live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
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Through games of Dec 17, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.7KentuckySEC0.67400.58051311-029-25-15-18-07-05-013-01410.70.6
24.5DukeACC0.65620.5783159-027-44-23-16-19-05-013-032040.50.2
35.2TexasB120.65440.597349-125-66-44-16-16-03-012-17449-3.8-1.0
45.7WisconsinB100.65020.57342010-127-43-26-17-17-04-012-191912-6.3-2.1
67.1VirginiaACC0.64550.5718219-026-44-33-14-110-05-012-043761.10.3
57.1LouisvilleACC0.64560.5818109-026-55-32-05-09-05-012-1115470.10.0
77.5KansasB120.64520.629818-122-95-64-25-16-11-012-12125.51.0
810.6BaylorB120.63500.602639-122-84-44-25-15-04-011-182320-9.4-1.4
910.8Ohio St.B100.63310.5627389-126-52-23-16-111-04-012-1189838-27.2-4.6
1011.7North CarolinaACC0.63080.605627-322-94-63-14-17-15-09-416525-13.3-2.2
1111.8GonzagaWCC0.62870.5289949-127-31-13-05-110-19-011-1106383.80.9
1212.8UtahP120.62770.5672297-223-62-23-15-16-16-09-2152728-15.2-2.2
1316.2ArizonaP120.61950.55405111-025-62-22-15-29-16-012-113144115.20.6
1416.6VillanovaBE0.61890.54896010-026-53-24-25-18-16-013-019209106.60.8
1517.6Wichita St.MVC0.61570.5299917-123-40-12-15-16-19-08-1635314.61.8
1619.0OklahomaB120.61460.595957-220-105-63-14-15-14-010-2257927-8.0-0.7
1721.6XavierBE0.60920.5756178-222-92-23-27-37-13-010-3234548-26.4-2.3
1822.2Miami FLACC0.60720.5614419-123-82-42-14-18-17-012-1146033-10.8-1.1
2025.4VCUA100.60230.5658337-322-91-32-26-27-16-19-4122520.41.7
1925.7ButlerBE0.60230.5615398-222-93-33-25-27-25-010-25417050-24.3-1.8
2226.6Michigan St.B100.60040.5571458-323-81-42-25-29-16-010-349130242.60.2
2126.8West VirginiaB120.60100.584899-121-104-62-24-26-15-011-23513531-4.2-0.3
2331.8Oklahoma St.B120.59490.585978-118-113-62-23-25-15-010-13016644-12.2-0.7
2432.1DavidsonA100.59320.5263977-122-61-21-14-26-110-08-22611277-44.9-3.0
2532.7Colorado St.MWC0.59280.5259999-023-70-12-15-27-29-111-15421616.71.1
2734.7SMUAmer0.59030.5489597-321-80-12-25-37-27-08-3451781-46.3-2.7
2834.7San Diego St.MWC0.58990.5425757-322-81-22-25-26-18-19-327252311.70.7
2635.1Iowa St.B120.59060.5813118-119-114-63-24-23-16-010-241178269.10.5
2936.0Northern IowaMVC0.58810.51941069-123-71-21-14-27-111-110-2211232214.00.9
3139.8FloridaSEC0.58430.5679266-420-111-52-26-27-15-08-58575119-79.2-4.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3040.0WashingtonP120.58470.5443699-022-82-33-15-26-26-011-124173355.00.2
3240.5North Carolina St.ACC0.58370.5810129-220-112-62-24-28-24-010-3361653-12.5-0.7
3342.8ArkansasSEC0.58160.5361817-222-91-22-25-27-28-111-2291321329.81.5
3543.1Green BayHorz0.58060.50251516-221-61-11-03-17-210-19-217471429.11.5
3443.3South CarolinaSEC0.58100.5680255-319-101-33-24-37-24-07-4868396-52.7-2.7
3644.7St. John'sBE0.58010.5741197-119-112-52-24-25-15-010-2475054-9.3-0.4
3745.6BuffaloMAC0.57860.5261986-221-90-20-03-39-39-19-3281072124.61.2
3846.8Seton HallBE0.57800.5584428-119-112-52-24-26-25-010-2321691828.81.3
4047.3MarylandB100.57740.55495010-121-101-42-24-28-16-011-233121434.30.2
3947.5GeorgetownBE0.57750.586266-317-122-63-24-25-14-07-3532983-35.5-1.5
4147.7CincinnatiAmer0.57690.5431717-222-91-12-23-39-37-19-4483366-18.3-0.8
4348.2Old DominionCUSA0.57590.49931618-124-61-01-14-27-211-111-1201041731.21.5
4248.3IllinoisB100.57610.5515568-320-112-42-24-27-26-010-36515057-8.7-0.4
4449.3IowaB100.57500.5718228-319-122-52-23-37-16-09-4789595-45.7-2.2
4550.6MinnesotaB100.57410.5553497-219-111-42-24-37-16-010-26021674-23.4-1.0
4651.4HarvardIvy0.57390.51021276-119-70-10-02-18-39-29-334801932.41.4
4754.5BYUWCC0.57040.5401776-320-90-30-13-29-37-17-4512164-9.5-0.4
4855.7GeorgiaSEC0.56990.5671305-318-121-42-34-47-25-08-45646523.70.2
4957.4CaliforniaP120.56810.5450679-121-101-42-24-25-19-011-25014969-11.6-0.5
