live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 22, 2018.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.5VirginiaACC0.66760.58691525-227-34-05-16-19-03-011-144010.50.6
21.9VillanovaBE0.66530.58771425-327-44-06-25-110-03-013-02453-1.1-1.6
33.0XavierBE0.65870.5928725-427-42-25-28-19-02-012-163421.01.3
44.2DukeACC0.65110.59051123-525-63-24-07-28-13-012-111440.20.2
55.1North CarolinaACC0.64480.6096122-723-85-43-27-15-13-011-28950.10.1
66.9KansasB120.63750.6033222-624-74-26-28-34-02-011-215177-0.1-0.0
77.7AuburnSEC0.63500.56823824-426-53-13-37-29-04-012-1137061.70.7
89.0Rhode IslandA100.63100.55495722-424-51-31-13-111-08-08-311481.00.3
99.7CincinnatiAmer0.62950.55396124-426-51-33-08-16-08-011-23017012-2.3-1.0
1010.2PurdueB100.62770.56044925-526-52-33-05-110-15-011-2268391.20.7
1112.4Wichita St.Amer0.62350.57093322-524-62-12-29-36-05-010-2276514-1.6-0.5
1212.9NevadaMWC0.62260.55406024-526-61-22-07-110-37-011-3101513-0.1-0.0
1413.2ClemsonACC0.62180.58411720-722-82-33-35-26-06-011-11254103.20.8
1313.2Michigan St.B100.62190.53359027-328-32-31-05-012-08-012-13123115-1.8-1.1
1513.4TennesseeSEC0.62140.58192320-722-83-31-27-29-02-010-21418112.40.7
1617.1ArizonaP120.61360.55755422-624-71-16-15-48-15-010-3368018-0.9-0.3
1717.2Texas TechB120.61330.56134722-624-74-23-25-24-17-012-134241170.20.1
1817.3KentuckySEC0.61300.5994419-921-101-45-37-36-02-011-235161.30.3
1919.0Ohio St.B100.60920.56963623-724-73-31-24-210-06-09-47143190.00.0
2021.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.60470.53928121-523-60-11-23-110-19-07-420623-1.3-0.3
2122.2TCUB120.60400.59151019-921-102-42-37-26-13-012-1547202.20.4
2223.2HoustonAmer0.60160.52999521-623-72-23-04-25-29-110-262256212.20.5
2324.7MichiganB100.59920.54417722-722-82-42-03-29-17-010-268264240.70.2
2426.2Seton HallBE0.59840.58361919-920-111-54-14-27-14-111-21868224.20.6
2527.5St. BonaventureA100.59680.53478621-623-71-22-03-17-49-010-21952261.50.2
2628.5West VirginiaB120.59540.56314420-822-93-54-16-12-17-011-283239253.50.5
2729.4GonzagaWCC0.59350.506513326-427-41-12-14-27-113-010-34612539-9.6-2.5
2830.5Loyola ChicagoMVC0.59260.507813023-524-50-00-16-112-26-19-25627232-1.5-0.3
3031.4Miami FLACC0.59220.56104819-821-91-43-23-25-28-011-121160292.40.3
2931.7Texas A&MSEC0.59250.5925817-1119-123-44-34-54-04-011-2716274.70.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3133.3ButlerBE0.59060.58062519-1020-112-53-35-26-15-010-34596312.30.3
3334.7USCP120.58930.56284520-921-101-12-46-37-05-19-4545035-0.3-0.0
3235.0ArkansasSEC0.58940.57153219-920-112-53-26-45-05-011-22390341.00.1
3435.8Saint Mary'sWCC0.58790.497515926-427-40-01-12-112-211-011-24317536-0.2-0.0
3637.8Arizona St.P120.58640.54986919-821-92-23-14-58-15-012-09101307.80.9
3538.3AlabamaSEC0.58640.5954517-1118-133-32-27-45-31-09-442262810.31.0
3738.8BuffaloMAC0.58560.53478719-821-90-20-22-112-27-17-53813371.80.2
3840.6OklahomaB120.58450.58391816-1118-125-32-44-33-14-010-225104337.60.7
3941.2Florida St.ACC0.58390.54637419-821-93-33-23-34-29-011-17631844-2.8-0.3
4042.4LouisvilleACC0.58310.58252118-1019-120-71-34-17-06-010-3377249-6.6-0.6
4142.6Boise St.MWC0.58260.516311821-622-70-21-04-27-310-09-25722045-2.4-0.3
4343.4CreightonBE0.58200.56204618-920-101-53-34-26-06-010-265248412.40.2
4243.5MissouriSEC0.58210.57613017-1018-123-32-36-35-23-09-33274403.50.3
4443.6UtahP120.58170.55465918-919-100-23-45-27-15-08-390193421.60.2
4544.3SyracuseACC0.58150.58591618-1019-121-63-13-28-24-011-2162246-1.7-0.2
4644.6Louisiana LafayetteSB0.58090.479421222-425-40-10-00-110-215-08-351156386.61.0
4745.4UCLAP120.58060.55386219-920-102-22-34-46-15-09-3508250-4.6-0.5
4846.1TempleAmer0.57990.58931215-1217-133-60-05-35-43-18-42212433.10.3
4948.9Virginia TechACC0.57780.55166620-821-103-41-44-15-18-011-2120325471.90.2
