The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Brown page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Brown

Conference:		Ivy
Expected RPI:		266.3
Current RPI:		268
Expected SOS:		187
Current SOS:		193
Current Record:		5-16
Expected Record:		8-21
Current Conf Record:		1-5
Expected Conf Record:		4-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-8
Current OOC Record:		4-11
Expected OOC Record:		4-11
Expected OOC RPI:		246
Expected OOC SOS:		172

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-17	203.0	0.01%
11-18	226.6	0.74%
10-19	240.2	5.86%
9-20	252.1	22.28%
8-21	264.8	35.47%
7-22	278.1	26.74%
6-23	292.0	8.02%
5-24	302.9	0.87%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Brown.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	St. Francis NY (275.6)	NEC	A	68-64	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	55-69	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	57-78	L	0%	0.0
11-20	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	76-79	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Bryant (344.6)	ind	A	70-68	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	N	79-99	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	79-85	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	55-91	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	62-78	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	A	78-83	L	0%	0.0
1-2	American (306.9)	Pat	H	68-76	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Wagner (323.2)	NEC	H	72-71	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Army (204.0)	Pat	A	51-59	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	A	75-88	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	A	75-66	W	100%	0.0
1-22	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	H	63-71	L	0%	0.0
1-29	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	H	46-63	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	H	54-55	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	A	54-65	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	A	60-74	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	H	0-0		83%	10.3
2-13	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	0-0		16%	-10.9
2-19	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	A	0-0		51%	0.3
2-20	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	A	0-0		9%	-14.9
2-26	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	A	0-0		4%	-18.9
2-27	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	0-0		59%	2.4
3-5	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	H	0-0		8%	-15.6
3-6	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	H	0-0		63%	3.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Brown's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Brown's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Brown.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Brown	Ivy	26.25	26.30	26.73	29.22	-12.22	-10.93
Yale	Ivy	5.28	4.35	35.00	37.27	-1.58	-1.11
Bryant	ind	3.03	2.26	0.00	4.33	-3.03	-2.07
Columbia	Ivy	2.96	4.39	36.84	36.88	-0.78	-1.15
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.95	2.17	68.18	70.78	1.07	0.90
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.90	2.08	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Wagner	NEC	2.82	2.06	16.67	22.34	-1.88	-1.14
Army	Pat	2.71	2.12	55.00	57.46	0.27	0.32
Cornell	Ivy	2.71	4.25	85.00	84.78	1.90	2.96
Princeton	Ivy	2.65	4.27	68.75	69.00	0.99	1.62
Providence	BE	2.65	1.87	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.20
Holy Cross	Pat	2.60	1.97	22.73	28.58	-1.42	-0.84
St. John's	BE	2.59	1.87	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.09
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.59	2.02	45.45	45.34	-0.24	-0.19
Maine	AE	2.56	1.88	66.67	64.15	0.85	0.53
American	Pat	2.55	1.91	27.27	29.97	-1.16	-0.76
Rhode Island	A10	2.54	1.81	85.71	80.84	1.81	1.12
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.49	4.19	11.76	15.76	-1.90	-2.87
Siena	MAAC	2.44	1.75	82.61	80.60	1.59	1.07
Minnesota	B10	2.38	1.72	61.90	63.44	0.57	0.46
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	80.95	71.63	1.47	0.75
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.46	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.51	0.32	39.13	47.65	-0.11	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.43	0.40	65.22	65.74	0.13	0.12
Colgate	Pat	0.43	0.36	27.27	31.08	-0.20	-0.14
Bucknell	Pat	0.43	0.45	37.50	39.23	-0.11	-0.10
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.41	4.28	15.79	16.71	-0.28	-2.85
Harvard	Ivy	0.41	4.27	73.68	74.24	0.19	2.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.41	0.29	39.13	41.19	-0.09	-0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.40	0.30	39.13	36.57	-0.09	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.38	0.30	68.00	67.20	0.14	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.27	68.18	68.72	0.14	0.10
Long Island	NEC	0.36	0.29	39.13	41.53	-0.08	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.34	0.36	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.33	0.21	34.78	32.23	-0.10	-0.07
Albany	AE	0.33	0.24	23.08	25.77	-0.18	-0.12
Hartford	AE	0.32	0.27	30.43	32.48	-0.12	-0.10
Boston College	ACC	0.32	0.33	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.31	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.06
Navy	Pat	0.28	0.27	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.57	0.16	0.11
Syracuse	BE	0.27	0.27	95.83	91.37	0.25	0.22
Massachusetts	A10	0.27	0.21	31.82	31.64	-0.10	-0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.26	0.27	33.33	33.00	-0.09	-0.09
George Washington	A10	0.23	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.23	0.18	8.70	11.46	-0.19	-0.14
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.15	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.22	0.18	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.06
Fordham	A10	0.21	0.15	9.52	8.87	-0.17	-0.12
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.20	0.11	22.22	27.56	-0.11	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.20	0.23	30.43	30.27	-0.08	-0.09
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.15	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.15	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.15	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.12	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.17	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.16	-0.14
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.09	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.16	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.20	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.09	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.05
