The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Syracuse page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Syracuse

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		3.0
Current RPI:		2
Expected SOS:		9
Current SOS:		11
Current Record:		23-1
Expected Record:		28-3
Current Conf Record:		10-1
Expected Conf Record:		15-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		10-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		13-0
Expected OOC Record:		13-0
Expected OOC RPI:		1
Expected OOC SOS:		39

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
30-1	1.3	13.23%
29-2	2.1	33.87%
28-3	3.2	32.56%
27-4	4.7	15.63%
26-5	6.6	4.07%
25-6	9.4	0.63%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Syracuse.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-9	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	75-43	W	100%	0.0
11-11	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	H	100-60	W	100%	0.0
11-19	California (24.1)	P10	N	95-73	W	100%	0.0
11-20	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	N	87-71	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	H	88-73	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	H	85-60	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	H	92-58	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	101-55	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Florida (50.5)	SEC	N	85-73	W	100%	0.0
12-13	St. Francis NY (275.6)	NEC	H	75-51	W	100%	0.0
12-19	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	85-72	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	H	92-60	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	80-73	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	H	72-82	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
1-10	South Florida (64.9)	BE	H	82-65	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	A	81-65	W	100%	0.0
1-16	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	A	72-71	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	84-71	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Marquette (55.4)	BE	H	76-71	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	H	73-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	59-57	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Providence (98.2)	BE	H	85-68	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	71-54	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	H	0-0		89%	13.2
2-14	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	0-0		83%	10.2
2-18	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	A	0-0		53%	0.8
2-23	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	0-0		79%	8.9
2-27	Villanova (6.2)	BE	H	0-0		76%	7.7
3-2	St. John's (101.2)	BE	H	0-0		95%	18.1
3-6	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	0-0		58%	2.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Syracuse's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Syracuse's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Syracuse.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Syracuse	BE	26.11	26.00	93.40	89.53	22.66	20.56
Rutgers	BE	2.54	2.26	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
South Florida	BE	2.50	2.17	68.18	64.32	0.91	0.62
DePaul	BE	2.45	2.18	36.36	35.06	-0.67	-0.65
Notre Dame	BE	2.45	2.15	73.91	65.51	1.17	0.67
Pittsburgh	BE	2.41	2.18	72.73	69.83	1.10	0.86
Seton Hall	BE	2.41	2.17	60.00	59.52	0.48	0.41
Marquette	BE	2.40	2.18	68.18	68.37	0.87	0.80
West Virginia	BE	2.40	2.15	90.48	85.03	1.95	1.51
Cincinnati	BE	2.40	2.15	63.64	57.45	0.65	0.32
Providence	BE	2.40	3.71	54.55	49.21	0.22	-0.06
Georgetown	BE	2.36	3.71	80.95	77.06	1.46	2.01
Columbia	Ivy	2.32	1.75	42.11	40.58	-0.37	-0.33
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.27	1.72	45.45	45.34	-0.21	-0.16
Cornell	Ivy	2.24	1.73	90.00	88.63	1.79	1.33
Maine	AE	2.22	1.75	66.67	64.15	0.74	0.49
Colgate	Pat	2.22	1.72	28.57	32.23	-0.95	-0.61
Albany	AE	2.22	1.72	24.00	26.63	-1.15	-0.81
Robert Morris	NEC	2.21	1.72	69.57	66.16	0.87	0.56
North Carolina	ACC	2.17	1.67	59.09	53.69	0.39	0.12
Florida	SEC	2.13	1.64	77.27	69.98	1.16	0.66
Oakland	Sum	2.13	1.64	69.57	71.89	0.83	0.72
Memphis	CUSA	2.13	1.64	72.73	72.32	0.97	0.73
California	P10	2.08	1.61	68.18	70.77	0.76	0.67
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.08	1.64	42.11	44.22	-0.33	-0.19
Connecticut	BE	0.46	2.23	60.87	57.99	0.10	0.36
St. John's	BE	0.42	2.23	54.55	50.78	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.37	2.18	90.91	84.53	0.30	1.50
Louisville	BE	0.32	3.71	65.22	64.30	0.10	1.06
Vermont	AE	0.32	0.22	68.00	67.20	0.11	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.29	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.10	-0.06
American	Pat	0.28	0.22	30.43	32.39	-0.11	-0.08
Binghamton	AE	0.27	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.06	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.24	0.25	23.81	27.31	-0.13	-0.11
Bucknell	Pat	0.24	0.19	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.22	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.23	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.19	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.22	0.13	30.43	30.27	-0.09	-0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.19	0.17	15.79	17.64	-0.13	-0.11
Bryant	ind	0.19	0.22	0.00	4.18	-0.19	-0.20
Lafayette	Pat	0.19	0.17	60.87	59.16	0.04	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.19	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.06	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.19	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.19	0.19	68.18	68.72	0.07	0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.13	-0.08
Kansas	B12	0.18	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.17	0.09
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.07	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.18	0.13	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.18	0.16	35.00	38.23	-0.05	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.18	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.17	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.19	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.10
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.14	0.20	70.59	70.98	0.06	0.08
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.10	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.10	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.10	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.13	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.13	0.08	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.14	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.13	0.14	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.09	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.17	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.09