5058.9Texas A&MSEC0.56720.5448687-220-100-31-24-37-26-010-238103553.90.2
5359.2WoffordSC0.56570.48232027-222-70-11-12-14-216-27-422304217.20.9
5259.6Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56580.48052106-321-70-10-11-14-216-26-4314963-3.4-0.2
5159.6PurdueB100.56600.5518558-320-111-33-24-37-35-09-4119222122-62.4-2.6
5561.4Rhode IslandA100.56450.50721395-321-71-11-13-37-29-17-31011752932.41.4
5461.4UTEPCUSA0.56460.51081266-321-81-11-12-26-212-17-439124516.40.7
5662.3Boise St.MWC0.56400.51451176-219-90-21-22-26-29-18-2371613428.31.1
5763.5Georgia St.SB0.56320.49391705-322-80-11-21-16-214-26-444914716.50.7
5866.9StanfordP120.56100.5563466-218-121-52-24-35-26-18-47094651.90.1
6167.2HofstraCAA0.55990.47262367-224-70-00-12-210-312-110-387320156-88.8-3.9
5967.4Illinois St.MVC0.56020.5334886-319-101-31-22-26-39-27-458414621.40.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6368.3YaleIvy0.55990.50821347-319-100-01-12-26-39-310-5431183632.31.2
6268.5UCLAP120.55990.5684248-318-131-61-24-36-26-08-57731104-35.5-1.3
6069.0ColoradoP120.56000.5641366-316-121-41-33-37-24-07-3847798-29.0-1.0
6469.2Notre DameACC0.55930.516311110-122-92-41-13-26-210-011-2135346129-59.8-2.3
6571.6TCUB120.55710.53378610-021-103-72-22-14-110-013-09235078-6.4-0.2
6672.7SyracuseACC0.55670.5635376-318-132-61-22-27-36-09-491846111.70.4
6772.9WyomingMWC0.55630.49511677-221-81-11-22-26-211-19-266258115-42.1-1.5
6873.0LSUSEC0.55620.5430727-219-121-22-34-37-36-110-3461271558.02.1
6974.6DaytonA100.55540.50901327-221-90-11-24-36-210-19-3591453044.61.6
7374.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55450.47332326-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-35299677.80.4
7075.0CharlotteCUSA0.55500.51481155-420-110-21-32-26-210-28-567433936.01.4
7275.6AlabamaSEC0.55460.5662326-317-130-51-33-36-25-08-461593243.61.5
7175.7ConnecticutAmer0.55480.5576444-317-130-31-33-36-36-16-61041190-14.3-0.5
7578.4George WashingtonA100.55220.50691416-319-101-31-23-25-210-18-31052844137.41.3
7478.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55230.51281223-518-100-20-11-35-311-25-79310112-33.1-1.2
7679.7IndianaB100.55160.5647348-218-131-62-33-35-17-010-398142142-62.3-2.2
7779.8EvansvilleMVC0.55130.50531456-220-91-21-22-16-212-19-29425394-14.2-0.5
7881.7IonaMAAC0.55020.47612246-322-90-00-11-26-315-37-4551597011.70.4
7982.2ProvidenceBE0.54990.5704238-316-151-63-34-25-34-19-47587739.20.3
8085.8MemphisAmer0.54790.5452655-419-120-41-22-36-29-18-511234136-50.2-1.7
8387.7VanderbiltSEC0.54610.5356826-218-120-32-34-36-26-19-399197135-47.3-1.5
8188.0RichmondA100.54660.5433704-418-130-21-32-46-38-18-590655137.01.1
8288.2MassachusettsA100.54620.5426736-417-140-11-33-67-37-17-672154939.21.3
8489.8Texas TechB120.54520.5614408-117-132-81-22-24-18-011-181323101-11.2-0.3
8590.0Long Beach St.BW0.54520.5411764-615-151-40-31-44-29-24-107135832.01.0
8790.8Georgia TechACC0.54400.5670317-215-151-51-23-36-44-18-468686228.81.0
9091.2San DiegoWCC0.54370.5296926-517-120-30-22-36-48-16-5114110157-65.8-2.3
8691.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54410.48012126-219-80-10-12-25-312-18-56462829.30.3
8991.5Central MichiganMAC0.54380.48511936-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1126347165-73.5-2.1
8891.6LafayettePat0.54400.48062096-219-90-10-11-26-312-27-3571807615.60.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9294.9Arizona St.P120.54140.5562476-417-141-41-33-56-35-08-5152171141-46.1-1.4
9195.0Bowling GreenMAC0.54190.48961786-219-90-00-12-37-49-27-389305914.00.1
9395.4OregonP120.54120.5426746-318-121-32-23-36-36-08-4136160126-30.6-0.9
9496.8AmericanPat0.54020.48332006-420-100-00-11-37-511-27-569179110-13.2-0.5
9698.8Penn St.B100.53880.54866110-117-140-51-32-36-27-011-2622764058.82.1
9599.0ColumbiaIvy0.53920.50581435-318-90-11-12-25-29-38-5107128144-45.0-1.3
