live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 22, 2018.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.9VillanovaBE0.66790.58312018-128-34-16-16-09-04-013-02502-0.1-0.1
23.0DukeACC0.66060.5922917-226-55-24-06-210-12-013-01912.00.9
33.8VirginiaACC0.65500.58142218-126-44-33-15-09-04-011-18684-0.2-0.1
46.0KansasB120.64460.6068216-325-65-25-28-25-03-011-217177-1.0-0.3
56.2XavierBE0.64380.59141018-325-63-34-26-18-13-012-153233.20.8
66.4PurdueB100.64140.56254519-227-43-14-15-110-05-011-2269010-3.6-1.1
76.7North CarolinaACC0.64130.6103116-522-94-44-26-26-12-011-26751.70.4
810.9CincinnatiAmer0.62880.55006817-227-41-34-17-16-08-011-24120124-13.1-2.4
1014.2Rhode IslandA100.62220.55256215-324-51-22-14-110-17-08-311395.20.7
914.3ClemsonACC0.62250.58631316-322-84-33-15-27-14-011-174068.31.1
1114.5NevadaMWC0.62040.54767318-326-61-11-15-114-25-011-31330131.50.2
1216.0ArizonaP120.61850.56204816-424-71-13-17-210-13-010-32954160.00.0
1318.1AuburnSEC0.61590.56394417-224-72-23-37-38-14-012-11285810.11.0
1418.2Wichita St.Amer0.61430.56664015-423-71-22-38-27-05-010-2278129-10.8-1.4
1518.9West VirginiaB120.61390.56843716-424-74-44-26-14-07-012-13922221-2.1-0.2
1620.2KentuckySEC0.61250.5973514-521-102-54-36-26-02-010-3105191.20.1
1720.7Michigan St.B100.61030.53878518-326-52-21-14-112-17-012-12820527-6.3-0.8
1820.7Ohio St.B100.61020.56783918-424-71-32-25-112-14-09-47941155.70.7
1922.3OklahomaB120.60930.58451514-420-104-34-34-33-15-011-1221171111.31.0
2022.8LouisvilleACC0.60840.58451415-422-92-62-24-19-14-010-33356148.80.8
2123.4TCUB120.60770.5926815-521-103-53-26-26-14-013-0345176.40.6
2224.4TennesseeSEC0.60560.57992313-521-93-42-25-29-12-010-214191212.41.1
2325.7Seton HallBE0.60410.58292115-521-103-53-23-18-14-011-21865187.70.7
2625.8FloridaSEC0.60390.57872514-522-94-35-25-23-15-09-47533250.80.1
2425.9Miami FLACC0.60400.56973414-421-91-42-24-28-15-011-115101205.90.5
2526.2Texas TechB120.60390.56853615-422-94-32-25-24-17-012-136220224.20.3
2729.4Texas A&MSEC0.59940.59051113-620-112-54-35-24-14-011-241433-3.6-0.3
2829.5CreightonBE0.59890.56155015-521-92-43-34-27-16-010-26524135-5.5-0.5
2931.6Arizona St.P120.59630.54547615-423-73-11-16-48-14-012-09144301.60.1
3032.6Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59480.54267813-522-70-21-23-29-19-07-4214239.60.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3133.7BuffaloMAC0.59380.53888413-522-80-20-22-213-28-07-5348285.70.5
3233.9GonzagaWCC0.59320.515011917-426-51-22-23-17-013-010-3307556-22.1-3.0
3434.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.59210.497316119-228-30-02-12-111-112-011-24818940-5.3-0.6
3334.7USCP120.59280.56903515-621-101-22-36-38-24-09-4352639-4.3-0.4
3537.6ButlerBE0.58950.58441614-720-113-52-44-27-05-010-33266316.60.5
3637.9MichiganB100.58920.54917016-521-91-42-13-28-26-010-266247370.90.1
3739.3Boise St.MWC0.58750.521110915-422-70-21-14-29-28-09-249192345.30.4
3939.8Florida St.ACC0.58700.55096614-521-93-42-13-26-17-011-17130941-1.2-0.1
3840.1AlabamaSEC0.58720.5987313-618-133-43-34-37-21-08-546112614.10.9
4141.6SMUAmer0.58500.55246314-622-93-33-23-24-210-010-35810954-12.4-1.0
4041.9ArkansasSEC0.58520.57363013-620-113-43-35-36-23-011-22359329.90.6
4242.0HoustonAmer0.58470.53029315-422-82-22-14-25-110-110-26926848-6.0-0.5
4443.2New Mexico St.WAC0.58320.496116615-323-41-01-22-18-112-010-3318945-1.8-0.2
4343.7TexasB120.58340.5930713-718-133-63-33-35-14-010-35063421.70.1
4544.3ProvidenceBE0.58250.58381914-619-122-52-34-26-24-09-47477368.30.6
4845.2Western KentuckyCUSA0.58120.54247913-621-91-21-13-26-210-17-55110441.20.1
4645.2SyracuseACC0.58160.58701213-619-122-62-24-28-23-011-21623432.20.1
4745.8MissouriSEC0.58130.56833812-619-112-42-35-27-23-09-34799387.80.5
4950.0St. BonaventureA100.57680.53598812-621-91-22-13-26-48-110-21948491.00.1
