The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Marist page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Marist

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		334.0
Current RPI:		334
Expected SOS:		167
Current SOS:		167
Current Record:		1-29
Expected Record:		1-29
Current Conf Record:		1-18
Expected Conf Record:		1-18
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		1-12
Current OOC Record:		0-11
Expected OOC Record:		0-11
Expected OOC RPI:		340
Expected OOC SOS:		250

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
1-29		334.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Marist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Hartford (304.0)	AE	A	38-75	L	0%	0.0
11-28	New Hampshire (242.0)	AE	A	58-72	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	A	61-70	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	A	51-55	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Boston University (140.0)	AE	H	72-88	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	52-70	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	55-66	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Vermont (119.0)	AE	H	62-72	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	A	67-70	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	72-66	W	100%	0.0
1-4	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	A	49-61	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Princeton (134.0)	Ivy	H	58-77	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	H	57-72	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	62-84	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	61-68	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	H	56-72	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	50-70	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	H	64-80	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	A	42-61	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	H	60-79	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	A	47-72	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	51-56	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	56-71	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	A	51-70	L	0%	0.0
2-20	UC Irvine (276.0)	BW	A	65-66	L	0%	0.0
2-26	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	H	39-62	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	51-76	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	N	54-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Marist's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Marist's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Marist.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marist	MAAC	26.38	26.38	2.14	2.14	-25.25	-25.25
Canisius	MAAC	5.90	5.90	41.38	41.38	-1.02	-1.02
Fairfield	MAAC	4.46	4.46	66.67	66.67	1.49	1.49
Rider	MAAC	4.42	4.42	48.39	48.39	-0.14	-0.14
Siena	MAAC	4.39	4.39	80.65	80.65	2.69	2.69
Manhattan	MAAC	4.36	4.36	34.48	34.48	-1.35	-1.35
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.36	4.36	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
Niagara	MAAC	4.34	4.34	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Iona	MAAC	4.30	4.30	65.52	65.52	1.34	1.34
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.30	4.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	2.08	2.08	72.73	72.73	0.94	0.94
Boston University	AE	2.02	2.02	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
New Hampshire	AE	1.96	1.96	39.29	39.29	-0.42	-0.42
Binghamton	AE	1.96	1.96	35.71	35.71	-0.56	-0.56
Bucknell	Pat	1.91	1.91	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Hartford	AE	1.91	1.91	24.14	24.14	-0.99	-0.99
Holy Cross	Pat	1.85	1.85	26.67	26.67	-0.86	-0.86
Rutgers	BE	1.83	1.83	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Lehigh	Pat	1.82	1.82	67.74	67.74	0.65	0.65
Princeton	Ivy	1.75	1.75	69.23	69.23	0.67	0.67
UC Irvine	BW	1.67	1.67	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Stony Brook	AE	0.41	0.41	70.00	70.00	0.16	0.16
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.40	0.40	13.33	13.33	-0.29	-0.29
Albany	AE	0.38	0.38	21.88	21.88	-0.21	-0.21
Maine	AE	0.33	0.33	62.07	62.07	0.08	0.08
Lafayette	Pat	0.33	0.33	59.38	59.38	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.29	0.29	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.25	0.25	14.81	14.81	-0.18	-0.18
Army	Pat	0.25	0.25	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.24	0.24	21.88	21.88	-0.13	-0.13
Colgate	Pat	0.22	0.22	34.48	34.48	-0.07	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.19	0.19	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.19	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.14	0.14	74.07	74.07	0.07	0.07
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.14	0.14	31.03	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.13	7.14	7.14	-0.11	-0.11
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.11	0.11	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.11	86.21	86.21	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.86	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Marist	MAAC	26.38	26.38	2.14	2.14	-25.25	-25.25
Canisius	MAAC	5.90	5.90	41.38	41.38	-1.02	-1.02
Fairfield	MAAC	4.46	4.46	66.67	66.67	1.49	1.49
Rider	MAAC	4.42	4.42	48.39	48.39	-0.14	-0.14
Siena	MAAC	4.39	4.39	80.65	80.65	2.69	2.69
Manhattan	MAAC	4.36	4.36	34.48	34.48	-1.35	-1.35
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.36	4.36	39.29	39.29	-0.93	-0.93
Niagara	MAAC	4.34	4.34	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Iona	MAAC	4.30	4.30	65.52	65.52	1.34	1.34
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.30	4.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	2.08	2.08	72.73	72.73	0.94	0.94
Boston University	AE	2.02	2.02	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
New Hampshire	AE	1.96	1.96	39.29	39.29	-0.42	-0.42
Binghamton	AE	1.96	1.96	35.71	35.71	-0.56	-0.56
Bucknell	Pat	1.91	1.91	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Hartford	AE	1.91	1.91	24.14	24.14	-0.99	-0.99
Holy Cross	Pat	1.85	1.85	26.67	26.67	-0.86	-0.86
Rutgers	BE	1.83	1.83	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Lehigh	Pat	1.82	1.82	67.74	67.74	0.65	0.65
Princeton	Ivy	1.75	1.75	69.23	69.23	0.67	0.67
UC Irvine	BW	1.67	1.67	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Stony Brook	AE	0.41	0.41	70.00	70.00	0.16	0.16
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.40	0.40	13.33	13.33	-0.29	-0.29
Albany	AE	0.38	0.38	21.88	21.88	-0.21	-0.21
Maine	AE	0.33	0.33	62.07	62.07	0.08	0.08
Lafayette	Pat	0.33	0.33	59.38	59.38	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.29	0.29	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.25	0.25	14.81	14.81	-0.18	-0.18
Army	Pat	0.25	0.25	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.24	0.24	21.88	21.88	-0.13	-0.13
Colgate	Pat	0.22	0.22	34.48	34.48	-0.07	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.19	0.19	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.19	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.14	0.14	74.07	74.07	0.07	0.07
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.14	0.14	31.03	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.13	7.14	7.14	-0.11	-0.11
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.11	0.11	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.11	86.21	86.21	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.86	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	4.39	4.39	80.65	80.65	2.69	2.69
Fairfield	MAAC	4.46	4.46	66.67	66.67	1.49	1.49
Iona	MAAC	4.30	4.30	65.52	65.52	1.34	1.34
Vermont	AE	2.08	2.08	72.73	72.73	0.94	0.94
Princeton	Ivy	1.75	1.75	69.23	69.23	0.67	0.67
Lehigh	Pat	1.82	1.82	67.74	67.74	0.65	0.65
Boston University	AE	2.02	2.02	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
Stony Brook	AE	0.41	0.41	70.00	70.00	0.16	0.16
Niagara	MAAC	4.34	4.34	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.11	86.21	86.21	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.33	0.33	62.07	62.07	0.08	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Harvard	Ivy	0.14	0.14	74.07	74.07	0.07	0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.33	0.33	59.38	59.38	0.06	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.21	0.21	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.19	0.19	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.86	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.30	4.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.25	0.25	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04