9799.2MississippiSEC0.53870.5518546-316-150-22-44-45-36-29-497119990.20.0
98100.4TulsaAmer0.53800.5334896-416-130-31-22-37-36-27-41131148515.40.5
99100.6ValparaisoHorz0.53790.47692218-220-80-00-11-18-410-29-3762508911.60.4
100100.6MarquetteBE0.53760.5769165-414-161-72-43-25-24-18-495526040.61.3
101102.2ToledoMAC0.53700.50981316-418-130-20-12-36-510-27-6141227204-101.8-3.2
103104.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53540.45522914-420-70-00-12-31-117-15-488857232.11.2
102104.7William & MaryCAA0.53590.51291214-315-120-11-22-35-58-14-58238143-38.3-1.1
105105.7NebraskaB100.53460.5800146-312-161-42-42-44-34-07-3102120120-14.3-0.5
104106.1St. BonaventureA100.53480.49541666-219-100-11-23-35-310-29-2116326117-10.9-0.3
107110.1Air ForceMWC0.53210.50381494-317-100-11-22-34-39-16-3155282174-63.9-1.7
106110.1New MexicoMWC0.53270.51951057-318-120-11-23-35-48-28-4146259167-56.9-1.7
108113.7New Mexico St.WAC0.52990.47982134-719-100-21-11-22-215-37-812932176-62.3-2.0
110114.2Saint Mary'sWCC0.52970.5280955-216-120-20-22-37-46-27-3103105125-10.8-0.3
111114.6TempleAmer0.52960.5347846-417-140-31-23-36-47-28-5100885658.61.7
112114.9CreightonBE0.52910.5450668-316-152-42-32-44-36-010-3122272127-12.1-0.4
109115.1Eastern MichiganMAC0.52980.48921805-217-100-10-12-35-310-27-21063107936.10.9
115115.4PittsburghACC0.52830.5465646-316-151-60-22-36-37-19-4124205118-2.6-0.1
113116.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.52880.47212377-320-100-00-22-34-314-28-4130321222-106.0-3.2
114116.2Incarnate WordSlnd0.52850.43773303-118-60-00-11-22-115-24-2401643779.22.6
117117.5Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52780.50301505-216-110-31-22-23-211-26-31393049720.50.6
118117.7Kent St.MAC0.52760.50171545-218-110-10-12-35-410-28-31382641143.70.1
116118.0UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52830.50771373-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-574895959.01.6
119120.8James MadisonCAA0.52590.50981307-319-120-20-12-28-58-29-473611137.80.2
120123.3Western MichiganMAC0.52430.50581445-315-130-00-12-45-57-26-4145297159-35.7-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121126.5La SalleA100.52250.5353835-515-160-31-22-54-39-27-612857158-31.5-1.0
122126.6CanisiusMAAC0.52250.48651874-418-110-00-11-25-412-44-51376910521.60.6
123127.1East Tennessee St.SC0.52230.47202385-217-100-10-11-14-213-46-34266207-79.9-2.3
124128.3Wright St.Horz0.52160.50431485-415-130-10-11-36-58-36-680788048.31.4
125131.1BelmontOVC0.52000.47742196-417-110-10-10-15-412-37-59610910922.10.7
127131.7TennesseeSEC0.51930.5561484-414-161-41-42-55-35-17-5125936863.71.8
126131.9PepperdineWCC0.51940.49441686-216-120-20-11-34-410-17-3143338189-57.1-1.5
129133.0UNLVMWC0.51840.5345856-215-150-41-32-45-37-17-583227558.01.7
130133.6Kansas St.B120.51770.585686-412-192-102-32-41-25-08-5160162164-30.4-1.0
128134.1NortheasternCAA0.51850.48881816-318-130-00-12-47-59-28-512323310331.10.9
131136.0Georgia SouthernSB0.51760.47292353-216-100-00-11-15-310-44-21212958650.01.2
132136.4MichiganB100.51710.5676285-412-171-61-43-34-33-16-516211310729.40.9
134136.9FIUCUSA0.51680.48731834-416-130-10-11-24-510-46-51082189343.91.2
133137.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51690.43453334-218-80-00-00-15-313-35-313133312314.40.4
135138.5St. Francis PANEC0.51590.45632894-418-100-10-10-13-315-45-51101911380.50.0
136141.8ArmyPat0.51380.45153077-219-90-10-01-25-413-28-2149345170-28.2-0.8
137143.7UT ArlingtonSB0.51310.49241725-416-130-20-11-24-312-55-4799610637.71.0
138144.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.51250.43883275-318-90-10-10-23-315-37-41333311377.00.2
139145.9Stony BrookAE0.51200.48641883-516-130-00-21-35-410-35-813228166-20.1-0.5
140146.7AkronMAC0.51110.50141556-417-130-11-12-45-59-28-41872901406.70.2
141148.4San FranciscoWCC0.51040.5277964-514-150-20-21-55-57-25-6193131223-74.6-2.0
142149.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50990.42163454-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61271548762.12.2
144150.8South FloridaAmer0.50900.52471004-415-150-11-33-44-57-26-6172140194-43.2-1.1
143151.0Cleveland St.Horz0.50900.50831333-514-150-30-11-34-49-35-815876186-35.0-0.9
145152.9DetroitHorz0.50820.50771364-514-150-10-22-45-57-35-815074161-8.1-0.2
146153.6TulaneAmer0.50790.50761387-116-130-11-22-45-48-28-3148289160-6.4-0.2
147154.2Western KentuckyCUSA0.50750.51711095-414-140-11-22-34-67-25-514210213321.20.5
148155.2Boston CollegeACC0.50670.5583436-313-171-61-32-45-44-18-415718113025.20.8
149155.6Sacred HeartNEC0.50650.47392304-418-120-10-00-15-413-56-61157312134.60.9
152156.4Wake ForestACC0.50580.5643355-512-191-70-31-43-36-27-6202195185-28.6-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150156.9High PointBSth0.50630.47112435-315-120-10-01-14-611-45-4631438472.91.8
151157.2North FloridaASun0.50590.45792864-516-120-10-21-22-412-46-81532421516.20.2
153157.3South Dakota St.Sum0.50570.48082074-315-130-10-10-13-412-56-61341521543.30.1
156158.6LehighPat0.50490.49101773-415-130-10-01-35-68-34-615113314711.60.3
155158.8Holy CrossPat0.50500.49121764-314-130-00-01-34-68-34-511811711642.81.0
154158.8UC DavisBW0.50540.45532906-117-100-00-01-23-313-58-312033013226.80.6
158159.7RutgersB100.50390.5678276-411-200-40-42-65-54-17-6111539267.72.3
157160.0New HampshireAE0.50430.44203244-317-100-00-00-15-612-36-5144283173-13.0-0.3
159161.3Murray St.OVC0.50360.46562635-417-110-10-01-14-412-47-514717711150.31.4
160162.8Oregon St.P120.50310.51811076-214-151-31-32-44-37-18-32063361557.80.2
162162.8ClemsonACC0.50240.5391796-314-161-51-22-34-45-28-4196280169-6.2-0.2
163163.5Utah St.MWC0.50210.49371714-415-140-11-22-44-49-36-516725710261.51.6
161163.6North Dakota St.Sum0.50250.47402295-415-110-10-00-14-410-45-514018814617.60.4
165164.7NorthwesternB100.50140.5527536-413-180-51-51-54-36-08-517824915014.70.5
164165.1VermontAE0.50190.46012794-417-110-00-11-25-511-46-6170174208-42.9-1.1
166168.3MontanaBSky0.50000.48611912-614-130-10-20-22-311-53-61743914523.30.6
167168.8Gardner WebbBSth0.49880.48691853-514-130-10-20-24-49-43-6163728880.82.0
168169.7DePaulBE0.49880.5495586-311-181-51-42-52-35-07-4209298188-18.3-0.5
169174.0Florida AtlanticCUSA0.49710.47862163-314-130-00-21-34-59-35-416529914925.00.6
170174.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.49690.46712583-415-120-20-10-22-512-35-61611841686.20.2
171176.3MonmouthMAAC0.49600.46582624-518-130-10-11-13-313-65-6257285184-7.7-0.2
172176.9Texas St.SB0.49560.48671863-313-130-10-11-23-410-53-3109134199-22.1-0.5
175178.4USC UpstateASun0.49450.43783296-417-100-00-11-23-313-48-5186324181-2.6-0.1
173178.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.49470.45353015-516-130-20-10-22-214-64-915971232-53.4-1.5
176179.3MissouriSEC0.49360.5742184-59-210-61-52-53-34-25-71711315227.30.8
174179.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.49460.46152742-515-120-00-10-22-413-43-6227156296-116.6-2.6
177180.9CornellIvy0.49330.49121755-414-150-10-21-44-38-58-7176240215-34.1-0.8
178181.2IPFWSum0.49310.45912824-315-110-00-10-23-511-45-5188308225-43.8-1.0
179181.8UMass LowellAE0.49290.45432965-415-130-10-00-14-611-46-611721310873.82.0
180182.0USCP120.49270.5486626-411-190-31-32-64-64-17-518019313448.01.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181182.6PortlandWCC0.49250.49631646-314-140-20-11-34-68-27-317733413943.61.2
182184.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49160.47512273-415-130-00-11-24-59-64-4224286280-95.1-2.1
183185.2ColgatePat0.49120.50061572-813-170-10-11-44-98-32-10258111303-117.8-3.0