5049.3ProvidenceBE0.57740.58332017-1118-132-52-36-24-34-19-47989481.30.1
5150.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.57700.53438920-721-91-30-03-18-39-17-5672562-12.0-1.2
5250.5New Mexico St.WAC0.57650.493317020-522-50-01-22-17-212-010-33310555-4.5-0.8
5353.5BaylorB120.57440.58232216-1117-132-62-34-24-16-09-36312658-4.5-0.4
5453.9VermontAE0.57400.487718922-624-60-10-11-38-115-19-541107512.90.6
5554.2Kansas St.B120.57350.54797220-821-101-52-35-16-06-011-2131320522.20.2
5655.5MarylandB100.57290.56564118-1119-110-71-22-38-17-010-23916359-3.5-0.4
5755.9South Dakota St.Sum0.57260.495016520-621-60-21-01-25-213-08-5759861-5.1-0.9
5856.4TexasB120.57190.58861316-1217-142-64-41-37-03-010-34067533.40.4
5958.3FloridaSEC0.57060.57613117-1119-124-44-35-41-25-09-4664264-5.7-0.6
6059.4MarquetteBE0.57000.57832616-1118-121-63-34-25-15-09-394131572.40.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6161.6NebraskaB100.56810.525110321-921-101-41-12-410-18-09-4157277601.60.2
6261.7North Carolina St.ACC0.56780.55256519-921-104-41-23-24-19-010-3148271565.70.5
6362.5NortheasternCAA0.56750.523610519-920-90-20-03-38-39-16-5472165-2.5-0.4
6464.7WashingtonP120.56580.55715518-1020-112-02-44-57-25-010-328365410.70.9
6565.7Mississippi St.SEC0.56500.52949619-821-91-43-24-25-28-011-158303632.70.2
6666.1Murray St.OVC0.56490.481920421-522-50-20-02-16-213-06-39211370-3.9-0.8
6866.3RiderMAAC0.56440.497515821-822-80-10-02-18-513-27-5535167-0.7-0.1
6766.4College of CharlestonCAA0.56460.479920921-622-60-20-03-06-213-27-312928769-2.6-0.5
6969.7UCFAmer0.56240.55316317-1018-120-52-23-36-17-09-369116663.70.3
7071.5Old DominionCUSA0.56090.476822022-524-60-10-21-110-214-09-38925572-0.5-0.1
7171.8Notre DameACC0.56070.56674015-1217-131-62-23-35-26-09-370155683.80.5
7272.5OregonP120.56020.54587618-1020-110-23-54-26-27-010-312421883-10.5-0.9
7373.2Utah ValleyWAC0.55960.506313517-818-90-21-11-16-311-28-5495575-1.8-0.2
7473.7East Tennessee St.SC0.55920.482820221-622-70-20-01-18-113-27-49615781-7.3-0.8
7575.2South CarolinaSEC0.55830.58162414-1315-152-50-44-54-14-08-47386732.20.2
7676.0GeorgiaSEC0.55760.56554215-1216-141-43-25-54-13-19-359178715.00.4
7778.7BYUWCC0.55570.501814522-822-90-01-42-07-312-111-23514382-3.3-0.4
7879.8Penn St.B100.55510.54008019-1120-112-30-23-36-49-010-312826187-7.2-1.0
7981.1BucknellPat0.55380.481620521-922-90-10-12-25-315-26-711173783.10.7
8081.8LSUSEC0.55380.55925116-1117-132-34-22-53-25-09-3101154765.80.5
8182.6BelmontOVC0.55270.483619922-823-81-11-12-16-514-08-59310884-1.4-0.2
8283.5ToledoMAC0.55240.508512818-920-100-10-20-210-310-17-5136169803.50.3
8384.3TulsaAmer0.55200.53319117-1018-120-41-13-36-28-17-5154173795.30.5
8484.8St. John'sBE0.55170.5924913-1414-162-41-63-25-33-010-21744777.80.7
8584.9South DakotaSum0.55160.473023120-720-70-20-11-15-114-29-48222186-1.1-0.3
8884.9UNC GreensboroSC0.55120.473723019-721-70-10-03-15-313-26-41502407410.91.5
8685.6Illinois St.MVC0.55150.55925015-1315-140-10-35-49-51-15-6818850.60.1
8785.6Fresno St.MWC0.55120.512112418-819-90-20-22-17-310-08-314428692-6.4-0.7
9086.1DavidsonA100.55060.522810716-1018-111-51-10-06-310-35-6163127100-13.9-1.2
8986.6StanfordP120.55070.57682815-1316-150-53-35-25-33-16-71623588-1.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9187.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.54980.52639918-1118-120-10-32-311-46-17-514214990-2.6-0.4
9291.1Ball St.MAC0.54750.497815618-920-100-00-23-27-610-08-4118254892.10.2
9391.8SMUAmer0.54690.55276416-1218-133-52-21-33-49-010-35210693-1.2-0.1
9492.3ColoradoP120.54630.56494315-1316-141-23-43-35-44-18-4100120911.30.1
9597.9WyomingMWC0.54260.53588316-1117-131-22-12-37-56-28-4616399-1.1-0.1
9698.6MontanaBSky0.54260.461826818-721-70-00-00-36-415-05-5175235102-3.4-0.3