5050.9MarylandB100.57570.56514214-719-111-41-33-29-25-010-23715852-1.1-0.1
5152.9MarquetteBE0.57390.57702613-618-121-73-23-26-15-09-391125475.90.4
5255.3VermontAE0.57130.483719715-523-70-10-11-36-116-19-55513270-14.7-1.4
5357.8Missouri St.MVC0.56930.526310314-620-100-01-04-212-64-19-35712669-11.2-0.7
5457.8Notre DameACC0.56930.55925212-718-122-62-13-26-36-09-39221362-4.2-0.3
5558.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.56920.506313615-422-71-01-12-211-37-19-26828763-4.8-0.3
5659.0Kansas St.B120.56820.55046715-520-112-62-34-15-17-011-2143326536.00.4
5861.2East Tennessee St.SC0.56590.483619914-423-60-20-03-26-214-17-48714865-3.8-0.3
5761.4Louisiana LafayetteSB0.56610.474622515-324-50-10-01-17-216-18-363185610.40.0
5961.7TempleAmer0.56580.58391810-916-142-52-23-45-43-18-425184615.71.0
6163.2BYUWCC0.56420.501714817-424-70-11-32-19-212-111-23815172-8.8-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6063.3UCLAP120.56490.55395813-719-111-32-34-47-25-09-3527864-0.7-0.0
6265.8South Dakota St.Sum0.56240.496416513-520-70-21-11-37-211-18-57292587.80.5
6367.2UtahP120.56170.55525512-717-120-31-35-47-14-08-385186607.20.4
6468.0GeorgiaSEC0.56160.56464312-617-131-43-34-45-23-09-3451635117.00.8
6668.5OregonP120.56080.54887113-720-111-32-34-37-26-010-311420892-23.5-1.3
6568.8BaylorB120.56080.58401711-816-142-83-32-23-17-09-35913998-29.2-1.4
6769.1UCFAmer0.56010.55276113-618-121-42-34-35-28-09-3731215712.10.7
6871.1South CarolinaSEC0.55880.57622911-716-142-52-43-36-24-08-462935516.10.8
6971.4Virginia TechACC0.55860.55495714-619-123-71-32-16-17-011-211532382-10.6-0.5
7071.5ToledoMAC0.55820.513512312-620-100-10-11-211-49-27-512714674-2.5-0.1
7174.5Old DominionCUSA0.55580.481920415-423-70-01-22-26-215-19-38223885-10.5-0.6
7276.1WashingtonP120.55470.55236414-619-122-11-34-66-26-010-343495026.11.3
7380.1NortheasternCAA0.55230.518611412-718-110-10-13-55-49-16-56736773.10.1
7581.7BelmontOVC0.55040.479221515-623-80-11-11-14-416-18-5108142783.70.2
7482.8DavidsonA100.55070.520611110-718-111-41-11-15-310-25-6167111111-28.2-1.2
7684.1Utah ValleyWAC0.54920.502714712-618-90-20-21-14-313-18-56073804.10.2
7784.5ColoradoP120.54890.56095112-816-141-32-23-46-54-08-41131455925.51.2
7986.6BucknellPat0.54740.483819613-821-100-10-11-24-415-26-710161114-27.4-1.5
7886.6San Diego St.MWC0.54800.523810610-718-101-22-22-26-47-17-397159121-34.4-1.5
8087.4Murray St.OVC0.54660.473122812-521-60-10-11-15-214-16-3125187104-16.6-0.9
8188.2FurmanSC0.54650.495016912-620-90-20-12-26-312-17-46164110-21.8-1.1
8289.4StanfordP120.54560.57632811-916-151-62-25-35-43-16-717034872.40.1
8389.7TowsonCAA0.54560.494017112-719-100-00-03-36-410-28-342174106-16.3-0.7
8489.8Northern KentuckyHorz0.54500.472623112-621-70-00-12-23-316-15-59944103-13.2-0.7
8593.5William & MaryCAA0.54340.514112111-616-110-10-13-54-210-25-440386825.51.1
8795.1IonaMAAC0.54210.495316812-819-110-10-11-37-412-26-6116122116-20.9-1.0
8695.1Oklahoma St.B120.54270.56154913-617-142-73-42-33-07-010-3132283914.10.2
8895.5St. John'sBE0.54190.598549-1013-171-71-53-24-33-09-324258114.50.6
8998.1MinnesotaB100.54070.53978314-818-130-41-21-38-46-011-2702347523.11.0
9098.2MontanaBSky0.54010.461926812-520-80-00-00-37-413-15-5187264109-10.8-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9198.5South DakotaSum0.54010.466225414-520-70-20-11-24-314-19-4100274113-14.5-0.7
92100.1Boston CollegeACC0.53960.54717413-717-141-51-42-34-19-010-31313086733.11.2
93100.9MarshallCUSA0.53900.500215313-619-110-11-22-34-213-38-4121240964.90.2
94101.9WyomingMWC0.53840.53289111-717-130-31-13-27-55-28-476867328.91.1
95102.0LSUSEC0.53830.55635311-716-141-34-43-43-26-09-3941521011.00.0
96102.7NebraskaB100.53830.52729914-818-130-41-22-38-48-09-41592726636.71.4
97102.8ConnecticutAmer0.53780.57353110-915-160-71-43-34-27-07-6112279012.80.5
