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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Binghamton

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:311.0
Current RPI:311
Expected SOS:287
Current SOS:287
Current Record:9-20
Expected Record:9-20
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-7
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:234
Expected OOC SOS:335



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
9-20311.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Binghamton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Cornell (270.0)IvyH68-62W100%0.0
11-14St. John's (140.0)BEA77-61L0%0.0
11-16Central Connecticut (344.0)NECH72-70W100%0.0
11-18VCU (22.0)A10A81-42L0%0.0
11-23Florida Gulf Coast (85.0)ASunA69-53L0%0.0
11-24Long Beach St. (214.0)BWN64-72W100%0.0
11-27FIU (338.0)CUSAA74-57L0%0.0
12-3St. Francis PA (258.0)NECA70-73W100%0.0
12-7Colgate (294.0)PatA64-73W100%0.0
12-10Loyola MD (212.0)PatH85-90L0%0.0
12-17Delaware St. (332.0)MEACH85-66W100%0.0
12-21Army (266.0)PatA71-60L0%0.0
1-5UMBC (165.0)AEA85-71L0%0.0
1-8UMass Lowell (309.0)AEH75-79L0%0.0
1-11Vermont (46.0)AEH50-67L0%0.0
1-14New Hampshire (127.0)AEA73-66L0%0.0
1-19Albany (129.0)AEA84-65L0%0.0
1-22Stony Brook (176.0)AEH71-67W100%0.0
1-25Hartford (327.0)AEH76-55W100%0.0
1-29Maine (322.0)AEA54-65W100%0.0
2-1UMBC (165.0)AEH74-92L0%0.0
2-4UMass Lowell (309.0)AEA60-59L0%0.0
2-6Vermont (46.0)AEA71-51L0%0.0
2-9Albany (129.0)AEH54-66L0%0.0
2-12New Hampshire (127.0)AEH55-63L0%0.0
2-18Stony Brook (176.0)AEA76-55L0%0.0
2-22Hartford (327.0)AEA76-69L0%0.0
2-25Maine (322.0)AEH71-72L0%0.0
3-1Stony Brook (176.0)AEA70-60L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Binghamton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Binghamton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Binghamton.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
BinghamtonAE26.3726.3731.7831.78-9.61-9.61
Stony BrookAE6.076.0757.1457.140.870.87
AlbanyAE4.544.5458.0658.060.730.73
VermontAE4.464.4683.8783.873.023.02
New HampshireAE4.404.4055.5655.560.490.49
UMass LowellAE4.374.3728.5728.57-1.87-1.87
HartfordAE4.374.3726.6726.67-2.04-2.04
MaineAE4.374.3717.2417.24-2.86-2.86
UMBCAE4.374.3753.8553.850.340.34
Loyola MDPat1.981.9844.8344.83-0.20-0.20
Central ConnecticutNEC1.951.9521.4321.43-1.11-1.11
ColgatePat1.921.9230.0030.00-0.77-0.77
St. Francis PANEC1.871.8750.0050.000.000.00
CornellIvy1.861.8625.9325.93-0.90-0.90
ArmyPat1.841.8436.6736.67-0.49-0.49
Delaware St.MEAC1.811.8127.5927.59-0.81-0.81
Florida Gulf CoastASun1.781.7875.8675.860.920.92
St. John'sBE1.781.7840.6240.62-0.33-0.33
FIUCUSA1.751.7514.2914.29-1.25-1.25
Long Beach St.BW1.751.7541.9441.94-0.28-0.28
VCUA101.751.7575.7675.760.900.90
Boston UniversityPat0.370.3754.8454.840.040.04
LIU BrooklynNEC0.340.3461.2961.290.080.08
Holy CrossPat0.340.3446.8846.88-0.02-0.02
ColumbiaIvy0.310.3138.4638.46-0.07-0.07
LehighPat0.310.3161.2961.290.070.07
NavyPat0.280.2848.3948.39-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.280.2826.6726.67-0.13-0.13
DartmouthIvy0.280.2825.9325.93-0.14-0.14
BrownIvy0.280.2839.2939.29-0.06-0.06
NJITASun0.250.2531.0331.03-0.10-0.10
YaleIvy0.250.2560.7160.710.050.05
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.230.2355.8855.880.030.03
LafayettePat0.230.2327.5927.59-0.10-0.10
Sacred HeartNEC0.230.2340.6240.62-0.04-0.04
NortheasternCAA0.220.2248.3948.39-0.01-0.01
ProvidenceBE0.220.2262.5062.500.050.05
BryantNEC0.200.2035.4835.48-0.06-0.06
DuquesneA100.200.2031.2531.25-0.08-0.08
WagnerNEC0.200.2051.7251.720.010.01
BucknellPat0.200.2076.4776.470.100.10
St. Francis NYNEC0.200.2010.0010.00-0.16-0.16
TowsonCAA0.170.1759.3859.380.030.03
RutgersB100.170.1743.7543.75-0.02-0.02
SienaMAAC0.160.1650.0050.000.000.00
MaristMAAC0.160.1625.0025.00-0.08-0.08
QuinnipiacMAAC0.160.1632.2632.26-0.06-0.06
Kennesaw St.ASun0.150.1540.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.140.1434.4834.48-0.04-0.04
RichmondA100.140.1462.5062.500.030.03
Boston CollegeACC0.140.1428.1228.12-0.06-0.06
HofstraCAA0.140.1445.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Virginia TechACC0.120.1268.7568.750.040.04
North FloridaASun0.120.1236.6736.67-0.03-0.03
StetsonASun0.120.1227.5927.59-0.05-0.05
Robert MorrisNEC0.120.1242.4242.42-0.02-0.02
HarvardIvy0.110.1161.5461.540.030.03
North TexasCUSA0.110.1121.4321.43-0.06-0.06
HamptonMEAC0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
HawaiiBW0.110.1144.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Penn St.B100.110.1145.4545.45-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
ButlerBE0.100.1074.1974.190.050.05
PennIvy0.090.0946.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.090.0937.5037.50-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.090.0930.0030.00-0.04-0.04
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.090.0928.5728.57-0.04-0.04
Georgia SouthernSB0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.090.0946.4346.43-0.01-0.01
PrincetonIvy0.090.0978.5778.570.050.05
