live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Nov 16, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
15.2DukeACC0.64590.5737253-025-44-23-14-110-14-011-014057-51.8-10.3
25.8KansasB120.64470.590132-025-63-25-27-17-12-012-121634-28.2-4.8
38.1VillanovaBE0.63640.5732262-024-53-24-16-17-14-010-146717.11.0
49.3XavierBE0.63390.585453-024-63-34-16-17-14-011-131563.30.4
59.5Wichita St.Amer0.63250.5701302-023-52-23-16-16-15-09-195839-29.5-3.7
610.2ArizonaP120.62990.5610483-024-52-14-16-110-14-010-1751129-118.8-14.3
811.4PurdueB100.62720.5615463-024-52-24-16-17-15-010-12520682-70.6-7.8
711.6North CarolinaACC0.62730.5765152-022-73-33-15-17-14-010-11011842-30.4-3.2
914.3FloridaSEC0.62160.5670372-023-63-24-16-16-14-010-12387180-165.7-14.7
1015.1KentuckySEC0.62040.595212-122-93-44-27-27-12-010-355125-109.9-9.7
1115.6CincinnatiAmer0.61790.5466673-024-52-33-15-15-08-09-239262218-202.4-20.1
1218.2VirginiaACC0.61490.582172-021-83-33-25-26-14-09-21254216-197.8-14.8
1319.5NevadaMWC0.61080.5497633-025-71-02-16-311-25-011-362062-42.5-3.5
1620.4GonzagaWCC0.60900.52531042-025-41-12-13-18-111-09-21985224-203.6-18.1
1521.2Texas A&MSEC0.60920.5806111-021-93-43-25-25-14-09-31125183.20.2
1421.2LouisvilleACC0.60950.5809101-022-93-52-24-18-15-011-2827813.20.9
1721.9MarylandB100.60790.5709283-021-82-33-25-27-15-010-11314567-45.1-3.0
1822.4Michigan St.B100.60620.5549561-123-62-33-14-17-17-09-244201147-124.6-9.1
1923.8USCP120.60480.5643432-021-81-23-24-29-14-09-22236215-191.2-11.9
2024.6Miami FLACC0.60320.5545573-021-72-32-23-18-15-09-121204109-84.4-5.6
2225.3Saint Mary'sWCC0.60110.51211313-025-41-11-13-19-112-010-120182191-165.7-12.8
2126.4Rhode IslandA100.60120.5607501-120-81-22-25-27-25-07-3164223-196.6-11.2
2329.4Seton HallBE0.59790.5757163-020-102-43-25-26-15-010-2155545-15.6-0.9
2430.0ArkansasSEC0.59720.5692342-021-82-33-26-27-13-09-2245086-56.0-2.9
2530.9BaylorB120.59530.5803122-019-103-43-34-23-16-09-22783179-148.1-7.7
2631.8Notre DameACC0.59340.5444743-021-72-42-13-17-17-09-15132473-41.2-2.3
2733.9AlabamaSEC0.59090.594522-019-122-53-35-36-22-09-4143231.91.6
2834.0SMUAmer0.59040.5403813-022-72-32-14-15-110-09-23819899-65.0-3.5
2936.7CreightonBE0.58810.5643423-020-92-42-24-26-15-010-12615056-19.3-0.9
3037.2WisconsinB100.58730.5692352-120-102-52-24-27-15-09-356110122-84.8-4.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3239.4MinnesotaB100.58460.5441753-022-92-32-24-27-17-011-242234930.41.5
3140.2OklahomaB120.58500.585542-017-112-53-34-23-14-08-22963259-218.8-9.1
3341.0SyracuseACC0.58390.581482-020-112-52-24-28-23-010-318994-53.0-2.3
3441.0TexasB120.58380.5746202-019-102-33-35-35-14-09-230125157-116.0-4.8
3543.1UCLAP120.58170.5667392-020-102-42-24-27-25-09-33129160-116.9-4.9
3643.9UtahP120.58100.5542583-019-91-32-24-26-25-08-23519551-7.1-0.3
3745.6TCUB120.57930.584563-018-122-43-34-35-14-010-217382223.60.9
3847.4Florida St.ACC0.57680.5530591-020-102-52-23-27-27-010-2462641136.41.5
4047.5West VirginiaB120.57650.5618451-119-103-43-33-23-16-09-293253288-240.5-9.6
3948.3OregonP120.57650.5384872-021-81-32-24-27-27-010-155279190-141.7-5.5
4148.5DavidsonA100.57600.52771002-019-81-31-13-26-28-16-33282138-89.5-3.6
4248.5BYUWCC0.57500.52321132-023-81-21-12-19-210-110-333105197-148.5-6.5
4353.7ProvidenceBE0.57120.5739232-118-122-52-34-36-25-09-34070530.70.0
4455.8MichiganB100.56960.5610493-018-111-52-23-25-26-09-259225173-117.2-4.1
4559.6MissouriSEC0.56720.5710272-116-122-42-33-36-23-08-234974019.60.6
4661.5Oklahoma St.B120.56510.5661403-018-122-53-43-23-16-010-261180175-113.5-3.7
4762.5ConnecticutAmer0.56410.5737242-016-131-51-23-35-26-17-448142537.51.3
4864.6Middle TennesseeCUSA0.56210.52711011-118-90-00-13-37-38-15-4418258-193.4-6.4
5068.8St. John'sBE0.55930.5769143-015-132-52-23-35-24-08-24973680.80.0
