The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Memphis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Memphis

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		58.0
Current RPI:		58
Expected SOS:		85
Current SOS:		85
Current Record:		23-9
Expected Record:		23-9
Current Conf Record:		13-4
Expected Conf Record:		13-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-1
Current OOC Record:		10-5
Expected OOC Record:		10-5
Expected OOC RPI:		102
Expected OOC SOS:		60

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
23-9		58.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Memphis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Jackson St. (199.0)	SWAC	H	82-53	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Kansas (1.0)	B12	N	55-57	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	H	92-59	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Central Arkansas (320.0)	Slnd	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Oakland (52.0)	Sum	H	77-46	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Arkansas St. (202.0)	SB	H	74-55	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Arkansas Little Rock (301.0)	SB	N	83-71	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	N	72-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	87-57	W	100%	0.0
12-28	IUPUI (84.0)	Sum	H	87-67	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	H	59-66	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	H	93-52	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	A	59-57	W	100%	0.0
1-13	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	H	77-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	A	80-68	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	H	92-77	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	A	75-72	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	A	60-70	L	0%	0.0
2-3	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	85-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	H	58-66	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	H	76-70	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	A	93-86	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Tulane (282.0)	CUSA	A	77-64	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	H	76-63	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	75-92	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
3-3	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	A	70-65	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	H	75-53	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	N	65-66	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Memphis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Memphis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Memphis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Memphis	CUSA	26.17	26.17	67.86	67.86	9.35	9.35
Houston	CUSA	5.29	5.29	53.33	53.33	0.35	0.35
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	3.81	3.81	59.26	59.26	0.71	0.71
Tulsa	CUSA	3.77	3.77	70.97	70.97	1.58	1.58
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.72	3.72	40.74	40.74	-0.69	-0.69
UAB	CUSA	3.69	3.69	79.31	79.31	2.16	2.16
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.42	2.42	80.65	80.65	1.48	1.48
Central Florida	CUSA	2.27	2.27	46.67	46.67	-0.15	-0.15
Rice	CUSA	2.24	2.24	24.14	24.14	-1.16	-1.16
East Carolina	CUSA	2.22	2.22	25.93	25.93	-1.07	-1.07
Tulane	CUSA	2.21	2.21	27.59	27.59	-0.99	-0.99
Marshall	CUSA	2.19	2.19	71.43	71.43	0.94	0.94
Oakland	Sum	1.74	1.74	77.42	77.42	0.95	0.95
Arkansas St.	SB	1.70	1.70	53.57	53.57	0.12	0.12
Tennessee Tech	OVC	1.69	1.69	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	1.69	1.69	22.22	22.22	-0.94	-0.94
Kansas	B12	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.64	1.64	37.50	37.50	-0.41	-0.41
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.64	1.64	21.43	21.43	-0.94	-0.94
Central Arkansas	Slnd	1.64	1.64	24.00	24.00	-0.85	-0.85
IUPUI	Sum	1.64	1.64	70.97	70.97	0.69	0.69
Montana St.	BSky	1.62	1.62	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	1.61	1.61	75.00	75.00	0.81	0.81
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Massachusetts	A10	1.59	1.59	33.33	33.33	-0.53	-0.53
Syracuse	BE	1.59	1.59	87.10	87.10	1.18	1.18
Gonzaga	WCC	1.56	1.56	80.00	80.00	0.94	0.94
South Alabama	SB	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.24	0.24	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.23	0.23	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.21	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.21	0.21	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.19	0.19	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Western Illinois	Sum	0.18	0.18	37.04	37.04	-0.05	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.18	0.18	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.18	0.18	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.18	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.14	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.12	0.12	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.12	0.12	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.11	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.10	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.10	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Montana	BSky	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.02	0.02	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Memphis	CUSA	26.17	26.17	67.86	67.86	9.35	9.35
Houston	CUSA	5.29	5.29	53.33	53.33	0.35	0.35
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	3.81	3.81	59.26	59.26	0.71	0.71
Tulsa	CUSA	3.77	3.77	70.97	70.97	1.58	1.58
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.72	3.72	40.74	40.74	-0.69	-0.69
UAB	CUSA	3.69	3.69	79.31	79.31	2.16	2.16
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.42	2.42	80.65	80.65	1.48	1.48
Central Florida	CUSA	2.27	2.27	46.67	46.67	-0.15	-0.15
Rice	CUSA	2.24	2.24	24.14	24.14	-1.16	-1.16
East Carolina	CUSA	2.22	2.22	25.93	25.93	-1.07	-1.07
Tulane	CUSA	2.21	2.21	27.59	27.59	-0.99	-0.99
Marshall	CUSA	2.19	2.19	71.43	71.43	0.94	0.94
Oakland	Sum	1.74	1.74	77.42	77.42	0.95	0.95
Arkansas St.	SB	1.70	1.70	53.57	53.57	0.12	0.12
Tennessee Tech	OVC	1.69	1.69	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	1.69	1.69	22.22	22.22	-0.94	-0.94
Kansas	B12	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.64	1.64	37.50	37.50	-0.41	-0.41
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.64	1.64	21.43	21.43	-0.94	-0.94
Central Arkansas	Slnd	1.64	1.64	24.00	24.00	-0.85	-0.85
IUPUI	Sum	1.64	1.64	70.97	70.97	0.69	0.69
Montana St.	BSky	1.62	1.62	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	1.61	1.61	75.00	75.00	0.81	0.81
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Massachusetts	A10	1.59	1.59	33.33	33.33	-0.53	-0.53
Syracuse	BE	1.59	1.59	87.10	87.10	1.18	1.18
Gonzaga	WCC	1.56	1.56	80.00	80.00	0.94	0.94
South Alabama	SB	0.26	0.26	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.24	0.24	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.23	0.23	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.21	21.43	21.43	-0.12	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.21	0.21	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.19	0.19	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Western Illinois	Sum	0.18	0.18	37.04	37.04	-0.05	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.18	0.18	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.18	0.18	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.18	0.18	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.14	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.12	0.12	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.12	0.12	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.11	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.10	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.10	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.09	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Montana	BSky	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01