9798.9WagnerNEC0.54230.456728219-720-70-10-10-14-116-35-499151980.90.1
9899.3Oklahoma St.B120.54180.55665616-1217-143-53-52-33-07-010-3145288945.30.5
99101.5FurmanSC0.54050.495316418-919-100-20-11-46-212-17-46066116-14.5-1.9
100101.7San Diego St.MWC0.53980.518811115-1017-111-21-22-34-49-17-3119188108-6.3-0.5
101102.5BradleyMVC0.53940.503714018-1119-110-01-12-39-76-09-3114291957.50.8
102103.2Boston CollegeACC0.53920.54827116-1217-141-42-51-55-08-010-31212941012.20.2
103103.2William & MaryCAA0.53900.517211615-1115-120-20-02-54-39-25-42931106-2.8-0.3
105104.7IndianaB100.53800.55036816-1316-140-70-23-18-45-07-5204201107-2.3-0.3
104104.8UC DavisBW0.53820.488218716-918-100-10-00-28-610-17-54464977.80.7
106105.8Wright St.Horz0.53740.472323219-820-90-00-11-26-213-46-58861109-3.2-0.4
107108.7ConnecticutAmer0.53530.57722713-1514-170-90-33-44-17-07-6116301053.70.3
108109.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53490.453429818-720-80-00-21-07-212-39-3782809613.41.2
110110.0HofstraCAA0.53460.509312617-1118-110-30-03-35-210-36-5108791100.00.0
109110.1MarshallCUSA0.53470.491417618-919-111-20-11-33-314-18-4141282115-4.9-0.5
112110.6LipscombASun0.53420.474522717-917-90-20-12-13-212-37-52427112-1.4-0.4
111110.7UNC AshevilleBSth0.53440.483320018-1019-100-20-11-15-413-35-610448114-3.3-0.5
113111.4Northern KentuckyHorz0.53390.470823918-820-80-00-11-32-417-05-511557118-6.6-0.8
114112.4MississippiSEC0.53310.5938612-1613-181-63-54-73-03-07-6137381039.40.9
115112.5CanisiusMAAC0.53290.471023820-1021-100-10-11-17-513-26-7201249113-0.5-0.1
116114.7MemphisAmer0.53190.518811217-1119-121-31-22-46-19-19-418126810410.71.0
117117.5VanderbiltSEC0.53000.6022311-1712-191-82-54-63-02-06-7139101116.50.5
118117.6UNLVMWC0.52990.496316219-920-111-21-21-36-511-011-2102299124-6.4-0.5
119119.4Iowa St.B120.52890.57033413-1414-161-63-42-52-05-19-31262191172.40.2
120120.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52810.423233819-521-60-00-11-14-117-27-287298137-16.3-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.2WisconsinB100.52750.56963714-1614-171-60-32-45-26-17-61791001192.20.3
122123.0DaytonA100.52680.55905213-1414-161-30-12-26-64-46-67431221.00.1
123124.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.52610.489517915-1017-110-00-02-34-711-26-41131871204.40.3
124126.2IonaMAAC0.52480.497615716-1217-130-10-11-24-712-36-6106102131-4.8-0.5
125127.5IdahoBSky0.52400.461426917-819-90-10-01-08-511-36-41352361234.50.5
126127.6VCUA100.52400.522110916-1218-130-30-22-25-410-18-5109391252.60.2
127129.3UC IrvineBW0.52280.523710413-1514-160-10-40-54-410-23-111467133-3.7-0.3
129129.6AlbanyAE0.52240.455128919-921-90-00-10-26-315-311-3802891218.61.1
128130.3Missouri St.MVC0.52240.517411516-1316-140-02-12-57-56-29-3861941264.30.5
130132.8PennIvy0.52120.455328818-721-80-10-10-15-416-29-61592591284.80.3
131133.6Georgia St.SB0.52060.453529618-820-90-01-01-05-414-57-4174326140-6.4-0.5
132135.1GeorgetownBE0.51970.53029415-1116-131-51-53-32-19-010-11803511350.10.0
133135.2WoffordSC0.51950.487319116-1017-111-10-01-53-312-26-4951191305.20.4
134136.8HarvardIvy0.51890.487818813-1115-130-10-10-23-513-44-10217991324.80.3
137138.7San FranciscoWCC0.51750.518111316-1317-131-01-40-36-38-47-513262141-2.3-0.2
135138.7UT ArlingtonSB0.51780.490117816-1217-130-00-31-14-513-48-4103206149-10.3-0.7
136138.9Saint LouisA100.51760.53149314-1316-140-31-23-15-57-36-615246139-0.1-0.0
138141.6Wake ForestACC0.51630.56973511-1712-180-72-32-43-35-17-516816512714.61.2
139142.1Utah St.MWC0.51620.525710013-1415-150-21-33-34-67-26-61771611366.10.4
140142.4RadfordBSth0.51580.471623516-1217-120-20-10-13-514-45-61071111348.41.2
141143.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51510.487219313-1315-140-00-12-34-810-23-81877512914.31.1