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.08
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.22	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.05
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.11	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.15	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.13	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Brown	Ivy	26.25	26.30	26.73	29.22	-12.22	-10.93
Columbia	Ivy	2.96	4.39	36.84	36.88	-0.78	-1.15
Yale	Ivy	5.28	4.35	35.00	37.27	-1.58	-1.11
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.41	4.28	15.79	16.71	-0.28	-2.85
Princeton	Ivy	2.65	4.27	68.75	69.00	0.99	1.62
Harvard	Ivy	0.41	4.27	73.68	74.24	0.19	2.07
Cornell	Ivy	2.71	4.25	85.00	84.78	1.90	2.96
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.49	4.19	11.76	15.76	-1.90	-2.87
Bryant	ind	3.03	2.26	0.00	4.33	-3.03	-2.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.95	2.17	68.18	70.78	1.07	0.90
Army	Pat	2.71	2.12	55.00	57.46	0.27	0.32
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.90	2.08	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Wagner	NEC	2.82	2.06	16.67	22.34	-1.88	-1.14
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.59	2.02	45.45	45.34	-0.24	-0.19
Holy Cross	Pat	2.60	1.97	22.73	28.58	-1.42	-0.84
American	Pat	2.55	1.91	27.27	29.97	-1.16	-0.76
Maine	AE	2.56	1.88	66.67	64.15	0.85	0.53
St. John's	BE	2.59	1.87	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.09
Providence	BE	2.65	1.87	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.20
Rhode Island	A10	2.54	1.81	85.71	80.84	1.81	1.12
Siena	MAAC	2.44	1.75	82.61	80.60	1.59	1.07
Minnesota	B10	2.38	1.72	61.90	63.44	0.57	0.46
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	80.95	71.63	1.47	0.75
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.46	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.43	0.45	37.50	39.23	-0.11	-0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.43	0.40	65.22	65.74	0.13	0.12
Colgate	Pat	0.43	0.36	27.27	31.08	-0.20	-0.14
Monmouth	NEC	0.34	0.36	41.67	42.69	-0.06	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.32	0.33	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.51	0.32	39.13	47.65	-0.11	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.40	0.30	39.13	36.57	-0.09	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.38	0.30	68.00	67.20	0.14	0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.41	0.29	39.13	41.19	-0.09	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.36	0.29	39.13	41.53	-0.08	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.28	0.27	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.32	0.27	30.43	32.48	-0.12	-0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.27	68.18	68.72	0.14	0.10
Syracuse	BE	0.27	0.27	95.83	91.37	0.25	0.22
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.26	0.27	33.33	33.00	-0.09	-0.09
Albany	AE	0.33	0.24	23.08	25.77	-0.18	-0.12
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.20	0.23	30.43	30.27	-0.08	-0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.22	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.23	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.27	0.21	31.82	31.64	-0.10	-0.08
Penn St.	B10	0.33	0.21	34.78	32.23	-0.10	-0.07
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.57	0.16	0.11
Fairfield	MAAC	0.31	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.20	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.23	0.18	8.70	11.46	-0.19	-0.14
DePaul	BE	0.22	0.18	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.16	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.15	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.17	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.16	-0.14
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.15	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.07
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.15	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.15	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.15	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.21	0.15	9.52	8.87	-0.17	-0.12
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.13	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.12	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.05
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.20	0.11	22.22	27.56	-0.11	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.12	0.09	21.74	24.84	-0.07	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.09	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.07	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.11	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	2.71	4.25	85.00	84.78	1.90	2.96
Rhode Island	A10	2.54	1.81	85.71	80.84	1.81	1.12
Siena	MAAC	2.44	1.75	82.61	80.60	1.59	1.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.38	1.72	80.95	71.63	1.47	0.75
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.95	2.17	68.18	70.78	1.07	0.90
Princeton	Ivy	2.65	4.27	68.75	69.00	0.99	1.62
Maine	AE	2.56	1.88	66.67	64.15	0.85	0.53
Minnesota	B10	2.38	1.72	61.90	63.44	0.57	0.46
Army	Pat	2.71	2.12	55.00	57.46	0.27	0.32
Syracuse	BE	0.27	0.27	95.83	91.37	0.25	0.22
Harvard	Ivy	0.41	4.27	73.68	74.24	0.19	2.07
Temple	A10	0.28	0.21	79.17	77.57	0.16	0.11
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.27	68.18	68.72	0.14	0.10
Vermont	AE	0.38	0.30	68.00	67.20	0.14	0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.43	0.40	65.22	65.74	0.13	0.12
St. John's	BE	2.59	1.87	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.31	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.46	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.08	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.09	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.15	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.20	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.16	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.07	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.18	0.15	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.23	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.32	0.33	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.13	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	2.65	1.87	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.20
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.90	2.08	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.12	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.15	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.15	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.28	0.27	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana