The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Rice page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Rice

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		288.1
Current RPI:		286
Expected SOS:		203
Current SOS:		220
Current Record:		7-15
Expected Record:		9-20
Current Conf Record:		1-8
Expected Conf Record:		3-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC Record:		6-7
Expected OOC RPI:		244
Expected OOC SOS:		263

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-17	242.2	0.35%
11-18	256.4	3.67%
10-19	271.3	17.87%
9-20	286.4	38.47%
8-21	298.6	31.69%
7-22	308.5	7.94%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rice.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	81-51	W	100%	0.0
11-14	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	60-46	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	49-66	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Furman (266.7)	SC	H	77-65	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Texas (15.2)	B12	H	59-77	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	A	64-85	L	0%	0.0
12-5	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	62-64	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Santa Clara (220.8)	WCC	H	70-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	A	61-77	L	0%	0.0
12-29	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	A	58-70	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	66-83	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	58-77	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	A	58-72	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	H	65-73	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	58-62	L	0%	0.0
1-30	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	A	69-58	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	74-79	L	0%	0.0
2-6	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	65-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	0-0		11%	-13.4
2-17	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	0-0		15%	-11.3
2-20	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	H	0-0		68%	5.0
2-24	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	0-0		22%	-8.5
2-27	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		3%	-20.8
3-3	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		9%	-14.9
3-6	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	H	0-0		53%	0.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Rice's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Rice's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Rice.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Rice	CUSA	26.26	26.18	25.51	25.15	-12.86	-13.01
Tulane	CUSA	4.87	4.09	25.00	24.37	-2.44	-2.10
Tulsa	CUSA	2.69	2.42	76.19	69.92	1.41	0.96
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.68	4.07	42.11	40.21	-0.42	-0.80
UAB	CUSA	2.64	2.39	81.82	77.82	1.68	1.33
East Carolina	CUSA	2.58	4.05	21.05	22.41	-1.50	-2.23
Central Florida	CUSA	2.54	4.05	45.00	42.33	-0.25	-0.62
Memphis	CUSA	2.54	2.42	68.18	68.99	0.92	0.92
Houston	CUSA	2.54	4.08	45.00	47.50	-0.25	-0.20
South Alabama	SB	2.53	1.91	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.53	1.94	23.81	24.88	-1.32	-0.97
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.48	1.84	27.78	32.73	-1.10	-0.64
Lamar	Slnd	2.44	1.85	45.00	42.68	-0.24	-0.27
Santa Clara	WCC	2.38	1.78	34.78	35.49	-0.73	-0.52
Texas Christian	MWC	2.38	1.85	38.10	36.07	-0.57	-0.51
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.78	31.82	30.08	-0.86	-0.71
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.33	1.76	36.36	33.15	-0.64	-0.59
North Texas	SB	2.32	1.78	60.00	62.29	0.46	0.44
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.75	72.22	74.47	1.03	0.86
Arizona	P10	2.27	1.72	50.00	52.06	0.00	0.07
Furman	SC	2.27	1.72	45.00	42.63	-0.23	-0.25
Texas	B12	2.27	1.72	81.82	78.05	1.45	0.97
Marshall	CUSA	0.53	2.45	66.67	65.07	0.18	0.74
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.47	2.39	77.27	74.92	0.26	1.19
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.42	2.41	55.56	54.52	0.05	0.22
Texas St.	Slnd	0.33	0.27	36.84	36.82	-0.09	-0.07
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.32	0.31	47.62	48.61	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.26	0.18	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.26	0.22	22.73	22.86	-0.14	-0.12
Troy	SB	0.26	0.24	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.26	0.24	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.22	0.16	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.15	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.08
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.18	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.21	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.21	0.18	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.21	0.15	24.00	23.74	-0.11	-0.08
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.21	0.21	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.18	81.82	80.91	0.13	0.11
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.20	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.11	-0.07
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.17	0.10	15.79	17.64	-0.12	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.17	0.15	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.17	0.13	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.12	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.21	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.10
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.18	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.09
Georgetown	BE	0.16	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.15	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.16	0.18	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.15	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.16	0.15	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.09
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.12	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.12	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.15	0.12	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.14	0.09	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.03
Army	Pat	0.12	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.10	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.10	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.13	66.67	65.62	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.12	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.09	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Rice	CUSA	26.26	26.18	25.51	25.15	-12.86	-13.01
Tulane	CUSA	4.87	4.09	25.00	24.37	-2.44	-2.10
Houston	CUSA	2.54	4.08	45.00	47.50	-0.25	-0.20
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.68	4.07	42.11	40.21	-0.42	-0.80
Central Florida	CUSA	2.54	4.05	45.00	42.33	-0.25	-0.62
East Carolina	CUSA	2.58	4.05	21.05	22.41	-1.50	-2.23
Marshall	CUSA	0.53	2.45	66.67	65.07	0.18	0.74
Memphis	CUSA	2.54	2.42	68.18	68.99	0.92	0.92
Tulsa	CUSA	2.69	2.42	76.19	69.92	1.41	0.96
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.42	2.41	55.56	54.52	0.05	0.22
UAB	CUSA	2.64	2.39	81.82	77.82	1.68	1.33
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.47	2.39	77.27	74.92	0.26	1.19
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.53	1.94	23.81	24.88	-1.32	-0.97
South Alabama	SB	2.53	1.91	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	2.44	1.85	45.00	42.68	-0.24	-0.27
Texas Christian	MWC	2.38	1.85	38.10	36.07	-0.57	-0.51
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.48	1.84	27.78	32.73	-1.10	-0.64
Santa Clara	WCC	2.38	1.78	34.78	35.49	-0.73	-0.52
North Texas	SB	2.32	1.78	60.00	62.29	0.46	0.44
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.78	31.82	30.08	-0.86	-0.71
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.33	1.76	36.36	33.15	-0.64	-0.59
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.75	72.22	74.47	1.03	0.86
Arizona	P10	2.27	1.72	50.00	52.06	0.00	0.07
Furman	SC	2.27	1.72	45.00	42.63	-0.23	-0.25
Texas	B12	2.27	1.72	81.82	78.05	1.45	0.97
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.32	0.31	47.62	48.61	-0.02	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.33	0.27	36.84	36.82	-0.09	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.26	0.24	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.26	0.24	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.26	0.22	22.73	22.86	-0.14	-0.12
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.21	0.21	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.21	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.10
Arkansas St.	SB	0.26	0.18	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.21	0.18	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.18	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.09
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.16	0.18	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.18	81.82	80.91	0.13	0.11
Texas Tech	B12	0.21	0.18	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.22	0.16	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.21	0.15	24.00	23.74	-0.11	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.17	0.15	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.07
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.20	0.15	23.81	28.38	-0.11	-0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.15	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.15	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.15	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.21	0.15	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.16	0.15	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.09
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.17	0.13	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.13	66.67	65.62	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
Denver	SB	0.10	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.12	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.12	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.06
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.15	0.12	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.12	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.12	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.10	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.17	0.10	15.79	17.64	-0.12	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.10	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.12	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.16	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.14	0.09	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.09	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.05
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00