live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Dec 6, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
15.1VillanovaBE0.65220.5877149-026-55-35-16-17-04-012-121432.10.5
25.1North CarolinaACC0.65190.595867-125-65-44-17-15-05-011-271922-16.9-3.8
36.4KansasB120.64740.605028-124-74-44-18-17-01-011-25713-6.6-1.2
47.5LouisvilleACC0.64380.612817-123-84-54-16-17-03-011-24214-6.5-1.1
58.4DukeACC0.64030.5860159-125-64-44-15-16-05-012-1125121-12.6-2.1
78.7VirginiaACC0.63930.593198-124-64-43-16-15-05-010-2143624-15.3-2.5
68.9BaylorB120.64030.602938-023-75-34-16-25-13-012-01817.91.1
810.0KentuckySEC0.63570.5800197-125-64-33-16-19-14-010-3151335-25.0-3.8
910.0GonzagaWCC0.63430.5392808-028-23-12-03-110-19-012-033182.00.4
1011.5FloridaSEC0.63210.597747-223-82-54-17-28-12-010-383101.50.2
1112.4West VirginiaB120.62950.5656366-126-54-23-16-16-06-012-13220146-33.6-4.5
1214.3ButlerBE0.62580.5882128-022-84-43-16-16-14-011-1615113.30.4
1315.9XavierBE0.62270.593287-122-92-53-26-29-12-011-291078.90.9
1416.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.62070.5297906-026-31-12-03-110-19-011-01072412.11.6
1516.9UCLAP120.61940.5393799-027-43-14-15-16-09-012-11613619-2.1-0.2
1618.6CincinnatiAmer0.61620.5492637-126-52-23-24-18-19-011-2173236-17.4-1.9
1820.6South CarolinaSEC0.61310.5590488-023-72-23-17-28-14-011-11144155.60.5
1720.8IndianaB100.61340.5736247-123-84-33-24-15-17-011-2267642-21.2-1.8
1922.3WisconsinB100.61020.5585497-224-72-34-26-16-06-011-24718237-14.7-1.3
2223.6PurdueB100.60720.5551547-224-72-43-25-17-06-011-25114934-10.4-0.9
2023.8CreightonBE0.60760.5556538-023-73-32-15-18-15-012-021202221.81.7
2124.1Notre DameACC0.60720.5608459-024-73-43-14-15-08-012-12313132-7.9-0.6
2325.8Iowa St.B120.60430.5716316-221-93-53-16-25-15-010-26519088-62.2-5.0
2429.2ArizonaP120.59900.5702327-222-91-43-25-27-16-010-3252548-18.8-1.3
2531.0OregonP120.59720.5573516-222-81-33-26-27-16-010-24112145-14.0-0.9
2634.2Rhode IslandA100.59280.5549556-321-91-22-24-37-27-08-4302238-3.8-0.2
2834.3Wichita St.MVC0.59080.50121447-226-40-11-14-111-110-010-279212108-73.7-6.4
2735.0ArkansasSEC0.59230.5631417-121-101-32-25-310-23-011-218391619.01.1
2935.9Florida St.ACC0.59070.5729268-121-103-52-25-25-06-011-234153332.90.2
3038.7USCP120.58720.5331898-023-71-23-24-16-110-012-0221992513.70.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3138.8DaytonA100.58710.5456705-221-80-22-25-26-17-08-345332810.80.6
3240.0MinnesotaB100.58640.5722278-121-101-33-36-38-13-012-11342931.01.6
3340.6MichiganB100.58530.5698337-220-112-43-35-26-15-010-3396762-21.4-1.1
3541.9HoustonAmer0.58300.5264946-223-71-22-23-27-210-010-25921059-17.1-0.9
3442.1Miami FLACC0.58350.5643397-220-102-62-24-25-07-010-27222296-53.9-2.9
3643.5Texas A&MSEC0.58190.5655375-220-102-52-24-26-16-09-3584958-14.5-0.7
3743.9VCUA100.58130.5349876-223-80-22-24-28-28-110-33769412.90.2
3846.2NevadaMWC0.57890.5293917-222-90-11-14-311-46-110-33186442.20.1
3946.2UCFAmer0.57850.52081056-123-71-31-13-18-210-111-1482431234.21.8
4048.5TCUB120.57740.5788207-018-122-62-26-35-14-011-119102543.52.0
4148.9Michigan St.B100.57680.5834176-418-131-63-34-25-15-09-4562872-23.1-1.1
4348.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57580.50031475-123-70-00-12-210-311-19-327941830.91.7
4249.5NorthwesternB100.57590.5570526-220-111-53-34-27-16-010-3571501732.51.5
4451.5TempleAmer0.57430.5532576-220-112-32-23-27-36-19-428232625.51.2
4851.6Middle TennesseeCUSA0.57340.51251227-123-70-01-13-39-210-19-32016645.62.3
4651.7MarquetteBE0.57400.5623447-219-113-52-24-26-16-09-38116993-41.3-1.9
4752.1Wake ForestACC0.57350.5788217-217-131-71-23-36-15-09-324372725.11.2
4552.1StanfordP120.57410.5740236-317-121-42-34-35-15-07-42912511.10.1
4955.9Ohio St.B100.57010.5676347-219-121-43-35-25-15-110-3608291-35.1-1.5
