live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 25, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.1KentuckySEC0.67960.57482228-031-05-06-08-08-04-013-01810.10.3
22.7VirginiaACC0.66870.57881826-128-25-14-06-09-04-012-04283-0.3-0.4
33.4KansasB120.66630.6245122-624-77-43-26-18-00-011-22221.40.8
44.2VillanovaBE0.66210.57052926-228-35-15-15-111-02-013-076040.20.1
55.4DukeACC0.65730.58061525-327-45-15-26-15-06-013-064750.40.2
65.9WisconsinB100.65530.57921725-327-42-25-07-010-13-012-18186-0.1-0.1
76.3ArizonaP120.65410.57023024-327-43-13-07-210-14-012-111567-0.7-0.5
87.2GonzagaWCC0.65110.54517327-129-11-14-04-014-06-011-13128-0.8-0.8
911.0UtahP120.63220.56813420-523-62-32-26-17-06-09-2183111-0.0-0.0
1111.8MarylandB100.62930.56513723-525-63-13-24-210-06-012-1175892.80.9
1011.8BaylorB120.62940.5956320-722-85-32-24-28-03-011-11033101.80.6
1213.1Wichita St.MVC0.62520.53269325-326-31-21-06-18-010-09-2152914-0.9-0.3
1313.7Northern IowaMVC0.62410.519111327-227-31-21-05-07-113-011-1139415-1.3-0.7
1415.3Iowa St.B120.62100.5851920-722-85-54-04-14-25-010-23499123.30.8
1515.7VCUA100.62020.58281221-723-81-23-27-36-16-010-351132.70.8
1716.8OklahomaB120.61790.5890519-821-95-55-01-26-24-09-34386160.80.2
1616.9North CarolinaACC0.61810.6045219-921-102-53-35-27-04-010-314519-2.1-0.6
1817.4SMUAmer0.61690.55984421-523-60-23-27-24-09-08-3281420-2.6-0.7
1917.5LouisvilleACC0.61670.57761922-624-71-53-15-18-06-012-127117170.50.1
2019.3ArkansasSEC0.61290.55216423-524-71-24-14-37-18-011-21650181.30.4
2120.2West VirginiaB120.61120.56823322-623-83-64-24-17-06-012-13620022-1.8-0.5
2221.6GeorgetownBE0.60840.5953418-820-92-62-33-09-03-08-2201323-1.4-0.4
2323.1ButlerBE0.60500.57282620-822-93-53-23-111-13-09-35410925-1.9-0.6
2423.7San Diego St.MWC0.60400.53698821-623-71-13-33-17-19-19-3335324-0.3-0.1
2524.5ProvidenceBE0.60210.58451019-921-103-42-36-18-22-110-32524213.50.8
2627.0Michigan St.B100.59780.57472319-821-100-52-25-110-23-09-4706727-0.0-0.0
2728.0Colorado St.MWC0.59490.513411823-524-61-11-13-18-212-012-0991262.00.6
2829.3Notre DameACC0.59300.527310224-525-63-32-15-27-09-012-185329290.30.1
2933.3Oklahoma St.B120.58890.5858816-1018-113-82-03-24-25-09-238116285.30.7
3033.6XavierBE0.58840.58131318-1119-124-32-24-38-42-010-32632312.60.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3137.3Ohio St.B100.58510.54826819-822-91-31-35-38-07-011-25921047-9.7-1.0
3237.9TulsaAmer0.58450.53558920-621-80-42-13-26-110-07-4100105352.90.3
3538.6GeorgiaSEC0.58320.56463918-920-100-42-16-38-34-09-33977308.61.2
3438.7DavidsonA100.58360.520211119-621-71-31-05-14-211-08-25521341-2.3-0.2
3338.7DaytonA100.58380.519511221-622-80-21-14-48-09-110-230110344.70.5
3639.2BuffaloMAC0.58280.53888318-920-100-20-04-46-310-19-3217342-2.8-0.3
3741.7OregonP120.58100.55236320-821-91-31-27-37-26-09-395129383.70.4
3842.1St. John'sBE0.58090.57582118-919-112-73-14-16-24-010-23754375.10.5
3942.5TempleAmer0.58020.54717019-921-101-41-24-13-212-09-445493210.51.1
4042.5TexasB120.58010.58441117-1119-122-91-24-18-04-011-2299045-2.5-0.3
4143.1North Carolina St.ACC0.57970.5884617-1119-123-41-24-46-14-09-47227394.10.4
4243.8CincinnatiAmer0.57920.55496019-921-103-12-32-35-29-19-4501951-7.2-0.7
4344.5Texas A&MSEC0.57860.54507419-821-90-31-26-37-07-09-3651193311.51.1
4544.9Boise St.MWC0.57810.514411619-721-81-22-22-16-311-18-353177404.90.7
4445.1Old DominionCUSA0.57820.503914020-623-71-01-04-26-311-111-1124148-2.9-0.3
4646.0IndianaB100.57740.56963119-1020-113-52-24-35-16-010-3751023610.01.0
4746.2MississippiSEC0.57740.55834819-921-101-22-45-27-36-09-481101433.20.3
4846.3IonaMAAC0.57710.484819123-624-70-10-10-110-215-17-4489349-2.7-0.3
5047.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57580.483219820-423-50-20-13-05-016-17-36714767-19.3-1.8
4947.8BYUWCC0.57620.54447719-820-90-41-12-19-37-08-3311757-9.2-1.3