98103.2Fresno St.MWC0.53770.512812512-618-100-20-22-37-48-08-3137285117-13.8-0.6
99104.7North Carolina St.ACC0.53670.54946913-717-143-51-32-34-37-010-31632938618.70.7
100104.8RiderMAAC0.53670.487318513-720-100-10-11-26-412-27-5891109311.80.5
101105.2IndianaB100.53660.55575412-816-141-61-23-17-55-07-51921759411.20.4
103105.6HofstraCAA0.53570.513612211-817-120-30-04-35-38-36-588528421.60.9
102106.2UC DavisBW0.53580.486818710-717-110-10-00-28-69-17-553767135.21.3
104107.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53500.462326612-519-90-10-11-18-411-29-3562301007.80.3
105108.4College of CharlestonCAA0.53500.481720712-618-100-20-03-23-212-37-3124280124-15.6-0.5
106108.5TulaneAmer0.53480.52829712-717-130-32-22-33-410-19-3862128820.50.8
107111.0Mississippi St.SEC0.53320.53179213-518-121-42-33-36-27-011-1442867635.01.1
108111.2Wright St.Horz0.53290.471123413-620-90-00-12-34-114-36-590677932.21.3
109111.7DaytonA100.53270.5527609-1015-150-31-11-28-65-26-610469912.70.5
110112.4Iowa St.B120.53230.57323211-814-162-72-42-43-15-19-31022278923.40.9
111115.4MississippiSEC0.53110.57642710-914-171-42-53-54-24-07-61648810213.40.5
112115.5Penn St.B100.53080.53608713-817-141-31-22-36-58-010-3134275135-19.5-0.8
113115.9Ball St.MAC0.53070.505913811-718-120-10-12-38-58-28-4831981123.90.1
114118.0UNC GreensboroSC0.52950.472623011-519-90-10-02-24-313-26-414824310513.00.5
116118.0Georgia SouthernSB0.52920.474122612-619-100-00-01-34-414-37-4107239125-7.0-0.3
115118.2WoffordSC0.52920.485118811-518-101-10-12-34-412-26-49813510711.20.4
117118.3MemphisAmer0.52910.52779813-718-130-41-23-35-39-19-41492079721.30.8
118118.3AlbanyAE0.52910.460427515-621-90-10-11-15-214-411-364267152-33.7-1.5
119119.2Illinois St.MVC0.52880.5533599-1013-160-11-23-59-71-15-6105229524.20.9
120120.9Northern IowaMVC0.52800.5482728-1014-140-31-12-38-62-06-48029134-13.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.1UT ArlingtonSB0.52760.488517912-819-110-10-21-24-313-48-493200165-43.9-1.7
122122.1Portland St.BSky0.52690.479621410-718-100-10-11-26-311-37-3782181157.10.3
123123.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52650.425733512-321-60-00-11-14-117-37-21033211194.30.2
124123.5BradleyMVC0.52640.505014213-717-130-00-22-48-67-09-310929210815.50.5
125124.0UNLVMWC0.52620.493317214-520-110-30-12-27-411-011-2110312166-42.0-1.7
127125.5CanisiusMAAC0.52520.474022713-820-110-00-12-16-411-46-71882261223.50.1
126126.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.52540.52939411-916-140-20-22-38-66-17-51331241206.10.2
128126.7UABCUSA0.52500.489117811-719-100-21-31-24-313-17-4202303158-31.3-1.2
131127.8TulsaAmer0.52400.526810211-916-140-31-23-44-48-17-51712161189.80.4
129127.8VCUA100.52410.515211812-819-120-30-32-25-410-28-512653130-2.2-0.1
130129.0NorthwesternB100.52400.54098111-915-150-41-32-36-56-08-41582611272.00.1
132130.4WisconsinB100.52270.56244610-1014-170-61-22-45-36-07-6195141133-2.6-0.1
133132.1LipscombASun0.52180.47582239-815-110-20-22-11-312-47-520218349.11.8
134134.2Wake ForestACC0.52070.5719338-1112-181-61-31-35-44-17-51681531295.20.2
135135.2Georgia St.SB0.52010.464625812-619-100-00-02-25-313-57-4153300169-33.8-1.2
136138.7OaklandHorz0.51850.467824913-820-110-20-11-34-216-38-581104145-6.3-0.3
138140.3VanderbiltSEC0.51750.595067-1211-201-82-62-54-23-05-816916141-0.7-0.0
137140.4Indiana St.MVC0.51760.5403828-1013-150-11-23-47-72-13-7236911400.40.0
139140.5PrincetonIvy0.51750.48022119-817-110-11-20-14-412-37-7135108147-6.5-0.2
140142.3UNC AshevilleBSth0.51660.480721010-917-120-20-11-14-412-45-6111461384.30.2
141142.7RadfordBSth0.51630.466825111-817-120-20-01-13-513-45-612314312319.70.7
142143.0San DiegoWCC0.51620.498015912-717-120-11-31-34-310-38-396202148-5.0-0.2
143143.6ElonCAA0.51590.506413510-915-140-10-03-55-37-56-5779613211.60.4
144144.0WagnerNEC0.51580.451330011-617-100-10-10-13-215-45-41191991431.00.0
145144.1Oregon St.P120.51570.53618611-815-150-31-34-54-46-18-4213311155-10.9-0.4
146144.1GeorgetownBE0.51550.52869513-616-131-61-52-23-010-010-1182351154-9.9-0.4
147145.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.51500.484819110-716-120-00-01-34-610-36-41182041378.30.3
148146.3IdahoBSky0.51440.456128611-619-90-10-00-16-513-36-4155282170-23.7-0.9
149146.9Georgia TechACC0.51440.56574110-913-181-71-32-44-35-17-62312111442.90.1
150146.9Central MichiganMAC0.51370.487418310-616-120-00-10-26-510-38-29531813610.90.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151148.5Grand CanyonWAC0.51340.453229314-621-80-10-31-23-317-110-5210327193-44.5-2.0
152149.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51270.458428211-819-90-20-21-03-115-46-8191128167-17.1-0.8
153150.4Saint Joseph'sA100.51230.50971319-915-150-21-12-35-57-35-7174127176-25.6-0.8
155151.6ValparaisoMVC0.51140.51191279-1014-150-10-11-48-75-17-4120271160-8.4-0.3
154151.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.51140.451030414-620-100-00-12-23-316-48-4214345189-37.1-1.5
156152.6Robert MorrisNEC0.51110.463925912-919-120-10-10-12-617-36-71381561466.60.3
157156.4IowaB100.50890.54417710-1114-170-30-32-65-56-09-41302371506.40.3
158157.2New MexicoMWC0.50850.52701009-1115-150-30-42-35-47-24-8251821534.20.1
159157.7St. Francis PANEC0.50840.46272649-816-110-20-10-03-313-54-51171031498.70.3
160159.2EvansvilleMVC0.50740.52859610-914-150-10-12-36-105-08-35411612633.21.1
161159.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.50720.497416010-916-130-10-30-33-312-37-41221341572.80.1
162160.0HawaiiBW0.50700.480121211-517-100-10-13-25-410-27-41571001564.00.1
164160.5Cal St. FullertonBW0.50660.47702229-715-110-00-21-34-49-25-513613613129.50.9
163161.0DrakeMVC0.50660.507513211-915-150-00-12-68-74-15-726130413922.00.8
165163.3WinthropBSth0.50550.46102738-815-110-10-01-13-412-43-5178162174-10.7-0.4
166163.9IllinoisB100.50490.5511659-1113-170-31-32-45-75-09-384155172-8.1-0.3
167164.0Western MichiganMAC0.50490.49871579-815-140-00-21-46-78-16-5221307175-11.0-0.4
168167.6North Dakota St.Sum0.50340.49331738-1014-130-10-12-42-410-46-7142129171-3.4-0.1
169167.8Utah St.MWC0.50300.52371079-1114-160-20-32-44-67-16-6177166173-5.2-0.2
170169.8Tennessee TechOVC0.50170.481520911-815-140-10-00-53-512-36-51392361636.80.2
171170.4MercerSC0.50140.47722198-1016-130-10-21-52-413-25-6201233209-38.6-1.5
172171.7San FranciscoWCC0.50090.520711010-1015-151-10-41-35-48-47-512951195-23.3-1.0
173171.8Washington St.P120.50080.5456759-1012-180-11-32-84-45-18-410610515912.80.5
176173.2OhioMAC0.49990.51631168-914-150-11-21-45-77-16-5184170204-30.8-1.0
174173.2MonmouthMAAC0.50010.52441055-1312-180-20-12-34-77-44-812812196-22.8-0.8
175173.3PacificWCC0.50000.51991129-1113-170-20-41-33-59-34-82038714231.31.3
177173.5PennIvy0.49990.456628411-618-110-10-00-25-413-39-6181250185-11.5-0.4
178175.4UC IrvineBW0.49900.51901136-1412-180-10-30-54-68-23-1116513180-4.6-0.2
179175.5Saint LouisA100.49860.52521049-1014-160-10-32-35-66-36-61736915124.50.9
180175.7UMBCAE0.49860.467924710-816-120-10-21-31-313-46-618025216411.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181176.3Colorado St.MWC0.49850.5343899-1112-180-20-42-65-46-26-61457216214.30.6
182177.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.49800.50031527-813-140-00-11-36-76-35-4147278208-30.6-0.9
183177.8HarvardIvy0.49750.49281746-1013-150-10-10-24-69-44-1019774183-5.2-0.2
184181.1La SalleA100.49550.52701018-1213-180-30-11-45-67-46-7152571783.10.1
185182.4Weber St.BSky0.49480.46762509-716-110-00-00-45-410-34-5209168220-37.6-1.3
186185.3Miami OHMAC0.49330.51021308-912-170-10-21-25-86-45-614617612857.32.1
