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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Campbell

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:323.0
Current RPI:323
Expected SOS:248
Current SOS:248
Current Record:7-22
Expected Record:7-22
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-9
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:246
Expected OOC SOS:191



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
7-22323.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Campbell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Davidson (35.0)A10A86-51L0%0.0
11-22Colgate (194.0)PatH48-54L0%0.0
11-26Ohio St. (41.0)B10A91-64L0%0.0
11-30Sacred Heart (242.0)NECA71-62L0%0.0
12-2James Madison (148.0)CAAA63-61L0%0.0
12-10Delaware St. (204.0)MEACA55-70W100%0.0
12-14College of Charleston (298.0)CAAA58-47L0%0.0
12-17SIU Edwardsville (292.0)OVCH70-65W100%0.0
12-23UNC Wilmington (145.0)CAAH69-63W100%0.0
12-28Samford (305.0)SCA65-56L0%0.0
12-31Liberty (347.0)BSthH53-46W100%0.0
1-5Charleston Southern (164.0)BSthA74-71L0%0.0
1-10High Point (89.0)BSthA69-62L0%0.0
1-12Coastal Carolina (124.0)BSthH67-70L0%0.0
1-15Radford (154.0)BSthH55-72L0%0.0
1-17UNC Asheville (249.0)BSthH65-69L0%0.0
1-22Presbyterian (315.0)BSthA72-70L0%0.0
1-24Winthrop (210.0)BSthA71-63L0%0.0
1-26Gardner Webb (146.0)BSthH78-59W100%0.0
1-31UNC Asheville (249.0)BSthA70-63L0%0.0
2-3Presbyterian (315.0)BSthH66-53W100%0.0
2-6Gardner Webb (146.0)BSthA73-65L0%0.0
2-10Liberty (347.0)BSthA73-60L0%0.0
2-14High Point (89.0)BSthH51-63L0%0.0
2-19Coastal Carolina (124.0)BSthA81-57L0%0.0
2-21Charleston Southern (164.0)BSthH57-86L0%0.0
2-26Winthrop (210.0)BSthH65-50W100%0.0
2-28Longwood (316.0)BSthA70-65L0%0.0
3-4Gardner Webb (146.0)BSthN72-64L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Campbell's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Campbell's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Campbell.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
CampbellBSth26.4526.4521.3721.37-15.15-15.15
Gardner WebbBSth6.176.1751.8551.850.230.23
Coastal CarolinaBSth4.594.5966.6766.671.531.53
High PointBSth4.524.5265.3865.381.391.39
WinthropBSth4.474.4755.5655.560.500.50
UNC AshevilleBSth4.464.4638.4638.46-1.03-1.03
LibertyBSth4.414.4111.5411.54-3.39-3.39
PresbyterianBSth4.384.3819.2319.23-2.69-2.69
Charleston SouthernBSth4.374.3756.0056.000.520.52
LongwoodBSth2.962.9625.8125.81-1.43-1.43
RadfordBSth2.842.8460.7160.710.610.61
James MadisonCAA2.032.0358.0658.060.330.33
College of CharlestonCAA1.981.9825.0025.00-0.99-0.99
UNC WilmingtonCAA1.951.9558.6258.620.340.34
Ohio St.B101.871.8768.7568.750.700.70
ColgatePat1.811.8145.1645.16-0.17-0.17
Sacred HeartNEC1.801.8043.3343.33-0.24-0.24
SamfordSC1.791.7936.6736.67-0.48-0.48
DavidsonA101.781.7875.8675.860.920.92
Delaware St.MEAC1.721.7250.0050.000.000.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC1.721.7240.0040.00-0.34-0.34
UNC GreensboroSC0.260.2626.6726.67-0.12-0.12
DelawareCAA0.250.2533.3333.33-0.08-0.08
FurmanSC0.230.2329.0329.03-0.10-0.10
William & MaryCAA0.230.2360.0060.000.050.05
ClemsonACC0.210.2151.6151.610.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.200.2029.0329.03-0.08-0.08
NortheasternCAA0.190.1967.6567.650.070.07
HofstraCAA0.190.1960.6160.610.040.04
DrexelCAA0.190.1937.9337.93-0.05-0.05
Western CarolinaSC0.180.1843.3343.33-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.180.1881.2581.250.110.11
East Tennessee St.SC0.180.1850.0050.000.000.00
RichmondA100.180.1859.3859.380.030.03
Savannah St.MEAC0.170.1724.1424.14-0.09-0.09
PurdueB100.170.1763.6463.640.050.05
ElonCAA0.160.1641.9441.94-0.03-0.03
TowsonCAA0.160.1635.4835.48-0.05-0.05
Tennessee MartinOVC0.150.1557.1457.140.020.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.150.1534.4834.48-0.05-0.05
Virginia TechACC0.150.1533.3333.33-0.05-0.05
St. Francis NYNEC0.140.1466.6766.670.050.05
AmericanPat0.140.1451.5251.520.000.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.120.126.906.90-0.11-0.11
MississippiSEC0.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
Morehead St.OVC0.120.1246.8846.88-0.01-0.01
AuburnSEC0.120.1241.1841.18-0.02-0.02
East CarolinaAmer0.120.1238.7138.71-0.03-0.03
CharlotteCUSA0.120.1243.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Wake ForestACC0.120.1240.6240.62-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.120.1266.6766.670.040.04
Old DominionCUSA0.110.1177.4277.420.060.06
Miami OHMAC0.110.1138.7138.71-0.03-0.03
JacksonvilleASun0.110.1124.1424.14-0.06-0.06
LSUSEC0.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.090.0921.4321.43-0.05-0.05
Wright St.Horz0.090.0931.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Louisiana TechCUSA0.090.0975.0075.000.040.04
HawaiiBW0.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.090.0922.5822.58-0.05-0.05
Louisiana MonroeSB0.090.0958.6258.620.020.02
ArizonaP120.090.0991.1891.180.070.07
Seton HallBE0.090.0951.6151.610.000.00
VCUA100.090.0974.2974.290.040.04
MarylandB100.090.0981.8281.820.050.05
George WashingtonA100.080.0863.6463.640.020.02
La SalleA100.080.0851.5251.520.000.00
VMISC0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
George MasonA100.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
BryantNEC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
HowardMEAC0.080.0844.8344.83-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
The CitadelSC0.080.0829.6329.63-0.03-0.03