5057.9Oklahoma St.B120.56890.5842165-216-142-72-34-34-14-09-35395570.90.0
5158.7SMUAmer0.56800.5422756-321-101-22-34-27-27-09-47768105-46.3-1.9
5260.5St. BonaventureA100.56610.52201046-221-90-21-23-28-39-19-3431095010.50.4
5361.1CaliforniaP120.56550.5526597-119-111-32-34-36-17-010-24664102-40.9-1.6
5461.9ProvidenceBE0.56500.5653387-219-122-62-23-25-26-010-3401243130.91.2
5563.7San Diego St.MWC0.56420.51491183-219-80-11-13-28-47-16-394250612.70.1
5664.6Illinois St.MVC0.56300.51921103-218-90-10-22-29-46-16-336554915.60.6
5765.7UT ArlingtonSB0.56150.50201425-320-90-10-12-27-311-26-533544025.71.1
5866.9MonmouthMAAC0.56080.49511617-222-90-20-11-28-313-27-4527984-17.1-0.7
5967.5East Tennessee St.SC0.55990.47032545-123-60-00-11-18-214-18-37025286-18.5-0.8
6068.7DavidsonA100.55960.5340885-218-111-31-22-27-38-17-476894325.71.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6269.4Virginia TechACC0.55890.5485656-119-111-52-34-23-18-011-1622695613.40.5
6169.7SyracuseACC0.55920.5543565-319-122-62-24-25-27-09-4110165160-90.3-3.3
6371.0GeorgiaSEC0.55800.5806184-316-141-61-24-47-32-07-5743585-14.0-0.5
6572.0Seton HallBE0.55740.5675356-216-142-71-32-25-27-09-382140104-32.0-1.2
6472.1ClemsonACC0.55740.5717295-216-141-62-35-33-15-08-473815517.10.6
6772.3ValparaisoHorz0.55670.48791906-123-70-11-12-17-313-29-3541436012.30.5
6672.4Texas TechB120.55700.5527587-119-122-61-24-35-17-012-17530480-7.6-0.3
6874.1PittsburghACC0.55530.593776-215-161-72-24-36-22-110-344436410.10.4
7074.5BYUWCC0.55480.5265935-321-101-30-12-28-39-19-4122145162-87.5-3.4
6974.8VanderbiltSEC0.55520.597155-414-171-62-44-45-23-07-678595-20.2-0.7
7175.1ColoradoP120.55470.5382826-219-111-32-33-35-28-18-495147153-77.9-2.8
7278.4Arkansas St.SB0.55260.50201416-220-100-00-13-27-410-28-435842355.41.9
7378.8ChattanoogaSC0.55170.47752266-221-70-10-12-27-212-17-36419587-8.2-0.3
7480.5OklahomaB120.55120.5882135-214-162-72-33-33-24-08-48670130-49.5-1.7
7683.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.54880.47522345-321-80-10-11-25-215-27-438634736.11.4
7583.8AkronMAC0.54910.49701555-220-90-20-12-18-310-28-39119294-10.2-0.3
7784.2VermontAE0.54810.48422005-321-90-20-11-16-215-29-5831066321.20.8
7886.4AuburnSEC0.54740.5428726-118-131-31-24-48-34-010-3501032066.42.1
8387.0Kansas St.B120.54600.5482668-118-131-61-23-35-27-011-296325134-47.0-1.6
8187.2NebraskaB100.54640.5897114-313-161-52-53-43-23-06-55565235.21.1
8087.4MarylandB100.54640.5457697-118-121-32-34-37-25-010-2491813057.41.9
8287.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54620.47762254-319-80-20-11-14-213-28-563595433.61.1
7988.0OhioMAC0.54650.48631955-120-80-00-01-27-411-28-2692737018.00.5
8489.1New MexicoMWC0.54570.5369835-317-130-11-32-47-47-18-49390141-51.9-1.6
8590.1La SalleA100.54430.5426734-316-130-21-33-36-36-16-571176723.10.7
8690.8IllinoisB100.54420.5719286-315-151-42-43-46-33-08-48029900.80.0
8894.2BucknellPat0.54150.47942227-322-90-10-11-27-313-29-4661466826.20.9
8794.3UtahP120.54240.5403774-115-111-42-32-24-17-16-2104176143-48.7-1.4
8994.8OaklandHorz0.54140.46662686-122-70-00-11-26-215-28-3129313197-102.2-3.3
9095.6Louisiana TechCUSA0.54080.46982564-321-80-10-12-33-216-17-4113223185-89.4-3.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9396.6RiceCUSA0.53970.48292066-220-90-00-12-35-313-28-389216155-58.4-2.0
9196.9Tennessee St.OVC0.54030.47112506-119-80-11-01-25-312-28-3672706927.90.9
9297.3Colorado St.MWC0.54000.5258965-217-120-11-23-37-46-18-392114109-11.7-0.3
9497.5GeorgetownBE0.53970.5782225-415-162-62-32-45-24-07-613458118-20.5-0.7
95101.1LSUSEC0.53770.5716305-214-161-42-43-45-43-08-46121116-14.9-0.4
96101.8Georgia St.SB0.53690.50011483-317-110-10-12-36-49-25-587603962.81.7
97102.4Old DominionCUSA0.53650.49631575-320-100-10-12-36-311-28-4105115114-11.6-0.4