5148.6LSUSEC0.57550.54248020-822-91-22-27-26-25-111-24618054-5.4-0.5
5249.5StanfordP120.57490.55605817-919-110-42-26-25-37-09-3409255-5.5-0.5
5350.3IowaB100.57440.56473818-1020-112-42-23-38-25-09-411913252-1.7-0.2
5450.5WoffordSC0.57420.491617221-622-70-21-12-14-115-17-41915500.50.1
5551.8PittsburghACC0.57340.56244118-1020-111-51-23-29-25-110-357125447.80.7
5652.9UCLAP120.57240.56923217-1219-121-62-13-38-25-08-510744466.90.9
5753.3HarvardIvy0.57210.501714917-520-60-10-03-15-212-28-45812156-2.7-0.2
5854.2Saint Mary'sWCC0.57160.52999519-720-80-21-21-111-37-07-38280531.20.2
5961.1SyracuseACC0.56630.56663518-1019-121-52-22-47-17-09-4808963-1.9-0.2
6061.5PurdueB100.56600.54876718-920-110-35-24-36-35-08-5184218592.50.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6162.6UTEPCUSA0.56530.508912919-722-80-12-11-27-312-18-46138611.60.2
6263.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.56390.485219020-722-80-00-22-27-214-18-411025164-0.1-0.0
6364.9IllinoisB100.56350.55366117-1119-122-21-42-48-26-010-368162604.90.5
6465.3Green BayHorz0.56320.495816019-721-70-10-03-24-413-09-33276623.30.4
6565.5RichmondA100.56300.55824916-1218-132-11-34-45-37-17-610626650.50.0
6766.9Central MichiganMAC0.56180.485318918-520-60-02-02-25-212-27-112934869-2.1-0.2
6667.0Murray St.OVC0.56190.468324722-424-40-00-11-18-114-18-412321674-7.0-1.2
6867.3ValparaisoHorz0.56170.469024222-522-60-00-02-18-412-110-26324868-0.7-0.1
6967.3Miami FLACC0.56170.54776918-1020-111-41-24-15-48-010-384185661.30.1
7069.4MassachusettsA100.55990.55765216-1218-130-22-44-46-46-07-652115811.41.2
7170.5Rhode IslandA100.55900.510012518-720-80-30-24-25-210-07-312022671-0.5-0.1
7270.6Georgia St.SB0.55900.491317418-821-90-10-21-16-214-26-4478180-9.4-1.0
7371.9YaleIvy0.55790.502614617-820-90-10-12-24-413-19-673144701.90.2
7473.6MemphisAmer0.55630.55565917-1019-120-51-42-24-111-18-5892379-5.4-0.5
7573.9ConnecticutAmer0.55590.55096516-1117-130-43-42-43-09-17-51136976-2.1-0.2
7675.6UC DavisBW0.55500.459727619-421-60-00-01-19-310-28-3127333723.60.3
7776.3ToledoMAC0.55450.524010518-1020-110-21-12-38-49-18-58715077-0.7-0.1
7878.5AlabamaSEC0.55260.55625616-1117-130-52-33-25-27-09-364149780.50.0
7979.6South Dakota St.Sum0.55190.479220819-820-80-20-10-04-315-37-59817482-2.4-0.4
8080.5Seton HallBE0.55120.55795015-1216-141-62-42-06-35-010-235189737.50.7
8183.4Illinois St.MVC0.54870.53309217-1118-110-51-01-27-39-17-4663989-5.6-0.9
8284.8High PointBSth0.54790.480020618-719-80-00-11-26-512-06-34214290-5.2-0.7
8485.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54770.462226618-521-60-00-31-22-118-05-410311193-8.0-1.0
8385.1Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54780.473722917-720-80-11-00-25-414-16-444757510.10.9
8685.3FloridaSEC0.54720.5880713-1515-161-50-54-47-22-17-61092191-5.7-0.7
8585.8Arizona St.P120.54720.56164315-1217-141-41-34-37-44-08-5161167832.80.2
8786.6George WashingtonA100.54640.509112718-1020-111-31-22-46-210-110-376270851.60.2
8887.3MichiganB100.54590.57961613-1315-140-62-33-37-32-06-513630816.30.6
8987.8William & MaryCAA0.54570.500115116-1017-100-11-11-46-09-44-51044688-0.2-0.0
9088.2Bowling GreenMAC0.54520.489818018-720-80-00-22-24-313-18-29331895-6.8-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9294.7Kent St.MAC0.54040.503414118-919-110-10-13-43-313-18-415227298-3.3-0.3
9194.7Oregon St.P120.54060.52769916-1017-121-21-33-38-25-28-3166319940.70.1
9394.9MinnesotaB100.54020.55346215-1216-140-42-32-36-36-010-256217922.90.3
9495.3ClemsonACC0.53980.55685515-1216-141-42-23-26-54-18-4156195878.30.8
9595.4Kansas St.B120.53970.58111414-1514-174-72-41-22-45-07-6178161869.41.3
9696.6NortheasternCAA0.53900.489618119-1020-110-00-12-38-410-38-579141960.60.1
9898.2La SalleA100.53790.54457615-1316-151-20-32-46-27-38-57442100-1.8-0.2