184185.8College of CharlestonCAA0.49080.50781355-514-170-20-31-54-68-25-8184115216-30.2-0.8
185186.6DartmouthIvy0.49060.48631904-513-150-00-11-34-58-57-7195278220-33.4-0.8
186190.1ElonCAA0.48870.48411953-514-150-10-11-35-78-35-62102871828.10.2
187192.5AuburnSEC0.48720.5486634-511-190-31-42-74-54-16-619212415339.51.1
191193.1DenverSum0.48680.47502285-516-130-10-10-23-612-37-6194201210-16.9-0.4
190193.2Missouri St.MVC0.48690.52001043-511-170-30-21-42-48-44-622018717122.20.6
188193.4Saint Joseph'sA100.48690.51641105-412-180-30-21-44-47-46-615620012469.41.8
189193.6RiderMAAC0.48690.47012465-616-150-20-10-23-412-65-618524616231.60.8
192194.4Santa ClaraWCC0.48610.51601144-412-160-30-21-44-76-25-519023118014.40.4
193195.8TowsonCAA0.48580.46672606-315-150-00-11-44-610-28-416433916332.80.8
194196.0RadfordBSth0.48580.45093094-416-120-00-10-24-512-45-515422613165.01.5
195199.7UC IrvineBW0.48370.47882153-513-140-10-11-33-49-54-7232236218-18.3-0.4
196200.2Tennessee TechOVC0.48330.46752564-414-140-00-00-15-79-55-71681991919.20.2
197200.9Nebraska OmahaSum0.48320.44513194-515-130-00-01-14-611-66-6228343276-75.1-1.7
198202.3BryantNEC0.48260.47942142-514-150-00-10-24-69-73-81814817824.30.6
199202.5SienaMAAC0.48250.46892503-515-140-00-01-23-511-74-5221260241-38.5-0.9
203203.2PacificWCC0.48150.51421183-410-170-30-21-33-67-25-419827014855.21.5
201203.4OhioMAC0.48190.5336873-310-170-00-21-63-75-24-5230122256-52.6-1.2
200203.4Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48200.49411694-513-170-10-21-34-78-46-618319417528.40.7
202203.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.48180.46862523-413-130-10-11-24-59-43-516910117726.90.6
205204.1HoustonAmer0.48120.49551655-214-150-10-31-43-49-38-321134019212.10.3
204204.3Southern IllinoisMVC0.48140.47662226-415-150-20-21-42-311-47-5249349288-83.7-2.2
207206.3Florida St.ACC0.48010.5393785-512-190-60-21-44-66-17-624624819511.30.3
206206.3Boston UniversityPat0.48020.50231523-612-160-10-11-34-87-43-720151224-17.7-0.4
208207.2ChattanoogaSC0.47990.47132414-515-140-20-11-22-312-75-620813917235.20.8
209208.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.47920.48172052-412-150-00-11-23-68-63-4212229284-75.7-1.7
210209.0Morehead St.OVC0.47890.47322342-913-160-10-10-23-610-44-9254190254-45.0-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.5Oral RobertsSum0.47770.48012114-513-150-10-01-15-87-65-71971762038.50.2
213211.6Washington St.P120.47760.5511574-69-210-40-41-72-55-25-7214203226-14.4-0.5
212212.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.47770.45842854-615-150-10-11-12-512-75-7204215235-22.8-0.6
216213.1Youngstown St.Horz0.47650.48351985-612-160-00-21-43-69-36-618923819716.10.4
214213.3Virginia TechACC0.47680.5316905-412-190-70-31-32-48-28-5271332257-43.7-1.4
215213.4HartfordAE0.47650.46322685-514-140-00-10-24-69-46-6166151221-7.6-0.2
217215.1MarshallCUSA0.47600.51471162-611-180-20-21-43-67-43-8278153243-27.9-0.7
219216.0Mississippi St.SEC0.47530.52021034-412-180-20-32-54-66-27-523730317937.01.0
218216.6UABCUSA0.47530.52041023-611-190-20-21-44-67-44-822226312-95.4-2.5
220217.0East CarolinaAmer0.47510.51611133-511-180-20-22-54-66-35-6250237251-34.0-0.8
221219.5UNC AshevilleBSth0.47340.47002481-612-140-00-10-24-68-52-6290202291-71.5-1.6
222221.8Arkansas St.SB0.47240.47332332-413-150-00-11-33-69-63-5264316292-70.2-1.7
226222.4CampbellBSth0.47180.47132422-613-150-10-10-13-79-53-7215147264-41.6-1.0
224222.4Western CarolinaSC0.47190.46522662-713-160-00-21-42-411-63-8238208230-7.6-0.2
225222.7IdahoBSky0.47180.45462953-513-140-00-10-23-310-84-526031120517.70.4
223222.9DrexelCAA0.47210.51271232-611-170-10-21-55-84-23-72598118735.90.9
227224.0George MasonA100.47140.5536522-68-210-40-41-62-54-33-824018237-13.0-0.4
228224.6AlbanyAE0.47100.45303033-614-150-00-00-24-710-55-8225254252-27.4-0.7