98104.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.53590.51411193-315-120-00-12-46-57-24-5114128180-75.1-2.0
99105.1IonaMAAC0.53480.49161754-320-110-01-21-26-311-47-468107117-11.9-0.4
103105.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.53390.45632914-421-100-30-11-21-218-25-84297530.61.4
102106.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53410.49481685-218-110-00-12-35-311-37-4109235135-28.3-0.8
101106.9WashingtonP120.53410.5475674-316-141-42-42-43-28-17-5152180181-74.1-2.2
100107.2BelmontOVC0.53420.48382034-317-100-10-11-25-311-27-4107198126-18.8-0.5
104107.9LehighPat0.53310.48751923-517-110-10-01-25-411-34-611174147-39.1-1.1
105108.7WinthropBSth0.53260.46262793-319-80-10-11-13-214-35-4991517731.71.0
106108.9Boise St.MWC0.53260.51991094-416-130-11-23-37-66-16-5139214133-24.1-0.7
108109.7MassachusettsA100.53230.52451005-218-130-11-32-46-48-19-41061777930.70.9
107110.3PrincetonIvy0.53230.49501641-416-100-00-11-33-311-26-610357163-52.7-1.4
109110.5North Carolina St.ACC0.53140.5581506-216-151-61-32-35-26-110-3852006545.51.4
110111.9YaleIvy0.53090.48192123-417-90-10-11-24-310-37-5981341101.90.1
111112.4TennesseeSEC0.53060.5734253-313-171-71-32-45-25-06-614234173-60.6-1.7
112114.9Fort WayneSum0.52880.45662905-319-81-10-10-14-214-28-3902367143.91.3
113117.3College of CharlestonCAA0.52770.49931506-319-110-11-22-26-410-28-41021255364.31.9
115118.0ConnecticutAmer0.52730.5591473-413-160-31-43-44-35-25-616666209-91.0-2.7
114118.1Utah St.MWC0.52770.5425743-414-140-11-22-57-55-15-514978200-81.9-2.2
118118.2TexasB120.52680.5927104-412-191-71-53-64-23-07-613146129-10.8-0.3
116118.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52690.46942594-417-90-10-11-25-312-37-5154293239-120.4-3.4
117119.2Northern IowaMVC0.52680.5266922-415-130-31-22-26-56-24-6146457346.21.3
119119.3AlabamaSEC0.52620.5409764-316-141-31-33-45-36-07-5150156187-67.7-1.9
120120.3MarshallCUSA0.52600.52021085-316-140-10-22-55-49-26-61003810020.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
122120.6Penn St.B100.52560.5625436-314-171-61-42-36-35-09-411814210119.60.6
121120.6New Mexico St.WAC0.52560.46692656-219-80-00-01-27-411-29-41202819228.60.7
123121.1MississippiSEC0.52500.5599466-215-161-51-33-47-44-09-488402992.12.7
124126.8Saint Joseph'sA100.52270.5450713-414-160-21-32-55-46-25-7126507452.81.4
125127.0New HampshireAE0.52240.47502355-317-100-10-11-23-312-47-48416211215.00.4
126132.3Indiana St.MVC0.51910.52201033-415-140-20-31-36-47-35-613371182-49.7-1.4
127134.9BuffaloMAC0.51780.50831272-415-140-20-21-34-410-35-61281558252.91.3
128137.2UABCUSA0.51660.49161744-418-120-20-11-34-412-26-6183166193-55.8-1.6
129138.5RutgersB100.51560.5251987-115-150-41-42-43-28-110-21123408355.51.5
131138.5MemphisAmer0.51510.51331216-217-140-21-42-44-310-19-4174255188-49.5-1.3
130138.9Murray St.OVC0.51550.47382434-417-110-00-11-16-510-46-6182253222-83.1-2.1
132140.5FurmanSC0.51440.47992203-417-120-00-11-44-411-35-6147221207-66.5-1.9
134141.2PortlandWCC0.51410.51631154-315-150-50-11-24-410-37-5157232145-3.8-0.1
133141.7Utah ValleyWAC0.51440.47452364-315-110-10-01-23-410-47-51212399843.71.1
135142.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.51320.5248994-315-150-20-31-37-66-27-597488161.11.6
136143.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51300.48941835-217-120-01-21-35-69-28-3132316170-26.6-0.7
137143.8PennIvy0.51270.48991812-415-120-10-21-34-310-36-714010112320.80.5
138144.9SienaMAAC0.51230.50591303-616-150-10-11-44-510-44-716041225-80.1-1.9
139146.4North Dakota St.Sum0.51120.47412394-316-110-10-11-13-511-46-51011268957.41.4
140147.4Missouri St.MVC0.51060.49031793-217-120-11-22-26-59-27-4175314151-3.6-0.1
141149.0AlbanyAE0.50990.46972583-418-120-10-11-24-413-47-7167229168-19.0-0.5