9798.3WyomingMWC0.53810.483719519-720-90-22-11-15-312-29-210832199-0.7-0.1
9999.3South CarolinaSEC0.53730.57142812-1414-152-43-22-42-45-08-378113101-1.7-0.1
100100.4TennesseeSEC0.53660.55894614-1215-152-40-42-47-24-18-492888416.41.3
101101.2EvansvilleMVC0.53560.508912818-1018-111-30-00-44-213-29-269192104-2.8-0.4
102102.2UNLVMWC0.53530.54497514-1316-141-41-32-35-38-28-4223103-0.8-0.1
103105.8WashingtonP120.53310.54108115-1216-142-31-23-44-46-011-141214978.80.8
104106.3CaliforniaP120.53250.54547216-1217-140-41-34-47-15-210-3831651051.30.1
105107.9UC IrvineBW0.53220.503314214-1016-120-10-12-36-48-25-7154107109-1.1-0.1
106108.2Long Beach St.BW0.53220.53998211-1514-160-21-52-65-46-04-1012561026.20.4
108109.6Stony BrookAE0.53050.475522318-1019-100-10-20-06-513-27-66051116-6.4-0.8
107110.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53060.53129412-1214-140-20-21-38-55-25-7949117-6.4-0.3
109111.7North Carolina CentralMEAC0.52920.423634218-621-60-20-10-14-217-05-61151141074.70.6
111113.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52820.464426118-819-80-00-22-22-315-17-61331331130.60.1
110113.9ChattanoogaSC0.52830.474822618-919-100-21-20-15-113-45-61791061067.90.7
112115.5New Mexico St.WAC0.52720.477221517-1019-100-20-11-22-316-16-9170371114.50.6
114116.2North Dakota St.Sum0.52690.455129218-818-90-00-11-33-215-26-5207317120-3.8-0.4
113117.2VanderbiltSEC0.52700.53349114-1216-140-30-46-34-36-19-3114220119-1.8-0.1
116118.2Cleveland St.Horz0.52570.506513515-1216-120-30-13-43-310-24-819066121-2.8-0.2
115118.4TCUB120.52590.527510017-1118-131-92-21-15-09-013-088349124-5.6-0.4
117119.8NorthwesternB100.52520.55715414-1415-160-61-33-54-27-09-41472081109.80.8
118120.5Western MichiganMAC0.52510.502014815-1116-130-01-12-53-610-07-41583121146.50.4
120120.6AlbanyAE0.52430.453529720-821-80-10-01-16-414-36-7165203123-2.4-0.2
119121.0Georgia TechACC0.52450.57392512-1613-170-51-43-26-43-29-351781156.00.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.2Florida St.ACC0.52410.54916615-1416-150-50-33-56-27-18-51882051129.20.8
122123.5Georgia SouthernSB0.52360.457128516-618-80-00-01-23-314-34-2163344138-14.5-0.8
123124.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.52320.502614514-1016-120-11-13-32-510-35-5130591222.00.1
124126.8Penn St.B100.52170.53888415-1316-150-50-32-45-39-012-16229810818.81.3
125127.5ColoradoP120.52160.55795112-1414-160-41-31-65-46-07-5139124129-1.5-0.1
126127.8Wake ForestACC0.52140.57452412-1613-180-71-33-44-35-18-51491521270.80.1
127128.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.52090.483419714-916-110-00-00-36-410-32-523616611810.30.6
131129.6OaklandHorz0.52000.522610914-1414-150-30-13-42-49-23-1019620139-9.4-1.0
128129.9Utah St.MWC0.52030.493216616-1017-120-11-22-33-311-26-5180237147-17.1-1.0
129130.3NebraskaB100.52020.55755313-1414-161-41-32-64-45-08-41602551300.30.0
130130.5AkronMAC0.52020.501215016-1118-120-01-15-43-49-38-4202323135-4.5-0.3
132130.7Incarnate WordSlnd0.51990.461127213-715-90-00-20-31-114-34-22472145-14.3-0.9
133131.1UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51970.474922516-1117-110-10-21-34-112-44-6198266134-2.9-0.3
134132.1CreightonBE0.51920.55854713-1514-171-72-51-36-24-19-41171871257.10.5
137133.3Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51820.502914415-1216-120-41-11-22-312-18-2772491321.30.1
136133.7PortlandWCC0.51830.515711514-1215-130-20-21-46-38-27-31021981267.70.5
135134.0Sacramento St.BSky0.51870.456928616-817-100-10-01-13-314-54-5205263142-8.0-0.5
138135.6RadfordBSth0.51750.460327417-918-100-10-02-12-514-26-4992021314.60.3
139136.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51680.443031717-818-80-00-12-14-412-25-397264140-3.6-0.5
140137.8St. BonaventureA100.51640.504613814-1216-131-02-21-63-19-37-41943131289.80.6