187186.0Kent St.MAC0.49270.51311248-1013-170-10-20-46-76-35-7226197214-28.0-1.0
188187.4DePaulBE0.49220.5549568-1110-200-71-51-42-46-07-52403051861.40.1
189187.6NiagaraMAAC0.49200.477022112-916-150-01-11-43-713-37-61561901843.60.2
191188.0Fort WayneSum0.49140.472722910-914-130-10-11-32-511-47-6162249188-0.0-0.0
190188.1PittsburghACC0.49170.5796248-1210-210-80-42-52-45-18-516613816127.11.6
192188.3RutgersB100.49140.53359011-914-161-51-31-34-48-19-32473381799.30.4
193189.0Bowling GreenMAC0.49120.486918610-714-150-00-10-35-79-37-4175302191-2.0-0.1
195190.3ArmyPat0.49030.434632711-717-110-00-00-22-415-56-4172340199-8.7-0.3
194190.8CaliforniaP120.49040.5621477-129-210-40-53-64-43-26-618510617713.80.8
197191.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48970.48282017-1113-160-00-01-43-89-33-8204114192-0.8-0.0
196191.7Long Beach St.BW0.48980.49891558-1213-170-30-11-35-76-34-101906216823.71.0
198197.0Stony BrookAE0.48640.49441707-1213-160-10-20-43-410-54-921598217-20.0-0.8
199198.4MassachusettsA100.48570.506013710-1015-160-21-12-45-67-47-621922818117.40.7
200198.5Boston UniversityPat0.48560.46042769-915-130-10-01-22-412-63-7245225200-1.5-0.1
201199.0George WashingtonA100.48510.52201089-1113-180-30-21-44-68-37-61547118217.00.7
202199.9SeattleWAC0.48480.470223611-815-130-00-20-32-513-28-61992791981.90.1
203200.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.48480.46302618-814-130-10-10-21-513-52-717628215-14.8-0.5
204201.5RichmondA100.48390.5417806-1310-200-20-11-55-84-42-1023820206-4.5-0.2
205201.7YaleIvy0.48380.46932377-1014-150-10-20-22-712-36-91862032010.70.0
206203.8ManhattanMAAC0.48250.468724110-1015-150-10-11-43-511-45-7241246223-19.2-0.9
207205.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48160.44033189-815-130-00-10-32-313-63-72392562023.60.1
208206.3TroySB0.48110.49061777-1113-160-10-11-22-510-64-7230193231-24.7-1.0
209211.2Tennessee St.OVC0.47790.49721626-1111-160-20-11-33-38-63-614035213-1.8-0.1
210212.7DuquesneA100.47720.462926314-618-130-10-11-24-712-29-4278349222-9.3-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211213.8North DakotaBSky0.47650.51551175-1210-180-10-20-43-96-43-7144312076.80.3
212213.9Austin PeayOVC0.47640.48501908-1013-150-10-10-33-710-43-7273164216-2.1-0.1
213214.2AkronMAC0.47590.50051518-913-160-10-21-45-88-16-5249297245-30.8-1.0
214214.7Texas St.SB0.47550.459128011-815-140-00-00-33-511-65-6282346242-27.3-1.2
215216.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.47460.51821155-129-170-10-31-43-55-54-8150372115.60.2
216217.6New OrleansSlnd0.47390.45952796-1012-140-00-20-21-511-50-827915224-6.4-0.2
217217.6North TexasCUSA0.47390.47492248-1014-150-10-20-22-511-55-618316720314.60.6
218218.2FairfieldMAAC0.47350.48841807-1113-160-10-10-43-69-55-614179219-0.8-0.0
219219.5Oral RobertsSum0.47310.51171296-149-180-00-11-62-75-43-10200582109.50.4
220219.9NavyPat0.47270.440031912-817-130-10-00-11-515-68-4151317234-14.1-0.6
221220.4Montana St.BSky0.47210.46392609-914-150-00-00-32-811-45-620526620515.40.6
222220.6ColgatePat0.47210.45312959-914-140-00-10-32-412-64-6259273230-9.4-0.4
223221.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.47140.45962787-913-140-00-00-31-612-42-7272137256-34.5-1.3
224222.5Southern MissCUSA0.47080.49811587-1010-170-10-30-31-59-43-622318019428.51.1
225223.1Western CarolinaSC0.47080.50291467-1110-190-30-10-52-67-43-81895519033.11.6
227224.8High PointBSth0.46950.45312947-913-130-10-01-13-59-62-6288258247-22.2-0.8
226225.0George MasonA100.46960.50341449-1113-180-20-10-34-89-36-723218418738.01.7
228225.4DelawareCAA0.46930.48332009-1012-170-00-11-72-69-25-6250295228-2.6-0.1
230225.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.46860.50151497-1011-180-10-21-35-96-45-6260313237-11.6-0.4
231226.5LamarSlnd0.46850.43433288-815-120-00-00-12-413-74-5196242258-31.5-1.4
