live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
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Through games of Nov 27, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
13.6KentuckySEC0.65400.5759116-028-34-14-18-19-03-012-1169-5.4-1.5
23.9DukeACC0.65270.589046-026-55-34-16-17-05-012-12247-3.1-0.8
34.7WisconsinB100.64830.5711196-026-43-15-17-17-05-011-143031.70.4
47.7TexasB120.63870.588455-025-65-44-14-16-15-011-263918-10.3-1.5
510.0North CarolinaACC0.63140.595424-122-84-53-14-17-14-010-2111742-32.0-4.0
611.5XavierBE0.62800.5733155-023-62-24-26-17-13-010-155333-21.5-2.2
712.9Miami FLACC0.62450.5714166-024-73-33-15-18-16-012-1325210.91.1
814.4BaylorB120.62210.582675-022-73-33-15-16-15-010-1108392-77.6-6.9
914.4LouisvilleACC0.62100.5756125-024-75-42-14-18-16-012-12411044-29.6-2.8
1116.4GonzagaWCC0.61570.52171074-026-31-12-15-18-19-010-119153412.41.3
1016.7VirginiaACC0.61770.5779105-021-83-42-15-16-15-09-284248-31.3-2.5
1217.5San Diego St.MWC0.61410.5366865-125-51-12-16-19-18-010-21748161.50.1
1319.0ArizonaP120.61290.5669286-024-72-23-26-27-16-011-2938154.00.3
1519.6Wichita St.MVC0.61170.5361872-022-51-12-15-17-18-07-271623-3.4-0.3
1420.0KansasB120.61220.612513-118-113-63-25-27-11-08-3132128.00.5
1621.5OklahomaB120.61000.577994-120-93-43-24-27-14-09-22913741-19.5-1.3
1723.6ArkansasSEC0.60570.5426744-025-61-12-16-29-27-011-2167356-32.4-2.2
1824.0VCUA100.60550.5651314-123-81-23-27-38-25-09-412329-5.0-0.3
1927.3VillanovaBE0.60080.5495595-024-73-34-24-25-17-012-138205216.30.4
2028.1UtahP120.60030.5542513-121-82-32-24-26-17-08-3252670-41.9-2.4
2128.4West VirginiaB120.59970.5749136-021-103-53-24-28-14-012-1221121414.40.8
2231.1Michigan St.B100.59610.5480624-122-71-33-24-26-18-09-26726435-3.9-0.2
2331.7ConnecticutAmer0.59550.5617383-121-91-32-25-27-26-08-43071714.70.8
2432.4ButlerBE0.59470.5579464-121-93-43-24-25-16-010-24417263-30.6-1.6
2633.6Ohio St.B100.59330.5520534-023-82-33-24-27-18-011-24720946-12.4-0.6
2533.7ProvidenceBE0.59340.578185-020-112-53-25-26-15-010-3263251-17.3-0.9
2734.5SyracuseACC0.59190.5704204-121-103-52-24-26-16-010-3345275-40.5-2.1
2835.2North Carolina St.ACC0.59190.589435-020-112-52-26-27-23-011-21812278.20.4
3036.9StanfordP120.58970.5477634-121-92-42-24-25-18-09-3397257-20.1-1.0
2937.0GeorgetownBE0.59040.588464-118-102-53-24-25-14-08-2281155-18.0-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3138.0Northern IowaMVC0.58800.52241066-023-71-21-13-19-210-110-227912810.00.5
3241.5BYUWCC0.58480.5593432-220-91-32-23-28-26-17-433459-17.5-0.8
3442.5MassachusettsA100.58380.5516555-121-100-12-25-49-25-18-5218402.50.1
3342.6MichiganB100.58400.5690253-119-102-43-34-25-16-08-346673111.60.5
3543.7IowaB100.58260.5703214-220-112-52-34-26-17-09-47489394.70.2
3644.9IllinoisB100.58210.5565475-020-101-42-34-26-17-010-24918053-8.1-0.3
3744.9SMUAmer0.58190.5620373-319-100-21-24-37-26-07-4731394-49.1-2.1
3945.0Green BayHorz0.58110.50491413-121-60-21-03-17-211-18-31522144.02.0
3845.5MarylandB100.58180.5474655-022-91-32-24-27-18-012-13716376-30.5-1.3
4045.9IonaMAAC0.57960.49501694-125-60-10-12-19-214-18-331902520.91.1
4147.5Saint Mary'sWCC0.57950.5398793-020-81-21-14-28-26-18-220271136.51.4
4247.8Texas A&MSEC0.57910.5494603-121-91-21-24-310-25-09-34063116-68.2-2.8
4347.9Seton HallBE0.57880.5628364-019-112-42-34-25-16-010-2351311928.91.2
4448.1PurdueB100.57850.5517545-121-101-33-24-36-26-010-359175118-69.9-3.0
4550.3CaliforniaP120.57620.5408764-122-92-42-24-25-110-110-35410874-23.7-1.0
4652.0Colorado St.MWC0.57530.5338904-019-90-11-13-29-37-18-21421646.01.7
4852.3FloridaSEC0.57490.5662303-219-111-42-24-37-24-08-4766190-37.7-1.5
4752.5Oklahoma St.B120.57510.5712185-018-113-52-23-26-25-09-25019087-34.5-1.3
4954.5Iowa St.B120.57310.5700223-118-123-62-23-24-16-09-3801862430.51.2