141140.8RiderMAAC0.51500.463526319-1020-110-10-20-15-315-36-51812791364.80.5
142141.7BelmontOVC0.51450.459327717-1018-100-20-00-14-314-47-51432221374.70.6
143142.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.51410.468924315-916-100-01-21-23-411-23-5183112152-9.6-0.6
144144.0BucknellPat0.51390.492417016-1316-140-10-00-27-99-24-8222163146-2.0-0.2
145147.0ColumbiaIvy0.51210.513211912-1115-120-10-11-35-38-47-614282150-3.0-0.2
147149.2AmericanPat0.51100.489917915-1416-140-00-11-27-78-47-5711451490.20.0
146149.4MarquetteBE0.51110.56593611-1612-181-81-53-15-23-18-41351531445.40.3
148150.7PepperdineWCC0.51080.494016315-1216-120-22-11-33-410-26-42323391437.70.9
149150.7Texas SouthernSWAC0.51050.457828215-1218-130-31-11-30-416-33-101187154-3.3-0.2
150151.0AuburnSEC0.51040.56274011-1612-180-23-42-64-53-17-51166514110.00.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151151.2LehighPat0.51030.490317815-1215-130-10-01-06-98-35-51321391483.20.3
152151.8Washington St.P120.51000.54647112-1513-170-41-23-52-56-16-619922513318.81.5
153151.8New MexicoMWC0.50990.518111414-1415-150-21-42-25-37-48-4157260157-5.2-0.3
154152.1UT ArlingtonSB0.50980.484019414-1116-130-10-20-34-312-55-4101146160-7.9-0.5
155153.0James MadisonCAA0.50930.496515818-1218-130-10-11-53-414-17-6167951512.00.2
156153.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.50930.464426016-1117-120-20-10-04-613-35-89622161-7.3-0.5
157156.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50840.459827515-1017-100-10-11-22-314-36-51482111533.00.3
158156.3St. Francis NYNEC0.50820.444431319-920-100-10-00-15-515-35-7259295162-5.7-0.5
159157.3LafayettePat0.50770.484819215-1216-120-20-00-16-610-37-3491571552.30.2
160157.6San DiegoWCC0.50730.523410813-1413-160-31-41-26-46-26-5138155173-15.4-1.3
161160.2MontanaBSky0.50620.470823714-1016-110-00-20-22-313-42-721143172-11.8-0.7
162161.5UABCUSA0.50530.507913214-1316-140-21-11-53-211-33-926352166-4.5-0.3
163162.2Cal PolyBW0.50470.498715411-1212-140-10-02-45-56-35-590123164-1.8-0.1
164164.4East Tennessee St.SC0.50410.477521414-1115-120-10-10-33-312-56-32335168-3.6-0.3
165164.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.50400.494016413-1114-130-00-22-64-19-37-2912991595.90.3
166165.4Gardner WebbBSth0.50340.488018313-1214-130-10-12-44-28-54-512497174-8.6-0.5
167166.7RutgersB100.50310.57142710-1810-211-30-41-85-43-18-51057115610.71.0
168167.7HofstraCAA0.50270.456628819-1120-110-00-10-44-416-29-4155327180-12.3-1.5
169168.7Tennessee MartinOVC0.50200.450030315-1016-110-10-00-32-514-36-51893351653.70.3
170170.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50130.481120413-1215-130-00-12-13-611-53-5219190188-17.8-1.1
171170.9Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50110.485618814-1214-130-00-10-44-410-45-6140108181-10.1-1.4
172172.7North FloridaASun0.50000.437532916-1117-110-10-11-22-214-55-92413071675.71.0
173173.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49990.492716814-1316-140-01-20-45-510-36-6153134177-4.0-0.2
174173.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49990.478121314-1315-140-10-20-14-611-44-7141551703.50.3
176173.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.49930.469524114-1216-140-00-22-12-613-54-819198189-15.5-0.8
175174.0NJITind0.49950.462226813-1114-110-10-12-02-49-514-11172277175-1.0-0.1
177174.6HawaiiBW0.49880.486018616-1118-120-10-12-44-511-110-413719316311.60.7
181175.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.49830.471323612-1014-110-20-20-32-212-21-62084185-9.7-0.7
179175.5DePaulBE0.49860.54387812-1712-190-72-33-32-45-26-728230115817.51.5
178175.5CanisiusMAAC0.49870.481920315-1316-130-01-20-14-611-45-41111031714.50.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180175.5Saint Joseph'sA100.49850.526510312-1513-170-32-14-41-46-66-61641711696.50.4