229226.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.46890.46152714-1613-180-30-30-40-313-50-132272254-27.2-1.2
232227.1UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.46820.47222329-1113-160-10-30-32-611-47-8228281240-12.9-0.7
233227.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.46780.44053179-814-130-10-00-12-513-64-5218284229-1.7-0.1
234228.2Gardner WebbBSth0.46730.47722207-1111-170-20-20-22-59-62-8234802253.20.1
235234.2South AlabamaSB0.46400.46672529-913-160-10-11-23-410-85-6266329239-4.8-0.2
236236.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.46250.405134510-816-120-10-00-10-316-75-821125419739.31.6
237237.1LibertyBSth0.46180.44473129-915-130-00-10-14-611-56-4220294265-27.9-1.3
238237.6LehighPat0.46140.46272657-1113-150-10-10-22-611-64-6206194246-8.4-0.3
239238.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.46130.43583249-1115-150-00-10-32-513-75-7258334263-24.9-1.1
240239.1Savannah St.MEAC0.46050.48252036-1311-180-50-20-30-211-61-12179121227.11.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
242239.7Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45980.48401956-1010-170-10-20-52-38-63-621213122118.70.8
241240.0Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45990.45372918-1113-160-10-00-32-711-56-5207331251-11.0-0.5
243242.2North FloridaASun0.45850.47982136-1310-180-20-20-22-68-63-112084721824.21.0
244242.3MilwaukeeHorz0.45840.45292969-1114-150-00-01-33-59-86-51612092357.30.4
245242.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45830.45992778-1113-160-00-00-32-611-74-72422452384.90.2
246244.2Coastal CarolinaSB0.45720.48461925-1311-170-00-11-42-68-73-722497248-3.8-0.2
247248.6Air ForceMWC0.45440.50291456-109-180-10-10-43-95-34-626527023216.60.9
248249.0UTSACUSA0.45440.46912397-1011-170-10-20-32-58-74-6233262275-26.0-1.1
249249.9Nebraska OmahaSum0.45350.51261265-158-200-30-10-42-76-53-112556022722.91.0
250253.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.45150.423033711-1015-160-00-00-12-613-87-621634424112.00.5
251253.6HartfordAE0.45110.451230210-1013-160-00-10-23-510-86-72763302449.60.5
252257.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44830.43463268-1113-160-00-10-12-611-84-7270332261-3.3-0.1
253258.1PortlandWCC0.44830.51191285-138-200-20-50-21-76-43-726715023622.11.3
254258.4Santa ClaraWCC0.44820.50091506-129-190-20-40-22-67-42-8337259264-5.6-0.3
255259.2New HampshireAE0.44760.46822466-1211-170-10-20-32-59-72-10345296288-28.8-1.2
256259.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44750.44753098-1113-160-10-10-31-712-53-8324289260-0.4-0.0
258260.9BrownIvy0.44660.44203167-712-140-10-10-12-610-66-622931923327.91.0
257260.9SamfordSC0.44660.48431945-139-200-10-10-61-88-42-9312215267-6.1-0.3
259261.4Morehead St.OVC0.44650.49971544-138-190-10-11-42-55-82-7222392592.40.1
260261.9UMKCWAC0.44580.50641344-157-210-10-30-51-76-53-112521072538.90.5
261262.5UNC WilmingtonCAA0.44550.50701334-148-200-00-11-83-73-51-9320157272-9.5-0.4
262262.8Loyola MarymountWCC0.44540.49651645-138-200-10-40-32-76-44-624626925210.80.5
263263.5Idaho St.BSky0.44460.45262977-911-160-00-10-32-79-53-62843102558.50.3
264264.7Southern UtahBSky0.44420.48172056-109-180-10-10-23-96-54-516015424321.70.9
265266.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44330.43723225-1512-190-10-20-31-511-82-1119424271-4.8-0.2
266266.8CampbellBSth0.44300.43123328-913-140-00-00-03-610-83-6331347283-16.2-0.7
267266.8North Carolina CentralMEAC0.44280.39043508-915-120-00-00-10-415-83-8293298297-30.2-1.2
268267.3SienaMAAC0.44240.49881566-159-220-10-11-53-85-74-919842270-2.7-0.1
269269.3Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44120.46872425-129-180-00-00-51-48-82-7318291278-8.7-0.3