5055.7WoffordSC0.57140.48801924-122-70-21-11-16-215-17-423233421.71.1
5157.3DaytonA100.57040.5248993-121-91-21-24-29-27-19-35510965-7.7-0.3
5261.5HarvardIvy0.56690.50371442-119-70-11-12-25-211-18-4434373-11.5-0.4
5361.9YaleIvy0.56660.49781644-121-80-11-12-25-212-210-536863625.91.1
5562.8Notre DameACC0.56550.5370855-121-103-52-22-16-19-011-295273133-70.2-2.7
5463.1RichmondA100.56600.5427732-220-111-21-33-47-27-19-456663231.11.1
5766.6Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56280.48332004-121-70-00-11-17-312-26-4325967-0.4-0.0
5966.7BuffaloMAC0.56270.52381023-119-110-20-02-29-48-18-4451322046.71.7
5666.9DavidsonA100.56300.5346882-118-101-31-23-26-27-17-37014071-4.1-0.1
5867.3CreightonBE0.56280.5521525-018-122-42-33-24-17-010-257215151-83.7-2.8
6067.9CincinnatiAmer0.56230.5553504-019-111-31-23-37-37-18-45110134-66.1-2.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6168.0BelmontOVC0.56160.48421954-121-70-10-11-17-313-28-44175128-60.0-2.3
6269.6AlabamaSEC0.56080.5633344-118-121-41-24-38-34-08-45249861.62.1
6369.9George WashingtonA100.56040.51191243-120-91-22-23-26-29-18-310030199-29.1-1.0
6472.4OregonP120.55860.5469673-219-111-31-34-36-27-18-47240130-57.6-1.9
6573.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.55770.49311764-120-70-11-22-25-212-28-542183043.71.6
7074.1EvansvilleMVC0.55670.51591153-120-91-21-22-26-210-18-363157111-36.9-1.3
6774.6GeorgiaSEC0.55710.5604413-216-131-31-24-37-44-07-46851147-72.4-2.3
6874.9UCLAP120.55690.5614404-218-121-52-33-34-17-18-49246182-107.1-3.6
6674.9Long Beach St.BW0.55740.5387832-315-130-40-22-35-38-24-853197-22.1-0.7
6975.1Louisiana TechCUSA0.55690.48941864-122-80-10-12-27-312-29-369218137-61.9-2.2
7175.4CharlotteCUSA0.55610.51141263-221-100-21-13-27-310-18-565621362.42.3
7275.5PittsburghACC0.55600.5617393-218-132-61-23-27-35-19-485111112-36.5-1.2
7377.1Illinois St.MVC0.55480.5271962-219-101-21-22-26-39-27-487795819.10.7
7478.0Old DominionCUSA0.55400.49641664-122-80-01-13-27-211-29-3611362256.01.9
7579.3New Mexico St.WAC0.55340.49261783-321-80-20-11-24-215-28-77128152-72.7-2.6
7682.5Boise St.MWC0.55160.51731114-118-100-31-12-26-38-17-3481241072.52.3
7983.1NortheasternCAA0.55060.49821634-121-100-10-12-39-410-28-560125794.10.1
7783.2Stony BrookAE0.55080.48831903-220-90-00-12-36-312-27-65855141-57.8-2.0
7883.8NebraskaB100.55060.5696233-115-131-42-33-34-25-07-389202144-60.2-1.8
8184.2ColoradoP120.54990.5399783-117-111-21-23-35-27-17-3771455430.20.9
8084.3St. John'sBE0.55020.5635333-016-132-62-43-23-17-18-393156115-30.7-0.9
8285.9South CarolinaSEC0.54880.5694243-315-141-41-23-46-34-06-512064161-75.1-2.4
8487.2Georgia St.SB0.54760.48821913-220-100-10-21-26-313-35-57581104-16.8-0.6
8388.0WyomingMWC0.54780.50181524-020-91-21-13-26-310-19-281245139-51.0-1.6
8689.3MemphisAmer0.54640.5401771-218-111-41-22-25-29-17-411771164-74.7-2.2
8589.7MinnesotaB100.54650.5585452-216-131-41-32-35-26-08-3112232143-53.3-1.6
8790.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.54620.50431431-217-90-10-12-35-29-25-5863798-7.5-0.2
8891.2LSUSEC0.54500.5511563-217-141-31-23-49-44-19-48370100-8.8-0.3
9091.7IndianaB100.54450.5596424-117-141-53-43-32-18-09-4119168199-107.3-3.5
8992.1Kent St.MAC0.54480.50581363-119-100-10-12-37-49-18-3115279108-15.9-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9195.4UTEPCUSA0.54260.49631673-019-80-11-12-24-211-27-26210396-0.6-0.0
9295.9Wake ForestACC0.54200.5651324-216-152-71-32-34-27-09-4102167106-10.1-0.3
9396.2San FranciscoWCC0.54160.5304932-217-120-21-22-36-38-17-498105125-28.8-0.8
9497.1ToledoMAC0.54100.51711122-319-120-20-12-38-59-28-5137192237-139.9-4.1
9597.2HofstraCAA0.54080.48042123-221-100-00-12-26-413-29-488250126-28.8-0.9
9798.1AkronMAC0.54060.50281503-220-100-10-13-37-49-19-31302937820.10.6
