The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Missouri page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Missouri

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		38.8
Current RPI:		47
Expected SOS:		40
Current SOS:		73
Current Record:		17-6
Expected Record:		22-9
Current Conf Record:		5-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		56
Expected OOC SOS:		200

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-6	13.3	1.30%
24-7	19.5	8.01%
23-8	27.5	22.30%
22-9	37.3	31.49%
21-10	47.7	23.92%
20-11	57.4	10.39%
19-12	67.8	2.25%
18-13	78.3	0.31%
17-14	90.0	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Missouri.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Tennessee Martin (335.5)	OVC	H	83-68	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Texas Pan American (326.7)	GWC	H	100-44	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Chattanooga (220.0)	SC	H	99-56	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Old Dominion (34.0)	CAA	N	66-61	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Richmond (37.8)	A10	N	52-59	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	A	83-89	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Oregon (153.5)	P10	H	106-69	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Oral Roberts (122.6)	Sum	A	59-60	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Fairleigh Dickinson (284.5)	NEC	H	87-36	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	H	88-70	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Illinois (76.1)	B10	N	81-68	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Austin Peay (130.2)	OVC	H	94-79	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Missouri Kansas City (279.4)	Sum	H	91-57	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	89-61	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Savannah St. (320.5)	ind	H	74-45	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	H	74-68	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	A	94-89	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	A	61-66	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	H	70-53	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Kansas (1.4)	B12	A	65-84	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	H	95-80	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	74-77	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Colorado (134.3)	B12	A	84-66	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	H	0-0		88%	13.0
2-13	Baylor (23.8)	B12	A	0-0		42%	-2.3
2-17	Texas (19.1)	B12	H	0-0		58%	2.3
2-20	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	A	0-0		70%	5.8
2-24	Colorado (134.3)	B12	H	0-0		90%	14.2
2-27	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	A	0-0		32%	-5.2
3-2	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	A	0-0		68%	5.0
3-6	Kansas (1.4)	B12	H	0-0		40%	-2.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Missouri's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Missouri's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Missouri.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Missouri	B12	26.11	26.12	72.41	69.23	11.71	10.04
Nebraska	B12	2.56	3.88	59.09	52.94	0.47	0.23
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.52	2.18	72.73	65.73	1.15	0.69
Texas A&M	B12	2.47	2.15	71.43	65.66	1.06	0.67
Kansas St.	B12	2.46	3.84	85.71	82.90	1.76	2.53
Colorado	B12	2.46	3.84	45.00	43.32	-0.25	-0.51
Kansas	B12	2.42	3.82	95.65	93.97	2.21	3.36
Texas Tech	B12	2.41	2.15	71.43	61.36	1.03	0.49
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.37	1.78	38.10	48.82	-0.56	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	2.37	2.15	57.14	49.46	0.34	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	2.28	1.70	54.55	56.99	0.21	0.24
Illinois	B10	2.28	1.67	69.57	60.98	0.89	0.37
Georgia	SEC	2.27	1.69	50.00	47.05	0.00	-0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	1.69	75.00	72.25	1.14	0.75
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.27	1.67	5.26	8.92	-2.03	-1.37
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.27	1.72	12.50	19.45	-1.70	-1.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	2.27	1.72	40.00	39.55	-0.45	-0.36
Richmond	A10	2.26	1.67	73.91	70.26	1.08	0.68
Chattanooga	SC	2.26	1.66	50.00	47.79	0.00	-0.07
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.23	1.70	52.17	57.11	0.10	0.24
Oregon	P10	2.22	1.64	57.14	50.48	0.32	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	2.22	1.64	75.00	76.02	1.11	0.85
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.17	1.61	33.33	32.29	-0.72	-0.57
Savannah St.	ind	2.17	1.61	31.58	32.68	-0.80	-0.56
Texas	B12	0.39	2.18	79.17	78.19	0.22	1.23
Baylor	B12	0.29	2.15	76.19	73.25	0.15	1.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.29	3.82	56.52	52.40	0.04	0.18
Western Illinois	Sum	0.26	0.24	30.00	31.80	-0.10	-0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.25	0.14	86.96	85.51	0.19	0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.16	39.13	41.23	-0.05	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.19	45.45	40.27	-0.02	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.21	61.90	56.09	0.06	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.24	0.17	65.22	64.72	0.07	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.24	0.19	66.67	69.42	0.08	0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.24	0.13	69.57	68.49	0.09	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.18	27.27	31.42	-0.11	-0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.21	0.20	20.00	24.03	-0.12	-0.10
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.17	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.20	0.12	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.20	0.17	19.05	20.55	-0.12	-0.10
Tennessee	SEC	0.20	0.19	81.82	75.63	0.12	0.10
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.17	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.20	65.22	67.02	0.06	0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.19	0.16	77.27	70.95	0.10	0.07
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.13	43.48	43.05	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.10	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.11	21.05	24.99	-0.09	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.09	8.70	9.55	-0.13	-0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.14	0.11
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.17	59.09	54.44	0.03	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.08	72.73	68.10	0.07	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.08	77.27	75.68	0.08	0.04
Washington	P10	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.17	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.15	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	21.74	24.91	-0.08	-0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.10	-0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.29	0.08	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.08	66.67	67.98	0.05	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.09	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.14	0.08	20.83	23.58	-0.08	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.10	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.06
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.10	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.14	0.10	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.16	19.05	20.74	-0.08	-0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.13	69.57	67.92	0.05	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.69	0.05	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.60	-0.10	-0.06
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.12	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.06	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.14	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.08	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.11	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.54	0.05	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.05	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.05	23.53	26.11	-0.05	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.10	0.11	28.57	31.10	-0.04	-0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.11	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.14	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.05	61.90	63.68	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	18.18	20.35	-0.06	-0.07
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.13	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.11	22.73	24.06	-0.05	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.11	0.00	4.36	-0.09	-0.10
