The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Fordham page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Fordham

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		296.2
Current RPI:		295
Expected SOS:		95
Current SOS:		93
Current Record:		2-19
Expected Record:		2-26
Current Conf Record:		0-9
Expected Conf Record:		0-16
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		1-6
Current OOC Record:		2-10
Expected OOC Record:		2-10
Expected OOC RPI:		294
Expected OOC SOS:		191

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
6-22	245.0	0.03%
5-23	260.4	0.69%
4-24	277.3	6.85%
3-25	290.8	33.47%
2-26	301.9	58.96%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fordham.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	73-76	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Fairfield (108.8)	MAAC	A	55-63	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	62-70	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Manhattan (240.2)	MAAC	A	44-68	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	46-67	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	93-77	W	100%	0.0
12-13	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	56-73	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Villanova (6.2)	BE	N	58-96	L	0%	0.0
12-23	James Madison (244.2)	CAA	A	73-85	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	66-79	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Hampton (286.6)	MEAC	A	54-78	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	A	76-78	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Dayton (32.1)	A10	H	58-74	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	67-85	L	0%	0.0
1-20	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	48-75	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	45-62	L	0%	0.0
1-27	La Salle (138.5)	A10	H	73-80	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Xavier (26.6)	A10	A	60-108	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	H	72-77	L	0%	0.0
2-10	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	A	0-0		5%	-17.9
2-13	George Washington (136.9)	A10	H	0-0		15%	-11.2
2-17	Richmond (38.1)	A10	A	0-0		1%	-25.4
2-20	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	A	0-0		1%	-25.4
2-24	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	0-0		18%	-9.9
3-3	Xavier (26.6)	A10	H	0-0		2%	-21.6
3-6	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	A	0-0		6%	-17.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Fordham's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Fordham's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Fordham.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fordham	A10	26.11	26.04	6.45	6.37	-22.74	-22.72
Temple	A10	2.86	2.45	78.26	76.82	1.62	1.32
La Salle	A10	2.86	2.42	45.45	44.51	-0.26	-0.27
Xavier	A10	2.86	4.12	68.18	69.48	1.04	1.60
Rhode Island	A10	2.80	4.12	85.71	80.16	2.00	2.48
Stony Brook	AE	2.70	2.03	71.43	71.26	1.16	0.86
Massachusetts	A10	2.69	2.36	28.57	29.20	-1.15	-0.98
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.65	2.39	36.36	34.39	-0.72	-0.75
Hartford	AE	2.65	1.97	27.27	30.07	-1.20	-0.79
Charlotte	A10	2.64	2.36	77.27	70.75	1.44	0.98
Dayton	A10	2.64	2.39	71.43	70.94	1.13	1.00
Villanova	BE	2.64	1.93	90.48	81.91	2.14	1.23
St. Louis	A10	2.59	2.39	60.00	54.56	0.52	0.22
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	55.77	0.24	0.22
Bowling Green	MAC	2.54	1.90	45.00	43.67	-0.25	-0.24
St. John's	BE	2.54	1.94	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.10
Maine	AE	2.54	1.94	61.90	60.44	0.60	0.41
Fairfield	MAAC	2.54	1.94	68.18	63.24	0.92	0.51
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.49	1.85	40.91	37.26	-0.45	-0.47
Hampton	MEAC	2.43	1.82	28.57	40.25	-1.04	-0.35
Manhattan	MAAC	2.43	1.85	30.43	33.02	-0.95	-0.63
James Madison	CAA	2.38	1.79	40.91	37.91	-0.43	-0.43
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.37	4.08	40.00	39.12	-0.07	-0.89
Richmond	A10	0.37	2.33	75.00	70.30	0.19	0.95
George Washington	A10	0.32	2.33	54.55	54.00	0.03	0.19
Duquesne	A10	0.32	2.36	50.00	48.19	0.00	-0.09
Holy Cross	Pat	0.32	0.25	26.09	31.05	-0.15	-0.09
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.32	0.22	69.57	71.78	0.12	0.09
Siena	MAAC	0.31	0.21	83.33	81.25	0.20	0.13
Towson	CAA	0.27	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.15	-0.11
Boston University	AE	0.27	0.25	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.27	0.31	39.13	38.63	-0.06	-0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.26	0.28	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.26	0.15	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.26	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.25	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.23	-0.14
Rider	MAAC	0.25	0.18	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.21	0.15	23.81	27.31	-0.11	-0.07
Vermont	AE	0.21	0.22	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.08
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.18	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.21	0.12	77.27	73.36	0.12	0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.09
Drexel	CAA	0.21	0.18	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.21	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.25	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.19
New Hampshire	AE	0.21	0.19	35.00	38.23	-0.06	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.21	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.10	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.21	0.15	68.18	66.65	0.08	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.21	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.14	-0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.16	0.09	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.16	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Albany	AE	0.16	0.19	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.09
Columbia	Ivy	0.16	0.09	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.16	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.16	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.16	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.16	0.18	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Western Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.16	-0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.16	0.18	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.08
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.16	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.16	0.15	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.16	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.06	0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.09	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.13	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.12	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.11	0.15	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.18	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.10
