The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Utah page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Utah

Conference:		MWC
Expected RPI:		157.7
Current RPI:		156
Expected SOS:		83
Current SOS:		79
Current Record:		14-17
Expected Record:		14-17
Current Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-2
Current OOC Record:		7-7
Expected OOC Record:		7-7
Expected OOC RPI:		210
Expected OOC SOS:		184

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-17		157.7		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Idaho (173.4)	WAC	H	87-94	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Utah St. (27.2)	WAC	H	68-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Southern (343.0)	SWAC	H	88-48	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Seattle (191.8)	ind	H	74-77	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Illinois (77.1)	B10	N	60-58	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Oklahoma St. (29.7)	B12	N	55-77	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Weber St. (85.7)	BSky	A	76-83	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Idaho St. (304.4)	BSky	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Michigan (128.0)	B10	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Oklahoma (117.9)	B12	H	73-78	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Illinois St. (74.8)	MVC	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Pepperdine (305.3)	WCC	A	64-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Texas San Antonio (187.0)	Slnd	H	69-47	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana St. (223.1)	SEC	A	61-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Texas Christian (187.9)	MWC	H	65-45	W	100%	0.0
1-13	New Mexico (8.5)	MWC	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-19	San Diego St. (29.4)	MWC	H	68-70	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Air Force (242.8)	MWC	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Wyoming (227.3)	MWC	A	69-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Brigham Young (20.7)	MWC	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	H	50-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Texas Christian (187.9)	MWC	A	64-55	W	100%	0.0
2-13	New Mexico (8.5)	MWC	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	H	66-61	W	100%	0.0
2-20	San Diego St. (29.4)	MWC	A	61-68	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Air Force (242.8)	MWC	A	54-43	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Wyoming (227.3)	MWC	H	74-64	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Brigham Young (20.7)	MWC	H	51-71	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	A	67-76	L	0%	0.0
3-11	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	A	61-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Utah's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Utah's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Utah.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah	MWC	26.37	26.35	41.38	41.38	-4.55	-4.54
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	5.62	5.66	81.48	80.08	3.54	3.40
Brigham Young	MWC	4.20	4.27	86.67	85.73	3.08	3.05
Air Force	MWC	4.13	4.12	29.63	29.63	-1.68	-1.68
Wyoming	MWC	4.11	4.09	25.93	25.93	-1.98	-1.97
New Mexico	MWC	4.09	4.13	90.00	88.87	3.27	3.21
Colorado St.	MWC	4.09	4.07	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Texas Christian	MWC	4.08	4.06	39.29	39.29	-0.87	-0.87
San Diego St.	MWC	4.08	4.12	70.37	69.46	1.66	1.60
Weber St.	BSky	1.88	1.88	62.96	62.96	0.49	0.49
Utah St.	WAC	1.81	1.80	83.33	83.32	1.20	1.20
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.77	1.77	67.74	67.74	0.63	0.63
Idaho St.	BSky	1.75	1.74	19.23	19.23	-1.08	-1.07
Seattle	ind	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Idaho	WAC	1.72	1.72	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Oklahoma	B12	1.69	1.69	40.00	40.00	-0.34	-0.34
Southern	SWAC	1.69	1.69	17.86	17.86	-1.09	-1.08
Pepperdine	WCC	1.67	1.67	17.86	17.86	-1.07	-1.07
Illinois	B10	1.64	1.64	60.00	58.67	0.33	0.28
Michigan	B10	1.64	1.64	48.28	47.21	-0.06	-0.09
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.64	1.64	61.54	61.54	0.38	0.38
Illinois St.	MVC	1.61	1.61	67.74	67.74	0.57	0.57
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.61	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.36	0.36	76.67	76.67	0.19	0.19
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.33	0.33	46.15	46.15	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.32	0.32	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.29	0.28	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Nevada	WAC	0.27	0.26	63.33	63.95	0.07	0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Boise St.	WAC	0.25	0.24	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.23	63.33	61.86	0.06	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	71.88	70.21	0.09	0.09
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Santa Clara	WCC	0.19	0.19	30.00	30.00	-0.08	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.18	0.18	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.17	18.75	18.69	-0.11	-0.11
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.16	31.25	31.25	-0.06	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.16	41.38	40.93	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.15	80.00	79.25	0.09	0.09
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.15	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	73.33	71.50	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.14	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.08
Denver	SB	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.13	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.13	0.13	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.13	0.13	83.33	82.83	0.09	0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	80.00	78.82	0.08	0.08
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	49.68	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	77.42	76.92	0.06	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.10	77.42	76.64	0.06	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.10	62.50	61.06	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.13	77.42	77.62	0.06	0.07
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	76.67	76.82	0.06	0.07
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	65.38	65.63	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	60.86	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.66	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	86.67	86.62	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.09	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.72	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.74	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.99	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.97	71.58	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.21	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.04	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.13	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.22	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.42	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.33	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.98	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.30	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.75	67.65	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Utah	MWC	26.37	26.35	41.38	41.38	-4.55	-4.54