5169.0Missouri St.MVC0.55910.51781232-019-90-01-14-38-37-18-253199174-105.0-3.2
4969.4AuburnSEC0.55930.5668382-016-131-32-34-46-24-09-228662445.41.3
5271.3Illinois St.MVC0.55830.5458701-116-110-11-24-47-44-15-445182645.31.3
5472.3Texas TechB120.55660.5494652-019-112-43-33-23-18-010-284298158-85.7-2.5
5373.0ColoradoP120.55670.5650412-016-121-41-33-36-25-07-357111207-134.0-3.9
5673.7UCFAmer0.55530.5421782-017-111-41-23-24-28-18-2672573835.71.1
5573.7BelmontOVC0.55550.48431972-122-80-01-12-17-313-28-4471202350.71.7
5874.6Kansas St.B120.55490.5496642-018-121-43-44-34-16-010-279297211-136.4-4.0
5774.8TempleAmer0.55510.5747191-014-141-51-23-35-34-16-463261658.81.7
5975.1Virginia TechACC0.55480.5592522-117-132-62-22-24-28-09-3123302231-155.9-4.8
6076.0MonmouthMAAC0.55420.5289982-118-120-20-12-37-48-26-63664630.00.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6176.8Arizona St.P120.55420.5512612-018-111-42-24-36-25-08-397156206-129.2-3.7
6277.2Boise St.MWC0.55350.5388852-017-100-21-23-37-36-16-362128106-28.8-0.8
6378.0ButlerBE0.55270.580992-115-142-62-33-34-25-07-47046172-94.0-2.7
6478.0HoustonAmer0.55250.5374891-017-111-41-22-24-29-17-3102252300-222.0-6.6
6578.4IonaMAAC0.55210.51091320-218-100-10-12-26-410-25-55837113-34.6-1.0
6678.5UABCUSA0.55190.47032522-021-60-00-12-16-213-17-2130338159-80.5-2.4
6879.5VermontAE0.55100.47412350-120-80-10-12-26-313-27-574171254-174.5-5.6
6780.1South CarolinaSEC0.55130.5568552-115-131-42-34-46-23-07-385167267-186.9-5.3
7081.0VCUA100.55040.51851212-020-91-21-23-27-39-18-3103104183-102.0-2.8
6981.2MississippiSEC0.55050.5751172-016-141-42-44-46-23-08-437193645.21.2
7182.3St. BonaventureA100.54980.5457720-116-121-21-23-35-36-25-59253333-250.7-6.9
7383.5VanderbiltSEC0.54880.5750181-116-142-52-34-44-24-07-58831229-145.5-4.1
7584.3NorthwesternB100.54850.5611472-116-131-42-43-34-25-08-3122237196-111.7-3.1
7484.5ClemsonACC0.54860.5770133-014-141-61-22-36-34-08-252921965.51.9
7684.9ValparaisoMVC0.54810.52471071-017-120-11-23-47-46-17-475154253-168.1-4.5
7285.1BuffaloMAC0.54880.52571032-017-110-20-12-28-47-26-460523154.11.4
7785.7Northern IowaMVC0.54790.5396841-116-100-21-24-36-35-14-414544121-35.3-0.9
7886.5IllinoisB100.54670.5457712-018-121-31-32-37-36-110-266216107-20.5-0.6
8186.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54630.46462722-021-70-11-11-14-116-210-4501523254.61.6
8087.2GeorgiaSEC0.54650.5526602-015-131-32-34-45-34-07-371194139-51.8-1.4
7987.8Kent St.MAC0.54660.50231481-020-100-10-12-28-59-28-495222302-214.2-5.8
8288.1Ohio St.B100.54580.5503623-017-121-41-23-36-26-09-2901774345.11.2
8389.5DaytonA100.54500.5424771-116-120-21-22-36-46-16-410043198-108.5-2.7
8491.4MarquetteBE0.54390.5742221-114-141-62-33-33-25-07-3116109195-103.6-2.7
8592.6TennesseeSEC0.54340.5698322-014-141-51-33-45-33-06-478571775.61.9
8693.4Fresno St.MWC0.54320.5346921-016-120-21-23-37-46-17-396157298-204.6-5.0
8893.8Penn St.B100.54230.5397833-018-121-31-22-37-37-110-2722824944.81.2
8994.1OaklandHorz0.54200.48591932-021-100-20-11-17-313-38-5731013757.11.6
8794.2San Diego St.MWC0.54270.5291970-116-101-21-12-36-36-15-3143183155-60.8-1.5
9095.9IowaB100.54130.5301953-017-121-32-33-35-37-09-2131335176-80.1-2.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9196.7UC IrvineBW0.54050.51221301-116-130-10-11-35-410-35-85412104-7.3-0.2
9299.0South Dakota St.Sum0.53950.48811862-017-80-20-11-14-211-26-565695049.01.2
96100.3AlbanyAE0.53810.47882162-021-90-10-12-25-314-39-568144204-103.7-2.8
93100.3Georgia SouthernSB0.53900.48801872-018-90-00-01-27-410-36-364254210-109.7-2.7
94100.9College of CharlestonCAA0.53820.48871831-118-90-10-01-16-311-26-389231137-36.1-0.9
95101.2Georgia St.SB0.53810.48971811-018-100-00-11-26-410-37-391238299-197.8-4.9
98101.7UT ArlingtonSB0.53740.49771601-019-100-10-22-25-312-37-4112189497.72.4
97101.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.53740.52001171-018-120-11-23-46-48-18-482173248-146.2-3.6
99103.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.53660.52281152-017-120-11-23-46-47-17-480161144-40.8-1.0
100105.6ToledoMAC0.53540.51271291-018-120-10-12-28-57-37-5871403102.62.5
103105.6Georgia TechACC0.53460.5384860-118-131-51-33-35-28-010-3144312140-34.4-0.9
101106.4Saint Joseph'sA100.53530.52331121-116-120-21-23-36-46-25-51111021033.40.1
102107.1HofstraCAA0.53480.50181513-016-110-10-02-26-58-36-343937037.10.9
104107.7La SalleA100.53440.5406803-015-140-31-22-36-46-26-569331052.70.1
106108.9BucknellPat0.53350.49941540-318-130-20-11-25-412-35-810723112-3.1-0.1
107108.9StanfordP120.53340.5698312-114-151-61-22-26-34-16-513434286-177.1-4.5
105110.2HarvardIvy0.53350.50291461-115-110-20-11-25-49-36-681451298.22.3
108110.4Colorado St.MWC0.53300.5413792-016-140-21-33-46-46-17-59859208-97.6-2.3
109113.0YaleIvy0.53120.49891561-216-130-10-22-34-410-27-88686185-72.0-1.7
110114.5MercerSC0.53060.46202851-119-80-00-11-24-313-25-4125185212-97.5-2.5
112114.8New Mexico St.WAC0.53010.49511670-116-90-10-11-25-49-25-69921149-34.2-0.8
111115.2New MexicoMWC0.53040.5277991-016-130-21-23-46-47-17-4115100265-149.8-3.4
113118.3Louisiana TechCUSA0.52790.50261471-017-100-10-21-24-311-36-3117149243-124.7-2.8
114121.0UNLVMWC0.52660.49771592-019-111-21-13-35-310-19-3171331163-42.0-1.0
116123.5WyomingMWC0.52520.51441252-016-120-11-12-46-47-17-31202882796.52.2
115123.9TowsonCAA0.52550.49321720-115-110-00-02-36-58-34-4127200311-187.1-3.9
117124.0GeorgetownBE0.52470.52191162-017-121-52-32-32-110-110-1151351188-64.0-1.5
118125.3Old DominionCUSA0.52420.47082482-119-90-00-11-25-312-37-3118272266-140.7-3.4
119127.4UNC AshevilleBSth0.52290.47392380-118-110-10-11-24-413-35-612494334-206.6-5.0
120127.6Saint LouisA100.52290.51661242-017-120-11-23-45-48-28-31141554483.61.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121128.6WashingtonP120.52210.5478662-116-141-41-32-35-36-18-41087420108.62.6
122129.2Northern KentuckyHorz0.52210.47712191-016-100-10-01-15-411-45-37612315114.22.4
125129.9MemphisAmer0.52110.5449731-116-150-41-32-45-38-28-513265181-51.1-1.2
123130.2Utah St.MWC0.52210.5375882-115-150-21-22-45-56-26-6129811282.20.0
124130.7Eastern MichiganMAC0.52200.50631411-015-120-00-11-37-66-25-41101607654.71.1
126132.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.52030.46432731-120-90-00-11-25-414-38-3150310170-37.8-0.9
127133.1San FranciscoWCC0.51970.52351111-116-140-31-21-25-410-37-5152130292-158.9-3.8
128134.2IndianaB100.51910.5744211-212-181-61-42-43-35-17-517488257-122.8-3.1
130135.5FairfieldMAAC0.51860.49051752-017-120-10-11-25-411-47-4831318352.51.1
129135.5LSUSEC0.51870.5635442-013-151-51-43-44-34-07-310113610827.50.6
131135.6EvansvilleMVC0.51850.51911193-015-130-11-23-44-47-17-3104207202-66.4-1.4
133136.6North Carolina St.ACC0.51800.5345934-016-131-61-22-23-29-09-2153337150-13.4-0.3
132136.7NortheasternCAA0.51830.51321271-015-140-00-12-56-67-25-610949245-108.3-2.3
134137.1Mississippi St.SEC0.51760.5459681-015-151-41-33-45-36-19-3106197228-90.9-2.1
136139.0UC DavisBW0.51680.47172432-016-110-10-01-14-411-46-594211182-43.0-0.9
135139.5PrincetonIvy0.51690.50161520-214-120-10-21-34-38-25-713760222-82.5-1.8
137141.2Long Beach St.BW0.51570.49961531-015-130-20-11-35-48-35-71134214127.22.8
138142.5Indiana St.MVC0.51500.51871201-113-130-01-23-56-44-25-31572595983.51.7
139143.9FurmanSC0.51430.47432341-018-110-10-01-25-412-36-512199241-97.1-2.2
140144.4South DakotaSum0.51400.45133031-118-90-10-11-13-214-48-513331421123.42.9
141144.8TulsaAmer0.51370.5291962-114-140-31-22-44-37-26-4168214200-55.2-1.3
143146.8Wake ForestACC0.51260.5708290-211-171-51-32-34-44-16-4203188312-165.2-4.0
142146.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51290.50731400-114-130-00-12-35-67-34-513578162-15.1-0.3
144148.0Boston CollegeACC0.51200.5401823-014-161-61-42-33-28-19-3165334186-38.0-0.9
145149.1San DiegoWCC0.51170.50741392-015-140-30-21-23-411-37-4141275214-64.9-1.5
147149.7LamarSlnd0.51130.45183022-017-90-00-00-14-313-55-37713541108.72.3
146150.0AkronMAC0.51140.50231501-015-120-10-12-36-57-26-3181280238-88.0-1.7
148150.9ElonCAA0.51060.49511660-215-140-10-01-25-69-45-6136190274-123.1-2.5
149151.6Utah ValleyWAC0.51020.47922141-216-110-20-11-13-412-47-611911412625.60.5
150153.3Grand CanyonWAC0.50910.44293192-021-80-10-11-23-216-211-416731814211.30.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151156.6RiderMAAC0.50810.48821852-116-130-10-11-33-411-46-51391596690.62.0
152156.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.50770.43293291-019-80-00-00-13-316-35-4186309309-152.3-3.5
153158.4Iowa St.B120.50630.5694331-211-171-51-52-52-24-06-4202246290-131.6-3.3
154159.8Oregon St.P120.50590.5573541-111-170-41-32-44-44-16-419618710059.81.4
155159.8LibertyBSth0.50590.45492951-017-80-00-01-14-412-35-2128176242-82.2-1.7
156160.5George WashingtonA100.50530.5367901-114-160-21-32-44-47-26-615941284-123.5-2.8
157160.9Weber St.BSky0.50520.44953061-017-80-00-11-14-312-44-31261135155.93.2
158163.8OhioMAC0.50400.50511421-114-130-10-12-35-57-25-4219278219-55.2-1.1
161164.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50310.48042110-115-120-00-11-34-410-45-419128161103.92.1
159165.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.50350.47102461-115-130-00-11-24-511-54-61056247118.32.5
160165.3NebraskaB100.50330.5586532-112-170-51-42-53-35-17-41801788481.32.0
162167.8Stony BrookAE0.50180.49331710-215-140-20-21-33-411-45-8173727295.82.1
163168.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.50160.49711631-014-130-00-11-36-76-25-4198295304-135.3-2.7
164169.1UTEPCUSA0.50110.48651910-115-110-00-11-34-410-34-41901079574.11.5
165169.8MilwaukeeHorz0.50100.47392371-017-120-00-11-24-411-56-514019211059.81.3
166170.0East Tennessee St.SC0.50060.47062501-117-120-20-01-24-412-45-6155143256-86.0-1.9
168170.5MontanaBSky0.50020.45592931-117-110-00-11-24-412-45-516317952118.52.6
167171.0MarshallCUSA0.50050.50781372-115-150-10-11-34-59-46-6175153227-56.0-1.2
169172.4Western KentuckyCUSA0.49950.52391090-113-150-10-21-44-57-44-6182391666.40.1
170172.7BradleyMVC0.49940.51431262-013-150-01-22-64-56-26-416227030142.73.0
172174.4CaliforniaP120.49840.5458692-112-171-51-31-33-36-27-4200224315-140.6-3.4
171175.3WinthropBSth0.49840.46622640-214-120-00-10-33-511-32-6205133313-137.7-3.0
173176.5Western MichiganMAC0.49770.50461440-213-140-00-12-46-76-24-5234251283-106.5-2.1
174177.1UMBCAE0.49740.47572270-214-120-20-11-22-311-34-616116812057.11.2
175179.0TulaneAmer0.49630.52531052-014-160-40-31-43-49-28-4156210251-72.0-1.6
176180.2George MasonA100.49570.50791362-115-150-10-22-44-58-37-5169226234-53.8-1.2
177180.4NiagaraMAAC0.49570.48092091-116-140-00-22-33-410-57-514822012753.41.1
180180.5Tennessee St.OVC0.49510.49051740-113-140-20-11-22-310-54-51387664116.52.4
179180.7Murray St.OVC0.49530.46722610-116-110-00-11-23-412-44-5223208338-157.3-3.3
181181.0North Dakota St.Sum0.49500.49451700-212-140-20-11-23-58-45-716068303-122.0-2.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
182182.2Texas SouthernSWAC0.49470.46012870-315-160-30-30-30-215-41-12185211765.21.7
178182.3ColumbiaIvy0.49540.47702201-113-130-10-11-33-59-36-614921710280.31.6
183182.6Ball St.MAC0.49440.51911180-213-170-10-22-55-76-25-7212147272-89.4-1.9
184183.5Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.49410.50231490-211-130-20-11-32-57-33-71541113152.51.0
185184.6IdahoBSky0.49310.45432980-115-110-10-00-14-411-54-416616477107.62.2