142149.3South AlabamaSB0.50950.48921865-217-120-00-11-35-410-37-414529910643.31.1
145150.8ElonCAA0.50880.49131775-316-130-10-11-25-510-36-513620413119.80.5
143150.9Central MichiganMAC0.50900.48022196-217-120-00-11-36-59-38-311727112426.90.7
144151.4WyomingMWC0.50890.50571314-215-130-00-12-46-67-27-312526011536.40.8
146152.6Little RockSB0.50810.47072534-218-110-11-12-24-311-47-416532810745.61.2
148154.9TowsonCAA0.50660.49551593-416-140-00-11-36-59-46-6173174190-35.1-0.9
149155.0Mississippi St.SEC0.50620.5367846-214-160-41-33-55-46-09-3124219174-19.0-0.5
147155.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50680.49751544-415-140-10-11-45-59-46-713812012728.60.7
150156.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50590.45043023-216-100-10-10-13-313-44-41532411524.50.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151157.6St. John'sBE0.50490.5635404-511-201-71-42-52-26-16-7205184243-85.4-2.5
152159.9UC IrvineBW0.50410.48352044-515-140-10-20-32-313-55-811520165-5.1-0.1
154160.4San FranciscoWCC0.50370.50151436-115-130-40-11-24-410-38-214433814812.40.3
153160.7IUPUISum0.50370.47672273-614-140-00-21-34-410-45-71481481582.70.1
155161.2Arizona St.P120.50300.5626425-412-190-61-52-52-27-17-61647314219.20.6
156161.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50300.39973475-320-70-00-00-12-218-37-41082946695.93.2
157162.2Green BayHorz0.50290.50051463-514-150-10-11-35-78-44-7156771548.20.2
158164.8FairfieldMAAC0.50160.47632305-316-130-00-11-34-511-45-4161264186-21.2-0.5
160164.9Northern KentuckyHorz0.50090.48092174-316-130-10-11-24-511-56-5151226195-30.1-0.8
159165.0SamfordSC0.50160.47132485-316-130-10-11-33-412-36-514327211946.01.3
161166.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50060.46522713-316-110-10-10-13-412-44-51351087690.22.1
165167.7Wright St.Horz0.49970.48921845-315-140-00-11-35-79-46-513015914918.70.5
163167.9Tennessee MartinOVC0.50000.47192476-216-130-10-11-24-511-48-511925610364.91.6
164167.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.49990.5253971-313-150-40-11-34-58-25-5230205298-130.1-3.1
162168.0Air ForceMWC0.50000.52041074-314-150-00-22-46-76-26-5185188169-1.0-0.0
166170.4MissouriSEC0.49870.5366855-313-171-41-32-43-46-07-5216254221-50.6-1.3
168170.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.49820.47902243-514-140-10-10-34-510-35-712711712248.81.2
169171.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49820.47072521-314-110-10-10-13-410-42-522597292-120.7-2.5
167171.5William & MaryCAA0.49840.50471342-412-150-20-11-24-57-43-618798212-40.5-0.9
170172.2Fresno St.MWC0.49770.51381204-312-160-10-32-54-66-25-5200319270-97.8-2.3
171172.5ToledoMAC0.49750.50811283-514-160-00-21-46-78-35-71699611161.51.5
172173.0East CarolinaAmer0.49720.50901267-316-150-31-41-33-410-29-4155284177-4.0-0.1
173173.6RichmondA100.49700.51111234-415-150-11-31-53-49-26-6224244208-34.4-0.9
176173.7UNC GreensboroSC0.49660.48022185-216-120-10-11-44-410-36-41631941649.70.2
174174.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49690.48162131-815-160-20-20-22-313-63-101722411361.11.5
175174.3PacificWCC0.49670.51711133-414-160-40-11-25-57-36-6202233191-16.7-0.4
177175.7UMKCWAC0.49530.49501635-414-140-30-01-24-69-47-714112214431.70.8
179179.4Grand CanyonWAC0.49370.47392413-417-120-20-11-24-412-38-720824815722.40.6
178179.7Boston UniversityPat0.49380.46892603-416-130-00-01-34-611-45-6219242237-57.3-1.3
181185.0CharlotteCUSA0.49100.49111785-314-140-10-11-44-39-45-518118713847.01.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180185.3MercerSC0.49140.49461693-414-150-10-11-54-59-34-71889913649.31.2
183186.0EvansvilleMVC0.49050.51621164-413-160-20-31-35-67-26-51581041797.00.2
182186.5NJITASun0.49060.46482754-514-140-10-20-31-313-56-8171186229-42.5-1.0