142144.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.51490.498715213-1114-130-00-22-27-66-35-41612961440.00.0
143144.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.51490.464425615-917-100-10-10-11-716-02-716419147-2.3-0.2
144144.7EvansvilleMVC0.51450.52789714-1415-140-10-22-48-74-08-348117145-0.3-0.0
145145.9TowsonCAA0.51390.489018416-1216-130-00-02-45-59-48-355207154-8.1-0.9
146147.2Portland St.BSky0.51310.481220714-1116-120-10-11-24-511-27-3722051425.20.4
147147.4Tennessee TechOVC0.51310.482520316-1216-130-10-00-56-510-26-51472531461.40.1
148148.1DrakeMVC0.51300.504713915-1416-140-00-23-58-64-15-726831513810.10.9
149148.1WinthropBSth0.51260.463526115-1016-100-10-00-23-313-43-5171138151-2.9-0.3
150149.3Weber St.BSky0.51230.466425216-817-100-00-00-46-312-24-5220172163-13.7-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151150.5NorthwesternB100.51190.53279214-1514-161-50-31-47-35-18-41843011482.50.2
152151.6MinnesotaB100.51080.53528415-1515-160-51-22-35-57-011-277252155-3.4-0.6
155152.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51040.466225318-1018-100-40-01-03-214-46-816992153-0.7-0.2
153152.4Northern IowaMVC0.51070.54687312-1513-150-30-23-47-72-06-485331502.40.2
154153.0UMBCAE0.51050.462426416-1017-110-10-10-34-314-36-6194284158-5.0-0.4
156155.2Miami OHMAC0.50940.514212012-1413-160-11-21-15-106-25-613313614312.20.7
158155.9San DiegoWCC0.50910.492117416-1216-130-01-42-23-411-38-3122243162-6.1-0.6
157155.9Western MichiganMAC0.50920.501414614-1215-140-00-21-66-58-16-5221297165-9.1-0.6
159156.3SeattleWAC0.50890.479221316-1017-110-01-22-32-412-38-6178227159-2.7-0.2
160158.8TulaneAmer0.50760.53468813-1414-161-41-21-43-48-29-3641591562.80.2
161159.6Georgia SouthernSB0.50720.469424215-1117-120-00-10-25-412-57-41102421572.60.2
163159.8New MexicoMWC0.50670.525310113-1415-150-30-42-45-38-24-825394168-8.2-0.5
162160.1Cal St. FullertonBW0.50680.475422513-1015-110-00-22-34-49-35-51431401528.10.5
164162.1St. Francis PANEC0.50570.462326515-1116-110-10-20-11-214-54-5127121167-4.9-0.4
165163.6Austin PeayOVC0.50510.489018315-1215-130-10-00-43-712-03-7263134166-2.4-0.2
166165.4Oregon St.P120.50410.53508513-1414-160-21-53-54-36-18-4222313173-7.6-0.4
167166.8NiagaraMAAC0.50390.467924518-1219-121-00-10-25-613-47-61832511615.80.8
168167.2Georgia TechACC0.50330.56823911-1712-190-71-32-42-46-17-62251761607.20.5
169169.1Tennessee St.OVC0.50250.500214713-1313-140-30-01-34-38-53-613023174-4.9-0.6
170170.5PacificWCC0.50200.519011013-1614-160-10-51-33-510-24-8208871691.50.2
171170.6IowaB100.50180.54967012-1813-180-50-31-66-46-19-41121921646.60.7
172171.6UABCUSA0.50100.487219215-1116-130-30-20-23-513-17-4209307192-20.4-1.3
173174.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.50010.458527818-1119-110-00-13-23-512-38-4205343178-4.0-0.5
174174.8ElonCAA0.49940.508112912-1512-160-10-01-55-46-66-5911281722.80.3
175175.3Louisiana TechCUSA0.49930.498515314-1315-140-20-30-34-411-37-4123130182-6.7-0.5
176175.5Kent St.MAC0.49870.517211712-1514-160-11-21-35-87-25-72141481714.50.3
177177.0IllinoisB100.49820.55036712-1713-170-51-22-34-86-09-3981831761.00.1
178177.3DePaulBE0.49780.55475810-1711-190-61-52-52-36-07-52453101752.30.2
179179.6MercerSC0.49680.479721114-1315-140-10-11-62-413-35-6195211191-11.4-1.1
182180.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.49630.444231515-1017-110-00-10-24-413-43-7231230184-3.7-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180180.5Bowling GreenMAC0.49650.488518614-1215-140-00-20-46-48-57-41662951773.50.3
181180.5Indiana St.MVC0.49630.54247910-1710-180-11-11-76-72-23-7232761791.50.2
184181.9Washington St.P120.49540.54607511-1612-180-11-51-84-46-18-410510917011.90.9
183182.4OaklandHorz0.49540.467224817-1318-130-20-10-25-313-58-584112183-0.6-0.1
185184.2MonmouthMAAC0.49440.525310211-1812-180-20-12-12-107-44-812511187-2.8-0.3
