The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Liberty page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Liberty

Conference:		BSth
Expected RPI:		232.0
Current RPI:		232
Expected SOS:		260
Current SOS:		260
Current Record:		12-16
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-3
Current OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC RPI:		249
Expected OOC SOS:		86

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-16		232.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Liberty.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	George Mason (158.0)	CAA	A	72-76	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	H	39-79	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	H	41-73	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	72-91	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	A	53-69	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	N	72-53	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	N	63-60	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Charleston Southern (285.0)	BSth	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Coastal Carolina (136.0)	BSth	H	58-73	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	A	58-82	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	N	64-81	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Virginia Military Inst (310.0)	BSth	A	110-102	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Winthrop (160.0)	BSth	A	62-65	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Gardner Webb (318.0)	BSth	H	68-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	NC Asheville (217.0)	BSth	H	70-74	L	0%	0.0
1-21	High Point (254.0)	BSth	A	53-81	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Radford (169.0)	BSth	A	60-55	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Virginia Military Inst (310.0)	BSth	H	91-73	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Winthrop (160.0)	BSth	H	43-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	H	60-57	W	100%	0.0
2-11	NC Asheville (217.0)	BSth	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Gardner Webb (318.0)	BSth	A	69-61	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Radford (169.0)	BSth	H	69-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	High Point (254.0)	BSth	H	76-67	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Coastal Carolina (136.0)	BSth	A	48-71	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Charleston Southern (285.0)	BSth	A	74-61	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Winthrop (160.0)	BSth	A	72-80	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Liberty's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Liberty's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Liberty.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Liberty	BSth	26.56	26.56	44.78	44.78	-2.77	-2.77
Winthrop	BSth	6.54	6.54	51.85	51.85	0.24	0.24
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.89	4.89	78.57	78.57	2.79	2.79
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
NC Asheville	BSth	4.78	4.78	38.46	38.46	-1.10	-1.10
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	4.73	4.73	26.09	26.09	-2.26	-2.26
High Point	BSth	4.72	4.72	46.15	46.15	-0.36	-0.36
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.71	4.71	37.50	37.50	-1.18	-1.18
Presbyterian	BSth	4.69	4.69	14.29	14.29	-3.35	-3.35
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.65	4.65	20.83	20.83	-2.71	-2.71
George Mason	CAA	1.97	1.97	53.33	53.33	0.13	0.13
Clemson	ACC	1.93	1.93	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
Old Dominion	CAA	1.84	1.84	75.76	75.76	0.95	0.95
Notre Dame	BE	1.84	1.84	66.67	66.67	0.61	0.61
Northwestern	B10	1.84	1.84	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.81	1.81	29.03	29.03	-0.76	-0.76
Central Florida	CUSA	1.81	1.81	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Buffalo	MAC	1.79	1.79	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.79	1.79	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.83
College of Charleston	SC	0.28	0.28	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
Charlotte	A10	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	85.29	85.29	0.17	0.17
James Madison	CAA	0.24	0.24	39.39	39.39	-0.05	-0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.22	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.19	12.00	12.00	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.10	-0.10
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.17	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.16	0.16	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.15	0.15	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.15	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Elon	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	17.24	17.24	-0.08	-0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.09	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Liberty	BSth	26.56	26.56	44.78	44.78	-2.77	-2.77
Winthrop	BSth	6.54	6.54	51.85	51.85	0.24	0.24
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.89	4.89	78.57	78.57	2.79	2.79
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
NC Asheville	BSth	4.78	4.78	38.46	38.46	-1.10	-1.10
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	4.73	4.73	26.09	26.09	-2.26	-2.26
High Point	BSth	4.72	4.72	46.15	46.15	-0.36	-0.36
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.71	4.71	37.50	37.50	-1.18	-1.18
Presbyterian	BSth	4.69	4.69	14.29	14.29	-3.35	-3.35
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.65	4.65	20.83	20.83	-2.71	-2.71
George Mason	CAA	1.97	1.97	53.33	53.33	0.13	0.13
Clemson	ACC	1.93	1.93	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
Old Dominion	CAA	1.84	1.84	75.76	75.76	0.95	0.95
Notre Dame	BE	1.84	1.84	66.67	66.67	0.61	0.61
Northwestern	B10	1.84	1.84	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.81	1.81	29.03	29.03	-0.76	-0.76
Central Florida	CUSA	1.81	1.81	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Buffalo	MAC	1.79	1.79	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.79	1.79	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.83
College of Charleston	SC	0.28	0.28	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
Charlotte	A10	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	85.29	85.29	0.17	0.17
James Madison	CAA	0.24	0.24	39.39	39.39	-0.05	-0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.22	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.19	12.00	12.00	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.10	-0.10
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.17	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.16	0.16	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.15	0.15	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.15	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Elon	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	17.24	17.24	-0.08	-0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.09	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	4.89	4.89	78.57	78.57	2.79	2.79
Old Dominion	CAA	1.84	1.84	75.76	75.76	0.95	0.95
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
Clemson	ACC	1.93	1.93	66.67	66.67	0.64	0.64
Notre Dame	BE	1.84	1.84	66.67	66.67	0.61	0.61
Northwestern	B10	1.84	1.84	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Buffalo	MAC	1.79	1.79	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Winthrop	BSth	6.54	6.54	51.85	51.85	0.24	0.24
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	85.29	85.29	0.17	0.17
George Mason	CAA	1.97	1.97	53.33	53.33	0.13	0.13
College of Charleston	SC	0.28	0.28	65.62	65.62	0.09	0.09
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.15	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.17	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02