185187.8George WashingtonA100.48970.5263955-413-180-21-51-53-57-26-7199129223-35.2-1.0
186189.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.48900.47252454-413-160-00-11-33-69-56-716831115633.20.8
184189.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.48990.45632922-314-110-00-00-13-410-53-4180275246-56.7-1.3
189189.4TulsaAmer0.48860.5361863-311-170-31-51-42-47-25-5213171210-20.6-0.5
187189.5DePaulBE0.48890.5521605-211-191-71-41-43-36-18-418626812069.52.0
190190.1ArmyPat0.48850.48092153-415-140-00-11-33-511-55-6196157250-59.9-1.4
188190.1IowaB100.48880.5465684-512-190-51-42-53-46-16-7261217257-66.9-1.9
191190.9NortheasternCAA0.48840.49801534-513-170-00-11-35-66-64-8195172280-89.1-2.1
192191.1Saint Peter'sMAAC0.48820.47642294-315-150-10-11-34-510-55-5192276299-107.9-2.6
193191.2Georgia SouthernSB0.48820.49031803-413-160-00-11-53-69-44-7178185256-64.8-1.5
194191.5George MasonA100.48760.50341385-314-160-10-31-44-68-27-5184265203-11.5-0.3
195192.1Georgia TechACC0.48740.5520614-311-190-61-42-62-36-17-52152821893.10.1
196192.3San Jose St.MWC0.48700.51741113-311-160-10-21-44-66-35-419826312864.31.6
197194.0Gardner WebbBSth0.48640.46382772-415-130-00-11-52-312-43-7222193248-54.0-1.3
198195.1Holy CrossPat0.48620.48392023-515-160-10-11-44-511-56-715914414055.11.4
201195.3Kent St.MAC0.48540.46982554-316-140-00-01-35-610-47-5265347303-107.7-2.5
199195.4PepperdineWCC0.48600.5403783-410-190-40-10-34-75-44-719775230-34.6-0.9
200195.9UNLVMWC0.48560.52251015-313-180-30-32-44-77-16-7239206232-36.1-0.9
202197.7HarvardIvy0.48510.48232082-412-130-00-11-33-58-44-7221160249-51.3-1.1
203198.1RiderMAAC0.48480.46082844-316-150-00-11-34-611-66-5189344220-21.9-0.6
204198.8CanisiusMAAC0.48400.49361703-514-170-10-11-34-79-54-719113013959.81.5
205200.9Long Beach St.BW0.48320.49991490-912-180-40-10-22-49-72-122031118416.90.4
206201.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48250.45142995-216-130-10-10-13-413-66-511613978123.02.7
207201.7JacksonvilleASun0.48240.42293375-316-110-00-00-22-414-58-517734618318.70.5
208202.1Loyola MDPat0.48240.48152143-413-150-10-11-24-59-74-613713799103.12.3
209208.3UMBCAE0.47920.44863084-115-120-00-00-22-412-56-5194341219-10.7-0.2
210208.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.47890.48831893-413-150-00-11-24-67-64-6249238289-80.2-1.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211209.7Weber St.BSky0.47850.46672671-513-140-00-10-22-511-62-7272116313-103.3-2.4
212212.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.47730.48561974-412-160-10-10-24-68-56-616218312587.02.1
213212.6Montana St.BSky0.47670.44723113-416-130-00-00-13-413-75-6233228255-42.4-1.0
214217.5DrexelCAA0.47460.48212114-412-180-00-10-34-88-55-719329714671.51.8
215218.5Coastal CarolinaSB0.47430.51031252-611-180-00-21-73-67-33-8267118278-59.5-1.4
216219.2Western MichiganMAC0.47370.51701141-510-190-20-11-53-76-43-8262138275-55.8-1.3
217219.4FordhamA100.47370.50411374-412-180-10-31-54-67-46-6246291267-47.6-1.2
218221.4HofstraCAA0.47250.48481985-413-170-10-10-34-69-56-620125820417.40.5
219222.0South DakotaSum0.47210.47212464-414-150-10-10-24-710-56-717617320517.00.4
220222.2LibertyBSth0.47210.47452372-513-150-10-21-31-511-53-7254100307-84.8-2.1
221224.4Morehead St.OVC0.47120.49491671-510-170-10-11-33-76-43-8263168285-60.6-1.3
227225.1DelawareCAA0.46990.48232093-312-170-00-11-34-88-55-6228302231-5.9-0.1
223225.3BryantNEC0.47040.46642702-714-160-20-10-12-411-94-82186215075.31.8
222225.5Houston BaptistSlnd0.47050.48921850-410-150-10-20-32-57-51-6231420124.50.5
224225.9WagnerNEC0.47020.44383142-514-130-00-10-22-412-73-6240211268-42.1-1.1
226226.1Robert MorrisNEC0.46990.46692663-714-170-10-00-22-612-74-921480244-17.9-0.5
225226.2MilwaukeeHorz0.47000.49551603-511-190-00-11-44-87-64-819013217254.21.4
