The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Memphis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Memphis

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		65.4
Current RPI:		79
Expected SOS:		82
Current SOS:		91
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		22-9
Current Conf Record:		6-2
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-1
Current OOC Record:		10-5
Expected OOC Record:		10-5
Expected OOC RPI:		108
Expected OOC SOS:		70

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-7	45.2	5.17%
23-8	53.7	20.11%
22-9	62.1	33.09%
21-10	71.4	26.58%
20-11	81.6	11.88%
19-12	93.9	2.83%
18-13	105.8	0.33%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Memphis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	82-53	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Kansas (1.4)	B12	N	55-57	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Tennessee Tech (201.3)	OVC	H	92-59	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Central Arkansas (318.2)	Slnd	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Oakland (72.2)	Sum	H	77-46	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Arkansas St. (168.4)	SB	H	74-55	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Arkansas Little Rock (267.3)	SB	N	83-71	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Massachusetts (194.1)	A10	N	72-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Southeast Missouri St. (299.1)	OVC	H	87-57	W	100%	0.0
12-28	IUPUI (106.4)	Sum	H	87-67	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Tennessee (15.1)	SEC	H	59-66	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Houston Baptist (342.6)	GWC	H	93-52	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	57-74	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Southern Mississippi (111.6)	CUSA	A	59-57	W	100%	0.0
1-13	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	H	77-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Rice (288.6)	CUSA	A	80-68	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Houston (144.2)	CUSA	H	92-77	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Marshall (83.3)	CUSA	A	75-72	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Southern Methodist (198.8)	CUSA	A	60-70	L	0%	0.0
2-3	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	H	85-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Gonzaga (36.1)	WCC	H	58-66	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Central Florida (193.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		94%	17.4
2-13	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		45%	-1.3
2-17	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		86%	11.6
2-20	Southern Methodist (198.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		89%	13.2
2-24	Houston (144.2)	CUSA	A	0-0		56%	1.6
2-27	Southern Mississippi (111.6)	CUSA	H	0-0		85%	11.1
3-3	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	A	0-0		43%	-1.9
3-6	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		73%	6.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Memphis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Memphis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Memphis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Memphis	CUSA	26.16	26.16	62.63	65.62	6.61	8.17
East Carolina	CUSA	2.54	2.24	21.05	22.78	-1.47	-1.22
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.53	3.79	58.82	59.86	0.45	0.75
UAB	CUSA	2.49	3.77	86.36	82.10	1.81	2.42
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.49	2.35	76.19	74.81	1.30	1.17
Houston	CUSA	2.49	3.76	50.00	52.99	0.00	0.23
Oakland	Sum	2.47	1.78	69.57	71.90	0.96	0.78
Marshall	CUSA	2.44	2.23	70.00	67.94	0.98	0.80
Rice	CUSA	2.43	2.26	33.33	31.42	-0.81	-0.84
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.43	3.81	42.11	43.04	-0.38	-0.53
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.42	1.75	47.62	45.68	-0.12	-0.15
Arkansas St.	SB	2.38	1.73	60.00	59.29	0.48	0.32
Kansas	B12	2.38	1.73	95.65	92.85	2.17	1.48
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.32	1.70	28.57	26.74	-1.00	-0.79
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.31	1.70	22.22	25.99	-1.29	-0.81
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.28	1.70	23.81	24.89	-1.19	-0.85
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.28	1.73	25.00	29.47	-1.14	-0.71
Tennessee	SEC	2.27	1.67	80.95	74.79	1.41	0.83
IUPUI	Sum	2.26	1.67	68.18	69.41	0.82	0.65
Montana St.	BSky	2.23	1.67	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Syracuse	BE	2.22	1.64	95.65	91.03	2.03	1.35
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.61	80.95	83.02	1.35	1.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.17	1.67	52.38	51.30	0.10	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	2.17	1.64	28.57	29.20	-0.93	-0.68
Tulane	CUSA	0.42	2.24	31.82	30.11	-0.15	-0.89
Tulsa	CUSA	0.41	3.82	77.27	73.09	0.22	1.77
Central Florida	CUSA	0.36	2.26	47.62	45.90	-0.02	-0.19
South Alabama	SB	0.31	0.28	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.30	0.17	30.00	31.80	-0.12	-0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.28	0.27	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.54	0.13	0.09
North Texas	SB	0.25	0.20	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.25	0.20	52.17	54.93	0.01	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.24	0.14	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.24	22.73	22.86	-0.12	-0.13
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.15	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.21	0.17	5.00	8.59	-0.19	-0.14
Troy	SB	0.20	0.23	47.62	50.37	-0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.20	0.17	38.10	38.08	-0.05	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.04	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.17	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.19	0.11	0.00	4.36	-0.19	-0.10
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.19	54.17	58.54	0.02	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.19	0.14	42.86	45.29	-0.03	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.17	0.15	36.84	36.81	-0.04	-0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.09	18.18	20.35	-0.10	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.12	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.16	0.12	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.08	78.26	71.74	0.09	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.12	18.18	19.17	-0.10	-0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.11	21.74	24.91	-0.09	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.14	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	30.43	29.01	-0.06	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.15	0.11	23.81	30.79	-0.08	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.11	65.22	64.72	0.05	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.08	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.14	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.08
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.11	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.08	85.71	85.58	0.10	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.13	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.12	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.12	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.10	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	23.53	26.11	-0.06	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.08	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.11	24.00	23.72	-0.05	-0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.09	79.17	73.38	0.06	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	66.67	64.66	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.14	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.08	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.74	-0.06	-0.06
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.08	27.78	26.81	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.05	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.05	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.06