188185.7PittsburghACC0.49280.5681361-210-201-71-41-33-45-27-5238239270-84.3-2.3
186185.9LehighPat0.49280.47602261-115-130-10-10-23-511-54-6177126263-77.1-1.7
187186.1LipscombASun0.49280.48002121-113-130-20-21-32-310-54-81477929157.13.1
189186.5Santa ClaraWCC0.49220.51311280-113-140-40-31-23-39-35-424626779107.52.4
191187.3PennIvy0.49160.49021771-213-140-10-11-44-58-36-718413210186.31.8
192188.3UNC GreensboroSC0.49120.46302780-116-120-10-01-24-611-45-519420316127.30.6
190188.7TroySB0.49160.49491681-214-150-10-11-24-69-55-622221317810.70.2
193189.5RutgersB100.49060.5347912-014-160-51-31-43-38-19-3228329235-45.5-1.1
195190.2Central MichiganMAC0.49020.49041760-113-130-00-11-34-67-35-322034013456.21.1
194191.6Bowling GreenMAC0.49030.50741381-113-160-00-11-45-86-46-5187245295-103.4-2.2
196192.0St. Francis PANEC0.48980.45642910-215-120-20-10-01-214-73-615848308-116.0-2.4
201192.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.48840.49471691-212-140-10-11-23-59-44-414614112468.31.3
197192.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.48930.47232422-116-130-10-11-24-511-45-6217223318-125.6-2.7
199192.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.48910.46512681-115-130-00-11-23-511-55-517932616923.90.5
198193.1MassachusettsA100.48910.52571021-113-180-21-32-64-56-26-721816514647.11.1
200194.5North DakotaBSky0.48840.48471962-113-150-10-10-14-69-54-61649185109.52.3
202195.5ManhattanMAAC0.48780.47982131-014-130-10-11-33-59-45-4199256244-48.5-1.0
203198.2DePaulBE0.48630.5604511-19-191-71-41-52-34-16-4243271236-37.8-1.0
204200.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.48590.45213001-216-130-00-00-23-612-65-6201305230-29.9-0.6
205201.0Wright St.Horz0.48480.48801880-214-150-00-11-34-69-54-72169596105.02.2
206202.2Washington St.P120.48430.5322942-011-170-31-31-54-55-16-417026016537.20.9
207202.6DelawareCAA0.48360.48282031-114-150-00-11-35-68-46-520928516834.60.8
208204.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.48280.47392361-113-140-10-11-24-59-55-6193218317-112.5-2.3
209205.5Fort WayneSum0.48250.47072491-113-130-10-00-23-59-56-618823318718.50.4
210207.7Holy CrossPat0.48140.47522292-014-140-10-11-23-59-65-514211913194.74.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212208.6Coastal CarolinaSB0.48100.48991790-112-140-00-11-34-67-53-522514254154.63.1
211208.9Miami OHMAC0.48110.49561652-012-170-00-11-44-86-46-518331335173.93.8
213209.1Gardner WebbBSth0.48080.48581940-312-160-20-10-22-59-52-81782898111.12.4
214210.6USC UpstateASun0.48000.46642630-213-140-10-20-32-410-65-819518180130.62.7
215210.9HawaiiBW0.47940.48052103-013-120-10-11-24-49-45-417210658152.93.2
217212.4Air ForceMWC0.47880.49851572-012-160-10-21-53-67-36-41973302039.40.2
218212.5RadfordBSth0.47860.46472701-113-150-10-10-32-610-54-617617428184.54.1
216213.2Boston UniversityPat0.47890.47052510-213-150-10-10-23-510-63-7221186294-80.8-1.8
219214.1SamfordSC0.47820.46212841-214-150-10-11-33-611-44-722424319222.10.5
220214.4PepperdineWCC0.47810.52301140-110-180-40-30-33-57-44-623017515361.41.4
221215.0New HampshireAE0.47760.47862170-113-150-10-11-33-510-45-722916914867.01.5
222215.1ColgatePat0.47750.46422741-114-140-00-10-23-511-64-620623655160.13.3
223216.0Arkansas St.SB0.47700.48361981-212-170-10-01-33-78-65-6236292278-62.0-1.3
224218.4CharlotteCUSA0.47580.47372400-114-140-00-11-33-59-55-525028313682.41.8
225218.6RichmondA100.47530.5440760-28-200-10-22-54-83-33-725247332-113.4-2.7
227220.5Montana St.BSky0.47460.44893071-115-130-00-00-13-611-64-6214263264-43.5-0.9
226221.3PacificWCC0.47470.52481060-210-200-30-31-33-76-44-8253158246-24.7-0.6
228222.3UTSACUSA0.47360.47902151-011-150-00-10-23-68-53-5192235252-29.7-0.6
230222.9Little RockSB0.47300.48152050-113-160-00-01-33-88-65-6237296331-108.1-2.3