182179.2Oral RobertsSum0.49670.482620113-1314-140-11-00-43-410-55-71751791781.20.1
183180.5MonmouthMAAC0.49590.472023216-1317-140-31-10-04-413-54-7255240183-2.5-0.2
184183.2Indiana St.MVC0.49480.512612113-1514-150-50-12-33-29-53-83032411794.20.4
185184.1San FranciscoWCC0.49400.52789811-1612-170-20-20-36-86-25-6209131186-1.9-0.2
186185.9Boston UniversityPat0.49360.505713612-1513-150-10-10-16-77-53-719548187-1.1-0.1
187186.3VermontAE0.49320.451929916-1116-120-00-00-23-513-44-8264227198-11.7-1.3
188187.4ColgatePat0.49270.492317113-1614-160-00-10-38-76-62-10290184192-4.6-0.5
189189.2Texas TechB120.49140.55615712-1712-191-90-41-23-37-110-31462891845.20.7
190190.3TulaneAmer0.49080.502114713-1314-150-11-51-41-211-38-31823201828.30.6
191191.0Boston CollegeACC0.49040.5616429-1810-201-51-51-73-25-18-416219617615.01.1
192192.1ManhattanMAAC0.48980.461727015-1216-130-00-20-34-512-43-6289311200-7.9-0.6
193192.9CharlotteCUSA0.48960.491517312-1515-160-10-31-63-412-37-6151186201-8.1-0.5
194195.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.48790.443231516-1317-140-20-10-04-413-67-8122159197-1.2-0.1
196195.9IPFWSum0.48760.468424612-1214-120-00-01-42-411-44-62402611914.90.5
195196.0DetroitHorz0.48770.510712412-1712-170-10-13-73-36-55-815045196-0.0-0.0
197198.4BryantNEC0.48640.476322013-1414-150-00-10-33-612-53-8203791953.40.3
198199.9Fresno St.MWC0.48560.507313311-1512-171-11-31-23-86-33-83022751945.90.5
200199.9Santa ClaraWCC0.48540.523610610-1611-170-20-30-45-86-04-62241821936.90.7
199200.1St. Francis PANEC0.48550.463926213-1314-140-00-10-14-710-55-586130206-5.9-0.5
201200.5MercerSC0.48520.467025214-1315-140-00-31-32-313-43-8283199208-7.5-0.6
202201.1Mississippi St.SEC0.48500.527310111-1612-180-31-31-55-45-36-627029019011.11.0
203202.1Robert MorrisNEC0.48410.471623314-1415-150-20-10-25-411-54-8217118204-1.9-0.2
204204.5New HampshireAE0.48340.435933115-1116-110-00-00-04-712-45-62282931995.51.0
205204.7UC RiversideBW0.48280.486518512-1313-150-20-11-44-58-35-72232352022.70.2
206208.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.48040.477221614-1315-140-00-12-16-68-56-3128138210-1.2-0.1
207209.2USCP120.48040.53888510-1811-190-30-41-55-64-28-41732652054.20.4
209209.3MissouriSEC0.48020.5761207-208-220-61-52-52-43-25-7192362036.30.5
208209.7WinthropBSth0.48020.439332413-1115-110-10-01-23-511-32-63093062072.70.3
210211.6Holy CrossPat0.47870.499515211-1511-160-00-11-16-94-54-5126572092.60.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211212.4UTSACUSA0.47840.471523411-1213-140-01-00-42-610-44-5265325213-0.6-0.0
213213.3North TexasCUSA0.47780.503214311-1312-160-10-41-33-48-54-6243164214-0.7-0.0
212213.4Portland St.BSky0.47820.454329512-1113-130-00-11-11-611-44-4171286221-7.6-0.5
214215.7USC UpstateASun0.47680.416034717-918-90-10-00-13-214-59-4176341216-0.3-0.0
215215.9CornellIvy0.47660.482920011-1413-160-00-20-53-49-67-8216269217-1.1-0.1
216216.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.47620.505313710-1511-170-00-21-62-68-35-52352922124.60.3
217218.0George MasonA100.47540.5594457-198-210-51-32-51-34-44-716825219-1.0-0.1
218218.7PrincetonIvy0.47500.480720511-1313-160-00-10-45-69-56-9280284225-6.3-0.3
219221.4Virginia TechACC0.47330.54287910-1811-200-70-21-52-68-18-52343002183.40.3
220223.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47210.446830913-1215-130-11-11-22-212-73-73193422230.50.0
222224.8South DakotaSum0.47130.466325513-1513-160-00-10-44-49-65-8247278227-2.2-0.3
221224.9UCFAmer0.47170.506613411-1512-160-20-50-43-18-46-425230521113.91.0
223227.3Morehead St.OVC0.47010.470023811-1613-160-00-20-41-1012-13-10268207228-0.7-0.1
225227.6Miami OHMAC0.47000.504313911-1612-180-00-32-53-57-54-8325308230-2.4-0.2
224227.6ArmyPat0.47000.456428914-1314-140-10-00-06-89-48-2134334232-4.4-0.5