9698.1WashingtonP120.54070.5410754-016-121-31-33-33-18-18-290179158-59.9-1.8
9999.2La SalleA100.53970.5305924-017-130-21-22-36-47-18-464100105-5.8-0.2
9899.2UC IrvineBW0.53980.48222051-218-90-10-11-24-212-26-5911824554.21.6
10099.8TulsaAmer0.53950.5392803-216-131-21-22-37-36-26-511685204-104.2-3.0
101100.2MississippiSEC0.53830.5497583-116-140-31-33-46-45-18-4103129295-194.8-5.7
102103.3Holy CrossPat0.53710.49151812-017-100-00-12-26-410-26-366142598.32.6
103106.1Arizona St.P120.53500.5510573-217-141-32-43-45-26-18-5145176162-55.9-1.6
104106.3Kansas St.B120.53500.5739143-314-172-72-32-33-25-08-5136164171-64.7-2.0
105107.0ColumbiaIvy0.53430.49781653-118-90-11-12-33-112-28-58476154-47.0-1.3
106107.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53390.47932141-318-90-20-11-14-214-24-5105291070.80.0
107108.4AmericanPat0.53380.49441744-218-120-00-11-46-511-27-582148145-36.6-1.1
108110.3Bowling GreenMAC0.53310.50621343-017-110-00-12-47-57-17-31082685060.31.6
109112.3DetroitHorz0.53160.50331453-217-120-10-22-35-49-27-67957169-56.7-1.6
110115.3San DiegoWCC0.52980.5388813-214-130-41-22-34-37-15-410968131-15.7-0.4
111115.8South FloridaAmer0.52900.5255983-117-130-21-33-46-47-28-4961436154.81.5
112116.9Rhode IslandA100.52900.52311032-115-110-21-22-35-36-15-31061352690.92.3
113119.8William & MaryCAA0.52740.50931303-115-120-10-11-35-48-24-57844174-54.2-1.4
114122.1Georgia TechACC0.52550.5674273-113-151-61-22-35-44-17-310715110319.10.5
115122.5VermontAE0.52540.47412292-218-100-00-11-24-412-36-6113139166-43.5-1.2
117122.7VanderbiltSEC0.52450.5343893-016-130-31-33-46-36-18-3127203194-71.3-1.8
116123.0ArmyPat0.52490.46112775-019-90-10-01-15-313-38-2104341153-30.0-0.8
118123.3UNLVMWC0.52450.5388823-116-141-40-22-37-46-27-597313786.32.4
119124.1ClemsonACC0.52340.5467683-215-151-51-22-36-35-18-4163234273-148.9-4.4
120125.0TCUB120.52330.52401015-018-122-61-22-23-110-011-1146351180-55.0-1.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121127.0Gardner WebbBSth0.52240.48861892-316-110-10-11-25-410-34-599546859.01.6
122129.2Murray St.OVC0.52100.46852601-219-90-10-11-14-314-37-51211556663.21.8
123129.8Penn St.B100.52080.5454705-115-160-41-42-43-38-110-31182579138.81.2
124130.1OhioMAC0.52060.5301942-114-130-00-12-55-56-15-41551198842.11.0
125131.0New MexicoMWC0.52030.51051283-217-130-21-22-35-49-28-4168274263-132.0-3.5
126131.2LafayettePat0.52000.47882163-217-110-10-11-24-412-36-411125411714.20.4
127132.3SienaMAAC0.51900.48172081-218-110-00-11-15-412-45-41402229537.31.0
128135.8Morehead St.OVC0.51730.47792182-417-120-10-21-33-313-36-713916512114.80.4
129136.3TempleAmer0.51670.5326913-216-150-31-23-34-47-28-5124978155.31.4
130138.0AlbanyAE0.51590.46242742-218-110-00-11-23-414-37-6134229170-32.0-0.9
131138.2PepperdineWCC0.51580.50511402-115-130-31-21-34-39-27-3151315250-111.8-2.8
132138.8TennesseeSEC0.51530.5493612-113-150-41-32-45-45-16-4138122190-51.2-1.3
133140.1DenverSum0.51510.48781932-218-110-10-21-24-312-37-613380209-68.9-1.7
134140.3Boston UniversityPat0.51410.50301491-315-130-10-11-35-49-34-614278207-66.7-1.6
135141.1HoustonAmer0.51380.49291772-118-110-11-22-44-311-29-21483449348.11.2
136141.9College of CharlestonCAA0.51380.50551382-317-140-20-22-45-410-26-716498192-50.1-1.4
137145.2DuquesneA100.51150.50851311-015-130-11-22-44-49-28-2156339339-193.8-4.7
138146.3St. BonaventureA100.51100.51211233-115-140-11-32-44-48-17-4160305278-131.7-3.3
139147.8East Tennessee St.SC0.51030.47492282-116-110-10-10-14-511-44-5947411037.80.9
140149.2Cleveland St.Horz0.51010.50181541-314-150-30-21-24-49-45-814182181-31.8-0.7
141149.2Western MichiganMAC0.50990.51171252-213-130-00-12-45-65-24-4193303244-94.8-2.2
142150.0MarquetteBE0.50870.5667293-211-171-61-42-32-25-16-41771696981.02.3
143151.4Utah St.MWC0.50840.49501703-216-130-11-12-35-58-37-413123849102.42.5
144151.4CanisiusMAAC0.50820.50051562-215-140-00-21-25-59-54-512256165-13.6-0.3
146151.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50790.45382972-218-90-00-11-22-215-34-512611413615.60.4
145152.5High PointBSth0.50810.47222423-115-120-00-10-24-511-45-410118710943.51.0
147154.5South Dakota St.Sum0.50720.48262031-215-130-10-10-24-410-45-7143116284-129.5-2.9
150155.1TowsonCAA0.50590.47032524-117-130-00-11-35-511-38-412931911441.11.1
148155.5Southern MissCUSA0.50670.49951602-114-130-00-11-44-48-35-4135174233-77.5-1.7
149155.8Missouri St.MVC0.50610.51481181-213-140-20-21-33-48-35-4183216179-23.2-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
153156.6MissouriSEC0.50520.5712172-311-191-61-42-44-34-25-718235168-11.4-0.3
151157.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50550.44503191-216-100-00-00-14-412-34-4171313266-109.0-2.6
154157.0Boston CollegeACC0.50460.5679262-311-191-71-42-42-26-17-51841668671.02.1
152157.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.50540.49991574-014-130-10-21-45-58-25-41472601570.00.0
155158.8Texas TechB120.50340.5472663-114-161-71-31-34-37-19-316533313820.80.6
156160.1PortlandWCC0.50330.50301482-014-140-20-21-34-58-27-3154329240-79.9-1.9
157161.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50290.46932592-015-120-20-11-22-312-46-512319913526.20.6
158161.4Central MichiganMAC0.50280.48881883-014-120-00-11-35-58-26-217434913229.40.6
159162.0UT ArlingtonSB0.50200.48411973-215-140-20-10-23-411-54-51101048478.01.9
160163.6Wright St.Horz0.50130.49481722-214-140-11-21-33-48-56-611410638125.62.9
163165.0Florida St.ACC0.50000.5589442-312-191-61-31-44-45-17-6192134219-54.0-1.5
161165.3IPFWSum0.50110.44953102-116-100-00-10-14-412-46-4169321214-48.7-1.1
162167.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50020.49971592-115-140-00-11-44-58-45-6157127337-170.0-3.9
164167.7QuinnipiacMAAC0.49930.48961852-216-130-01-11-25-59-45-417014747120.72.9
165169.9ValparaisoHorz0.49850.47302373-116-120-00-11-25-69-47-514424812346.91.1
166170.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.49800.49221792-113-150-10-11-44-68-35-513219112743.31.0
169170.8Saint LouisA100.49720.52301043-114-150-21-21-45-56-27-4172201225-54.2-1.3
167170.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49800.41833480-317-80-10-10-11-116-34-514917111951.91.3
168171.2MontanaBSky0.49770.48371991-214-130-00-21-33-410-43-61527743128.22.9
170173.5Portland St.BSky0.49600.45772843-015-110-00-10-24-411-45-312831472101.52.3
171175.5Western KentuckyCUSA0.49460.51411202-313-150-10-21-53-58-34-618065226-50.5-1.2
172177.2Ball St.MAC0.49430.50601351-213-150-10-11-35-66-35-5223302312-134.8-2.9
174178.9NorthwesternB100.49270.5475645-112-190-61-51-53-37-19-418630810177.92.5
173179.2North DakotaBSky0.49360.47022551-214-140-10-10-24-610-44-6153141281-101.8-2.2
175179.7AuburnSEC0.49260.5464693-211-190-30-32-65-64-16-616111814831.70.8
177182.1MonmouthMAAC0.49160.47692252-216-150-10-20-24-512-55-6202269217-34.9-0.8
176182.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.49170.46392681-314-120-00-00-24-610-43-5194213215-32.9-0.7
178184.4Weber St.BSky0.49040.47702231-314-130-10-11-34-59-33-618858249-64.6-1.5
179185.2NevadaMWC0.49010.51431191-312-160-20-21-44-56-34-6237185298-112.8-2.6
180185.5ChattanoogaSC0.48970.47032532-316-130-20-11-24-312-55-617315214243.51.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181187.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48920.47142461-315-130-00-01-24-510-63-5243247304-117.0-2.6
182188.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.48830.49201802-314-160-20-21-42-410-47-521133117216.00.4
184189.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.48800.46732622-114-120-10-11-24-59-43-51629517316.30.4
183189.3MercerSC0.48810.46112782-215-120-10-20-32-312-44-519120664125.32.7
185190.0MarshallCUSA0.48780.50581372-213-160-10-11-44-68-35-6206133191-1.0-0.0
186190.3North FloridaASun0.48770.45163012-314-140-10-20-31-312-56-817827012961.31.5
187192.4Mississippi St.SEC0.48630.51281223-013-160-20-21-45-66-28-317933652140.43.2
188194.2Northwestern St.Slnd0.48560.46972580-313-120-20-10-22-310-51-61759201-6.8-0.1
189194.6Arkansas Little RockSB0.48470.48182062-114-140-00-11-24-510-54-41901171877.60.2
190195.9Air ForceMWC0.48460.50211511-212-150-20-11-43-67-25-4207326203-7.1-0.2
191196.9HawaiiBW0.48390.47282395-215-120-00-12-42-411-37-417624618412.90.3
192197.2Georgia SouthernSB0.48300.46642631-113-130-00-10-23-510-53-318928677120.22.4
194202.9ManhattanMAAC0.48050.47232411-314-150-00-20-23-610-54-5273324241-38.1-0.8
195203.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.48050.48292021-113-150-00-11-44-68-36-423234711390.21.9
193203.3Indiana St.MVC0.48090.51641143-211-170-30-31-32-48-35-520419416736.30.9
196204.1North Dakota St.Sum0.47980.48002132-212-140-10-10-23-69-44-615811512084.11.7
199205.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.47920.46182760-214-130-00-10-33-510-44-5205196235-29.9-0.6
197205.4Northern ArizonaBSky0.47950.46082801-415-140-10-10-23-611-54-7213237313-107.6-2.3
198205.7Saint Joseph'sA100.47940.51891093-311-190-30-31-44-65-46-6187193243-37.3-0.9
200205.9HartfordAE0.47910.46312724-114-140-00-11-33-311-56-615922015550.91.2
201206.9Texas St.SB0.47890.47342332-112-140-10-00-23-59-63-3150198269-62.1-1.3
202207.2Incarnate WordSlnd0.47860.44273251-013-110-00-00-21-311-52-412517719314.20.3
203207.3UC DavisBW0.47840.45392963-014-130-00-11-33-410-57-416634360147.33.1
204207.8Santa ClaraWCC0.47820.51901081-310-160-30-21-33-55-24-4262271218-10.2-0.2
206208.8Western CarolinaSC0.47740.46452672-314-150-00-10-33-610-54-721021216345.81.0
205208.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.47750.49921621-111-160-20-21-32-48-45-421533062146.83.3
207209.5UABCUSA0.47730.52271051-411-180-20-11-44-66-43-821619280-70.5-1.7
209211.2ColgatePat0.47620.49481711-412-180-10-11-43-77-53-9235178259-47.8-1.1
208212.0LehighPat0.47650.48971841-412-160-10-11-34-77-43-724021018923.00.5
211212.7Oregon St.P120.47530.50731322-212-170-30-32-53-47-27-425733518626.70.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
210214.0BryantNEC0.47530.47312361-213-160-10-10-31-412-73-818134228-14.0-0.3
212214.1WinthropBSth0.47500.44253261-214-120-00-00-14-510-53-523330920014.10.3
214214.8USC UpstateASun0.47420.43783333-115-120-00-11-22-413-57-6217325248-33.2-0.7
213214.9Utah ValleyWAC0.47470.44993083-114-130-10-10-21-312-66-7167259247-32.1-0.7
215219.4LipscombASun0.47240.46972570-311-150-10-10-32-49-54-8224170229-9.6-0.2
216219.7IdahoBSky0.47200.45872831-213-140-00-10-24-69-64-5221292253-33.3-0.7
217220.9Louisiana MonroeSB0.47160.47722221-312-150-00-10-24-68-62-5218183328-107.1-2.3
218221.2Sacramento St.BSky0.47160.47152451-112-150-10-10-23-69-64-5185225102119.22.5
219221.7Nebraska OmahaSum0.47120.44823132-214-140-00-00-14-610-66-622733420516.70.4
220222.3DePaulBE0.47080.5565482-17-220-61-51-51-34-25-6277253317-94.7-2.7
223222.6UCFAmer0.47020.50661332-112-160-10-21-44-67-36-424831019527.60.6
222222.7Alabama St.SWAC0.47030.40323510-216-90-10-10-10-115-52-5195146322-99.3-2.3
221223.3James MadisonCAA0.47040.48921874-115-160-10-11-35-79-47-620120014083.31.9
224224.1George MasonA100.46980.5630351-46-230-31-41-62-72-22-924120306-81.9-2.2
225224.2USCP120.46970.5447723-39-210-30-41-63-75-25-724418915074.22.1
226225.3Virginia TechACC0.46910.5287953-211-200-80-31-32-48-28-5266346232-6.7-0.2
228225.4North TexasCUSA0.46900.50461423-111-170-10-21-52-58-44-6212150236-10.6-0.2
