The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Kentucky page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Kentucky

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		6.1
Current RPI:		6
Expected SOS:		35
Current SOS:		52
Current Record:		22-1
Expected Record:		27-4
Current Conf Record:		7-1
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		11-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		15-0
Expected OOC Record:		15-0
Expected OOC RPI:		8
Expected OOC SOS:		88

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
30-1	2.5	4.01%
29-2	3.6	17.17%
28-3	4.8	29.93%
27-4	6.3	27.98%
26-5	8.8	15.47%
25-6	13.4	4.56%
24-7	20.4	0.81%
23-8	26.8	0.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kentucky.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	H	75-59	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	72-70	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	H	102-92	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	H	92-63	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	N	73-49	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Stanford (173.0)	P10	N	73-65	W	100%	0.0
11-30	NC Asheville (246.7)	BSth	N	94-57	W	100%	0.0
12-5	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	N	64-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	90-73	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	H	90-69	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	H	88-44	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	86-73	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	104-61	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	71-62	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	89-77	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	A	72-67	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	H	101-70	W	100%	0.0
1-26	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	62-68	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	85-72	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	85-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	81-55	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	H	0-0		88%	12.8
2-13	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	0-0		71%	5.9
2-16	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	A	0-0		54%	1.1
2-20	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	0-0		49%	-0.3
2-25	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	H	0-0		88%	13.1
2-27	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	0-0		42%	-2.1
3-3	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	0-0		74%	7.2
3-7	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	0-0		82%	9.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kentucky's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Kentucky's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Kentucky.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kentucky	SEC	26.12	26.12	96.77	89.60	24.44	20.68
Auburn	SEC	2.48	2.18	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.26
Georgia	SEC	2.47	3.85	50.00	47.86	0.00	-0.16
South Carolina	SEC	2.47	3.82	57.14	54.32	0.35	0.33
Mississippi	SEC	2.47	2.18	77.27	75.02	1.35	1.09
Florida	SEC	2.42	3.82	77.27	71.77	1.32	1.66
Arkansas	SEC	2.42	2.18	54.55	50.09	0.22	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.41	2.18	40.91	36.60	-0.44	-0.58
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.37	3.82	80.00	76.73	1.42	2.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.32	1.69	75.00	76.02	1.16	0.88
Austin Peay	OVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	57.00	0.21	0.24
Connecticut	BE	2.27	1.69	63.64	58.37	0.62	0.28
Louisville	BE	2.27	1.69	68.18	64.14	0.82	0.48
Morehead St.	OVC	2.27	1.67	71.43	70.39	0.97	0.68
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.24	1.65	47.62	48.48	-0.11	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	2.24	1.67	54.17	50.98	0.19	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	2.23	1.72	35.00	39.22	-0.67	-0.37
Indiana	B10	2.22	1.64	42.86	36.04	-0.32	-0.46
Drexel	CAA	2.17	1.61	58.33	57.77	0.36	0.25
Hartford	AE	2.17	1.61	31.82	33.64	-0.79	-0.53
Long Beach St.	BW	2.17	1.61	45.00	47.35	-0.22	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	2.17	1.61	45.45	49.32	-0.20	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	2.17	1.61	59.09	53.69	0.40	0.12
Stanford	P10	2.17	1.61	45.45	44.58	-0.20	-0.17
Tennessee	SEC	0.44	3.88	81.82	77.95	0.28	2.17
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.38	2.18	69.57	69.23	0.15	0.84
Alabama	SEC	0.34	2.15	56.52	55.59	0.04	0.24
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.25	0.20	38.10	41.29	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.24	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.08	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.23	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.20	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.07	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.10
West Virginia	BE	0.20	0.14	86.36	82.20	0.14	0.09
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.19	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.16	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.02
Texas	B12	0.19	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.13	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.19	0.16	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.16	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.16	0.09	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.16	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.09	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.15	0.09	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.09	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.06
Radford	BSth	0.15	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.14	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.10
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.13	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.14	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.13	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.11	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.11	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.09
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.14	0.10	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.13	0.08	4.17	4.73	-0.12	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.08	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.19	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.06
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.07
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.08	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.08	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.13	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Albany	AE	0.09	0.08	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.05	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.08	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.11	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.05
Stony Brook	AE	0.09	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.03	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.16	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.13
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.04	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.04	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.04	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.02	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.00	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.00	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.05	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.00	0.05	33.33	30.72	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kentucky	SEC	26.12	26.12	96.77	89.60	24.44	20.68
Tennessee	SEC	0.44	3.88	81.82	77.95	0.28	2.17
Georgia	SEC	2.47	3.85	50.00	47.86	0.00	-0.16
Florida	SEC	2.42	3.82	77.27	71.77	1.32	1.66
South Carolina	SEC	2.47	3.82	57.14	54.32	0.35	0.33
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.37	3.82	80.00	76.73	1.42	2.04
Auburn	SEC	2.48	2.18	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.26
Arkansas	SEC	2.42	2.18	54.55	50.09	0.22	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.38	2.18	69.57	69.23	0.15	0.84
Mississippi	SEC	2.47	2.18	77.27	75.02	1.35	1.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.41	2.18	40.91	36.60	-0.44	-0.58
Alabama	SEC	0.34	2.15	56.52	55.59	0.04	0.24
Austin Peay	OVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	57.00	0.21	0.24
NC Asheville	BSth	2.23	1.72	35.00	39.22	-0.67	-0.37
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.32	1.69	75.00	76.02	1.16	0.88
Connecticut	BE	2.27	1.69	63.64	58.37	0.62	0.28
Louisville	BE	2.27	1.69	68.18	64.14	0.82	0.48
Rider	MAAC	2.24	1.67	54.17	50.98	0.19	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	2.27	1.67	71.43	70.39	0.97	0.68
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.24	1.65	47.62	48.48	-0.11	-0.05
Indiana	B10	2.22	1.64	42.86	36.04	-0.32	-0.46
Drexel	CAA	2.17	1.61	58.33	57.77	0.36	0.25
Hartford	AE	2.17	1.61	31.82	33.64	-0.79	-0.53
Long Beach St.	BW	2.17	1.61	45.00	47.35	-0.22	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	2.17	1.61	45.45	49.32	-0.20	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	2.17	1.61	59.09	53.69	0.40	0.12
Stanford	P10	2.17	1.61	45.45	44.58	-0.20	-0.17
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.25	0.20	38.10	41.29	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.10
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.19	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.19	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.23	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.20	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.07	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.16	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.19	0.16	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.16	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.13
Wright St.	Horz	0.16	0.14	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.07
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.14	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.10
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.20	0.14	86.36	82.20	0.14	0.09
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.13	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.09
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.13	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.24	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.08	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.13	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.06
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.11	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.08
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.11	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.16	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.15	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.09
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.11	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
Texas	B12	0.19	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.13	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.07
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.14	0.10	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.15	0.09	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.09	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Radford	BSth	0.15	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.09	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	26.32	31.51	-0.04	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.16	0.09	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Furman	SC	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.08	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.08	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.08	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.09	0.08	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.13	0.08	4.17	4.73	-0.12	-0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.14	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.14	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.03
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.04
Troy	SB	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.08	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04