187184.2Fort WayneSum0.49400.468624414-1214-130-10-01-41-313-47-6172276188-3.8-0.3
188184.3George WashingtonA100.49360.522910613-1514-170-31-20-55-48-37-6149601804.30.3
186184.5ValparaisoMVC0.49410.512712112-1612-170-10-23-36-94-17-4117260189-4.5-0.5
189184.9Central MichiganMAC0.49340.489118213-1214-140-10-11-34-710-28-297312193-8.1-0.6
190188.8Sam Houston St.Slnd0.49110.462526314-1115-120-00-00-42-513-32-7262110199-10.2-0.8
191189.2Grand CanyonWAC0.49100.449630717-1019-100-00-31-32-216-210-5227333197-7.8-0.7
193191.0NavyPat0.48980.439732118-1119-110-00-10-20-519-48-41513141901.00.2
192191.2Saint Joseph'sA100.48990.512212312-1513-171-20-11-33-78-35-7199118196-4.8-0.4
194191.7UTSACUSA0.48940.471723413-1214-140-10-11-53-110-54-62242231865.70.4
195193.4RichmondA100.48850.5427789-1811-190-30-22-35-94-32-102442418112.41.1
196195.2ColgatePat0.48740.453130015-1216-120-00-10-33-213-64-62542661950.20.0
197195.5La SalleA100.48690.52649811-1713-180-41-10-25-77-46-7153581941.50.1
198198.6Long Beach St.BW0.48500.499715011-1612-180-20-11-34-88-34-1018656202-3.4-0.3
199199.4HartfordAE0.48450.453929416-1117-120-00-01-33-313-66-7267323200-0.6-0.1
200200.9FairfieldMAAC0.48350.492317213-1513-160-20-00-44-59-55-6140591982.90.4
201201.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.48340.483120111-1213-130-10-20-14-39-63-524115018516.31.1
202201.7Robert MorrisNEC0.48310.466625115-1515-160-10-11-20-514-66-7134139205-3.3-0.6
203203.1Savannah St.MEAC0.48210.487519011-1512-170-50-20-20-312-51-1216712012.10.1
204205.7CaliforniaP120.48020.5586538-198-220-30-72-55-42-26-6196129210-4.3-0.6
205207.0George MasonA100.47950.497915513-1514-170-30-10-36-69-36-72472152034.00.4
206207.8LehighPat0.47890.457528014-1315-130-10-11-11-513-54-62282222061.80.3
208208.4PittsburghACC0.47850.5765298-218-230-60-70-62-46-08-51561332071.40.3
207208.7HawaiiBW0.47860.474822614-1015-120-10-23-14-48-47-4170135215-6.3-0.5
209209.7North TexasCUSA0.47790.475522412-1414-150-10-10-34-510-55-61881662090.70.1
210210.7RutgersB100.47710.53588212-1712-181-70-20-43-48-19-32373322046.70.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211212.5TroySB0.47620.492317311-1512-170-10-21-02-79-64-7239209218-5.5-0.4
213213.3YaleIvy0.47570.466624911-1413-160-10-20-11-913-36-9197217214-0.7-0.0
212213.5OhioMAC0.47580.509112711-1512-170-11-21-45-96-16-5200195219-5.5-0.4
215215.8Western CarolinaSC0.47380.500114810-1711-180-30-00-62-69-33-8202772087.80.9
214215.9New OrleansSlnd0.47390.458127911-1312-140-10-10-21-811-20-828629230-14.1-1.1
216216.7PrincetonIvy0.47360.478221610-1412-160-11-20-12-59-67-71381242133.70.2
217217.0UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.47340.479221412-1513-160-00-20-42-711-37-82162472116.00.8
218217.4ManhattanMAAC0.47300.471123613-1514-160-10-00-35-79-55-72342372125.40.6
220219.6Colorado St.MWC0.47150.522410810-1810-200-20-41-54-66-26-61821442172.60.3
219219.6LamarSlnd0.47170.437632514-1115-120-00-01-12-412-64-5185208238-18.4-1.9
221220.0Stony BrookAE0.47130.496916111-1711-180-10-10-43-58-54-921085220-0.0-0.0
223220.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.47050.431433315-1315-140-00-00-33-212-94-7279342223-2.2-0.2
222221.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.47070.51551198-169-170-10-30-44-44-54-8158492210.30.0
224222.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47000.447131115-1216-130-10-10-22-614-33-8326290227-4.5-0.4
225227.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.46740.407634415-1116-130-10-10-11-215-75-8189199231-3.5-0.3
226227.5North Dakota St.Sum0.46730.484319810-1611-160-10-11-41-59-56-71651852252.50.3
227228.6Grambling St.SWAC0.46620.403734614-1217-130-00-00-12-515-73-919816821612.61.0
228229.1MassachusettsA100.46610.507513211-1712-190-30-02-35-96-47-62112032263.10.2