229225.6HawaiiBW0.47040.46182716-315-120-00-11-33-510-47-420731421312.60.3
230226.1Texas SouthernSWAC0.47030.45183051-814-170-30-20-20-413-61-122237227-0.9-0.0
231228.7Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46920.46182724-715-160-00-10-24-610-75-6218312294-65.3-1.8
234229.1Ball St.MAC0.46850.51011282-510-180-10-11-53-66-44-6302301308-78.9-1.9
233229.6Alabama St.SWAC0.46850.39743512-416-90-10-10-10-115-62-5226146233-3.4-0.1
232229.8OaklandHorz0.46850.51741083-79-200-20-31-43-75-33-102054021910.80.3
235236.0Cal PolyBW0.46520.48222033-410-160-10-11-33-56-64-620021220036.00.8
236236.7NJITind0.46460.46662614-710-150-10-10-22-58-610-15233279258-21.3-0.5
237236.8McNeese St.Slnd0.46430.45372981-312-130-10-11-32-310-52-5179671165.83.6
238237.6Portland St.BSky0.46420.44823164-312-140-00-10-22-510-74-419933720136.60.9
239238.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46340.45432971-813-170-20-10-21-412-82-10247922362.60.1
240239.3PrincetonIvy0.46330.49941603-811-180-00-21-54-66-55-10270211290-50.7-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241240.6LipscombASun0.46240.46112762-611-150-10-00-32-69-54-8253230247-6.4-0.2
242243.3North TexasCUSA0.46110.50721403-410-180-10-31-62-57-44-623915821726.30.7
243244.9UC RiversideBW0.46000.46532643-412-160-10-11-32-310-75-7241317265-20.1-0.5
245245.3Weber St.BSky0.45980.47592252-511-160-10-20-32-59-53-624210623411.30.3
244245.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45990.45362994-513-140-00-10-23-610-54-7277294315-69.5-1.8
246247.4Delaware St.MEAC0.45900.42863394-614-150-00-10-21-412-84-918222520245.41.3
248247.7BrownIvy0.45890.50221534-610-190-00-21-43-75-66-9231189263-15.3-0.4
247247.7HamptonMEAC0.45900.42923384-615-140-00-10-21-413-74-9266288278-30.3-0.8
249248.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.45840.47172393-513-160-00-01-24-78-75-4213210287-38.4-1.0
251249.1MercerSC0.45790.47042453-512-170-10-30-31-410-63-82731632481.10.0
250249.2FairfieldMAAC0.45830.48481944-512-180-10-10-32-79-73-724512522821.20.6
253249.5South AlabamaSB0.45710.48252010-511-180-10-11-23-77-72-7309252321-71.5-1.7
254250.2UCFAmer0.45700.51611125-410-180-10-31-44-74-46-424826323812.20.4
252250.7Indiana St.MVC0.45730.51221243-610-190-30-31-51-47-54-7286255274-23.3-0.7
255252.2South DakotaSum0.45630.47012472-811-180-00-10-23-89-74-9288271275-22.8-0.6
256252.4WinthropBSth0.45550.43963262-512-140-00-00-13-69-72-62993222466.40.2
257254.7DuquesneA100.45500.51421192-59-190-10-21-62-66-44-6306315304-49.3-1.5
259255.1Southern MissCUSA0.45450.50481463-39-180-00-20-53-55-54-5203129266-10.9-0.3
261255.8LIU BrooklynNEC0.45400.46902492-612-170-00-10-22-89-73-8262137289-33.2-0.9
258255.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.45480.5377802-66-210-30-21-53-83-32-728290277-21.1-0.6
260256.5BucknellPat0.45430.48381974-611-190-10-00-43-107-44-823421419066.51.9
263258.2Sacramento St.BSky0.45270.45912813-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-523529124018.20.5
262259.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45310.43683325-714-170-20-10-11-513-85-1021721924910.20.3
265259.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45220.45892842-512-160-00-10-22-69-73-7229196128131.33.3
264259.4MilwaukeeHorz0.45260.48961793-610-180-20-21-24-75-64-8265220269-9.6-0.3
267260.8FordhamA100.45170.52341012-58-200-10-31-62-54-44-627419818377.82.4
266261.2Fresno St.MWC0.45210.50671423-79-200-10-31-52-65-43-8298275285-23.8-0.8
268261.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.45080.46692593-511-180-10-10-22-59-84-7173138100161.84.4
271263.4Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44950.44633183-511-160-10-00-21-410-94-921922123132.40.8
269263.5UTSACUSA0.45010.47562263-410-170-00-11-33-57-73-6289328307-43.5-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
272264.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.44930.48391963-411-170-00-20-33-78-53-5285204314-49.9-1.4
270264.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.44960.46782554-711-180-00-11-33-77-75-825130220955.21.6
273264.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.44900.49901623-39-190-00-21-53-76-44-62793192613.80.1
275265.9Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44850.46532653-611-160-00-00-12-98-64-726822423926.90.7
274265.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.44860.46432675-411-180-10-00-23-88-76-717523225015.90.4
277267.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.44700.46802540-59-160-10-10-41-48-60-72758273-5.3-0.1
276268.1Saint LouisA100.44790.50131566-410-200-20-31-52-57-56-62633092608.10.3
278268.9Northern KentuckyASun0.44680.48331992-69-180-20-10-32-77-63-1024310021256.91.6
281269.1UMKCWAC0.44640.44303222-712-170-00-00-13-59-104-11280268286-16.9-0.5
279269.4St. Francis NYNEC0.44650.45742882-712-180-00-10-12-810-83-9301241317-47.6-1.4
280269.9Appalachian St.SB0.44640.48122063-49-200-00-10-42-77-73-621624321455.91.7
285270.1LamarSlnd0.44550.47082441-69-170-10-10-41-48-72-62691852682.10.1
284270.6VMISC0.44550.46152753-610-170-10-20-31-49-71-7318183272-1.4-0.0
288270.7North DakotaBSky0.44500.47762182-69-190-10-10-21-68-82-81916719377.72.2
287270.8Houston BaptistSlnd0.44500.45113081-49-150-00-00-31-68-61-52933182700.80.0
282270.9BradleyMVC0.44580.50451473-69-200-20-21-42-56-54-7321313283-12.1-0.4
283271.1SeattleWAC0.44550.45063103-512-140-00-10-31-311-65-7256165309-37.9-1.1
286271.2Robert MorrisNEC0.44540.46262703-712-180-10-10-22-610-84-825518622942.21.3
289272.2PennIvy0.44490.48541923-59-190-10-21-42-66-65-9295300333-60.8-1.9
291273.2TroySB0.44310.45752872-411-160-00-10-33-68-73-4335351342-68.8-1.8
290273.4HowardMEAC0.44360.42313443-712-160-10-00-11-512-83-9281296306-32.6-0.9
294274.6WagnerNEC0.44220.47712201-69-190-00-10-32-68-82-827258295-20.4-0.5
292276.0NiagaraMAAC0.44250.49161741-69-200-10-20-32-77-82-72926420670.02.2
293277.2Miami OHMAC0.44250.51371203-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8311217319-41.8-1.5
295278.7Utah ValleyWAC0.44020.44203253-611-160-10-10-20-310-95-823625124533.71.0
297280.4New OrleansSlnd0.43870.44493200-49-150-00-10-41-48-60-62832424436.40.9
296281.9UNC GreensboroSC0.43890.46102772-711-170-10-11-22-58-82-832326126219.90.7
298284.6DrakeMVC0.43810.5289932-86-230-30-30-51-74-52-9313141301-16.4-0.7
299285.2NevadaMWC0.43720.50991291-77-210-20-31-52-64-52-8332247310-24.8-0.9
300287.4Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43540.43073370-911-180-10-10-30-311-90-1130855293-5.6-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301288.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43460.49241732-89-210-20-10-41-57-94-10291155300-11.7-0.4
303288.5ManhattanMAAC0.43370.45472942-711-180-00-00-32-89-72-7342344323-34.5-1.1
302288.7Grand CanyonWAC0.43440.44973144-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927620627117.70.6
304289.9RiceCUSA0.43360.50051581-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7329273350-60.1-2.0
305290.9FurmanSC0.43220.48212042-68-190-10-10-31-57-81-82965625931.91.1
308293.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.43080.46022784-710-190-10-20-32-78-75-1025224519895.53.6
306293.5Loyola MDPat0.43130.48711843-68-210-10-11-43-94-63-826119221182.53.3
307293.7IUPUISum0.43120.48781822-88-220-10-10-32-95-83-11294157313-19.3-0.7
309293.8Montana St.BSky0.43050.48641892-68-210-10-10-32-66-102-92678624251.81.8
310296.8Western IllinoisSum0.42760.47362313-58-170-00-00-22-95-73-6284228322-25.2-0.8
311297.8Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42740.42623422-812-190-10-10-31-511-103-10244126196101.83.9