229223.0North FloridaASun0.47310.48312010-411-170-20-20-32-49-54-1021196232-9.0-0.2
231224.4NavyPat0.47250.45742901-215-150-10-10-13-511-76-620728420123.40.5
232224.6Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47240.46932560-213-150-10-11-33-59-54-623329121311.60.2
233225.1SienaMAAC0.47200.50811350-211-200-10-21-53-77-54-920835247-21.9-0.5
234226.8High PointBSth0.47140.44053231-114-120-00-00-23-511-54-425133333193.84.2
235228.5Portland St.BSky0.47050.47512311-011-150-10-00-13-68-62-6189163305-76.5-1.7
236229.6New OrleansSlnd0.46960.46322770-211-150-00-10-31-410-71-72041071158.63.4
237233.1Loyola MDPat0.46780.46562650-213-150-00-10-22-610-73-724524119934.10.7
238233.5William & MaryCAA0.46730.50481431-19-180-00-11-43-85-43-6210121289-55.5-1.2
239235.1Green BayHorz0.46710.47612240-112-160-00-11-33-69-54-6254202346-110.9-2.4
241235.7DetroitHorz0.46610.49281730-111-170-00-11-33-67-63-723261261-25.3-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240236.0Texas St.SB0.46630.47082470-213-160-00-01-33-69-75-6291345310-74.0-1.7
243237.1FordhamA100.46570.51031331-112-180-10-31-53-67-36-628429019443.11.1
242237.3ArmyPat0.46590.45472970-112-150-00-00-13-69-74-524430774163.33.5
244239.7Morehead St.OVC0.46420.48931821-210-170-10-10-33-67-63-621316690149.73.3
245240.6Southern MissCUSA0.46350.49751610-19-180-00-21-42-66-53-626027315684.62.0
246240.9Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46330.45482960-212-150-10-10-11-311-82-72397169171.93.8
247242.8CampbellBSth0.46230.44793100-113-140-00-00-23-610-64-527730475167.83.7
248243.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46210.44513130-212-130-10-10-12-310-71-6290230250-7.0-0.2
251243.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.46150.46392750-011-140-00-10-12-59-62-525990350-106.9-2.3
250243.9WoffordSC0.46180.48222040-211-170-10-10-33-78-52-826164314-70.1-1.7
249244.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.46190.50451451-19-190-30-20-32-67-55-525632189155.63.8
255245.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.46000.49011780-28-160-10-11-23-65-52-622777132113.82.4
254246.6WagnerNEC0.46020.43523261-114-130-10-10-11-213-84-521524448198.64.5
253246.9East CarolinaAmer0.46030.49741621-112-170-30-21-42-58-37-4303348285-38.1-1.0
252247.0CanisiusMAAC0.46030.46922570-213-180-00-11-43-79-65-826529387160.03.9
256248.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.45890.46242810-211-160-00-10-22-68-73-6307317319-70.6-1.6
258249.6South AlabamaSB0.45800.46842590-212-160-00-11-33-68-65-5293344119130.63.0
257250.2HowardMEAC0.45870.43063330-313-160-10-00-11-512-83-10247139323-72.8-1.8
259252.0ChattanoogaSC0.45680.47512320-211-170-00-00-33-88-63-724011288164.03.9
261253.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45600.44353160-212-160-00-10-21-411-82-8242170269-15.2-0.4
262253.9UC RiversideBW0.45600.47492331-111-170-00-11-33-76-74-824122717182.92.0
260254.4Tennessee TechOVC0.45620.48601920-110-180-00-10-33-77-63-727320965189.44.4
263255.5Oral RobertsSum0.45540.52361100-26-200-10-21-52-74-51-11226722134.50.8
264257.3DuquesneA100.45350.47522302-015-160-10-21-43-610-39-427835020948.31.3
265258.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.45270.48331990-310-180-20-10-22-67-74-10264172324-65.2-1.5
268259.3Sacramento St.BSky0.45210.48092080-110-180-10-10-23-87-73-7257138154105.32.6
267259.7James MadisonCAA0.45230.48981800-110-180-10-11-33-85-54-6270268301-41.3-1.0
266260.1Appalachian St.SB0.45250.48282020-19-180-00-11-32-76-73-6267261340-79.9-1.9
269260.9UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.45150.47102452-111-180-10-10-32-59-76-9249212271-10.1-0.3
270261.6DenverSum0.45090.47132440-210-160-00-10-32-67-64-8268248273-11.4-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271266.1Houston BaptistSlnd0.44880.46902580-110-170-10-20-31-48-81-82553222640.11.0
