The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Utah page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Utah

Conference:		MWC
Expected RPI:		162.8
Current RPI:		178
Expected SOS:		85
Current SOS:		96
Current Record:		10-12
Expected Record:		13-17
Current Conf Record:		3-5
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-3
Current OOC Record:		7-7
Expected OOC Record:		7-7
Expected OOC RPI:		204
Expected OOC SOS:		179

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-12	93.0	0.02%
17-13	105.4	0.39%
16-14	119.7	3.48%
15-15	135.7	12.54%
14-16	152.3	27.05%
13-17	168.1	31.15%
12-18	183.2	18.90%
11-19	198.9	5.88%
10-20	213.4	0.58%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Idaho (149.2)	WAC	H	87-94	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Utah St. (33.6)	WAC	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Southern (342.8)	SWAC	H	88-48	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	74-77	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Illinois (76.5)	B10	N	60-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	N	55-77	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Weber St. (80.8)	BSky	A	76-83	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Michigan (143.6)	B10	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	H	73-78	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	A	64-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	H	69-47	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	61-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	H	65-45	W	100%	0.0
1-13	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-19	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	H	68-70	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	A	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	H	50-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	A	0-0		47%	-0.9
2-13	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	H	0-0		30%	-5.6
2-17	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	H	0-0		31%	-5.4
2-20	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	A	0-0		15%	-11.2
2-24	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	A	0-0		66%	4.6
2-27	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	H	0-0		83%	10.4
3-3	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	H	0-0		18%	-10.0
3-6	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	A	0-0		39%	-3.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Utah's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Utah's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Utah.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah	MWC	26.14	26.33	39.22	39.79	-5.64	-5.38
Brigham Young	MWC	2.90	4.27	86.96	87.16	2.15	3.17
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.17	85.71	84.35	1.96	2.87
Wyoming	MWC	2.74	4.17	30.00	28.58	-1.09	-1.78
New Mexico	MWC	2.69	4.15	86.96	83.43	1.99	2.77
Texas Christian	MWC	2.69	4.14	42.86	39.13	-0.38	-0.90
Colorado St.	MWC	2.69	4.14	57.14	50.80	0.38	0.07
Air Force	MWC	2.68	4.13	36.84	31.69	-0.71	-1.51
San Diego St.	MWC	2.68	4.14	65.00	65.84	0.80	1.31
Utah St.	WAC	2.60	1.87	77.27	79.31	1.42	1.10
Weber St.	BSky	2.57	1.92	60.00	63.65	0.51	0.52
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.49	1.81	68.18	62.29	0.91	0.44
Seattle	ind	2.43	1.79	43.48	47.17	-0.32	-0.10
Idaho St.	BSky	2.42	1.81	20.00	24.92	-1.45	-0.91
Idaho	WAC	2.42	1.78	42.11	46.40	-0.38	-0.13
Southern	SWAC	2.37	1.75	20.00	21.31	-1.42	-1.00
Pepperdine	WCC	2.33	1.73	23.81	22.54	-1.22	-0.95
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.32	1.69	58.82	60.65	0.41	0.36
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.70	69.57	60.98	0.89	0.37
Illinois St.	MVC	2.27	1.67	65.22	62.20	0.69	0.41
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.27	1.67	40.91	36.60	-0.41	-0.45
Michigan	B10	2.27	1.69	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.15
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.37	0.39	79.17	78.03	0.22	0.22
Fresno St.	WAC	0.36	0.34	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.32	0.21	30.43	29.01	-0.13	-0.09
Boise St.	WAC	0.32	0.23	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.32	0.36	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.31	0.26	18.18	19.18	-0.20	-0.16
Montana	BSky	0.27	0.18	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.28	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.22	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.25	0.19	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.23	0.18	12.00	18.82	-0.18	-0.11
Montana St.	BSky	0.22	0.13	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.21	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.12	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.21	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.11
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.20	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.20	0.15	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.20	33.33	33.43	-0.07	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.20	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.20	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.17	0.12	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.16	0.09	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.15	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.16	0.18	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.17	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.06
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.12	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.07
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.12	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.10
