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Through games of Mar 11, 2018.


Binghamton

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:320.0
Current RPI:320
Expected SOS:324
Current SOS:324
Current Record:9-20
Expected Record:9-20
Current Conf Record:2-14
Expected Conf Record:2-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-11
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:254
Expected OOC SOS:345



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
9-20320.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Binghamton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH76-59W100%0.0
11-13Cornell (248.0)IvyA94-84L0%0.0
11-16George Mason (201.0)A10A69-57L0%0.0
11-18Evansville (151.0)MVCA66-61L0%0.0
11-21Montana St. (283.0)BSkyN64-74L0%0.0
11-22Cal St. Northridge (340.0)BWN65-70W100%0.0
11-29Delaware St. (351.0)MEACA64-85W100%0.0
12-2Colgate (185.0)PatH76-65W100%0.0
12-6Army (280.0)PatH71-66W100%0.0
12-9Loyola MD (322.0)PatA64-77W100%0.0
12-17Sacred Heart (321.0)NECA48-51W100%0.0
12-19Penn St. (77.0)B10A80-65L0%0.0
12-22LIU Brooklyn (232.0)NECH66-74L0%0.0
1-6Maine (338.0)AEH73-76L0%0.0
1-10New Hampshire (312.0)AEA71-67L0%0.0
1-13Hartford (198.0)AEA97-65L0%0.0
1-15Albany (142.0)AEH79-66W100%0.0
1-18Stony Brook (208.0)AEA77-66L0%0.0
1-21UMass Lowell (289.0)AEH71-79L0%0.0
1-24UMBC (111.0)AEA69-57L0%0.0
1-27New Hampshire (312.0)AEH52-57L0%0.0
1-31Vermont (60.0)AEH54-68L0%0.0
2-3Maine (338.0)AEA81-79L0%0.0
2-8UMBC (111.0)AEH68-78L0%0.0
2-15Stony Brook (208.0)AEH69-57W100%0.0
2-18UMass Lowell (289.0)AEA74-69L0%0.0
2-21Vermont (60.0)AEA75-54L0%0.0
2-24Hartford (198.0)AEH57-67L0%0.0
2-27Albany (142.0)AEA71-54L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Binghamton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Binghamton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Binghamton.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
BinghamtonAE26.2726.2731.3031.30-9.83-9.83
UMBCAE4.494.4965.5265.521.391.39
HartfordAE4.444.4455.1755.170.460.46
VermontAE4.414.4177.4277.422.422.42
UMass LowellAE4.404.4033.3333.33-1.47-1.47
Stony BrookAE4.374.3737.9337.93-1.06-1.06
AlbanyAE4.324.3268.9768.971.641.64
MaineAE4.324.327.147.14-3.70-3.70
New HampshireAE4.294.2922.2222.22-2.38-2.38
LIU BrooklynNEC2.012.0150.0050.000.000.00
ColgatePat1.981.9860.0060.000.400.40
Sacred HeartNEC1.951.9531.0331.03-0.74-0.74
Loyola MDPat1.931.9327.5927.59-0.86-0.86
ArmyPat1.921.9242.8642.86-0.27-0.27
Morgan St.MEAC1.841.8437.9337.93-0.44-0.44
Delaware St.MEAC1.841.846.906.90-1.58-1.58
CornellIvy1.811.8138.4638.46-0.42-0.42
George MasonA101.811.8146.8846.88-0.11-0.11
Cal St. NorthridgeBW1.781.7814.8114.81-1.25-1.25
Penn St.B101.751.7560.6160.610.370.37
EvansvilleMVC1.721.7248.2848.28-0.06-0.06
Montana St.BSky1.721.7234.4834.48-0.54-0.54
Boston UniversityPat0.400.4046.6746.67-0.03-0.03
DartmouthIvy0.350.3523.0823.08-0.19-0.19
Holy CrossPat0.340.3438.7138.71-0.08-0.08
BucknellPat0.340.3473.5373.530.160.16
ColumbiaIvy0.320.3226.9226.92-0.15-0.15
LafayettePat0.290.2930.0030.00-0.11-0.11
Central ConnecticutNEC0.280.2843.7543.75-0.04-0.04
BryantNEC0.280.289.689.68-0.23-0.23
WagnerNEC0.250.2570.0070.000.100.10
AmericanPat0.230.2320.0020.00-0.14-0.14
BrownIvy0.210.2138.4638.46-0.05-0.05
NavyPat0.200.2061.2961.290.050.05
MassachusettsA100.200.2039.3939.39-0.04-0.04
LehighPat0.170.1751.7251.720.010.01
YaleIvy0.170.1750.0050.000.000.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.170.1751.6151.610.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.170.1755.8855.880.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.170.1753.3353.330.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.170.1715.6215.62-0.11-0.11
George WashingtonA100.170.1745.4545.45-0.02-0.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.170.1737.9337.93-0.04-0.04
QuinnipiacMAAC0.170.1736.3636.36-0.05-0.05
St. Francis PANEC0.170.1757.1457.140.020.02
MarylandB100.160.1658.0658.060.030.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.160.1637.9337.93-0.04-0.04
HarvardIvy0.150.1556.6756.670.020.02
MaristMAAC0.150.1519.3519.35-0.09-0.09
RutgersB100.140.1442.4242.42-0.02-0.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.140.1450.0050.000.000.00
NorthwesternB100.130.1345.1645.16-0.01-0.01
NiagaraMAAC0.120.1259.3859.380.020.02
Florida A&MMEAC0.110.1124.2424.24-0.06-0.06
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
Fresno St.MWC0.110.1163.3363.330.030.03
FairfieldMAAC0.110.1151.5251.520.000.00
MontanaBSky0.110.1177.4277.420.060.06
NJITASun0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
Norfolk St.MEAC0.110.1143.3343.33-0.02-0.02
TowsonCAA0.110.1153.3353.330.010.01
BradleyMVC0.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
FordhamA100.110.1129.0329.03-0.05-0.05
Robert MorrisNEC0.110.1148.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Northern KentuckyHorz0.110.1168.9768.970.040.04
SienaMAAC0.110.1125.0025.00-0.05-0.05
RichmondA100.100.1037.5037.50-0.03-0.03
PennIvy0.090.0974.1974.190.040.04
Idaho St.BSky0.090.0942.8642.86-0.01-0.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.090.0970.0070.000.040.04
Sacramento St.BSky0.090.0916.6716.67-0.06-0.06
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
Utah St.MWC0.090.0948.4848.48-0.00-0.00
DuquesneA100.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
North DakotaBSky0.090.0933.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Northern IowaMVC0.090.0946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.090.0926.6726.67-0.04-0.04
HofstraCAA0.090.0960.0060.000.020.02
WisconsinB100.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
MemphisAmer0.080.0861.7661.760.020.02
ProvidenceBE0.080.0861.7661.760.020.02
NortheasternCAA0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
Louisiana TechCUSA0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
LouisvilleACC0.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Michigan St.B100.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
RiderMAAC0.080.0870.9770.970.030.03
NebraskaB100.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
St. BonaventureA100.080.0878.1278.120.040.04
Ohio St.B100.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
PrincetonIvy0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Cal PolyBW0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Cal St. FullertonBW0.060.0662.0762.070.010.01
HawaiiBW0.060.0653.5753.570.000.00
Long Beach St.BW0.060.0641.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UC DavisBW0.060.0666.6766.670.020.02
UC IrvineBW0.060.0648.4848.48-0.00-0.00
UC RiversideBW0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
DelawareCAA0.060.0638.7138.71-0.01-0.01
SyracuseACC0.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
FloridaSEC0.060.0662.5062.500.010.01
FurmanSC0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
TexasB120.060.0657.5857.580.010.01
AuburnSEC0.060.0678.1278.120.030.03
DrakeMVC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
GeorgetownBE0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
HamptonMEAC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
HowardMEAC0.060.0625.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Illinois St.MVC0.060.0653.1253.120.000.00
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0637.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.060.0684.3884.380.040.04
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.060.0616.6716.67-0.04-0.04
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0653.1253.120.000.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Northern ArizonaBSky0.060.0613.3313.33-0.04-0.04
Northern ColoradoBSky0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
Portland St.BSky0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
South AlabamaSB0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.060.0659.3859.380.010.01
Southern UtahBSky0.060.0636.6736.67-0.02-0.02
Texas TechB120.060.0672.7372.730.030.03
ValparaisoMVC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
ArizonaP120.060.0679.4179.410.030.03
Ball St.MAC0.060.0658.0658.060.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.060.063.333.33-0.05-0.05
FIUCUSA0.060.0637.9337.93-0.01-0.01
IonaMAAC0.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
Kent St.MAC0.060.0648.4848.48-0.00-0.00
MonmouthMAAC0.060.0635.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Nicholls St.Slnd0.060.0660.7160.710.010.01
PortlandWCC0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
SMUAmer0.060.0651.5251.520.000.00
The CitadelSC0.060.0627.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Coastal CarolinaSB0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
KentuckySEC0.050.0570.5970.590.020.02
MarquetteBE0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
VCUA100.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
IowaB100.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.050.0582.3582.350.030.03
LongwoodBSth0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
ToledoMAC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
CaliforniaP120.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Air ForceMWC0.030.0334.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Wake ForestACC0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Austin PeayOVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
DenverSum0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
DePaulBE0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
DrexelCAA0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
DukeACC0.030.0378.7978.790.020.02
East CarolinaAmer0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
Florida St.ACC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
Fort WayneSum0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
IdahoBSky0.030.0368.9768.970.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
ManhattanMAAC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
New MexicoMWC0.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
TroySB0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Weber St.BSky0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
West VirginiaB120.030.0370.5970.590.010.01
DavidsonA100.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
DaytonA100.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Georgia SouthernSB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
Rhode IslandA100.030.0378.1278.120.010.01
Saint LouisA100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
TulaneAmer0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
William & MaryCAA0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
CampbellBSth0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
IllinoisB100.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
IndianaB100.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
MichiganB100.030.0379.4179.410.010.01
MinnesotaB100.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01