226228.6Wright St.Horz0.46960.49471629-1710-180-00-10-65-55-76-612111521513.61.1
227230.0Alabama St.SWAC0.46870.389935114-717-80-20-00-01-216-42-5273242231-1.0-0.1
228230.6FordhamA100.46860.5343908-179-190-20-31-73-56-24-62571752228.60.6
229231.2FIUCUSA0.46820.467025111-1412-170-10-10-22-610-65-619730222011.20.7
230231.7DenverSum0.46800.492516912-1612-170-10-21-32-69-56-717796240-8.3-0.8
231231.9Missouri St.MVC0.46790.52361079-189-190-40-20-33-86-24-62041402265.90.6
233232.3Delaware St.MEAC0.46750.451630111-1513-160-10-20-23-510-74-9145852248.30.6
232232.5LamarSlnd0.46750.474422710-1311-150-20-20-30-410-52-6226168239-6.5-0.4
235233.4OhioMAC0.46700.5280979-1710-190-01-10-84-85-25-6245206234-0.6-0.0
234233.6MilwaukeeHorz0.46710.497915510-1611-170-20-10-45-66-43-92661362294.60.3
236234.3Western CarolinaSC0.46660.462226711-1512-160-00-10-43-59-53-7231228236-1.7-0.1
237234.6DartmouthIvy0.46630.475922110-1412-160-00-01-24-56-97-7201294243-8.4-0.5
238235.8East CarolinaAmer0.46600.508113010-1611-180-21-41-51-37-45-6281304242-6.2-0.3
239238.3DuquesneA100.46450.52051109-1610-180-11-31-51-66-34-62872832353.30.2
240238.8Texas St.SB0.46390.48301998-1410-160-00-11-20-89-53-3112120249-10.2-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241239.5DrexelCAA0.46390.496815710-1610-170-00-21-52-98-22-8298170244-4.5-0.6
242240.3Air ForceMWC0.46340.483619611-1412-150-20-41-22-58-25-4279346247-6.7-0.4
243240.8DrakeMVC0.46320.5370878-208-210-50-00-62-76-32-9275612382.80.3
244242.0BrownIvy0.46240.486018710-1512-171-00-10-51-610-67-8214252246-4.0-0.3
245242.9PacificWCC0.46220.51241228-178-190-20-30-33-95-25-41862622339.90.8
247244.2HowardMEAC0.46090.428833812-1314-140-00-00-32-612-53-9262271250-5.8-0.3
246244.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.46110.5372867-217-220-30-40-44-93-33-8244832413.70.4
248245.4LIU BrooklynNEC0.46080.466425412-1513-160-00-20-04-99-64-7206148252-6.6-0.6
249245.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46060.457328313-1614-170-00-10-24-810-66-5193314254-8.5-0.8
250245.9UNC AshevilleBSth0.46020.460927310-1411-150-00-00-24-77-51-7322276256-10.1-0.8
251245.9Saint LouisA100.46010.513611710-1711-190-30-31-64-27-57-52152572378.90.7
252248.1HartfordAE0.45930.451530213-1413-150-00-20-11-712-56-6174201251-2.9-0.3
253248.5IUPUISum0.45900.49051779-1910-200-00-10-52-89-54-102381512453.50.4
255250.2IdahoBSky0.45770.46862459-1411-160-00-12-33-47-83-6227160253-2.8-0.1
254250.2Loyola MDPat0.45810.478521111-1712-170-10-00-16-115-44-72602542482.20.2
256255.4RiceCUSA0.45480.49771568-159-180-00-20-54-35-81-8339250265-9.6-0.6
257256.8SouthernSWAC0.45420.445631211-1513-160-20-10-30-712-40-1128416264-7.2-0.6
258257.6South FloridaAmer0.45350.5280967-208-220-20-50-72-46-35-72291722552.60.2
259257.7Grand CanyonWAC0.45350.439632214-1216-130-10-20-21-414-47-82582362570.70.1
260258.9SienaMAAC0.45310.482420210-1710-190-00-10-23-107-63-6212137262-3.1-0.3
261259.2Sacred HeartNEC0.45250.457228412-1613-170-00-10-14-89-75-72212152590.20.0
262261.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.45090.453129810-1412-150-00-10-32-710-43-62882532583.40.2
264264.4Weber St.BSky0.44920.46992399-1511-160-10-10-33-57-63-6213742604.40.4
263264.9NavyPat0.44930.484419310-1810-190-10-20-13-117-43-8295223266-1.1-0.1
266266.4Northern KentuckyASun0.44820.47862109-169-170-20-00-20-89-54-9210104271-4.6-0.6
265266.7UMass LowellAE0.44850.449530511-1711-170-00-10-13-78-85-7169233270-3.3-1.0
267268.4Ball St.MAC0.44690.52511046-197-210-20-11-82-64-44-62612342671.40.1
268268.6PennIvy0.44640.49121757-168-200-10-20-42-77-65-92542432635.60.4
269269.5VMISC0.44630.46652539-1610-170-20-10-21-49-71-7312154272-2.5-0.3
270269.8TowsonCAA0.44610.455629111-1812-180-10-10-52-610-56-62423402681.80.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.44600.459027910-1411-140-00-00-32-69-52-7344332273-3.0-0.3
