The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Toledo page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Toledo

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		323.0
Current RPI:		316
Expected SOS:		164
Current SOS:		149
Current Record:		2-21
Expected Record:		3-27
Current Conf Record:		0-10
Expected Conf Record:		1-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-13
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-7
Current OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC Record:		2-12
Expected OOC RPI:		299
Expected OOC SOS:		145

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
8-22	264.0	0.01%
7-23	281.2	0.04%
6-24	296.1	0.78%
5-25	307.9	5.51%
4-26	316.9	21.12%
3-27	323.9	42.40%
2-28	329.5	30.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Toledo.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	H	62-72	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	68-92	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	N	60-78	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	A	59-69	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Vermont (145.4)	AE	N	49-82	L	0%	0.0
12-5	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	76-67	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	56-66	L	0%	0.0
12-10	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	H	73-72	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	49-81	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	54-55	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	52-66	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	H	50-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	48-59	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	A	59-74	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	43-71	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	54-58	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	A	41-73	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	49-69	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	45-59	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	47-58	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	58-65	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	H	59-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	0-0		4%	-18.8
2-14	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	0-0		7%	-16.0
2-17	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	0-0		28%	-6.5
2-20	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	0-0		4%	-18.6
2-24	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	0-0		13%	-12.3
2-27	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	0-0		31%	-5.4
3-4	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	0-0		16%	-11.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Toledo's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Toledo's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Toledo.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Toledo	MAC	26.13	26.16	5.50	7.36	-23.25	-22.31
Ball St.	MAC	2.68	4.03	50.00	49.09	0.00	-0.07
Akron	MAC	2.68	2.31	68.18	64.83	0.97	0.68
Western Michigan	MAC	2.63	4.01	52.38	53.88	0.13	0.31
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.63	4.04	33.33	33.31	-0.88	-1.35
Central Michigan	MAC	2.62	4.03	47.37	48.89	-0.14	-0.09
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	2.27	52.63	50.15	0.14	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	2.58	2.25	68.18	69.27	0.94	0.87
Bowling Green	MAC	2.58	2.27	45.00	43.67	-0.26	-0.29
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	3.97	45.00	43.76	-0.26	-0.50
Ohio	MAC	2.53	2.28	47.62	49.27	-0.12	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	2.51	2.01	38.10	41.28	-0.60	-0.35
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.46	1.98	19.05	19.70	-1.53	-1.20
Wright St.	Horz	2.43	1.96	60.87	64.13	0.53	0.55
Vermont	AE	2.42	1.81	66.67	66.10	0.81	0.58
Cornell	Ivy	2.31	1.75	85.00	85.06	1.62	1.23
Michigan St.	B10	2.28	1.73	78.26	75.83	1.29	0.89
Drexel	CAA	2.27	1.72	54.17	54.44	0.19	0.15
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.27	1.72	45.00	47.05	-0.23	-0.10
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.26	1.72	9.09	11.87	-1.85	-1.31
Alabama	SEC	2.23	1.70	54.55	52.55	0.20	0.09
Indiana St.	MVC	2.23	1.73	54.55	52.84	0.20	0.10
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.22	1.78	45.00	47.12	-0.22	-0.10
Cincinnati	BE	2.17	1.69	59.09	54.00	0.40	0.14
Miami OH	MAC	0.60	2.30	43.48	46.02	-0.08	-0.18
Detroit	Horz	0.40	0.44	56.52	58.43	0.05	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.30	0.32	60.87	57.71	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.29	0.32	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.26	0.26	86.36	81.80	0.19	0.17
IUPUI	Sum	0.25	0.15	65.22	67.00	0.08	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.29	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.20
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.24	0.26	28.57	27.72	-0.10	-0.12
Towson	CAA	0.24	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.13	-0.09
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.24	0.29	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.21	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.10
Temple	A10	0.20	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.12	0.13
Illinois St.	MVC	0.20	0.17	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.20	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.19	1.84	45.45	45.07	-0.02	-0.18
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.07
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.17	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.16	0.09	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.14	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.15	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.06
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.21	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.11
Samford	SC	0.15	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Providence	BE	0.14	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.11	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.13	0.11	23.08	25.77	-0.07	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.13	0.11	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.10
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.14	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.08	15.79	17.64	-0.07	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.05
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.11	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.09	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.11	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.11	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.09	0.11	68.18	68.72	0.03	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.10
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.09
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.04	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.00	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.00	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.00	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Toledo	MAC	26.13	26.16	5.50	7.36	-23.25	-22.31
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.63	4.04	33.33	33.31	-0.88	-1.35
Ball St.	MAC	2.68	4.03	50.00	49.09	0.00	-0.07
Central Michigan	MAC	2.62	4.03	47.37	48.89	-0.14	-0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	2.63	4.01	52.38	53.88	0.13	0.31
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	3.97	45.00	43.76	-0.26	-0.50
Akron	MAC	2.68	2.31	68.18	64.83	0.97	0.68
Miami OH	MAC	0.60	2.30	43.48	46.02	-0.08	-0.18
Ohio	MAC	2.53	2.28	47.62	49.27	-0.12	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	2.58	2.27	45.00	43.67	-0.26	-0.29
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	2.27	52.63	50.15	0.14	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	2.58	2.25	68.18	69.27	0.94	0.87
Valparaiso	Horz	2.51	2.01	38.10	41.28	-0.60	-0.35
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.46	1.98	19.05	19.70	-1.53	-1.20
Wright St.	Horz	2.43	1.96	60.87	64.13	0.53	0.55
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.19	1.84	45.45	45.07	-0.02	-0.18
Vermont	AE	2.42	1.81	66.67	66.10	0.81	0.58
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.22	1.78	45.00	47.12	-0.22	-0.10
Cornell	Ivy	2.31	1.75	85.00	85.06	1.62	1.23
Michigan St.	B10	2.28	1.73	78.26	75.83	1.29	0.89
Indiana St.	MVC	2.23	1.73	54.55	52.84	0.20	0.10
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.27	1.72	45.00	47.05	-0.23	-0.10
Drexel	CAA	2.27	1.72	54.17	54.44	0.19	0.15
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.26	1.72	9.09	11.87	-1.85	-1.31
Alabama	SEC	2.23	1.70	54.55	52.55	0.20	0.09
Cincinnati	BE	2.17	1.69	59.09	54.00	0.40	0.14
Detroit	Horz	0.40	0.44	56.52	58.43	0.05	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.30	0.32	60.87	57.71	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.29	0.32	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.29	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.20
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.24	0.29	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.26	0.26	86.36	81.80	0.19	0.17
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.24	0.26	28.57	27.72	-0.10	-0.12
Temple	A10	0.20	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.12	0.13
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.21	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.21	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.11
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.20	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.20	0.17	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.24	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.13	-0.09
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.17	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.06
IUPUI	Sum	0.25	0.15	65.22	67.00	0.08	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.15	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.14	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.14	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.10
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.10
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.05
Samford	SC	0.15	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.11	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.07
Albany	AE	0.13	0.11	23.08	25.77	-0.07	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.11	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.09	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.13	0.11	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.11	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.09	0.11	68.18	68.72	0.03	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.09
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.11	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.16	0.09	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.06
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.08	15.79	17.64	-0.07	-0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.14	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.04	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.00	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.00	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01