229230.3Southern MissCUSA0.46510.49911519-1610-170-20-20-42-68-33-62261642228.30.6
231231.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.46450.502514210-1611-180-01-11-44-95-45-6259309236-4.7-0.3
230231.8MilwaukeeHorz0.46470.453429914-1414-150-01-01-13-69-86-5155204233-1.2-0.2
232232.1North FloridaASun0.46410.486719510-1810-180-20-20-42-58-53-11192372293.10.8
233232.8North DakotaBSky0.46390.51231228-179-190-00-20-42-97-43-7173532284.80.3
234234.1Texas St.SB0.46280.463626012-1513-160-00-20-04-79-85-6273345240-5.9-0.5
236235.2DrexelCAA0.46220.493916811-1812-181-00-13-32-95-65-722921322411.21.3
235235.5Boston UniversityPat0.46240.459127512-1512-160-00-11-22-510-73-7246226242-6.5-0.8
237236.6DuquesneA100.46180.466225415-1316-150-20-10-25-511-59-42713482324.60.4
239236.9LibertyBSth0.46120.449930414-1315-130-10-00-15-510-66-4203258243-6.1-0.8
240237.4AkronMAC0.46120.494816611-1512-170-00-30-55-87-26-5258317239-1.6-0.1
242237.5DenverSum0.46060.470224111-1412-140-00-02-40-610-44-8301292245-7.5-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
238237.6Coastal CarolinaSB0.46130.484919710-1611-170-00-10-33-68-73-7213692370.60.0
241238.2UMKCWAC0.46080.50531378-189-190-10-31-51-67-53-11250115241-2.8-0.3
243239.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.46010.461327012-1613-160-00-01-41-711-44-72382442345.00.7
244242.0Oral RobertsSum0.45900.50571368-198-190-00-10-83-55-53-1022391244-2.0-0.6
245246.6Gardner WebbBSth0.45540.477021910-1710-180-10-10-31-69-72-823588248-1.4-0.2
247247.2Santa ClaraWCC0.45520.497016010-1710-180-10-50-23-77-32-8340281252-4.8-1.3
246247.6CornellIvy0.45540.46662509-1311-150-10-11-10-69-65-719119723512.60.7
248248.5High PointBSth0.45460.456328511-1411-150-10-00-13-58-82-6275238249-0.5-0.0
250250.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.45380.436132612-1514-160-00-10-32-712-55-72553392500.00.0
249250.3South AlabamaSB0.45400.464225812-1413-160-10-20-03-610-85-6282344265-14.7-1.1
251250.5DelawareCAA0.45360.485019610-1811-180-00-10-82-79-25-62402792473.50.5
252253.3Montana St.BSky0.45190.460427211-1512-170-00-00-21-1011-55-6207262258-4.7-0.4
253254.7Air ForceMWC0.45110.49351698-169-180-10-20-42-87-34-62833042468.70.7
254256.5HamptonMEAC0.45040.432833112-1413-150-20-00-20-313-72-1027095260-3.5-0.3
255256.8Abilene ChristianSlnd0.45020.441431911-1312-150-10-00-02-810-64-5212269259-2.2-0.2
256257.0Idaho St.BSky0.44960.447930911-1312-150-00-10-32-89-43-6296327261-4.0-0.3
257257.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.44940.45912748-1911-200-40-20-40-211-70-132362267-9.2-0.6
258259.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44830.438032310-1713-180-10-20-31-312-92-1119320263-3.8-0.3
260260.0LIU BrooklynNEC0.44770.442531713-1614-160-00-01-13-511-114-82953112519.01.0
259260.1ArmyPat0.44780.436032712-1513-150-00-00-22-511-86-41603302555.10.5
261262.2NJITASun0.44710.452930112-1512-150-10-20-11-511-65-82481622548.22.3
263265.1St. Francis NYNEC0.44520.453629511-1611-170-00-01-21-510-101-9342270271-5.9-0.6
262265.1Appalachian St.SB0.44530.462326610-1711-180-10-11-02-68-103-82882652569.10.7
264265.5CampbellBSth0.44520.433332912-1413-140-00-00-12-611-73-63293462623.50.5
265265.6PortlandWCC0.44460.51091257-207-210-10-50-22-96-33-726915225312.61.2
266267.8Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44390.47652218-189-180-00-00-71-68-52-73062632643.80.5
267268.2Florida AtlanticCUSA0.44350.47582238-169-180-20-10-32-67-73-6242198272-3.8-0.3
269268.6BrownIvy0.44290.441931810-1211-150-10-00-11-511-86-6233321269-0.4-0.0
270269.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44260.47232339-199-200-00-00-41-118-54-72302452681.40.2
