The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Duke page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Duke

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		3.0
Current RPI:		3
Expected SOS:		8
Current SOS:		8
Current Record:		29-5
Expected Record:		29-5
Current Conf Record:		16-3
Expected Conf Record:		16-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-0
Current OOC Record:		13-2
Expected OOC Record:		13-2
Expected OOC RPI:		11
Expected OOC SOS:		34

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
29-5		3.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Duke.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	NC Greensboro (249.0)	SC	H	96-62	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Coastal Carolina (136.0)	BSth	H	74-49	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	H	101-59	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Radford (169.0)	BSth	H	104-67	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	N	64-53	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	N	68-59	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
12-5	St. John's (82.0)	BE	H	80-71	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Gardner Webb (318.0)	BSth	H	113-68	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	N	76-41	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	84-63	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Pennsylvania (300.0)	Ivy	H	114-55	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	H	74-53	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Iowa St. (124.0)	B12	N	86-65	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	A	67-71	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	H	79-59	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	H	90-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	A	74-88	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	A	60-47	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	77-89	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	H	86-67	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	A	66-63	W	100%	0.0
2-10	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	64-54	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	H	77-56	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	A	81-74	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	H	67-55	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	H	70-52	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	67-49	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	72-79	L	0%	0.0
3-6	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	H	82-50	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	N	57-46	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	N	77-74	W	100%	0.0
3-14	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	N	65-61	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Duke's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Duke's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Duke.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Duke	ACC	26.22	26.22	88.97	88.97	20.44	20.44
Georgia Tech	ACC	5.07	5.07	66.67	66.67	1.69	1.69
Clemson	ACC	3.59	3.59	72.41	72.41	1.61	1.61
Maryland	ACC	3.59	3.59	75.00	75.00	1.80	1.80
North Carolina	ACC	3.57	3.57	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Miami FL	ACC	3.56	3.56	63.33	63.33	0.95	0.95
Virginia	ACC	3.55	3.55	51.72	51.72	0.12	0.12
Boston College	ACC	3.53	3.53	51.72	51.72	0.12	0.12
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.25	2.25	54.55	54.55	0.20	0.20
Wake Forest	ACC	2.21	2.21	67.86	67.86	0.79	0.79
Florida St.	ACC	2.17	2.17	73.33	73.33	1.01	1.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.17	2.17	76.67	76.67	1.16	1.16
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.64	1.64	20.00	20.00	-0.98	-0.98
NC Greensboro	SC	1.64	1.64	26.67	26.67	-0.76	-0.76
Coastal Carolina	BSth	1.58	1.58	82.76	82.76	1.03	1.03
Radford	BSth	1.58	1.58	60.71	60.71	0.34	0.34
Charlotte	A10	1.57	1.57	63.33	63.33	0.42	0.42
Wisconsin	B10	1.54	1.54	73.33	73.33	0.72	0.72
Connecticut	BE	1.54	1.54	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
St. John's	BE	1.54	1.54	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Gonzaga	WCC	1.52	1.52	83.33	83.33	1.01	1.01
Long Beach St.	BW	1.52	1.52	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Arizona St.	P10	1.47	1.47	70.97	70.97	0.62	0.62
Iowa St.	B12	1.47	1.47	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.47	1.47	22.22	22.22	-0.82	-0.82
Tulsa	CUSA	1.47	1.47	68.75	68.75	0.55	0.55
Winthrop	BSth	0.30	0.30	56.67	56.67	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.25	0.25	34.62	34.62	-0.08	-0.08
Presbyterian	BSth	0.25	0.25	13.33	13.33	-0.18	-0.18
NC Asheville	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.20	0.20	24.00	24.00	-0.11	-0.11
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.18	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.18	0.18	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Elon	SC	0.17	0.17	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	77.42	0.09	0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.16	32.00	32.00	-0.06	-0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.16	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.16	12.00	12.00	-0.12	-0.12
Syracuse	BE	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.15	74.07	74.07	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.12	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.09	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.07	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.07	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.04	0.04	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.02	0.02	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.02	0.02	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.02	0.02	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Duke	ACC	26.22	26.22	88.97	88.97	20.44	20.44
Georgia Tech	ACC	5.07	5.07	66.67	66.67	1.69	1.69
Clemson	ACC	3.59	3.59	72.41	72.41	1.61	1.61
Maryland	ACC	3.59	3.59	75.00	75.00	1.80	1.80
North Carolina	ACC	3.57	3.57	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Miami FL	ACC	3.56	3.56	63.33	63.33	0.95	0.95
Virginia	ACC	3.55	3.55	51.72	51.72	0.12	0.12
Boston College	ACC	3.53	3.53	51.72	51.72	0.12	0.12
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.25	2.25	54.55	54.55	0.20	0.20
Wake Forest	ACC	2.21	2.21	67.86	67.86	0.79	0.79
Florida St.	ACC	2.17	2.17	73.33	73.33	1.01	1.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.17	2.17	76.67	76.67	1.16	1.16
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.64	1.64	20.00	20.00	-0.98	-0.98
NC Greensboro	SC	1.64	1.64	26.67	26.67	-0.76	-0.76
Coastal Carolina	BSth	1.58	1.58	82.76	82.76	1.03	1.03
Radford	BSth	1.58	1.58	60.71	60.71	0.34	0.34
Charlotte	A10	1.57	1.57	63.33	63.33	0.42	0.42
Wisconsin	B10	1.54	1.54	73.33	73.33	0.72	0.72
Connecticut	BE	1.54	1.54	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
St. John's	BE	1.54	1.54	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Gonzaga	WCC	1.52	1.52	83.33	83.33	1.01	1.01
Long Beach St.	BW	1.52	1.52	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Arizona St.	P10	1.47	1.47	70.97	70.97	0.62	0.62
Iowa St.	B12	1.47	1.47	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.47	1.47	22.22	22.22	-0.82	-0.82
Tulsa	CUSA	1.47	1.47	68.75	68.75	0.55	0.55
Winthrop	BSth	0.30	0.30	56.67	56.67	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.25	0.25	34.62	34.62	-0.08	-0.08
Presbyterian	BSth	0.25	0.25	13.33	13.33	-0.18	-0.18
NC Asheville	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.20	0.20	24.00	24.00	-0.11	-0.11
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.18	66.67	66.67	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.18	0.18	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Elon	SC	0.17	0.17	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	77.42	0.09	0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.16	32.00	32.00	-0.06	-0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.16	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.16	12.00	12.00	-0.12	-0.12
Syracuse	BE	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.15	74.07	74.07	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.12	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.09	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.07	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.07	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.04	0.04	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.02	0.02	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01