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.05	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.05	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.09	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.08	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.05	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.05	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.12
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.05	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.05	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.16	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.10
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.14	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.12
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.04	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.01	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.04	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.04	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.17	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.10
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.00	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.00	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.00	0.05	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.00	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.05	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.05	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Syracuse	BE	26.11	26.00	93.40	89.53	22.66	20.56
Louisville	BE	0.32	3.71	65.22	64.30	0.10	1.06
Providence	BE	2.40	3.71	54.55	49.21	0.22	-0.06
Georgetown	BE	2.36	3.71	80.95	77.06	1.46	2.01
Rutgers	BE	2.54	2.26	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
Connecticut	BE	0.46	2.23	60.87	57.99	0.10	0.36
St. John's	BE	0.42	2.23	54.55	50.78	0.04	0.03
DePaul	BE	2.45	2.18	36.36	35.06	-0.67	-0.65
Villanova	BE	0.37	2.18	90.91	84.53	0.30	1.50
Pittsburgh	BE	2.41	2.18	72.73	69.83	1.10	0.86
Marquette	BE	2.40	2.18	68.18	68.37	0.87	0.80
Seton Hall	BE	2.41	2.17	60.00	59.52	0.48	0.41
South Florida	BE	2.50	2.17	68.18	64.32	0.91	0.62
West Virginia	BE	2.40	2.15	90.48	85.03	1.95	1.51
Notre Dame	BE	2.45	2.15	73.91	65.51	1.17	0.67
Cincinnati	BE	2.40	2.15	63.64	57.45	0.65	0.32
Columbia	Ivy	2.32	1.75	42.11	40.58	-0.37	-0.33
Maine	AE	2.22	1.75	66.67	64.15	0.74	0.49
Cornell	Ivy	2.24	1.73	90.00	88.63	1.79	1.33
Albany	AE	2.22	1.72	24.00	26.63	-1.15	-0.81
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.27	1.72	45.45	45.34	-0.21	-0.16
Colgate	Pat	2.22	1.72	28.57	32.23	-0.95	-0.61
Robert Morris	NEC	2.21	1.72	69.57	66.16	0.87	0.56
North Carolina	ACC	2.17	1.67	59.09	53.69	0.39	0.12
Memphis	CUSA	2.13	1.64	72.73	72.32	0.97	0.73
Florida	SEC	2.13	1.64	77.27	69.98	1.16	0.66
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.08	1.64	42.11	44.22	-0.33	-0.19
Oakland	Sum	2.13	1.64	69.57	71.89	0.83	0.72
California	P10	2.08	1.61	68.18	70.77	0.76	0.67
Brown	Ivy	0.24	0.25	23.81	27.31	-0.13	-0.11
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.22	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.05
American	Pat	0.28	0.22	30.43	32.39	-0.11	-0.08
Bryant	ind	0.19	0.22	0.00	4.18	-0.19	-0.20
Vermont	AE	0.32	0.22	68.00	67.20	0.11	0.08
Princeton	Ivy	0.14	0.20	70.59	70.98	0.06	0.08
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.19	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.19	0.19	68.18	68.72	0.07	0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.24	0.19	37.50	39.23	-0.06	-0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.19	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.19	0.17	15.79	17.64	-0.13	-0.11
Lafayette	Pat	0.19	0.17	60.87	59.16	0.04	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.17	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.10
Temple	A10	0.10	0.17	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.09
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.07	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.29	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.10	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.27	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.06	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.18	0.16	35.00	38.23	-0.05	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.23	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.16	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.12
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.14	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.12
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.19	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.14	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.13	-0.08
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.13	0.14	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.18	0.13	41.67	42.69	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.22	0.13	30.43	30.27	-0.09	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.08
Washington	P10	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.18	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.17	0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.19	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.06	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.18	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.11	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.17	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.10	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.10	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.09	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.08	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.13	0.08	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.13	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.10	-0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.04	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.04
Army	Pat	0.09	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.04	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.01	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.04	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.08	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.05	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.05	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.05	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.05	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.05	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.00	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.00	0.05	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.00	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.05	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.05	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.04	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00