227225.6DrexelCAA0.46910.51111271-410-180-10-11-44-75-43-72526918837.60.9
231226.0RiderMAAC0.46830.47692242-313-160-10-20-13-69-64-5199277257-31.0-0.7
229226.6East CarolinaAmer0.46870.51551171-310-190-20-21-43-76-35-6271291324-97.4-2.3
232226.7Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.46810.50181532-411-190-30-11-42-68-55-91989215967.71.6
230226.8Cal PolyBW0.46860.50091551-29-170-10-21-42-56-42-820888338-111.2-2.3
233227.4St. Francis NYNEC0.46760.44183270-415-140-00-10-12-414-84-726725520225.40.6
234229.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46740.44003301-214-130-00-00-13-411-64-523431782147.23.2
235231.4RadfordBSth0.46590.46222751-313-140-00-10-23-69-53-625419719635.40.8
240231.9PacificWCC0.46500.51401211-28-170-30-21-43-64-23-425633221120.90.5
236232.1Robert MorrisNEC0.46550.45952822-414-160-10-10-22-512-74-820912817755.11.3
239232.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.46530.44843121-313-150-20-10-11-312-73-9200102286-53.8-1.2
237232.7RutgersB100.46550.5554492-27-230-40-51-62-54-25-7261208315-82.3-2.5
238233.1BucknellPat0.46530.49981582-411-190-10-11-54-86-44-8239138268-34.9-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
242234.1South AlabamaSB0.46450.48242040-212-170-10-10-23-78-63-6253160336-101.9-2.2
241234.1Oral RobertsSum0.46470.48621942-311-170-10-11-24-96-53-9225113290-55.9-1.2
243234.3TulaneAmer0.46440.50531392-112-170-10-21-53-67-36-5283337301-66.7-1.6
244238.9FIUCUSA0.46170.47732211-211-180-10-10-33-78-64-7197261309-70.1-1.6
245239.4Northern KentuckyASun0.46160.48092101-311-160-20-10-32-58-64-92199917861.41.3
247239.4WagnerNEC0.46140.45712850-313-150-00-10-22-411-83-723012322019.40.4
246240.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.46140.45562920-513-180-30-20-30-312-71-1224614316-75.5-1.8
249241.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46070.47152441-412-180-00-10-23-78-74-6259328265-23.5-0.5
248241.8Loyola MarymountWCC0.46090.5383842-27-200-40-31-52-74-33-622694262-20.2-0.5
250242.4McNeese St.Slnd0.46010.45263000-112-130-10-00-22-59-62-52143385157.43.2
252243.9CornellIvy0.45900.47122473-412-170-10-21-42-49-66-9247272261-17.1-0.4
251244.4ElonCAA0.45930.47752192-311-180-10-11-33-87-54-7258312274-29.6-0.7
254245.9Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45770.47642260-311-160-00-10-33-67-63-6268283330-84.1-1.8
253246.2St. Francis PANEC0.45840.44453201-313-150-10-00-11-411-93-723623616086.21.9
255247.4BradleyMVC0.45760.51871102-29-190-20-21-43-75-44-6293195314-66.6-1.7
256247.9Youngstown St.Horz0.45730.47292383-311-170-10-20-32-68-55-722226517572.91.7
257248.3TroySB0.45640.46042810-312-150-00-00-23-69-63-4318340320-71.7-1.6
258251.2Washington St.P120.45610.5454711-36-220-40-41-61-54-34-6278217285-33.8-1.0
259252.0South DakotaSum0.45510.47242400-511-180-00-10-23-78-74-9288224294-42.0-1.0
260253.4UMass LowellAE0.45410.44803153-212-160-00-10-32-610-65-720332789164.44.1
261255.0UMKCWAC0.45330.45063051-412-170-00-10-22-59-95-10270285279-24.0-0.6
262256.2PrincetonIvy0.45290.48332011-410-170-00-21-41-48-64-9284221332-75.8-1.8
263256.7FairfieldMAAC0.45280.50321462-310-200-10-20-32-87-63-719660258-1.3-0.0
264258.5New HampshireAE0.45130.44083281-212-150-00-01-23-69-75-6287345335-76.5-1.7
265260.4OaklandHorz0.45100.51591161-58-210-20-31-52-84-42-1127441310-49.6-1.3
267260.5SeattleWAC0.45040.46092791-312-140-00-10-32-410-74-8289204287-26.5-0.6
268260.8MilwaukeeHorz0.45020.48421961-410-180-20-20-23-66-74-8279219296-35.2-0.9
269260.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.44990.47162432-311-180-00-11-43-77-65-82642872546.80.2
270260.8Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44970.45502931-312-150-10-10-22-69-64-729628123426.80.6