313298.8Morgan St.MEAC0.42670.43333352-811-190-00-10-11-610-103-1129725628117.80.7
312298.8Jackson St.SWAC0.42730.42003471-913-180-00-10-21-612-92-11304172311-12.2-0.5
314299.3Idaho St.BSky0.42570.45153061-59-190-00-10-21-68-102-8320327326-26.7-0.9
315300.0Austin PeayOVC0.42520.46322692-79-190-00-10-22-87-93-9316267324-24.0-0.9
316305.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42220.49901632-96-230-10-20-42-104-62-1131416825352.52.5
317308.4SouthernSWAC0.41870.43423340-810-190-10-10-20-410-100-113103629711.40.5
319309.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.41680.44773172-88-200-10-10-10-78-91-1130510827930.41.2
318310.0StetsonASun0.41750.45902831-88-190-00-10-31-87-73-10319269334-24.0-1.0
320310.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.41670.45522922-710-210-00-10-22-68-123-10312265318-7.3-0.3
322316.3The CitadelSC0.41000.44923151-58-180-10-10-21-57-102-5322307343-26.7-1.2
323316.6Southern UtahBSky0.40980.45203041-57-200-00-10-21-66-112-73172813160.60.0
321316.7LongwoodBSth0.41100.45932802-88-210-00-10-22-96-92-931523530511.70.6
325320.9Savannah St.MEAC0.40540.44303232-98-200-20-10-21-66-102-102879726753.92.7
326321.1LibertyBSth0.40520.42843402-69-180-00-00-12-78-102-7351348351-29.9-1.5
324321.6NavyPat0.40680.48072082-86-230-10-10-42-104-72-9328262331-9.4-0.7
327322.4Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.40460.44323212-68-200-00-10-30-57-112-8337341329-6.6-0.4
328323.6SamfordSC0.40360.43743314-89-210-00-10-31-68-115-7307342332-8.4-0.5
329325.0MaineAE0.40170.46722571-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-11326182327-2.0-0.1
331326.9Tennessee St.OVC0.39920.47632230-85-240-10-00-21-94-121-12333207345-18.1-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330327.4San Jose St.MWC0.40040.51181250-92-260-10-30-51-91-70-10349239328-0.6-0.1
332327.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.39720.43223361-88-200-00-10-11-48-132-12343325348-20.1-1.3
333330.3MaristMAAC0.39540.46882511-96-240-00-00-31-94-131-9340292336-5.7-0.5
335330.8SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39310.45363000-76-190-00-00-11-85-101-8350329337-6.2-0.4
336331.1Alcorn St.SWAC0.39200.42083460-88-190-10-10-10-38-130-9324703256.10.4
337331.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.39140.40803490-68-180-00-00-20-48-110-833414829932.32.1
334331.4DelawareCAA0.39470.50041590-73-260-10-10-51-111-91-10344223341-9.6-0.9
338333.1Nicholls St.Slnd0.38910.45492930-55-200-10-00-30-54-100-732511628251.13.5
339333.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38850.40363502-810-190-00-00-11-69-123-10339335339-5.3-0.4
340335.2Coppin St.MEAC0.38720.47142400-94-240-00-10-40-84-110-123031430233.23.0
342335.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38600.43843280-117-220-10-10-20-56-131-12336167344-8.6-0.8
341335.5UMBCAE0.38630.45053111-96-230-00-10-21-95-112-11345293338-2.5-0.2
343337.1Abilene ChristianSlnd0.38310.44983131-55-220-00-10-40-55-122-733127732017.11.6
344337.4JacksonvilleASun0.38300.45353021-95-230-00-10-31-64-122-12341306340-2.6-0.3
345338.6Chicago St.WAC0.38130.46852530-103-250-00-10-40-73-120-143301363308.60.9
346339.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.38010.45053120-95-240-00-00-31-74-140-11346234347-8.0-0.8
347340.8PresbyterianBSth0.37780.47862170-72-250-10-00-21-92-120-9327823355.80.8
348342.3BinghamtonAE0.37360.46162730-103-260-00-10-31-113-110-13347244346-3.7-0.5
349347.5Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35540.40913481-96-250-00-10-20-66-171-1233826629849.511.9
350348.9Florida A&MMEAC0.34790.42523430-94-250-00-00-20-83-151-12348274349-0.1-0.0
351349.8Grambling St.SWAC0.34160.42783410-72-240-00-20-30-32-160-8300925594.843.2


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com