273270.3Arkansas St.SB0.44550.46262649-1511-170-00-00-42-78-64-42393242619.30.7
272270.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.44560.469724011-1512-170-00-20-40-811-44-5278280278-7.6-0.7
274270.5HoustonAmer0.44550.49611599-1711-190-20-52-41-27-78-42203282691.50.1
275270.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44510.433633310-1612-180-10-10-31-411-91-1126770280-9.2-0.7
276276.0DelawareCAA0.44200.49121768-198-200-10-13-12-73-91-10337219276-0.0-0.0
277276.3Houston BaptistSlnd0.44150.46582587-138-160-00-10-30-68-61-5299296291-14.7-0.8
278276.6Appalachian St.SB0.44140.46162719-1610-190-00-01-21-98-73-62863362751.60.1
279277.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44120.455929010-1611-160-10-10-32-59-64-73063302743.00.5
280277.2ElonCAA0.44090.458728010-1711-180-10-01-21-99-66-5218337282-4.8-0.5
281279.2Tennessee TechOVC0.43990.462426510-1610-180-00-00-24-76-86-6159232284-4.8-0.4
282282.2WagnerNEC0.43780.47152359-179-190-10-10-02-118-51-9311127289-6.8-0.6
283285.1Youngstown St.Horz0.43570.47702188-199-190-00-10-71-78-56-61852452832.10.3
284285.6NiagaraMAAC0.43550.49361657-218-210-00-40-24-64-101-8292642814.60.8
285286.2McNeese St.Slnd0.43470.45672877-159-160-10-10-41-48-62-5144102797.20.7
286286.9North DakotaBSky0.43440.47522246-188-200-20-00-30-87-73-7200872779.90.8
287288.9HamptonMEAC0.43300.426833911-1512-170-00-10-22-610-84-9274282297-8.1-0.7
288289.3FairfieldMAAC0.43290.49881537-218-220-10-20-31-106-72-8248342854.30.5
289290.2BradleyMVC0.43220.51181237-227-230-40-01-51-75-74-82962312873.20.6
290290.3Southern IllinoisMVC0.43220.47682199-2010-200-40-01-51-48-76-62913472900.30.1
291290.4South AlabamaSB0.43210.47922097-198-210-00-00-43-85-80-9348256292-1.6-0.1
292291.1UMKCWAC0.43130.43973219-1711-180-10-00-21-410-113-12304267294-2.9-0.3
293292.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.43060.441832010-1611-170-10-00-21-510-93-11307246303-10.4-1.0
294294.3LipscombASun0.42930.43863269-1610-160-00-10-10-910-63-93103092931.30.2
295294.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.42900.50981265-226-240-30-20-42-84-73-112721002868.61.0
296295.8Utah ValleyWAC0.42800.44933068-169-180-20-00-20-59-94-92301812887.80.6
297296.4Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42760.44263198-1810-200-20-20-21-39-112-10297178300-3.6-0.3
298297.2Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42680.47972076-177-200-00-20-32-75-85-4131239298-0.8-0.1
301297.7SeattleWAC0.42650.429933611-1312-140-00-01-22-49-85-7276268305-7.3-0.7
300298.0College of CharlestonCAA0.42660.48681848-228-230-10-21-50-87-65-8237191299-1.0-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299298.1NevadaMWC0.42660.49321676-197-210-20-30-43-64-62-8347326301-2.9-0.5
303298.3MarshallCUSA0.42610.48891827-188-210-20-21-21-86-72-93272292962.30.2
302298.6SamfordSC0.42620.438132711-1712-180-00-20-42-510-86-62463382953.60.4
304299.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.42570.454529410-1710-190-10-00-22-58-115-8253287302-2.7-0.4
305302.1Southern MissCUSA0.42340.50801315-195-220-00-10-71-64-73-6250156307-4.9-0.7
306304.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.42140.47352307-188-210-00-00-41-127-46-72252913040.00.0
307307.0Southern UtahBSky0.41840.45173007-178-200-00-10-21-88-92-8294247313-6.0-0.6
308308.2TroySB0.41790.44583108-169-180-00-20-24-45-103-4334351311-2.8-0.3
309309.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41710.49561615-226-230-10-10-61-95-72-113141763081.30.3
310311.1Jackson St.SWAC0.41540.41603469-1812-190-00-10-10-912-82-11305212318-6.9-0.8
311311.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41520.42393419-2011-210-00-10-31-410-123-112511733065.10.7