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
American	Pat	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.19	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.13	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.16	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.13
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.08
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.00	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Fordham	A10	26.11	26.04	6.45	6.37	-22.74	-22.72
Xavier	A10	2.86	4.12	68.18	69.48	1.04	1.60
Rhode Island	A10	2.80	4.12	85.71	80.16	2.00	2.48
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.37	4.08	40.00	39.12	-0.07	-0.89
Temple	A10	2.86	2.45	78.26	76.82	1.62	1.32
La Salle	A10	2.86	2.42	45.45	44.51	-0.26	-0.27
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.65	2.39	36.36	34.39	-0.72	-0.75
St. Louis	A10	2.59	2.39	60.00	54.56	0.52	0.22
Dayton	A10	2.64	2.39	71.43	70.94	1.13	1.00
Duquesne	A10	0.32	2.36	50.00	48.19	0.00	-0.09
Massachusetts	A10	2.69	2.36	28.57	29.20	-1.15	-0.98
Charlotte	A10	2.64	2.36	77.27	70.75	1.44	0.98
Richmond	A10	0.37	2.33	75.00	70.30	0.19	0.95
George Washington	A10	0.32	2.33	54.55	54.00	0.03	0.19
Stony Brook	AE	2.70	2.03	71.43	71.26	1.16	0.86
Hartford	AE	2.65	1.97	27.27	30.07	-1.20	-0.79
Maine	AE	2.54	1.94	61.90	60.44	0.60	0.41
St. John's	BE	2.54	1.94	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.10
Fairfield	MAAC	2.54	1.94	68.18	63.24	0.92	0.51
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	55.77	0.24	0.22
Villanova	BE	2.64	1.93	90.48	81.91	2.14	1.23
Bowling Green	MAC	2.54	1.90	45.00	43.67	-0.25	-0.24
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.49	1.85	40.91	37.26	-0.45	-0.47
Manhattan	MAAC	2.43	1.85	30.43	33.02	-0.95	-0.63
Hampton	MEAC	2.43	1.82	28.57	40.25	-1.04	-0.35
James Madison	CAA	2.38	1.79	40.91	37.91	-0.43	-0.43
Binghamton	AE	0.27	0.31	39.13	38.63	-0.06	-0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.26	0.28	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.27	0.25	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.25	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.19
Holy Cross	Pat	0.32	0.25	26.09	31.05	-0.15	-0.09
Vermont	AE	0.21	0.22	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.08
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.32	0.22	69.57	71.78	0.12	0.09
Towson	CAA	0.27	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.15	-0.11
Siena	MAAC	0.31	0.21	83.33	81.25	0.20	0.13
Albany	AE	0.16	0.19	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.21	0.19	35.00	38.23	-0.06	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.19	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.16	0.18	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Rider	MAAC	0.25	0.18	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.18	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.21	0.18	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.18	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.16	0.18	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.16	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.13
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.26	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.21	0.15	23.81	27.31	-0.11	-0.07
Marist	MAAC	0.25	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.23	-0.14
Iona	MAAC	0.16	0.15	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.06
Providence	BE	0.11	0.15	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.26	0.15	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.21	0.15	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.21	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.21	0.15	68.18	66.65	0.08	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.16	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.13	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.13	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.12	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.16	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.06	0.05
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.12	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.16	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.12	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.08
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.16	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.21	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.10	-0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.21	0.12	77.27	73.36	0.12	0.06
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.21	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.14	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.16	0.09	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.16	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.16	0.09	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.16	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.16	-0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.16	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.16	0.09	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.11	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
American	Pat	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Villanova	BE	2.64	1.93	90.48	81.91	2.14	1.23
Rhode Island	A10	2.80	4.12	85.71	80.16	2.00	2.48
Temple	A10	2.86	2.45	78.26	76.82	1.62	1.32
Charlotte	A10	2.64	2.36	77.27	70.75	1.44	0.98
Stony Brook	AE	2.70	2.03	71.43	71.26	1.16	0.86
Dayton	A10	2.64	2.39	71.43	70.94	1.13	1.00
Xavier	A10	2.86	4.12	68.18	69.48	1.04	1.60
Fairfield	MAAC	2.54	1.94	68.18	63.24	0.92	0.51
Maine	AE	2.54	1.94	61.90	60.44	0.60	0.41
St. Louis	A10	2.59	2.39	60.00	54.56	0.52	0.22
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	55.77	0.24	0.22
Siena	MAAC	0.31	0.21	83.33	81.25	0.20	0.13
Richmond	A10	0.37	2.33	75.00	70.30	0.19	0.95
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.09
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.32	0.22	69.57	71.78	0.12	0.09
St. John's	BE	2.54	1.94	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.10
Georgetown	BE	0.21	0.12	77.27	73.36	0.12	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.12	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Vermont	AE	0.21	0.22	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.21	0.15	68.18	66.65	0.08	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.16	0.18	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.16	0.15	72.00	70.73	0.07	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.16	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.06	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.18	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.10
George Mason	CAA	0.21	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.16	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.13
Lehigh	Pat	0.16	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.16	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.05	0.05