California	P10	0.09	0.16	65.22	68.43	0.03	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.11	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.05	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.11	72.73	71.93	0.04	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.05	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.10	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.13	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.05	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.60	0.05	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.05	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	78.26	71.74	0.05	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.08	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.05	29.17	31.02	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.05	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.05	0.00	4.21	-0.09	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.05	29.17	29.51	-0.04	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.05	79.17	73.38	0.05	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.24	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.04	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.04	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.04	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.07	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.08	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.53	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.08	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.58	0.03	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.44	-0.03	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.04	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.03	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.05	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.05	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.04	0.05	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.05	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.05	22.22	27.54	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.04	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.04	0.05	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.04	0.05	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.03	58.33	58.90	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.04	0.05	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.05	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.04	0.05	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.05	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.04	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.04	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.05	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.90	-0.00	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.49	-0.00	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.00	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.08	91.30	88.20	0.00	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.05	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.00	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.05	78.26	78.94	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Missouri	B12	26.11	26.12	72.41	69.23	11.71	10.04
Nebraska	B12	2.56	3.88	59.09	52.94	0.47	0.23
Kansas St.	B12	2.46	3.84	85.71	82.90	1.76	2.53
Colorado	B12	2.46	3.84	45.00	43.32	-0.25	-0.51
Iowa St.	B12	0.29	3.82	56.52	52.40	0.04	0.18
Kansas	B12	2.42	3.82	95.65	93.97	2.21	3.36
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.52	2.18	72.73	65.73	1.15	0.69
Texas	B12	0.39	2.18	79.17	78.19	0.22	1.23
Oklahoma	B12	2.37	2.15	57.14	49.46	0.34	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	2.41	2.15	71.43	61.36	1.03	0.49
Baylor	B12	0.29	2.15	76.19	73.25	0.15	1.00
Texas A&M	B12	2.47	2.15	71.43	65.66	1.06	0.67
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.37	1.78	38.10	48.82	-0.56	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.27	1.72	12.50	19.45	-1.70	-1.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	2.27	1.72	40.00	39.55	-0.45	-0.36
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.23	1.70	52.17	57.11	0.10	0.24
Austin Peay	OVC	2.28	1.70	54.55	56.99	0.21	0.24
Georgia	SEC	2.27	1.69	50.00	47.05	0.00	-0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	1.69	75.00	72.25	1.14	0.75
Illinois	B10	2.28	1.67	69.57	60.98	0.89	0.37
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.27	1.67	5.26	8.92	-2.03	-1.37
Richmond	A10	2.26	1.67	73.91	70.26	1.08	0.68
Chattanooga	SC	2.26	1.66	50.00	47.79	0.00	-0.07
Oregon	P10	2.22	1.64	57.14	50.48	0.32	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	2.22	1.64	75.00	76.02	1.11	0.85
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.17	1.61	33.33	32.29	-0.72	-0.57
Savannah St.	ind	2.17	1.61	31.58	32.68	-0.80	-0.56
Western Illinois	Sum	0.26	0.24	30.00	31.80	-0.10	-0.09
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.21	61.90	56.09	0.06	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.20	65.22	67.02	0.06	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.21	0.20	20.00	24.03	-0.12	-0.10
Oakland	Sum	0.24	0.19	66.67	69.42	0.08	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.20	0.19	81.82	75.63	0.12	0.10
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.19	45.45	40.27	-0.02	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.18	27.27	31.42	-0.11	-0.07
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.17	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.24	0.17	65.22	64.72	0.07	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.17	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.17	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.17	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.20	0.17	19.05	20.55	-0.12	-0.10
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.17	59.09	54.44	0.03	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.19	0.16	77.27	70.95	0.10	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	21.74	24.91	-0.08	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.16	39.13	41.23	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.16	15.79	27.70	-0.10	-0.07
California	P10	0.09	0.16	65.22	68.43	0.03	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.16	19.05	20.74	-0.08	-0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.25	0.14	86.96	85.51	0.19	0.10
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.14	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.14	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.14	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.13	43.48	43.05	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.24	0.13	69.57	68.49	0.09	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.13	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.13	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.13	69.57	67.92	0.05	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.20	0.12	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.12	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.11	21.05	24.99	-0.09	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.54	0.05	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.07
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.11	28.57	31.10	-0.04	-0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	18.18	20.35	-0.06	-0.07
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.11	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.11	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.11	22.73	24.06	-0.05	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.11	0.00	4.36	-0.09	-0.10
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.11	72.73	71.93	0.04	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.11	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.10	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.14	0.10	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.10	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.10	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.10	77.27	77.14	0.08	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.09	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.09	8.70	9.55	-0.13	-0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.08	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.15	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.08	72.73	68.10	0.07	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	79.17	77.29	0.08	0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.14	0.08	20.83	23.58	-0.08	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.08	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.08	66.67	67.98	0.05	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.08	77.27	75.68	0.08	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.08	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	78.26	71.74	0.05	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.08	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.08	91.30	88.20	0.00	0.06
Temple	A10	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.60	0.05	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.69	0.05	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.60	-0.10	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.07	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.06	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.05	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.00	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.05	61.90	63.68	0.02	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.05	23.53	26.11	-0.05	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.05	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.04	0.05	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.05	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.53	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.05	76.19	71.16	0.05	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.05	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.05	0.00	4.21	-0.09	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.58	0.03	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.05	29.17	29.51	-0.04	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.05	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.05	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.05	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.05	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.05	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.05	79.17	73.38	0.05	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.05	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.05	29.17	31.02	-0.04	-0.02