Campbell

Conference:	BSth
Expected RPI:	267.0
Current RPI:	267
Expected SOS:	327
Current SOS:	327
Current Record:	13-15
Expected Record:	13-15
Current Conf Record:	10-9
Expected Conf Record:	10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	11-8
Current OOC Record:	3-6
Expected OOC Record:	3-6
Expected OOC RPI:	334
Expected OOC SOS:	346

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-15	267.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Campbell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Penn St. (77.0)	B10	A	86-75	L	0%
11-18	UNC Wilmington (245.0)	CAA	A	88-84	L	0%
11-24	Abilene Christian (260.0)	Slnd	H	80-85	L	0%
11-25	Bowling Green (193.0)	MAC	H	72-78	L	0%
11-26	USC Upstate (344.0)	ASun	H	93-74	W	100%
11-30	Stetson (325.0)	ASun	A	78-85	W	100%
12-4	East Carolina (274.0)	Amer	A	69-66	L	0%
12-14	The Citadel (281.0)	SC	H	87-77	W	100%
12-19	Saint Louis (148.0)	A10	A	74-66	L	0%
12-30	UNC Asheville (130.0)	BSth	A	85-79	L	0%
1-3	Gardner Webb (244.0)	BSth	H	80-82	L	0%
1-6	Winthrop (173.0)	BSth	H	88-77	W	100%
1-9	Presbyterian (319.0)	BSth	A	79-83	W	100%
1-12	High Point (273.0)	BSth	H	65-64	W	100%
1-15	Longwood (337.0)	BSth	A	76-62	L	0%
1-18	Charleston Southern (261.0)	BSth	H	62-47	W	100%
1-21	Radford (128.0)	BSth	H	59-56	W	100%
1-23	Liberty (211.0)	BSth	A	85-94	W	100%
1-27	Winthrop (173.0)	BSth	A	75-64	L	0%
2-1	UNC Asheville (130.0)	BSth	H	57-64	L	0%
2-3	High Point (273.0)	BSth	A	67-56	L	0%
2-7	Gardner Webb (244.0)	BSth	A	70-78	W	100%
2-10	Longwood (337.0)	BSth	H	88-54	W	100%
2-15	Radford (128.0)	BSth	A	72-53	L	0%
2-18	Liberty (211.0)	BSth	H	79-69	W	100%
2-22	Charleston Southern (261.0)	BSth	A	72-68	L	0%
2-24	Presbyterian (319.0)	BSth	H	72-56	W	100%
3-1	Liberty (211.0)	BSth	N	59-73	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Campbell's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Campbell's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Campbell.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Campbell	BSth	26.51	26.51	46.61	46.61	-1.80	-1.80
Liberty	BSth	6.45	6.45	57.14	57.14	0.92	0.92
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	63.33	63.33	1.29	1.29
UNC Asheville	BSth	4.79	4.79	58.62	58.62	0.83	0.83
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.75	4.75	42.31	42.31	-0.73	-0.73
Longwood	BSth	4.73	4.73	10.71	10.71	-3.71	-3.71
Winthrop	BSth	4.71	4.71	57.69	57.69	0.73	0.73
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.70	4.70	37.04	37.04	-1.22	-1.22
High Point	BSth	4.68	4.68	40.00	40.00	-0.94	-0.94
Presbyterian	BSth	4.66	4.66	29.63	29.63	-1.90	-1.90
USC Upstate	ASun	2.10	2.10	11.11	11.11	-1.63	-1.63
East Carolina	Amer	1.87	1.87	31.03	31.03	-0.71	-0.71
The Citadel	SC	1.85	1.85	28.57	28.57	-0.79	-0.79
Bowling Green	MAC	1.85	1.85	44.83	44.83	-0.19	-0.19
Stetson	ASun	1.85	1.85	29.63	29.63	-0.75	-0.75
Abilene Christian	Slnd	1.85	1.85	42.31	42.31	-0.28	-0.28
UNC Wilmington	CAA	1.82	1.82	27.59	27.59	-0.81	-0.81
Penn St.	B10	1.79	1.79	60.61	60.61	0.38	0.38
Saint Louis	A10	1.79	1.79	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
UNC Greensboro	SC	0.39	0.39	77.42	77.42	0.21	0.21
VMI	SC	0.33	0.33	25.00	25.00	-0.17	-0.17
Lipscomb	ASun	0.23	0.23	68.97	68.97	0.09	0.09
Furman	SC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.19	0.19	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.19	0.19	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Western Carolina	SC	0.19	0.19	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.19	0.19	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.18	0.18	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.18	0.18	65.62	65.62	0.06	0.06
Houston	Amer	0.17	0.17	78.79	78.79	0.10	0.10
Ohio St.	B10	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Charlotte	CUSA	0.16	0.16	17.86	17.86	-0.10	-0.10
UCF	Amer	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.15	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	A10	0.15	0.15	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Mercer	SC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.15	0.15	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
NJIT	ASun	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	CAA	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.13	80.00	80.00	0.08	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.13	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Elon	CAA	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	B10	0.11	0.11	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.11	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.09	0.09	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
VCU	A10	0.09	0.09	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
South Florida	Amer	0.09	0.09	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	SB	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.09	16.67	16.67	-0.06	-0.06
Quinnipiac	MAAC	0.09	0.09	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.09	26.92	26.92	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Nebraska	B10	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Incarnate Word	Slnd	0.07	0.07	12.50	12.50	-0.05	-0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P12	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	Amer	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	Amer	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
SMU	Amer	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.06	0.06	57.14	57.14	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tulane	Amer	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	Amer	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	15.62	15.62	-0.04	-0.04
Rutgers	B10	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.06	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	MWC	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
George Mason	A10	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	82.35	82.35	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.03	0.03	10.71	10.71	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	8.00	8.00	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Creighton	BE	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Denver	Sum	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
FIU	CUSA	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UMKC	WAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
UMBC	AE	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	Amer	0.03	0.03	88.24	88.24	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	32.35	32.35	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	6.67	6.67	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
LSU	SEC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	10.34	10.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	Sum	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Temple	Amer	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	MVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	Amer	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Butler	BE	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Oregon St.	P12	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Seattle	WAC	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	SEC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00