-10-31-88-45-7272308299-22.4-0.8
280277.5TulaneAmer0.43830.52051124-146-240-40-20-51-85-53-932229425720.51.2
281279.5Tennessee TechOVC0.43670.46762586-1310-190-00-10-33-97-72-11335299303-23.5-1.0
284281.2Central ArkansasSlnd0.43540.47662314-159-220-20-10-32-57-111-12298912729.20.4
283281.5UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.43550.46892516-129-190-00-10-31-88-75-9274304290-8.5-0.4
285282.0Miami OHMAC0.43490.48362046-1010-190-00-10-33-87-65-62993302766.00.2
282282.1Oregon St.P120.43550.5489673-154-260-50-40-51-73-53-9331278292-9.9-0.7
287283.2BinghamtonAE0.43400.45142976-1110-180-00-20-22-89-66-6249346297-13.8-0.6
286283.3Montana St.BSky0.43430.45053016-1212-170-00-00-12-1010-73-8317254322-38.7-1.6
289284.3South FloridaAmer0.43360.49871556-118-210-30-20-52-76-46-52703312759.30.5
288284.4Chicago St.WAC0.43380.50121503-155-230-20-20-31-74-92-1226614025034.41.6
290286.0Austin PeayOVC0.43240.47962184-148-200-00-20-22-76-92-1027611627115.00.7
292288.7UTSACUSA0.43070.44223087-911-180-00-10-22-68-93-8323326294-5.3-0.2
291288.8CornellIvy0.43080.48661933-127-210-00-21-41-85-73-11284203291-2.2-0.1
293289.8DrakeMVC0.43050.49861565-128-200-00-30-23-84-71-9347297311-21.2-1.0
296291.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.42880.48821862-137-200-20-20-21-66-81-102411028110.10.4
294291.3Jackson St.SWAC0.42910.40913425-1113-150-10-00-30-312-82-8275185293-1.7-0.1
297292.0BryantNEC0.42850.46262714-1510-200-20-10-12-48-122-1025650300-8.0-0.3
295292.4The CitadelSC0.42890.47812236-128-200-00-10-51-97-44-624327425339.42.1
298293.2AmericanPat0.42800.47622335-139-200-10-10-31-78-73-8295191310-16.8-0.8
301293.6Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42710.43533193-1411-190-20-10-31-310-101-11259542849.60.4
300294.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.42710.46202733-128-180-10-10-51-47-81-7307221295-0.9-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299294.3ColgatePat0.42750.46702614-158-220-10-00-32-76-101-11339295296-1.7-0.1
302295.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42540.44263074-109-160-00-00-12-56-102-5267316329-33.3-1.3
303297.1HawaiiBW0.42460.43963117-913-150-10-10-21-312-75-7297248298-0.9-0.0
304298.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.42310.46692623-108-170-00-00-11-76-81-629498305-6.7-0.2
306300.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.42270.44653045-139-190-00-00-31-68-94-10303325330-30.0-1.3
309300.6Northwestern St.Slnd0.42140.43713133-99-160-00-00-11-68-92-5262318324-23.4-0.9
308300.6UC RiversideBW0.42160.45892813-118-180-10-00-12-66-101-931111428713.60.5
305300.8NiagaraMAAC0.42280.47102435-149-220-00-11-33-84-113-8326339328-27.2-1.4
307301.4Sacred HeartNEC0.42230.42453308-1213-180-10-00-01-612-115-82683053010.40.0
311302.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.42030.45292942-127-180-20-20-31-36-81-10187626042.41.6
310303.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42040.42953252-1410-190-00-20-30-610-81-122889528914.00.6
312305.0Western IllinoisSum0.41920.46542654-117-180-10-10-22-64-91-8346340318-13.0-0.6
313306.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41800.44013106-1310-190-00-10-21-89-83-10336337308-1.6-0.1
315307.1Alcorn St.SWAC0.41700.41843363-1110-160-00-00-20-79-70-831656325-17.9-0.8
316307.6HamptonMEAC0.41690.41413404-1110-160-00-00-21-49-91-10328161319-11.4-0.5