266261.1FordhamA100.45060.5257970-37-210-20-31-62-74-33-730922318378.12.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271263.1Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44810.47502270-49-170-00-10-22-77-72-829115422241.10.9
272266.5Loyola MDPat0.44650.49441732-39-200-10-11-43-96-54-724517319868.51.7
273267.3HowardMEAC0.44630.42293441-313-150-10-00-11-412-94-825526724621.30.5
275268.8HamptonMEAC0.44530.42903401-513-160-10-10-11-312-94-9285263283-14.2-0.4
274269.3DrakeMVC0.44570.52481001-37-220-20-30-42-84-53-830515825613.30.4
276269.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.44530.44033292-111-160-00-10-21-410-85-622934223138.51.0
279269.9Austin PeayOVC0.44440.45642871-411-160-00-10-22-68-83-8304280270-0.1-0.0
277270.3IUPUISum0.44500.49071832-39-210-10-10-33-86-84-1022810125119.30.5
278270.5Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44480.47362311-19-180-10-10-31-67-84-922014980190.54.6
281271.7Tennessee TechOVC0.44370.46242732-211-170-00-10-23-67-84-8282288299-27.3-0.7
280271.9Fresno St.MWC0.44400.51701130-57-220-20-21-52-83-52-9328239347-75.1-2.1
282272.3NiagaraMAAC0.44330.49531681-29-200-00-20-43-86-62-731214420666.31.8
287272.9LIU BrooklynNEC0.44240.43843320-313-160-00-00-21-411-104-73022842675.90.1
284273.0DartmouthIvy0.44310.46342700-210-180-00-10-31-68-75-928131826013.00.3
283273.1VMISC0.44320.46782611-310-170-10-20-21-58-71-729512022350.11.3
285273.6RiceCUSA0.44290.49951611-37-190-10-11-42-75-62-6303230325-51.4-1.4
286274.5MaristMAAC0.44250.47332341-410-200-00-10-23-87-83-7317323276-1.5-0.0
288274.5CampbellBSth0.44180.46312710-310-180-00-10-23-87-73-7300266302-27.5-0.7
289276.2Arkansas St.SB0.44070.46562650-210-180-00-10-23-77-82-6332320348-71.8-1.8
291279.3New OrleansSlnd0.43830.45432950-19-150-00-10-21-67-70-626047124155.33.6
290279.5Delaware St.MEAC0.43910.43173361-311-180-10-10-21-411-103-10242211146133.53.4
292281.4Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.43770.45612901-310-190-10-10-21-39-103-825016121368.41.8
293281.9Grand CanyonWAC0.43760.44803142-313-160-10-10-31-412-77-830128225229.90.8
294282.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.43690.45123031-411-190-20-10-21-59-102-1027516227210.90.3
299282.9LamarSlnd0.43620.44993091-39-170-00-10-21-58-82-624925227111.90.3
296283.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43650.42733420-611-170-10-10-21-511-91-929084319-35.7-1.0
297283.8Coppin St.MEAC0.43630.48182070-48-200-10-20-41-57-81-11231523944.81.2
298284.6Morgan St.MEAC0.43630.43453351-512-180-00-10-11-611-93-1129822824242.61.2
295284.8Miami OHMAC0.43680.51031292-38-220-10-21-62-105-44-8324276289-4.2-0.1
300285.7Jackson St.SWAC0.43520.42153461-413-180-00-10-21-512-93-1026518423847.71.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
303286.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.43420.43923310-310-180-10-00-21-69-92-10263126176110.72.9
301286.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.43470.46972561-39-200-10-10-21-77-94-92692492779.90.3
302287.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.43460.48112091-49-200-10-20-32-76-74-9307240293-5.8-0.2
305287.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43370.44363231-211-170-00-00-22-59-103-7276244185102.52.7
304287.7NavyPat0.43410.48391981-49-200-10-10-42-86-64-7292251156131.73.9
306290.0BrownIvy0.43270.48082111-59-190-10-21-41-57-84-1031324222763.01.9
307291.7NJITind0.43120.46352691-48-170-10-10-21-56-88-173062752829.70.3
308292.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.43050.44583181-411-170-10-10-21-510-95-9315306311-18.4-0.5
310293.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.42850.46542660-38-170-10-10-31-47-81-62721526429.70.8
309295.7Appalachian St.SB0.42920.47372302-28-210-00-10-32-86-83-625124119798.73.1
