The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Lamar page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Lamar

Conference:		Slnd
Expected RPI:		239.8
Current RPI:		236
Expected SOS:		250
Current SOS:		260
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		5-4
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-6
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC RPI:		263
Expected OOC SOS:		265

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	155.0	0.03%
16-12	176.4	1.04%
15-13	195.0	5.21%
14-14	214.9	15.04%
13-15	233.1	28.35%
12-16	248.7	29.03%
11-17	264.9	17.26%
10-18	282.5	4.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Lamar.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Texas Pan American (326.2)	GWC	H	77-72	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	54-77	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	46-71	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	74-87	L	0%	0.0
11-28	North Carolina A&T (267.9)	MEAC	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	55-62	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	A	78-96	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	60-68	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	H	77-61	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	70-67	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	87-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	A	56-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	H	79-78	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	A	64-81	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	92-97	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	A	63-90	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	A	64-57	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	H	73-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	H	49-46	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	A	0-0		34%	-4.6
2-17	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	H	0-0		24%	-7.7
2-20	Northwestern St. (316.9)	Slnd	A	0-0		44%	-1.5
2-24	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	A	0-0		36%	-3.9
2-27	Texas San Antonio (183.0)	Slnd	H	0-0		37%	-3.6
3-3	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	H	0-0		33%	-4.7
3-6	Nicholls St. (292.0)	Slnd	A	0-0		44%	-1.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Lamar's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Lamar's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Lamar.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lamar	Slnd	26.24	26.27	45.33	43.33	-2.45	-3.51
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.97	2.64	27.78	32.73	-1.32	-0.91
Texas St.	Slnd	2.96	4.36	33.33	32.96	-0.99	-1.49
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.89	4.36	68.75	71.68	1.08	1.89
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.87	4.39	58.82	60.56	0.51	0.93
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.86	4.43	44.44	50.08	-0.32	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.77	2.48	22.22	25.96	-1.54	-1.19
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.77	2.48	47.06	53.50	-0.16	0.17
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.77	4.33	50.00	44.54	0.00	-0.47
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	2.51	72.22	69.72	1.23	0.99
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.73	2.08	45.00	46.63	-0.27	-0.14
Tulane	CUSA	2.72	2.01	33.33	30.64	-0.91	-0.78
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.70	2.12	12.50	19.44	-2.03	-1.30
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.66	1.98	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.13
Marshall	CUSA	2.60	1.97	65.00	64.27	0.78	0.56
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.60	1.91	26.32	35.96	-1.23	-0.54
Arkansas St.	SB	2.59	1.94	60.00	59.29	0.52	0.36
Texas Tech	B12	2.57	1.95	66.67	57.89	0.86	0.31
Rice	CUSA	2.55	1.91	33.33	31.43	-0.85	-0.71
Denver	SB	2.55	1.95	59.09	58.13	0.46	0.32
Ohio	MAC	2.55	1.88	47.62	49.27	-0.12	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	2.44	1.85	33.33	31.44	-0.81	-0.69
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.50	2.54	23.53	24.87	-0.26	-1.28
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.45	2.48	22.22	25.27	-0.25	-1.23
North Texas	SB	0.41	0.33	61.90	63.69	0.10	0.09
New Orleans	SB	0.39	0.32	22.73	22.86	-0.21	-0.17
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.33	0.22	23.81	28.38	-0.17	-0.10
Florida International	SB	0.29	0.23	24.00	23.74	-0.15	-0.12
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.28	0.23	45.45	47.48	-0.03	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.28	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.18	0.15
Troy	SB	0.27	0.22	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.27	0.22	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.24	0.29	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.24	0.20	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.23	0.26	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.23	0.16	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.10
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.19	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.22	0.19	20.00	21.94	-0.13	-0.10
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.16	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.22	0.16	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.22	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
South Alabama	SB	0.21	0.22	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.22	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.11
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.21	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.30	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.15
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.19	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.19	0.10	19.05	20.58	-0.12	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.18	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.07	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.13	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.10	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.10	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.12	0.13	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.12	0.10	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.12	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.16	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.10	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.06