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.08	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.05	82.61	79.46	0.06	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.08	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.08	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.13	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.90	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.05	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.03
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.32	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.05	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.08	81.82	79.55	0.06	0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.43	0.03	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.90	-0.04	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.11	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	15.79	27.70	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.03	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	23.08	25.74	-0.02	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.08	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	65.22	63.02	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.05	60.87	56.52	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.03	72.73	71.93	0.00	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.00	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.00	0.03	56.52	59.88	0.00	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.05	95.65	88.68	0.00	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.08	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.03	34.78	32.21	-0.00	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.05	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.17	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Memphis	CUSA	26.16	26.16	62.63	65.62	6.61	8.17
Tulsa	CUSA	0.41	3.82	77.27	73.09	0.22	1.77
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.43	3.81	42.11	43.04	-0.38	-0.53
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.53	3.79	58.82	59.86	0.45	0.75
UAB	CUSA	2.49	3.77	86.36	82.10	1.81	2.42
Houston	CUSA	2.49	3.76	50.00	52.99	0.00	0.23
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.49	2.35	76.19	74.81	1.30	1.17
Rice	CUSA	2.43	2.26	33.33	31.42	-0.81	-0.84
Central Florida	CUSA	0.36	2.26	47.62	45.90	-0.02	-0.19
Tulane	CUSA	0.42	2.24	31.82	30.11	-0.15	-0.89
East Carolina	CUSA	2.54	2.24	21.05	22.78	-1.47	-1.22
Marshall	CUSA	2.44	2.23	70.00	67.94	0.98	0.80
Oakland	Sum	2.47	1.78	69.57	71.90	0.96	0.78
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.42	1.75	47.62	45.68	-0.12	-0.15
Arkansas St.	SB	2.38	1.73	60.00	59.29	0.48	0.32
Kansas	B12	2.38	1.73	95.65	92.85	2.17	1.48
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.28	1.73	25.00	29.47	-1.14	-0.71
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.32	1.70	28.57	26.74	-1.00	-0.79
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.28	1.70	23.81	24.89	-1.19	-0.85
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.31	1.70	22.22	25.99	-1.29	-0.81
Montana St.	BSky	2.23	1.67	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	2.27	1.67	80.95	74.79	1.41	0.83
IUPUI	Sum	2.26	1.67	68.18	69.41	0.82	0.65
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.17	1.67	52.38	51.30	0.10	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	2.17	1.64	28.57	29.20	-0.93	-0.68
Syracuse	BE	2.22	1.64	95.65	91.03	2.03	1.35
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.61	80.95	83.02	1.35	1.07
South Alabama	SB	0.31	0.28	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.28	0.27	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.21	0.24	22.73	22.86	-0.12	-0.13
Troy	SB	0.20	0.23	47.62	50.37	-0.01	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.54	0.13	0.09
North Texas	SB	0.25	0.20	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.25	0.20	52.17	54.93	0.01	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.19	54.17	58.54	0.02	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.21	0.17	5.00	8.59	-0.19	-0.14
Western Illinois	Sum	0.30	0.17	30.00	31.80	-0.12	-0.06
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.17	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.20	0.17	38.10	38.08	-0.05	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.17	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.17	0.15	36.84	36.81	-0.04	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.15	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.14	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.24	0.14	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.14	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.14	0.14	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.08
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.19	0.14	42.86	45.29	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.14	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.13	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.13	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.12	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.16	0.12	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.12	18.18	19.17	-0.10	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.06
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.12	68.42	67.05	0.06	0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	30.43	29.01	-0.06	-0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.12	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.11	24.00	23.72	-0.05	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	66.67	64.66	0.03	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.11	21.74	24.91	-0.09	-0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.11	65.22	64.72	0.05	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.06
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.15	0.11	23.81	30.79	-0.08	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.20	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.19	0.11	0.00	4.36	-0.19	-0.10
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.11	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.11	60.87	57.67	0.03	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.74	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	23.53	26.11	-0.06	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.10	-0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.09	18.18	20.35	-0.10	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.09	79.17	73.38	0.06	0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.08	78.26	71.74	0.09	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.08	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.08	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.08	27.78	26.81	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.08	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.08	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.08	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.08	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.08	85.71	85.58	0.10	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.08	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.08	81.82	79.55	0.06	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.08	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.02	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.05	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.05	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.05	82.61	79.46	0.06	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.05	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	23.08	25.74	-0.02	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.05	60.87	56.52	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.05	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.03
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.32	0.03	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.05	95.65	88.68	0.00	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	15.79	27.70	-0.03	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.05	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.90	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.43	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01