Holy CrossPat0.080.0844.8344.83-0.01-0.01
LafayettePat0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
MinnesotaB100.080.0853.1253.120.010.01
NavyPat0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
IowaB100.080.0865.6265.620.020.02
HamptonMEAC0.080.0848.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Murray St.OVC0.070.0783.3383.330.040.04
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.070.0739.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.060.0681.2581.250.040.04
Florida St.ACC0.060.0651.5251.520.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
Saint LouisA100.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.060.0637.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.060.0636.6736.67-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.060.0687.8887.880.050.05
North FloridaASun0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
PrincetonIvy0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
South CarolinaSEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
UABCUSA0.060.0654.5554.550.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.060.0625.8125.81-0.03-0.03
UCLAP120.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
DuquesneA100.060.0636.6736.67-0.02-0.02
CornellIvy0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
VirginiaACC0.060.0690.6290.620.050.05
Central ConnecticutNEC0.060.0616.1316.13-0.04-0.04
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
LIU BrooklynNEC0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
MercerSC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.060.0657.5857.580.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
WagnerNEC0.060.0631.0331.03-0.02-0.02
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.030.03
North CarolinaACC0.050.0568.5768.570.020.02
Rhode IslandA100.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
New HampshireAE0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
UMass LowellAE0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
ArmyPat0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Ball St.MAC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
BucknellPat0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
LehighPat0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
IndianaB100.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
MichiganB100.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Michigan St.B100.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0575.8675.860.030.03
Penn St.B100.050.0552.9452.940.000.00
BelmontOVC0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0371.4371.430.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.030.0317.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
IPFWSum0.030.0348.1548.15-0.00-0.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
PortlandWCC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Portland St.BSky0.030.0348.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.030.0310.3410.34-0.03-0.03
Tennessee TechOVC0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
SienaMAAC0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
TCUB120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
DaytonA100.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
FordhamA100.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
MassachusettsA100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
MontanaBSky0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
NiagaraMAAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
St. BonaventureA100.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
StetsonASun0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
UCFAmer0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
BrownIvy0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0322.5822.58-0.02-0.02
HartfordAE0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Kennesaw St.ASun0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
UMKCWAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
AlbanyAE0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
Arizona St.P120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
BinghamtonAE0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
ColumbiaIvy0.030.0344.4444.44-0.00-0.00
DartmouthIvy0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Eastern MichiganMAC0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
SyracuseACC0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
UMBCAE0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
ArkansasSEC0.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
ConnecticutAmer0.030.0358.8258.820.000.00
Florida A&MMEAC0.030.036.906.90-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
IonaMAAC0.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
MarquetteBE0.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
Miami FLACC0.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
NebraskaB100.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
NJITind0.030.0356.0056.000.000.00
North TexasCUSA0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
NorthwesternB100.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
OregonP120.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
PennIvy0.030.0332.1432.14-0.01-0.01
TempleAmer0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
West VirginiaB120.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
WisconsinB100.030.0391.1891.180.020.02