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.10	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.07	0.07	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.07	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.10	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.04	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.04	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.00	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.00	0.04	63.64	58.79	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lamar	Slnd	26.24	26.27	45.33	43.33	-2.45	-3.51
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.86	4.43	44.44	50.08	-0.32	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.87	4.39	58.82	60.56	0.51	0.93
Texas St.	Slnd	2.96	4.36	33.33	32.96	-0.99	-1.49
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.89	4.36	68.75	71.68	1.08	1.89
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.77	4.33	50.00	44.54	0.00	-0.47
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.97	2.64	27.78	32.73	-1.32	-0.91
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.50	2.54	23.53	24.87	-0.26	-1.28
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	2.51	72.22	69.72	1.23	0.99
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.77	2.48	22.22	25.96	-1.54	-1.19
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.45	2.48	22.22	25.27	-0.25	-1.23
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.77	2.48	47.06	53.50	-0.16	0.17
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.70	2.12	12.50	19.44	-2.03	-1.30
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.73	2.08	45.00	46.63	-0.27	-0.14
Tulane	CUSA	2.72	2.01	33.33	30.64	-0.91	-0.78
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.66	1.98	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.13
Marshall	CUSA	2.60	1.97	65.00	64.27	0.78	0.56
Texas Tech	B12	2.57	1.95	66.67	57.89	0.86	0.31
Denver	SB	2.55	1.95	59.09	58.13	0.46	0.32
Arkansas St.	SB	2.59	1.94	60.00	59.29	0.52	0.36
Rice	CUSA	2.55	1.91	33.33	31.43	-0.85	-0.71
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.60	1.91	26.32	35.96	-1.23	-0.54
Ohio	MAC	2.55	1.88	47.62	49.27	-0.12	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	2.44	1.85	33.33	31.44	-0.81	-0.69
North Texas	SB	0.41	0.33	61.90	63.69	0.10	0.09
New Orleans	SB	0.39	0.32	22.73	22.86	-0.21	-0.17
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.30	22.73	24.05	-0.11	-0.15
Houston	CUSA	0.24	0.29	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.23	0.26	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.28	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.18	0.15
Florida International	SB	0.29	0.23	24.00	23.74	-0.15	-0.12
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.28	0.23	45.45	47.48	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.33	0.22	23.81	28.38	-0.17	-0.10
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.22	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.11
Western Kentucky	SB	0.27	0.22	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Troy	SB	0.27	0.22	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.21	0.22	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.24	0.20	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.21	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.19	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.10
East Carolina	CUSA	0.22	0.19	20.00	21.94	-0.13	-0.10
UAB	CUSA	0.22	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.23	0.16	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.22	0.16	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.16	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.16	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.18	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.12	0.13	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.13	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.07	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.19	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.19	0.10	19.05	20.58	-0.12	-0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.10	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.10	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.08
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.10	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.10	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.12	0.10	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.10	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.12	0.10	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.10	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.09	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.07	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.07	0.07	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.07	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.12	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.04	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.04	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.04	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.00	0.04	63.64	58.79	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.00	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.77	2.51	72.22	69.72	1.23	0.99
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.89	4.36	68.75	71.68	1.08	1.89
Texas Tech	B12	2.57	1.95	66.67	57.89	0.86	0.31
Marshall	CUSA	2.60	1.97	65.00	64.27	0.78	0.56
Arkansas St.	SB	2.59	1.94	60.00	59.29	0.52	0.36
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.87	4.39	58.82	60.56	0.51	0.93
Denver	SB	2.55	1.95	59.09	58.13	0.46	0.32
Texas	B12	0.28	0.25	82.61	78.76	0.18	0.15
UAB	CUSA	0.22	0.19	82.61	78.56	0.14	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.22	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.19	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.10
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.16	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.11	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.41	0.33	61.90	63.69	0.10	0.09
Memphis	CUSA	0.23	0.16	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.18	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.10	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.13	69.57	63.55	0.07	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	95.65	88.67	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.12	0.13	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.17	76.61	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.10	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.22	0.19	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.27	0.22	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Montana