272266.7DrexelCAA0.44800.48142060-110-180-00-11-43-86-54-6300316345-78.3-2.0
273268.8PortlandWCC0.44730.50951340-18-180-40-20-22-55-63-5330325349-80.2-2.3
274269.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44640.43383280-313-160-00-10-11-412-103-828528923336.30.9
276269.3Cal PolyBW0.44620.48831840-28-180-00-11-32-85-52-8269122296-26.7-0.7
277269.7Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44610.46972530-210-180-00-10-32-78-83-7266191291-21.3-0.5
278270.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.44600.47612250-210-180-00-00-23-97-72-8298205152118.03.0
275270.9DrakeMVC0.44620.51811220-07-210-10-31-72-93-23-7301277344-73.1-2.1
279271.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44470.45512940-111-160-00-00-22-78-74-7275327342-70.8-1.7
281272.3Florida AtlanticCUSA0.44410.48322000-18-170-00-10-32-56-62-529512926210.30.3
282272.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.44390.47802180-29-180-00-10-42-67-63-1027112418983.42.1
280273.9San Jose St.MWC0.44430.52421080-26-220-20-21-52-92-42-8318258280-6.1-0.2
283274.4CornellIvy0.44280.46942551-29-180-00-10-32-77-75-826228718490.42.3
284275.2North Carolina CentralMEAC0.44250.40843460-314-130-00-00-10-413-83-8306266279-3.8-0.1
285277.6BrownIvy0.44100.45872881-010-160-10-10-32-58-66-624832310267.67.1
286278.8DartmouthIvy0.44050.47372410-18-180-00-11-32-76-74-8276274343-64.2-1.7
288281.3UMass LowellAE0.43830.44883081-112-160-00-10-21-510-86-6310332325-43.7-1.2
291281.4Nicholls St.Slnd0.43810.43083321-111-150-10-00-01-410-93-52312427274.47.3
289281.7BinghamtonAE0.43820.45622921-210-180-00-10-32-69-84-830532221764.71.8
287282.1North TexasCUSA0.43830.46812601-111-180-00-10-32-78-64-729726525527.10.8
292282.3IUPUIHorz0.43800.47632220-18-190-20-10-22-66-82-727421560222.35.9
290282.5RiceCUSA0.43820.48551950-28-200-00-10-42-76-72-8289115339-56.5-1.7
294284.6HamptonMEAC0.43580.41673420-213-140-20-10-10-312-92-9304184320-35.4-1.0
293286.0Cleveland St.Horz0.43590.48671900-29-210-20-10-32-86-83-9280134297-11.0-0.3
296286.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.43480.43163310-112-160-00-10-21-511-92-1028210863223.36.3
295287.0South FloridaAmer0.43550.49901552-19-220-30-30-42-77-56-732934222067.02.6
297287.7UMKCWAC0.43430.48771890-37-190-10-10-32-85-62-10288103111176.75.2
299288.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.43370.45013050-211-190-10-10-11-510-103-9299247133155.44.4
298288.4LIU BrooklynNEC0.43370.41713410-214-160-00-00-01-413-125-732334127612.40.4
300288.9Jackson St.SWAC0.43350.41393430-112-160-10-10-21-511-81-926384330-41.1-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
302290.2SeattleWAC0.43130.45392990-211-160-10-10-22-79-65-832629993197.25.6
303291.2Western IllinoisSum0.43070.44773111-09-140-00-00-22-57-64-530933627714.20.4
301292.2Savannah St.MEAC0.43140.47692210-28-200-40-20-20-37-100-122351306-13.8-0.4
307292.5Robert MorrisNEC0.43010.44393150-311-200-00-00-21-510-123-10315250116176.55.3
304292.7Northern ArizonaBSky0.43060.47632230-17-210-10-10-22-86-92-8272146151141.74.2
306292.9JacksonvilleASun0.43050.46222830-29-180-00-10-31-67-84-9287232143149.94.4
305293.2Austin PeayOVC0.43050.48092070-29-190-10-10-32-76-72-83021272876.20.2
308293.2SouthernSWAC0.43010.42233380-312-170-20-10-20-411-82-928156193100.23.1
309294.8Youngstown St.Horz0.42940.46492690-19-200-00-10-32-87-83-8316301351-56.2-1.7
310295.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42860.44463140-110-170-00-00-11-58-102-7325276335-39.7-1.1
311299.6Western CarolinaSC0.42570.49621640-26-220-20-10-31-85-81-92581381218.67.6
312300.1BryantNEC0.42490.44723120-210-210-10-10-21-59-123-10312221130170.15.5