312311.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.41500.43553328-199-200-10-00-01-98-91-12321221312-0.5-0.1
313311.8Kennesaw St.ASun0.41470.44903078-198-200-10-00-31-67-94-113012813092.80.5
314313.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.41350.45862816-207-210-00-20-01-106-94-61871943103.20.6
315316.0Montana St.BSky0.41070.47572226-206-230-10-00-41-75-112-926963320-4.0-0.6
316316.9PresbyterianBSth0.41010.47712175-205-220-10-10-30-95-80-93291223160.90.2
317317.9UNC GreensboroSC0.40880.45922786-207-210-10-20-21-56-101-9336273321-3.1-0.6
319318.0New OrleansSlnd0.40760.43773285-157-170-00-20-20-57-81-52331353171.00.1
318318.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40820.46192696-187-210-00-20-32-35-133-72562043144.20.5
320319.7Austin PeayOVC0.40690.47822125-216-220-00-10-42-74-103-92932383154.70.7
321319.8CampbellBSth0.40670.46732496-207-210-00-20-22-85-93-7249197322-2.2-0.3
322320.5The CitadelSC0.40590.44303187-178-180-01-10-10-56-112-53233223191.50.3
323320.6Western IllinoisSum0.40570.47372286-176-190-00-00-41-76-83-6285244326-5.4-0.7
325321.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.40470.42973378-179-190-00-00-31-68-105-7300350327-6.0-0.7
324321.1Coppin St.MEAC0.40510.46612575-216-220-00-20-40-86-90-1230840323-1.9-0.3
326322.7Alabama A&MSWAC0.40310.41513497-169-180-00-10-20-58-110-9332143325-2.3-0.3
327326.6FurmanSC0.39850.47212315-205-220-10-10-31-74-101-8318158330-3.4-0.9
328326.8MaristMAAC0.39840.46872445-235-250-00-10-12-114-111-9341288328-1.2-0.3
329326.8Savannah St.MEAC0.39780.44393146-197-210-10-10-21-66-102-1027184331-4.2-0.6
330328.9LongwoodBSth0.39500.45003046-227-220-00-10-21-106-92-9335316329-0.1-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331329.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.39370.45512934-175-200-10-10-40-55-80-7313623245.20.7
332330.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.39180.44313166-196-210-10-00-20-36-143-10277230332-1.1-0.3
333332.7Morgan St.MEAC0.38900.43283347-218-220-10-00-12-76-132-12326259334-1.3-0.3
334334.5San Jose St.MWC0.38600.51311200-250-280-10-40-40-110-80-103462243331.50.6
335335.5BinghamtonAE0.38480.46632564-245-240-10-20-01-114-100-133401883350.50.2
336337.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38200.39823508-189-200-00-00-10-79-122-11349343343-5.7-1.4
337337.5StetsonASun0.38170.43873256-206-210-00-10-10-86-113-103203153361.50.7
338337.6Chicago St.WAC0.38130.46522593-224-240-00-10-50-64-121-13317126338-0.4-0.1
339338.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.37910.43003355-216-230-00-20-20-66-131-12333209340-1.1-0.3
340339.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.37780.45362965-245-260-10-00-11-105-132-113282743372.80.7
341340.7MaineAE0.37650.46762483-253-260-10-00-30-93-121-12324169342-1.3-0.6
342341.1Idaho St.BSky0.37530.44743084-215-230-00-00-31-73-131-9338297344-2.9-0.6
343342.1UMBCAE0.37400.44573114-244-250-00-10-20-104-122-113312853393.10.9
344342.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37360.42143435-236-250-10-10-10-76-151-123161833411.30.4
345343.7JacksonvilleASun0.37160.42433406-216-220-00-10-11-65-143-11345345345-1.3-0.7
346343.8Tennessee St.OVC0.37130.46722503-243-260-10-00-20-103-131-12343258346-2.2-0.8
347347.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.35270.42053444-214-240-00-10-30-44-160-10330128348-0.6-0.6
348347.6LibertyBSth0.35160.43953233-223-240-00-00-10-103-122-73423313470.61.0
349349.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.33690.43643301-241-280-00-10-20-81-170-11351310349-0.0-0.0
350350.2Florida A&MMEAC0.32150.41603481-261-280-00-00-10-71-190-133503033500.20.5
351350.7Grambling St.SWAC0.31870.41993450-220-260-00-10-30-40-180-831568351-0.3-0.6


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com