268269.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44320.46212679-1710-170-10-11-21-48-101-832217925712.41.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271269.5East CarolinaAmer0.44250.494616710-1610-190-40-10-52-58-46-5335350281-11.5-1.3
272271.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.44200.441232010-1512-160-10-10-10-611-81-11285103275-4.0-0.3
273271.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.44160.428133513-1714-170-00-00-31-412-107-62063402701.70.2
274271.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.44130.50641347-207-210-20-20-52-55-73-11264932665.80.7
275272.5Loyola MarymountWCC0.44110.48941808-198-200-00-51-21-96-44-6260300276-3.5-0.5
277273.6Southern UtahBSky0.44010.48122068-169-180-10-10-13-116-44-5176196274-0.4-0.0
278273.9FordhamA100.44000.49981499-1810-200-20-20-32-108-35-72742322730.90.1
276274.0UNC WilmingtonCAA0.44010.50751317-207-210-00-10-84-53-71-9320147280-6.0-0.5
279274.6Holy CrossPat0.43970.456328411-1711-180-10-00-21-610-93-8297267283-8.4-1.1
280275.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.43910.447031210-1510-160-00-11-21-58-82-6289308282-6.4-0.9
282276.9The CitadelSC0.43840.48911817-188-190-10-11-43-43-92-7265153277-0.1-0.0
281277.0James MadisonCAA0.43860.49591638-208-210-00-00-73-85-63-9293229279-2.0-0.2
283278.5SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43770.47062409-199-200-10-10-52-77-64-72572852780.50.1
284280.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.43590.452330210-1711-180-10-00-22-99-66-5219334284-3.1-0.3
285281.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.43520.377435114-1216-130-00-00-10-316-104-9304341288-6.9-0.5
286286.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.43180.456428310-1811-190-00-00-32-79-83-93323292851.80.2
287287.3SienaMAAC0.43130.49801548-228-230-10-10-43-95-84-9190412861.30.2
288289.7JacksonvilleASun0.42990.446531410-1710-170-10-10-11-69-92-113172462872.71.1
289291.2SouthernSWAC0.42860.398534712-1414-150-10-10-20-513-82-93021902892.20.2
290292.1SamfordSC0.42830.48681947-208-210-10-20-60-98-32-9305191299-6.9-0.7
291293.2Arkansas St.SB0.42710.46432578-189-200-10-20-12-77-103-8321336303-9.8-1.0
293294.4ColumbiaIvy0.42600.46782466-168-180-10-00-21-77-82-10307233304-9.6-0.6
292294.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.42620.47392288-198-190-10-20-11-97-62-11277712904.71.7
294295.4FIUCUSA0.42570.45852779-1610-180-10-10-43-47-93-73273222923.40.3
295295.5South FloridaAmer0.42530.49141778-208-230-40-10-61-67-57-63093492914.50.7
297297.6IUPUIHorz0.42370.46122718-178-190-10-10-21-57-91-8323181302-4.4-0.5
296297.7Morehead St.OVC0.42370.50211445-216-210-10-10-42-84-72-7215322934.70.8
299299.7Western IllinoisSum0.42220.45542878-148-150-00-10-41-37-75-42493372954.70.6
298300.0UTEPCUSA0.42230.47642228-189-200-10-30-43-56-84-72872102964.00.3
300300.0UMass LowellAE0.42210.449630610-1610-180-00-00-20-610-95-73113353000.00.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301300.7North Carolina CentralMEAC0.42150.390735011-1313-140-00-00-00-413-103-8291293317-16.3-1.2
302301.1Cal PolyBW0.42130.47812187-197-210-00-01-41-115-63-9266180307-5.9-0.6
303301.4UC RiversideBW0.42100.47382296-197-210-10-00-33-114-63-92762123010.40.0
305303.0McNeese St.Slnd0.41960.44723106-167-180-10-10-11-66-90-73341422985.00.4
304303.1DetroitHorz0.41970.48871856-227-220-10-20-41-86-72-9218282976.11.2
306304.1Sacramento St.BSky0.41900.50361414-225-240-00-20-22-123-71-10313123309-4.9-0.5
307304.7New HampshireAE0.41830.46382598-199-190-00-10-31-88-72-10347306305-0.3-0.1
308306.3ChattanoogaSC0.41750.47852157-208-210-00-01-51-106-64-7256234311-4.7-0.5
309307.4VMISC0.41640.46892436-197-200-00-00-60-77-63-628130529413.41.6
310310.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.41460.49191754-224-250-10-10-30-114-92-92521463100.10.0