313301.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42370.43513270-310-200-10-20-21-69-91-1128324115186.96.2
314302.1Sacred HeartNEC0.42340.42833350-212-170-00-10-21-311-113-833731992210.16.8
315303.2NJITASun0.42240.46242801-19-180-10-10-31-48-94-9313228321-17.8-0.6
317304.5MaristMAAC0.42150.46712620-28-190-00-10-22-76-92-7338300341-36.5-1.2
318304.8Morgan St.MEAC0.42100.40153491-111-160-00-00-10-311-112-9279240114190.86.4
316304.8AmericanPat0.42150.46032860-28-210-00-10-21-67-113-829628629311.80.4
319305.5StetsonASun0.42040.43233301-110-170-00-00-21-59-105-832733928223.50.8
322305.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.41970.46232820-27-180-10-20-21-46-91-628630118187.86.0
321306.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.41980.46542670-07-180-20-10-11-56-101-629480347-41.0-1.4
320306.3Southern UtahBSky0.42020.47542281-27-200-10-10-22-95-82-731113724957.32.0
323307.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41930.47382390-27-220-10-10-31-66-103-832025528126.71.0
325310.7Charleston SouthernBSth0.41630.46322760-27-190-00-10-21-76-82-6314196135175.76.4
326311.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41560.40073501-112-160-00-00-20-311-113-9317320167144.15.2
324311.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.41640.45193011-19-190-00-10-32-77-94-6340343322-10.8-0.4
327314.2St. Francis NYNEC0.41280.44323180-29-190-00-10-11-38-142-83312193077.20.3
328316.9The CitadelSC0.41050.46302790-27-190-00-10-31-65-91-73362493160.90.0
329318.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.40890.42393370-310-190-10-10-20-49-112-1132219326850.02.0
330319.1FIUCUSA0.40850.46472710-17-210-00-10-31-76-103-7345315336-16.9-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331319.3LafayettePat0.40820.45862890-27-210-10-00-11-76-122-8344306328-8.7-0.4
332319.4Idaho St.BSky0.40720.44063220-28-190-00-10-11-67-112-734131127544.41.8
333320.5Grambling St.SWAC0.40580.40483480-211-190-00-00-20-410-132-10319229141179.57.6
334322.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40380.43013340-18-190-10-10-20-38-121-1032114878244.510.3
338324.7McNeese St.Slnd0.40130.43983250-16-190-00-00-11-56-121-6333269348-23.3-1.0
336324.8Coppin St.MEAC0.40220.44113210-38-230-10-20-30-48-141-1432411726064.83.1
335325.0LongwoodBSth0.40310.46962540-26-220-00-00-21-105-101-9335162337-12.0-0.6
337325.2Alabama St.SWAC0.40140.42753360-39-190-10-10-20-58-101-92921723986.24.1
340327.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.39850.40783470-39-180-10-10-20-49-90-9334116205122.25.9
341328.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.39710.41313440-310-210-00-00-11-410-153-1034834923791.14.5
339329.1Chicago St.WAC0.39910.49831580-33-250-20-20-41-92-91-133287597232.114.6
342330.4VMISC0.39560.44813090-27-200-00-10-21-76-102-7343328164166.49.2
343333.8MaineAE0.39130.46542660-24-240-00-10-41-84-111-11347303145188.812.1
344334.2HartfordAE0.39040.44343171-17-220-00-00-31-77-124-9349346225109.27.0
345337.8Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38470.42183390-38-240-10-10-10-68-151-1334215124097.87.5
346337.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38460.44023240-36-250-00-20-30-66-140-1330822177160.812.0
347338.2Florida A&MMEAC0.38360.44153200-36-250-10-10-20-75-151-1433289123215.216.5
349338.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38010.37963510-210-190-00-00-10-210-162-1135034732711.90.8
348339.1PresbyterianBSth0.38280.45093040-25-220-00-00-21-84-112-734630891248.120.2
350341.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.37740.42153400-27-230-10-20-20-57-141-113399832912.31.1
351347.1Delaware St.MEAC0.36010.40913450-36-230-00-00-00-66-171-1235129432621.13.3


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com