228226.5Ball St.MAC0.46970.46382784-415-150-00-11-34-810-37-5266348284-57.5-1.4
229227.6Washington St.P120.46950.5497623-48-210-40-41-53-54-35-625921519631.61.0
230227.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.46870.47652281-311-140-00-00-23-78-52-525811317156.91.2
231229.5North DakotaBSky0.46810.42783321-214-110-00-00-12-411-62-5220164293-63.5-1.4
232230.0IdahoBSky0.46790.43723213-314-130-00-00-02-412-84-520724619436.00.8
234230.6Austin PeayOVC0.46740.49501622-410-180-10-10-24-66-64-821213313298.62.3
233230.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46780.44233153-415-140-00-00-22-513-75-6204317269-38.4-0.9
235232.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46680.44873074-313-140-00-00-14-68-65-6282349247-14.6-0.3
236233.5Boston CollegeACC0.46670.5486644-39-220-60-41-62-45-27-6276305291-57.5-2.0
237233.8SouthernSWAC0.46580.40453452-316-120-10-00-21-316-53-7234237241-7.2-0.2
240236.7South Dakota St.Sum0.46420.48701942-612-170-00-10-34-87-54-924591261-24.3-0.6
239237.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46430.48971822-511-160-01-21-32-57-72-727015421720.10.5
238237.3Bowling GreenMAC0.46440.49281722-612-180-10-11-34-87-55-7287280273-35.7-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241238.3Youngstown St.Horz0.46370.48761913-511-180-00-11-33-77-64-721719721622.30.6
242240.5San DiegoWCC0.46230.52251023-59-200-50-20-32-77-45-625022517862.51.8
243241.5MontanaBSky0.46170.44893062-615-160-10-10-12-613-74-929024922714.50.4
244244.3DuquesneA100.46060.50291394-612-190-21-31-32-68-56-728028319846.31.4
245244.4DenverSum0.46050.45792883-413-160-00-10-24-89-56-722328721430.40.8
246244.6WoffordSC0.46030.49131760-610-180-00-21-53-66-51-9309167300-55.4-1.4
247245.0High PointBSth0.46010.46502733-513-150-00-10-42-410-64-623617516778.02.1
250245.9Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45930.46742633-413-160-00-01-23-89-55-6295334254-8.1-0.2
249246.3ColumbiaIvy0.45940.46212813-411-150-00-10-32-69-55-7237301252-5.7-0.1
248246.4Santa ClaraWCC0.45950.51731123-610-200-40-10-33-76-44-8304262296-49.6-1.4
251246.8MaristMAAC0.45890.49491654-511-200-10-10-33-88-64-717911123610.80.3
252248.5TroySB0.45830.49211733-410-190-00-11-42-77-55-625531220642.51.1
253249.8Western KentuckyCUSA0.45750.49691563-511-200-10-11-53-97-45-8274231295-45.2-1.2
256251.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.45620.42543345-316-140-00-00-02-513-86-620633520249.21.3
254251.7Cleveland St.Horz0.45640.50601292-59-200-20-10-43-76-63-82425623318.70.5
255252.2Stony BrookAE0.45640.46662693-513-160-00-01-23-68-85-8277266281-28.8-0.7
259252.7New OrleansSlnd0.45500.45942872-311-150-00-10-22-58-62-6211141121131.73.1
257254.1North FloridaASun0.45540.48392011-79-180-10-20-41-58-63-102528319955.11.4
258254.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.45510.48571962-511-190-10-11-44-77-74-625721319262.31.7
260254.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45420.46102831-511-170-10-10-21-610-82-826987301-46.2-1.1
261256.1UC DavisBW0.45400.44193164-413-160-00-00-22-511-85-8210261290-33.9-0.9
262256.5Texas St.SB0.45340.45392963-312-160-00-11-33-59-75-5285351297-40.5-1.0
263257.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.45300.46392763-410-170-00-10-22-58-83-61239297160.74.2
268259.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.45080.44913051-411-140-00-10-22-69-62-524718917584.42.0
266260.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45110.46082852-612-150-10-10-22-510-63-826010523426.00.6
267260.2BinghamtonAE0.45090.45412954-412-160-00-10-32-610-76-623532723822.20.6
264260.2Charleston SouthernBSth0.45120.46492741-410-160-00-10-42-48-72-6271179272-11.8-0.3
265261.3ManhattanMAAC0.45120.49491662-710-210-10-20-43-87-73-8226127274-12.7-0.4