311310.6Little RockSB0.41410.49281715-216-230-00-20-22-94-112-9303167316-5.4-0.6
312311.5LafayettePat0.41380.45722818-198-200-10-00-22-37-131-9345274314-2.5-0.3
313312.1San Jose St.MWC0.41290.51801142-233-250-20-20-50-102-72-82841843066.10.7
314313.2BinghamtonAE0.41190.43763249-1810-190-00-00-32-58-117-6251347325-11.8-1.7
316314.3Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.41060.43283306-168-170-00-00-21-57-90-73482253086.30.6
315315.0PresbyterianBSth0.41120.45472918-198-200-10-11-10-77-104-62432503132.00.3
317316.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.40910.410434210-1911-210-10-00-20-511-130-14344202324-7.4-0.8
318317.2Youngstown St.Horz0.40880.47112376-227-220-00-10-21-106-90-113331413125.21.0
319317.7Tennessee MartinOVC0.40830.45113037-217-220-00-00-52-55-123-83003023152.70.4
321318.8Jackson St.SWAC0.40650.40703458-1711-180-10-10-30-411-101-10299137322-3.2-0.3
320319.6MaristMAAC0.40670.47822176-226-240-00-10-42-75-112-10314224327-7.4-1.1
322320.0Green BayHorz0.40620.44973058-198-200-00-10-32-67-92-8331278321-1.0-0.1
323320.4Sacred HeartNEC0.40600.43433289-209-210-00-00-30-69-114-8310338323-2.6-0.5
325321.3RiceCUSA0.40480.48082084-225-240-20-10-20-105-91-103121743183.30.4
324321.7Cleveland St.Horz0.40500.46452557-227-230-20-00-11-86-122-103081823201.70.2
326323.0CharlotteCUSA0.40350.47972104-215-230-10-10-60-65-93-73153193194.00.6
327326.8Loyola MDPat0.40020.45592867-207-210-00-10-21-66-121-9346283330-3.2-0.6
330326.9Morgan St.MEAC0.39830.39153498-1610-170-00-10-00-49-122-9278275331-4.1-0.5
328327.6PepperdineWCC0.39910.50511383-254-250-10-40-40-104-72-93252163261.60.5
329328.2StetsonASun0.39890.42483368-198-190-00-00-20-58-124-92903243280.20.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331328.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.39610.43043347-198-210-00-10-40-48-122-11294132329-0.5-0.1
332330.0DartmouthIvy0.39400.44923085-176-200-00-00-20-76-103-9318316333-3.0-0.4
333332.0AmericanPat0.39310.45472926-226-230-00-10-40-56-133-82802733320.00.0
334333.1Alabama St.SWAC0.39000.42093397-198-220-10-00-30-58-120-1231678334-0.9-0.2
335336.8MaineAE0.38330.45902764-234-250-10-10-20-74-141-12350328339-2.2-1.2
336337.7Houston BaptistSlnd0.38210.45462933-224-240-10-10-30-84-111-9298973352.70.5
338338.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38140.45352974-224-240-00-00-31-104-111-11351331342-4.0-1.5
337338.0HowardMEAC0.38170.41453416-218-220-00-10-00-68-141-133372573380.00.0
339338.4Florida A&MMEAC0.38090.43243325-236-250-00-10-30-56-140-15330114340-1.6-0.4
340339.6Chicago St.WAC0.37900.50221430-270-290-10-10-50-120-90-153391713363.61.2
341339.9BryantNEC0.37880.46342623-273-280-00-10-31-73-171-123242143372.91.1
342341.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.37670.45952732-202-230-00-20-21-72-121-6272177345-4.0-1.1
343341.7LongwoodBSth0.37590.46762473-243-250-00-10-10-103-130-10343189343-1.3-0.6
344342.0Coppin St.MEAC0.37430.43873225-246-250-10-10-20-56-160-153361453411.00.3
345344.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.37000.44323164-235-240-10-20-20-45-152-11261843440.20.1
346344.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.36720.39793486-187-200-00-10-20-47-130-9338158347-2.2-0.7
347346.3USC UpstateASun0.36550.45492903-243-240-00-10-20-83-131-123282003460.30.3
348348.2Incarnate WordSlnd0.35060.44703131-202-220-10-10-10-52-141-52921223480.20.2
349348.7Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.34560.42423373-254-270-00-20-20-64-180-1331981349-0.3-0.3
350350.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.32980.40893432-253-280-10-10-00-73-190-13341186351-0.7-1.1
351350.5Delaware St.MEAC0.32760.41733401-252-270-00-00-20-52-200-133492283500.50.7


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com