270269.4Appalachian St.SB0.44110.46592556-1311-180-10-01-22-68-93-829126325019.40.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271269.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44030.46902406-139-200-00-10-40-89-74-7243276279-9.1-0.5
272271.3DrexelCAA0.43990.49161756-149-210-01-02-63-84-75-72352352683.30.2
273271.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43980.47192337-129-200-10-10-41-68-84-724824824922.41.2
274272.4DenverSum0.43900.46832456-129-170-00-01-42-66-64-830230125715.40.7
275276.2NJITASun0.43690.44943077-1111-160-20-10-11-511-75-8256182281-4.8-0.2
276276.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.43630.43863218-1213-170-00-00-12-510-114-8296325280-3.3-0.1
278278.4ColumbiaIvy0.43490.46932383-128-180-10-00-21-97-62-10303221287-8.6-0.3
277278.4James MadisonCAA0.43550.49111765-158-220-10-11-72-66-73-9298260292-13.6-0.6
281279.9CornellIvy0.43370.46512565-109-170-10-11-11-67-85-719321022653.92.1
279279.9Sacramento St.BSky0.43450.50501413-157-220-00-20-32-114-61-10307102295-15.1-0.6
280280.0East CarolinaAmer0.43430.49681638-119-200-20-30-51-68-36-53343502773.00.2
282280.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43370.46662534-139-180-10-10-21-78-81-8305123284-3.6-0.1
283280.9FordhamA100.43360.50481436-139-210-20-20-42-106-45-72772242746.90.4
284281.3HamptonMEAC0.43290.42923334-1212-150-20-00-20-212-82-10281112300-18.7-0.8
286282.2Cal PolyBW0.43250.48451934-138-200-00-11-33-114-53-925714026913.20.6
285282.6BinghamtonAE0.43260.43943208-1112-170-00-10-22-59-107-6253343302-19.4-0.9
287283.4St. Francis NYNEC0.43210.45712836-1210-180-00-00-12-68-111-9336231285-1.6-0.1
288284.2UTEPCUSA0.43150.48282026-1210-190-00-40-33-47-84-7268147322-37.8-1.7
289287.3Grambling St.SWAC0.42950.39843487-1213-170-00-00-12-412-123-921721426621.31.0
290287.7ChattanoogaSC0.42910.48361984-148-210-00-00-52-96-64-7244191304-16.3-0.8
291288.5FIUCUSA0.42890.46182696-1110-180-00-20-42-48-93-7327320289-0.5-0.0
292288.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42800.37633519-915-140-00-00-10-315-104-929734227612.90.6
294291.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.42650.48801814-118-180-10-20-31-66-83-5225113303-12.0-0.5
293291.5Arkansas St.SB0.42660.46052745-139-200-10-10-31-68-93-8317335296-4.5-0.2
295293.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42510.41473417-1413-190-10-10-10-613-110-1434217327320.51.0
296293.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42490.40163467-1113-160-00-10-20-412-91-103091832867.70.3
297294.3Little RockSB0.42440.48781824-147-220-00-10-31-96-92-9301171299-4.7-0.2
298294.7Holy CrossPat0.42440.46182706-149-200-10-00-22-68-113-8283229307-12.3-0.6
300296.4DetroitHorz0.42320.48172064-158-210-00-10-61-66-82-9237432906.40.3
299296.8South FloridaAmer0.42350.49571677-138-230-20-30-61-67-57-6300348301-4.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301297.8McNeese St.Slnd0.42170.44653104-108-170-00-10-21-47-100-7332130298-0.2-0.0
302299.1Western IllinoisSum0.42110.45542886-88-150-00-10-31-57-65-425433926237.11.7
303300.5IUPUIHorz0.42010.46142725-138-190-10-10-31-57-91-8319177306-5.5-0.3
304301.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.41960.45023055-149-200-00-00-41-58-113-8299315323-21.9-1.1
307301.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.41910.43703233-1410-180-10-10-21-59-101-11289952938.30.4
305302.0CharlotteCUSA0.41930.47832164-137-210-00-20-51-56-83-7322328312-10.0-0.6
306302.1JacksonvilleASun0.41910.44343156-129-180-00-10-12-67-102-1132125528220.11.1
308302.5UC RiversideBW0.41870.47772173-147-210-00-10-43-113-63-9271195310-7.5-0.4
309303.1QuinnipiacMAAC0.41850.45232987-1310-200-00-00-32-67-103-9335337320-16.9-0.9
311304.4SouthernSWAC0.41680.40773446-1312-170-10-10-30-312-92-9280115319-14.6-0.7
310304.5San Jose St.MWC0.41780.51441202-154-240-20-20-41-112-62-8295232305-0.5-0.0