269261.6NavyPat0.45070.47992213-611-180-00-10-33-87-74-725617022833.60.9
270261.7Cal PolyBW0.45020.45123003-412-160-00-00-23-79-84-823220821843.71.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
272262.6USC UpstateASun0.44970.45023034-511-160-00-00-42-59-66-7209279137125.63.5
275263.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.44950.50061451-59-200-00-21-63-75-64-7279251332-68.4-1.9
277263.8RadfordBSth0.44900.48092162-510-180-20-10-31-58-62-8238532630.80.0
271264.0James MadisonCAA0.44980.49801521-79-210-00-10-33-115-63-9292196304-40.0-1.1
273264.5South FloridaAmer0.44960.50541324-310-190-30-30-32-67-46-528333324519.50.6
276264.6BrownIvy0.44910.46182825-512-160-10-10-22-610-57-722729521351.61.4
274264.9Oregon St.P120.44950.5383812-67-230-40-51-52-64-34-8330330309-44.1-1.6
279265.1SeattleWAC0.44790.47532321-510-160-10-10-32-78-55-7289278159106.12.7
278265.6Appalachian St.SB0.44820.49611581-58-190-10-11-52-75-52-729926724223.60.6
280266.5NiagaraMAAC0.44770.47392402-611-200-00-11-33-77-93-8313322286-19.5-0.5
281266.6FIUCUSA0.44750.48461991-610-190-10-11-32-67-73-8310220287-20.4-0.6
282267.2HowardMEAC0.44710.43343251-513-160-00-20-31-512-62-11273112325-57.8-1.6
283267.9CornellIvy0.44690.48721932-58-190-00-20-42-66-64-9244158277-9.1-0.2
284268.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.44650.48901871-79-220-20-20-22-77-82-112754725315.80.4
285269.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44630.46512723-411-170-10-00-23-88-65-728833125118.30.5
287269.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.44540.48332050-59-180-10-20-21-57-82-9241182654.90.1
286271.5Western CarolinaSC0.44550.51091242-57-220-10-20-51-85-53-817026161110.53.9
289274.7HawaiiBW0.44270.44473133-413-130-10-10-12-311-74-6294218283-8.3-0.2
288275.4Chicago St.WAC0.44270.49841511-46-210-10-10-31-84-62-1124815217699.42.8
290276.3LafayettePat0.44200.47292443-410-180-10-00-33-77-74-624322726412.30.4
291279.1St. Francis PANEC0.43960.44503122-411-170-00-10-21-410-93-7281224323-43.9-1.2
292280.6UMass LowellAE0.43910.46742642-811-190-10-00-22-78-94-10306289321-40.4-1.2
295281.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.43780.44013191-511-160-10-10-21-310-92-7251123166115.33.2
293282.0BradleyMVC0.43910.50511333-58-220-10-30-42-95-54-828423025923.00.9
294282.3Idaho St.BSky0.43800.47942231-79-200-10-10-31-78-91-1030065319-36.7-1.1
297282.9Portland St.BSky0.43670.42133392-311-150-00-00-12-610-83-5268324308-25.1-0.7
296284.4TulaneAmer0.43750.51531171-77-230-30-40-42-85-54-8329323302-17.6-0.7
298286.5Saint LouisA100.43610.52051062-67-240-10-41-62-85-44-93022092824.50.2
299287.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43380.43173281-711-180-10-10-21-510-102-1126413526225.90.8
300289.2UTEPCUSA0.43340.46842611-410-180-00-11-42-67-73-7303234331-41.8-1.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301289.2ColgatePat0.43340.47122491-79-210-10-10-32-76-102-10314277324-34.8-1.1
302290.1Oral RobertsSum0.43260.50281400-76-220-20-10-32-104-61-112963025832.11.1
303293.0CampbellBSth0.43080.44073183-411-160-00-10-31-410-84-529334327617.00.6
304293.6DetroitHorz0.43030.50461350-76-230-00-10-52-94-71-1030588306-12.4-0.4
305293.8LipscombASun0.42940.46072861-89-190-10-00-31-78-83-11322240344-50.2-1.6
306294.8Miami OHMAC0.42910.49321713-58-210-00-10-42-105-64-7317308314-19.2-0.7
308294.9Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42900.43913200-710-180-10-20-20-49-91-1130185315-20.1-0.7
307294.9North TexasCUSA0.42910.48292072-49-190-00-10-51-77-64-631129624054.92.0
309299.0The CitadelSC0.42660.47092514-48-200-10-10-41-87-64-625330622475.03.1
310299.0AmericanPat0.42610.48222101-78-210-10-10-32-76-82-9320178345-46.0-1.7
313301.7UC RiversideBW0.42240.45542940-48-180-10-00-11-67-102-828616321190.72.8