IndianaB100.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.090.0946.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
SyracuseACC0.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
LongwoodBSth0.080.0814.2914.29-0.06-0.06
MarylandB100.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
HoustonAmer0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
LibertyBSth0.080.0855.1755.170.010.01
MassachusettsA100.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Seton HallBE0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
South CarolinaSEC0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
FordhamA100.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Old DominionCUSA0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
CreightonBE0.080.0872.7372.730.040.04
SMUAmer0.080.0888.2488.240.060.06
St. BonaventureA100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
UC IrvineBW0.080.0857.5857.580.010.01
MarquetteBE0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.080.0835.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.080.0891.1891.180.060.06
George MasonA100.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.060.0628.1228.12-0.03-0.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.060.0636.0036.00-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
TempleAmer0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
UABCUSA0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.060.0638.7138.71-0.01-0.01
West VirginiaB120.060.0676.4776.470.030.03
WinthropBSth0.060.0680.0080.000.040.04
MonmouthMAAC0.060.0681.8281.820.040.04
Louisiana TechCUSA0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
RiceCUSA0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
Florida A&MMEAC0.060.0617.8617.86-0.04-0.04
Fort WayneSum0.060.0657.1457.140.010.01
LipscombASun0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.060.0621.8821.88-0.03-0.03
Morgan St.MEAC0.060.0644.8344.83-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.060.063.333.33-0.05-0.05
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.060.0673.3373.330.030.03
FairfieldMAAC0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
Notre DameACC0.060.0673.5373.530.030.03
BuffaloMAC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
DukeACC0.060.0677.1477.140.030.03
Michigan St.B100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
BaylorB120.050.0577.4277.420.030.03
HowardMEAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
La SalleA100.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Cal PolyBW0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
DrexelCAA0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
RiderMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
UC DavisBW0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UC RiversideBW0.050.0522.2222.22-0.03-0.03
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.050.0518.5218.52-0.03-0.03
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0585.2985.290.040.04
DePaulBE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
Grand CanyonWAC0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
WoffordSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
XavierBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
DaytonA100.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
George WashingtonA100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
TroySB0.030.0358.8258.820.010.01
USCP120.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
WyomingMWC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
ElonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
MarshallCUSA0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.030.0324.1424.14-0.02-0.02
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.02-0.02
DelawareCAA0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
FloridaSEC0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
IowaB100.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Montana St.BSky0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Savannah St.MEAC0.030.0340.7440.74-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.030.0367.6567.650.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
Air ForceMWC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
CampbellBSth0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
KansasB120.030.0387.5087.500.020.02
LouisvilleACC0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
North CarolinaACC0.030.0378.7978.790.020.02
Oregon St.P120.030.0312.9012.90-0.02-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
TexasB120.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
WashingtonP120.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
MinnesotaB100.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
TulaneAmer0.030.0319.3519.35-0.02-0.02
Georgia TechACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
IllinoisB100.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
LSUSEC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.030.0336.3636.36-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0370.0070.000.010.01