313305.2Charleston SouthernBSth0.41610.44413144-128-180-00-10-22-66-92-6294324324-18.8-0.9
312306.0StetsonASun0.41630.42493366-1210-170-00-00-21-69-104-929032229115.00.8
314308.1PepperdineWCC0.41490.50531402-175-240-10-40-41-84-72-9326223313-4.9-0.3
315309.2UMass LowellAE0.41370.45152996-129-190-00-10-21-68-105-73083333081.20.1
316310.3Morgan St.MEAC0.41210.39243496-1211-160-10-00-10-311-122-92752533091.30.1
317311.5LafayettePat0.41170.45622854-148-200-10-00-21-57-131-9348288328-16.5-0.9
319313.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40960.47072353-157-200-10-20-20-87-72-1128684314-0.5-0.0
320314.4Youngstown St.Horz0.40950.46862444-157-220-00-10-41-96-80-11341165317-2.6-0.2
318314.4The CitadelSC0.40980.48741843-135-220-10-10-51-64-92-72691723113.40.2
321314.5AmericanPat0.40940.45502895-158-210-10-10-31-57-123-8285277321-6.5-0.4
324314.9Loyola MDPat0.40830.45602874-148-200-00-10-31-57-121-9347290335-20.1-1.0
322315.2VMISC0.40860.46782484-127-200-00-10-60-86-73-628731429421.21.3
323315.8Sacred HeartNEC0.40840.43163316-1410-200-00-10-21-79-114-8316341331-15.2-0.9
325316.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.40830.48501892-164-250-10-10-31-104-102-92621793151.20.1
326317.8MaristMAAC0.40670.47732184-157-230-10-00-31-95-112-10311217326-8.2-0.6
327318.6DartmouthIvy0.40450.45133013-117-190-00-10-21-76-93-9314306341-22.4-1.2
328321.9RiceCUSA0.40290.48172082-165-240-10-20-30-85-101-10306161330-8.1-0.6
329322.2Cleveland St.Horz0.40190.46302624-167-230-20-00-31-66-112-10313196333-10.8-0.7
330325.1Green BayHorz0.39930.45123035-158-200-00-10-41-66-102-8329265338-12.9-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331326.2PresbyterianBSth0.39840.44643115-138-200-10-10-21-76-114-626429931610.20.8
332329.3South Carolina St.MEAC0.39390.41853385-149-200-00-00-40-49-122-11310188334-4.7-0.3
333330.9BryantNEC0.39330.46222672-195-260-10-10-20-95-141-123232193273.90.4
334331.4MaineAE0.39280.46482572-174-250-10-10-20-74-131-123463163292.40.2
336333.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.38780.44943061-165-230-10-10-30-55-131-9304118339-5.4-0.4
337334.0HowardMEAC0.38750.41303422-177-210-00-10-10-67-141-13339257345-11.0-0.9
335334.3LongwoodBSth0.38920.46862433-155-230-00-10-11-104-120-103431783322.30.3
338335.1Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38720.45352923-145-230-00-00-31-104-101-11351336348-12.9-1.3
340335.3USC UpstateASun0.38590.45392902-165-220-00-10-21-74-121-12328206337-1.7-0.2
342335.6Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.38290.43383291-126-190-00-00-20-45-130-7350251349-13.4-1.0
339336.6Chicago St.WAC0.38660.50551390-201-280-10-20-40-121-90-1533814932511.61.7
341336.7Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.38410.44423133-176-230-00-20-30-46-142-112638331818.71.9
343337.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.38260.45872811-134-210-10-20-20-53-121-62741693361.70.2
344338.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.38040.44933081-125-190-10-20-10-34-121-5292119342-4.0-0.4
345340.5Florida A&MMEAC0.37610.43223302-186-250-10-10-20-76-140-15330120344-3.5-0.4
346341.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.37420.40093473-147-200-00-10-20-47-120-9333133347-5.5-0.7
347342.7Coppin St.MEAC0.37190.43573252-196-250-20-00-20-66-160-153401603402.70.4
348343.4Alabama St.SWAC0.37040.41793393-167-230-10-00-20-57-150-12325943430.40.1
349348.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.35040.41023432-185-260-00-10-10-65-170-133441813462.51.0
350349.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.34570.42583340-203-280-00-10-30-63-180-1331570350-1.0-0.4
351350.4Delaware St.MEAC0.33350.41763400-202-270-00-00-10-52-200-13349244351-0.6-0.5


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com