314307.9Florida AtlanticCUSA0.41710.47072443-127-200-00-21-21-65-92-7306249334-26.1-1.3
317308.8DartmouthIvy0.41640.47432403-116-210-00-10-32-74-93-103022763062.80.1
318311.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.41350.41973343-1310-170-20-00-20-510-91-113241493092.30.1
320313.6Idaho St.BSky0.41170.47052462-146-220-10-10-30-76-111-10313117320-6.4-0.3
321314.8North TexasCUSA0.41120.47062454-128-200-00-20-21-97-74-63012923077.80.4
319314.9MaineAE0.41210.47762264-166-240-10-20-31-95-93-1130827730212.90.9
324317.7Cal PolyBW0.40810.45083003-138-200-00-00-21-86-113-92631893134.70.2
323318.0HartfordAE0.40900.45162966-149-220-00-10-22-97-105-10320345321-3.0-0.2
322318.0LafayettePat0.40980.46632645-127-210-10-00-32-74-103-72902703153.00.3
325319.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40800.45942804-147-210-00-10-22-64-114-8240246332-13.0-0.9
326319.1Morgan St.MEAC0.40690.39113486-1012-160-00-00-10-412-102-10341293327-7.9-0.4
327319.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.40600.42403316-1010-170-00-00-01-79-94-7319327326-6.3-0.4
328321.7Delaware St.MEAC0.40440.41913353-149-200-00-10-12-57-131-123121903174.70.3
329322.1StetsonASun0.40410.43663155-128-200-00-00-31-58-115-93143433166.10.4
330324.2LongwoodBSth0.40250.45872824-126-210-10-00-40-66-101-834326131212.20.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331324.3UTEPCUSA0.40230.46802563-137-220-00-20-41-76-91-10327172339-14.7-1.1
333324.7HowardMEAC0.40050.42843282-148-210-00-20-20-68-101-12310103333-8.3-0.5
332325.6VMISC0.40100.49271712-134-230-10-20-41-93-71-8330192336-10.4-0.9
335325.8Savannah St.MEAC0.39900.41683394-129-180-10-10-30-39-101-103001563232.80.2
334326.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39970.44513052-167-240-20-30-20-47-130-1330536331-4.9-0.3
336327.5FIUCUSA0.39830.46992482-156-230-10-20-21-75-112-9333263343-15.5-1.3
337327.8Coppin St.MEAC0.39750.43363204-147-220-00-20-40-57-110-133217431413.81.0
338331.4Southern MissCUSA0.39390.46352694-126-220-10-10-20-86-91-9345301337-5.6-0.5
339333.5Sacramento St.BSky0.39020.43603183-127-200-00-00-10-86-111-8340259335-1.5-0.1
340337.9Southern UtahBSky0.38240.43883122-155-240-00-00-10-85-140-11349284338-0.1-0.0
342338.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38000.42003333-147-230-00-00-20-87-130-12342176342-3.8-0.4
341338.3Alabama St.SWAC0.38030.40853433-138-210-00-10-20-58-131-10332232346-7.7-0.9
344341.0St. Francis NYNEC0.37570.43673143-166-240-10-00-20-56-161-113372563401.00.2
343341.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.37570.43633173-156-240-00-00-01-115-132-103252873410.20.0
346343.3Grambling St.SWAC0.36740.39003504-128-200-10-00-10-38-142-8334323345-1.7-0.3
345343.9PresbyterianBSth0.36810.45582882-144-230-00-00-41-62-122-7315268344-0.1-0.0
347346.2Bethune CookmanMEAC0.35640.39313462-147-210-00-00-10-57-151-11344283347-0.8-0.2
348347.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.35400.41793372-165-240-00-00-10-55-182-9338336348-1.0-0.4
349348.2Florida A&MMEAC0.34560.39273472-145-220-10-00-10-35-170-11350288349-0.8-0.3
350348.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.34250.40963410-174-250-10-00-10-54-170-13348267350-1.3-0.5
351350.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.32810.39113491-153-260-00-00-10-53-190-11351338351-0.7-0.6


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com