311296.6UTSACUSA0.42830.47112481-28-190-00-11-32-75-83-6333348333-36.4-1.1
312297.5SamfordSC0.42700.45133022-411-190-00-20-32-59-94-83083042889.50.3
314298.9Savannah St.MEAC0.42600.44733172-39-190-20-00-22-58-103-923893122176.95.3
313299.9FurmanSC0.42620.47742201-37-200-10-10-31-76-72-728096149150.94.8
315302.0SouthernSWAC0.42390.43583340-410-180-10-10-30-49-90-1029736321-19.0-0.6
316302.9Kennesaw St.ASun0.42360.46582642-49-200-10-20-31-57-94-1128621423072.92.4
317304.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.42070.45452940-38-170-00-00-11-77-82-733029921094.42.8
318306.9Tennessee St.OVC0.42060.47362320-37-210-10-10-21-86-92-1032024321294.93.1
319308.1Sacred HeartNEC0.41920.44883111-310-200-00-10-11-48-133-931022783225.17.8
320312.0San Jose St.MWC0.41720.50311470-45-210-10-10-42-93-51-734829729220.00.8
323312.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.41500.42953380-49-180-10-10-20-39-110-9299453075.30.2
321312.4DelawareCAA0.41630.49361750-46-230-10-10-42-93-82-9331231350-37.6-1.5
322313.5Montana St.BSky0.41550.49071820-46-230-10-10-32-94-91-103148729716.50.7
324313.5UC RiversideBW0.41490.47912150-37-210-10-10-41-65-93-9322256341-27.5-1.0
325313.7Western IllinoisSum0.41440.47072511-37-180-00-00-22-85-82-7327233344-30.3-1.1
326313.8StetsonASun0.41380.45073040-48-190-00-10-31-67-93-10326298334-20.2-0.7
327315.9Abilene ChristianSlnd0.41200.44433210-28-190-00-00-21-77-102-7321258351-35.1-1.3
328317.0PennIvy0.41190.47312350-47-210-10-20-41-65-93-11339294342-25.0-1.0
329317.3Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41140.43023371-510-210-10-10-20-710-112-11294130208109.34.5
332319.2North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40930.44413220-48-200-00-10-30-57-111-11323121340-20.8-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330319.3PresbyterianBSth0.40980.47082500-46-210-10-10-21-85-91-831110724574.33.1
334319.6Chicago St.WAC0.40900.47822170-55-230-00-20-41-65-111-13325159331-11.4-0.5
331319.9BinghamtonAE0.40930.47092490-57-220-10-10-41-85-92-1133422629128.91.3
333319.9UNC GreensboroSC0.40910.45632880-48-200-10-10-22-76-102-8347295323-3.1-0.1
335321.0UMBCAE0.40820.45352980-48-210-00-10-41-67-103-10338316345-24.0-1.1
336321.6Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40800.42883411-610-210-10-10-10-49-143-1231626225566.63.0
337321.9Central ConnecticutNEC0.40660.44303240-510-210-10-10-11-59-143-10341278329-7.1-0.3
338322.6The CitadelSC0.40550.45033060-37-190-10-10-21-66-92-5342300349-26.4-1.1
339324.8JacksonvilleASun0.40380.45322990-47-210-10-10-31-66-103-113292903186.80.3
340326.8MaineAE0.40210.47022540-46-230-10-10-31-95-102-1133723527551.82.6
341327.1Idaho St.BSky0.40160.45622890-47-210-00-10-21-95-101-9345289343-15.9-0.8
342327.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.39920.44783160-26-180-00-00-21-75-91-5344307224103.44.5
343330.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.39730.45652860-56-230-00-00-21-85-121-103351813273.60.2
344333.4LongwoodBSth0.39400.45023071-46-230-00-10-21-95-112-9336322221112.47.1
345333.4Alabama A&MSWAC0.39170.40673500-38-180-00-00-10-48-120-83402073267.40.4
346334.4LibertyBSth0.39080.42943391-48-190-00-00-11-77-112-7351350346-11.6-0.7
347338.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38510.40833491-49-200-00-00-11-69-143-1034333830830.62.3
348339.5Southern UtahBSky0.38400.45572910-44-230-00-00-21-103-101-835031130336.53.0
349342.8Grambling St.SWAC0.37450.42473430-45-210-00-10-20-45-130-83195030042.84.0
350346.8Florida A&MMEAC0.36350.42133470-66-230-00-00-20-65-161-1234929630541.86.3
351348.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35790.42163450-55-250-00-00-10-74-170-12346188216132.329.8


Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com