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	5.62	5.66	81.48	80.08	3.54	3.40
Brigham Young	MWC	4.20	4.27	86.67	85.73	3.08	3.05
New Mexico	MWC	4.09	4.13	90.00	88.87	3.27	3.21
San Diego St.	MWC	4.08	4.12	70.37	69.46	1.66	1.60
Air Force	MWC	4.13	4.12	29.63	29.63	-1.68	-1.68
Wyoming	MWC	4.11	4.09	25.93	25.93	-1.98	-1.97
Colorado St.	MWC	4.09	4.07	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Texas Christian	MWC	4.08	4.06	39.29	39.29	-0.87	-0.87
Weber St.	BSky	1.88	1.88	62.96	62.96	0.49	0.49
Utah St.	WAC	1.81	1.80	83.33	83.32	1.20	1.20
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.77	1.77	67.74	67.74	0.63	0.63
Idaho St.	BSky	1.75	1.74	19.23	19.23	-1.08	-1.07
Seattle	ind	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Idaho	WAC	1.72	1.72	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Oklahoma	B12	1.69	1.69	40.00	40.00	-0.34	-0.34
Southern	SWAC	1.69	1.69	17.86	17.86	-1.09	-1.08
Pepperdine	WCC	1.67	1.67	17.86	17.86	-1.07	-1.07
Illinois	B10	1.64	1.64	60.00	58.67	0.33	0.28
Michigan	B10	1.64	1.64	48.28	47.21	-0.06	-0.09
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.64	1.64	61.54	61.54	0.38	0.38
Illinois St.	MVC	1.61	1.61	67.74	67.74	0.57	0.57
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.61	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.36	0.36	76.67	76.67	0.19	0.19
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.33	0.33	46.15	46.15	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.32	0.32	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.29	0.28	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Nevada	WAC	0.27	0.26	63.33	63.95	0.07	0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.25	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Boise St.	WAC	0.25	0.24	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	71.88	70.21	0.09	0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.23	63.33	61.86	0.06	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Santa Clara	WCC	0.19	0.19	30.00	30.00	-0.08	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.18	0.18	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.17	0.17	18.75	18.69	-0.11	-0.11
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.16	41.38	40.93	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.16	31.25	31.25	-0.06	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.15	80.00	79.25	0.09	0.09
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.15	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	73.33	71.50	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.14	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.13	0.13	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.13	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.13	0.13	83.33	82.83	0.09	0.09
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	80.00	78.82	0.08	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.13	77.42	77.62	0.06	0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	76.67	76.82	0.06	0.07
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	49.68	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	77.42	76.92	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.10	77.42	76.64	0.06	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.10	62.50	61.06	0.03	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	65.38	65.63	0.03	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.66	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	60.86	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	86.67	86.62	0.06	0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.09	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.72	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.74	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.99	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.97	71.58	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.13	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.21	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.22	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.04	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.33	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.98	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.30	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.75	67.65	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.42	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	5.62	5.66	81.48	80.08	3.54	3.40
New Mexico	MWC	4.09	4.13	90.00	88.87	3.27	3.21
Brigham Young	MWC	4.20	4.27	86.67	85.73	3.08	3.05
San Diego St.	MWC	4.08	4.12	70.37	69.46	1.66	1.60
Utah St.	WAC	1.81	1.80	83.33	83.32	1.20	1.20
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.77	1.77	67.74	67.74	0.63	0.63
Illinois St.	MVC	1.61	1.61	67.74	67.74	0.57	0.57
Weber St.	BSky	1.88	1.88	62.96	62.96	0.49	0.49
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	1.64	1.64	61.54	61.54	0.38	0.38
Illinois	B10	1.64	1.64	60.00	58.67	0.33	0.28
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.36	0.36	76.67	76.67	0.19	0.19
Seattle	ind	1.72	1.72	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.15	80.00	79.25	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.23	71.88	70.21	0.09	0.09
St. Mary's	WCC	0.14	0.13	83.33	83.33	0.09	0.09
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.13	0.13	83.33	82.83	0.09	0.09
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	80.00	78.82	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.20	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	73.33	71.50	0.07	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.27	0.26	63.33	63.95	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.24	0.23	63.33	61.86	0.06	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	77.42	76.92	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.10	77.42	76.64	0.06	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.13	77.42	77.62	0.06	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	86.67	86.62	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.13	76.67	76.82	0.06	0.07
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.14	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Pacific	BW	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.10	62.50	61.06	0.03	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.08	0.08	65.38	65.63	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.09	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.22	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.97	71.58	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.99	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	60.86	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.74	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.33	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01