Denver	SB	0.15	0.14	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.16	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.11	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.11	0.09	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.14	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.09	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.11	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.11	33.33	36.45	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.08	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.05	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah	MWC	26.14	26.33	39.22	39.79	-5.64	-5.38
Brigham Young	MWC	2.90	4.27	86.96	87.16	2.15	3.17
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.17	85.71	84.35	1.96	2.87
Wyoming	MWC	2.74	4.17	30.00	28.58	-1.09	-1.78
New Mexico	MWC	2.69	4.15	86.96	83.43	1.99	2.77
Colorado St.	MWC	2.69	4.14	57.14	50.80	0.38	0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	2.69	4.14	42.86	39.13	-0.38	-0.90
San Diego St.	MWC	2.68	4.14	65.00	65.84	0.80	1.31
Air Force	MWC	2.68	4.13	36.84	31.69	-0.71	-1.51
Weber St.	BSky	2.57	1.92	60.00	63.65	0.51	0.52
Utah St.	WAC	2.60	1.87	77.27	79.31	1.42	1.10
Idaho St.	BSky	2.42	1.81	20.00	24.92	-1.45	-0.91
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.49	1.81	68.18	62.29	0.91	0.44
Seattle	ind	2.43	1.79	43.48	47.17	-0.32	-0.10
Idaho	WAC	2.42	1.78	42.11	46.40	-0.38	-0.13
Southern	SWAC	2.37	1.75	20.00	21.31	-1.42	-1.00
Pepperdine	WCC	2.33	1.73	23.81	22.54	-1.22	-0.95
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.70	69.57	60.98	0.89	0.37
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.32	1.69	58.82	60.65	0.41	0.36
Michigan	B10	2.27	1.69	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.15
Illinois St.	MVC	2.27	1.67	65.22	62.20	0.69	0.41
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.27	1.67	40.91	36.60	-0.41	-0.45
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.37	0.39	79.17	78.03	0.22	0.22
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.32	0.36	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.36	0.34	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.25	0.28	36.36	33.80	-0.07	-0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.31	0.26	18.18	19.18	-0.20	-0.16
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.32	0.23	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.11
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.22	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.32	0.21	30.43	29.01	-0.13	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.20	33.33	33.43	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.20	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.25	0.19	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.27	0.18	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.23	0.18	12.00	18.82	-0.18	-0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.16	0.18	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.17	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.16	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.06
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.15	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.10
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.20	0.15	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Denver	SB	0.15	0.14	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.21	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.14	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.21	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.12	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.20	0.14	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Indiana St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.22	0.13	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.16	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.12	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.17	0.12	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.16	0.12	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.07
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.12	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.12	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.11	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.11	33.33	36.45	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.11	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.20	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.11	0.09	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.16	0.09	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.09	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.08	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.05	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Brigham Young	MWC	2.90	4.27	86.96	87.16	2.15	3.17
New Mexico	MWC	2.69	4.15	86.96	83.43	1.99	2.77
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.74	4.17	85.71	84.35	1.96	2.87
Utah St.	WAC	2.60	1.87	77.27	79.31	1.42	1.10
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.49	1.81	68.18	62.29	0.91	0.44
Illinois	B10	2.27	1.70	69.57	60.98	0.89	0.37
San Diego St.	MWC	2.68	4.14	65.00	65.84	0.80	1.31
Illinois St.	MVC	2.27	1.67	65.22	62.20	0.69	0.41
Weber St.	BSky	2.57	1.92	60.00	63.65	0.51	0.52
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.32	1.69	58.82	60.65	0.41	0.36
Colorado St.	MWC	2.69	4.14	57.14	50.80	0.38	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.37	0.39	79.17	78.03	0.22	0.22
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.15	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.10
Montana	BSky	0.27	0.18	68.18	70.35	0.10	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.08
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.22	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.20	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.08	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.16	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.25	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.12	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.15	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.12	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.25	0.23	57.14	60.54	0.04	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.15	0.14	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.05