312302.6LamarSlnd0.42270.42433353-411-160-00-00-01-79-94-529835023567.62.4
311303.1UTSACUSA0.42280.46252802-69-200-00-10-41-67-93-8327310337-33.9-1.3
314304.2Tennessee TechOVC0.42230.46982572-68-210-00-10-42-95-73-10331337342-37.8-1.5
315305.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42050.40693431-612-160-10-00-20-412-91-9328247312-6.3-0.3
316307.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41950.43213261-710-200-20-10-31-39-111-112789322681.23.4
317308.2DrakeMVC0.41940.50431360-66-220-10-20-32-103-52-8339286335-26.8-1.3
321309.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.41620.45692890-67-200-20-30-30-37-90-11229121594.43.6
320309.9Norfolk St.MEAC0.41650.42333360-710-180-20-10-21-510-91-1131211026643.91.8
318310.2Sacred HeartNEC0.41690.43003294-512-190-00-00-12-510-135-829732928822.21.0
319310.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.41680.44983042-68-200-00-10-31-67-94-10307309317-6.7-0.3
322312.5UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.41500.47382422-86-220-00-10-21-115-83-11316307330-17.5-0.8
323312.6HamptonMEAC0.41390.40363461-612-150-00-00-11-510-92-9318207326-13.4-0.6
324315.8MaineAE0.41210.46752621-67-230-10-10-31-76-113-1132329830510.80.5
325316.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.41050.45063010-98-230-30-20-20-48-120-132912727145.62.1
327319.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.40630.42143380-68-180-00-00-30-68-90-83156126059.52.7
326319.6DartmouthIvy0.40740.47432380-66-210-00-10-41-84-92-11326257346-26.4-1.3
328322.2VMISC0.40550.48871880-64-230-10-20-41-73-90-9341203347-24.8-1.5
329323.3StetsonASun0.40310.44723102-67-210-00-10-21-76-113-113213213203.30.2
330324.6Morgan St.MEAC0.40140.39663492-612-160-00-10-10-411-113-932525931113.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331324.7McNeese St.Slnd0.40130.47552310-45-210-10-10-21-84-100-83085227945.72.5
332325.7HartfordAE0.40130.44733092-78-230-00-00-31-77-133-12343345333-7.3-0.5
333325.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.39930.42953302-59-180-00-00-12-67-113-8333336336-10.2-0.5
335327.0Southern UtahBSky0.39790.43643220-67-220-00-00-11-66-141-10338285338-11.0-0.6
334327.2PresbyterianBSth0.39800.45152982-57-200-00-00-31-75-102-7319315328-0.8-0.0
337328.9St. Francis NYNEC0.39590.44073171-78-220-10-00-11-67-142-1033630031612.90.8
336329.0Alabama St.SWAC0.39610.40733421-710-190-00-10-30-39-121-10337288341-12.0-0.8
338329.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.39560.43173272-58-210-00-00-11-67-142-932433229435.42.3
340331.9LongwoodBSth0.39220.45312971-46-210-10-10-31-55-121-8347318351-19.1-1.4
339332.1Southern MissCUSA0.39230.47532331-45-210-00-20-50-64-81-73402923275.10.4
341335.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38620.42603330-67-230-00-00-20-77-130-123351613341.00.1
342336.4Sacramento St.BSky0.38310.43633230-66-210-00-00-11-65-141-83452453297.40.6
343338.0Western IllinoisSum0.38080.45552930-64-210-10-00-21-73-111-8350339349-11.0-1.0
344338.4Grambling St.SWAC0.37950.39623502-69-190-10-00-20-39-132-833232631028.42.6
345340.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37420.39193511-79-190-00-10-10-59-132-103463203400.50.0
346342.0Northern ArizonaBSky0.37280.43483241-86-240-00-00-10-76-161-113423033393.00.4
347342.9Coppin St.MEAC0.36870.42913310-95-240-00-10-40-55-140-1333411931824.93.1
348343.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.36830.41933400-76-230-10-00-10-76-151-1234829032221.12.7
349345.3Florida A&MMEAC0.36100.40683440-76-210-10-00-00-56-150-11349274348-2.7-0.4
350345.5Savannah St.MEAC0.36030.41603410-85-220-10-10-20-45-140-113441913432.50.4
351350.1Alabama A&MSWAC0.33240.39683480-74-250-00-00-20-64-180-113513423500.10.0


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com